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MANAGING POLITICAL
RISK, GOVERNMENT
RELATIONS, AND
ALLIANCES–CHAPTER 10
Alex, Hailey, and Alyssa
BusinessWeek
   Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc.
     Bought rights to Grasberg
     90% revenues
     Much unrest: Papuan rebels, environmental risks,
      governmental complications
     High political risk
       Government’s  right to its own natural resources
       Riots and blockades by locals for a share of the wealth

   This is a high-risk company
   If Freeport diversified, it would rank higher on
    S&P and its stocks would sell higher
Political Risk
   Unstable governments threaten MNCs
   Changing policies can constrain MNCs’ trade
    and investments
     China joined WTO, limited policies, deterred
     future trade and investments
   MNCs adjust practices/policies accordingly
     Potential   problems not understanding new
     policies
   Many government changes after 9/11 and
    MNCs are not as willing to invest in the Middle
    East
Macro and Micro Analysis of
              Political Risk
   Macro Political Risk – major political decisions
    that affect all MNCs
     China’sforeign trade policy changes affected all
      business in the country
   Micro Political Risk – political decisions having
    a narrower scope, affecting segments of
    MNCs
     China’s policy revision in telecommunication
      affected only a sector of the business economy
Macro Political Risk

   What kind of countries make macro level
    decisions?
     Economically  unstable countries
     Transition economies

     Corrupt governments – make legal business hard

   Macro politics can really hinder MNCs
    productivity
     Unable to react to counterfeit operations because
     of macro political policies that make the process
     not worth the fight. MNCs have to get creative.
       Indian   counterfeit operation stopped by new
??Questions??
   Is it worth the risk to acquire foreign
    investments in up and coming economies such
    as Russia, India, and China knowing that this
    puts your MNC at higher risk for macro political
    problems?
   What are 3 types of political risk that an MNCs
    entering Russia or France would face?
     How  are these countries’ political risks
      similar/different?
Ranking of Countries’
Corruption




     In the book, the US is ranked 20th out of 85
     nations. We don’t have a perfect business
     environment. Germany and Hong Kong beat us
     out.
Micro Political Risk
   Often industry taxes, restrictive local laws
   Not only policies or laws, but actions as well
     Dumping   only affected steel industry
   Problem? Some MNCs are treated differently
    than others in the same country
   Examples
     EU has stopped mergers to prevent monopolies
     South American government is currently
      encouraging exports and discouraging imports.
      Hurts some MNCs
Terrorism and Its Overseas
Expansion
   Terrorism- violence or force used to promote
    political or social views
       ultimate goal-government and citizens change policies
        and yield to terrorists’ beliefs

    Types of Terrorism:
    1. classic
    2. amateur
    3. religiously motivated


        effects on MNC
Expropriation Risk
   Expropriation- business seizes host country
    and provides little compensation
   Indigenization laws- required nationals to hold
    a majority interest in an operation
     likely   in non-Western countries
   strategies to minimize expropriation
   operational profitability
Managing Political Risk
   Comprehensive framework- considers and
    identifies all political risks

   Political risks
    1.   transfer
    2.   operational
    3.   ownership-control
   General nature of investment
    1.   conglomerate
    2.   vertical
    3.   horizontal

    3 sectors of economic activity
    1. primary

    2. industrial

    3. service
Techniques
    3 strategies:
1.    relative bargaining power analysis
2.    integrative, protective, and defensive
      techniques
3.    proactive political strategies
Relative Bargaining Power
Analysis
   MNC bargaining power stronger than host
     ex.   technology
   depends on many factors
     perception   of MNC
Integrative, Protective, and
Defensive Techniques
   Integrative techniques
     enable the overseas operation to become a part
     of the host country’s infrastructure
   Protective and defensive techniques
     discourage  host government interference
     more likely to be used by companies
       ex.   Microsoft technology
Political Decisions Affecting MNCs


   How can MNCs respond to unpredictable
    government decisions?
   Proactive Political Strategies:
•   Lobbying, campaign financing, advocacy, and other
    political interventions designed to shape and influence
    the political decisions prior to their impact on the firm.
•   They are designed to develop and maintain ongoing
    favorable relationships with government policy makers
    as a tool to mitigate risk before it becomes
    unmanageable.
Managing Alliances

   Another dimension of management strategy related to
    political risk and government relations is managing
    relationships with alliance partners.
   Example:
       Motorola in China has many alliances with state-owned
        enterprises, like its joint venture with Nanjing Panda
        Electronics to produce a personal computer. The heart of the
        computer will be Motorola's Power PC Chip.
Primary factors motivating firms to
enter into International Strategic
Alliances:

•   Faster entry and payback
•   Economies of scale and rationalization
•   Complementary technologies and patents
•   Co-opting or blocking competition
   A fundamental challenge of alliances is managing operations with
    partners from different national cultures. Cultural differences create
    uncertainties and misunderstandings in the relationship.
   Can you think of any Misunderstandings a business might have with
    its international alliance?
   Partner selection and task selection criteria have
    been identified as critical variables that influence
    alliance success or failure
The Role of Host Governments in
Alliances

   Host Governments are active in mandating
    that investors take on partners, and these
    mandates can pose managerial and
    operational challenges for MNCs
   When host governments do not require
    alliances or joint venture as a condition for
    entry, many MNCs find that having alliances or
    joint venture partners is an advantageous.
    Established alliances with local partners
    primarily gain market access and contend with
    local regulations.
Starbucks Coffee & Beijing Mei Da
Coffee Company working together.

   The Joint venture is focusing on the training of the local managers.
    Recruits are sent to Washington to learn how to make various types of
    Starbucks Coffee..
•   “People don’t go to Starbucks for the coffee but for the experience”




   MNCsare going back and renegotiating old contracts to seek
    improvements.

