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Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann
Director Strategy and Politics
Berlin, 24 October 2013

BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

www.bdew.de
For me „Energiewende“
means first and foremost...
Nuclear phase-out
Development of renewable energies
Achieving climate targets

By political party
52

47
38

32

25

22

all

36 37

34 36

32

21

CDU/CSU

SPD

26

31 34
17

Linke

Grüne

22

27

Piraten
n=1.010

BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Page 2
Energy concept 2010 / overview
Overview of the objectives:
 Reduction of greenhouse gases: 2020: 40%, 2030: 55%, 2040: 70%, 2050: 80-95 %
 Expansion goals for renewable energy:
 Gross final energy consumption: 2020: 18%, 2030: 30%, 2040: 45%, 2050: 60%
 Gross electricity consumption: 2020: 35%, 2030: 50%, 2040: 65%. 2050: 80%
 Reduction of heating needs: 2020: 20%, 2050: 80% (primary energy needs)
 Doubling the rate of energy-related renovation: from today‘s 1% to 2% p.a.
 Reduction of primary energy consumption by 20% by 2020 and by 50% by 2050
 Increasing energy productivity by 2.1 % p.a.
 Reduction of electricity consumption (10% by 2020, 25% by 2050)
 E-Mobility: One million e-cars by 2020

BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Page 3
Energy concept 2010 / overview

In summary:

Very ambitious!

BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Page 4
Seite
The „German Energiewende“:
160 000

Roads Act

Renewable Energies Act (EEG)

140 000

?

120 000

MW

100 000

Photovoltaics

Maximum load: ca. 83.000 MW

80 000
2012

Wind offshore

60 000
Minimum load: ca. 35.000 MW

40 000

Wind onshore

2000

20 000

1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030

0

Thermal waste treatment

Water power >5 MW*

Water power <5MW*

Biomass

Wind onshore

Wind offshore

Photovoltaics

Geothermal energy**

* Partly estimated; **Geothermal energy not visible (2011: 10 MW)
BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

Source: BDEW, BMU-Leitstudie 2011
23.10.2013
Seite 5
Deployment of power plants in 2001
Utilisation of power plants and load (in MW)
Wednesday, 17 October 2001
80 000
70 000
60 000

Psp.-Erzeugung
Photovoltaik

50 000

Wind
Sonst. EE

40 000

Wasserkraft
Sonstige

30 000

Erdgas
Steinkohle

20 000

Braunkohle
Kernenergie

10 000
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Time of day
Sources: Statistisches Bundesamt, www.eeg-kwk.net, BDEW (own calculation)
BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Page 6
Situation 21 to 25 March 2013
80 000

Thursday,
21.03.2013

Friday,
22.03.2013

Saturday,
23.03.2013

Sunday,
24.03.2013

Monday,
25.03.2013

70 000
60 000
50 000
40 000
30 000

Residual Load: 14.405 MW
69% load coverage
with Wind&PV

Residual Load: 65.274 MW
2% load coverage
with Wind&PV

20 000
10 000

00
03
06
09
12
15
18
21
00
03
06
09
12
15
18
21
00
03
06
09
12
15
18
21
00
03
06
09
12
15
18
21
00
03
06
09
12
15
18
21

0
Wind

Photovoltaics

Load

Sources: Transmission System Operators, BDEW (own calculation)
BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Page 7
I

Wind, photovoltaics and electricity in 2030:
A simple estimation
Wind & photovoltaics in 2030

80.000
70.000

80.000

Installed capacity: wind 62.800 MW*, photovoltaics 63.000 MW*
Electricity consumption: -15% gg. 2008; weather as in 2011

70.000
60.000

50.000

50.000
MW

60.000

40.000

40.000
30.000

20.000

20.000

10.000

10.000

0

0

08.03.30
08.03.30
09.03.30
09.03.30
10.03.30
10.03.30
11.03.30
11.03.30
12.03.30
12.03.30
13.03.30
13.03.30
14.03.30
14.03.30
15.03.30
15.03.30
16.03.30
16.03.30
17.03.30
17.03.30
18.03.30
18.03.30
19.03.30
19.03.30
20.03.30
20.03.30

30.000

08.03.30
08.03.30
09.03.30
09.03.30
10.03.30
10.03.30
11.03.30
11.03.30
12.03.30
12.03.30
13.03.30
13.03.30
14.03.30
14.03.30
15.03.30
15.03.30
16.03.30
16.03.30
17.03.30
17.03.30
18.03.30
18.03.30
19.03.30
19.03.30
20.03.30
20.03.30

MW

Residual load in 2030

Wind

Residual load

Consumption (network load)

Photovoltaics
Wind & PV
Consumption (network load)
* According to BMU-Leitstudie 2010
BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Source: BDEW (own calculation)
Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Seite 8
Photovoltaics feed-in, May 15th, 2013
25 000

15 May 2013

Feed-in in MW

20 000

15 000

Photovoltaics

10 000

For
comparison:
Nuclear

5 000

0
1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11 12 13 14
Time of day

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

Sources: EEX, www.eeg-kwk.net
BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Page 9
Utilisation gas power plant
Gersteinwerk (427 MW, implemented in 1973)

June 2009

Source: RWE
BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

July 2009

June 2011
Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

July 2011
23.10.2013
Seite 10
Challenges for the generation system:
Considerably more capacity fo the same task
Gross electricity generation (TWh)

Renewables

Renewables

120

Renew.

