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Health Care IT Suite




            State of the Health Care IT Union
            Addressing Current and Future Industry Imperatives




            IHT2 Health IT Summit
            August 22, 2012 • Seattle, WA




©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • ADVISORY.COM
Health Care IT Suite


                                                                        Contributing Analysts
                                                                                       Jim Adams
                                                                                       Ernie Hood
                                                                                Mike Davis
                                                                              Ken Kleinberg
                                                                            Peter Kilbridge, MD
                                                                              Robin Raiford

                                                                            Design Consultant
                                                                                 Hillary Tisdale

                                                                               Senior Advisor
                                                                                  Dave Garets




LEGAL CAVEAT                                                                                 IMPORTANT: Please read the following.
The Advisory Board Company has made efforts to verify the accuracy of the                    The Advisory Board Company has prepared this report for the exclusive use of its members.
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The Advisory Board Company is not in the business of giving legal, medical,                  herein, including the following:
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Health Care IT Suite




                                               State of the
                                               Health Care IT Union
                                                 Addressing Current and Future Industry Imperatives
©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A




                                                                                                      6


                                            Road Map




                                                  1    Drivers of Change in Health Care IT



                                                  2    State of the Industry
©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A




                                                  3    Where We’re Headed
Drivers of Change in Health Care IT                                                                                      7


                                                   The Reform Paradox
                                                   Giving More Care to More People, and Paying Less for It




                                                                                                 Raise taxes?
                                                           How do we                                                                              How do we
                                                                                            Reallocate spending?
                                                           maximize                                                                                 afford
                                                                                                 Cut benefits?
©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A




                                                            access to                                                                             expanded
                                                                                             Cut reimbursement?
                                                              care?                                                                                access?
                                                                                           Delivery system change?




                                                                                                                                  Source: Advisory Board analysis.




                                                   Drivers of Change in Health Care IT                                                                                      8


                                                   Beginning of a Fundamental Transformation
                                                   Legislation Only One Part of Health Care Reform
                                                                                             Delivery System Reform Timeline


                                                                                                            HAC Medicaid
                                                                                                           reimbursement
                                                                                      Acute Care             stops - 2012
                                                                                       Episode       Coverage                                             ICD-10
                                                                            Core     Demonstration   Expansion       Readmissions                        Conversion
                                                                          Measures      2010         2010-2014       Program - 2012                        2014
                                                       SGR1


                                                         1997                                                                                                        2016
©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A




                                                             Never            Physician Group           Meaningful      Shared        Bundled
                                                            Events               Practice                  Use          Savings       Payment
                                                           Campaigns           Demonstration            2011-2015       Program       Program
                                                                                   2005                                  2012          2013




                                            1) Sustainable growth rate.                                                           Source: Advisory Board analysis.
Drivers of Change in Health Care IT                                                                        9


                                            Toward Accountable Care
                                            New Incentives, Greater Risk Characterize Industry Transformation
                                                                             Strategic and Operating Imperatives

                                                 Management                         Fee for                                Accountable
                                                  Imperative                        Service                                   Care
                                                                        Optimize performance within the     Optimize performance across settings
                                            Accountability
                                                                        facility                            and time

                                                                                                            Redirect acute-care utilization to lower
                                            Utilization                 Maximize acute-care utilization
                                                                                                            acuity settings

                                            Physician                   Align economically to drive         Align economically to manage shared
                                            Partnerships                acute-care volumes                  risk

                                            Technology                  Win clinical technology “arms       Wire the health system for
                                            Investments                 race”                               coordination and collaboration
©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A




                                                                        Centralize and co-locate acute-     Widely distribute primary care and
                                            Facility Strategy
                                                                        care services                       preventive services

                                                                        Invest in only as an “avoidable     Develop high-performance partner
                                            Care Coordination
                                                                        losses” strategy                    network across continuum

                                                                        Manage inpatient cost trend
                                            Expense Management                                              Drive care to lowest-cost setting
                                                                        below revenue growth trend



                                                                                                                   Source: Advisory Board analysis.




