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September, 2010

SIM Boston
Layers: Our Social Media Future

Disruptive Trends: New Media Expansion,
Emerging Customer Social Behavior and
Value Opportunities




                                          © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
Dr. John J. Sviokla
john.sviokla@diamondconsultants.com
Blog: www.sviokla.com
twitter: jjsviokla
cell: 617.510.3565
Layers: The information future   |2




High Performance, Layer Enabled Work Teams Enable New Value

                      The 3 Waves of Capitalism

            Scale

                      2nd Wave


                                   3rd Wave
                                  Competitors




                                                                                      © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
                     1st Wave



                                                      Speed
|3



What are my goals for social media in the short term, medium term
and long term?
                                      Quantitative Benefit
                                                             Improve Sales Efficiency
                                      Qualitative Benefit

                                                             Increase Representative
                                                             Retention
                       Improve
                       Productivity                          Improve Advertising
                                                             Effectiveness

                                                             Representative is Productive
                                                             Faster

                                                             Easier Scaling of References




                                                                                               © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
                                                             and Training
  Benefits             Cost Reduction
                                                             Reduce Commute Costs


                       Revenue Increase                      Increase Average Order Size

                                                             Utilize Timely Information
                       Customer Satisfaction
                                                             React to Changing Needs

                       Other Variables?
Layers: The information future   |4




Implications in Risk: Questions



• What will layers do to overall industry profitability?

• Where will the value migrate to?

• How much time do you have to adjust?




                                                                                                 © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
Layers
                                                                    Layers: The information future
                                                                      |5




© 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
Layers: The information future   |6




Can you believe this has happened in less than 20 years!




                                                                                    © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
John Jacob Astor
                                                                              Layers: The information future
                                                                                |7




© 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
William Crapo Durant
                                                                                  Layers: The information future
                                                                                    |8




© 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
Layers: The information future   |9




Chad Smith, Steve Chen & Jawed Karim




                                                                             © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
Layers: The information future   | 10




How can I flow data better, manage data better, analyze data
                                                     better?

                                    -- Rollin Ford CIO Wal-Mart




                                                                               © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
| 11




Technology Trends


     Ubiquity       Always available




      Mobility      Traveling “on” the person




                                                                                 © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
    Intelligence    Situational awareness and advanced functionality




     Richness       Depth of media experience – video, audio, etc.



                    Ability to assemble, plug and play new capabilities
    Modularity
Data
                                                                  Layers: The information future
                                                                    | 12




© 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
Layers: The information future   | 13




Facebook at a Glance

• More than 400 million active users as of January 2010
  – 50% of active users log on to Facebook in any given day
  – More than 5 billion pieces of content (web links, news stories, blog posts,
   notes, photo albums, etc.) are shared each week

• More than 3 million active pages on Facebook

• More than 1.5 million local businesses have active pages on Facebook

• More than 70 translations available on the site




                                                                                                   © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
  – About 70% of Facebook users are outside the United States

• There are more than 100 million active users currently accessing Facebook
  through their mobile devices
  – People that use Facebook on their mobile devices are twice more active on
   Facebook than non-mobile users

• Facebook has over 30,000 servers
  – Manages over 25 terrabytes of data daily for logging


                  Source: facebook.com 2010 Press
Layers: The information future   | 14




Twitter at a Glance

• In Jan 2010 Twitter hit 75M unique
  users worldwide
• 50M tweets sent per day – growth
  of 1,400% from Jan 2009 to Jan
  2010
• 55% of audience is international




                                                                                                  © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
                                           • 50% of twitter users read tweets through
                                             applications and not the twitter home page
                                           • 4.7M mobile twitter users as of Jan 2010
                                           • Twitter usage via mobile browsers was up
                                             347% (‘09 – ’10)

