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CAR: Fragile progress Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR
Landlocked in a troubled neighbourhood Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR CAR Rebellion or internal conflict Chad Sudan Cameroon DRC Congo Darfur Gabon Uganda Nigeria
Desperately poor… Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Mali Gambia Source: World Bank (2002) Nigeria CAR Niger Burkina Faso 73 Percent of population living on less than one dollar a day 70 67 64 61 61 59 Zambia
Getting poorer Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Source: IMF (2007) 1985 1990 2000 2005 Income per head (PPP) grew by less than 10% in CAR, but by 80% in Sub-Saharan Africa 1995 100 +20% GDP growth, Base = 100 (1985) +40% +60% +80% -20% CAR Sub-Saharan Africa
Violence in 2006-07 displaced 300,000 out of 4 million Slide  Oct-07 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Bangui Vakaga Haute-Kotto Bamingui- Bangoran CHAD SUDAN DARFUR DRC CONGO CAMEROON Nana- Ma mbéré Nana- Gr ébizi 11 % 17 % 18 % 50 22 % 28 8 20 17 6 % 24 10 % 25 45 60 3 IDPs in thousands Ouham- Pend é 3 % of pop. Source: HDPT CAR (October 2007) * Estimated 25,000 pastoralists have been displaced from their territory. Not shown here. Refugees in thousands 35 % Ouham
Bandits endanger return and recovery Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR
Reaching MDGs an enormous challenge Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR 1985 2000 Source: Human Development Report (2006) 1990 1995 2005 2010 2015 50% 31% 25% 75% MDG 62% 67% Share of people living in poverty unlikely to fall by half * at least $135 million of additional yearly requirements according to Gleneagles scenario Current trend
Shattered health system struggles to cope with epidemics Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Health quick facts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],HEALTH Epidemics and disease outbreaks 2007/08 Source: Govt. Briefing Paper, (www.car-conference.net), UNFPA (2007), MICS (2006) Meningitis in Kaga-Bandoro Hepatitis in Basse-Kotto Polio in Bangui Hepatitis in Ombella-Mpoko Yellow fever in Ouham-Pendé Typhoid *  in Nana-Mambéré * disease outbreak, not officially declared an epidemic
And with HIV/AIDS Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR The highest prevalence rate in the region ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],HEALTH HIV/AIDS prevalence by prefecture in % Nana-Gribizi Bangui Haute-Kotto Ombella-M’Poko Mambéré-Kadéï Total Haut-Mbomou Bamingui-Bangoran Top 7 regions by total Men Women 13.6 10.7 4.1 2.6 3.1 7.2 6.9 6.3 7.8 3.6 3.1 3.2 7.4 4.2 7.3 6.4 4.5 3.2 6.0 4.9 5.1 13.8 7.4 7.3 7.2 10.7 8.4 7.8 13.6 8.3 9.8 10.6 15.1 11.4 10.3 13.5 Source: Govt. Briefing Paper, (www.car-conference.net), UNFPA (2007), MICS (2006) 8.4
3 out of 4 million cannot access safe drinking water Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Water and sanitation quick facts % of pop. using improved sanitation (HDI bottom 10) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],WATER Source: UN (2007) Suivi des OMD en RCA, UNDP HDR 2007/08  Guinea-B. Mali Sierra L. Mozambique DRC CAR Burkina F. Niger Ethiopia Source: UNDP HDR 2007/08  Chad 35 46 39 32 30 27 13 13 13 9
Drinking water a health hazard Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR WATER
Agriculture in disarray Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Food security and agriculture quick facts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Children suffer: severely retarded growth Source: Govt. Briefing Paper on Rural Development (www.car-conference.net), MICS Source: MICS-3, WHO (2007) Months 9 18 30 42 30% 15% 10% 54 20% 25% 5% FOOD SECURITY AND AGRICULTURE
Food security paradox: fertile soils yet malnutrition rife Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR FOOD SECURITY AND AGRICULTURE
One of the world’s weakest educational systems Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Education quick facts Pupils per teacher in Sub-Saharan Africa ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],EDUCATION 92 72 66 63 62 CAR Congo Ethiopia Mozam. Chad Rwanda 83 80 60 40 20 Source: Govt. Briefing Paper on Education (www.car-conference.net) Source: UNESCO (2005), Pupil-teacher ratio in primary education (X:1) 100
