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BUSINESS	
  DESIGN	
  
For	
  Big-­‐Data	
  Driven,	
  Social	
  &	
  Mobile	
  Consumer	
  




      A	
  Decision	
  Management	
  Approach	
  
                  Gagan	
  Saxena	
  (@Gagan_S)	
  
                      October	
  16,	
  2012	
  
Agenda	
  

1.  Business	
  coping	
  with	
  Challenges	
  of	
  Big-­‐Data	
  and	
  the	
  
    Social,	
  Mobile	
  Consumer	
  
2.  Not	
  a	
  Technology	
  Issue	
  
3.  Business	
  Design	
  –	
  Structure,	
  Processes	
  and	
  Roles	
  
4.  “Decision	
  First”	
  Approach	
  
5.  Three	
  Steps	
  to	
  Success	
  




                                                                                2	
  
Business	
  Squeezed	
  in	
  the	
  Middle	
  




Consumer	
  Evoluon	
                        Technology	
  Choices	
  


                                                                      3	
  
Big	
  Data	
  Challenge	
  

•  Velocity	
  
    –  More	
  rapid	
  arrival	
  

•  Volume	
  
    –  Of	
  much	
  more	
  data	
  

•  Variety	
  
    –  In	
  many	
  more	
  formats	
  
    –  …	
  including	
  unstructured	
  
       and	
  semi-­‐structured	
  

                                                           4	
  
ACE	
  Enterprises:	
  The	
  Story	
  So	
  Far….	
  

•  Established	
  Business	
  in	
  Retail	
  Distribuon	
  
•  Facing	
  challenges	
  from	
  nimbler	
  Competors	
  
•  Struggling	
  to	
  keep	
  more	
  demanding	
  Customers	
  

•  Need	
  to	
  do	
  something.	
  Quickly.	
  
•  Department	
  Heads	
  go	
  out	
  to	
  develop	
  Responses.	
  




                                                                         5	
  
ACE	
  Enterprises	
  Responds	
  to	
  Challenges	
  

1.  Marke(ng	
  ramps	
  up	
  Social	
  Media	
  team	
  and	
  ‘buys’	
  two	
  
    new	
  Markeng	
  Management	
  tools	
  
2.  Sales	
  recommends	
  a	
  Loyalty-­‐Based	
  Discounng	
  
3.  Product	
  Development	
  develops	
  Cross-­‐Sell/	
  Up-­‐Sell	
  
    packages	
  to	
  maximize	
  Margins	
  
4.  Opera(ons	
  develops	
  Rules	
  for	
  more	
  efficient	
  Shipping	
  
    and	
  for	
  roung	
  Customer	
  Care	
  calls	
  
5.  Accoun(ng	
  tries	
  yet	
  another	
  Performance	
  Management	
  
    Dashboard	
  
6.  Technology	
  signs	
  up	
  for	
  more	
  BI,	
  BPM,	
  BRMS	
  and	
  
    Infrastructure	
  to	
  go	
  with	
  it	
  

                                                                                6	
  
ACE	
  Enterprises	
  is	
  Stuck	
  

•    Too	
  many	
  Projects	
  have	
  been	
  Started	
  
•    New	
  ‘ad-­‐hoc’	
  Roles	
  &	
  Procedures	
  have	
  been	
  Created	
  
•    Time	
  and	
  Money	
  is	
  running	
  out	
  
•    Daily	
  ops	
  are	
  suffering	
  since	
  Projects	
  have	
  priority	
  

•  ACE	
  is	
  no	
  bejer	
  off.	
  Things	
  are	
  worse.	
  




                                                                                7	
  
A	
  Fresh	
  Look	
  


Redesign	
  	
  
Consumer	
  
Experience	
  




                          And	
  Create	
  a	
  
                          “SMART”	
  System.	
  


                                                   8	
  
What	
  is	
  a	
  ‘Smart’	
  System?	
  

                                      Business	
  Rules	
  Management	
  
                                Analycs	
             Big	
  Data	
  
                                         Predicve	
  Modeling	
  
                                            Complex	
  Event	
  Processing	
  
                                  Natural	
  Language	
  Processing	
  
                                      Business	
  Process	
  Management	
  




How	
  do	
  we	
  bring	
  these	
  capabilies	
  into	
  the	
  Organizaon?	
  

                                                                                      9	
  
10	
  
11	
  
12	
  
“Informaon	
  Technology”	
  coined	
  in	
  1958	
  (US-­‐BEA).	
  
