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The San Francisco Perspective:
  Combination Prevention
        Technologies
                        Israel Nieves-Rivera
          Director, Community Engagement and Policy Unit
                       HIV Prevention Section

 Manager, Office of the Director of Population Health and Prevention
             San Francisco Department of Public Health

                       SYNChronicity Meeting
                           Arlington, VA
                           April 20, 2012
IN 2006 THE HEADLINES SAID:



 “Pluto Not a Planet,
 Astronomers Rule”
REACTIONS TO THE INFORMATION!




                                3
CITY AND COUNTY OF SAN FRANCISCO
                             DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC HEALTH
                                                (PARTIAL ORGANIZATIONAL CHART)

                                                          Director of Health
                                                          PCSI Co-Champion



 Jail Health    SF General Hospital       Community Health                                         Population Health &
                                             Programs                                            Prevention-Health Officer
                                                                                                    PCSI Co-Champion
Forensic AIDS   Hospital Based Health           Maternal, Child &
   Project             Centers                  Adolescent Health
                                                                                   Community Health
                                                                                                                   STD Prevention & Control
                                               HIV Health Services              Promotion & Prevention
                 UCSF Partnership            (Ryan White Programs)
                PHP Clinic (ward 86)
                                                                                                                      Tuberculosis Control
                                                                               Public Health Preparedness
                                             Community Health Care
                                                                                       & Response
                  UCSF Partnership
                     Parnasus                 Community Oriented                                                    Communicable Disease
                                              Primary Care (COPC)                                                    Control & Prevention

                                                                                Environmental Health &
                                             Includes 15 clinics where
                                                                                        OSH
                                             primary care is provided                                                   HIV Prevention
                    SF Community Clinic            by the health
                        Consortium                 department
                                                                                Public Health Laboratory
                                                                                                                       HIV Epidemiology


                                                                                  Emergency Medical
                                                                                      Services                           HIV Research
                                                                                                                                          4
Population Health And Prevention




   SF Health Department and Affiliated Clinics




            SFDPH manages and implements a robust portfolio of HIV research and works in
                                                                                   5
            collaboration with academic, clinical and community partners
SF HAS ALWAYS STRIVED TO CREATE A
                        COMPREHENSIVE RESPONSE TO HIV

•HIV testing                                                                      •Linkage to medical care
•Partner services                                                              •Behavioral Health Services
•STD prevention and treatment                                                        •Home Health Service
•Addressing drivers and co-factors of HIV                                 •Non-medical case management
•Linkage to medical                                                    •Food Bank / Home-delivered meals
•Risk reduction activities                                               •Client Advocacy-related services
•Community mobilization efforts
                                          HIV and STD   HIV Care and       •Emergency financial assistance
•Public information efforts               Prevention      Support                           •Legal services
•Condom distribution                                                                    •Housing services
•Syringe access
                                                          Services                       •Oral health care
•PEP                                                                                   •Outreach services



                                   Surveillance,
                                                        Primary Care
                                    Evaluation
•Core Surveillance                                         and HIV                   •Engagement in care
•Incidence Surveillance                and                                         •Treatment Adherence
                                                         treatment
•Medical Monitoring                  Research                                 •Medical Case management
•NHBS                                                                                              •ADAP
•Vaccine studies                                                                 •Community Health Care
•PrEP research                                                                 •HIV specialty medical care
•HIV drug resistance testing                                                       •Treatment Guidelines
                                                                                              •STD and TB


                                                                                                              6
                                                                                           Source: Nieves-Rivera, 2010
SAN FRANCISCO’S APPROACH TO MAXIMIZING THE
                             CONTINUUM OF PREVENTION, CARE AND TREATMENT

 Primary
                                                   HIV Surveillance
Prevention
  Efforts            Testing                Diagnosis        Primary Care     Treatment
                                                                                                Virologic   HIV
                                                                                               Suppression
• PrEP, PEP,
  condoms,
  syringes                                          Linkage           Engagement    Engagement
• Drivers                                                             / Retention   / Retention
1. Substance
   use
2. Alcohol
3. Meth
4. Crack             Routine                                  Mental Health                Treatment
                                                                                            Adherence
                       Medical                                   Services
5. Poppers
6. STDs, # of          Testing
                                                               Substance Use             Medical Case
   partners                                                      Treatment               Management
                                Linkage
                Community        & Partner                        Housing               ART Guidelines
                  Testing        Services                         Support                  Uptake

