1. H1N1: The Swine Flu Tyler Lewis Sarah Delaney Ryan Clifford Kevin Gerhart Frank Castronovo Pat Lynch
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3. Swine Flu Damages in Mexico 3 month span 63,479 infected with swine flu 1-63 died from the flu Of those aged 70 and older who got sick, 10.3 percent died. Pregnant women made up 6% of the deaths in Mexico. That rate is a bit lower than in the United States (8%) over the same time period.
4. Swine Flu Damages in U.S. U.S. had 22 Million infected 4,000 Americans died ¾ of deaths have been from 18-64 540 teenagers, children and babies died 10% swine flu deaths were amongst elderly 98% of H1N1 related hospitalizations Concerned- 59% Not concerned- 41%
5. Our Main Research Hypothesis Students in the surrounding Wilkes-Barre area are not taking necessary precautions to prevent obtaining the swine flu. We surveyed at: Wilkes Misericordia Kings
6. Predictions We predicted that the majority of the people surveyed would know of the swine flu, but not the symptoms of it. We also predicted that people would not take drastic measures to prevent contraction of the swine flu.
7. Data Sampling Sample Size: 60 students from 3 colleges (Wilkes, Kings, Misericordia) Paper Surveys Random sampling
9. Questions Asked (Demographics) What is your gender? What is your age? Where do you attend school? (If in college) What is your major?
10. Questions Asked (Opinions) Are you aware of the risk of Swine Flu? (circle all you are aware of) Swine Flu, like other viruses, can be contracted by touching objects contaminated by viruses. Respiratory failure and death Fever, cough, sore throat, and fatigue
11. Confidence Interval Question 1 Are you aware of the risk of Swine Flu? We looked at the average (mean) number of people who were aware of at least 2/3 of the risks associated with swine flu
12. Confidence Interval for the mean Risk of Swine Flu point estimate 0.73 critical measure 1.96 standard error 0.03 upper limit 0.80 lower limit 0.67
13. Confidence Interval Question 2 Are you aware of the risk of Swine Flu? How many people surveyed were aware that the swine flu could result in respiratory failure and death?
14. Confidence Interval for the proportion Respiratory Failure & Death sample proportion 0.58 sample size 60 critical measure 1.96 standard error 0.06 upper limit 0.71 lower limit 0.46
15. Questions Asked (Opinions) 2. Are you aware of the precautions that you can take to prevent swine flu?(circle all you are aware of) Always cover your mouth and nose when coughing or sneezing Ideally use something disposable, like tissue, when coughing or sneezing Wash your hands frequently with soap and water If you start feeling ill with cold or flu-like symptoms, do not got to work or school Vaccination via shot/nasal spray
16. 1 Sample Hypothesis Test Are you aware of the precautions that you can take to prevent swine flu? We considered at least three of the five options given, to be aware of the precautions
17. 1 Sample Hypothesis Test Results Are more than half of the people surveyed aware of the precautions you can take to prevent swine flu? NULL: p =< Half Not more than half of the people surveyed are aware of the precautions you can take to prevent swine flu. ALTERNATIVE: p > Half More than half of the people surveyed are aware of the precautions you can take to prevent swine flu.
18. 1 Sample Hypothesis Test Results test statistic (obs) 38.0 critical measure 0.829 obs > critical? TRUE p-value 0.0000 a-level 0.05 p-value < a-level? TRUE Reject the null. More than half of the people surveyed are aware of the precautions you can take to prevent swine flu.
19. Questions Asked (Behavior) 3. How often do you wash your hands? Never Once a day 2-3 times a day 4-5 times a day 6 or more times a day
20. 2 Sample Hypothesis Test #1 How often do you wash your hands? We based our 2 sample hypothesis test off of gender. In this instance we used 2-3 times a day as our testing point.
21. 2 Sample Hypothesis Test Results Are females more likely than males to wash their hands at least 2-3 times a day? NULL: p2 > p1 Females wash their hands more than males ALTERNATIVE: p2 <= p1 Females do not wash their hands more than males
22. 2 Sample Hypothesis Test Results test statistic (obs) 2.340 critical measure 1.645 obs > critical? YES p-value 0.01 a-level 0.05 p-value < a-level YES Reject the Null. Females do not wash their hands more than males 2-3 times a day.
23. Questions Asked (Behavior) 4. What do you do when you cough/sneeze? Just let it out Cover your mouth or nose with hand Use a tissue Use your arm/sleeve to cover
25. 1 Sample Hypothesis Test #2 What do you do when you cough/sneeze? We based our test off of the people who “just let it out” and do not cover their mouths at all.
26. 1 Sample Hypothesis Test #2 Are there people that do not cover their mouths when sneezing? NULL: m<= 60 People do not cover their mouths ALTERNATIVE: m > 60 People do cover their mouths
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28. 2 Sample Hypothesis Test #2 How often do you attend social events/settings (ex. The bar, parties, sporting events, etc.?) We based our 2 sample hypothesis test according to Wilkes and Misericordia. In this instance we used 1-3 times a week as our testing point.
29. 2 Sample Hypothesis Test #2 Are Wilkes students more at risk of the swine flu by attending social events 1-3 times a week than Misericordia students? NULL: p1 <= p2 Wilkes students are not at more of a risk ALTERNATIVE: p1 > p2 Wilkes students are at more of a risk
34. 2 Sample Hypothesis Test #3 What measure would you take to prevent contraction of the Swine Flu? Based on the vaccination via shot/nasal spray we based our hypothesis on the age and how willing people are to getting the vaccination
35. 2 Sample Hypothesis Test #3 Does age affect the number of people willing to get a vaccination shot? NULL: m1 = m2 age does not affect the willingness to get the vaccination ALTERNATIVE: m1 < > m2 age does affect the willingness to get the vaccination
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37. Results/Conclusion We predicted that the majority of the people surveyed would know of the swine flu, but not the symptoms of it. More than half of the people surveyed are aware of the precautions you can take to prevent swine flu. 73% of the people surveyed are aware of the risks of swine flu. 58% said they do know that the swine flu can cause respiratory failure and death.
38. Results/Conclusion We predicted people would not take drastic measures to prevent contraction of the swine flu. Overall students would rather wash their hands first before receiving education and vaccinations therefore; no they would not take drastic measures to prevent contraction of the swine flu. However, people are still aware they have the option to get the vaccination shot