Merck Moving Beyond Passwords: FIDO Paris Seminar.pptx
2013 08-14 smart-device_mw_en
1. J’son & Partners Consulting presents the main results of the research: “Overview of the Russian and world
smart devices market, 2011 – 2017”
General characteristic of smart devices market
Smart devices – high technological wearable mobile devices, as usual, are managed by operating system
or comparable with it systems, having GPS for navigation and geo location services; Bluetooth and Wi-Fi to
synchronize with smartphones and other smart devices; to send notifications about calls/sms, emails, social
networks; GSM, 2G and 3G technologies for making calls, transfer the messages, and also to be an
accelerometer, thermometer, compass, chronograph and other technologies.
Market of wearable mobile devices can be classified in 7 segments:
Smart - watches – watches with an expanded features (not limited to the display of the
current time of day)
Smart – glasses – high technological glasses combining functions of smarphone and PC
Wearable cameras – mini cameras built-in clothes, often equipped with GPS modules.
Wearable cameras are comparable with devices using OS with the ability to manage the
device’s features via mobile app.
Smart clothes – textile accessories, clothing or outfit equipped with additional consumer
functions by means of specific materials and embedded computing devices
Fitness devices, smart devices for sport – ‘smart’ devices with detectors of heart rate,
energy consumption, sleep detectors and other sports functions, stimulating user’s activity
Medical smart devices – medical devices compatible with smart phones, tablets and
other consumer devices elaborated for various medical purposes, including health
improvement and ensuring control over the treatment process
Wearable 3D measuring device –computing mechanisms built-in cloths units, equipped
with ambulatory 3D measurement
Development of smart devices market began in 1980s, however wide popularity of these devices started
later. GoPro camera enjoyed widespread popularity, starting from its announcement in 2004 sales were
doubling every year. Along with the launch of iPod Nano in 2010 and Sony SmartWatch in 2012, smart
devices market started to shift gradually from smart cameras to ‘smart’ watches.
It is worth mentioning that smart devices are either not presented by manufactures in the
Russian market at all or their sales start with a several months time lag.
2. Smart-watches
One of the fastest growing segments of the market of wearable smart
devices is the segment of smart-watches. A large number of manufactures
of this type of smart devices entered the market over the past year.
Moreover, such big players as Apple, Microsoft, Samsung and LG are
developing smart-watches. A range of smart-watches compatible with
smartphones and other ‘smart’ devices; independent smart-watches,
equipped with the operating systems; smart-watches with voice functions
and sport smart-watches are presented in the market. Around 15 models of ‘smart’-watches are presented
currently in the Russian market.
Smart watches compatible with smartphones are designed for users who actually use
smartphones. Thanks to alerts about incoming calls / sms / social networks and e-mail
notification users always stay connected. It leads to the integration of high technology into
everyday life.
According to ABI Research forecasts the market size of smart watches will increase in the nearest year: in
2013 sales of smart watches will reach 1.2 million pieces and $ 370 million in cash. By 2015 sales will
increase by more than 20 times.
Fig. 1. Market size of smart-watches in the world in real terms, mln. units,
2013, 2015.
Source: ABI Research
Main drivers of growth of smart-watches market include:
• Increasing penetration of smartphones in many world markets.
According to many analysts smartphone market is close to saturation. It will boost sales growth of smart
watches as an alternative multifunction device.
• Wide price affordability allows less solvent customers to buy multifunctional device. For example,
sport bracelets at an average price of $ 50 are in high demand
• Applications ecosystem
• GPS-modules, that provide access to the geolocation services
• Access to social networks (at the level of notifications, or higher for some devices)
1,2
> 24
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2013F 2015F
3. • Access to work and personal e-mail (at the level of notifications, or higher for some devices)
• Sport features that allow to keep track of daily activity of the user, which also helps to monitor state
of health of the smart watch owner
• Healthy lifestyle trend in the modern world
Main constraints of growth of smart-watches market include:
• The way the battery charge that takes a lot of time;
Users of mechanical, quartz or electronic watches did not get used to the need of daily, weekly or even
monthly recharge of devices. Smart watches are to be recharged for a certain period of time, either
through USB-cable connected to PC or via wireless charging device, which goes along with the device
• The main function of watches becomes unavailable due to possible daily or weekly battery
discharge;
Watch is a device for determining current time of day and the duration of time intervals in hours, minutes
and seconds. Smart watches are usually equipped with technology (GPS, Bluetooth, LCD, etc) that affect
the battery life. As a result wrist smart device can often run down, limiting user access to the main function
of the watch.