              Source: Twitter Blog
                        Readwriteweb.com
| 15




The New Service Fishbowl: Social Media




                                                                                    © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
•  Self organized          •  Voice of the Customer   •  Identity
•  Voice of the Customer                              •  Voice of Customer
| 16




Anatomy of a Mobile Device


                 Increasing                     Self
                Functionality               Organization

                                Identity




                                                                  © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
                    Voice of the           Persistence
                     Customer
Layers: The information future      | 17




The Great Experiment: Making the soft sciences hard

Our devices leave breadcrumbs that allow new analysis and prediction



                                                                  ati   on
                                                              Loc
                                                                         tworks
                                                                Friend Ne
                                             Cellphone                         mmunicatio
                                                                                         n
                                                               Freq uency of Co




                                                                                                      © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
                                                                             ests
                                                                        Inter
                                 Social
 Events likely to attend       Networking                                          ions
                                                                             O pi n
                                                   Blogging/
                          os
                      Vide                          Twitter
               tos/                                                          Friend Networks
            Pho
Layers: The information future   | 18




Who will “own” reputation?

Where are the insurers?




                                                                     © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
Customer to Company Relationship Transformed
                                                                                                          | 19




© 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
| 20




The New Connected Collective

• Collaborative Financing: Indie GoGo, Kickstarter
• Collaborative Consumption: AirBnB
• Collaborative Lending: LendingClub, Zopa




                                                            © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
Layers: The information future   | 21




Who Are You Serving? Generational Definitions

                   • Cohort born in years 1943 to 1960
                   • Largest generation to date
  Baby Boomers
                   • Shaped by culture of 1960s (JFK & MLK assassinations,
                     Woodstock)


                   • Born in years 1961 to 1981
                   • Characterized as rebelling from achievement and rules




                                                                                          © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
  Generation X       of previous generation
                   • At the forefront of dotcom and grunge movements


                   • Born in years 1982 to 1995
                   • Also known as Echo generation, the offspring of Baby
   Millennials       Boomers
                   • Shaped by the ubiquity of internet and media
Layers: The information future             | 22




Generational Comparison

     Baby Boomers
                          Generation X (‘61-’81)                Millennials (‘82-’95)
       (‘43-’60)
Woodstock               Dot com                            9/11
Protest the rules       Change the rules                   Rewrite the rules
Workaholics             Work Hard, Play Hard               Killer lifestyle
                                                           Irrelevance of
Distrust institutions   Skeptical of institutions
                                                           institutions




                                                                                                           © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
TV                      PC                                 Internet
Invent technology       Use technology                     Assume technology
Focused                 Multitask                          Multitask in parallel
Hierarchy               Hands off                          Teamwork
First generation kids   Latch-key kids                     Helicopter parents
Books                   Bullet points                      Tweets



                                                    Source: Rebecca Ryan, Live First, Work Second
Layers: The information future   | 23




Millennials: 1st Generation of Cyberspace




                                   Millennials bring new
                                 expectations toward both
                                    Lifestyle and Work




                                                                                       © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
Layers: The information future              | 24
                                                                                    24




Age Pyramid and Emerging Millenials

They’re sociable, optimistic,
talented, well-educated,
collaborative, open-minded,
influential, and achievement-
oriented. They’ve always felt
sought after, needed,
indispensable. They are arriving in
the marketplace with higher
expectations than any generation




                                                                                         © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
before them—and they’re so well
connected that, if an interaction
doesn’t match those expectations,
they can tell thousands of their
cohorts with one click of the
mouse.*




                                      *Claire Raines, Managing Millennial, 2002
Layers: The information future   | 25




Generational Purchasing Potential

                                                                                       •  More than half
                                                                                          of all consumers
                                                                                          up to age 60
                                                                                          would be
                                                                                          comfortable
                                                                                          purchasing auto
                                                                                          insurance online
                                                                                          from a known
                                                                                          company (i.e.,




                                                                                                                © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
                                                                                          from a brand
                                                                                          that they trust).