                                                                                              STD &
                                                                                               PCSI


         LINCS: Linkage, Navigation                                                      Engagement &
                                                                                        Partner Services


             & Retention Team                                                                                7
UNDERSTAND THE HIV EPIDEMIOLOGY IN
                    YOUR JURISDICTION

• Identify                • Identify the               • Identify the viral
  populations at            underlying                   burden in your
  greatest risk for         conditions that are          jurisdictions
  new infection       +     directly linked to a   +   • Identify
• Populations with          large number of              populations living
  greatest                  new HIV infections           with HIV /AIDS
  disparities               in your                      (PLWHA) with
• Percentage of             jurisdictions                greatest HIV health
  PLWHA that are                                         disparities
  unaware of their
  HIV status



  Identify priority interventions to optimize health outcomes for
                PLWHA and avert new HIV infections                8
GREATEST RISK FOR ACQUISITION OF HIV
    AND UNAWARE OF HIV STATUS
Greatest risk for new infections:
    • There are an estimated 723 new HIV infections per year in SF
    • An estimated 96% of new HIV infections are among males who
      have sex with males (MSM), injection drug users (IDU), and
      transfemales who have sex with males (TFSM)
    • There are very few cases of non-IDU heterosexual HIV

Greatest Disparities:
    • White MSM
    • African American MSM
    • Latino MSM
    • TFSM

Unaware of HIV status:
   • It is estimated that 17% (15%-20%) of San Franciscans are
     unaware of their HIV status
                                          Source: SF HIV Surveillance and HIV Prevention Plan
HIV IS ENDEMIC IN SF

4500
                                          Gay men/MSM: Endemic
4000
3500                                                    Injection drug users: Endemic
3000
2500                                                                         Heterosexuals: Neither
2000                                                                         epidemic nor endemic
1500
1000
 500
   0
       1976
              1978
                     1980
                            1982
                                   1984
                                          1986
                                                 1988
                                                        1990
                                                               1992
                                                                      1994
                                                                              1996
                                                                                     1998
                                                                                            2000
                                                                                                   2002
                                                                                                          2004
                                                                                                                   2006
                                                                                                                          2007
                                                                                                                                 2008
                                                                                                                               10
                                                                                                                 Source: McFarland, 2009
DRIVERS OF HIV IN SF
Driver: An underlying condition that is directly linked to a large
number of new HIV infections in San Francisco

Prevalence of 10% or greater:
    • A driver has at least 10% prevalence among one of the high-
      risk populations where the bulk of new infections occur (MSM,
      IDU, TFSM)

Two-fold increase in risk:
   • A driver is an independent factor for HIV making a person in a
       high-risk population at least twice as likely to contract HIV as
       compared to someone who is not affected by the driver.

Drivers of HIV in SF:
     • Cocaine and crack use             • Popper use
     • Heavy alcohol use                 • Gonorrhea
     • Methamphetamine use               • Multiple partners
                                                         Source: SF HIV Prevention Plan
IDENTIFY THE VIRAL BURDEN
     IN POPULATIONS




                                     12
                       Source: Das, et al. 2010
IDENTIFY SUB-POPULATIONS WITH HIGH
                       VIRAL BURDEN
                      Overall                                           N                   (%)              Mean CVL*
San Francisco                                                     12,512                  (100)                  23,348
           Sub-Populations                                              N                   (%)              Mean CVL*
Transgender                                                           291                    (2)                 64,160
Not on treatment                                                     2924                  (23)                  40,056
Not engaged in care                                                  4637                  (37)                  36,992
MSM-IDU                                                              1791                  (14)                  36,261
IDU                                                                  1011                    (8)                 33,245
Latino                                                               1822                  (15)                  26,744
African-American                                                     1825                  (15)                  26,404
*(p<0.001 by Kruskal-Wallis test) in mean CVL by treatment history, race/ethnicity, age, gender, HIV transmission risk category, insurance
status, and clinical status.
                                                                                                                    Source: Das et al, 2010
KEY ELEMENTS IN SELECTING
                             INTERVENTIONS

Step 1:        Evidence-
                 based
                            + Feasible       +       Scalable     +
                                                      Has shown efficacy
  Cost         Leverage         Maximize                  in reducing
effective          all      +   3rd party      +       acquisition and/or
               resources         payer                transmission of HIV

