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AEC 2015
    and the ICT Industry

Dr.Thanachart Numnonda
    Executive Director
      IMC Institute
   12 February 2013
AEC 2015
ASEAN
Source: Free Flow of Services AEC, Ronnarong Phoolpipat
Main Objectives of AEC




Source: Free Flow of Services AEC, Ronnarong Phoolpipat
Key Elements of AEC




Source: Free Flow of Services AEC, Ronnarong Phoolpipat
Hubs and Spokes in Asia Pacific


                                      ASEAN
                                       +3/+6             Canada
            China ROK                                             NAFTA
          ASEAN
                     ASEAN
            +1
                       +1
                        ASEAN   Japan
                          +1
           ASEAN           Thailand
                                                  U.S.             Mexico
                           Malaysia
          ASEAN+1
                         Singapore

  India    ASEAN+1
                      Brunei




                    NZ
          Australia                            Chile
                                        P4
                                                              APEC
Source: METI & MEC
Priority Sectors under AEC
•
        Agro based Products   •
                                    Healthcare
•
       Air Travel            •
                                   Rubber based
•
       Automotive                Products
•
       E-ASEAN/ICT           •
                                   Textiles and Apparels
•
       Electronics           •
                                   Tourism
•
       Fisheries             •
                                   Wood Based Products
                              •
                                   Logistic
Source: Dr.Tanit Sorat
Source: Dr.Tanit Sorat
Source: Dr.Tanit Sorat
Facts
ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN
Source: World in 2050; PWC Economics 2013
The Three Wave of Evolutions




Source: Infocomm Technology Roadmap 5, IDA, 2005
Worldwide ICT Market Share




Source: 2012 White Paper Information and Communications in Japan
21
22
23
World LTE Development




                                                                   24
Source: 2012 White Paper Information and Communications in Japan
25
IT Industry Competitiveness 2011




                                         26
Source: EIU2011
27
Top 100 Outsourcing Destinations
                   2012




                                         28
Source: Tholons 2012
Country Information
Malaysia

MDEC : Multimedia Super Corridor (MSC) now MSC
 Malaysia
 Phase 3: Target Export to other countries:
  – Primary: Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand
  – Secondary: China Middle East
 IT spending in 2010 is US$4.8bn and is expected
 to grow to U$5.2bn in 2011.

                                              30
Singapore
Positioning as a ICT hub for this region
 Not much after AEC 2015
 IT spending in 2010 is $29.7bn for Hardware,
 $8.8bn for software, $7.2bn for IT Services
 ICT manpower 141,300 (2010)
 Infocomm-savvy workforce and globally
 competitive infocomm manpower to drive
 economic competitiveness
 Boost the number of infocomm jobs by 55,000 to
 about 170,000 by 2015                          31
Vietnam

Positioning as a outsourcing hub
 Plan to have a million programmer in 2015
 IT spending in 2011 is US$8.7bn; software $1.2bn.
 27.9 Million Internet users
 Strong support from the government
 By 2020, IT will take 8-10% of GDP
 The revolution #4 in Dec 2012: ICT as an
 infrastructure of the country
 Internet user 70% of total population.         32
ICT Human Resource in Vietnam

Labors of IT Industry 250,290 (2010)
HW Industry 127,548
SW Industry 71,814
DC Industry 50,928
Target one million IT engineers in 2020
New enrollment of IT students in university
reached 50,000 in 2011.
277 universities/colleges with ICT education.
                                                33
Indonesia

One of the fastest growing economy
 Need more ICT professionals
 a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17%
 over the 2011- 2015 period
 Attracted by many other countries; in and outside
 ASEAN
 ICT services in Indonesia is expected to reach
 US$3 billion by 2015
                                                 34
Philippines

The IT/Business Process Outsourcing (BPO)
 industry, is already a very important factor in
 economy with over half a million full-time
 employees, between 4% and 5% contribution to
 GDP
 its status as the number one BPO location in the
 world.
  ICT/BPO sector generated annual revenues of
 US$11 billion in 2011
                                                    35
Philippines


Exceed 900,000 FTE in IT/BPO industry by 2016,
from 525,000 in 2010;
Over 50% of IT/BPO business is non-voice related
by 2016, from 20% in 2010;
Increased number of IT graduates to 60,000 by
2016, up from 38,809 in 2009



                                              36
Thailand


Thai ICT market value is expected to reach $18.8
billion in 2012 communication industry captured
76% of the market share while hardware and
software took up 17.6% and 5.5% market share.
Digital content market in Thailand will reach $522
million by end of 2012