           Source: Online Insurance Sales and Marketing: What’s Happening and What’s Next, 08
Layers: The information future   | 26




Baby Boomers – Then and Now




                                                                                        © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
         Source: PEW, Generations Online 2009
Layers: The information future   | 27



EBITDA/Employee by No. of Employees
P&C and Multiline Insurers - 2004-2008 Avgs.

                                                        Quadrant 3                                       Quadrant 4
                                      More productive




                                                        Higher labor productivity,                       Higher labor productivity,
                                                        Smaller                                          Larger
         Median $113K EBITDA per employee




                                                                                                                                              © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
                                                        Quadrant 1                                       Quadrant 2
 Less productive




                                                        Lower labor productivity,                        Lower labor productivity,
                                                        Smaller                                          Larger



                                                                             Median 4,100 employees
                                          Smaller                                                                      Larger
Layers: The information future   | 28




Internally: High Performance Teams Cluster Around Expertise




                             Expert in Charge




                                                                                        © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
             Sub-specialty                         Sub-specialty
              Expert #1                            Expert #2…N




                                 Bitsmith
                             (e.g. the person
                                who helps
                              gather, shape               Administrator
                                  and use
                               information)
Layers: The information future   | 29



Internally: High Performance Task Groups Self Organize, But With
Linkage


                                                     Work Group must conform to
                                                      input / output standards
                  Work Group

                                                                                                                E
                                                                     Data                                       X
                       Expert in
                                                                                                                E
                        Charge
                                                                                                                C
                                                                                                                U
                                                                    Capital                        S            T




                                                                                                                       © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
                                                                                                   T            I
      Sub-specialty                                                                                A            O
       Expert #1                   Sub-specialty                                                   N            N
      (Often Content               Expert 2 to N…                                                  D
          Based)
                                                                                                   A            P
                                                                                                   R            R
                                                                                                   D            O
                       Bitsmith                                   Transactions                     S            C
                                     Administrator                                                              E
                                                                                                                S
                                                                                                                S
                                                                    Designs                                     E
                                                                   Decisions                                    S



     Free to design within work group
           activities & processes
Layers: The information future   | 30




To be Big & Fast You Need to Have Both Hierarchies and Markets

                       The 3 Waves of Capitalism

             Scale

                       2nd Wave


                                  Companies as
                                   Markets and
                                   Hierarchies




                                                                                       © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
                      1st Wave



                                                     Speed
| 31



What are my goals for social media in the short term, medium term
and long term?
                                      Quantitative Benefit
                                                             Improve Sales Efficiency
                                      Qualitative Benefit

                                                             Increase Representative
                                                             Retention
                       Improve
                       Productivity                          Improve Advertising
                                                             Effectiveness

                                                             Representative is Productive
                                                             Faster

                                                             Easier Scaling of References




                                                                                                 © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
                                                             and Training
  Benefits             Cost Reduction
                                                             Reduce Commute Costs


                       Revenue Increase                      Increase Average Order Size

                                                             Utilize Timely Information
                       Customer Satisfaction
                                                             React to Changing Needs

                       Other Variables?
Big & Fast
                                                                        Layers: The information future
                                                                          | 32




© 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.

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Social Media Implications to the Boston SIM Chapter

