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1 de 18
Pending Home Sales
110.0




100.0




 90.0




 80.0




 70.0
        Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr


                                                                                                   NAR 5/2012
Existing Home Sales

           12,658 Homes
           Sell Every Day
           and 8,987 Buyers
           Receive a Mortgage




                                NAR 5/2012
Return on Investment
50
      January 2000 – June 2012
                                                   34.2
30


         14.3
10




-10                     5.8


-30
                                   -28


-50
        Dow            S&P       NASDAQ        Real Estate

                                          MSN Money.com, Case Shiller
“Until house prices are consistently rising,
the economic recovery won’t fully engage.”
     -Mark Zandi, Chief Economist for Moody’s Analytics




                                             Housing Wire 5/9/2012
Mortgage Rates – 30 Year Fixed
5.25



  5



4.75



 4.5



4.25



  4



3.75

       1/01/2011                    Today

                                 Federal Reserve
Rent vs. Buy
“In the chart, the red line
shows the mortgage
payment you’d have to
make if you took out a
standard 30-year mortgage
for the median asking
sales price for vacant sale
units… That number is
now lower than the median
national rental price. This
is the first time that’s
happened since 1988, and
probably for quite some
time before that, too.”

                              Reuters-Felix Salmon 5/8/2012
Young Renters Plan to Buy a Home

A Home Buyer Poll            Young Renters
released recently by TD     Plan to Buy      Don't
Bank revealed aspirations
of homeownership are
                                16%
still very much alive.
The majority (84%) of
today's younger renting
generation (ages 18-34)               84%
responded that they
intend to buy a home.

                                          TD Bank 5/21/2012
Non-Financial Value of Homeownership
“We’re seeing a psychological shift.
Instead of looking at homes through
the eyes of an economist, we’re
realizing that a home doesn’t solely
equate to a financial return…Instead
the home is the emotional center of
our lives, and it remains a critical
component of who we are…The
feeling you get when you step through
your front door or pull into your
driveway is indescribable and
priceless and the same holds true
for our children who crave stability.”
- Psychotherapist Dr. Robi Ludwig
                                         DS News 5/31/2012
Supply & Demand
http://web.realestateconsulting.com/us-housing-summary-2012/Default.aspx
Month’s Inventory of Homes for Sale

10.0


 9.0


 8.0


 7.0


 6.0


 5.0


 4.0
   Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr


                                                                        NAR
Impact of Coming Foreclosures
“As lenders begin processing their distressed
inventories and releasing them for sale at the local
level, we look to them
to move carefully and
monitor conditions so
recently gained home
values aren't diminished.“
- Move.com



                                            Move, Inc. 5/30/2012
Short Sales Skyrocketing

“Foreclosure-related sales picked up in the first quarter,
particularly pre-foreclosure sales where a distressed
homeowner is selling to avoid foreclosure - typically via short
sale. Those pre-foreclosure sales hit a three-year high in the
first quarter (up 25%). Lenders are approving more
aggressively priced short sales,
which in turn is resulting in more
successful short sales.”

- Brandon Moore, CEO of RealtyTrac




                                                    RealtyTrac 5/29/2012
Resources
Slide     Slide Title                                 Link

                                                      http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/05/31/housing-data-tealeaves-idUSL1E8GU54520120531
2, 3, 4   Reuters Quotes


6, 8      Pending Home Sales, Existing Sales Report   http://www.realtor.org

9         S&P Case Shiller Home Price Indices         http://www.standardandpoors.com

                                                      http://housingwire.com/news/zandi-foreclosure-crisis-biggest-impediment-full-us-employment
11        Mark Zandi Quote


13        Mortgage Rates – 30 Year Fixed              http://www.freddiemac.com/pmms


14        Rent vs. Buy                                http://blogs.reuters.com/felix-salmon/2012/05/08/chart-of-the-day-lets-go-buy-a-house

                                                      http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-homeownership-aspirations-arent-dead-owning-a-home-r
15        Young Renters Plan to Buy a Home


                                                      http://www.dsnews.com/articles/homeownership-still-holds-high-emotional-value-2012-05-31
16        Non-Financial Value of Homeownership


19        Month’s Inventory of Home Sales             http://www.realtor.org

20        Continued Pressure on Prices                http://www.radarlogic.com/rlresearch

21,22     Percentage of Distressed Property Sales     http://www.realtor.org

23        Foreclosure Inventory in Judicial States    http://www.lpsvcs.com/LPSCorporateInformation/NewsRoom/Pages/default.aspx


                                                                                                   KEEPINGCURRENTMATTERS.COM
Resources
Slide   Slide Title                        Link

25      Judicial and Non-Judicial States   http://www.corelogic.com/about-us/researchtrends/asset_upload_file896_15255.pdf

                                           http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2012/05/freddie-mac-lower-reo-expense-in-q1-due.html
26      Judicial and Non-Judicial States


27      Impact of Coming Foreclosures      http://news.move.com/index.php?s=11609&item=128978

                                           http://www.realtytrac.com/content/foreclosure-market-report/q1-2012-us-foreclosure-sales-repor
28      Short Sales Skyrocketing




