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Bob White - State of the Market by the Numbers
1.
Beyond Distress
State of the Market Presentation by the Numbers Robert M. White, Jr., CRE, FRIC September 22, 2011
2.
Strong Q2 and
H1 Transaction Volumes RCAnalytics.com
3.
Broad Rebound in
Sales Across Property Types H1’11 Sales Across Property Types H1 ‘11 Year-Over-Year H1 ‘11 Volume Change in Volume Office $25.9 Seniors & Care 412% Apartment $23.1 Hotel 154% Retail $21.8 Apartment 102% Seniors & Care $16.2 Office 88% Industrial $11.0 Retail 63% Centro Hotel $8.7 Industrial 59% Billions RCAnalytics.com
4.
Broad Rebound in
Sales Across Markets RCAnalytics.com
5.
But, US Investment
Markets May be Stumbling… July RCAnalytics.com
6.
CMBS Market Turbulent;
Conduits Pulling Back Quarterly CMBS Issuance $80 $70 $60 $50 $40 $30 $20 $10 $- 3 4 2 4 3 4 2 4 3 4 2 3 4 3 4 2 3 3 4 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 2 4 2 4 1 '01 1 '03 1 '05 1 '07 1 '09 1 '11 1 '02 1 '04 1 '06 1 '08 1 '10 RCAnalytics.com
7.
Forecast: $200 Billion
in Property Sales in 2011 450 2007 2006 400 $billion 2005 350 300 250 200 2011e 2008 150 2010 100 2009 50 - J F M A M J J A S O N D RCAnalytics.com
8.
Distressed Situation Improving
Slowly…
9.
Additions to Distress
Down, But Still Significant
10.
Sales of Distressed
Properties Rising RCAnalytics.com
11.
An End to
Extend & Pretend? RCAnalytics.com
12.
Distress by Property
Type H1’11 Summary * Recovery Rate before fees and costs
13.
Distress by Lender
Type H1’11 Summary * Recovery Rate before fees and costs
14.
Certain Markets Clearing
Distress Rapidly RCAnalytics.com
15.
Thank You
rwhite@rcanalytics.com RCAnalytics.com