Assessment of drought impact on forest ecosystems

1. Integrated Drought Management in
Central and Eastern Europe
Activity 5.2. Assessment of drought impact
on forest ecosystems
1 IDMP workshop, Slovakia, 15 October 2013

2. Main outputs:
• Establishment of methodology for assessment of drought impact on
forest ecosystems
• Determination of vulnerability forest zones in contemporary climate
(1960-1991), 2050 (realistic scenario) and 2100 (optimistic, realistic
and pessimistic scenarios) in Bulgaria, Lithuania, Slovakia and
Ukraine
• Remedial measures for the forest ecosystems to mitigate negative
effects of the drought
• Raising policy makers and public awareness in 4 GWP CEE
countries with forests area 35% of total regional forests
Form: Guideline for GWP CEE countries for elaboration of
actions plans to mitigate negative effects of the drought, CD,
round table discussions, presentations at water/forest forums,
publications in scientific and popular magazines etc.

3. Activity Working Group 5.2 consists of following members:
– Partner 1: GWP Bulgaria
– Partner 2: GWP Lithuania
– Partner 3: Slovenian Forestry Institute, Department for Forest Ecology
– Partner 4: GWP Ukraine
Activity leader: Dr. Galia Bardaska
National activity leaders, responsible for technical issues:
• Vesselin Alexandrov (BG) (vesselin.alexandrof@gmail.com)
• Gintautas Stankūnavičius (LT) (gintas.stankunavicius@gf.vu.lt)
• Urša Vilhar (SI)(ursa.vilhar@gozdis.si)
• Igor Buksha (UA) (buksha@ukr.net)
Organization and dissemination of the results by CWP chairs:
• Ivan Raev (bwp@dir.bg)
• Bernardas Paukstys (bernardas@iti.lt)
• Martina Zupan (martina.zupan@siol.net)
• Anna Tsvietkova (Atsvet@mama-86.org.ua)

4. Steps for implementation of the activity:
April-June 2013 (out of agreement): Kick-off meeting of the experts in Kiev
for clarification of the activities and responsibility of each country. Common
work of all team experts on final content of the forest case study and time
schedule
July – September 2013: Forest policy at UN, EU and national level and
general information about forest ecosystems – Joint report for 4 GWP CEE
countries
October – December 2013: Development and approval of methodologies
about climate change scenarios in 2050 (realistic) and 2100 (optimistic,
realistic and pessimistic) and vulnerability zones of forests ecosystems in
2050 (realistic scenario) and 2100 (optimistic, realistic and pessimistic
scenario)
January – March 2014: Elaboration of maps for current climate (1961-1990),
realistic scenario in 2050 and optimistic, realistic and pessimistic scenarios
in 2100 in Bulgaria, Lithuania, Slovenia and pilot area in Ukraine
April – June 2014: Determination of vulnerability zones of forest ecosystems
for realistic scenario in 2050 and optimistic, realistic and pessimistic
scenarios in 2100

5. Forest policy at UN, EU and national level and
general information about forest ecosystems
Joint report on Topic 1 and 2 – G. Bardarska and national experts
National experts on Topic 1 and 2
Bulgaria
prof. Ivan Raev,
bwp@dir.bg
Slovenia
Dr. Aleksander Marinšek,
aleksander.marinsek@gozdis.si
Lithuania
Mr. Povilas Zemaitis,
povilaszemaitis@gmail.com
Ukraine
Dr. Igor Buksha,
buksha@ukr.net

6. Development and approval of methodologies about climate
change scenarios in 2050 (realistic) and 2100 (optimistic,
realistic and pessimistic) and vulnerability zones of forests
ecosystems in 2050 (realistic scenario) and 2013 (optimistic,
Kick-off meeting on October 15, 2100
realistic and pessimistic scenario)
Bulgaria
Lithuania
Vesselin Alexandrov
Gintautas Stankūnavičius
Galia Bardarska
Bernardas Paukstys
Slovenia
Martina Zupan
Zabina Bokal
Ukraine
Igor Buksha
Anna Tsvetkova