   Identify priority interventions to optimize health outcomes for
                   PLWHA and avert new HIV infections


Step 2:       Identified        Compare to data                   Allocate
            interventions       on current efforts               additional
                                and identify gaps               resources to
                                                                           14
                                                                   efforts
SAN FRANCISCO INDICATORS

                            MSM               IDU                                                 TFSM
                          (59,909)          (18,942)                                             (1,064)
                       HIV-     HIV+     HIV-     HIV+                                        HIV-     HIV+
                     (46,244) (13,565) (14,820) (4,122)                                      (659)    (405)

Free Condoms            79%               70%               67%              69%              76%              84%

Free Needles                                                76%              97%
Individual
                        11%               16%               17%              16%              41%              41%
counseling
Group
                         5%               11%                8%              16%              38%              40%
counseling
                                                                                                                     15
        Source: SF National HIV Behavioral Surveillance Project; Transfemale Needs Assessment; and 2011 HIV Consensus Estimates
PREVENTION INDICATORS, 2004-2011
                     49,789
       0.9
                       0.81                           46,101                           46,101
       0.8                                              0.75                            0.75
                            0.78
       0.7
                     37,394
                                                         0.73                            0.72
                                                        34,997                                   34,518
       0.6             0.59

       0.5          28,285                              0.55                            0.58
                                                                                                27,806
       0.4                                            26,368

       0.3

                                                                                       9,834
       0.2                                          8,605                               0.16
                   5,532                                0.14
                       0.09
       0.1
                    0.06                                    0.08 4,917                      0.07
        0                   3,688                                                                  4,302
                       MSM1                            MSM2                             MSM3
             Free Condoms      Individual Session    Group Session       NP Test p6m    NP Test p12m

# of men reached red= all MSM, blue all non-HIV+ MSM, Population denominator based on
                                                                                                   16
mean estimate for entire period                       Source: SF National HIV Behavioral Surveillance Project
SAN FRANCISCO INDICATORS

Parameters                                                                             2004-5 (%)                    2008-9 (%)
Among MSM, HIV Test in Last 12 mos.                                                           65                             71
Among TFSM, HIV Test in Last 12 mos.                                                         NA                        61 (2010)
HIV-Positive People Unaware of Status                                                         24                      17 (15-20)

                                                                         % NOT tested past                    Testing deficit, 6
Populations                            At risk pop. size*
                                                                         6 mos.**                             mos.
MSM                                             46,244                                54%                               24,972
IDU                                             15,020                                58%                                8,712
TFSM                                               659                                63%                                  415

Min. total additional tests needed every 6 months                                                                      34,099
                                                                                                                                        17
   Source: SF National HIV Behavioral Surveillance Project; Transfemale Needs Assessment; and 2011 HIV Consensus Estimates: and SF HIV Surveillance
SAN FRANCISCO INDICATORS



                   2009                  2010                     Total
               3M         6M        3M         6M            3M           6M
Total        112(89%) 117 (93%) 131 (92%) 135 (95%) 243 (91%) 252 (94%)


New HIV+     50 (93%)   51 (94%)   57 (95%)   58 (97%) 107(94%) 109(96%)

Known HIV+   62 (86%)   66 (92%)   74 (90%)   77(94%) 136 (88%) 143 (93%)

                                                                             18
                                              Source: HIV Epidemiology Section, SFDPH
SAN FRANCISCO INDICATORS



               2007                    2008                      2009
          3M          6M          3M          6M           3M            6M
Total   142 (65%)   160 (73%)   103 (64%)   116 (68%)    95 (61%)      105 (67%)

New
        128 (65%)   143 (72%)   98 (65%)    109 (73%)    85 (60%)       92 (65%)
HIV+
Known
        14 (64%)    17 (77%)     5 (46%)     7 (64%)     10 (67%)       13 (87%)
HIV+



                                                                               19
                                                Source: HIV Epidemiology Section, SFDPH
MEDIAN COUNT OF INITIAL CD4 COUNT
Populations in US                Median Initial CD4 Cell Counts (cells/μL)
Total                            182
White                            239
Other/Unknown                    180
African American                 175
                                                   Below 350
Hispanic/Latino                  160
Asian/Pacific Islander           225
                    CDC HIV Surveillance Supplemental Report, Volume 16, Number 1