160

2010

40

Conv.

80
Conv.

100

200

Conv.

200

Conventional

300

Conventional

400

Conventional

Renewables

500

Renewables

240

Renew.

600

Electricity generation capacity (GW)

2020

2030

0

0
2010

2020

2030

• It is necessary to significantly expand capacities for renewable energies to achieve a share of 35 % in
electricity consumption by 2020 and 50 % by 2030 (with constant electricity consumption)
• The conventional generation system must be held available as back-up or system service, however,
electricity generation declines significantly (economic efficiency?)
BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Seite 11
German Energiewende:
New issues…

 What about security of supply in Germany?
 What will be the future market design? Capacity remunerations?
 How far will prices for energy rise?
 Will there be a real EU framework for energy and climate policy?
 How is the Energiewende to be financed?
 Can expansion of the networks and infrastructure keep pace with
the expectations and the expansion of renewable energies?

 And many other issues…

 Result: Uncertainty
BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Page 12
Technical challenges: We need…
 rapidly adjustable, highly flexible power plants
 a reservoir of adequate conventional reserve capacities
 new storage technologies
 an intensive expansion of the power networks
 a new market design
 new control technologies and system services
 and above all more intelligence in the whole energy supply system. From
the consumer and the grids to generation itself.

Bottom line: a whole range of new innovations…

BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Page 13
Seite
What does the public think?

BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

www.bdew.de
Importance and progress of the
Energiewende
The Energiewende is
progressing…

The Energiewende is ...

(+6)

58

(+12)
(-11)

49

41

(-11)

29
(-1)

6

(-1)

(-1)

(+3)

3

4

2

very important less
not at all
important important
important

very well

well

not very
well

poorly

n = 1.011
As of 06/2012; changes vs. 01/2012 in brackets
BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Page 15
When electricity is generated primarily
from renewable energies, …
…electricity prices
tend to...

…there will be
major power failures.

(+3)

(+/-0)

75

…we will depend …
on electricity imports...

78

(+2)

48
(-5)
(+2)

18

(-6)

16

(+1)

22

(-1)

22

6
more

increase
decline
remain stable

BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

believe it

less

do not believe it

no change
n = 1.011
As of 06/2012; changes vs. 01/2012 in brackets

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Page 16
„Energiewende“ has...
for the industrial location
Germany

for me individually

61 (+/-0)

37 (-1)

35 (-5)
26 (+9)

19 (+/-0)

rather
advantages

15 (+2)

no
rather
consedisquences advantages

rather
advantages

no
rather
consedisquences advantages

n=1.010; changes vs. 01/2012 in brackets
BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Page 17
The money issue

BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

www.bdew.de
Electricity bill for households
Average monthly electricity bill of a three-person household in Euros
Yearly consumption: 3,500 kWh
Changes compared
to 1998
83,80
+ 68 %

49,90 48,21
12,25

46,99
40,66 41,77

14,38

18,70
15,52

37,65

56,76
52,39 54,43
50,14
21,70

29,90

31,65

32,73

34,18

24,65

67,70 69,10

+ 243 %
42,04

25,26

26,52

28,59

33,34

34,18

41,18

40,51

40,25

41,33

16,74

33,83
25,14

20,24

20,74

22,58

60,20

63,15

73,59 75,51

25,03

28,29

35,55

37,89

41,76

+ 11 %

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Generation, transport and sales

Taxes and levies
(EEG apportionment, KWK surcharge, surcharge accord. to
§ 19 Network Charges Ordinance (StromNEV), offshore wind
power surcharge, electricity tax, concession fee, VAT)

Source: BDEW, As of: 04/2013
BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Seite 19
Electricity prices for industrial customers
also rise considerably due to levies and taxes
Average electricity prices for the industry in Cent/kWh (including electricity tax)
Annual consumption 160 to 20,000 MWh (Supply at medium voltage level; feed-in 100kW/1,600h to 4,000kW/5,000h)

14,04 14,33

13,25
11,53 11,41
9,34
0,08
0,11

9,73
8,92

8,86
0,15

0,09
0,11

7,98
6,47 6,86
6,05
0,31 0,36
0,05
0,26
0,13
0,20

9,15

0,19
0,25
0,11

0,35
0,11

1,23
0,05
0,42
0,11

1,23
0,05
1,23
0,69
0,11
0,05
0,51
0,11

1,23
0,05
0,88
0,11

5,61

1,23

11,40
0,05

1,16
0,11

12,07

1,54

0,03

3,592

0,05 3,530

1,31

0,17
0,10
0,07

1,23

1,23

0,05

0,07
0,04

5,277

2,05

0,11

0,11

0,11

0,11

10,70

8,51
5,46

1,54
1,54

0,11

9,26
5,99

1,23
0,05
1,02
0,11

14,87

6,17

7,02

9,00

8,70

8,63

8,83

8,98

7,65

7,61

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Erzeugung, Transport, Vertrieb
KWK-Aufschlag
Stromsteuer

