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The Complexification of  Higher Education             George Siemens, PhD                   March 22, 2013                ...
Higher education is diversifying:Student profilesLearning needsAcademic programsAssessmentThe narrative of higher educatio...
Openness
Allen & Seaman, 2012
Annual volumes of articles in full immediate open access journals                                     Laakso and Björk BMC...
Nature, 2013
Technology
http://www.scribd.com/doc/48586092/KPCB-Top-10-Mobile-Trends
Education Sector Factbook, 2012
Allen & Seaman 2011
SaaS                  PaaS        IaaSCloud Computing
Entrepreneurship & Startups
On the Last Digital Frontier   Investors give education technology firms the nod   Joseph Wilson, Special to Financial Pos...
Ed-tech startupsWith transformations already underway in news,music, videos/movies, startup gold rush nowturning focus to ...
IBIS Capital: Global e-Learning Investment Review, 2013
Economic
Center on Budget andPolicy Priorities, 2013
An Agenda for Australian Higher Education, 2013-2016
The Conference Board
McKinsey Quarterly, 2012
Moody’s Investor Services, 2013
NYTimes, UNESCO Data
Student Profiles
Increasing diversity of student profilesThe U.S. is now in a position when less thanhalf of students could be considered f...
Certificates- Fastest growing form of credentialing(800% increase in 30 years)- Industry-facing                         Ca...
Learning Analytics
“The slightest move in the virtual landscapehas to be paid for in lines of code”                                   Bruno L...
Data trails revealsour sentiments,our attitudes,our social connections,our intentions,what we know,how we learn,and what w...
Focus of analytics                        Who Benefits?Course-level: social networks,              Learners, facultyconcep...
SNAPP
Denley, 2012
Rio Salado  CollegeStudent Support Model                        Image source: EDUCAUSE
Persistence Plus                   Image source: EDUCAUSE
Granularization:Courses to Competencies
The American Council on Education “says itwants more students to earn college creditfor learning that occurs outside theco...
State of Wisconsin, 2012
State of Wisconsin, 2012
State of Wisconsin, 2012
“Pay for performance” education?Shifting (sharing) responsibility for studentsuccess with content providers?
Knowledge in pieces                  diSessa, 1993
Future(s) of higher education
“The future looks like this: Access to college-level education will befree for everyone; the residential college campus wi...
"We have 10,000 colleges in this country, so when you get down to thevery bottom, [a qualification] is worth nothing…a fai...
Status QuoRisk: HighIntelligence level of this strategy: StupidImpact: Loss of relevance
Accreditors (teach globally, accredit locally)Risk: mediumIntelligence level of this strategy: okImpact: Loss of control o...
Localized/specializedRisk: lowIntelligence level of this strategy: kinda smartImpact: play to strengths of local system.Co...
Partnership modelRisk: mediumIntelligence level of this strategy: kinda smartImpact: Employment-focused. Politicallyreleva...
Net ModelRisk: High (short term). Low (long term)Intelligence level of this strategy: smartImpact: Expensive. Analytics-dr...
EdTech Innovation Conference         Calgary, May 1-3, 2013         www.edinnovation.ca
Twitter/Gmail:  gsiemens
Complexification of Higher Education
Complexification of Higher Education
Complexification of Higher Education
Complexification of Higher Education
Complexification of Higher Education
Complexification of Higher Education
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Complexification of Higher Education

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Presented at XLi Conference, Billings, Montana, March 22, 2013.

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  • http://www.onlinelearningsurvey.com/reports/growingthecurriculum.pdf
  • http://www.nature.com/news/online-learning-campus-2-0-1.12590
  • http://gsvadvisors.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/GSV-EDU-Factbook-Apr-13-2012.pdf
  • http://www.onlinelearningsurvey.com/reports/goingthedistance.pdf
  • Adapted from: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cloud_computing
  • IBIS Capital | Global e-Learning Investment Review
  • http://www.cbpp.org/files/3-19-13sfp.pdf
  • State of Human Capital, 2012, http://www.mckinsey.com/~/media/McKinsey/dotcom/client_service/Organization/PDFs/State_of_human_capital_2012.ashx
  • https://www.mckinseyquarterly.com/Economic_Studies/Productivity_Performance/Preparing_for_a_new_era_of_knowledge_work_3034
  • http://www.dartblog.com/data/2013/01/010555.php
  • http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2013/01/16/business/In-Education-China-Takes-the-Lead.html?smid=tw-share
  • http://www.census.gov/prod/2013pubs/acsbr11-14.pdf
  • http://www9.georgetown.edu/grad/gppi/hpi/cew/pdfs/CertificatesFullReport.pdf
  • http://www.educause.edu/ero/article/austin-peay-state-university-degree-compass
  • http://net.educause.edu/ir/library/pdf/NG1227.pdf
  • http://www.educause.edu/ero/article/analytics-nudges-and-learner-persistence
  • http://www.insidehighered.com/news/2013/03/04/ace-doubles-down-prior-learning-assessment
  • http://walker.wi.gov/Images/News/6.19.12%20UW%20Flexible%20Degree%20Proposal%20Packet.pdf
  • http://www.insidehighered.com/news/2012/06/06/mcgraw-hill-wgu-announce-deal-would-shift-accountability-content-provider
  • diSessa, A. A. (1993). Toward an epistemology of physics. Cognition and Instruction 10(2 & 3): 105-225.
  • http://the-american-interest.com/article.cfm?piece=1352
  • http://www.timeshighereducation.co.uk/story.asp?sectioncode=26&storycode=422586&c=1
  • Transcript of "Complexification of Higher Education"