Populations in San Francisco     Median Initial CD4 Cell Counts (cells/μL)
Total                            388
White                            426         Below 500
Other/Unknown                    464
African American                 351
Latino                           328          ~350 or below
Asian/Pacific Islander           319
                                                                           20
                                       SFDPH HIV Epidemiology 2010 Annual Report
MAJOR GAPS IN THE IMPLEMENTATION CASCADE:
   COMPARING US DATA TO SAN FRANCISCO
120%
                                             United States (Gardner, et al. CID 2011)
           100%
100%                                         United States (Cohen, et al. MMWR 2011)
                      79% 80% 80%            San Francisco (SF Dept of Public Health, 2009)*
80%
                                                68%
                                          62%
                                     59%
60%                                                           57%
                                                                                            51%
                                                                                                          47%
                                                      40% 41%
40%                                                                                     36%
                                                                      32%                               28%
                                                                                    24%
                                                                                                    19%
20%

 0%




       * SF data is preliminary – Not for distribution. SFDPH HIV Epidemiology & Surveillance 03/2012
SHOULD AIDS BE RENAMED “ACQUIRED
     INFLAMMATORY DISEASE SYNDROME”?

 •   Untreated HIV disease is associated with
     increased T cell activation/inflammation

 •   Treatment dramatically reduces inflammation

 •   The degree of residual inflammation during
     HAART is determined in part by CD4 nadir
     (strong effect < 200)

THE VIRUS IS MORE TOXIC THAN THE MEDICATIONS
                                                            22
                                      Slide courtesy of Steve Deeks
UNIVERSAL OFFER OF ART ON WARD 86 AND ALL SFDPH
                       COMMUNITY HEALTH CLINICS (2010)


“All patients, regardless of CD4 count, will be evaluated for initiation of
  antiretroviral therapy (ART)... While randomized controlled evidence
 for patients with higher CD4 counts is not yet available, well-designed
  retrospective and cohort studies support benefit in these patients. ”



                                                Decision to start ART made
                                                   by the individual in
                                                  conjunction with their
                                                         provider


                                                                                              23
                                      Modified from slide courtesy of Brad Hare, SFGH Community Forum
THE DATA
2000     IS IN!



2009
2001




       2012   Source: al Sadr CROI 2012
WHERE WE WANT TO BE…
120%
                 and where we are in SF
100%      100%                  100%                  100%                 100%                   100%


                 80%
80%
                                       68%
60%                                                           57%
                                                                                  51%
                                                                                                        47%
40%

20%

 0%
       HIV diagnosis Linked to Care Retained in                             On ART            Undetectable
                                       Care                                                       VL
       * SF data is preliminary – Not for distribution. SFDPH HIV Epidemiology & Surveillance 03/2012
HIV PREVENTION PRIORITIZED
                     STRATEGIES & INTERVENTIONS
      HIV Status            Health Education and          Prevention With
      Awareness               Risk Reduction                 Positives
•   Routine HIV Testing     •   Syringe Access and    •   Treatment Adherence
    in medical settings         Disposal Services     •   Engagement in care
•   Community Based         •   Condom Availability   •   STD, Viral
    HIV Testing (with and       Program                   Hepatitis, and TB
    without pretest         •   Holistic Health           Screening and
    counseling)                 Models                    Treatment
•   Linkage to care         •   Interventions to      •   Disclosure and
•   Partner Services            address drivers of        Partner Services
                                HIV                   •   Linkage to Ancillary
                                                          Services


                                Structural Changes

                                                                             26
                                                          Source: HIV Prevention Plan
BEHAVIORAL CHANGE STILL PLAYS A CRITICAL ROLE
      IN THE COMPREHENSIVE APPROACH




                                         27
METRICS TO EVALUATE SF’s CONTINUUM OF
                      PREVENTION, CARE AND TREATMENT

                                 Time to Virologic Suppression


   Testing          Diagnosis        Primary Care              Treatment  Virologic Suppression

                                 Linkage                 Engagement             Engagement
                                                                                                                       HIV
                                                         / Retention            / Retention
      Primary
    Prevention
       Efforts          CD4                 Linked to             CD4 at ART      Engaged      Virologic        Durable
 • Condoms,            at HIV              Care within             initiation      in Care    Suppression      Virologic
 • Syringes          diagnosis             3 Mo. of Dx                                                        Suppression
 • Reduction in
   drivers of HIV        Time to ART Initiation

