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HIMESH PATEL
SUCHIT SHARMA

SHUBHAM PACHAURI
OIL & GAS SUBSIDY FOR THE

POOR.

Oh

Really?
Rural
Urban

PDS
Kerosen Coal
e
1% Others
4%
1%
LPG
9%

Firewoo
d and
Dung
Cake
85%

VS
Coal
2%
PDS
Kerosene
8%

Others
7%

Firewood
and Dung
Cake
21%

Rural
VS
PDS
UrbanKerose
Others
1%

ne
39%

Electri
city
94%

Electrici
ty
60%

LPG
62%

LIQUIFIED PETROLEUM GAS
• In FY 2008, Only 8-9% of the rural population
consume LPG as a primary fuel for cooking Vs
62% in Urban areas.[NSSO 2010]
• LPG, is subsidized to meet the fuel requirements
of the poor but it seems
• 76% of LPG subsidy goes to urban areas and
nearly 40% of the LPG subsidy is enjoyed by the
wealthiest 6.75% of the population.
[Chawla et al.,2005]

• Even in urban areas, subsidy is inefficient and
regressive.

PDS
Kerose
ne
5%

Others
1%

PDS KEROSENE
• It is used primarily for lighting purposes .[NSSO
2010]

• Only 1.3% of rural households used it for
cooking VS 8% of urban households.[NSSO 2010]
• In FY 2008, 39% of Rural households used
KEROSENE as primary fuel for lighting VS
5.1% of Urban. [NSSO 2010]
• It is an inefficient and more expensive source
of lighting compared to electricity and causes
indoor air pollution.

We’re running out of OIL.!!
Use Of Diesel
Industry
5%
Power
Generation
7%

Subsidies for the POOR:

Misc
Services
9%

Plantation
20%

Transport
59%

DIESEL
• No explicit fiscal subsidy is provided to
Diesel, but the final prices of the product at
the petrol pumps operated by Oil Marketing
Companies(OMCs) are controlled by the
Government.
• The under-recovery on diesel as of
January16,2012, stood at ₹2.95/litre.
• Almost 60% of diesel consumed in India was
in the transport sector of which 54% was
consumed in Road transport sector.[GoI 2010a]
• The consumption of subsidized Diesel by
private vehicle has increased substantially
which is fuelled by the price difference
between petrol and diesel

• The top income quintile received 6 times more subsidy
benefits than the bottom quintile.
• For Diesel and LPG, 65% and 70% respectively of subsidy
benefits accrue to the top two quintiles
• Approximately 1/4th of India’s 1.2 billion people live BPL
and energy access and its affordability plays an important
role for this segment of the population.
• The above said population spends a larger share of their
income on energy needs so changes in fuel prizes affect
them much more than the rich.

Variation Of Income
Below
Poverty
Line
25%
Above
Poverty
Line
75%
Subsidies and Upstream Oil
companies
Under-recovery

Domestic LPG &
P D S KEROSENE

• The subsidy provided on the three petroleum
products covers only a part of the difference
between the cost price and selling price, there
by resulting in under-recoveries for the
OMCs.
• Under-recoveries are calculated as the
difference between the cost price and the
regulated price at which petroleum products
are finally sold by the OMCs to the retailers
after accounting for the subsidy paid by the
Government as shown in the figure.

Diesel
Cost
Price

Under
Recovery
Depot
Price

A large part of this under-recoveries is compensated for by additional cash
assistance from National Oil Companies (NOCs). The remaining portion remains
uncompensated to the OMCs.
• The total size of under-recoveries on Petrol, Diesel, PDS Kerosene and LPG in FY 11 was ₹
78,190 crore [PPSE2011a] , which is a significant 1.07% of GDP. [RBI,2011a]
• The graph shows how total under-recoveries to OMCs and specific under-recoveries on
Petrol, Diesel, PDS Kerosene and LPG have varied over the last six years [2005-11].
• In 2010–2011, the burden borne by upstream and downstream companies was ₹30,297 crore
and ₹6,893 crore respectively.
• This not only adversely affects the cash flow and profitability of oil companies but also hinders
the upstream sector from investing in improving and expanding their exploration and
production operations.
India Crude Oil Production