Konzessionsabgabe
§19-Umlage

* From 2010 application of the Ordinance on a Nationwide Equalisation Scheme
BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

EEG-Umlage*
Offshore-Haftungsumlage
Sources: VEA, BDEW; As of: 05/2013
23.10.2013
Seite 20
Most industrial firms have to pay for
renewable energies…
1,638 businesses/business units benefit from the special equalisation scheme
under Article 16 EEG

4%

44,865
industrial
firms

96 %

96% of all industrial firms in
Germany pay the full levy
(2013: 5,277 ct/kWh) for the
renewables energy act (EEG)!

Full EEG apportitionment:
rd. 43,000 industrial firms

* Economic activities defined in sections B (mining and quarrying) and C (manufacturing),
German Classification of Economic Activities, 2008 edition (WZ 2008)
Sources: BDEW (own calculation based on forecast data for EEG apportitionment 2013 of 15/10/2012), BAFA, Stat. Bundesamt
BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Seite 21
…but there are some exceptions:
1,638 businesses/business units benefit from the special equalisation scheme
under Article 16 EEG

4%

44,865
industrial
firms

96 %
Full EEG apportitionment:
rd. 43,000 industrial firms

Only 4% of all industrial firms in
Germany pay a reduced levy for
the renewables energy act (EEG):
• electricty intensive industrial
firms (e. g. steel, aluminium,
chemical base materials, paper)
• costs for electricity have to
exceed 14% of the gross value
added
• >1 GWh yearly consumption
• Additionally: Railways
• International competition…

* Economic activities defined in sections B (mining and quarrying) and C (manufacturing),
German Classification of Economic Activities, 2008 edition (WZ 2008)
Sources: BDEW (own calculation based on forecast data for EEG apportitionment 2013 of 15/10/2012), BAFA, Stat. Bundesamt
BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Seite 22
Financial reliefs for power-intensive industry
EEG 2013: Who will be „relieved“?
Industrial electricity consumption in 2013 according to EEG forecast 2013: 243,1 TWh
Relief from EEG apportionment according to §37 EEG: Industries
consuming approx. 30-40 TWh from own electricity generation plants

16 %

Reduced EEG apport.
10%/0.5277 ct/kWh: 9.9 TWh

4%
Reduced EEG apport.
1%/0.05277 ct/kWh: 20.9 TWh

Limited EEG apport.
0.05 ct/kWh: 60.6 TWh

8%

243.1 TWh

47 %

Full EEG apportionment/5.277 ct/kWh:
113.8 TWh

25 %

 Full EEG apportionment for nearly half of the industrial electricity consumption!
 Without exeptional rules according to §40 EEG 2012, the surcharge in 2013
would be 4.23 ct/kWh, thus 1.05 ct/kWh lower.
Source: BDEW (own calculation based on EEG 2013 forecast data of 15/10/2012)
BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Seite 23
What about jobs?

BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

www.bdew.de
Development of jobs in the field of
renewable energies in Germany
After continued growth, the number of jobs slightly declined for the first time in 2012. This
was especially due to the crisis in the solar industry. The total number of jobs remained on
the previous year‘s level because wind and bioenergy developed well.

?

BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Page 25
Jobs: Consequences
But:

 Almost 42 million employees in Germany
 About 29 million social secured employees
 Out of which 5.2 million in manufacturing industry sector (18 %)
 830,000 employees in energy intensive branches alone.
Challenging questions:

 Which consequences will Energiewende have on these jobs?
 Will industry sector jobs remain competitive?

BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Page 26
Status Quo:
Problems:

 Uncertainty (security of supply, prices, market design…)
 Energy prices
 International competition of German economy
Hope:

 Financial reliefs
 Still: Germany‘s energy security is one of the best in the world
 Innovation: Energiewende is one of the most interesting and
challenging industrial projects of our time
BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Page 27
Seite
BDEW-proposals
The Path to New Market Structures for
the Success of the Energy Transition

BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

www.bdew.de
BDEW- Proposals September 2013
 Market integration, i.a. through mandatory direct marketing
Pillar I:
Substantial EEGReform

Pillar II:
Introduction of a
decentralised
capacity market

for new installations (2 steps)

 System integration, i.a. by mandatory equipping with
technical components to deliver system services

 Creation of a legal basis for the introduction of a
decentralised capacity market with an obligation for
retailer / BRP to secure firm capacity

 Activation when need is foreseeable
1. Use potentials for optimisation of the Energy-Only Market
2. Introduction of a Strategic Reserve with a regional element

Accompanying
measures in four
areas

to replace the current grid reserve

3. Creation of the basis for grid expansion
4. „Embedding“ the measures within the EU Internal Energy
Market

BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Page 29
Substantial reform of EEG

BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

www.bdew.de
„Change of roles“
RES-Share of Gross domestic electricity consumption in Germany:

2012

Conventional
energy:
ca. 80%

Target year 2050

RES:
ca. 20%

Conventional
energy:
ca. 20%

RES:
ca. 80%

Sources: BDEW, AG Energiebilanzen,: 08/2012; Targets of Federal Gov
BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

08.10.2013
23.10.2013
Page 31
EEG-Reform: Step 1 (I)

 Mandatory direct marketing for new RES-installations
 Abolition of Management premium for new RES-installations
 Mandatory remote control capability of installations by
direct marketers for technical and operational system
integration

 Mandatory provision of technical facilities for system
services

 Possibility for a change into direct marketing for existing
RES-installations while receiving a reduced management
premium

BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Page 32
EEG-Reform: Step 1 (II)

 Replacing guaranteed 20 years of support by volume-limited
support
 Synchronisation of RES-expansion with grid extension by
 Strategic distribution grid planning
(Dimensioning of grids to 97% of possible yearly energy
feeding volume – complete compensation of installation
operator)
 Introduction of allocation signals for RES-installation
operators as part of system planning
 Reform existing privileges (e.g. Exemption from EEG-levy) to
avoid the effects of loss of solidarity

BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Page 33
EEG-Reform: Step 2

 Transition – asap – from an ex-post market premium set by
politics to an introduction of a competitively determined
support level (ex-ante market premium) , e.g. in an auction
model, on the basis of a coordinated RES-expansion between
federal and Länder level

Precondition: Well-prepared in advance
Advantages if auction is correctly designed:
 Increase of cost efficiency of the energy transition
 Maintaining multiplicity of participants
 Achievement of renewable energy expansion goals
 Shift of previously socialised economic risks to the
investor
BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Page 34
Decentralised Capacity Market

BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

www.bdew.de
Decentralised capacity market - Concept

Currently uniform product
„electricity“
is divided into two
components

Energy
(kilowatt-hours)

BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

VSN – security of supply
certificates
(capacity)

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Page 36
Decentralised capacity market – Central
Elements
 Obligation on electricity retailers /BRPs to provide of security of supply
certificates (VSN) equal to the sum of the related electrical capacity at the
time of shortage  firm capacity becomes product of its own
 Providers of firm capacities (Power plants, storage, controllable RES)
can offer VSN
 Standardisation of VSN  suitable for exchanges and publicly
tradable.
 Product freedom for demand-side flexibility ( Innovation, Efficiency)
 Introduction of a financial penalty in case of non-compliance at shortage
 Accounts likewise for provider and demander of VSN
 Penalty level determines level security of supply
 Participation of foreign capacity possible if firm interconnection
capacity can be booked
BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Page 37
Decentralised capacity market - advantages
 Market solution
 No determination and tender of capacity need by the state
 Value of VSN is determined by supply and demand
 Demand side flexibilities are integrated in the market
 Energy Only market is only supplemented
 Low administrative burden through decentralized approach
Electricity retailers know best their customer‘s capacity need

 Sole Focus on security of supply
No pursuance of secondary objectives like climate protection

 Possibility for connection with EU- Internal Energy Market

BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Page 38
Accompanying measures – EOM and
Strategic Reserve
Further development of EOM

 EOM to remain the effective and efficient Dispatch-Instrument
 central market place for RES, power plants, storage, flexibilities

 Diverse Options for further development exist
 Currently further work on this

 Further development of EOM is the right choice, irrespective of a market
design chance later on („no regret“)
Strategic Reserve
 Instrument to secure transition
 Appropriate indicator for need to activate VSN-Model
 Possible overlap with VSN-System in introductory phase

BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Page 39
Principle of a Strategic Reserve

€/MWh

Angebot
Nachfrage

€/MWh

MW
 Keine Markträumung
möglich

BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

SR-Kapazität

MW
 Einsatz der Strategischen
Reserve (SR) ermöglicht
Markträumung

14. StadtwerkeForum der Thüringer Energie AG
Andreas Kuhlmann

01.10.2013
Seite 40
Accompanying measures – Grid
infrastructure and European perspective
Grid infrastructure

 Introduction of a stronger capacity component for network fees to
counteract effects of loss of solidarity

 Implementation of the BDEW „Roadmap Smart Grids“
 Recognition of innovation and abolition of the time delay for
distribution grids in the incentive regulation

 Limitation of avoided network tariffs on controllable systems
European involvement

 Strengthening the ETS with ambitious CO2-reduction targets beyond
2020

 Rapid activation of the pentalateral Forum as a nucleus for European
coordination of security of supply and market design
BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Page 41
Integration of the European energy exchange until
2014 and beyond…
CWE

Nordic

UK‐CH

CEE
CSE

Targets of market integration in the
European energy exchange:

 By end of 2014: European Day-ahead

SWE

trade (implicit auction and price
coupling)

 Intra-day trade of excess capacities on
700
1500
610
600
1100

1000

2300 800
600
2200
1000

2000

3500
800
1200 900
285
4165
2575

an integrated market platform

 Establishment of a cross-border
electricity balancing market

3200

1300
(2600)

CWE – Central Western Europe
CEE – Central Eastern Europe
CSE – Central South Europe
SWE – South Western Europe

BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy
Andreas Kuhlmann

23.10.2013
Seite 42
Thank you for your attention!
BDEW
German Association for Energy and Water Industries
Reinhardtstraße 32
10117 Berlin
Phone +49 30 / 300199-0
www.bdew.de

BDEW Bundesverband der
Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V.