                                                                                                                                                       10


                                            Road Map




                                                           1        Drivers of Change in Health Care IT




                                                           2        State of the Industry
©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A




                                                           3        Where We’re Headed
11


                                            Second of Three Increasingly Complex Stages


                                            Data Capture and Sharing                Advanced Clinical Processes                                Improved Outcomes
                                                        Stage 1                                  Stage 2                                                     Stage 3




                                            • Increase implementation and           • Increase exchange of health                     • Drive use of real-time data at the
                                              adoption of electronic health           information                                       point of care
                                              record (EHR) systems                  • Demonstrate care coordination                   • Use outcomes-focused clinical
                                            • Capture structured data                 across sites of care                              quality measures
©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A




                                                                                    • Empower patients with health                    • Utilize clinical decision support
                                                                                      information                                       for prevention, disease
                                                                                                                                        management, and safety




                                                                                                                Source: HITPC Meaningful Use Workgroup, Stage 3 Subgroups; Medicare and Medicaid
                                                                                                                Programs; Electronic Health Record Incentive Program-- Stage 2 Proposed Rule at
                                                                                                                http://www.ofr.gov/OFRUpload/OFRData/2012-04443_PI.pdf; IT Strategy Council analysis.




                                            State of the Industry – Acute Care EMR Adoption                                                                                                             12


                                            Stages of EMR Adoption
                                            HIMSS Analytics EMR Adoption Model, Q1 2012


                                                                                                                                                                  Percent of
                                            Stage                                        Description                                                             Hospitals At
                                                                                                                                                                    Stage
                                                                                                                                                                 Q3                Q2
                                                                                                                                                                2009              2012
                                                     Complete EMR; CCD transactions to share data; Data warehousing; Data
                                               7                                                                                                                0.5%              1.7%
                                                     continuity with Emergency Dept, ambulatory, Outpatient venues
                                                     Physician documentation (structured templates) on one inpatient unit, full clinical
                                               6                                                                                                                1.2%              6.5%
                                                     decision support (variance and compliance), full radiology PACS
                                               5     Closed loop medication administration fully implemented on one inpatient unit                              4.8%             11.5%
                                               4     CPOE and clinical decision support implemented in at least one inpatient unit                              4.1%             13.3%
©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A




                                                     Nursing/clinical documentation (flow sheets) on one inpatient unit, clinical decision
                                               3                                                                                                               40.4%             42.4%
                                                     support (error checking in pharmacy), image access outside radiology dept.
                                                     Clinical data repository, controlled medical vocabulary, clinical decision support
                                               2                                                                                                               29.8%             11.7%
                                                     capability, may have document imaging; HIE capability
                                               1     All three ancillary systems installed                                                                      7.1%              5.1%
                                               0     Not all ancillary systems (lab, radiology, pharmacy) installed                                            12.1%              7.9%


                                                                                                                                       Source: HIMSS Analytics™
State of the Industry – Health Information Exchange                                                                                                                13


                                            Towards Higher Levels of Interoperability
                                                                      ”
                                                                         Definition of Interoperability
                                                                         “In health care, interoperability is the ability of different information technology
                                                                         systems and software applications to communicate, to exchange data accurately,
                                                                         effectively and consistently, and to use the information that has been exchanged.”

                                                                                                                                                         NAHIT, 2005

                                                                                                                                           Process
                                                                                                                                           • Assumes Semantic
                                                                                                                                             interoperability
                                                                                                  Semantic                                 • Includes shared process
                                                                                                  • Assumes Syntactic interoperability       definitions and inter-participant
                                              Degree of Difficulty




                                                                                                  • Requires participants to use the         workflow orchestration
                                                                                                    same reference terminologies
                                                                                                  • Requires mapping to a reference
©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A




                                                                                                    information model
                                                                     Syntactic
                                                                     • Based on agreement on how to parse the content exchanged
                                                                     • Generally sufficient for human use of the exchanged content
                                                                     • Computer use requires a mapping between the terminologies used by the
                                                                       participants – this acknowledges the (very real) possibility of different meanings
                                                                       associated with mapped terms (semantic ambiguity)

                                                                                              Increased Usefulness of Interoperability

                                                                                                                                               Source: NAHIT, 2005 and Advisory Board research and analysis.




                                            State of the Industry – Health Information Exchange                                                                                                                14


                                            HIE Market: Everyone Wants to Get into the Act!


                                                                                 Representative
                                                Category                                                                Strengths                                  Challenges
                                                                                   Examples

                                                                                                             Established client base of IDSs,           Competing EMR vendors
                                              Acute EMR                       Epic, Allscripts,
                                                                                                             some experience with ambulatory,           will not play in the
                                               Vendors                        Cerner, GE…
                                                                                                             lab and payer integration                  “sandbox”

                                                                              CareFx, Covisint,
                                                                                                             Built for HIEs, have connectors and        Often reliant on grants
                                                                              dbMotion, ICA,
                                                                                                             adapters to most ambulatory and            and government-based
                                             HIE Vendors                      Intersystems,
                                                                                                             lab systems, support for                   non-sustainable funding
                                                                              MobileMD, Orion,
                                                                                                             centralized and federated models           sources
                                                                              RelayHealth