• Smart watches compete with smartphones as its functional substitutes;
• Rejection of innovative products due to lack of awareness;
• Low penetration of smartphones for smart watches, which work in conjunction with smartphones;
• In contrast with sales of smartphones, and especially tablets, mobile operators do not receive
additional revenues from provision of mobile data transfer services to the owners of mobile smart
devices, as well as revenue from value added services (VAS). It does not encourage operators to
promote these products by its subsidizing in the West.
Smart-glasses
Smart glasses is a full stand-alone mobile computer. This type of device
can either replace a smartphone or complement it. The main distinction
of ‘smart’ glasses is its ability to fulfill simultaneously three separate
functions: augmented reality, mobile phone plus Internet, video diary.
Augmented reality implemented in the form of introduction of virtual
reality elements, has not yet been fully implemented in devices
announced by Google, Vuzix and Olympus. At the same time, the first
version of glasses fully implement video diary, as well as provide an opportunity to make calls and access
the Internet.
According to IHS iSuppli estimates, global sales of ‘smart’ glasses may reach 6.6 mln units by the end of
2016.
4. Fig. 2. Market size of smart glasses in the world, mln. units, 2012-2016
Source: IHS iSuppli
Main drivers of growth of smart-glasses market include:
• Unique ecosystem of mobile apps for smart glasses
• Thanks to use of mobile applications for smart glasses user generates additional traffic that affects
the operator's revenue
• Penetration of 4G LTE and a wide coverage of developed countries by 3G network, which allows in
case of having access to the Internet to transfer data at high speed
• Possibility of keeping a video diary
• Equipment with photocamera
• Augmented reality which attracted many users
• GPS-modules, that provide access to the geolocation services
• Access to social networks (at the level of notifications, or higher for some devices)
• Access to work and personal e-mail (at the level of notifications, or higher for some devices)
Main constraints of growth of smart-glasses market include:
• Violation of privacy;
• Incorrect understanding of the purpose of smart glasses by the audience;
Manufacturers of smart glasses are afraid that audience will get the wrong idea about the purpose of
device and will use it more as a mobile camera, rather than augmented reality device, as well as use video
recording for unique events, such as skydiving, etc., rather than daily life recording. Thus, smart glasses
will be presented in the competitive market of sports cameras, smartphones, tablets and other devices
equipped with camera.
• Short battery life;
• Eyes strain;
• The need to wear glasses all the time;
• Unusual of control
• Fragility of smart glasses;
0,1 0,1 0,3
2,3
6,6
0
2
4
6
8
2012A 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F
5. Perspectives of smart devices market
According to Juniper Research estimates, sales volume of smart devices in the world will reach 15 mln.
units by 2013. By 2017 sales of this type of smart devices will amount to 70 mln. units.
According to J’son & Partners Consulting share of Russia in the world sales of smart devices will equal 2% -
1.7 mln. devices by 2017.
Fig. 3. Market size of smart devices in Russia and in the world, mln. units, 2012 - 2017
In the world In Russia
Source: Juniper Research, J’son & Partners Consulting
Constraints of Russian market of smart devices include:
Beginning of sales
Usually, devices become available to customers in the domestic Russian market with a few months delay.
Absence of official distributors of smart devices
Main supplies of smart devices in the Russian Federation are made through dealers. The majority of smart
devices sold on the territory of Russia do not have manufacture warranty.
Small range of models compared to the world
High price.
Prices of smart devices in Russia are higher compared to the prices in the USA domestic market.
