1. Forecast of Population by Age Cohort
for the
Langley Local Health Area
(City of Langley + Township of Langley)
FROM THE
ECONOMIC
DEVELOPMENT
CO-ORDINATOR’S
DESK
July 2009
2. Highlights
Year Persons As % of Persons As % of Total
Aged <20 Total Aged 60+ Total Population
Population Population
1986 23,863 32.8% 9,826 13.5% 72,851
1996 31,572 29.5% 15,815 14.8% 107,178
2006 31,738 26.0% 21,610 17.7% 122,219
2016 35,176 22.4% 33,206 21.1% 157,264
2026 43,677 22.2% 48,692 24.7% 197,088
2036 49,211 20.9% 61,798 26.3% 234,944
For the period 1986 to 2036, the total population within the Langley Local Health Area (City of
Langley plus Township of Langley) is expected to grow by 223% (an additional 162,100
people). During the same period, the population aged less than 20 is forecast to increase by
106% while the population aged 60+ is forecast to increase by 529%.
In 1986 approximately 1 out of every 3 residents in the Langley Local Health Area was aged
less than 20. (2nd highest proportion of youngsters for a Local Health Area in Metro
Vancouver)
By 2036, approximately 1 out of every 5 residents in the Langley Local Health Area will be
aged less than 20. (3rd highest proportion of youngsters for a Local Health Area in Metro
Vancouver)
In 1986 approximately 1 out of every 7 residents in the Langley Local Health Area was aged 60
or more. (6th lowest proportion of seniors for a Local Health Area in Metro Vancouver)
By 2036, approximately 1 out of every 4 residents in the Langley Local Health Area will be
aged 60 or more. (3rd lowest proportion of seniors for a Local Health Area in Metro Vancouver)
SOURCE: March 2009 population projections by BC STATS, Ministry of Management Services,
Government of BC (P.E.O.P.L.E. Run 33)
Analysis and graphs by Township of Langley’s Economic Development Co-ordinator
3. Population Forecast for Langleys (City + Township):
2009 to 2036
240,000 234,944
220,000
200,000
180,000
160,000
140,000
130,530
120,000
7/1/2009
7/1/2010
7/1/2011
7/1/2012
7/1/2013
7/1/2014
7/1/2015
7/1/2016
7/1/2017
7/1/2018
7/1/2019
7/1/2020
7/1/2021
7/1/2022
7/1/2023
7/1/2024
7/1/2025
7/1/2026
7/1/2027
7/1/2028
7/1/2029
7/1/2030
7/1/2031
7/1/2032
7/1/2033
7/1/2034
7/1/2035
7/1/2036
SOURCE: BC Stats, Ministry of Management Services, P.E.O.P.L.E. Run 33 (March 2009)
The Province is forecasting an additional 104,000 people will choose to live in the Langleys within the next 27 years. This is
almost 38,000 more than the Province forecasted three years earlier. The additional population amounts to a compounded
growth rate of 2.2% per year.
4. Population Growth Forecast for Local Health Areas in Metro Vancouver:
2008 to 2036
Delta
North Vancouvers (City + District)
Vancouver
West Vancouver/Bowen Island
Richmond
White Rock/South Surrey
Maple Ridge/Pitt Meadows
New Westminster
Surrey (w/o South Surrey)
Burnaby
Coquitlam/Poco/Port Moody/Balcarra/Anmore
Langleys (City + Township) 92.2%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
SOURCE: BC Stats, Ministry of Management Services, P.E.O.P.L.E. Run 33 (March 2009)
According to the Province’s forecast, the Langley Local Health Area will experience the highest percentage increase of the 12
local health areas within the Metro Vancouver region.
5. % of Total Population Aged Less Than 20 in Langley Local Health Area:
1986 to 2036
35%
32.8%
30%
29.5%
25% 26.0%
22.4% 22.2%
20% 20.9%
15%
10%
5%
0%
1986 1996 2006 2016 2026 2036
SOURCE: BC Stats, Ministry of Management Services, P.E.O.P.L.E. Run 33 (March 2009)
Despite the declining proportion of youngsters as a percent of total population, those aged less than 20 in the Langleys will
actually increase by more than 25,000 during the next 27 years.
6. % of Population Aged Less Than 20 by Local Health Area in Metro Vancouver:
2036
Richmond
New Westminster
Vancouver
White Rock/South Surrey
Burnaby
North Vancouvers (City + District)
West Vancouver/Bowen Island
Delta
Coquitlam/Poco/Port Moody/Balcarra/Anmore
Langleys (City + Township) 20.9%
Maple Ridge/Pitt Meadows
Surrey (w/o South Surrey)
0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 15% 18% 21% 24%
SOURCE: BC Stats, Ministry of Management Services, P.E.O.P.L.E. Run 33 (March 2009)
The Langleys’ rank of second highest proportion of youngsters in 2006 moves to third highest 30 years later.
7. % of Total Population Aged 60+ in Langley Local Health Area:
1986 to 2036
30%
25% 26.3%
24.7%
20% 21.1%
17.7%
15%
14.8%
13.5%
10%
5%
0%
1986 1996 2006 2016 2026 2036
SOURCE: BC Stats, Ministry of Management Services, P.E.O.P.L.E. Run 33 (March 2009)
Currently (2008) there are 23,300 residents aged 60 or more years old in the Langleys, and by the year 2036, this number will
have almost tripled to 61,800.
8. % of Population Aged 60+ by Local Health Area in Metro Vancouver:
2036
Coquitlam/Poco/Port Moody/Balcarra/Anmore
Burnaby
Langleys (City + Township) 26.3%
Vancouver
Surrey (w/o South Surrey)
Maple Ridge/Pitt Meadows
New Westminster
North Vancouvers (City + District)
West Vancouver/Bowen Island
Delta
Richmond
White Rock/South Surrey
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
SOURCE: BC Stats, Ministry of Management Services, P.E.O.P.L.E. Run 33 (March 2009)
Whereas the Langleys currently have the second lowest proportion of seniors in 2006, this is forecast to move to the third
lowest of all Local Health Areas in Metro Vancouver 30 years later.
9. Population by Gender & Age Cohorts in Langley Local Health Area:
2006
90 +
80-84
70-74
60-64
50-54
Age
40-44
30-34
20-24
10-14
00-04
10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000
Population
SOURCE: B.C. Stats - March, 2009 P.E.O.P.L.E. 33 Projection NOTE: Langley Local Health Area = City of Langley + Township of Langley
10. Population by Gender & Age Cohorts in Langley Local Health Area:
2036
90 +
80-84
70-74
60-64
50-54
Age
40-44
30-34
20-24
10-14
00-04
10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000
Population
SOURCE: B.C. Stats - March, 2009 P.E.O.P.L.E. 33 Projection NOTE: Langley Local Health Area = City of Langley + Township of Langley
11. Population by Age Cohort for Langley Local Health Area:
2006 and 2036
20,000 2006 2036
16,000
12,000
8,000
4,000
0
00-04 05-09 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90 +
SOURCE: BC Stats, Ministry of Management Services, P.E.O.P.L.E. Run 33 (March 2009) NOTE: Langley Local Health Area = City of Langley + Township of Langley