                                                                                                             Knows networking and                       Lack of clinical HIE
                                                         Carriers             Verizon, AT&T
                                                                                                             communications                             experience
©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A




                                                                                                             Existing extensive national
                                                                                                                                                        Fee structures not
                                                   Specialty                  Surescripts, Emdeon            backbone connectivity with
                                                                                                                                                        popular for HIE
                                                                                                             providers, payers

                                                                                                             Experienced with transaction
                                                                              United Health/Axolotl,                                                    Payer “parents” not
                                                              Payers                                         networks/clearinghouses – now
                                                                              Aetna/Medicity                                                            trusted by providers
                                                                                                             extending into provider space


                                                                                                                                               Source: Advisory Board research and analysis.
State of the Industry – Health Information Exchange                                                                                           15


                                                  Direct Project – Information Sharing
                                                  Incremental Improvements

                                                                                                                  ”
                                                                                 Today’s Technology –
                                                                                          FAX                      Direct Project Announcement
                                                                                                                   from ONC

                                                                                                                   “The Direct Project specifies a simple,
                                                                                                                   secure, scalable, standards-based way
                                                                                      Direct Project -
                                                                                                                   for participants to send authenticated,
                                                                                    E-mail Attachments             encrypted health information directly to
                                                                                                                   known, trusted recipients over the
                                                                                                                   Internet.”
©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A




                                                                                      Connect Project –
                                                                                       XDS Documents                                     The Direct Project Overview,
                                                                                                                                                     11 October 2010




                                                                                                                             Source: Advisory Board research and analysis.




                                                  State of the Industry – Protected Health Information Breaches                                                                                 16


                                                  More Than Just Incentives At Stake
                                                  Breaches Are Costly and Destroy Trust
                                                                                                                   Quintuple Whammy from a Breach
                                                        Redspin’s 2011 Report on Breaches
                                                    385 breaches of protected health information (PHI)
                                                    19,016,894 patient health records affected
                                                                                                                  $??? M            $1,000 per patient seems to
                                                                                                                                    be the metric for lawsuits
                                                    49,396 average # of patient records per breach in 2011,                          Maximum annual penalty
                                                    an 80% increase over 2010
                                                    59% of all breaches involved a business associate
                                                                                                                  $1.5 M             from HHS due to HIPAA
                                                                                                                                     violations
                                                    39% occurred on a laptop or other portable device
                                                                                                                                     Cost to solve single case
                                                    25% occurred on a desktop PC or server
                                                    60% resulted from malicious intent (theft, hacking)
                                                                                                                  $20,663            of medical identity theft*
                                                    97% increase in total records breached, 2010-2011                                Potential loss of Meaningful
                                                    76% increase in records breached involving a business
                                                    associate, 2010-2011
                                                                                                                  $??? M             Use money due to HIPAA
                                                                                                                                     violation
                                                    525% growth in records breached due to loss 2010-2011
                                                     ”                                                            $??? M             Cost to your reputation
©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A




                                                                Daily Disclosures of Breaches are Becoming Alarming – It’s “When,” not “If”
                                                          Some of the latest include Stanford Hospital and Clinics (20,000 patients’ data posted to the
                                                          web; sued for $20M), Tricare (SAIC – 4.9M patients’ data lost; sued for $4.9B), Fairview Health
                                                          Services and North Memorial Health System (Accretive Health – 16,800 total patients data
                                                          stolen), Nemours (1.6M total individuals’ data lost); UCLA Health System (16,288 total patients'
                                                          data stolen).
                                                                                                                             *Miliard, M, “Medical Identity Theft on the Rise,” Healthcare IT News,
                                                                                                                             March 15, 2011, available at:
                                            Redspin Breach Report 2011, Protected Health Information,                        http://www.healthcareitnews.com/news/medical-identity-theft-rise
                                              www.redspin.com (accessed 17 February 2012                                     (accessed March 30. 2011)
State of the Industry – ICD-10                                                                                                                     17


                                                  ICD-10 versus ICD-9
                                                  Explosion of Granularity
                                                                                       Diagnosis                                             Procedure
                                                                                                                                               72,000

                                                                                         69,000




                                                                     14,300                           12,500
                                                                                                                                  3,800
                                                                                                                                                                             0
©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A




                                                                  ICD-9-CM
                                                                     ”                 ICD-10-CM ICD-10 (WHO)                    ICD-9-PCS   ICD-10-PCS ICD-10 (WHO)


                                                                               ICD-10 CFO Survey respondents who expect to lose revenue
                                                                               through transition:
                                                                                     • 28 % predict revenue loss between 6% and 10%1
                                                                                     • 23 % anticipate revenue losses to last one to two years1


                                            1) Shaw, HealthLeaders Media, 7/26/11.