                 Double	
  every	
  18	
  months	
  per	
  Moore’s	
  Law.	
  
      In	
  2006,	
  we	
  moved	
  into	
  the	
  Second	
  Half	
  of	
  the	
  Chessboard.	
  
“Exponenal	
  Growth	
  has	
  confounded	
  our	
  intuion	
  &	
  expectaons.”	
  



                                                                                                    13	
  
Soluon?	
  




     “The	
  soluon	
  is	
  organizaonal	
  innovaon:	
  co-­‐invenng	
  new	
  
organizaonal	
  structures,	
  processes,	
  and	
  business	
  models	
  that	
  leverage	
  
              ever-­‐advancing	
  technology	
  and	
  human	
  skills.”	
  



                                  Where’s	
  the	
  Manual?	
  




                                                                                           14	
  
The	
  Classics	
  on	
  Business	
  Process	
  Design.	
  
Assume	
  ‘Classic’	
  (Legacy)	
  Technology.	
  



                                                              15	
  
Management	
  by	
  
Objecves	
  (1954)	
  
	
  
 "Objecves	
  are	
  needed	
  
 in	
  every	
  area	
  where	
  
 performance	
  and	
  results	
  
 directly	
  and	
  vitally	
  affect	
  
 the	
  survival	
  and	
  
 prosperity	
  of	
  the	
  
 business."	
  

 Create	
  Customers!	
  




                                      16	
  
”Linking	
  Strategy	
  
to	
  Operaons”	
  




                      17	
  
Designing	
  New	
  
Validated	
     Business	
  Models	
  
Learning	
  

                                         18	
  
New	
  Approach	
  to	
  Business	
  Process	
  Design.	
  
               Decisions,	
  First.	
  




                                                              19	
  
Business	
  is	
  a	
  Series	
  of	
  Decisions	
  

Strategic	
  Decisions	
  
•  Few	
  in	
  number,	
  large	
  impact	
  
•  Should	
  we	
  acquire	
  this	
  company	
  or	
  exit	
  this	
  market?	
  

Tac(cal	
  Decisions	
  
•  Management	
  and	
  control,	
  moderate	
  impact	
  
•  Should	
  we	
  re-­‐organize	
  this	
  supply	
  chain,	
  change	
  risk	
  mgt	
  approach?	
  

Opera(onal	
  Decisions	
  
•  Day-­‐to-­‐day	
  decisions	
  that	
  affect	
  one	
  transacon	
  or	
  customer	
  
•  Best	
  offer	
  for	
  this	
  customer?	
  How	
  risky	
  is	
  this	
  loan?	
  Is	
  this	
  claim	
  fraudulent?	
  




                                                                                                                               20	
  
Change	
  in	
  Processing	
  Paradigm	
  
                                   Interrupted	
  Processing	
  

     A	
                                 B	
                                          C	
  
     Process	
     Human    	
            Process	
             Human    	
           Process	
  
                   Decision	
                                   Decision	
  




                       Straight	
  Through	
  Processing	
  
Automated	
  
 Decisions	
  


                   A	
                                  C	
                     Manage	
  Rules	
  &	
  
                                         B	
                                    Handle	
  Excepons	
  




                                                                                                           21	
  
Business	
  Rules	
  



...statements	
  of	
  the	
  acons	
  you	
  should	
  
take	
  when	
  certain	
  business	
  condions	
  
are	
  true.	
  




                                                            22	
  
Business	
  Rule	
  Formats	
  




                                  23	
  
The	
  Analycs	
  Spectrum	
  
 Business	
  Intelligence	
                                Data	
  Mining	
                                   Predicve	
  Analycs	
  


                                                     X	
  X	
  XX	
  
                                                      X	
  X	
   	
  
                                                     X	
  X	
  X	
  X	
   X	
  
                                                           X	
  
                                                     X	
   X	
   X	
   X	
   X	
  
                                                               X	
  
                                                                                       X	
  X	
   X	
  
                                                          X	
   X	
  X	
  X	
   X	
  X	
  X	
  X	
  X	
  
                                                                                    X	
   X	
  X	
   X	
  
                                                                                           X	
  
                                                                                     X	
  X	
  X	
  
                                                          X	
   X	
   X	
   X	
  X	
  X	
  X	
  X	
  
                                                                         X	
  
                                                                                           X	
  
                                                                                    X	
  X	
  X	
  
                                                                    X	
  X	
   X	
   X	
  X	
  
                                                                                     X	
  X	
  X	
  
                                                                                    X	
  X	
  X	
  
                                                                                           X	
  
                                                               X	
   X	
  
                                                                 X	
                       X	
  


How	
  do	
  I	
  use	
  data	
  to	
           Who	
  are	
  my	
  best/                                    How	
  are	
  those	
  