                                                 37
Strategies
Example of ICT Strategy in the World




                                                                   39
Source: 2012 White Paper Information and Communications in Japan
ASEAN ICT MasterPlan 2015




                                                             40
Source: Ministry of Information Communication & Technology
41
42
www.facebook.com/imcinstitute
Thank you

 thanachart@imcinstitute.com
www.facebook.com/imcinstitute
    www.imcinstitute.com



                                44

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AEC 2015 & ICT Industry

  • 1. AEC 2015 and the ICT Industry Dr.Thanachart Numnonda Executive Director IMC Institute 12 February 2013
  • 4.
  • 5. Source: Free Flow of Services AEC, Ronnarong Phoolpipat
  • 6. Main Objectives of AEC Source: Free Flow of Services AEC, Ronnarong Phoolpipat
  • 7. Key Elements of AEC Source: Free Flow of Services AEC, Ronnarong Phoolpipat
  • 8. Hubs and Spokes in Asia Pacific ASEAN +3/+6 Canada China ROK NAFTA ASEAN ASEAN +1 +1 ASEAN Japan +1 ASEAN Thailand U.S. Mexico Malaysia ASEAN+1 Singapore India ASEAN+1 Brunei NZ Australia Chile P4 APEC Source: METI & MEC
  • 9. Priority Sectors under AEC • Agro based Products • Healthcare •  Air Travel •  Rubber based •  Automotive Products •  E-ASEAN/ICT •  Textiles and Apparels •  Electronics •  Tourism •  Fisheries •  Wood Based Products •  Logistic
  • 13.
  • 14. Facts
  • 15. ASEAN
  • 16. ASEAN
  • 17. ASEAN
  • 18. Source: World in 2050; PWC Economics 2013
  • 19. The Three Wave of Evolutions Source: Infocomm Technology Roadmap 5, IDA, 2005
  • 20. Worldwide ICT Market Share Source: 2012 White Paper Information and Communications in Japan
  • 21. 21
  • 22. 22
  • 23. 23
  • 24. World LTE Development 24 Source: 2012 White Paper Information and Communications in Japan
  • 25. 25
  • 26. IT Industry Competitiveness 2011 26 Source: EIU2011
  • 27. 27
  • 28. Top 100 Outsourcing Destinations 2012 28 Source: Tholons 2012
  • 30. Malaysia MDEC : Multimedia Super Corridor (MSC) now MSC Malaysia Phase 3: Target Export to other countries: – Primary: Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand – Secondary: China Middle East IT spending in 2010 is US$4.8bn and is expected to grow to U$5.2bn in 2011. 30
  • 31. Singapore Positioning as a ICT hub for this region Not much after AEC 2015 IT spending in 2010 is $29.7bn for Hardware, $8.8bn for software, $7.2bn for IT Services ICT manpower 141,300 (2010) Infocomm-savvy workforce and globally competitive infocomm manpower to drive economic competitiveness Boost the number of infocomm jobs by 55,000 to about 170,000 by 2015 31
  • 32. Vietnam Positioning as a outsourcing hub Plan to have a million programmer in 2015 IT spending in 2011 is US$8.7bn; software $1.2bn. 27.9 Million Internet users Strong support from the government By 2020, IT will take 8-10% of GDP The revolution #4 in Dec 2012: ICT as an infrastructure of the country Internet user 70% of total population. 32
  • 33. ICT Human Resource in Vietnam Labors of IT Industry 250,290 (2010) HW Industry 127,548 SW Industry 71,814 DC Industry 50,928 Target one million IT engineers in 2020 New enrollment of IT students in university reached 50,000 in 2011. 277 universities/colleges with ICT education. 33
  • 34. Indonesia One of the fastest growing economy Need more ICT professionals a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17% over the 2011- 2015 period Attracted by many other countries; in and outside ASEAN ICT services in Indonesia is expected to reach US$3 billion by 2015 34
  • 35. Philippines The IT/Business Process Outsourcing (BPO) industry, is already a very important factor in economy with over half a million full-time employees, between 4% and 5% contribution to GDP its status as the number one BPO location in the world. ICT/BPO sector generated annual revenues of US$11 billion in 2011 35
  • 36. Philippines Exceed 900,000 FTE in IT/BPO industry by 2016, from 525,000 in 2010; Over 50% of IT/BPO business is non-voice related by 2016, from 20% in 2010; Increased number of IT graduates to 60,000 by 2016, up from 38,809 in 2009 36
  • 37. Thailand Thai ICT market value is expected to reach $18.8 billion in 2012 communication industry captured 76% of the market share while hardware and software took up 17.6% and 5.5% market share. Digital content market in Thailand will reach $522 million by end of 2012 37
  • 39. Example of ICT Strategy in the World 39 Source: 2012 White Paper Information and Communications in Japan
  • 40. ASEAN ICT MasterPlan 2015 40 Source: Ministry of Information Communication & Technology
  • 41. 41
  • 42. 42