                                                  State of the Industry – Use of Mobile Technologies                                                                                                 18


                                                  Mobility-Enabled Business Process Management
                                                                                                  Who is waiting on what from who?




                                                                                                               Patients and
                                                                     Physician                                  Families
                                                                                                                                                                   Nurse
                                                                                                     When can we pick up Mother?

                                                              When will I get                                                                   When will I get that order
                                                              those lab results?                        Medication reconciliation              from the physician to give
                                                                                                                                                this pain medication?
                                                                                                        Medication administration
                                                                                                        Discharge processing
                                                                                                        Bed management
                                                                                                        Billing
©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A




                                                                   Pharmacist
                                                                                                                                                          Transport
                                                        What shall we do about                                                                 When can I wheel this
                                                        this medication conflict?                                                              cranky old man to the
                                                                                                            Administration                     pick-up area?
                                                                                                            When can we
                                                                                                            get this bill out?
                                                                                                                                              Source: Care Advisory Board interviews and analysis.
State of the Industry – Electronic Data Warehousing                                                                                       19


                                            Business Intelligence Framework

                                            Business Intelligence is key to developing a
                                            thoughtful system of care out of the organic,
                                            ad hoc processes that we have today.
                                                                                                                       3
                                                                                             2                 Prescriptive:
                                                                                                             What should we do?




                                                                                                                                                               Degree of Difficulty
                                              Beware the                            Predictive:
                                            False Summits!         1            What might happen?              Analyze the Actions
                                                                                                            • Mathematic Models
                                                           Descriptive:              Analyze the Future
                                                          What happened?                                    • Linear Programming
                                                                                 •   Statistical models
                                                                                                            • Constraint Programming
                                                           Analyze the Past      •   Correlation Analysis
                                                         • Reports and graphs    •
©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A




                                                                                     Forecasting
                                                         • Dashboards            •   Simulations
                                                                                                               Three levels of BI maturity with
                                                         • Drill down/around                                   each level more difficult and
                                                                                                               more advantageous than the last.
                                                         Degree of Competitive Advantage




                                            State of the Industry – Movement in the Market                                                                                            20


                                            State of the Enterprise Vendors
                                            You Win Some, You Lose Some…

                                                                        Number of Hospitals Gained/Lost, 2005–2011




                                                       458           204
                                                                                     160           41
©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A




                                                                                                                15
                                                                                                                              56                       57




                                                                                                                           Source: HIMSS Analytics Database.
21


                                            Road Map




                                                            1     Drivers of Change in Health Care IT




                                                            2     State of the Industry
©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A




                                                            3     Where We’re Headed




                                            Where We’re Headed – IT Budgets Going UP                                                                                                          22


                                            Spending Up, But Return Down
                                            Where We’re Headed—IT Budgets Going UP

                                                     IT as a Percentage of Total                Breakdown of Capital Spending
                                                          Capital Spending
                                                                                                           In Thousands
                                                        Moody’s-Rated Hospital,
                                                            In Thousands
                                                                                •   Remote computing
                                                                                •   Edge solutions
                                                   $34,824
                                                                                •   Image storage
                                                                                                                                                               Liquidating
                                                                                •   Outsourcing                                                                the asset
                                                                                              Total             IT           D&A Expenses
                                                                       $33,249                    Costs

                                                                                                 Return on Invested Capital
©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A




                                                                         40%
                                                                                                    8%
                                                     12%
                                                                                                                            6.6%


                                                     2008                2009


                                                                                                    2008                    2009

                                                                                                                          Source: Moody’s Preliminary Medians for Not-for-Profit Hospitals,
                                                                                                                          April 2010; Advisory Board analysis.
Where We’re Headed - The Great Risk Shift                                                                                           23


                                            Toward Accountable Payments
                                            Building Accountability Through Experiments in Payment


                                                                               Capitation/Shared-Savings Models




                                                                           Episodic Bundling


                                             Degree of
                                             Shared Risk             Hospital-Physician
                                                                         Bundling


                                                                   Pay-for-
©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A




                                                                 Performance




                                                                                          Care Continuum


                                                                                                                  Source: Health Care Advisory Board interviews and analysis.