Assam/Nag
aland
12%
Rajasthan
14%

Andhra
Pradesh
1%

Others
1%
Offshore
56%

Gujarat
16%
1. India was the fourth largest consumer of oil and
petroleum products after the United States, China, and
Japan in 2011.
3. The majority of imports continue to come from the
Middle East, where Indian companies have little direct
access to investment.
4. India had 5.5 billion barrels of proved oil reserves at
the end of 2012. About 53 percent of reserves are from
onshore resources, while 47 percent are offshore
reserves. Most reserves are found in the western part of
India, particularly western offshore, Gujarat, and
Rajasthan. The Assam-Arakan basin in the northeast
part of the country is also an important oil-producing
region and contains more than 10 percent of the
country's reserves.

Indian Crude Oil Imports

Other
Middle East
10%
Iran
9%

Saudi
Arabia
30%

UAE
14%
Kuwait
16%

Iraq
21%

1. India is also the fourth largest importer of oil
and petroleum products.
2. India has increased its oil imports from about
40 percent of demand in 1990 to more than 70
percent of demand by 2011.
3. Saudi Arabia is India's largest supplier, at
about 19 percent of oil imports; in
total, approximately 64 percent of India's
imported oil came from Middle East countries
in 2012.
4. The second biggest source of imports is
Africa (17 percent), with the majority of that oil
coming from Nigeria.
Motor fuel, kerosene jet fuel

Impact of oil subsidies on imports:

and
naphtha EXPORTS
Other
20%
United
States
6%

1. Under-recovery

Singapore
16%
UAE
15%

Japan
7%
South Korea
Taiwan
7%
8%

Bahmas
10%

Indonesia
11%

• A great burden of under-recovery is to be borne by
upstream oil companies which as a net effect
pushes these companies towards financial
crisis, thus decreasing the exploration and
production activities and thus increasing the total
amount of import of oil and gas which in turn
pushes the country toward debt and adverse impact
on the economy.

1. Despite being a net importer of crude oil, India has
become a net exporter of petroleum products by investing
in refineries designed for export, particularly in Gujarat.
Essar Oil and RIL export naphtha, motor gasoline, and
distillate fuel oil to the international market, particularly
to Singapore, the United Arab Emirates, and Indonesia.

2. MisUSE

Under-recovery
due to subsidy

As a result GDP
decreases

Decrease in
exploration and
production
activities

• Large subsidies on valuable oil and gas products promotes
misuse which in turn increases the import.

Oil and Gas
Subsidies

Misuse Of
Subsidies by rich
people

Increase in Import
which increases
the debt and thus
decrease the GDP
of the country

Adverse
Impact on the
economy as
the debt on
the country
increases.

Increase In
imports of oil
and gas
Reformatio
n
The political aspect of energy subsidies cannot be ignored. The reason why energy
subsidies are still prevailing in India in the first place is vote bank which cannot be
overlooked. Whenever the issue of removing or reforming fuel subsidies are raised or
any such recommendation proposed by any committee, the government seems to be
reluctant on this issue and is afraid of taking strong decisions.The different kind of
views are grouped under as follows:

Capitalist: This viewset of people believe in
growth, development and profits but not of sharing
them. They know only to take
Although many fuel subsidies
help the rich more than the
poor, we should not loose sight
of the fact that some poor
households depend on
subsidies to make energy
affordable. For these people
expenditure of energy takes up
a larger portion of their budget
than it does for the wealthy.

Communist: This mindset of people believe that no matter how much a
person works hard but money would be distributed equally. They
know only to give.

Democratic: This presents a balance between growth and distribution
of resources. These people maintain a give and take relationship.