Quo vadis German Energy Policy

23.10.2013

www.bdew.de
Seite 43

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bdew - Quo vadis German Energy Policy - Andreas Kuhlmann

  • 1. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann Director Strategy and Politics Berlin, 24 October 2013 BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. www.bdew.de
  • 2. For me „Energiewende“ means first and foremost... Nuclear phase-out Development of renewable energies Achieving climate targets By political party 52 47 38 32 25 22 all 36 37 34 36 32 21 CDU/CSU SPD 26 31 34 17 Linke Grüne 22 27 Piraten n=1.010 BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Page 2
  • 3. Energy concept 2010 / overview Overview of the objectives:  Reduction of greenhouse gases: 2020: 40%, 2030: 55%, 2040: 70%, 2050: 80-95 %  Expansion goals for renewable energy:  Gross final energy consumption: 2020: 18%, 2030: 30%, 2040: 45%, 2050: 60%  Gross electricity consumption: 2020: 35%, 2030: 50%, 2040: 65%. 2050: 80%  Reduction of heating needs: 2020: 20%, 2050: 80% (primary energy needs)  Doubling the rate of energy-related renovation: from today‘s 1% to 2% p.a.  Reduction of primary energy consumption by 20% by 2020 and by 50% by 2050  Increasing energy productivity by 2.1 % p.a.  Reduction of electricity consumption (10% by 2020, 25% by 2050)  E-Mobility: One million e-cars by 2020 BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Page 3
  • 4. Energy concept 2010 / overview In summary: Very ambitious! BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Page 4 Seite
  • 5. The „German Energiewende“: 160 000 Roads Act Renewable Energies Act (EEG) 140 000 ? 120 000 MW 100 000 Photovoltaics Maximum load: ca. 83.000 MW 80 000 2012 Wind offshore 60 000 Minimum load: ca. 35.000 MW 40 000 Wind onshore 2000 20 000 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 Thermal waste treatment Water power >5 MW* Water power <5MW* Biomass Wind onshore Wind offshore Photovoltaics Geothermal energy** * Partly estimated; **Geothermal energy not visible (2011: 10 MW) BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann Source: BDEW, BMU-Leitstudie 2011 23.10.2013 Seite 5
  • 6. Deployment of power plants in 2001 Utilisation of power plants and load (in MW) Wednesday, 17 October 2001 80 000 70 000 60 000 Psp.-Erzeugung Photovoltaik 50 000 Wind Sonst. EE 40 000 Wasserkraft Sonstige 30 000 Erdgas Steinkohle 20 000 Braunkohle Kernenergie 10 000 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Time of day Sources: Statistisches Bundesamt, www.eeg-kwk.net, BDEW (own calculation) BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Page 6
  • 7. Situation 21 to 25 March 2013 80 000 Thursday, 21.03.2013 Friday, 22.03.2013 Saturday, 23.03.2013 Sunday, 24.03.2013 Monday, 25.03.2013 70 000 60 000 50 000 40 000 30 000 Residual Load: 14.405 MW 69% load coverage with Wind&PV Residual Load: 65.274 MW 2% load coverage with Wind&PV 20 000 10 000 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 0 Wind Photovoltaics Load Sources: Transmission System Operators, BDEW (own calculation) BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Page 7
  • 8. I Wind, photovoltaics and electricity in 2030: A simple estimation Wind & photovoltaics in 2030 80.000 70.000 80.000 Installed capacity: wind 62.800 MW*, photovoltaics 63.000 MW* Electricity consumption: -15% gg. 2008; weather as in 2011 70.000 60.000 50.000 50.000 MW 60.000 40.000 40.000 30.000 20.000 20.000 10.000 10.000 0 0 08.03.30 08.03.30 09.03.30 09.03.30 10.03.30 10.03.30 11.03.30 11.03.30 12.03.30 12.03.30 13.03.30 13.03.30 14.03.30 14.03.30 15.03.30 15.03.30 16.03.30 16.03.30 17.03.30 17.03.30 18.03.30 18.03.30 19.03.30 19.03.30 20.03.30 20.03.30 30.000 08.03.30 08.03.30 09.03.30 09.03.30 10.03.30 10.03.30 11.03.30 11.03.30 12.03.30 12.03.30 13.03.30 13.03.30 14.03.30 14.03.30 15.03.30 15.03.30 16.03.30 16.03.30 17.03.30 17.03.30 18.03.30 18.03.30 19.03.30 19.03.30 20.03.30 20.03.30 MW Residual load in 2030 Wind Residual load Consumption (network load) Photovoltaics Wind & PV Consumption (network load) * According to BMU-Leitstudie 2010 BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Source: BDEW (own calculation) Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Seite 8
  • 9. Photovoltaics feed-in, May 15th, 2013 25 000 15 May 2013 Feed-in in MW 20 000 15 000 Photovoltaics 10 000 For comparison: Nuclear 5 000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Time of day 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Sources: EEX, www.eeg-kwk.net BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Page 9
  • 10. Utilisation gas power plant Gersteinwerk (427 MW, implemented in 1973) June 2009 Source: RWE BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. July 2009 June 2011 Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann July 2011 23.10.2013 Seite 10
  • 11. Challenges for the generation system: Considerably more capacity fo the same task Gross electricity generation (TWh) Renewables Renewables 120 Renew. 160 2010 40 Conv. 80 Conv. 100 200 Conv. 200 Conventional 300 Conventional 400 Conventional Renewables 500 Renewables 240 Renew. 600 Electricity generation capacity (GW) 2020 2030 0 0 2010 2020 2030 • It is necessary to significantly expand capacities for renewable energies to achieve a share of 35 % in electricity consumption by 2020 and 50 % by 2030 (with constant electricity consumption) • The conventional generation system must be held available as back-up or system service, however, electricity generation declines significantly (economic efficiency?) BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Seite 11