                                            Where We’re Headed – It’s All About Change                                                                                          24


                                            Emphasis on Change Management Is Essential
                                            Under-Adoption, Under-Utilization, Sabotage Not Desirable Options


                                                 Technology Adoption                       ”
                                                 The application of human Change
                                                 Management principles to technical
                                                 projects, such as Electronic Medical
                                                 Records or ICD-10 implementation.

                                                                       Claire McCarthy


                                                                                                       It’s Always About People

                                                                                                  • Only 1/3 of change initiatives
©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A




                                                   Human
                                                                                                    achieve success. Users determine
                                                   Change            +                              success or failure of project.
                                                 Management               Process                 • Change is messy. People start
                                                                                                    where they are, not where we
                                                                                                    want them to be. Get to hearts
                                                           +       EMR                              and minds to develop willingness
                                                                                                    and ability.
Where We’re Headed                                                                                               25


                                                The Intelligent Enterprise
                                                                                   Prescriptive                        Predictive
                                                                                     Models                            Models
                                                       Operational
                                                       Data Store                                                                                Exploration,
                                                                                  Rules Engine
                                                            Real-Time Update                                                                     visualization,
                                                                                                                                                 and analysis tools


                                                                                                  Active Archive              Data Marts


                                                                                                  Detailed data
                                                                                                                              Data Warehouse
                          Processing-Oriented
                          Operational Systems




                                                                                                   Fact and
                                                          RCM                                     Dimension
                                                                                                    Tables                   Detailed
                          Transaction




                                                          EMR                                                                 data         Summarized
                                                                                                                                           Information
©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A




                                                                               Extract            Detailed data               Fact and
                                                           HIE                 Snapshot
                                                                                                                             Dimension
                                                                                                    Fact and                   Tables        Metadata
                                                           CMS                                     Dimension
                                            Systems
                                            External




                                                                                                     Tables
                                                           CIN
                                                                                                                            Cleaned Standardized, Consistent
                                                                                                   Staging Area




                                                                                             2445 M Street NW I Washington DC 20037
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iHT2 Health IT Summit in Seattle 2012 – Opening Keynote “State of the Health Care IT Union”

