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Energy Policies of IEA Countries
Ireland 2012 Review

Government Buildings, Merrion Street, Dublin
11 July 2012


Maria van der Hoeven
Executive Director
International Energy Agency


                 © OECD/IEA 2012
Review background
 IEA conducts regular reviews every 5 to 6 years
 The review took place in November 2010

 Based on the IEA’s Shared Goals and three pillars
    Energy security
    Economic growth
    Environmental sustainability

 Peer review by experts from other IEA member
  countries, the European Commission (EC), and the IEA
  Secretariat
                                                      © OECD/IEA 2012
Notable changes since the last review
 Significant reforms have continued, despite the
  economic downturn
    Electricity and natural gas markets

    Renewable energy

    Energy efficiency and climate change




                                                    © OECD/IEA 2012
Primary Energy Supply is hydrocarbon-based
 Fossil fuels = 95%
    Oil is 48% TPES, remains
                                      Mtoe
                                 16


     largest energy source       14


    Coal (9%) and peat (6%)     12


     declining; still sizeable   10



    Gas growing, now 33% TPES
                                 8

                                 6


 Push for renewables            4


    Huge wind potential         2

                                 0
    Biomass small; developing    1973         1978        1983     1988    1993      1998      2003    2008

                                             Oil      Natural gas   Peat   Coal    Biofuels and waste   Wind
    R&D in ocean energy
 Not in energy mix
    Solar and hydro limited
    No nuclear allowed                                                                                 © OECD/IEA 2012
Decarbonising electricity generation
 Renewables policy emphasis – 40% generation by 2020
    Favourable REFITs extended
                                          35 TWh

    Wind =10%; 30% 2020 target           30

    New REFITs for 2nd gen. biomass      25


                                          20


 Gas is the dominant fuel                15


    Now accounts for 62% of power        10



    Will grow in tandem with growth in   5



     variable renewables                  0
                                           1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009

                                               Oil   Natural gas   Peat   Coal   Hydro   Biofuels and waste     Wind


 Coal and peat are declining
    Carbon tax disincentive
    Peat subsidies phased out
                                                                                                         © OECD/IEA 2012
Decarbonising with demand-side measures
 Very proactive energy efficiency policy
    National target of 20% savings in 2020 (compared to 1990)
    Public sector to be exemplary, with a target of 30% savings
    Detailed NEEAP outlines 90 measures across all sectors of the economy

 Energy R&D into low-carbon technologies
      Public funds quintupled from 2005 and 2008; maintained despite crisis
      Strong engagement with ICT companies
      World leader for smart grid development
      Encouragement of electric vehicles
      Deployment of smart meters
      Strong potential for ocean energy in the future
                                                                           © OECD/IEA 2012
Importance of infrastructure projects
 Electricity                           Map of gas pipelines

    East-West interconnector to GB
    Grid25 for wind integration
    Extra North-South line needed

 Gas
    Possible Shannon LNG project
    Corrib field still not producing
    Gas storage is needed

 NIMBY problems
    Local community concerns
    Consenting process important
                                                               © OECD/IEA 2012
Addressing energy security concerns
 Electricity production increasingly based on renewables
    Gas to provide power when the wind generation is not available
    500 MW East-West interconnector to Great Britain in 2012

 Importance of reliable gas supplies
    93% of gas supply comes through one entry point, Moffat
    Poor geology for gas storage to meet peak demand
    Efforts to diversify gas supply – Corrib, Shannon LNG

 Future of the sole oil refinery is uncertain
    75 mb/d Whitegate refinery could close after 2016
    …but the North-West Europe product market is abundant and diversified
    And Ireland is increasing its domestic stockholding levels
                                                                       © OECD/IEA 2012
Deepening regional integration
 Push for all-island market with Northern Ireland
   Electricity:    SEM has been successfully implemented
   Gas:            CAG seeking to emulate success of SEM

 Integrating with UK and EU markets
   500 MW East-West interconnector to Great Britain
   Affected by ongoing UK electricity market reform?
   Implications of EU target models for gas and electricity?

 Regulator’s oversight and empowerment is key
                                                                © OECD/IEA 2012
Key recommendations (1/2)
The government of Ireland should

 Support diversification and flexibility of gas supply


 Enhance the consultation, planning and consenting
  process for infrastructure projects

 Maintain funding for new low-carbon technologies,
  such as wind, biomass, ocean and smart grids
                                                          © OECD/IEA 2012
Key recommendations (2/2)
The government of Ireland should

 Ensure that participation in regional energy markets
  brings benefits to Irish consumers and investors

 Ensure that regulator’s powers are sufficient




                                                         © OECD/IEA 2012
Implementing our recommendations
 will help Ireland to

 Improve its energy security, at a time of heightened
  risks
 Create new jobs in the new entrants to the electricity
  and gas sectors
 Limit the need for energy use and make the economy
  more energy-efficient
 Help the country become a 21st century low-carbon
  economy
                                                         © OECD/IEA 2012

