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                Payback Method

Guided By:                Prepared By:
Prof. Pinakin Jaiswal   Bhumi Thakkar (31)
                        Jaimeen Panchal(32)


                                              #
CAPITAL BUDGETING
•   The term 'Capital Budgeting' refers to long term planning for
    proposed capital outlays & their financing.
•   Capital budgeting is a process by which organization evaluates and
    selects long-term investment projects
     – Ex. Investments in capital equipment, purchase or lease of
        buildings, purchase or lease of vehicles, etc.

•   There are various techniques(methods) used to make capital budgeting
    decisions.




                                                                      #
CAPITAL BUDGETING
      Outcome                   Large amounts of
    is uncertain.               money involved.


            Analyzing alternative long-
          term investments and deciding
          which assets to acquire or sell.


   Decision may be
                               Investment involves
difficult or impossible
                             long-term commitment.
      to reverse.                             #
Capital Budgeting Appraisal
          Methods
1. TRADITIONAL METHOD
    A. Pay back method
    B. Average rate o return
2. TIME-ADJUSTED METHOD
    A. Net present value method
    B. Internal rate of return
    C. Profitability index method


                                    #
Pay-back method:
Payback (period) Method is the exact amount of time required for a
firm to recover its initial investment in a project as calculated from
cash inflows.
                                 Or
In other words, the payback period is the length of time required to
recover the initial cost of the project.
E.g. If a project requires Rs. 20,000 as initial investment and it
will generate an annual cash inflows of Rs 5000 for 10yrs the
pay-back will be 4 years.

Payback period =    Initial investment
                Constant Annual cash inflow

                = 20000/5000
                = 4 years
Unadjusted rate of return = Annual return * 100
                             Initial investment
                            = 5000 /20000 *100
                            = 25%
When the annual cash inflows
            are un equal:
E.g. a proposal requires a cash outflow of Rs. 20,000
and is expected to generate cash inflow of Rs 8000,Rs
6000, Rs 4000, Rs 2,000 Rs 2,000 over next 5 years
The payback period = 4
as the sum of cash inflow is 20,000



 Year          Annual CF     Cumulative CF
 1             8,000         8,000
 2             6,000         14,000
 3             4,000         18,000
 4             2,000         20,000
Payback Period –
             Uneven Cash Flows

                                              Cumulative
Casey Co. wants to             Annual Net      Net Cash
install a machine       Year   Cash Flows       Flows
that costs 16,000        0         (16,000)       (16,000)
and has an 8-year        1           3,000        (13,000)
useful life with zero    2           4,000         (9,000)
salvage value.           3           4,000         (5,000)
Annual net cash          4           4,000         (1,000)
                         5           5,000
flows are:
                         6           3,000
                         7           2,000
                                                    #
Payback Period –
             Uneven Cash Flows
                                                  Cumulative
 We recover the 16,000             Annual Net      Net Cash
purchase price between      Year   Cash Flows       Flows
 years 4 and 5, about        0         (16,000)       (16,000)
   4.2 years for the         1           3,000        (13,000)
    payback period.          2           4,000         (9,000)
                             3           4,000         (5,000)
                             4           4,000         (1,000)
                         4.2
                             5           5,000
                             6           3,000
                             7           2,000
                             8           2,000
                                                        #
ACCEPT-REJECT CRITERIA




•   The pay back period can be used as a decision criterion to
    accept or reject investment proposals.
•   Application of this technique is to compare the actual pay back
    with a predetermined pay back.
•   Actual pay back period is less than the predetermined pay back,
    the project would be accepted; if not, it would be rejected.
•    When mutually exclusive projects are under consideration, they
    may be ranked according to the length of the pay back period.
•   Thus, the project having the shortest pay back may be assigned
    rank one, followed in that order so that the project with the
    longest pay back would be ranked last.                          #
ADVANTAGES OF PAYBACK
             METHOD

•    Payback period method is simple and easy to calculate and to
    apply fro small, repetitive investments.
•    It gives the indication of liquidity. In case a firm is having liquidity
    problem, this method is good to adopt as it emphasizes earlier cash
    inflows.
•    It deals with risk too. The project with a shorter payback period will
    be less risky as compared to project with a longer payback period.
•   Payback period method takes into account tax and depreciation.