  • 1. Health Care IT Suite State of the Health Care IT Union Addressing Current and Future Industry Imperatives IHT2 Health IT Summit August 22, 2012 • Seattle, WA ©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • ADVISORY.COM
  • 2. Health Care IT Suite Contributing Analysts Jim Adams Ernie Hood Mike Davis Ken Kleinberg Peter Kilbridge, MD Robin Raiford Design Consultant Hillary Tisdale Senior Advisor Dave Garets LEGAL CAVEAT IMPORTANT: Please read the following. The Advisory Board Company has made efforts to verify the accuracy of the The Advisory Board Company has prepared this report for the exclusive use of its members. information it provides to members. This report relies on data obtained from many Each member acknowledges and agrees that this report and the information contained herein sources, however, and The Advisory Board Company cannot guarantee the (collectively, the “Report”) are confidential and proprietary to The Advisory Board Company. accuracy of the information provided or any analysis based thereon. In addition, By accepting delivery of this Report, each member agrees to abide by the terms as stated The Advisory Board Company is not in the business of giving legal, medical, herein, including the following: accounting, or other professional advice, and its reports should not be construed as professional advice. In particular, members should not rely on any legal 1. The Advisory Board Company owns all right, title and interest in and to this Report. Except commentary in this report as a basis for action, or assume that any tactics as stated herein, no right, license, permission or interest of any kind in this Report is described herein would be permitted by applicable law or appropriate for a given intended to be given, transferred to or acquired by a member. Each member is authorized member’s situation. Members are advised to consult with appropriate professionals to use this Report only to the extent expressly authorized herein. concerning legal, medical, tax, or accounting issues, before implementing any of 2. Each member shall not sell, license, or republish this Report. Each member shall not these tactics. Neither The Advisory Board Company nor its officers, directors, disseminate or permit the use of, and shall take reasonable precautions to prevent such trustees, employees and agents shall be liable for any claims, liabilities, or dissemination or use of, this Report by (a) any of its employees and agents (except as expenses relating to (a) any errors or omissions in this report, whether caused by stated below), or (b) any third party. The Advisory Board Company or any of its employees or agents, or sources or 3. Each member may make this Report available solely to those of its employees and agents other third parties, (b) any recommendation or graded ranking by The Advisory who (a) are registered for the workshop or membership program of which this Report is a Board Company, or (c) failure of member and its employees and agents to abide by part, (b) require access to this Report in order to learn from the information described the terms set forth herein. herein, and (c) agree not to disclose this Report to other employees or agents or any third The Advisory Board is a registered trademark of The Advisory Board Company in party. Each member shall use, and shall ensure that its employees and agents use, this the United States and other countries. Members are not permitted to use this Report for its internal use only. Each member may make a limited number of copies, solely trademark, or any other Advisory Board trademark, product name, service name, as adequate for use by its employees and agents in accordance with the terms herein. trade name, and logo, without the prior written consent of The Advisory Board 4. Each member shall not remove from this Report any confidential markings, copyright Company. All other trademarks, product names, service names, trade names, and notices, and other similar indicia herein. logos used within these pages are the property of their respective holders. Use of 5. Each member is responsible for any breach of its obligations as stated herein by any of its other company trademarks, product names, service names, trade names and logos employees or agents. or images of the same does not necessarily constitute (a) an endorsement by such company of The Advisory Board Company and its products and services, or (b) an 6. If a member is unwilling to abide by any of the foregoing obligations, then such member endorsement of the company or its products or services by The Advisory Board shall promptly return this Report and all copies thereof to The Advisory Board Company. Company. The Advisory Board Company is not affiliated with any such company.
  • 3. Health Care IT Suite State of the Health Care IT Union Addressing Current and Future Industry Imperatives ©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A 6 Road Map 1 Drivers of Change in Health Care IT 2 State of the Industry ©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A 3 Where We’re Headed
  • 4. Drivers of Change in Health Care IT 7 The Reform Paradox Giving More Care to More People, and Paying Less for It Raise taxes? How do we How do we Reallocate spending? maximize afford Cut benefits? ©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A access to expanded Cut reimbursement? care? access? Delivery system change? Source: Advisory Board analysis. Drivers of Change in Health Care IT 8 Beginning of a Fundamental Transformation Legislation Only One Part of Health Care Reform Delivery System Reform Timeline HAC Medicaid reimbursement Acute Care stops - 2012 Episode Coverage ICD-10 Core Demonstration Expansion Readmissions Conversion Measures 2010 2010-2014 Program - 2012 2014 SGR1 1997 2016 ©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A Never Physician Group Meaningful Shared Bundled Events Practice Use Savings Payment Campaigns Demonstration 2011-2015 Program Program 2005 2012 2013 1) Sustainable growth rate. Source: Advisory Board analysis.