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Presentation3 - chapter 10

  • 1. MANAGING POLITICAL RISK, GOVERNMENT RELATIONS, AND ALLIANCES–CHAPTER 10 Alex, Hailey, and Alyssa
  • 2. BusinessWeek  Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc.  Bought rights to Grasberg  90% revenues  Much unrest: Papuan rebels, environmental risks, governmental complications  High political risk  Government’s right to its own natural resources  Riots and blockades by locals for a share of the wealth  This is a high-risk company  If Freeport diversified, it would rank higher on S&P and its stocks would sell higher
  • 3. Political Risk  Unstable governments threaten MNCs  Changing policies can constrain MNCs’ trade and investments  China joined WTO, limited policies, deterred future trade and investments  MNCs adjust practices/policies accordingly  Potential problems not understanding new policies  Many government changes after 9/11 and MNCs are not as willing to invest in the Middle East
  • 4. Macro and Micro Analysis of Political Risk  Macro Political Risk – major political decisions that affect all MNCs  China’sforeign trade policy changes affected all business in the country  Micro Political Risk – political decisions having a narrower scope, affecting segments of MNCs  China’s policy revision in telecommunication affected only a sector of the business economy
  • 5. Macro Political Risk  What kind of countries make macro level decisions?  Economically unstable countries  Transition economies  Corrupt governments – make legal business hard  Macro politics can really hinder MNCs productivity  Unable to react to counterfeit operations because of macro political policies that make the process not worth the fight. MNCs have to get creative.  Indian counterfeit operation stopped by new
  • 6. ??Questions??  Is it worth the risk to acquire foreign investments in up and coming economies such as Russia, India, and China knowing that this puts your MNC at higher risk for macro political problems?  What are 3 types of political risk that an MNCs entering Russia or France would face?  How are these countries’ political risks similar/different?
  • 7. Ranking of Countries’ Corruption In the book, the US is ranked 20th out of 85 nations. We don’t have a perfect business environment. Germany and Hong Kong beat us out.
  • 8. Micro Political Risk  Often industry taxes, restrictive local laws  Not only policies or laws, but actions as well  Dumping only affected steel industry  Problem? Some MNCs are treated differently than others in the same country  Examples  EU has stopped mergers to prevent monopolies  South American government is currently encouraging exports and discouraging imports. Hurts some MNCs
  • 9. Terrorism and Its Overseas Expansion  Terrorism- violence or force used to promote political or social views  ultimate goal-government and citizens change policies and yield to terrorists’ beliefs Types of Terrorism: 1. classic 2. amateur 3. religiously motivated  effects on MNC
  • 10. Expropriation Risk  Expropriation- business seizes host country and provides little compensation  Indigenization laws- required nationals to hold a majority interest in an operation  likely in non-Western countries  strategies to minimize expropriation  operational profitability
  • 11. Managing Political Risk  Comprehensive framework- considers and identifies all political risks  Political risks 1. transfer 2. operational 3. ownership-control
  • 12. General nature of investment 1. conglomerate 2. vertical 3. horizontal 3 sectors of economic activity 1. primary 2. industrial 3. service
  • 13. Techniques  3 strategies: 1. relative bargaining power analysis 2. integrative, protective, and defensive techniques 3. proactive political strategies
  • 14. Relative Bargaining Power Analysis  MNC bargaining power stronger than host  ex. technology  depends on many factors  perception of MNC
  • 15. Integrative, Protective, and Defensive Techniques  Integrative techniques  enable the overseas operation to become a part of the host country’s infrastructure  Protective and defensive techniques  discourage host government interference  more likely to be used by companies  ex. Microsoft technology
  • 16. Political Decisions Affecting MNCs  How can MNCs respond to unpredictable government decisions?  Proactive Political Strategies: • Lobbying, campaign financing, advocacy, and other political interventions designed to shape and influence the political decisions prior to their impact on the firm. • They are designed to develop and maintain ongoing favorable relationships with government policy makers as a tool to mitigate risk before it becomes unmanageable.
  • 17. Managing Alliances  Another dimension of management strategy related to political risk and government relations is managing relationships with alliance partners.  Example:  Motorola in China has many alliances with state-owned enterprises, like its joint venture with Nanjing Panda Electronics to produce a personal computer. The heart of the computer will be Motorola's Power PC Chip.
  • 18. Primary factors motivating firms to enter into International Strategic Alliances: • Faster entry and payback • Economies of scale and rationalization • Complementary technologies and patents • Co-opting or blocking competition  A fundamental challenge of alliances is managing operations with partners from different national cultures. Cultural differences create uncertainties and misunderstandings in the relationship.  Can you think of any Misunderstandings a business might have with its international alliance?  Partner selection and task selection criteria have been identified as critical variables that influence alliance success or failure
  • 19. The Role of Host Governments in Alliances  Host Governments are active in mandating that investors take on partners, and these mandates can pose managerial and operational challenges for MNCs  When host governments do not require alliances or joint venture as a condition for entry, many MNCs find that having alliances or joint venture partners is an advantageous. Established alliances with local partners primarily gain market access and contend with local regulations.
  • 20. Starbucks Coffee & Beijing Mei Da Coffee Company working together.  The Joint venture is focusing on the training of the local managers. Recruits are sent to Washington to learn how to make various types of Starbucks Coffee.. • “People don’t go to Starbucks for the coffee but for the experience”  MNCsare going back and renegotiating old contracts to seek improvements.

Notas del editor

  1. Transition economies seem profitable to be a part of before they get their full start up, but they are still very unstable, policies are still changing, political problems still have the potential to arise,