                                                                           #
DISADVANTAG OF PAYBACK
           METHOD
•   It ignores the time value of money.
    e.g. There are 2 projects a and b , the cost of project is 30,000 in
    each case. The cash inflows are as :
     Year               Project A           Project B
     1                  10,000              2,000
     2                  10,000              4,000
     3                  10,000              24,000

•   It completely ignores all cash inflows after the payback period.




                                                                           #
NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV)
•   Net Present Value (NPV), defined as the present value of the future
    net cash flows from an investment project, is one of the main ways to
    evaluate an investment.
•   When choosing between competiting investments using the net present
    value calculation you should select the one with the highest present
    value.

    If:
    NPV > 0, accept the investment.
    NPV < 0, reject the investment.
    NPV = 0, the investment is marginal



                                                                       #
NPV V/S PAYBACK PERIOD
•   NPV (Net Present Value) is calculated in terms of currency while
    Payback method refers to the period of time required for the return on
    an investment to repay the total initial investment.
•   NPV, payback, and many other measurements form a number of
    solutions to evaluate project value.
•   Payback method, v/s NPV method, has limitations for its use because it
    does not properly account for the time value of money, inflation, risk,
    financing or other important considerations.
•   While NPV method considers time value and it gives a direct measure
    of the dollar benefit on a present value basis of the project to the firm’s
    shareholders. NPV is the best single measure of profitability.




                                                                           #
•   Payback, v/s NPV, ignores any benefits that occur after the payback
    period. It also does not measure total incomes.
•    An implicit assumption in the use of payback period is that returns to
    the investment continue after payback period.
•   Payback method does not specify any required comparison to other
    investments or investment decision making.
•    It indicates the maximum acceptable period for the investment. While
    NPV measures the total value of project benefits. NPV, payback period
    fully considered, is the better way to compare with different investment
    projects.