  • 5. Drivers of Change in Health Care IT 9 Toward Accountable Care New Incentives, Greater Risk Characterize Industry Transformation Strategic and Operating Imperatives Management Fee for Accountable Imperative Service Care Optimize performance within the Optimize performance across settings Accountability facility and time Redirect acute-care utilization to lower Utilization Maximize acute-care utilization acuity settings Physician Align economically to drive Align economically to manage shared Partnerships acute-care volumes risk Technology Win clinical technology “arms Wire the health system for Investments race” coordination and collaboration ©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A Centralize and co-locate acute- Widely distribute primary care and Facility Strategy care services preventive services Invest in only as an “avoidable Develop high-performance partner Care Coordination losses” strategy network across continuum Manage inpatient cost trend Expense Management Drive care to lowest-cost setting below revenue growth trend Source: Advisory Board analysis. 10 Road Map 1 Drivers of Change in Health Care IT 2 State of the Industry ©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A 3 Where We’re Headed
  • 6. 11 Second of Three Increasingly Complex Stages Data Capture and Sharing Advanced Clinical Processes Improved Outcomes Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 • Increase implementation and • Increase exchange of health • Drive use of real-time data at the adoption of electronic health information point of care record (EHR) systems • Demonstrate care coordination • Use outcomes-focused clinical • Capture structured data across sites of care quality measures ©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A • Empower patients with health • Utilize clinical decision support information for prevention, disease management, and safety Source: HITPC Meaningful Use Workgroup, Stage 3 Subgroups; Medicare and Medicaid Programs; Electronic Health Record Incentive Program-- Stage 2 Proposed Rule at http://www.ofr.gov/OFRUpload/OFRData/2012-04443_PI.pdf; IT Strategy Council analysis. State of the Industry – Acute Care EMR Adoption 12 Stages of EMR Adoption HIMSS Analytics EMR Adoption Model, Q1 2012 Percent of Stage Description Hospitals At Stage Q3 Q2 2009 2012 Complete EMR; CCD transactions to share data; Data warehousing; Data 7 0.5% 1.7% continuity with Emergency Dept, ambulatory, Outpatient venues Physician documentation (structured templates) on one inpatient unit, full clinical 6 1.2% 6.5% decision support (variance and compliance), full radiology PACS 5 Closed loop medication administration fully implemented on one inpatient unit 4.8% 11.5% 4 CPOE and clinical decision support implemented in at least one inpatient unit 4.1% 13.3% ©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A Nursing/clinical documentation (flow sheets) on one inpatient unit, clinical decision 3 40.4% 42.4% support (error checking in pharmacy), image access outside radiology dept. Clinical data repository, controlled medical vocabulary, clinical decision support 2 29.8% 11.7% capability, may have document imaging; HIE capability 1 All three ancillary systems installed 7.1% 5.1% 0 Not all ancillary systems (lab, radiology, pharmacy) installed 12.1% 7.9% Source: HIMSS Analytics™
  • 7. State of the Industry – Health Information Exchange 13 Towards Higher Levels of Interoperability ” Definition of Interoperability “In health care, interoperability is the ability of different information technology systems and software applications to communicate, to exchange data accurately, effectively and consistently, and to use the information that has been exchanged.” NAHIT, 2005 Process • Assumes Semantic interoperability Semantic • Includes shared process • Assumes Syntactic interoperability definitions and inter-participant Degree of Difficulty • Requires participants to use the workflow orchestration same reference terminologies • Requires mapping to a reference ©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A information model Syntactic • Based on agreement on how to parse the content exchanged • Generally sufficient for human use of the exchanged content • Computer use requires a mapping between the terminologies used by the participants – this acknowledges the (very real) possibility of different meanings associated with mapped terms (semantic ambiguity) Increased Usefulness of Interoperability Source: NAHIT, 2005 and Advisory Board research and analysis. State of the Industry – Health Information Exchange 14 HIE Market: Everyone Wants to Get into the Act! Representative Category Strengths Challenges Examples Established client base of IDSs, Competing EMR vendors Acute EMR Epic, Allscripts, some experience with ambulatory, will not play in the Vendors Cerner, GE… lab and payer integration “sandbox” CareFx, Covisint, Built for HIEs, have connectors and Often reliant on grants dbMotion, ICA, adapters to most ambulatory and and government-based HIE Vendors Intersystems, lab systems, support for non-sustainable funding MobileMD, Orion, centralized and federated models sources RelayHealth Knows networking and Lack of clinical HIE Carriers Verizon, AT&T communications experience ©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A Existing extensive national Fee structures not Specialty Surescripts, Emdeon backbone connectivity with popular for HIE providers, payers Experienced with transaction United Health/Axolotl, Payer “parents” not Payers networks/clearinghouses – now Aetna/Medicity trusted by providers extending into provider space Source: Advisory Board research and analysis.