learn	
  about	
  my	
                          worst	
  customers?	
                                        customers	
  likely	
  to	
  
customers?	
  What	
  has	
                     How	
  do	
  I	
  turn	
  my	
  data	
                       behave	
  in	
  the	
  future?	
  
been	
  happening	
  in	
  my	
                 into	
  rules	
  for	
  bejer	
                              How	
  do	
  they	
  react	
  to	
  
business?	
                                     decisions?	
                                                 the	
  myriad	
  ways	
  I	
  can	
  
                                                                                                             “touch”	
  them?	
  

Knowledge	
  -­‐	
  Descrip1on	
                                                                               Ac1on	
  -­‐	
  Prescrip1on	
  


                                                                                                                                                 24	
  
Analycs	
  DRIVE	
  Acon	
  
Operational
 Systems                                    THE CRUCIAL LINK
                                            For being Agile & Adaptive




                               Decision	
  




 Analytic
 Systems                      Business	
  relies	
  on	
  Experts	
  to	
  manage	
  this	
  Link	
  
                                                     CANNOT	
  SCALE!	
  
                                                                                          25	
  
From	
  Decisions	
  to	
  Data	
  




                                       Data	
  
                 Analyc	
  
                 Insight	
  
Decisions	
  

                NOT	
  the	
  other	
  way	
  around!	
  


                                                            26	
  
ACE	
  Enterprises	
  are	
  Ready	
  for	
  the	
  3	
  Steps!	
  

                                          Discover	
  
                                          Build	
  
                                          Improve	
  




                                                                      27	
  
1.	
  Discover	
  Decisions	
  

Hint:	
  Operaonal	
  Decisions	
  are	
  Everywhere	
  




                                                            28	
  
Idenfy	
  &	
  Understand	
  Decisions	
  


✓ Name	
  
✓ Descripon	
  
   	
  
✓ A	
  queson	
  	
  
✓ A	
  defined	
  set	
  of	
  allowable	
  
   answers	
  
   	
  
✓ Key	
  facts	
  like	
  volume,	
  complexity,	
  
   latency	
  




                                                          29	
  
Decompose	
  Decisions	
  

What	
  is	
  required	
  to	
  make	
  Decisions?	
  
 q  Guidelines,	
  Policy	
  Documents	
  
 q  Human	
  Experse	
  
 q  Regulaons	
  
 q  Exisng	
  System	
  Logic	
  
 q  Analyc	
  insight	
  
 q  Data	
  Describing	
  the	
  Case	
  
 q  External	
  Reference	
  Data	
  


  q    Results	
  of	
  other	
  decisions	
  




                                                         30	
  
Analyze	
  Knowledge	
  &	
  Decision	
  Dependencies	
  




                                                            31	
  
2.	
  Build	
  Decision	
  Services	
  

       Once	
  Decisions	
  have	
  been	
  defined,	
  	
  
       Build	
  the	
  Technical	
  Components	
  that	
  encapsulate	
  Decisions	
  



                          Straight	
  Through	
  Processing	
  
Automated	
  
 Decisions	
  

                      A	
                                C	
                              	
  
                                                                       Manage	
  Rules	
  &
                                        B	
                            Handle	
  Excepons	
  




                                                                                                 32	
  
3.	
  Improve	
  Decisions	
  

•  Learning	
  from	
  the	
  Results	
  of	
  Decision	
  Execuon	
  
    –  Good	
  Decisions?	
  
    –  Bad	
  Decisions?	
  