Main growth drivers of Russian market of smart devices include:
Increasing penetration of smartphones to the Russian market
Applications ecosystem
GPS-modules, that provide access to the geolocation services
9
15
23
34
50
70
0
15
30
45
60
75
2012A 2013E 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F
0,1 0,1 0,2 0,5 0,9 1,7
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
0%
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
0
15
30
45
60
75
2012A 2013E 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F
6. Sport features that allow to keep track of daily activity of the user, which also helps to monitor
state of health of the smart watch owner
Healthy lifestyle trend in the modern world.
7. Content of the full version of the report (62 pages) of the research ‘Overview of world smart
devices market, 2011 – 2017’
1. Summary
2. Introduction
3. Overview of world market of mobile terminals and tablets
3.1. Total sales volume of mobile phones in real terms, 2010 – 2017.
3.2. Total sales volume of smartphones in real terms, 2010 – 2013.
3.3. Total sales volume of tablets phones in real terms, 2010 – 2013.
4. World market of smart devices
4.1. Definition and classification of various mobile devices with operating systems
4.2. Review of SmartWatch devices and sport smart devices
4.2.1. History of development, first devices models, types of ‘smart’ watches
4.2.2. Technological analyses of devices
TECHNICAL CHARACTERISTICS
OPERATING SYSTEM
SUPPORTING TECHNOLOGIES (BLUETOOTH, WIFI, GPS, 3G, ETC.)
4.2.3. Key characteristics, application area
4.2.4. Main constraints of market development
4.2.5. Valuation of total sales of devices in the world in 2012
4.3. ‘Smart’ glasses
4.3.1. History of development, first devices models, types of ‘smart’ glasses
4.3.2. Technological analyses of devices
TECHNICAL CHARACTERISTICS
OPERATING SYSTEM
SUPPORTING TECHNOLOGIES (BLUETOOTH, WIFI, GPS, 3G, ETC.)
4.3.3. Key characteristics, application area
4.3.4. Main constraints of market development
4.4. Review of other smart devices, latest mobile technologies and its application
4.5. Application area of smart devices
4.6. Valuation of total potential of world market
5. Main problems, development constraints of smart devices market in the world
6. Forecasts and tendencies, 2013 – 2017
6.1. Tendencies and forecasts in the development of smartphones market in the world, 2013 – 2017
6.2. Tendencies and forecasts in the development of tablets market in the world, 2013 – 2017
6.3. Tendencies and forecasts in the development of SmartWatch market in the world, 2013 – 2017
6.4. Tendencies and forecasts in the development of Smartglasses market in the world, 2013 – 2016
7. Main conclusions of the research
List of illustrations
Fig. 1. Market size of smart-watches in the world in real terms, mln. units, 2013, 2016.
Fig. 2. Market size of smart glasses in the world in real terms, mln. units, 2012-2016.
Fig. 3. Forecast of market development of smart devices, annual sales turnover in real terms, mln. units, 2010-2018
Fig. 4. Market size of mobile phones in real terms, bln. units, 2010 – 2017
Fig. 5. Market size of smartphones in the world, bln. units, 2010 – 2013
Fig. 6. Market size of tablets in the world, bln. units, 2010 – 2013
Fig. 7. Samsung Smart watches, 2013
Fig. 8. Market size of smart watches in the world in real terms, mln. units, 2012, 2013, 2016
Fig. 9. Xsens Force Shoe, June 2013
Fig. 10. Forecast of development of wearable smart devices market, mln. units, 2011-2016
Fig. 11. Forecast of development of wearable smart devices market, annual sales volume in real terms, mln. units,
2010-2018
Fig. 12. Forecast of development of world smartphones market, bln. units, 2012, 2017
8. Fig. 13. Forecast of development of world tablets market, mln. units, 2013, 2017
Fig. 14. Market size of smart-watches in the world in real terms, mln. units, 2013, 2017
Fig. 15. Market size of smart-glasses in the world in real terms, mln. units, 2012 – 2016