  • 1. September, 2010 SIM Boston Layers: Our Social Media Future Disruptive Trends: New Media Expansion, Emerging Customer Social Behavior and Value Opportunities © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc. Dr. John J. Sviokla john.sviokla@diamondconsultants.com Blog: www.sviokla.com twitter: jjsviokla cell: 617.510.3565
  • 2. Layers: The information future |2 High Performance, Layer Enabled Work Teams Enable New Value The 3 Waves of Capitalism Scale 2nd Wave 3rd Wave Competitors © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc. 1st Wave Speed
  • 3. |3 What are my goals for social media in the short term, medium term and long term? Quantitative Benefit Improve Sales Efficiency Qualitative Benefit Increase Representative Retention Improve Productivity Improve Advertising Effectiveness Representative is Productive Faster Easier Scaling of References © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc. and Training Benefits Cost Reduction Reduce Commute Costs Revenue Increase Increase Average Order Size Utilize Timely Information Customer Satisfaction React to Changing Needs Other Variables?
  • 4. Layers: The information future |4 Implications in Risk: Questions • What will layers do to overall industry profitability? • Where will the value migrate to? • How much time do you have to adjust? © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
  • 5. Layers Layers: The information future |5 © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
  • 6. Layers: The information future |6 Can you believe this has happened in less than 20 years! © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
  • 7. John Jacob Astor Layers: The information future |7 © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
  • 8. William Crapo Durant Layers: The information future |8 © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
  • 9. Layers: The information future |9 Chad Smith, Steve Chen & Jawed Karim © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
  • 10. Layers: The information future | 10 How can I flow data better, manage data better, analyze data better? -- Rollin Ford CIO Wal-Mart © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
  • 11. | 11 Technology Trends Ubiquity Always available Mobility Traveling “on” the person © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc. Intelligence Situational awareness and advanced functionality Richness Depth of media experience – video, audio, etc. Ability to assemble, plug and play new capabilities Modularity
  • 12. Data Layers: The information future | 12 © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
  • 13. Layers: The information future | 13 Facebook at a Glance • More than 400 million active users as of January 2010 – 50% of active users log on to Facebook in any given day – More than 5 billion pieces of content (web links, news stories, blog posts, notes, photo albums, etc.) are shared each week • More than 3 million active pages on Facebook • More than 1.5 million local businesses have active pages on Facebook • More than 70 translations available on the site © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc. – About 70% of Facebook users are outside the United States • There are more than 100 million active users currently accessing Facebook through their mobile devices – People that use Facebook on their mobile devices are twice more active on Facebook than non-mobile users • Facebook has over 30,000 servers – Manages over 25 terrabytes of data daily for logging Source: facebook.com 2010 Press
  • 14. Layers: The information future | 14 Twitter at a Glance • In Jan 2010 Twitter hit 75M unique users worldwide • 50M tweets sent per day – growth of 1,400% from Jan 2009 to Jan 2010 • 55% of audience is international © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc. • 50% of twitter users read tweets through applications and not the twitter home page • 4.7M mobile twitter users as of Jan 2010 • Twitter usage via mobile browsers was up 347% (‘09 – ’10) Source: Twitter Blog Readwriteweb.com
  • 15. | 15 The New Service Fishbowl: Social Media © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc. •  Self organized •  Voice of the Customer •  Identity •  Voice of the Customer •  Voice of Customer
  • 16. | 16 Anatomy of a Mobile Device Increasing Self Functionality Organization Identity © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc. Voice of the Persistence Customer
  • 17. Layers: The information future | 17 The Great Experiment: Making the soft sciences hard Our devices leave breadcrumbs that allow new analysis and prediction ati on Loc tworks Friend Ne Cellphone mmunicatio n Freq uency of Co © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc. ests Inter Social Events likely to attend Networking ions O pi n Blogging/ os Vide Twitter tos/ Friend Networks Pho
  • 18. Layers: The information future | 18 Who will “own” reputation? Where are the insurers? © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
  • 19. Customer to Company Relationship Transformed | 19 © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
