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Moneyball Economic Development
Your starting lineup:
Eric
Simundza

Anatalio
Ubalde

Russ
Riblett

Mark
Hays

Manager

CEO

Director

Nat’l Executive

esimundza@gisplanning.com

ubalde@gisplanning.com

rriblett@gisplanning.com

mhays@sizeup.com

Height: 6’-X”
Weight:
Bats:
Avg.: 382
RBI: 12
Position: Product Manager
College: Columbia
Years in the pros:
Twitter: @shemoonja

Height: 5’-10”
Weight: 175
Bats: Right
Avg.: 369
RBI: 14
Position: General Manager
College: UC Berkeley
Years in the pros: 16
Twitter: @aubalde

Height:5’10
Weight: 190
Bats:L
Avg.: .250
RBI: 1
Position: Reliver
College: U of Arizona
Years in the pros:13
Twitter: @rriblett

Height: 5’11”
Weight: 190 (solid steel)
Bats: Right
Avg.: Far from Avg
RBI: 0
Position: Waterboy
College: APSU
Years in the pros: 5
Twitter:
Who is this?

Hint #1:
He works a few miles from me.

Hint #2:
This guy plays him in the movies.
Billy Beane

Analytical, evidence-based, metric approach to
assembling a competitive baseball team, despite
Oakland's disadvantaged revenue situation.
Moneyball concepts
• Traditional wisdom of baseball insiders during the
last century is subjective and often flawed.
• Stolen bases, RBI, and batting averages are relics
of 19th century statistics.
• A’s would use better indicators to compete with
big $ teams: On-base and slugging %.
• 2002 A’s budget = $41M, Yankees = $125.
• Staying ahead of the curve requires an outsider’s
view and increasingly better data analysis.
• Today, the Mets, Yankees, Padres, Cardinals, Red
Sox, Nationals, Diamondbacks, Indians, and Blue
Jays have have full-time data analysts.
• All successful sports teams use data
to evaluate and project
performance.
• But that was actually small data:
small data sets with basic math –
addition, subtraction,
multiplication, division.
• Yesterday’s advantage is today’s
new normal.
Today, “Big Data” is the new
competitive advantage.
• What does today’s Moneyball look
like?
Today’s Moneyball
• Measure everything.
• Which players match up?
• Which play to use in each scenario depending on the
time of game, who is in the game, etc.
• The computer informs and guides the decisions of
coaches and managers.
• Pervasive: this will be everywhere in the next few
years. Think the rich dads in Silicon Valley aren’t going
to make this available for their kid’s soccer team?
Who is this?

Nate Silver
Big Data Moneyball is
for more than just sports.
It’s for every industry.
It’s for economic development.
It’s for you.
…that is, if you want to win.
The companies and EDOs that will
succeed are those that embrace data.
• And not just any
data, but the MOST
and BEST data.
• The more data you
have and use, the more
you WIN.
Economic Development Geeks
I have to
decide where
I’m going to
grow my
company

I have data
that shows
you why
we’re a
great
location.

Community A

That’s just one
aspect. Let me
show you the
BIG picture of
data analysis
that shows why
you’ll succeed in
our city

Community B
How is this happening in economic
development organizations?
That’s what we’re going to explore
together today.
Who moved the economic
development cheese?
Old-style EDO

Community A

Modern EDO

Community B
“Your community may be the best solution for a
business, but if your online presence can’t
prove it, you might as well be invisible.”
- Anatalio Ubalde
Contact Made by Site Selectors by Stage
100%

90%

80%

33% advantage for
EDO with required
website content

70%

60%

50%

Use an EDO website
40%

Contact an EDO staff person
30%

20%
When beginning an When developing a
During
After narrowing
During
To confirm
Only if the company
initial site selection long-list of possible evaluation/analysis options to a short- evaluation/analysis information I have or client specifically
search for possible areas in which to
of a long-list of
list of a few finalists of a short-list of
already gathered asked me to contact
locations
locate based on
locations
locations
an EDO.
restrictive-criteria

Contact EDO '11

Visit EDO's website '11

Source: National Survey of Corporate Real Estate Professionals & Site Selection Consultants by GIS Planning, 2011