List of tables
Table1. History of smart watches market, 1972-2013
Table2. TOP 7 smart watches models, presented on CES, 2013
Table3. Smart watches with smartphones market, 2013
Table4. Comparison of technical characteristics of smart watches of different producers, 2013
Table5. Technologies supporting by smart watches, 2013
Table6. Comparison of technical characteristics of smart glasses of different producers
Table7. Wearable Contor cameras, June 2013
Table8. Wearable GoPro cameras, June 2013 года
Content of the full version of the report (78 pages) of the research ‘Overview of Russian
smart devices market, 2010 – 2017’
1. Summary
2. Introduction: purpose and objectives of research, main terms and definitions
3. Overview of Russian and world market of mobile terminals and tablets
3.1. World market of mobile devices
3.1.1. Total sales volume of mobile phones in real terms, 2010 – 2017
3.1.2. Total sales volume of smartphones in real terms, 2010 – 2017
3.1.3. Total sales volume of tablets in real terms, 2010 – 2017
3.2. Russian market of mobile devices
3.2.1.1.Market size of mobile phones and smartphones in real and cash terms
3.2.1.2.Market size of mobile terminals in real terms, 2010 – 1st
quarter 2013 (quarterly dynamics)
3.2.1.3.Sales structure of mobile terminals: smartphones and mobile phones, in real terms, 2010 –
1st
quarter 2013 (quarterly dynamics)
3.2.1.4.Sales structure of mobile terminals: smartphones and mobile phones, in cash terms, 2010 –
1st
quarter 2013 (quarterly dynamics)
3.2.1.5.Share of sale of smartphones in total sales of mobile terminals: smartphones and mobile
phones, 2010 – 1st
quarter 2013 (quarterly dynamics)
3.2.2. Average retail price of mobile terminal: mobile phones and smartphones, market structure by
price segments
3.2.2.1.Quarterly dynamics of average retail price of mobile terminal: mobile phones and
smartphones (in USD and RUB), 2010 – 1st
quarter of 2013 (quarterly dynamics)
3.2.2.2.Quarterly dynamics of average retail price of mobile terminal: mobile phones and
smartphones (in USD and RUB) in Russia, 2010 – 1st
quarter of 2013 (quarterly dynamics)
3.2.2.3.Market structure of mobile terminals by price segments, % of sales in real terms, 2010 – 1st
quarter of 2013 (quarterly dynamics)
3.2.2.4.Market structure of smartphones by price segments, % of sales in real terms, 2010 – 1st
quarter of 2013 (quarterly dynamics)
3.2.2.5.Market structure of mobile phones by price segments, % of sales in real terms, 2010 – 1st
quarter of 2013 (quarterly dynamics)
3.2.2.6.Market structure of smartphones by producers, % of sales in real terms, 2010 – 1st
quarter
of 2013 (quarterly dynamics)
3.2.2.7.Market structure of smartphones by operating systems, % of sales in real terms, 2010 – 1st
quarter of 2013 (quarterly dynamics)
3.2.3. Tablets market in Russia
3.2.3.1.Market size of tablets in real terms, 2010 – 4th
quarter of 2012 (quarterly dynamics)
3.2.3.2.Market size of tablets by producers, 2011 – 4th
quarter of 2012 (quarterly dynamics)
3.2.3.3.Market size of tablets by operating systems, 2010 – 4th
quarter of 2012 (quarterly dynamics)
4. Russian market of smart devices, 2011 - 2012
9. 4.1. Definition and classification of different mobile devices with operating systems
4.2. Review of SmartWatch devices (‘smart’ watches) and sport smart devices
4.2.1. History of development, first devices models, types of ‘smart’ watches
4.2.2. Technological analyses of devices
Operating system
Technical characteristics
Supporting technologies (Bluetooth, WiFi, GPS, 3G, etc.)
4.2.3. Key characteristics, application area
4.2.4. Main constraints of market development
4.2.5. Valuation of total sales of devices in Russia in 2012
4.3. Smartglasses (‘smart’ glasses)
4.3.1. History of development, first devices models, types of ‘smart’ glasses
4.3.2. Technological analyses of devices
Operating system
Technical characteristics
Supporting technologies (Bluetooth, WiFi, GPS, 3G, etc.)
