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Transparent Decisions:
Managing the Project Portfolio
Johanna Rothman
New: Hiring GeeksThat Fit
@johannarothman
www.jrothman.com
jr@jrothman.com
781-641-4046
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
What DoYour Customers Care About?
2
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
ProductsThatWork
3
Products are comprised of
running, tested features that
are put together into a
whole
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
What DoWe Do in Organizations?
A little of this
A little of that
4
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
What AreYou Supposed to Do First?
5
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
What’s the Problem?
Too many simultaneous
projects
Too much interrupting
work
Technical work and
multitasking is invisible
6
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
What Some Project Portfolios Look
Like
7
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
WhatThese Portfolios Are Missing
8
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
CombinationView:
Low and Mid Level
9
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
What is the Project Portfolio?
Organization of all the projects (and all the work) the
organization is attempting to manage
When they start
When they end
Which one is #1
Decide when projects are done--or done enough
Decide when to stop, kill, or cancel projects
10
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
SoWhat?
The portfolio of work-in-
progress tells you what is
happening and when you can
change it
Similar to a product
backlog
Requires cross-
organizational commitment
11
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
Use the Portfolio to Make
Decisions,Tradeoffs, and Assignments
Move between the strategic
view to the tactical view
Create a rolling wave plan
Provide transparency into
the organization’s work
12
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
Consider Lean
Iterate on value, redefining
it over and over...
You have more choices if
you can see demos as the
projects proceed
If you can see the work in
progress, you can manage it
13
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
Project Portfolio Flow
14
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
CanYou Use Cost?
Maybe. How long and big is
your project?
You know about the Cone of
Uncertainty in phased projects.
That says the longer and bigger,
the harder it is to predict.
I’m from Boston, the home of
the Big Dig...
15
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
CanYou Use ROI?
Now you need cost and
return
Don’t get me started...
16
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
When Matters Most
Estimation is tempting: Cost and
Date are two sides of the same
coin
Both are tempered by the
business value of when you
deliver the feature
Features lose/gain value
depending on when you deliver
them
17
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
Rank by BusinessValue
Business value is key
It is influenced by cost and
return and size
Biggest influence is the
zeroth question
18
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
Zeroth Question:
ShouldWe DoThis Project At All?
19
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
Let’sTake a Step Back
What projects are you comparing?
Are they comparable or are
they across the organization?
First, bucket so they are
comparable
Frogs with frogs
Apples with apples
IT with IT
Engineering with Engineering
20
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
What CanThis Project do forYour
Organization?
Transform the business
Grow the business
Keep the lights on
21
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
How to Make Decisions
Qualitative questions
Quantitative questions
Only do work that’s currently valuable
22
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
Qualitative Questions
Should we do this project at all?
How does this project fit in with all the others?
What is the strategic reason for this project?
Is there a tactical gain from completing this project?
To make this project successful, are we ready to adequately fund it?
To make this project successful, are we ready to adequately staff it?
Do we know what success looks like for this project?
Is there waste associated with the lack of this project?
23
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
Quantitative Questions
When will we see any monetary return from this project?
What's the expected revenue curve for this project?
What's the expected customer acquisition curve for this project?	

When will we see retention of current customers from this project?
What's the expected customer growth curve?	

	

 	

