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Learning from Climategate              Andy Rossmeissl
New st ategies for a skeptical world    Brighter Planet
Science as a se ice


POST http://impact.brighterplanet.com/flights.json
     { origin_airport: “JFK”, destination_airport: “LAX” }
                               slide 2
 => { … carbon: { object: { value: 1234.5, units: “kg” } … } … }
slide 3
slide 4
Report of the International Panel set up by the University of East Anglia to
                                                      examine the research of the Climatic Research Unit.

                                                      Introduction

                                                           1. The Panel was set up by the University in consultation with the Royal Society
                                                              to assess the integrity of the research published by the Climatic Research Unit
                                                              in the light of various external assertions. The Unit is a very small academic
                                                              entity within the School of Environmental Sciences. It has three full time and
                                                              one part time academic staff members and about a dozen research associates,
                                                              PhD students and support staff. The essence of the criticism that the Panel was
                                                              asked to address was that climatic data had been dishonestly selected,
                                                              manipulated and/or presented to arrive at pre-determined conclusions that
                                                              were not compatible with a fair interpretation of the original data. The
                                                              members of the Panel are listed in Appendix A at the end of this report.


                                                                                                                                                The Indepen
                                                                                                                                                             dent
                                                           2. The Panel was not concerned with the question of whether the conclusions of
                                                              the published research were correct. Rather it was asked to come to a view on
              mons
House of Com
                                                              the integrity of the Unit’s research and whether as far as could be determined


              echnology
                                                              the conclusions represented an honest and scientifically justified interpretation
                                                                                                                                               Climate Chan
                                                                                                                                                             ge
                                                              of the data. The Panel worked by examining representative publications by

Science and T
                                                              members of the Unit and subsequently by making two visits to the University
                                                              and interviewing and questioning members of the Unit. Not all the panel were

Committee
                                                              present on both occasions but two members were present on both occasions to
                                                                                                                                              E -mail s Revi
                                                                                                                                                            ew
                                                              maintain continuity. About fifteen person/days were spent at the University
                                                              discussing the Unit’s work.

               e of
 The disclosur
                                                           3. The eleven representative publications that the Panel considered in detail are  July 2010
                   m the
                                                              listed in Appendix B. The papers cover a period of more than twenty years and


     mate data fro Unit
                                                              were selected on the advice of the Royal Society. All had been published in

 cli                                                          international scientific journals and had been through a process of peer review.

                arch
                                                                                      slide 5
                                                              CRU agreed that they were a fair sample of the work of the Unit. The Panel


 Climatic Rese
                                                              was also free to ask for any other material that it wished and did so.
                                                              Individuals on the panel asked for and reviewed other CRU research materials.

                sity of
  at the Univer
                                                           4. The Panel’s work began with a detailed reading of the published work. Every
                                                              paper was read by a minimum of three Panel members at least one of whom      Chair : Sir Muir
                                                                                                                                                              Russell
  East Anglia
                                                              was familiar with the general area to which the paper related. At least one of
                                                              the other two was a generalist with no special climate science expertise but
                                                              with experience of some of the general techniques and methods employed in
                                                              the work. Most of the members of the Panel read all the publications. The   Review team
                                          10                                                                                                          :
                             ession 2009–
                                                              publications provided a platform from which to gain a deeper understanding of
                       of S                                                                                                                  Professor Ge
  Eighth Report
                                                              the Unit’s research and enabled the Panel to probe particular questions in more
                                                              detail.                                                                                     o rey Boulto
                                                                                                                                             Professor Pete            n
                                          inutes
                                                                                                                                                            r Clarke
                 her   with formal m                                                                                                         David Eyton
   Report, toget
                                                                                                                                            Professor Jam
                 e House of Co
                               mmons                                                                                                                      es Norton
   Ordered by th          2010
                 24 March
   to be printed
                                                                                                                                              1




                                                                        HC 387-I
                                                                  31 March 2010
                                                   Published on         mmons
                                                       th e House of Co
                                       by authority of                  Limited
                                                     Sta  tionery O ce
                                        London: The                           £0.00
slide 6
slide 7
Extremely sure   Very sure   Somewhat sure    Not at all sure
75
      3

      17            3


                    21
      26


                    20      slide 8                                   1

      25                                                 1            7
                                19          23
                    14                                   4            6
                                                         3
 0                                                       3            5
     2008          2010        2008        2010         2008        2010