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IEA Reviews Ireland's Energy Policies and Recommends Diversifying Gas Supply

  • 1. Energy Policies of IEA Countries Ireland 2012 Review Government Buildings, Merrion Street, Dublin 11 July 2012 Maria van der Hoeven Executive Director International Energy Agency © OECD/IEA 2012
  • 2. Review background  IEA conducts regular reviews every 5 to 6 years  The review took place in November 2010  Based on the IEA’s Shared Goals and three pillars  Energy security  Economic growth  Environmental sustainability  Peer review by experts from other IEA member countries, the European Commission (EC), and the IEA Secretariat © OECD/IEA 2012
  • 3. Notable changes since the last review  Significant reforms have continued, despite the economic downturn  Electricity and natural gas markets  Renewable energy  Energy efficiency and climate change © OECD/IEA 2012
  • 4. Primary Energy Supply is hydrocarbon-based  Fossil fuels = 95%  Oil is 48% TPES, remains Mtoe 16 largest energy source 14  Coal (9%) and peat (6%) 12 declining; still sizeable 10  Gas growing, now 33% TPES 8 6  Push for renewables 4  Huge wind potential 2 0  Biomass small; developing 1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008 Oil Natural gas Peat Coal Biofuels and waste Wind  R&D in ocean energy  Not in energy mix  Solar and hydro limited  No nuclear allowed © OECD/IEA 2012
  • 5. Decarbonising electricity generation  Renewables policy emphasis – 40% generation by 2020  Favourable REFITs extended 35 TWh  Wind =10%; 30% 2020 target 30  New REFITs for 2nd gen. biomass 25 20  Gas is the dominant fuel 15  Now accounts for 62% of power 10  Will grow in tandem with growth in 5 variable renewables 0 1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 Oil Natural gas Peat Coal Hydro Biofuels and waste Wind  Coal and peat are declining  Carbon tax disincentive  Peat subsidies phased out © OECD/IEA 2012
  • 6. Decarbonising with demand-side measures  Very proactive energy efficiency policy  National target of 20% savings in 2020 (compared to 1990)  Public sector to be exemplary, with a target of 30% savings  Detailed NEEAP outlines 90 measures across all sectors of the economy  Energy R&D into low-carbon technologies  Public funds quintupled from 2005 and 2008; maintained despite crisis  Strong engagement with ICT companies  World leader for smart grid development  Encouragement of electric vehicles  Deployment of smart meters  Strong potential for ocean energy in the future © OECD/IEA 2012
  • 7. Importance of infrastructure projects  Electricity Map of gas pipelines  East-West interconnector to GB  Grid25 for wind integration  Extra North-South line needed  Gas  Possible Shannon LNG project  Corrib field still not producing  Gas storage is needed  NIMBY problems  Local community concerns  Consenting process important © OECD/IEA 2012
  • 8. Addressing energy security concerns  Electricity production increasingly based on renewables  Gas to provide power when the wind generation is not available  500 MW East-West interconnector to Great Britain in 2012  Importance of reliable gas supplies  93% of gas supply comes through one entry point, Moffat  Poor geology for gas storage to meet peak demand  Efforts to diversify gas supply – Corrib, Shannon LNG  Future of the sole oil refinery is uncertain  75 mb/d Whitegate refinery could close after 2016  …but the North-West Europe product market is abundant and diversified  And Ireland is increasing its domestic stockholding levels © OECD/IEA 2012
  • 9. Deepening regional integration  Push for all-island market with Northern Ireland  Electricity: SEM has been successfully implemented  Gas: CAG seeking to emulate success of SEM  Integrating with UK and EU markets  500 MW East-West interconnector to Great Britain  Affected by ongoing UK electricity market reform?  Implications of EU target models for gas and electricity?  Regulator’s oversight and empowerment is key © OECD/IEA 2012
  • 10. Key recommendations (1/2) The government of Ireland should  Support diversification and flexibility of gas supply  Enhance the consultation, planning and consenting process for infrastructure projects  Maintain funding for new low-carbon technologies, such as wind, biomass, ocean and smart grids © OECD/IEA 2012
  • 11. Key recommendations (2/2) The government of Ireland should  Ensure that participation in regional energy markets brings benefits to Irish consumers and investors  Ensure that regulator’s powers are sufficient © OECD/IEA 2012
  • 12. Implementing our recommendations will help Ireland to  Improve its energy security, at a time of heightened risks  Create new jobs in the new entrants to the electricity and gas sectors  Limit the need for energy use and make the economy more energy-efficient  Help the country become a 21st century low-carbon economy © OECD/IEA 2012