NBHS and other
 study results
                                                 Surveillance
   Individual                                                                                               Population
                                                                                                                      28
   Bold and candid conversations are needed at all levels
   Jurisdictions are going to have to make tough choices
   This is not simply about how much more money a
    jurisdiction will need. If you scale one activity up,
    another must be scaled down
   This is not about implementing the same protocols and
    interventions. You will need to identify new models of
    services.
   Jurisdictions are going to have to maximize the use of
    their surveillance and clinical data

“Do the best you can until you know better. Then
when you know better, do better.” Maya Angelou
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
People living with HIV/AIDS in San Francisco




SFDPH                                        UCSF and PHP-Ward 86 at SFGH
Taylor Maturo, Moupali Das, Priscilla Chu,   Diane Havlir, Brad Hare, Steve Deeks,
Glenn-Milo Santos, Susan Scheer, Willi       Diane Jones
McFarland, H. Fisher Raymond, Tracey         White House Office of National AIDS Policy
Packer, Dara Geckeler, Stephanie Cohen,      Greg Millet, Jeff Crowley, Grant Colfax
Nicholas Moss, Noah Carraher, Susan
Philip, Erin Antunez, Tomas Aragon,
Barbara Garcia

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State of the science nieves rivera

  • 1. The San Francisco Perspective: Combination Prevention Technologies Israel Nieves-Rivera Director, Community Engagement and Policy Unit HIV Prevention Section Manager, Office of the Director of Population Health and Prevention San Francisco Department of Public Health SYNChronicity Meeting Arlington, VA April 20, 2012
  • 2. IN 2006 THE HEADLINES SAID: “Pluto Not a Planet, Astronomers Rule”
  • 3. REACTIONS TO THE INFORMATION! 3
  • 4. CITY AND COUNTY OF SAN FRANCISCO DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC HEALTH (PARTIAL ORGANIZATIONAL CHART) Director of Health PCSI Co-Champion Jail Health SF General Hospital Community Health Population Health & Programs Prevention-Health Officer PCSI Co-Champion Forensic AIDS Hospital Based Health Maternal, Child & Project Centers Adolescent Health Community Health STD Prevention & Control HIV Health Services Promotion & Prevention UCSF Partnership (Ryan White Programs) PHP Clinic (ward 86) Tuberculosis Control Public Health Preparedness Community Health Care & Response UCSF Partnership Parnasus Community Oriented Communicable Disease Primary Care (COPC) Control & Prevention Environmental Health & Includes 15 clinics where OSH primary care is provided HIV Prevention SF Community Clinic by the health Consortium department Public Health Laboratory HIV Epidemiology Emergency Medical Services HIV Research 4
  • 5. Population Health And Prevention SF Health Department and Affiliated Clinics SFDPH manages and implements a robust portfolio of HIV research and works in 5 collaboration with academic, clinical and community partners
  • 6. SF HAS ALWAYS STRIVED TO CREATE A COMPREHENSIVE RESPONSE TO HIV •HIV testing •Linkage to medical care •Partner services •Behavioral Health Services •STD prevention and treatment •Home Health Service •Addressing drivers and co-factors of HIV •Non-medical case management •Linkage to medical •Food Bank / Home-delivered meals •Risk reduction activities •Client Advocacy-related services •Community mobilization efforts HIV and STD HIV Care and •Emergency financial assistance •Public information efforts Prevention Support •Legal services •Condom distribution •Housing services •Syringe access Services •Oral health care •PEP •Outreach services Surveillance, Primary Care Evaluation •Core Surveillance and HIV •Engagement in care •Incidence Surveillance and •Treatment Adherence treatment •Medical Monitoring Research •Medical Case management •NHBS •ADAP •Vaccine studies •Community Health Care •PrEP research •HIV specialty medical care •HIV drug resistance testing •Treatment Guidelines •STD and TB 6 Source: Nieves-Rivera, 2010
  • 7. SAN FRANCISCO’S APPROACH TO MAXIMIZING THE CONTINUUM OF PREVENTION, CARE AND TREATMENT Primary HIV Surveillance Prevention Efforts Testing Diagnosis Primary Care Treatment Virologic HIV Suppression • PrEP, PEP, condoms, syringes Linkage Engagement Engagement • Drivers / Retention / Retention 1. Substance use 2. Alcohol 3. Meth 4. Crack Routine Mental Health Treatment Adherence Medical Services 5. Poppers 6. STDs, # of Testing Substance Use Medical Case partners Treatment Management  Linkage Community & Partner Housing ART Guidelines Testing Services Support Uptake STD & PCSI LINCS: Linkage, Navigation Engagement & Partner Services & Retention Team 7