                                                                         #
#

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Sfm

  • 1. A Presentation on Payback Method Guided By: Prepared By: Prof. Pinakin Jaiswal Bhumi Thakkar (31) Jaimeen Panchal(32) #
  • 2. CAPITAL BUDGETING • The term 'Capital Budgeting' refers to long term planning for proposed capital outlays & their financing. • Capital budgeting is a process by which organization evaluates and selects long-term investment projects – Ex. Investments in capital equipment, purchase or lease of buildings, purchase or lease of vehicles, etc. • There are various techniques(methods) used to make capital budgeting decisions. #
  • 3. CAPITAL BUDGETING Outcome Large amounts of is uncertain. money involved. Analyzing alternative long- term investments and deciding which assets to acquire or sell. Decision may be Investment involves difficult or impossible long-term commitment. to reverse. #
  • 4. Capital Budgeting Appraisal Methods 1. TRADITIONAL METHOD A. Pay back method B. Average rate o return 2. TIME-ADJUSTED METHOD A. Net present value method B. Internal rate of return C. Profitability index method #
  • 5. Pay-back method: Payback (period) Method is the exact amount of time required for a firm to recover its initial investment in a project as calculated from cash inflows. Or In other words, the payback period is the length of time required to recover the initial cost of the project.
  • 6. E.g. If a project requires Rs. 20,000 as initial investment and it will generate an annual cash inflows of Rs 5000 for 10yrs the pay-back will be 4 years. Payback period = Initial investment Constant Annual cash inflow = 20000/5000 = 4 years Unadjusted rate of return = Annual return * 100 Initial investment = 5000 /20000 *100 = 25%
  • 7. When the annual cash inflows are un equal: E.g. a proposal requires a cash outflow of Rs. 20,000 and is expected to generate cash inflow of Rs 8000,Rs 6000, Rs 4000, Rs 2,000 Rs 2,000 over next 5 years The payback period = 4 as the sum of cash inflow is 20,000 Year Annual CF Cumulative CF 1 8,000 8,000 2 6,000 14,000 3 4,000 18,000 4 2,000 20,000
  • 8. Payback Period – Uneven Cash Flows Cumulative Casey Co. wants to Annual Net Net Cash install a machine Year Cash Flows Flows that costs 16,000 0 (16,000) (16,000) and has an 8-year 1 3,000 (13,000) useful life with zero 2 4,000 (9,000) salvage value. 3 4,000 (5,000) Annual net cash 4 4,000 (1,000) 5 5,000 flows are: 6 3,000 7 2,000 #
  • 9. Payback Period – Uneven Cash Flows Cumulative We recover the 16,000 Annual Net Net Cash purchase price between Year Cash Flows Flows years 4 and 5, about 0 (16,000) (16,000) 4.2 years for the 1 3,000 (13,000) payback period. 2 4,000 (9,000) 3 4,000 (5,000) 4 4,000 (1,000) 4.2 5 5,000 6 3,000 7 2,000 8 2,000 #
  • 10. ACCEPT-REJECT CRITERIA • The pay back period can be used as a decision criterion to accept or reject investment proposals. • Application of this technique is to compare the actual pay back with a predetermined pay back. • Actual pay back period is less than the predetermined pay back, the project would be accepted; if not, it would be rejected. • When mutually exclusive projects are under consideration, they may be ranked according to the length of the pay back period. • Thus, the project having the shortest pay back may be assigned rank one, followed in that order so that the project with the longest pay back would be ranked last. #
  • 11. ADVANTAGES OF PAYBACK METHOD • Payback period method is simple and easy to calculate and to apply fro small, repetitive investments. • It gives the indication of liquidity. In case a firm is having liquidity problem, this method is good to adopt as it emphasizes earlier cash inflows. • It deals with risk too. The project with a shorter payback period will be less risky as compared to project with a longer payback period. • Payback period method takes into account tax and depreciation. #
  • 12. DISADVANTAG OF PAYBACK METHOD • It ignores the time value of money. e.g. There are 2 projects a and b , the cost of project is 30,000 in each case. The cash inflows are as : Year Project A Project B 1 10,000 2,000 2 10,000 4,000 3 10,000 24,000 • It completely ignores all cash inflows after the payback period. #
  • 13. NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV) • Net Present Value (NPV), defined as the present value of the future net cash flows from an investment project, is one of the main ways to evaluate an investment. • When choosing between competiting investments using the net present value calculation you should select the one with the highest present value. If: NPV > 0, accept the investment. NPV < 0, reject the investment. NPV = 0, the investment is marginal #
  • 14. NPV V/S PAYBACK PERIOD • NPV (Net Present Value) is calculated in terms of currency while Payback method refers to the period of time required for the return on an investment to repay the total initial investment. • NPV, payback, and many other measurements form a number of solutions to evaluate project value. • Payback method, v/s NPV method, has limitations for its use because it does not properly account for the time value of money, inflation, risk, financing or other important considerations. • While NPV method considers time value and it gives a direct measure of the dollar benefit on a present value basis of the project to the firm’s shareholders. NPV is the best single measure of profitability. #
  • 15. Payback, v/s NPV, ignores any benefits that occur after the payback period. It also does not measure total incomes. • An implicit assumption in the use of payback period is that returns to the investment continue after payback period. • Payback method does not specify any required comparison to other investments or investment decision making. • It indicates the maximum acceptable period for the investment. While NPV measures the total value of project benefits. NPV, payback period fully considered, is the better way to compare with different investment projects. #
  • 16. #