                                                                                        KEEPINGCURRENTMATTERS.COM
W HY
                  T HE
     T
W HA




             RE
          HE
         W
                  HOW

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June 2012

  • 1.
  • 2. Pending Home Sales 110.0 100.0 90.0 80.0 70.0 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr NAR 5/2012
  • 3.
  • 4. Existing Home Sales 12,658 Homes Sell Every Day and 8,987 Buyers Receive a Mortgage NAR 5/2012
  • 5. Return on Investment 50 January 2000 – June 2012 34.2 30 14.3 10 -10 5.8 -30 -28 -50 Dow S&P NASDAQ Real Estate MSN Money.com, Case Shiller
  • 6. “Until house prices are consistently rising, the economic recovery won’t fully engage.” -Mark Zandi, Chief Economist for Moody’s Analytics Housing Wire 5/9/2012
  • 7. Mortgage Rates – 30 Year Fixed 5.25 5 4.75 4.5 4.25 4 3.75 1/01/2011 Today Federal Reserve
  • 8. Rent vs. Buy “In the chart, the red line shows the mortgage payment you’d have to make if you took out a standard 30-year mortgage for the median asking sales price for vacant sale units… That number is now lower than the median national rental price. This is the first time that’s happened since 1988, and probably for quite some time before that, too.” Reuters-Felix Salmon 5/8/2012
  • 9. Young Renters Plan to Buy a Home A Home Buyer Poll Young Renters released recently by TD Plan to Buy Don't Bank revealed aspirations of homeownership are 16% still very much alive. The majority (84%) of today's younger renting generation (ages 18-34) 84% responded that they intend to buy a home. TD Bank 5/21/2012
  • 10. Non-Financial Value of Homeownership “We’re seeing a psychological shift. Instead of looking at homes through the eyes of an economist, we’re realizing that a home doesn’t solely equate to a financial return…Instead the home is the emotional center of our lives, and it remains a critical component of who we are…The feeling you get when you step through your front door or pull into your driveway is indescribable and priceless and the same holds true for our children who crave stability.” - Psychotherapist Dr. Robi Ludwig DS News 5/31/2012
  • 13. Month’s Inventory of Homes for Sale 10.0 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr NAR
  • 14. Impact of Coming Foreclosures “As lenders begin processing their distressed inventories and releasing them for sale at the local level, we look to them to move carefully and monitor conditions so recently gained home values aren't diminished.“ - Move.com Move, Inc. 5/30/2012
  • 15. Short Sales Skyrocketing “Foreclosure-related sales picked up in the first quarter, particularly pre-foreclosure sales where a distressed homeowner is selling to avoid foreclosure - typically via short sale. Those pre-foreclosure sales hit a three-year high in the first quarter (up 25%). Lenders are approving more aggressively priced short sales, which in turn is resulting in more successful short sales.” - Brandon Moore, CEO of RealtyTrac RealtyTrac 5/29/2012
  • 16. Resources Slide Slide Title Link http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/05/31/housing-data-tealeaves-idUSL1E8GU54520120531 2, 3, 4 Reuters Quotes 6, 8 Pending Home Sales, Existing Sales Report http://www.realtor.org 9 S&P Case Shiller Home Price Indices http://www.standardandpoors.com http://housingwire.com/news/zandi-foreclosure-crisis-biggest-impediment-full-us-employment 11 Mark Zandi Quote 13 Mortgage Rates – 30 Year Fixed http://www.freddiemac.com/pmms 14 Rent vs. Buy http://blogs.reuters.com/felix-salmon/2012/05/08/chart-of-the-day-lets-go-buy-a-house http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-homeownership-aspirations-arent-dead-owning-a-home-r 15 Young Renters Plan to Buy a Home http://www.dsnews.com/articles/homeownership-still-holds-high-emotional-value-2012-05-31 16 Non-Financial Value of Homeownership 19 Month’s Inventory of Home Sales http://www.realtor.org 20 Continued Pressure on Prices http://www.radarlogic.com/rlresearch 21,22 Percentage of Distressed Property Sales http://www.realtor.org 23 Foreclosure Inventory in Judicial States http://www.lpsvcs.com/LPSCorporateInformation/NewsRoom/Pages/default.aspx KEEPINGCURRENTMATTERS.COM
  • 17. Resources Slide Slide Title Link 25 Judicial and Non-Judicial States http://www.corelogic.com/about-us/researchtrends/asset_upload_file896_15255.pdf http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2012/05/freddie-mac-lower-reo-expense-in-q1-due.html 26 Judicial and Non-Judicial States 27 Impact of Coming Foreclosures http://news.move.com/index.php?s=11609&item=128978 http://www.realtytrac.com/content/foreclosure-market-report/q1-2012-us-foreclosure-sales-repor 28 Short Sales Skyrocketing KEEPINGCURRENTMATTERS.COM
  • 18. W HY T HE T W HA RE HE W HOW