But subsidy reform can be designed and implemented in a way
that minimizes the negative impacts on poor households. A • 1. Those that provides assistance to poor
suite of policies have been used by countries around the world households.
to ease the transition away from fuel subsidies. The policies • 2. Those that help the broader community to
understand and support reform.
can be grouped into two categories:
Introduction of policies
to support poor
households

Team-SAMARTHYAM

Communicatio
n campaign:

Reform Strategy

Reducing energy subsidies would free of the Government
funds for other purposes. By allocating these funds to
programs that directly target the poor, the government
would redirect money from fuel subsidies to those in need.
There are basically two ways:

Gradual
Phase-out
Monitoring
and
Adjustment

Conditional cash
transfers (CCTs)

Cash transfers

This policy of transferring the money directly to
the beneficiary account has been implemented
successfully internationally. This approach was
adopted in Indonesia during 2005-08 under the
name of BLT program which was accompanied by
short term measure referred to as the Fuel Subsidy
Reduction Compensation Program. These
programs provided targeted support for the affected
groups by increasing social spending in the areas of
education, health and rural infrastructure.

This can be observed in other countries also like
Jordan, supported subsidy reform in 2008 by
increasing the minimum wage and providing a
salary increase to low paid government employees.

The alternative approach to above is to link cash payments to
behaviours that assist community development. In India various
cash transfers schemes have been implemented to support
education and health. At the central level programs like
Dhanalakshami scheme [2008], Janani Suraksha Yojana[2005] and
Balika Samridhi Yojana[1997] have been introduced.
Team SAMARTHYAM - Strategy for reformation of Subsidies

Communication
campaign
Reform should be preceded by a
Public Information Campaign
(PIC) highlighting the motivation
for reform. The campaign should
highlight that:
 Fuel subsidies are fiscally
costly.
 Benefits are regressive and
accrue mostly to higher
income groups.
 Subsidies crowd out higher
priority public spending [e.g.
On education, Health, Social
protection and public
infrastructure].
 For example in 2005 the
Indonesian government
implemented a public relations
campaign alongside cash
transfers and social spending
as a means for building
support for Reform.

Gradual

Monitoring and

Phase-out

Adjustment

 A gradual phase-out of
subsidies can give recipients
time to adjust. The longer a
subsidy has been in place, the
more difficult it will be to
remove and the longer the
likely timeframe required for
reform. Subsidies have a
tendency to become perceived
as entitlements and any
attempt to reduce them can be
politically hazardous.
 In December 2010, the
Bolivian government made
sudden and dramatic increases
to the price of subsidized fuel
raising prices by over 80%
with few supporting measures
to ease the transition. The
result was a major public
backlash and a rapid
reinstatement of subsidies by
the government.

 Monitoring and adjusting
reform on an on going basis is
necessary to assess whether
measures have been
effective, check whether there
have been unintended negative
consequences, and adapt
policies over the time.
 Temporary assistance policies
also require careful monitoring
in order to ensure that the
assistance is reaching the
target groups and that support
does not continue that it
becomes entrenched.
Team Samarthyam - FOR OR AGAINST Oil Subsidies
• The Integrated Energy Policy which was approved by Cabinet in 2009 provided that fuels that are
tradable(i.e. imported or exported) would be priced in line with global prices. The current regime of
energy subsidies in India is a heavy burden on the government’s resources and has had only limited
success in reaching the intended beneficiaries.
PDS Kerosene- 40% of the fuel being diverted toward non-PDS usage.
LPG- a major part of the subsidies accrue to the richer households, which can afford to pay market prices for
the fuel

Energy subsidies also have significant ecological ramifications due to overuse of petroleum products and
over-exploitation of groundwater resources caused by inefficient consumption of free electricity are
genuine and urgent concerns.

Subsidies also put a lot of pressure on national oil companies and power sector utilities, which face heavy
financial burdens under the current system.