  • 12. German Energiewende: New issues…  What about security of supply in Germany?  What will be the future market design? Capacity remunerations?  How far will prices for energy rise?  Will there be a real EU framework for energy and climate policy?  How is the Energiewende to be financed?  Can expansion of the networks and infrastructure keep pace with the expectations and the expansion of renewable energies?  And many other issues…  Result: Uncertainty BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Page 12
  • 13. Technical challenges: We need…  rapidly adjustable, highly flexible power plants  a reservoir of adequate conventional reserve capacities  new storage technologies  an intensive expansion of the power networks  a new market design  new control technologies and system services  and above all more intelligence in the whole energy supply system. From the consumer and the grids to generation itself. Bottom line: a whole range of new innovations… BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Page 13 Seite
  • 14. What does the public think? BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. www.bdew.de
  • 15. Importance and progress of the Energiewende The Energiewende is progressing… The Energiewende is ... (+6) 58 (+12) (-11) 49 41 (-11) 29 (-1) 6 (-1) (-1) (+3) 3 4 2 very important less not at all important important important very well well not very well poorly n = 1.011 As of 06/2012; changes vs. 01/2012 in brackets BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Page 15
  • 16. When electricity is generated primarily from renewable energies, … …electricity prices tend to... …there will be major power failures. (+3) (+/-0) 75 …we will depend … on electricity imports... 78 (+2) 48 (-5) (+2) 18 (-6) 16 (+1) 22 (-1) 22 6 more increase decline remain stable BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. believe it less do not believe it no change n = 1.011 As of 06/2012; changes vs. 01/2012 in brackets Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Page 16
  • 17. „Energiewende“ has... for the industrial location Germany for me individually 61 (+/-0) 37 (-1) 35 (-5) 26 (+9) 19 (+/-0) rather advantages 15 (+2) no rather consedisquences advantages rather advantages no rather consedisquences advantages n=1.010; changes vs. 01/2012 in brackets BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Page 17
  • 18. The money issue BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. www.bdew.de
  • 19. Electricity bill for households Average monthly electricity bill of a three-person household in Euros Yearly consumption: 3,500 kWh Changes compared to 1998 83,80 + 68 % 49,90 48,21 12,25 46,99 40,66 41,77 14,38 18,70 15,52 37,65 56,76 52,39 54,43 50,14 21,70 29,90 31,65 32,73 34,18 24,65 67,70 69,10 + 243 % 42,04 25,26 26,52 28,59 33,34 34,18 41,18 40,51 40,25 41,33 16,74 33,83 25,14 20,24 20,74 22,58 60,20 63,15 73,59 75,51 25,03 28,29 35,55 37,89 41,76 + 11 % 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Generation, transport and sales Taxes and levies (EEG apportionment, KWK surcharge, surcharge accord. to § 19 Network Charges Ordinance (StromNEV), offshore wind power surcharge, electricity tax, concession fee, VAT) Source: BDEW, As of: 04/2013 BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Seite 19
  • 20. Electricity prices for industrial customers also rise considerably due to levies and taxes Average electricity prices for the industry in Cent/kWh (including electricity tax) Annual consumption 160 to 20,000 MWh (Supply at medium voltage level; feed-in 100kW/1,600h to 4,000kW/5,000h) 14,04 14,33 13,25 11,53 11,41 9,34 0,08 0,11 9,73 8,92 8,86 0,15 0,09 0,11 7,98 6,47 6,86 6,05 0,31 0,36 0,05 0,26 0,13 0,20 9,15 0,19 0,25 0,11 0,35 0,11 1,23 0,05 0,42 0,11 1,23 0,05 1,23 0,69 0,11 0,05 0,51 0,11 1,23 0,05 0,88 0,11 5,61 1,23 11,40 0,05 1,16 0,11 12,07 1,54 0,03 3,592 0,05 3,530 1,31 0,17 0,10 0,07 1,23 1,23 0,05 0,07 0,04 5,277 2,05 0,11 0,11 0,11 0,11 10,70 8,51 5,46 1,54 1,54 0,11 9,26 5,99 1,23 0,05 1,02 0,11 14,87 6,17 7,02 9,00 8,70 8,63 8,83 8,98 7,65 7,61 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Erzeugung, Transport, Vertrieb KWK-Aufschlag Stromsteuer Konzessionsabgabe §19-Umlage * From 2010 application of the Ordinance on a Nationwide Equalisation Scheme BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann EEG-Umlage* Offshore-Haftungsumlage Sources: VEA, BDEW; As of: 05/2013 23.10.2013 Seite 20
  • 21. Most industrial firms have to pay for renewable energies… 1,638 businesses/business units benefit from the special equalisation scheme under Article 16 EEG 4% 44,865 industrial firms 96 % 96% of all industrial firms in Germany pay the full levy (2013: 5,277 ct/kWh) for the renewables energy act (EEG)! Full EEG apportitionment: rd. 43,000 industrial firms * Economic activities defined in sections B (mining and quarrying) and C (manufacturing), German Classification of Economic Activities, 2008 edition (WZ 2008) Sources: BDEW (own calculation based on forecast data for EEG apportitionment 2013 of 15/10/2012), BAFA, Stat. Bundesamt BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Seite 21