Communities resort to bush schools and parent-teachers  Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR EDUCATION
Three ‘make or break’ issues to enhance stability in 2008 Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Central African people expect government and donors to deliver Inclusive  Political Dialogue Security Sector Reform Poverty  Reduction  Strategy
Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Photo Align with top grey line and bottom black bar Inclusive Political Dialogue: consolidating fragile peace
Inclusive Political Dialogue: consolidating fragile peace ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Slide  Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR 06/03/09 Timeline of peace agreements A truly inclusive political dialogue ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Photo Align with top grey line and bottom black bar Security sector reform: governance; stability; safety
Security and development for a resilient state ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Slide  Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR 06/03/09 Dire state of security services in CAR Security sector reform (SSR) elements  Police and  Paramilitary forces Army and Gendarmerie Customs Justice  system Public  Finances Good Governance SSR
Progress on Security Sector Reform ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Slide  Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR 06/03/09 A gateway to stability Need for action ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Aid effectiveness: getting back on track to reduce poverty Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR
Aid effectiveness: getting back on track to reduce poverty ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Slide  Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR 06/03/09 Key steps towards aid effectiveness Paris Declaration Principles in CAR ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (PRSP) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Slide  Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR 06/03/09 An inclusive strategy for development High stakes for government and donors ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The aid gap is growing: Why is that and what can you do? Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Source: OECD (2007), Development Assistance Disbursements (constant USD), All donors 1985 1990 2000 2005 Development aid to Sub-Saharan Africa rose by 87% since 1985, but fell by 49% for CAR 1995 100 -20% +40% +60% -80% ODA Growth, Base = 100 (1985) -60% -40% +20% +80% +100% CAR Sub-Saharan Africa
Because of political instability? Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR CAR scores -1.69 on the World Bank’s political instability index Rwanda Angola Central African Republic Chad South Africa Nigeria Sudan -2.5 Congo, Dem. Republic of Somalia 0 -1.0 1.0 2.5 Uganda Cote d’Ivoire Source: World Bank (2007), Worldwide Governance Indicators, Selection
Because of a lack of strategic natural resources? Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Bangui Chad Sudan Darfur DRC Congo Cameroon Timber Diamonds Uranium Gold
Because of corruption? Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR CAR scores -1.06 on the World Bank’s corruption control index Rwanda Ethiopia Central African Republic Sudan South Africa Angola Nigeria -2.5 Source: World Bank (2007), Worldwide Governance Indicators, Selection Congo, Dem. Republic of Somalia 0 -1.0 1.0 2.5 Uganda Chad
Because of an overly repressive regime? Slide  06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR CAR scores -1.06 on the World Bank’s voice and accountability index Uganda Central African Republic Rwanda Nigeria South Africa Chad Congo, Dem. Republic of -2.5 Sudan Somalia 0 -1.0 1.0 2.5 Ethiopia Zimbabwe Source: World Bank (2007), Worldwide Governance Indicators, Selection

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CAR: Fragile progress

  • 1. CAR: Fragile progress Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR
  • 2. Landlocked in a troubled neighbourhood Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR CAR Rebellion or internal conflict Chad Sudan Cameroon DRC Congo Darfur Gabon Uganda Nigeria
