1. CAR: Fragile progress Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR
2. Landlocked in a troubled neighbourhood Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR CAR Rebellion or internal conflict Chad Sudan Cameroon DRC Congo Darfur Gabon Uganda Nigeria
3. Desperately poor… Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Mali Gambia Source: World Bank (2002) Nigeria CAR Niger Burkina Faso 73 Percent of population living on less than one dollar a day 70 67 64 61 61 59 Zambia
4. Getting poorer Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Source: IMF (2007) 1985 1990 2000 2005 Income per head (PPP) grew by less than 10% in CAR, but by 80% in Sub-Saharan Africa 1995 100 +20% GDP growth, Base = 100 (1985) +40% +60% +80% -20% CAR Sub-Saharan Africa
5. Violence in 2006-07 displaced 300,000 out of 4 million Slide Oct-07 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Bangui Vakaga Haute-Kotto Bamingui- Bangoran CHAD SUDAN DARFUR DRC CONGO CAMEROON Nana- Ma mbéré Nana- Gr ébizi 11 % 17 % 18 % 50 22 % 28 8 20 17 6 % 24 10 % 25 45 60 3 IDPs in thousands Ouham- Pend é 3 % of pop. Source: HDPT CAR (October 2007) * Estimated 25,000 pastoralists have been displaced from their territory. Not shown here. Refugees in thousands 35 % Ouham
6. Bandits endanger return and recovery Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR
7. Reaching MDGs an enormous challenge Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR 1985 2000 Source: Human Development Report (2006) 1990 1995 2005 2010 2015 50% 31% 25% 75% MDG 62% 67% Share of people living in poverty unlikely to fall by half * at least $135 million of additional yearly requirements according to Gleneagles scenario Current trend
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11. Drinking water a health hazard Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR WATER
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13. Food security paradox: fertile soils yet malnutrition rife Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR FOOD SECURITY AND AGRICULTURE
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15. Communities resort to bush schools and parent-teachers Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR EDUCATION
16. Three ‘make or break’ issues to enhance stability in 2008 Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Central African people expect government and donors to deliver Inclusive Political Dialogue Security Sector Reform Poverty Reduction Strategy
17. Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Photo Align with top grey line and bottom black bar Inclusive Political Dialogue: consolidating fragile peace
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19. Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Photo Align with top grey line and bottom black bar Security sector reform: governance; stability; safety
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22. Aid effectiveness: getting back on track to reduce poverty Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR
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25. The aid gap is growing: Why is that and what can you do? Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Source: OECD (2007), Development Assistance Disbursements (constant USD), All donors 1985 1990 2000 2005 Development aid to Sub-Saharan Africa rose by 87% since 1985, but fell by 49% for CAR 1995 100 -20% +40% +60% -80% ODA Growth, Base = 100 (1985) -60% -40% +20% +80% +100% CAR Sub-Saharan Africa
26. Because of political instability? Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR CAR scores -1.69 on the World Bank’s political instability index Rwanda Angola Central African Republic Chad South Africa Nigeria Sudan -2.5 Congo, Dem. Republic of Somalia 0 -1.0 1.0 2.5 Uganda Cote d’Ivoire Source: World Bank (2007), Worldwide Governance Indicators, Selection
27. Because of a lack of strategic natural resources? Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Bangui Chad Sudan Darfur DRC Congo Cameroon Timber Diamonds Uranium Gold
28. Because of corruption? Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR CAR scores -1.06 on the World Bank’s corruption control index Rwanda Ethiopia Central African Republic Sudan South Africa Angola Nigeria -2.5 Source: World Bank (2007), Worldwide Governance Indicators, Selection Congo, Dem. Republic of Somalia 0 -1.0 1.0 2.5 Uganda Chad
29. Because of an overly repressive regime? Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR CAR scores -1.06 on the World Bank’s voice and accountability index Uganda Central African Republic Rwanda Nigeria South Africa Chad Congo, Dem. Republic of -2.5 Sudan Somalia 0 -1.0 1.0 2.5 Ethiopia Zimbabwe Source: World Bank (2007), Worldwide Governance Indicators, Selection