•  Running	
  Experiments	
  
    –  Use	
  experimental	
  configuraon	
  on	
  small	
  parts	
  of	
  the	
  business	
  
       and	
  compare	
  (A/B	
  Tesng)	
  

•  Advanced	
  Analycs	
  
    –  Find	
  Pajerns	
  in	
  Data	
  
    –  Extrapolate	
  Data	
  

                                                                                                 33	
  
ACE	
  Enterprises	
  &	
  Decision	
  Management	
  
                                                           Strategy	
  
                                                                                                    New	
  Roles	
  &	
  Workflows	
  
                                                                                                    Aligned	
  with	
  
                                                                                                    Decision	
  Model	
  




                   Automated        	
                                                                     	
  
                   Decisions 	
                             Rules	
  
                                                                                              Experts
                                                                                             Opmize          	
  
                   Technology	
  
                                                                                               Rules	
  



Raonalized	
  
Technology	
  
Architecture	
  
                                           Automated	
                                              	
  
                                                                        Run	
  Base	
  &	
  Predicve
                                           Processes	
                  Analycs	
  




                                                                                                                                  34	
  
QUESTIONS?	
  




                 35	
  

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Business Redesign with Decision Management

  • 1. BUSINESS  DESIGN   For  Big-­‐Data  Driven,  Social  &  Mobile  Consumer   A  Decision  Management  Approach   Gagan  Saxena  (@Gagan_S)   October  16,  2012  
  • 2. Agenda   1.  Business  coping  with  Challenges  of  Big-­‐Data  and  the   Social,  Mobile  Consumer   2.  Not  a  Technology  Issue   3.  Business  Design  –  Structure,  Processes  and  Roles   4.  “Decision  First”  Approach   5.  Three  Steps  to  Success   2  
  • 3. Business  Squeezed  in  the  Middle   Consumer  Evoluon   Technology  Choices   3  
  • 4. Big  Data  Challenge   •  Velocity   –  More  rapid  arrival   •  Volume   –  Of  much  more  data   •  Variety   –  In  many  more  formats   –  …  including  unstructured   and  semi-­‐structured   4  
  • 5. ACE  Enterprises:  The  Story  So  Far….   •  Established  Business  in  Retail  Distribuon   •  Facing  challenges  from  nimbler  Competors   •  Struggling  to  keep  more  demanding  Customers   •  Need  to  do  something.  Quickly.   •  Department  Heads  go  out  to  develop  Responses.   5  
  • 6. ACE  Enterprises  Responds  to  Challenges   1.  Marke(ng  ramps  up  Social  Media  team  and  ‘buys’  two   new  Markeng  Management  tools   2.  Sales  recommends  a  Loyalty-­‐Based  Discounng   3.  Product  Development  develops  Cross-­‐Sell/  Up-­‐Sell   packages  to  maximize  Margins   4.  Opera(ons  develops  Rules  for  more  efficient  Shipping   and  for  roung  Customer  Care  calls   5.  Accoun(ng  tries  yet  another  Performance  Management   Dashboard   6.  Technology  signs  up  for  more  BI,  BPM,  BRMS  and   Infrastructure  to  go  with  it   6  
  • 7. ACE  Enterprises  is  Stuck   •  Too  many  Projects  have  been  Started   •  New  ‘ad-­‐hoc’  Roles  &  Procedures  have  been  Created   •  Time  and  Money  is  running  out   •  Daily  ops  are  suffering  since  Projects  have  priority   •  ACE  is  no  bejer  off.  Things  are  worse.   7  
  • 8. A  Fresh  Look   Redesign     Consumer   Experience   And  Create  a   “SMART”  System.   8  
  • 9. What  is  a  ‘Smart’  System?   Business  Rules  Management   Analycs   Big  Data   Predicve  Modeling   Complex  Event  Processing   Natural  Language  Processing   Business  Process  Management   How  do  we  bring  these  capabilies  into  the  Organizaon?   9  
  • 10. 10  
  • 11. 11  
  • 12. 12  
  • 13. “Informaon  Technology”  coined  in  1958  (US-­‐BEA).   Double  every  18  months  per  Moore’s  Law.   In  2006,  we  moved  into  the  Second  Half  of  the  Chessboard.   “Exponenal  Growth  has  confounded  our  intuion  &  expectaons.”   13  
