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Streamflow prediction in River Rhine: Exploring combinations of bias-correcting  forcing  and bias-correcting  flow Jan Verkade (Deltares and Delft University of Technology) James Brown (NOAA-NWS-OHD and UCAR)
Motivation and research questions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Research design Raw forcing (T,P) Hydrologic model Raw  flow Ensemble verification B-C forcing (T,P) Hydrologic model Raw forcing (T,P) Hydrologic model Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Baseline B-C  streamflow B-C  streamflow
 
Data kindly provided by Florian Pappenberger @ ECMWF
Observed forcing data: E-OBS dataset Downloadable from KNMI @  http://eca.knmi.nl/
Bias-correction of temperature, precipitation and flow ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Bias-correction of temperature, precipitation and flow (2/2) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
B-C: preservation of space-time dependencies ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Next steps ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Questions? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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"Streamflow prediction in River Rhine: Exploring combinations of bias-correcting forcing and bias-correcting flow

  • 1. Streamflow prediction in River Rhine: Exploring combinations of bias-correcting forcing and bias-correcting flow Jan Verkade (Deltares and Delft University of Technology) James Brown (NOAA-NWS-OHD and UCAR)
  • 2.
  • 3. Research design Raw forcing (T,P) Hydrologic model Raw flow Ensemble verification B-C forcing (T,P) Hydrologic model Raw forcing (T,P) Hydrologic model Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Baseline B-C streamflow B-C streamflow
  • 4.  
  • 5. Data kindly provided by Florian Pappenberger @ ECMWF
  • 6. Observed forcing data: E-OBS dataset Downloadable from KNMI @ http://eca.knmi.nl/
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.

Notas del editor

  1. Basin: Rhine basin (approx. 160e3 km2), focus on Moselle sub-basin Available modeling system: HBV rainfall runoff model at daily time step Within a Delft-FEWS forecast production system (CHPS)
  2. 3164 “issued” reforecasts between 1991 and 2010 1/10th-by-1/10th degree 30 days leadtime  we use 10 days only
  3. E-OBS is a daily gridded observational dataset for precipitation, temperature and sea level pressure in Europe. The full dataset covers the period 1950-01-01 until 2011-06-30. It has originally been developed as part of the ENSEMBLES project (EU-FP6) and is now maintained and elaborated as part of the EURO4M project (EU-FP7).