  • 3. Desperately poor… Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Mali Gambia Source: World Bank (2002) Nigeria CAR Niger Burkina Faso 73 Percent of population living on less than one dollar a day 70 67 64 61 61 59 Zambia
  • 4. Getting poorer Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Source: IMF (2007) 1985 1990 2000 2005 Income per head (PPP) grew by less than 10% in CAR, but by 80% in Sub-Saharan Africa 1995 100 +20% GDP growth, Base = 100 (1985) +40% +60% +80% -20% CAR Sub-Saharan Africa
  • 5. Violence in 2006-07 displaced 300,000 out of 4 million Slide Oct-07 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Bangui Vakaga Haute-Kotto Bamingui- Bangoran CHAD SUDAN DARFUR DRC CONGO CAMEROON Nana- Ma mbéré Nana- Gr ébizi 11 % 17 % 18 % 50 22 % 28 8 20 17 6 % 24 10 % 25 45 60 3 IDPs in thousands Ouham- Pend é 3 % of pop. Source: HDPT CAR (October 2007) * Estimated 25,000 pastoralists have been displaced from their territory. Not shown here. Refugees in thousands 35 % Ouham
  • 6. Bandits endanger return and recovery Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR
  • 7. Reaching MDGs an enormous challenge Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR 1985 2000 Source: Human Development Report (2006) 1990 1995 2005 2010 2015 50% 31% 25% 75% MDG 62% 67% Share of people living in poverty unlikely to fall by half * at least $135 million of additional yearly requirements according to Gleneagles scenario Current trend
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. Drinking water a health hazard Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR WATER
  • 12.
  • 13. Food security paradox: fertile soils yet malnutrition rife Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR FOOD SECURITY AND AGRICULTURE
  • 14.
  • 15. Communities resort to bush schools and parent-teachers Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR EDUCATION
  • 16. Three ‘make or break’ issues to enhance stability in 2008 Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Central African people expect government and donors to deliver Inclusive Political Dialogue Security Sector Reform Poverty Reduction Strategy
  • 17. Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Photo Align with top grey line and bottom black bar Inclusive Political Dialogue: consolidating fragile peace
  • 18.
  • 19. Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Photo Align with top grey line and bottom black bar Security sector reform: governance; stability; safety
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22. Aid effectiveness: getting back on track to reduce poverty Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25. The aid gap is growing: Why is that and what can you do? Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Source: OECD (2007), Development Assistance Disbursements (constant USD), All donors 1985 1990 2000 2005 Development aid to Sub-Saharan Africa rose by 87% since 1985, but fell by 49% for CAR 1995 100 -20% +40% +60% -80% ODA Growth, Base = 100 (1985) -60% -40% +20% +80% +100% CAR Sub-Saharan Africa
  • 26. Because of political instability? Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR CAR scores -1.69 on the World Bank’s political instability index Rwanda Angola Central African Republic Chad South Africa Nigeria Sudan -2.5 Congo, Dem. Republic of Somalia 0 -1.0 1.0 2.5 Uganda Cote d’Ivoire Source: World Bank (2007), Worldwide Governance Indicators, Selection
  • 27. Because of a lack of strategic natural resources? Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR Bangui Chad Sudan Darfur DRC Congo Cameroon Timber Diamonds Uranium Gold
  • 28. Because of corruption? Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR CAR scores -1.06 on the World Bank’s corruption control index Rwanda Ethiopia Central African Republic Sudan South Africa Angola Nigeria -2.5 Source: World Bank (2007), Worldwide Governance Indicators, Selection Congo, Dem. Republic of Somalia 0 -1.0 1.0 2.5 Uganda Chad
  • 29. Because of an overly repressive regime? Slide 06/03/09 Humanitarian and Development Partnership Team CAR CAR scores -1.06 on the World Bank’s voice and accountability index Uganda Central African Republic Rwanda Nigeria South Africa Chad Congo, Dem. Republic of -2.5 Sudan Somalia 0 -1.0 1.0 2.5 Ethiopia Zimbabwe Source: World Bank (2007), Worldwide Governance Indicators, Selection

Notas del editor

  1. Handout Printed 06/03/09 13:08 Page