     Global Warming Is            Don't Know        Global Warming Is Not
        Happening                                        Happening




                            Yale study
slide 9
Trust is sca
   slide 10
Client input              Brighter Planet
                            CM platform




Computations               Reference data
                slide 11


   Impact
POST http://impact.brighterplanet.com/automobile_trips.json
           { make: “Nissaaan”, model: “Ultima” }




                         slide 12
slide 13
slide 14
slide 15
slide 16
slide 17
slide 20
Science is unce tain.
Trust isslide 18tainer.
         unce
Trustansparency
     slide 19

     BRIGHTER
     PLANET
Andy Rossmeissl - Learning from Climategate: New Strategies for a Skeptical World

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Andy Rossmeissl - Learning from Climategate: New Strategies for a Skeptical World

  • 1.
  • 2. slide 1 Learning from Climategate Andy Rossmeissl New st ategies for a skeptical world Brighter Planet
  • 3. Science as a se ice POST http://impact.brighterplanet.com/flights.json { origin_airport: “JFK”, destination_airport: “LAX” } slide 2 => { … carbon: { object: { value: 1234.5, units: “kg” } … } … }
  • 6. Report of the International Panel set up by the University of East Anglia to examine the research of the Climatic Research Unit. Introduction 1. The Panel was set up by the University in consultation with the Royal Society to assess the integrity of the research published by the Climatic Research Unit in the light of various external assertions. The Unit is a very small academic entity within the School of Environmental Sciences. It has three full time and one part time academic staff members and about a dozen research associates, PhD students and support staff. The essence of the criticism that the Panel was asked to address was that climatic data had been dishonestly selected, manipulated and/or presented to arrive at pre-determined conclusions that were not compatible with a fair interpretation of the original data. The members of the Panel are listed in Appendix A at the end of this report. The Indepen dent 2. The Panel was not concerned with the question of whether the conclusions of the published research were correct. Rather it was asked to come to a view on mons House of Com the integrity of the Unit’s research and whether as far as could be determined echnology the conclusions represented an honest and scientifically justified interpretation Climate Chan ge of the data. The Panel worked by examining representative publications by Science and T members of the Unit and subsequently by making two visits to the University and interviewing and questioning members of the Unit. Not all the panel were Committee present on both occasions but two members were present on both occasions to E -mail s Revi ew maintain continuity. About fifteen person/days were spent at the University discussing the Unit’s work. e of The disclosur 3. The eleven representative publications that the Panel considered in detail are July 2010 m the listed in Appendix B. The papers cover a period of more than twenty years and mate data fro Unit were selected on the advice of the Royal Society. All had been published in cli international scientific journals and had been through a process of peer review. arch slide 5 CRU agreed that they were a fair sample of the work of the Unit. The Panel Climatic Rese was also free to ask for any other material that it wished and did so. Individuals on the panel asked for and reviewed other CRU research materials. sity of at the Univer 4. The Panel’s work began with a detailed reading of the published work. Every paper was read by a minimum of three Panel members at least one of whom Chair : Sir Muir Russell East Anglia was familiar with the general area to which the paper related. At least one of the other two was a generalist with no special climate science expertise but with experience of some of the general techniques and methods employed in the work. Most of the members of the Panel read all the publications. The Review team 10 : ession 2009– publications provided a platform from which to gain a deeper understanding of of S Professor Ge Eighth Report the Unit’s research and enabled the Panel to probe particular questions in more detail. o rey Boulto Professor Pete n inutes r Clarke her with formal m David Eyton Report, toget Professor Jam e House of Co mmons es Norton Ordered by th 2010 24 March to be printed 1 HC 387-I 31 March 2010 Published on mmons th e House of Co by authority of Limited Sta tionery O ce London: The £0.00
  • 9. Extremely sure Very sure Somewhat sure Not at all sure 75 3 17 3 21 26 20 slide 8 1 25 1 7 19 23 14 4 6 3 0 3 5 2008 2010 2008 2010 2008 2010 Global Warming Is Don't Know Global Warming Is Not Happening Happening Yale study
  • 11. Trust is sca slide 10
  • 12. Client input Brighter Planet CM platform Computations Reference data slide 11 Impact
  • 13. POST http://impact.brighterplanet.com/automobile_trips.json { make: “Nissaaan”, model: “Ultima” } slide 12
  • 20. Science is unce tain. Trust isslide 18tainer. unce
  • 21. Trustansparency slide 19 BRIGHTER PLANET