When will we see reduction in operating costs from this project?
What's the expected operating cost curve?
How will this project move the organization forward?
24
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
Your Project Portfolio is
WhereYour Strategy MeetsYour
Execution
25
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
TechniquesYou May Find Useful
Rank with business value points
Waste
Single and double elimination
All of these approaches
facilitate the conversation,
which is the most important
part
26
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
Rank with Points
Start with many many
points. Each person assigns
each project a unique
number of points. Now
discuss.
The conversation is key
27
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
WhenYou Cannot Agree
You have two #1 projects and only
one project team
Flip a coin, start them in 1- or 2-
week iterations
Alternate iterations
They must achieve done
OR
Forget iterations and use kanban
Now you only have to fight about
which feature is next
28
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
WhatWill the Lack of This Project
Do?
If you don’t do this project, what
will happen?
Will it prevent you from being able
to undertake certain types of
projects?
For those of you transitioning to
agile, don’t underestimate paying
down technical debt projects.
Agile makes many things
transparent
29
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
Waste
Who has waste based on not having
this project?
Qualitative questions you might ask:
What kinds of workarounds are
you using now?
After this project is complete,
what changes?
Do we know what success looks
like for this project?
30
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
Take a Systems-Thinking Approach
Project portfolio
management is about the
organization’s well-being, not
a project’s winning or a
manager’s winning
This is why I have these
guidelines for the project
portfolio decisions
31
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
Guidelines for PPM Decisions
PPM decisions reflect the
organization’s strategy, so make
sure the people making the
decisions know the strategy
Make sure a small (3-5 people)
cross-functional team decides
When in doubt, optimize up at
the organizational level
32
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
Why Does Agile/LeanWork?
Agile helps:
Finishing running, tested features
Have release-able product
periodically (every timebox)
Lean helps
Creating a culture of not having
a lot of work in process
Instead, finish things and move
on to the next one
33
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
Why Manage the Project Portfolio?
People can only work on one
project at a time
Know what people work on
Makes it possible for the
organization to optimize at the
organization level
Staff the most important work
Flow work through teams
34
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
100% Utilization is for Machines
35
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
It does not matter how many projects
you start.
It matters how many projects you
finish.
36
© 2013 Johanna Rothman
References and Resources
ManageYour Project Portfolio: IncreaseYour Capacity and
Finish More Projects, Pragmatic Bookshelf, 2009.
Tons more on jrothman.com
Let’s stay in touch: The Pragmatic Manager, jrothman.com/
pragmaticmanager/
LinkedIn group:Agile Project and Program Management
37

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Managing Project Portfolios for Transparent Decisions