  • 8. UNDERSTAND THE HIV EPIDEMIOLOGY IN YOUR JURISDICTION • Identify • Identify the • Identify the viral populations at underlying burden in your greatest risk for conditions that are jurisdictions new infection + directly linked to a + • Identify • Populations with large number of populations living greatest new HIV infections with HIV /AIDS disparities in your (PLWHA) with • Percentage of jurisdictions greatest HIV health PLWHA that are disparities unaware of their HIV status Identify priority interventions to optimize health outcomes for PLWHA and avert new HIV infections 8
  • 9. GREATEST RISK FOR ACQUISITION OF HIV AND UNAWARE OF HIV STATUS Greatest risk for new infections: • There are an estimated 723 new HIV infections per year in SF • An estimated 96% of new HIV infections are among males who have sex with males (MSM), injection drug users (IDU), and transfemales who have sex with males (TFSM) • There are very few cases of non-IDU heterosexual HIV Greatest Disparities: • White MSM • African American MSM • Latino MSM • TFSM Unaware of HIV status: • It is estimated that 17% (15%-20%) of San Franciscans are unaware of their HIV status Source: SF HIV Surveillance and HIV Prevention Plan
  • 10. HIV IS ENDEMIC IN SF 4500 Gay men/MSM: Endemic 4000 3500 Injection drug users: Endemic 3000 2500 Heterosexuals: Neither 2000 epidemic nor endemic 1500 1000 500 0 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2007 2008 10 Source: McFarland, 2009
  • 11. DRIVERS OF HIV IN SF Driver: An underlying condition that is directly linked to a large number of new HIV infections in San Francisco Prevalence of 10% or greater: • A driver has at least 10% prevalence among one of the high- risk populations where the bulk of new infections occur (MSM, IDU, TFSM) Two-fold increase in risk: • A driver is an independent factor for HIV making a person in a high-risk population at least twice as likely to contract HIV as compared to someone who is not affected by the driver. Drivers of HIV in SF: • Cocaine and crack use • Popper use • Heavy alcohol use • Gonorrhea • Methamphetamine use • Multiple partners Source: SF HIV Prevention Plan
  • 12. IDENTIFY THE VIRAL BURDEN IN POPULATIONS 12 Source: Das, et al. 2010
  • 13. IDENTIFY SUB-POPULATIONS WITH HIGH VIRAL BURDEN Overall N (%) Mean CVL* San Francisco 12,512 (100) 23,348 Sub-Populations N (%) Mean CVL* Transgender 291 (2) 64,160 Not on treatment 2924 (23) 40,056 Not engaged in care 4637 (37) 36,992 MSM-IDU 1791 (14) 36,261 IDU 1011 (8) 33,245 Latino 1822 (15) 26,744 African-American 1825 (15) 26,404 *(p<0.001 by Kruskal-Wallis test) in mean CVL by treatment history, race/ethnicity, age, gender, HIV transmission risk category, insurance status, and clinical status. Source: Das et al, 2010
  • 14. KEY ELEMENTS IN SELECTING INTERVENTIONS Step 1: Evidence- based + Feasible + Scalable + Has shown efficacy Cost Leverage Maximize in reducing effective all + 3rd party + acquisition and/or resources payer transmission of HIV Identify priority interventions to optimize health outcomes for PLWHA and avert new HIV infections Step 2: Identified Compare to data Allocate interventions on current efforts additional and identify gaps resources to 14 efforts
  • 15. SAN FRANCISCO INDICATORS MSM IDU TFSM (59,909) (18,942) (1,064) HIV- HIV+ HIV- HIV+ HIV- HIV+ (46,244) (13,565) (14,820) (4,122) (659) (405) Free Condoms 79% 70% 67% 69% 76% 84% Free Needles 76% 97% Individual 11% 16% 17% 16% 41% 41% counseling Group 5% 11% 8% 16% 38% 40% counseling 15 Source: SF National HIV Behavioral Surveillance Project; Transfemale Needs Assessment; and 2011 HIV Consensus Estimates
  • 16. PREVENTION INDICATORS, 2004-2011 49,789 0.9 0.81 46,101 46,101 0.8 0.75 0.75 0.78 0.7 37,394 0.73 0.72 34,997 34,518 0.6 0.59 0.5 28,285 0.55 0.58 27,806 0.4 26,368 0.3 9,834 0.2 8,605 0.16 5,532 0.14 0.09 0.1 0.06 0.08 4,917 0.07 0 3,688 4,302 MSM1 MSM2 MSM3 Free Condoms Individual Session Group Session NP Test p6m NP Test p12m # of men reached red= all MSM, blue all non-HIV+ MSM, Population denominator based on 16 mean estimate for entire period Source: SF National HIV Behavioral Surveillance Project
  • 17. SAN FRANCISCO INDICATORS Parameters 2004-5 (%) 2008-9 (%) Among MSM, HIV Test in Last 12 mos. 65 71 Among TFSM, HIV Test in Last 12 mos. NA 61 (2010) HIV-Positive People Unaware of Status 24 17 (15-20) % NOT tested past Testing deficit, 6 Populations At risk pop. size* 6 mos.** mos. MSM 46,244 54% 24,972 IDU 15,020 58% 8,712 TFSM 659 63% 415 Min. total additional tests needed every 6 months 34,099 17 Source: SF National HIV Behavioral Surveillance Project; Transfemale Needs Assessment; and 2011 HIV Consensus Estimates: and SF HIV Surveillance
  • 18. SAN FRANCISCO INDICATORS 2009 2010 Total 3M 6M 3M 6M 3M 6M Total 112(89%) 117 (93%) 131 (92%) 135 (95%) 243 (91%) 252 (94%) New HIV+ 50 (93%) 51 (94%) 57 (95%) 58 (97%) 107(94%) 109(96%) Known HIV+ 62 (86%) 66 (92%) 74 (90%) 77(94%) 136 (88%) 143 (93%) 18 Source: HIV Epidemiology Section, SFDPH