  • 14. Soluon?   “The  soluon  is  organizaonal  innovaon:  co-­‐invenng  new   organizaonal  structures,  processes,  and  business  models  that  leverage   ever-­‐advancing  technology  and  human  skills.”   Where’s  the  Manual?   14  
  • 15. The  Classics  on  Business  Process  Design.   Assume  ‘Classic’  (Legacy)  Technology.   15  
  • 16. Management  by   Objecves  (1954)     "Objecves  are  needed   in  every  area  where   performance  and  results   directly  and  vitally  affect   the  survival  and   prosperity  of  the   business."   Create  Customers!   16  
  • 17. ”Linking  Strategy   to  Operaons”   17  
  • 18. Designing  New   Validated   Business  Models   Learning   18  
  • 19. New  Approach  to  Business  Process  Design.   Decisions,  First.   19  
  • 20. Business  is  a  Series  of  Decisions   Strategic  Decisions   •  Few  in  number,  large  impact   •  Should  we  acquire  this  company  or  exit  this  market?   Tac(cal  Decisions   •  Management  and  control,  moderate  impact   •  Should  we  re-­‐organize  this  supply  chain,  change  risk  mgt  approach?   Opera(onal  Decisions   •  Day-­‐to-­‐day  decisions  that  affect  one  transacon  or  customer   •  Best  offer  for  this  customer?  How  risky  is  this  loan?  Is  this  claim  fraudulent?   20  
  • 21. Change  in  Processing  Paradigm   Interrupted  Processing   A   B   C   Process   Human   Process   Human   Process   Decision   Decision   Straight  Through  Processing   Automated   Decisions   A   C   Manage  Rules  &   B   Handle  Excepons   21  
  • 22. Business  Rules   ...statements  of  the  acons  you  should   take  when  certain  business  condions   are  true.   22  
  • 24. The  Analycs  Spectrum   Business  Intelligence   Data  Mining   Predicve  Analycs   X  X  XX   X  X     X  X  X  X   X   X   X   X   X   X   X   X   X  X   X   X   X  X  X   X  X  X  X  X   X   X  X   X   X   X  X  X   X   X   X   X  X  X  X  X   X   X   X  X  X   X  X   X   X  X   X  X  X   X  X  X   X   X   X   X   X   How  do  I  use  data  to   Who  are  my  best/ How  are  those   learn  about  my   worst  customers?   customers  likely  to   customers?  What  has   How  do  I  turn  my  data   behave  in  the  future?   been  happening  in  my   into  rules  for  bejer   How  do  they  react  to   business?   decisions?   the  myriad  ways  I  can   “touch”  them?   Knowledge  -­‐  Descrip1on   Ac1on  -­‐  Prescrip1on   24  
  • 25. Analycs  DRIVE  Acon   Operational Systems THE CRUCIAL LINK For being Agile & Adaptive Decision   Analytic Systems Business  relies  on  Experts  to  manage  this  Link   CANNOT  SCALE!   25  
  • 26. From  Decisions  to  Data   Data   Analyc   Insight   Decisions   NOT  the  other  way  around!   26  
  • 27. ACE  Enterprises  are  Ready  for  the  3  Steps!   Discover   Build   Improve   27  
  • 28. 1.  Discover  Decisions   Hint:  Operaonal  Decisions  are  Everywhere   28  
  • 29. Idenfy  &  Understand  Decisions   ✓ Name   ✓ Descripon     ✓ A  queson     ✓ A  defined  set  of  allowable   answers     ✓ Key  facts  like  volume,  complexity,   latency   29  
  • 30. Decompose  Decisions   What  is  required  to  make  Decisions?   q  Guidelines,  Policy  Documents   q  Human  Experse   q  Regulaons   q  Exisng  System  Logic   q  Analyc  insight   q  Data  Describing  the  Case   q  External  Reference  Data   q  Results  of  other  decisions   30  
  • 31. Analyze  Knowledge  &  Decision  Dependencies   31  
  • 32. 2.  Build  Decision  Services   Once  Decisions  have  been  defined,     Build  the  Technical  Components  that  encapsulate  Decisions   Straight  Through  Processing   Automated   Decisions   A   C     Manage  Rules  & B   Handle  Excepons   32  
  • 33. 3.  Improve  Decisions   •  Learning  from  the  Results  of  Decision  Execuon   –  Good  Decisions?   –  Bad  Decisions?   •  Running  Experiments   –  Use  experimental  configuraon  on  small  parts  of  the  business   and  compare  (A/B  Tesng)   •  Advanced  Analycs   –  Find  Pajerns  in  Data   –  Extrapolate  Data   33  
  • 34. ACE  Enterprises  &  Decision  Management   Strategy   New  Roles  &  Workflows   Aligned  with   Decision  Model   Automated     Decisions   Rules   Experts Opmize   Technology   Rules   Raonalized   Technology   Architecture   Automated     Run  Base  &  Predicve Processes   Analycs   34  
  • 35. QUESTIONS?   35