  • 1. Transparent Decisions: Managing the Project Portfolio Johanna Rothman New: Hiring GeeksThat Fit @johannarothman www.jrothman.com jr@jrothman.com 781-641-4046
  • 2. © 2013 Johanna Rothman What DoYour Customers Care About? 2
  • 3. © 2013 Johanna Rothman ProductsThatWork 3 Products are comprised of running, tested features that are put together into a whole
  • 4. © 2013 Johanna Rothman What DoWe Do in Organizations? A little of this A little of that 4
  • 5. © 2013 Johanna Rothman What AreYou Supposed to Do First? 5
  • 6. © 2013 Johanna Rothman What’s the Problem? Too many simultaneous projects Too much interrupting work Technical work and multitasking is invisible 6
  • 7. © 2013 Johanna Rothman What Some Project Portfolios Look Like 7
  • 8. © 2013 Johanna Rothman WhatThese Portfolios Are Missing 8
  • 9. © 2013 Johanna Rothman CombinationView: Low and Mid Level 9
  • 10. © 2013 Johanna Rothman What is the Project Portfolio? Organization of all the projects (and all the work) the organization is attempting to manage When they start When they end Which one is #1 Decide when projects are done--or done enough Decide when to stop, kill, or cancel projects 10
  • 11. © 2013 Johanna Rothman SoWhat? The portfolio of work-in- progress tells you what is happening and when you can change it Similar to a product backlog Requires cross- organizational commitment 11
  • 12. © 2013 Johanna Rothman Use the Portfolio to Make Decisions,Tradeoffs, and Assignments Move between the strategic view to the tactical view Create a rolling wave plan Provide transparency into the organization’s work 12
  • 13. © 2013 Johanna Rothman Consider Lean Iterate on value, redefining it over and over... You have more choices if you can see demos as the projects proceed If you can see the work in progress, you can manage it 13
  • 14. © 2013 Johanna Rothman Project Portfolio Flow 14
  • 15. © 2013 Johanna Rothman CanYou Use Cost? Maybe. How long and big is your project? You know about the Cone of Uncertainty in phased projects. That says the longer and bigger, the harder it is to predict. I’m from Boston, the home of the Big Dig... 15
  • 16. © 2013 Johanna Rothman CanYou Use ROI? Now you need cost and return Don’t get me started... 16
  • 17. © 2013 Johanna Rothman When Matters Most Estimation is tempting: Cost and Date are two sides of the same coin Both are tempered by the business value of when you deliver the feature Features lose/gain value depending on when you deliver them 17
  • 18. © 2013 Johanna Rothman Rank by BusinessValue Business value is key It is influenced by cost and return and size Biggest influence is the zeroth question 18
  • 19. © 2013 Johanna Rothman Zeroth Question: ShouldWe DoThis Project At All? 19
  • 20. © 2013 Johanna Rothman Let’sTake a Step Back What projects are you comparing? Are they comparable or are they across the organization? First, bucket so they are comparable Frogs with frogs Apples with apples IT with IT Engineering with Engineering 20
  • 21. © 2013 Johanna Rothman What CanThis Project do forYour Organization? Transform the business Grow the business Keep the lights on 21
  • 22. © 2013 Johanna Rothman How to Make Decisions Qualitative questions Quantitative questions Only do work that’s currently valuable 22
  • 23. © 2013 Johanna Rothman Qualitative Questions Should we do this project at all? How does this project fit in with all the others? What is the strategic reason for this project? Is there a tactical gain from completing this project? To make this project successful, are we ready to adequately fund it? To make this project successful, are we ready to adequately staff it? Do we know what success looks like for this project? Is there waste associated with the lack of this project? 23
  • 24. © 2013 Johanna Rothman Quantitative Questions When will we see any monetary return from this project? What's the expected revenue curve for this project? What's the expected customer acquisition curve for this project? When will we see retention of current customers from this project? What's the expected customer growth curve? When will we see reduction in operating costs from this project? What's the expected operating cost curve? How will this project move the organization forward? 24
  • 25. © 2013 Johanna Rothman Your Project Portfolio is WhereYour Strategy MeetsYour Execution 25
  • 26. © 2013 Johanna Rothman TechniquesYou May Find Useful Rank with business value points Waste Single and double elimination All of these approaches facilitate the conversation, which is the most important part 26
  • 27. © 2013 Johanna Rothman Rank with Points Start with many many points. Each person assigns each project a unique number of points. Now discuss. The conversation is key 27
  • 28. © 2013 Johanna Rothman WhenYou Cannot Agree You have two #1 projects and only one project team Flip a coin, start them in 1- or 2- week iterations Alternate iterations They must achieve done OR Forget iterations and use kanban Now you only have to fight about which feature is next 28
  • 29. © 2013 Johanna Rothman WhatWill the Lack of This Project Do? If you don’t do this project, what will happen? Will it prevent you from being able to undertake certain types of projects? For those of you transitioning to agile, don’t underestimate paying down technical debt projects. Agile makes many things transparent 29
  • 30. © 2013 Johanna Rothman Waste Who has waste based on not having this project? Qualitative questions you might ask: What kinds of workarounds are you using now? After this project is complete, what changes? Do we know what success looks like for this project? 30
  • 31. © 2013 Johanna Rothman Take a Systems-Thinking Approach Project portfolio management is about the organization’s well-being, not a project’s winning or a manager’s winning This is why I have these guidelines for the project portfolio decisions 31
  • 32. © 2013 Johanna Rothman Guidelines for PPM Decisions PPM decisions reflect the organization’s strategy, so make sure the people making the decisions know the strategy Make sure a small (3-5 people) cross-functional team decides When in doubt, optimize up at the organizational level 32
  • 33. © 2013 Johanna Rothman Why Does Agile/LeanWork? Agile helps: Finishing running, tested features Have release-able product periodically (every timebox) Lean helps Creating a culture of not having a lot of work in process Instead, finish things and move on to the next one 33
  • 34. © 2013 Johanna Rothman Why Manage the Project Portfolio? People can only work on one project at a time Know what people work on Makes it possible for the organization to optimize at the organization level Staff the most important work Flow work through teams 34
  • 35. © 2013 Johanna Rothman 100% Utilization is for Machines 35
  • 36. © 2013 Johanna Rothman It does not matter how many projects you start. It matters how many projects you finish. 36
  • 37. © 2013 Johanna Rothman References and Resources ManageYour Project Portfolio: IncreaseYour Capacity and Finish More Projects, Pragmatic Bookshelf, 2009. Tons more on jrothman.com Let’s stay in touch: The Pragmatic Manager, jrothman.com/ pragmaticmanager/ LinkedIn group:Agile Project and Program Management 37