  • 19. SAN FRANCISCO INDICATORS 2007 2008 2009 3M 6M 3M 6M 3M 6M Total 142 (65%) 160 (73%) 103 (64%) 116 (68%) 95 (61%) 105 (67%) New 128 (65%) 143 (72%) 98 (65%) 109 (73%) 85 (60%) 92 (65%) HIV+ Known 14 (64%) 17 (77%) 5 (46%) 7 (64%) 10 (67%) 13 (87%) HIV+ 19 Source: HIV Epidemiology Section, SFDPH
  • 20. MEDIAN COUNT OF INITIAL CD4 COUNT Populations in US Median Initial CD4 Cell Counts (cells/μL) Total 182 White 239 Other/Unknown 180 African American 175 Below 350 Hispanic/Latino 160 Asian/Pacific Islander 225 CDC HIV Surveillance Supplemental Report, Volume 16, Number 1 Populations in San Francisco Median Initial CD4 Cell Counts (cells/μL) Total 388 White 426 Below 500 Other/Unknown 464 African American 351 Latino 328 ~350 or below Asian/Pacific Islander 319 20 SFDPH HIV Epidemiology 2010 Annual Report
  • 21. MAJOR GAPS IN THE IMPLEMENTATION CASCADE: COMPARING US DATA TO SAN FRANCISCO 120% United States (Gardner, et al. CID 2011) 100% 100% United States (Cohen, et al. MMWR 2011) 79% 80% 80% San Francisco (SF Dept of Public Health, 2009)* 80% 68% 62% 59% 60% 57% 51% 47% 40% 41% 40% 36% 32% 28% 24% 19% 20% 0% * SF data is preliminary – Not for distribution. SFDPH HIV Epidemiology & Surveillance 03/2012
  • 22. SHOULD AIDS BE RENAMED “ACQUIRED INFLAMMATORY DISEASE SYNDROME”? • Untreated HIV disease is associated with increased T cell activation/inflammation • Treatment dramatically reduces inflammation • The degree of residual inflammation during HAART is determined in part by CD4 nadir (strong effect < 200) THE VIRUS IS MORE TOXIC THAN THE MEDICATIONS 22 Slide courtesy of Steve Deeks
  • 23. UNIVERSAL OFFER OF ART ON WARD 86 AND ALL SFDPH COMMUNITY HEALTH CLINICS (2010) “All patients, regardless of CD4 count, will be evaluated for initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART)... While randomized controlled evidence for patients with higher CD4 counts is not yet available, well-designed retrospective and cohort studies support benefit in these patients. ” Decision to start ART made by the individual in conjunction with their provider 23 Modified from slide courtesy of Brad Hare, SFGH Community Forum
  • 24. THE DATA 2000 IS IN! 2009 2001 2012 Source: al Sadr CROI 2012
  • 25. WHERE WE WANT TO BE… 120% and where we are in SF 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 80% 80% 68% 60% 57% 51% 47% 40% 20% 0% HIV diagnosis Linked to Care Retained in On ART Undetectable Care VL * SF data is preliminary – Not for distribution. SFDPH HIV Epidemiology & Surveillance 03/2012
  • 26. HIV PREVENTION PRIORITIZED STRATEGIES & INTERVENTIONS HIV Status Health Education and Prevention With Awareness Risk Reduction Positives • Routine HIV Testing • Syringe Access and • Treatment Adherence in medical settings Disposal Services • Engagement in care • Community Based • Condom Availability • STD, Viral HIV Testing (with and Program Hepatitis, and TB without pretest • Holistic Health Screening and counseling) Models Treatment • Linkage to care • Interventions to • Disclosure and • Partner Services address drivers of Partner Services HIV • Linkage to Ancillary Services Structural Changes 26 Source: HIV Prevention Plan
  • 27. BEHAVIORAL CHANGE STILL PLAYS A CRITICAL ROLE IN THE COMPREHENSIVE APPROACH 27
  • 28. METRICS TO EVALUATE SF’s CONTINUUM OF PREVENTION, CARE AND TREATMENT Time to Virologic Suppression Testing Diagnosis Primary Care Treatment  Virologic Suppression Linkage Engagement Engagement HIV / Retention / Retention Primary Prevention Efforts CD4 Linked to CD4 at ART Engaged Virologic Durable • Condoms, at HIV Care within initiation in Care Suppression Virologic • Syringes diagnosis 3 Mo. of Dx Suppression • Reduction in drivers of HIV Time to ART Initiation NBHS and other study results Surveillance Individual Population 28
  • 29. Bold and candid conversations are needed at all levels  Jurisdictions are going to have to make tough choices  This is not simply about how much more money a jurisdiction will need. If you scale one activity up, another must be scaled down  This is not about implementing the same protocols and interventions. You will need to identify new models of services.  Jurisdictions are going to have to maximize the use of their surveillance and clinical data “Do the best you can until you know better. Then when you know better, do better.” Maya Angelou
  • 30. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS People living with HIV/AIDS in San Francisco SFDPH UCSF and PHP-Ward 86 at SFGH Taylor Maturo, Moupali Das, Priscilla Chu, Diane Havlir, Brad Hare, Steve Deeks, Glenn-Milo Santos, Susan Scheer, Willi Diane Jones McFarland, H. Fisher Raymond, Tracey White House Office of National AIDS Policy Packer, Dara Geckeler, Stephanie Cohen, Greg Millet, Jeff Crowley, Grant Colfax Nicholas Moss, Noah Carraher, Susan Philip, Erin Antunez, Tomas Aragon, Barbara Garcia