  • 22. …but there are some exceptions: 1,638 businesses/business units benefit from the special equalisation scheme under Article 16 EEG 4% 44,865 industrial firms 96 % Full EEG apportitionment: rd. 43,000 industrial firms Only 4% of all industrial firms in Germany pay a reduced levy for the renewables energy act (EEG): • electricty intensive industrial firms (e. g. steel, aluminium, chemical base materials, paper) • costs for electricity have to exceed 14% of the gross value added • >1 GWh yearly consumption • Additionally: Railways • International competition… * Economic activities defined in sections B (mining and quarrying) and C (manufacturing), German Classification of Economic Activities, 2008 edition (WZ 2008) Sources: BDEW (own calculation based on forecast data for EEG apportitionment 2013 of 15/10/2012), BAFA, Stat. Bundesamt BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Seite 22
  • 23. Financial reliefs for power-intensive industry EEG 2013: Who will be „relieved“? Industrial electricity consumption in 2013 according to EEG forecast 2013: 243,1 TWh Relief from EEG apportionment according to §37 EEG: Industries consuming approx. 30-40 TWh from own electricity generation plants 16 % Reduced EEG apport. 10%/0.5277 ct/kWh: 9.9 TWh 4% Reduced EEG apport. 1%/0.05277 ct/kWh: 20.9 TWh Limited EEG apport. 0.05 ct/kWh: 60.6 TWh 8% 243.1 TWh 47 % Full EEG apportionment/5.277 ct/kWh: 113.8 TWh 25 %  Full EEG apportionment for nearly half of the industrial electricity consumption!  Without exeptional rules according to §40 EEG 2012, the surcharge in 2013 would be 4.23 ct/kWh, thus 1.05 ct/kWh lower. Source: BDEW (own calculation based on EEG 2013 forecast data of 15/10/2012) BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Seite 23
  • 24. What about jobs? BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. www.bdew.de
  • 25. Development of jobs in the field of renewable energies in Germany After continued growth, the number of jobs slightly declined for the first time in 2012. This was especially due to the crisis in the solar industry. The total number of jobs remained on the previous year‘s level because wind and bioenergy developed well. ? BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Page 25
  • 26. Jobs: Consequences But:  Almost 42 million employees in Germany  About 29 million social secured employees  Out of which 5.2 million in manufacturing industry sector (18 %)  830,000 employees in energy intensive branches alone. Challenging questions:  Which consequences will Energiewende have on these jobs?  Will industry sector jobs remain competitive? BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Page 26
  • 27. Status Quo: Problems:  Uncertainty (security of supply, prices, market design…)  Energy prices  International competition of German economy Hope:  Financial reliefs  Still: Germany‘s energy security is one of the best in the world  Innovation: Energiewende is one of the most interesting and challenging industrial projects of our time BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Page 27 Seite
  • 28. BDEW-proposals The Path to New Market Structures for the Success of the Energy Transition BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. www.bdew.de
  • 29. BDEW- Proposals September 2013  Market integration, i.a. through mandatory direct marketing Pillar I: Substantial EEGReform Pillar II: Introduction of a decentralised capacity market for new installations (2 steps)  System integration, i.a. by mandatory equipping with technical components to deliver system services  Creation of a legal basis for the introduction of a decentralised capacity market with an obligation for retailer / BRP to secure firm capacity  Activation when need is foreseeable 1. Use potentials for optimisation of the Energy-Only Market 2. Introduction of a Strategic Reserve with a regional element Accompanying measures in four areas to replace the current grid reserve 3. Creation of the basis for grid expansion 4. „Embedding“ the measures within the EU Internal Energy Market BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Page 29
  • 30. Substantial reform of EEG BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. www.bdew.de
  • 31. „Change of roles“ RES-Share of Gross domestic electricity consumption in Germany: 2012 Conventional energy: ca. 80% Target year 2050 RES: ca. 20% Conventional energy: ca. 20% RES: ca. 80% Sources: BDEW, AG Energiebilanzen,: 08/2012; Targets of Federal Gov BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 08.10.2013 23.10.2013 Page 31
  • 32. EEG-Reform: Step 1 (I)  Mandatory direct marketing for new RES-installations  Abolition of Management premium for new RES-installations  Mandatory remote control capability of installations by direct marketers for technical and operational system integration  Mandatory provision of technical facilities for system services  Possibility for a change into direct marketing for existing RES-installations while receiving a reduced management premium BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Page 32