    1. 1. The Complexification of Higher Education George Siemens, PhD March 22, 2013 Xli 2013 Billings, Montana
    2. 2. Higher education is diversifying:Student profilesLearning needsAcademic programsAssessmentThe narrative of higher education is no longersingular, reflective of complexification of thesector.
    3. 3. Openness
    4. 4. Allen & Seaman, 2012
    5. 5. Annual volumes of articles in full immediate open access journals Laakso and Björk BMC Medicine 2012 10:124
    6. 6. Nature, 2013
    7. 7. Technology
    8. 8. http://www.scribd.com/doc/48586092/KPCB-Top-10-Mobile-Trends
    9. 9. Education Sector Factbook, 2012
    10. 10. Allen & Seaman 2011
    11. 11. SaaS PaaS IaaSCloud Computing
    12. 12. Entrepreneurship & Startups
    13. 13. On the Last Digital Frontier Investors give education technology firms the nod Joseph Wilson, Special to Financial Post | Sep 10, 2012
    14. 14. Ed-tech startupsWith transformations already underway in news,music, videos/movies, startup gold rush nowturning focus to education
    15. 15. IBIS Capital: Global e-Learning Investment Review, 2013
    16. 16. Economic
    17. 17. Center on Budget andPolicy Priorities, 2013
    18. 18. An Agenda for Australian Higher Education, 2013-2016
    19. 19. The Conference Board
    20. 20. McKinsey Quarterly, 2012
    21. 21. Moody’s Investor Services, 2013
    22. 22. NYTimes, UNESCO Data
    23. 23. Student Profiles
    24. 24. Increasing diversity of student profilesThe U.S. is now in a position when less thanhalf of students could be considered fulltimestudents. In other words, students who canattend campus five days a week nine-to-five,are now a minority. (Bates, 2013)
    25. 25. Certificates- Fastest growing form of credentialing(800% increase in 30 years)- Industry-facing Carnevale, Rose, Hanson 2012
    26. 26. Learning Analytics
    27. 27. “The slightest move in the virtual landscapehas to be paid for in lines of code” Bruno Latour
    28. 28. Data trails revealsour sentiments,our attitudes,our social connections,our intentions,what we know,how we learn,and what we might do next.
    29. 29. Focus of analytics Who Benefits?Course-level: social networks, Learners, facultyconceptual development, languageanalysisAggregate (big data) predictive Learners, facultymodeling, patterns of success/failureInstitutional: learner profiles, Administrators, IR, funders,performance of academics, resource marketingallocationRegional & National (state/provincial): Governments, administratorscomparisons between systemsInternational: ‘world class universities’ National governments (OECD),
    30. 30. SNAPP
    31. 31. Denley, 2012
    32. 32. Rio Salado CollegeStudent Support Model Image source: EDUCAUSE
    33. 33. Persistence Plus Image source: EDUCAUSE
    34. 34. Granularization:Courses to Competencies
    35. 35. The American Council on Education “says itwants more students to earn college creditfor learning that occurs outside thecollege classroom. Some of these creditpathways are trendy and new; others havebeen around for decades.” Inside Higher Ed, 2013
    36. 36. State of Wisconsin, 2012
    37. 37. State of Wisconsin, 2012
    38. 38. State of Wisconsin, 2012
    39. 39. “Pay for performance” education?Shifting (sharing) responsibility for studentsuccess with content providers?
    40. 40. Knowledge in pieces diSessa, 1993
    41. 41. Future(s) of higher education
    42. 42. “The future looks like this: Access to college-level education will befree for everyone; the residential college campus will becomelargely obsolete; tens of thousands of professors will lose theirjobs; the bachelor’s degree will become increasingly irrelevant; andten years from now Harvard will enroll ten million students.”
    43. 43. "We have 10,000 colleges in this country, so when you get down to thevery bottom, [a qualification] is worth nothing…a fair fraction of thevery bad universities in the US will disappear. It may take 10 years, itmay take 20 years, but that is going to happen."
    44. 44. Status QuoRisk: HighIntelligence level of this strategy: StupidImpact: Loss of relevance
    45. 45. Accreditors (teach globally, accredit locally)Risk: mediumIntelligence level of this strategy: okImpact: Loss of control of teaching,competition with other accreditors (incl.for-profit). Fragmentation of learnerexperience. Loss of brand.
    46. 46. Localized/specializedRisk: lowIntelligence level of this strategy: kinda smartImpact: play to strengths of local system.Community. Retain local presence. Brandloyalty
    47. 47. Partnership modelRisk: mediumIntelligence level of this strategy: kinda smartImpact: Employment-focused. Politicallyrelevant. Learner interest is high.
    48. 48. Net ModelRisk: High (short term). Low (long term)Intelligence level of this strategy: smartImpact: Expensive. Analytics-driven. Culturalshift needed. Risk of moving too early.University as new integrator. Branddevelopment
    49. 49. EdTech Innovation Conference Calgary, May 1-3, 2013 www.edinnovation.ca
    50. 50. Twitter/Gmail: gsiemens
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