Notas del editor

  1. Public Health AND Health Delivery System AND International Powerhouse of HIV Research
  2. Public Health AND Health Delivery System AND International Powerhouse of HIV Research
  3. Public Health AND Health Delivery System AND International Powerhouse of HIV Research
  4. Public Health AND Health Delivery System AND International Powerhouse of HIV Research
  5. Public Health AND Health Delivery System AND International Powerhouse of HIV Research
  6. Public Health AND Health Delivery System AND International Powerhouse of HIV Research
  7. Public Health AND Health Delivery System AND International Powerhouse of HIV Research
  8. Public Health AND Health Delivery System AND International Powerhouse of HIV Research
  9. Public Health AND Health Delivery System AND International Powerhouse of HIV Research
  10. By the time most ppl are linked to care, the average CD4 cell count in the US is around 200! In SF it’s better at around 400 but we can and must do better. To achieve optimal health outcomes, it is critical that we focus on treatment for treatment’s sake before we talk about treatment as prevention. Once we start having ppl link to care with CD4 cell counts of 500+, then we can focus on TasP.
  11. Nadir predicts both AIDS related and non AIDS related morbiditiesHypothesis :residual inflammation
  12. The data is in- what’s good for the individual is good for the population.
  13. We (collective, not just SF) need to raise the standard and do better at tx for tx sake.
  14. Public Health AND Health Delivery System AND International Powerhouse of HIV Research