  • 33. EEG-Reform: Step 1 (II)  Replacing guaranteed 20 years of support by volume-limited support  Synchronisation of RES-expansion with grid extension by  Strategic distribution grid planning (Dimensioning of grids to 97% of possible yearly energy feeding volume – complete compensation of installation operator)  Introduction of allocation signals for RES-installation operators as part of system planning  Reform existing privileges (e.g. Exemption from EEG-levy) to avoid the effects of loss of solidarity BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Page 33
  • 34. EEG-Reform: Step 2  Transition – asap – from an ex-post market premium set by politics to an introduction of a competitively determined support level (ex-ante market premium) , e.g. in an auction model, on the basis of a coordinated RES-expansion between federal and Länder level Precondition: Well-prepared in advance Advantages if auction is correctly designed:  Increase of cost efficiency of the energy transition  Maintaining multiplicity of participants  Achievement of renewable energy expansion goals  Shift of previously socialised economic risks to the investor BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Page 34
  • 35. Decentralised Capacity Market BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. www.bdew.de
  • 36. Decentralised capacity market - Concept Currently uniform product „electricity“ is divided into two components Energy (kilowatt-hours) BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. VSN – security of supply certificates (capacity) Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Page 36
  • 37. Decentralised capacity market – Central Elements  Obligation on electricity retailers /BRPs to provide of security of supply certificates (VSN) equal to the sum of the related electrical capacity at the time of shortage  firm capacity becomes product of its own  Providers of firm capacities (Power plants, storage, controllable RES) can offer VSN  Standardisation of VSN  suitable for exchanges and publicly tradable.  Product freedom for demand-side flexibility ( Innovation, Efficiency)  Introduction of a financial penalty in case of non-compliance at shortage  Accounts likewise for provider and demander of VSN  Penalty level determines level security of supply  Participation of foreign capacity possible if firm interconnection capacity can be booked BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Page 37
  • 38. Decentralised capacity market - advantages  Market solution  No determination and tender of capacity need by the state  Value of VSN is determined by supply and demand  Demand side flexibilities are integrated in the market  Energy Only market is only supplemented  Low administrative burden through decentralized approach Electricity retailers know best their customer‘s capacity need  Sole Focus on security of supply No pursuance of secondary objectives like climate protection  Possibility for connection with EU- Internal Energy Market BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Page 38
  • 39. Accompanying measures – EOM and Strategic Reserve Further development of EOM  EOM to remain the effective and efficient Dispatch-Instrument  central market place for RES, power plants, storage, flexibilities  Diverse Options for further development exist  Currently further work on this  Further development of EOM is the right choice, irrespective of a market design chance later on („no regret“) Strategic Reserve  Instrument to secure transition  Appropriate indicator for need to activate VSN-Model  Possible overlap with VSN-System in introductory phase BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Page 39
  • 40. Principle of a Strategic Reserve €/MWh Angebot Nachfrage €/MWh MW  Keine Markträumung möglich BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. SR-Kapazität MW  Einsatz der Strategischen Reserve (SR) ermöglicht Markträumung 14. StadtwerkeForum der Thüringer Energie AG Andreas Kuhlmann 01.10.2013 Seite 40
  • 41. Accompanying measures – Grid infrastructure and European perspective Grid infrastructure  Introduction of a stronger capacity component for network fees to counteract effects of loss of solidarity  Implementation of the BDEW „Roadmap Smart Grids“  Recognition of innovation and abolition of the time delay for distribution grids in the incentive regulation  Limitation of avoided network tariffs on controllable systems European involvement  Strengthening the ETS with ambitious CO2-reduction targets beyond 2020  Rapid activation of the pentalateral Forum as a nucleus for European coordination of security of supply and market design BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Page 41
  • 42. Integration of the European energy exchange until 2014 and beyond… CWE Nordic UK‐CH CEE CSE Targets of market integration in the European energy exchange:  By end of 2014: European Day-ahead SWE trade (implicit auction and price coupling)  Intra-day trade of excess capacities on 700 1500 610 600 1100 1000 2300 800 600 2200 1000 2000 3500 800 1200 900 285 4165 2575 an integrated market platform  Establishment of a cross-border electricity balancing market 3200 1300 (2600) CWE – Central Western Europe CEE – Central Eastern Europe CSE – Central South Europe SWE – South Western Europe BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy Andreas Kuhlmann 23.10.2013 Seite 42
  • 43. Thank you for your attention! BDEW German Association for Energy and Water Industries Reinhardtstraße 32 10117 Berlin Phone +49 30 / 300199-0 www.bdew.de BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. Quo vadis German Energy Policy 23.10.2013 www.bdew.de Seite 43