Never
User-defined search for sites and
property based on location, use & size
Draw where you
want to search
on the map
Draw a radius
on the map of
where you want
to search
Matching
properties are
shown in a
comparison list
& on the map
Drill down into
individual
property report to
see the details
Property Reports
with Customizable
Property Report
Variables
Encourage social
media use to share
information among
your site visitors
View the area
with Google
Street View
Export to
PDF, Word, or Excel
format…
User-defined
demographic
market analysis
reports provide
business
intelligence
Modify radius in
miles…
Roll over “Chart” to
see pie graph of
demographics
Choose Business Reports
Competition & Synergies

Identify Industry Clusters
Pick any category, like
Construction
And only Construction
businesses are displayed
Obtain more information by
visiting the provided link
Compare
Communities
across the United
States
Compare Results
Thematic
Mapping of
Demographic
Variables
Local GIS Layers
Drive Times
Legend
Show Colleges
Show Railroads
Interactive maps allow
users to select
information that
matters most to them
Q: How many of you feel you could be successful
doing your job without your smartphone?
Q: How many of you get work done on
your smartphone?

• asdfasfds
Q: How would you feel if, on a
smartphone, you only got…
Give them what

you want too.
If you are not
delivering an
exceptional
smartphone
experience, you
have a problem.
You are living in
the pre-June
29, 2007 world.
That makes you a
digital dinosaur.

Let’s look at how the modern EDO helps
businesses invest in their community
using smartphones.
ZPE Mobile Demo (as slides)
Can businesses
considering an
investment in
your
community do
that on their
smartphone?
Other companies’ data impacts whether you
have more opportunities to succeed.
Businesses finding communities.
I want more job
options
We need more
tax revenue

How do we find
the businesses
that can solve
our problems?

I need more
business
customers

I want a better
paying job
We want more
revenue growth

We need better
employees

How do we find
the communities
that can solve
our problems?
We want better
access to
markets

We need to be near
the right businesses
We want more
revenue growth

I want more job
options

We need better
employees

We need more
tax revenue

I need more
business
customers

We want better
access to
markets
I want a better
paying job

We need to be near
the right businesses
This is the point in the presentation
where we showed a preview of the
new version of
ZoomProspector.com. If you would
like to know more about the new
version of ZoomProspector.com
please contact us at
info@zoomprospector.com
EDOs can sign up
for a free
Economic Development
Directory Listing
Making the Connections That Matter
Making the ConnectionsThat Matter
Economic
Development
Professionals

Site Selection
Consultants &
Corporate Real
Estate Pros

New, Expanding
& Relocating
Businesses
Before ZoomProspector.com
You
You Chasing Prospects
Prospects Chasing You
Many Prospects Chasing You
“Market research and analysis is
critical for the success of any small
business owner or entrepreneur.
Tools like SizeUp deliver data right
to the fingertips of business
owners to help make smart
decisions and have the greatest
opportunity to
start, grow, compete and succeed.
In today’s challenging economic
environment where small
businesses create nearly all net
new jobs in the U.S., help for small
businesses is more important than
ever before.”
- Karen Mills, SBA Administrator
Back to the
Moneyball

Moneyball
Economic
Development is
about knowing
where the
money is
coming from.
Entrepreneurs are a top priority
Local Economy
US Economy

Big
Small
Business Business

50%

50%
60%
In your local economy
Civic Economics Study
Total Impact

$68

Institute for Local Self Reliance
Secondary Spending

$45

$43

$14

Local Independent Chain Competitor

Local Independent

Big Box Chain

Read about both studies at http://bit.ly/tTiv5s
SMB’s Create Most New Jobs
Over recent 10 years small business created
93% of all net new jobs.
Big
Businesses, 7
%

Small &
Mediumsized
Businesses
(SMB), 93%

Source: U.S. Small Business Authority 1996 - 2006 - http://www.sba.gov/advo/research/dyn_b_d8906.pdf
SMB’s Create Most New Jobs
8,000,000

7,000,000

Created 100% of net
new jobs over
5 years

6,922,576

6,000,000

5,000,000

Last recession (2001)

4,000,000

3,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

0

Small and Medium Businesses

Large Businesses

– Big Businesses:
4 years of job losses
– Small Businesses:
1 year of job losses
– Smallest Businesses:
0 years of job losses