But however, at the same time subsidy reform has to be addressed carefully.
 Because subsidy reforms or changes in fuel prices affect the poorest section of the population most.
 Target groups which are to receive subsidy benefits need to be identified accurately and appropriate measures to
compensate for the loss of welfare from rising fuel prices should be designed carefully.
 A prerequisite to reform is the presence of a high degree of awareness among the people regarding the plethora
of issues surrounding energy subsidies, including an understanding of their overall costs and benefits.

Thus team SAMARTHYAM supports reformation of oil and gas subsidies using
measures as described.

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Cairn india ACE 2 entry.

  • 2. OIL & GAS SUBSIDY FOR THE POOR. Oh Really? Rural Urban PDS Kerosen Coal e 1% Others 4% 1% LPG 9% Firewoo d and Dung Cake 85% VS Coal 2% PDS Kerosene 8% Others 7% Firewood and Dung Cake 21% Rural VS PDS UrbanKerose Others 1% ne 39% Electri city 94% Electrici ty 60% LPG 62% LIQUIFIED PETROLEUM GAS • In FY 2008, Only 8-9% of the rural population consume LPG as a primary fuel for cooking Vs 62% in Urban areas.[NSSO 2010] • LPG, is subsidized to meet the fuel requirements of the poor but it seems • 76% of LPG subsidy goes to urban areas and nearly 40% of the LPG subsidy is enjoyed by the wealthiest 6.75% of the population. [Chawla et al.,2005] • Even in urban areas, subsidy is inefficient and regressive. PDS Kerose ne 5% Others 1% PDS KEROSENE • It is used primarily for lighting purposes .[NSSO 2010] • Only 1.3% of rural households used it for cooking VS 8% of urban households.[NSSO 2010] • In FY 2008, 39% of Rural households used KEROSENE as primary fuel for lighting VS 5.1% of Urban. [NSSO 2010] • It is an inefficient and more expensive source of lighting compared to electricity and causes indoor air pollution. We’re running out of OIL.!!
  • 3. Use Of Diesel Industry 5% Power Generation 7% Subsidies for the POOR: Misc Services 9% Plantation 20% Transport 59% DIESEL • No explicit fiscal subsidy is provided to Diesel, but the final prices of the product at the petrol pumps operated by Oil Marketing Companies(OMCs) are controlled by the Government. • The under-recovery on diesel as of January16,2012, stood at ₹2.95/litre. • Almost 60% of diesel consumed in India was in the transport sector of which 54% was consumed in Road transport sector.[GoI 2010a] • The consumption of subsidized Diesel by private vehicle has increased substantially which is fuelled by the price difference between petrol and diesel • The top income quintile received 6 times more subsidy benefits than the bottom quintile. • For Diesel and LPG, 65% and 70% respectively of subsidy benefits accrue to the top two quintiles • Approximately 1/4th of India’s 1.2 billion people live BPL and energy access and its affordability plays an important role for this segment of the population. • The above said population spends a larger share of their income on energy needs so changes in fuel prizes affect them much more than the rich. Variation Of Income Below Poverty Line 25% Above Poverty Line 75%
  • 4. Subsidies and Upstream Oil companies Under-recovery Domestic LPG & P D S KEROSENE • The subsidy provided on the three petroleum products covers only a part of the difference between the cost price and selling price, there by resulting in under-recoveries for the OMCs. • Under-recoveries are calculated as the difference between the cost price and the regulated price at which petroleum products are finally sold by the OMCs to the retailers after accounting for the subsidy paid by the Government as shown in the figure. Diesel Cost Price Under Recovery Depot Price A large part of this under-recoveries is compensated for by additional cash assistance from National Oil Companies (NOCs). The remaining portion remains uncompensated to the OMCs. • The total size of under-recoveries on Petrol, Diesel, PDS Kerosene and LPG in FY 11 was ₹ 78,190 crore [PPSE2011a] , which is a significant 1.07% of GDP. [RBI,2011a] • The graph shows how total under-recoveries to OMCs and specific under-recoveries on Petrol, Diesel, PDS Kerosene and LPG have varied over the last six years [2005-11]. • In 2010–2011, the burden borne by upstream and downstream companies was ₹30,297 crore and ₹6,893 crore respectively. • This not only adversely affects the cash flow and profitability of oil companies but also hinders the upstream sector from investing in improving and expanding their exploration and production operations.