  • 8. State of the Industry – Health Information Exchange 15 Direct Project – Information Sharing Incremental Improvements ” Today’s Technology – FAX Direct Project Announcement from ONC “The Direct Project specifies a simple, secure, scalable, standards-based way Direct Project - for participants to send authenticated, E-mail Attachments encrypted health information directly to known, trusted recipients over the Internet.” ©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A Connect Project – XDS Documents The Direct Project Overview, 11 October 2010 Source: Advisory Board research and analysis. State of the Industry – Protected Health Information Breaches 16 More Than Just Incentives At Stake Breaches Are Costly and Destroy Trust Quintuple Whammy from a Breach Redspin’s 2011 Report on Breaches 385 breaches of protected health information (PHI) 19,016,894 patient health records affected $??? M $1,000 per patient seems to be the metric for lawsuits 49,396 average # of patient records per breach in 2011, Maximum annual penalty an 80% increase over 2010 59% of all breaches involved a business associate $1.5 M from HHS due to HIPAA violations 39% occurred on a laptop or other portable device Cost to solve single case 25% occurred on a desktop PC or server 60% resulted from malicious intent (theft, hacking) $20,663 of medical identity theft* 97% increase in total records breached, 2010-2011 Potential loss of Meaningful 76% increase in records breached involving a business associate, 2010-2011 $??? M Use money due to HIPAA violation 525% growth in records breached due to loss 2010-2011 ” $??? M Cost to your reputation ©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A Daily Disclosures of Breaches are Becoming Alarming – It’s “When,” not “If” Some of the latest include Stanford Hospital and Clinics (20,000 patients’ data posted to the web; sued for $20M), Tricare (SAIC – 4.9M patients’ data lost; sued for $4.9B), Fairview Health Services and North Memorial Health System (Accretive Health – 16,800 total patients data stolen), Nemours (1.6M total individuals’ data lost); UCLA Health System (16,288 total patients' data stolen). *Miliard, M, “Medical Identity Theft on the Rise,” Healthcare IT News, March 15, 2011, available at: Redspin Breach Report 2011, Protected Health Information, http://www.healthcareitnews.com/news/medical-identity-theft-rise www.redspin.com (accessed 17 February 2012 (accessed March 30. 2011)
  • 9. State of the Industry – ICD-10 17 ICD-10 versus ICD-9 Explosion of Granularity Diagnosis Procedure 72,000 69,000 14,300 12,500 3,800 0 ©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A ICD-9-CM ” ICD-10-CM ICD-10 (WHO) ICD-9-PCS ICD-10-PCS ICD-10 (WHO) ICD-10 CFO Survey respondents who expect to lose revenue through transition: • 28 % predict revenue loss between 6% and 10%1 • 23 % anticipate revenue losses to last one to two years1 1) Shaw, HealthLeaders Media, 7/26/11. State of the Industry – Use of Mobile Technologies 18 Mobility-Enabled Business Process Management Who is waiting on what from who? Patients and Physician Families Nurse When can we pick up Mother? When will I get When will I get that order those lab results?  Medication reconciliation from the physician to give this pain medication?  Medication administration  Discharge processing  Bed management  Billing ©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A Pharmacist Transport What shall we do about When can I wheel this this medication conflict? cranky old man to the Administration pick-up area? When can we get this bill out? Source: Care Advisory Board interviews and analysis.
  • 10. State of the Industry – Electronic Data Warehousing 19 Business Intelligence Framework Business Intelligence is key to developing a thoughtful system of care out of the organic, ad hoc processes that we have today. 3 2 Prescriptive: What should we do? Degree of Difficulty Beware the Predictive: False Summits! 1 What might happen? Analyze the Actions • Mathematic Models Descriptive: Analyze the Future What happened? • Linear Programming • Statistical models • Constraint Programming Analyze the Past • Correlation Analysis • Reports and graphs • ©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A Forecasting • Dashboards • Simulations Three levels of BI maturity with • Drill down/around each level more difficult and more advantageous than the last. Degree of Competitive Advantage State of the Industry – Movement in the Market 20 State of the Enterprise Vendors You Win Some, You Lose Some… Number of Hospitals Gained/Lost, 2005–2011 458 204 160 41 ©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A 15 56 57 Source: HIMSS Analytics Database.
  • 11. 21 Road Map 1 Drivers of Change in Health Care IT 2 State of the Industry ©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A 3 Where We’re Headed Where We’re Headed – IT Budgets Going UP 22 Spending Up, But Return Down Where We’re Headed—IT Budgets Going UP IT as a Percentage of Total Breakdown of Capital Spending Capital Spending In Thousands Moody’s-Rated Hospital, In Thousands • Remote computing • Edge solutions $34,824 • Image storage Liquidating • Outsourcing the asset Total IT D&A Expenses $33,249 Costs Return on Invested Capital ©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A 40% 8% 12% 6.6% 2008 2009 2008 2009 Source: Moody’s Preliminary Medians for Not-for-Profit Hospitals, April 2010; Advisory Board analysis.
  • 12. Where We’re Headed - The Great Risk Shift 23 Toward Accountable Payments Building Accountability Through Experiments in Payment Capitation/Shared-Savings Models Episodic Bundling Degree of Shared Risk Hospital-Physician Bundling Pay-for- ©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A Performance Care Continuum Source: Health Care Advisory Board interviews and analysis. Where We’re Headed – It’s All About Change 24 Emphasis on Change Management Is Essential Under-Adoption, Under-Utilization, Sabotage Not Desirable Options Technology Adoption ” The application of human Change Management principles to technical projects, such as Electronic Medical Records or ICD-10 implementation. Claire McCarthy It’s Always About People • Only 1/3 of change initiatives ©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A Human achieve success. Users determine Change + success or failure of project. Management Process • Change is messy. People start where they are, not where we want them to be. Get to hearts + EMR and minds to develop willingness and ability.
  • 13. Where We’re Headed 25 The Intelligent Enterprise Prescriptive Predictive Models Models Operational Data Store Exploration, Rules Engine Real-Time Update visualization, and analysis tools Active Archive Data Marts Detailed data Data Warehouse Processing-Oriented Operational Systems Fact and RCM Dimension Tables Detailed Transaction EMR data Summarized Information ©2012 THE ADVISORY BOARD COMPANY • 25191A Extract Detailed data Fact and HIE Snapshot Dimension Fact and Tables Metadata CMS Dimension Systems External Tables CIN Cleaned Standardized, Consistent Staging Area 2445 M Street NW I Washington DC 20037 P 202.266.5600 I F 202.266.5700 advisory.com