-1,000,000

-2,000,000

-2,071,779
-3,000,000

Source: U.S. Small Business Authority 2001 - 2006 - http://www.sba.gov/advo/research/dyn_b_d8906.pdf
12,000,000

Total Job Creation

10,000,000

8,000,000
Small Businesses

6,000,000

Big Businesses
4,000,000

2,000,000

0
1980

1985

1990

4,000,000

1995

2000

2005

2010

Net Job Creation

3,000,000
2,000,000
1,000,000
0

Small Businesses
Big Businesses

-1,000,000
-2,000,000
-3,000,000
-4,000,000
1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Source: Census Business Dynamics Statistics
250,000
Value of SizeUp LBI
• Data you can’t get on SizeUp.com
• Keep your visitors engaged
• Brand loyalty through internal value
Google Maps
Countless websites pay to license the Google Maps API to embed
maps, even though those maps are freely available through
Google.com.
Year 1: 1 State
Year 2: 3 States
Year 3: 4 States
Year 4: 8 States
Year 4: 8 States

Month 4: 8 States
Sports and Economic Development
•
•
•
•

Who lost the Super Bowl last year?
Who lost the World Series last year?
Who lost the NBA Finals last year?
Who lost the Stanley Cup last year?
Eric
Simundza

Anatalio
Ubalde

Russ
Riblett

Mark
Hays

Manager

CEO

Director

Nat’l Executive

esimundza@gisplanning.com

ubalde@gisplanning.com

rriblett@gisplanning.com

mhays@sizeup.com

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I don't actually have information about the results of recent sporting events. As an AI assistant created by Anthropic to be helpful, harmless, and honest, I don't follow or keep records of sports

Notas del editor

  1. Things have changed a lot in the past few years but many Edpros haven’t been been able to pay attention. It’s not their fault because they are so busy with their day-to-day tasks that they have missed some of the global changes. Many Edpros think the cheese is still on their plate. But actually their competitors are already eating their lunch.
  2. Less savvyEdpro though it was enough to provide property inventories, limited demographics, a list of major employers, and their stand-alone website would do the job. That’s is what Anatalio referred to as small data. But things have changed. Today’s successful EDOs practice big data.
  3. `Let me ask you a question: Raise your hand if you like people selling you things? OK, now how many of you like buying things you want? So do you see the difference? The way to succeed is to get people to buy your community – not because you want to sell it to them – but because they have sold themselves. Everyone is happy. But to do this you have to give them the tools to convince themselves. Now, let’s look at how you use the most and best data to get businesses to convince themselves that they should invest in your community.
  4. How many of you, because I said the word ‘smart phone’ are obsessing about checking yours right now? I can see some of you are starting to sweat because you don’t want anyone to see you check it because I brought it up but you really, really, really want to check your phone . OK. I’ll make a deal with you. If there is anyone here who is willing to give up their smart phone for the entire conference I’ll take you out to a fancy dinner. Any volunteers? None? Isn’t that amazing. A few years ago no one in this room owned one and now you can’t live without it. But at least that shows us how important they are to us.
  5. How would you feel if, because you were using your smartphone, you only received ½ of your emails, or half of your search results, or half of your pictures? That’s completely unacceptable. People want the same quality of service on their phones as their desktop and tablet.
  6. So we know that important work gets done on phones and people want a complete experience using them. (click) Well, your customers feel the same as you. So how do you help people get their work doe on their phones and do you give them the same quality on their phone as your website?
  7. Russ, that was a great analysis of how EDOs can use their data to convince businesses to invest in their community. I’d like to share a different side to economic development moneyball and the value of data. I want to share how other people’s data impacts whether you have more opportunities to succeed.
  8. The second place winner was ZoomProspector.com. According to the Department of Commerce, ZoomProspector.com is a website that provides a way for new and expanding businesses to find, compare and deeply analyze communities and available properties nationwide. This tool will be valuable for American companies looking to expand their operations inside the United States or companies choosing to bring jobs back from overseas.
  9. The first place winner is SizeUp. In the words of the Department of Commerce, SizeUp “provides a comprehensive overview to small- and medium-sized  business about their competitiveness and where to find resources to improve. This will improve the success of small businesses so they can prosper and create new jobs.”