  • 20. | 20 The New Connected Collective • Collaborative Financing: Indie GoGo, Kickstarter • Collaborative Consumption: AirBnB • Collaborative Lending: LendingClub, Zopa © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
  • 21. Layers: The information future | 21 Who Are You Serving? Generational Definitions • Cohort born in years 1943 to 1960 • Largest generation to date Baby Boomers • Shaped by culture of 1960s (JFK & MLK assassinations, Woodstock) • Born in years 1961 to 1981 • Characterized as rebelling from achievement and rules © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc. Generation X of previous generation • At the forefront of dotcom and grunge movements • Born in years 1982 to 1995 • Also known as Echo generation, the offspring of Baby Millennials Boomers • Shaped by the ubiquity of internet and media
  • 22. Layers: The information future | 22 Generational Comparison Baby Boomers Generation X (‘61-’81) Millennials (‘82-’95) (‘43-’60) Woodstock Dot com 9/11 Protest the rules Change the rules Rewrite the rules Workaholics Work Hard, Play Hard Killer lifestyle Irrelevance of Distrust institutions Skeptical of institutions institutions © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc. TV PC Internet Invent technology Use technology Assume technology Focused Multitask Multitask in parallel Hierarchy Hands off Teamwork First generation kids Latch-key kids Helicopter parents Books Bullet points Tweets Source: Rebecca Ryan, Live First, Work Second
  • 23. Layers: The information future | 23 Millennials: 1st Generation of Cyberspace Millennials bring new expectations toward both Lifestyle and Work © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.
  • 24. Layers: The information future | 24 24 Age Pyramid and Emerging Millenials They’re sociable, optimistic, talented, well-educated, collaborative, open-minded, influential, and achievement- oriented. They’ve always felt sought after, needed, indispensable. They are arriving in the marketplace with higher expectations than any generation © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc. before them—and they’re so well connected that, if an interaction doesn’t match those expectations, they can tell thousands of their cohorts with one click of the mouse.* *Claire Raines, Managing Millennial, 2002
  • 25. Layers: The information future | 25 Generational Purchasing Potential •  More than half of all consumers up to age 60 would be comfortable purchasing auto insurance online from a known company (i.e., © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc. from a brand that they trust). Source: Online Insurance Sales and Marketing: What’s Happening and What’s Next, 08
  • 26. Layers: The information future | 26 Baby Boomers – Then and Now © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc. Source: PEW, Generations Online 2009
  • 27. Layers: The information future | 27 EBITDA/Employee by No. of Employees P&C and Multiline Insurers - 2004-2008 Avgs. Quadrant 3 Quadrant 4 More productive Higher labor productivity, Higher labor productivity, Smaller Larger Median $113K EBITDA per employee © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc. Quadrant 1 Quadrant 2 Less productive Lower labor productivity, Lower labor productivity, Smaller Larger Median 4,100 employees Smaller Larger
  • 28. Layers: The information future | 28 Internally: High Performance Teams Cluster Around Expertise Expert in Charge © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc. Sub-specialty Sub-specialty Expert #1 Expert #2…N Bitsmith (e.g. the person who helps gather, shape Administrator and use information)
  • 29. Layers: The information future | 29 Internally: High Performance Task Groups Self Organize, But With Linkage Work Group must conform to input / output standards Work Group E Data X Expert in E Charge C U Capital S T © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc. T I Sub-specialty A O Expert #1 Sub-specialty N N (Often Content Expert 2 to N… D Based) A P R R D O Bitsmith Transactions S C Administrator E S S Designs E Decisions S Free to design within work group activities & processes
  • 30. Layers: The information future | 30 To be Big & Fast You Need to Have Both Hierarchies and Markets The 3 Waves of Capitalism Scale 2nd Wave Companies as Markets and Hierarchies © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc. 1st Wave Speed
  • 31. | 31 What are my goals for social media in the short term, medium term and long term? Quantitative Benefit Improve Sales Efficiency Qualitative Benefit Increase Representative Retention Improve Productivity Improve Advertising Effectiveness Representative is Productive Faster Easier Scaling of References © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc. and Training Benefits Cost Reduction Reduce Commute Costs Revenue Increase Increase Average Order Size Utilize Timely Information Customer Satisfaction React to Changing Needs Other Variables?
  • 32. Big & Fast Layers: The information future | 32 © 2010 Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, Inc.