  • 5. India Crude Oil Production Assam/Nag aland 12% Rajasthan 14% Andhra Pradesh 1% Others 1% Offshore 56% Gujarat 16% 1. India was the fourth largest consumer of oil and petroleum products after the United States, China, and Japan in 2011. 3. The majority of imports continue to come from the Middle East, where Indian companies have little direct access to investment. 4. India had 5.5 billion barrels of proved oil reserves at the end of 2012. About 53 percent of reserves are from onshore resources, while 47 percent are offshore reserves. Most reserves are found in the western part of India, particularly western offshore, Gujarat, and Rajasthan. The Assam-Arakan basin in the northeast part of the country is also an important oil-producing region and contains more than 10 percent of the country's reserves. Indian Crude Oil Imports Other Middle East 10% Iran 9% Saudi Arabia 30% UAE 14% Kuwait 16% Iraq 21% 1. India is also the fourth largest importer of oil and petroleum products. 2. India has increased its oil imports from about 40 percent of demand in 1990 to more than 70 percent of demand by 2011. 3. Saudi Arabia is India's largest supplier, at about 19 percent of oil imports; in total, approximately 64 percent of India's imported oil came from Middle East countries in 2012. 4. The second biggest source of imports is Africa (17 percent), with the majority of that oil coming from Nigeria.
  • 6. Motor fuel, kerosene jet fuel Impact of oil subsidies on imports: and naphtha EXPORTS Other 20% United States 6% 1. Under-recovery Singapore 16% UAE 15% Japan 7% South Korea Taiwan 7% 8% Bahmas 10% Indonesia 11% • A great burden of under-recovery is to be borne by upstream oil companies which as a net effect pushes these companies towards financial crisis, thus decreasing the exploration and production activities and thus increasing the total amount of import of oil and gas which in turn pushes the country toward debt and adverse impact on the economy. 1. Despite being a net importer of crude oil, India has become a net exporter of petroleum products by investing in refineries designed for export, particularly in Gujarat. Essar Oil and RIL export naphtha, motor gasoline, and distillate fuel oil to the international market, particularly to Singapore, the United Arab Emirates, and Indonesia. 2. MisUSE Under-recovery due to subsidy As a result GDP decreases Decrease in exploration and production activities • Large subsidies on valuable oil and gas products promotes misuse which in turn increases the import. Oil and Gas Subsidies Misuse Of Subsidies by rich people Increase in Import which increases the debt and thus decrease the GDP of the country Adverse Impact on the economy as the debt on the country increases. Increase In imports of oil and gas
  • 7. Reformatio n The political aspect of energy subsidies cannot be ignored. The reason why energy subsidies are still prevailing in India in the first place is vote bank which cannot be overlooked. Whenever the issue of removing or reforming fuel subsidies are raised or any such recommendation proposed by any committee, the government seems to be reluctant on this issue and is afraid of taking strong decisions.The different kind of views are grouped under as follows: Capitalist: This viewset of people believe in growth, development and profits but not of sharing them. They know only to take Although many fuel subsidies help the rich more than the poor, we should not loose sight of the fact that some poor households depend on subsidies to make energy affordable. For these people expenditure of energy takes up a larger portion of their budget than it does for the wealthy. Communist: This mindset of people believe that no matter how much a person works hard but money would be distributed equally. They know only to give. Democratic: This presents a balance between growth and distribution of resources. These people maintain a give and take relationship. But subsidy reform can be designed and implemented in a way that minimizes the negative impacts on poor households. A • 1. Those that provides assistance to poor suite of policies have been used by countries around the world households. to ease the transition away from fuel subsidies. The policies • 2. Those that help the broader community to understand and support reform. can be grouped into two categories:
