Complexification of Higher Education
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Complexification of Higher Education

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Presented at XLi Conference, Billings, Montana, March 22, 2013.

Presented at XLi Conference, Billings, Montana, March 22, 2013.

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  • http://www.onlinelearningsurvey.com/reports/growingthecurriculum.pdf
  • http://www.nature.com/news/online-learning-campus-2-0-1.12590
  • http://gsvadvisors.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/GSV-EDU-Factbook-Apr-13-2012.pdf
  • http://www.onlinelearningsurvey.com/reports/goingthedistance.pdf
  • Adapted from: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cloud_computing
  • IBIS Capital | Global e-Learning Investment Review
  • http://www.cbpp.org/files/3-19-13sfp.pdf
  • State of Human Capital, 2012, http://www.mckinsey.com/~/media/McKinsey/dotcom/client_service/Organization/PDFs/State_of_human_capital_2012.ashx
  • https://www.mckinseyquarterly.com/Economic_Studies/Productivity_Performance/Preparing_for_a_new_era_of_knowledge_work_3034
  • http://www.dartblog.com/data/2013/01/010555.php
  • http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2013/01/16/business/In-Education-China-Takes-the-Lead.html?smid=tw-share
  • http://www.census.gov/prod/2013pubs/acsbr11-14.pdf
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  • http://www.insidehighered.com/news/2012/06/06/mcgraw-hill-wgu-announce-deal-would-shift-accountability-content-provider
  • diSessa, A. A. (1993). Toward an epistemology of physics. Cognition and Instruction 10(2 & 3): 105-225.
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Complexification of Higher Education Presentation Transcript

  • 1. The Complexification of Higher Education George Siemens, PhD March 22, 2013 Xli 2013 Billings, Montana
  • 2. Higher education is diversifying:Student profilesLearning needsAcademic programsAssessmentThe narrative of higher education is no longersingular, reflective of complexification of thesector.
  • 3. Openness
  • 4. Allen & Seaman, 2012
  • 5. Annual volumes of articles in full immediate open access journals Laakso and Björk BMC Medicine 2012 10:124
  • 6. Nature, 2013
  • 7. Technology
  • 8. http://www.scribd.com/doc/48586092/KPCB-Top-10-Mobile-Trends
  • 9. Education Sector Factbook, 2012
  • 10. Allen & Seaman 2011
  • 11. SaaS PaaS IaaSCloud Computing
  • 12. Entrepreneurship & Startups
  • 13. On the Last Digital Frontier Investors give education technology firms the nod Joseph Wilson, Special to Financial Post | Sep 10, 2012
  • 14. Ed-tech startupsWith transformations already underway in news,music, videos/movies, startup gold rush nowturning focus to education
  • 15. IBIS Capital: Global e-Learning Investment Review, 2013
  • 16. Economic
  • 17. Center on Budget andPolicy Priorities, 2013
  • 18. An Agenda for Australian Higher Education, 2013-2016
  • 19. The Conference Board
  • 20. McKinsey Quarterly, 2012
  • 21. Moody’s Investor Services, 2013
  • 22. NYTimes, UNESCO Data
  • 23. Student Profiles
  • 24. Increasing diversity of student profilesThe U.S. is now in a position when less thanhalf of students could be considered fulltimestudents. In other words, students who canattend campus five days a week nine-to-five,are now a minority. (Bates, 2013)
  • 25. Certificates- Fastest growing form of credentialing(800% increase in 30 years)- Industry-facing Carnevale, Rose, Hanson 2012
  • 26. Learning Analytics
  • 27. “The slightest move in the virtual landscapehas to be paid for in lines of code” Bruno Latour
  • 28. Data trails revealsour sentiments,our attitudes,our social connections,our intentions,what we know,how we learn,and what we might do next.
  • 29. Focus of analytics Who Benefits?Course-level: social networks, Learners, facultyconceptual development, languageanalysisAggregate (big data) predictive Learners, facultymodeling, patterns of success/failureInstitutional: learner profiles, Administrators, IR, funders,performance of academics, resource marketingallocationRegional & National (state/provincial): Governments, administratorscomparisons between systemsInternational: ‘world class universities’ National governments (OECD),
  • 30. SNAPP
  • 31. Denley, 2012
  • 32. Rio Salado CollegeStudent Support Model Image source: EDUCAUSE
  • 33. Persistence Plus Image source: EDUCAUSE
  • 34. Granularization:Courses to Competencies
  • 35. The American Council on Education “says itwants more students to earn college creditfor learning that occurs outside thecollege classroom. Some of these creditpathways are trendy and new; others havebeen around for decades.” Inside Higher Ed, 2013
  • 36. State of Wisconsin, 2012
  • 37. State of Wisconsin, 2012
  • 38. State of Wisconsin, 2012
  • 39. “Pay for performance” education?Shifting (sharing) responsibility for studentsuccess with content providers?
  • 40. Knowledge in pieces diSessa, 1993
  • 41. Future(s) of higher education
  • 42. “The future looks like this: Access to college-level education will befree for everyone; the residential college campus will becomelargely obsolete; tens of thousands of professors will lose theirjobs; the bachelor’s degree will become increasingly irrelevant; andten years from now Harvard will enroll ten million students.”
  • 43. "We have 10,000 colleges in this country, so when you get down to thevery bottom, [a qualification] is worth nothing…a fair fraction of thevery bad universities in the US will disappear. It may take 10 years, itmay take 20 years, but that is going to happen."
  • 44. Status QuoRisk: HighIntelligence level of this strategy: StupidImpact: Loss of relevance
  • 45. Accreditors (teach globally, accredit locally)Risk: mediumIntelligence level of this strategy: okImpact: Loss of control of teaching,competition with other accreditors (incl.for-profit). Fragmentation of learnerexperience. Loss of brand.
  • 46. Localized/specializedRisk: lowIntelligence level of this strategy: kinda smartImpact: play to strengths of local system.Community. Retain local presence. Brandloyalty
  • 47. Partnership modelRisk: mediumIntelligence level of this strategy: kinda smartImpact: Employment-focused. Politicallyrelevant. Learner interest is high.
  • 48. Net ModelRisk: High (short term). Low (long term)Intelligence level of this strategy: smartImpact: Expensive. Analytics-driven. Culturalshift needed. Risk of moving too early.University as new integrator. Branddevelopment
  • 49. EdTech Innovation Conference Calgary, May 1-3, 2013 www.edinnovation.ca
  • 50. Twitter/Gmail: gsiemens