4.3.3. Key characteristics, application area
4.3.4. Main constraints of market development
4.3.5. Valuation of sales potential of devices in Russia
4.4. Review of other smart devices, latest mobile technologies and its application
4.5. Application area of smart devices
4.6. Valuation of total potential of Russian market
5. Main problems, development constraints of smart devices market in Russia
6. Forecasts and tendencies, 2013 – 2016
6.1. Tendencies and forecasts in the development of smartphones market in Russia, 2013 – 2016
6.2. Tendencies and forecasts in the development of tablets market in Russia, 2013 – 2016
6.3. Tendencies and forecasts in the development of SmartWatch market in Russia, 2013 – 2016
6.4. Tendencies and forecasts in the development of Smartglasses market in Russia, 2013 – 2016
7. Conclusion
List of Figures
Fig. 1. Market size of smart devices in Russia and in the world in real terms, mln. units, 2012 – 2017 Fig. 2. Market
size of mobile phones in the world in real terms, bln. units, 2010 – 2017
Fig. 3. Market size of smartphones in the world in real terms, bln. units, 2010 – 2017
Fig. 4. Market size of tablets in the world in real terms, mln. units, 2010 – 2017
Fig. 5. Market size of mobile terminals in real and cash terms, 2010 – 1st
quarter of 2013 (quarterly dynamics)
Fig. 6. Sales structure of mobile terminals: smartphones and mobile phones, in real terms, 2010 – 1st
quarter of
2013 (quarterly dynamics)
Fig. 7. Sales structure of mobile terminals: smartphones and mobile phones, in cash terms, 2010 – 1st
quarter of
2013 (quarterly dynamics)
Fig. 8. Share pf smartphones sales in total sales of mobile terminals
Fig. 9. Quarterly dynamics of average retail price of mobile terminal: mobile phones and smartphones (in USD and
RUB), 2010 – 1st quarter of 2013 (quarterly dynamics)
Fig. 10. Quarterly dynamics of average retail price of mobile terminal: mobile phones and smartphones in Russia,
USD, 2010 – 1st quarter of 2013 (quarterly dynamics)
Fig. 11. Market structure of mobile terminals by price segments, % of sales in real terms, 2010 – 1st quarter of 2013
(quarterly dynamics)
Fig. 12. Market structure of smartphones by price segments, % of sales in real terms, 2010 – 1st quarter of
2013 (quarterly dynamics)
Fig. 13. Market structure of mobile phones by price segments, % of sales in real terms, 2010 – 1st quarter of 2013
(quarterly dynamics)
Fig. 14. Smartphones market structure dynamics by producers, % of sales in real terms, 2010 – 1st quarter of 2013
(quarterly dynamics)
Fig. 15. Market structure of smartphones by operating segments, % of sales in real terms, 2010 – 1st quarter of 2013
(quarterly dynamics)
Fig. 16. Market size of tablets in real terms, mln units
10. Fig. 17. Market size of tablets by producers, % of sales in real terms, 2011 – 4th
quarter of 2012 (quarterly dynamics)
Fig. 18. Market size of tablets by operating systems, % of sales in real terms, 2010 – 4th
quarter of 2012 (quarterly
dynamics)
Fig. 19. Samsung Smart watches, 2013
Fig. 20. Market size of smart watches in real terms in Russia, thousand units, 2012 - 2016
Fig. 21. Market size of smart glasses in real terms in Russia, thousand units, 2012 – 2016
Fig. 22. Market size of wearable smart devices in real terms in Russia, thousand units, 2012 – 2016
Fig. 23. Market structure: smartphones – telephones,
Fig. 24. Market size of tablets, mln. units, 2010 – 2016
Fig. 25. Market size of smart watches in real terms in Russia and in the world, 2012 – 2017
Fig. 26. Market size of smart glasses in real terms in Russia and in the world, 2012 – 2016
Fig. 27. Market size of smartphones and smart devices in real terms in Russia, mln. units, 2012 – 2016
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