  • 8. Introduction of policies to support poor households Team-SAMARTHYAM Communicatio n campaign: Reform Strategy Reducing energy subsidies would free of the Government funds for other purposes. By allocating these funds to programs that directly target the poor, the government would redirect money from fuel subsidies to those in need. There are basically two ways: Gradual Phase-out Monitoring and Adjustment Conditional cash transfers (CCTs) Cash transfers This policy of transferring the money directly to the beneficiary account has been implemented successfully internationally. This approach was adopted in Indonesia during 2005-08 under the name of BLT program which was accompanied by short term measure referred to as the Fuel Subsidy Reduction Compensation Program. These programs provided targeted support for the affected groups by increasing social spending in the areas of education, health and rural infrastructure. This can be observed in other countries also like Jordan, supported subsidy reform in 2008 by increasing the minimum wage and providing a salary increase to low paid government employees. The alternative approach to above is to link cash payments to behaviours that assist community development. In India various cash transfers schemes have been implemented to support education and health. At the central level programs like Dhanalakshami scheme [2008], Janani Suraksha Yojana[2005] and Balika Samridhi Yojana[1997] have been introduced.
  • 9. Team SAMARTHYAM - Strategy for reformation of Subsidies Communication campaign Reform should be preceded by a Public Information Campaign (PIC) highlighting the motivation for reform. The campaign should highlight that:  Fuel subsidies are fiscally costly.  Benefits are regressive and accrue mostly to higher income groups.  Subsidies crowd out higher priority public spending [e.g. On education, Health, Social protection and public infrastructure].  For example in 2005 the Indonesian government implemented a public relations campaign alongside cash transfers and social spending as a means for building support for Reform. Gradual Monitoring and Phase-out Adjustment  A gradual phase-out of subsidies can give recipients time to adjust. The longer a subsidy has been in place, the more difficult it will be to remove and the longer the likely timeframe required for reform. Subsidies have a tendency to become perceived as entitlements and any attempt to reduce them can be politically hazardous.  In December 2010, the Bolivian government made sudden and dramatic increases to the price of subsidized fuel raising prices by over 80% with few supporting measures to ease the transition. The result was a major public backlash and a rapid reinstatement of subsidies by the government.  Monitoring and adjusting reform on an on going basis is necessary to assess whether measures have been effective, check whether there have been unintended negative consequences, and adapt policies over the time.  Temporary assistance policies also require careful monitoring in order to ensure that the assistance is reaching the target groups and that support does not continue that it becomes entrenched.
  • 10. Team Samarthyam - FOR OR AGAINST Oil Subsidies • The Integrated Energy Policy which was approved by Cabinet in 2009 provided that fuels that are tradable(i.e. imported or exported) would be priced in line with global prices. The current regime of energy subsidies in India is a heavy burden on the government’s resources and has had only limited success in reaching the intended beneficiaries. PDS Kerosene- 40% of the fuel being diverted toward non-PDS usage. LPG- a major part of the subsidies accrue to the richer households, which can afford to pay market prices for the fuel Energy subsidies also have significant ecological ramifications due to overuse of petroleum products and over-exploitation of groundwater resources caused by inefficient consumption of free electricity are genuine and urgent concerns. Subsidies also put a lot of pressure on national oil companies and power sector utilities, which face heavy financial burdens under the current system. But however, at the same time subsidy reform has to be addressed carefully.  Because subsidy reforms or changes in fuel prices affect the poorest section of the population most.  Target groups which are to receive subsidy benefits need to be identified accurately and appropriate measures to compensate for the loss of welfare from rising fuel prices should be designed carefully.  A prerequisite to reform is the presence of a high degree of awareness among the people regarding the plethora of issues surrounding energy subsidies, including an understanding of their overall costs and benefits. Thus team SAMARTHYAM supports reformation of oil and gas subsidies using measures as described.