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Internet Usage In India: Quantifying the Myth




        Source: http://www.internetworldstats.com/top20.htm


 There has been much scepticism in the Indian entrepreneurial and investor community about reported
 figures for active internet users in India. The official figures tend to count anybody who has EVER used the
 Internet.



                                                                    © 2009, Shyam Kamadolli, Fidelity India Capital Partners
Online users at Indian IPs are active



                                        India sourced Unique Visitors (Apr 2009)
                                             Highly generalized usage classification
                                             (source: Shyam Kamadolli, Fidelity India Capital Partners)
                               35       Google/Yahoo (~30M)

                               30
  Unique visitors (Millions)




                               25                     Social Media (~12M)

                               20
                                                                       Domestic transactional sites: travel, jobs (~5M)

                               15

                               10
                                                                        Long tail of general entertainment, gaming, etc. (~2M)
                                5

                                0
                                    1   4   7     10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49
                                                Site Rank by unique visitors (source: Vizisense)
       Note:
       Anecdotal evidence from webmasters indicates there are approximately 40M internet users in India (more later)
       Unique visitor estimates do not include significant numbers at Internet Cafés and similar NAT-ed networks
                                                                                          © 2009, Shyam Kamadolli, Fidelity India Capital Partners
Estimating online users: online and mobile


                                  Mobile: Low PC penetration + nearly
                                  400 mobile subs implies a lot of Internet
                                  activity is mobile
                                       42M GPRS users in Metro regions              4.2M
                                       active mobile internet users
                                       2% of non-metro and non-rural subs are
                                       active GPRS users  7M active mobile
                                       internet users
                                       My conservative estimate: 8M active

                                  PC based: 6.6M broadband plus a
                                  fraction of 70M dialup
                                       Based on Vizisense data and anecdotal
                                       evidence, atleast 40M unique visitors
                                       frequent the top 10 sites atleast twice a
                                       month and spending atleast 5 minutes per
                                       visit
                                       My conservative estimate: 35M active


                                  Total addressable users: 43M


                                  © 2009, Shyam Kamadolli, Fidelity India Capital Partners

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India Online Market Estimates, May 2009

  • 1. Internet Usage In India: Quantifying the Myth Source: http://www.internetworldstats.com/top20.htm There has been much scepticism in the Indian entrepreneurial and investor community about reported figures for active internet users in India. The official figures tend to count anybody who has EVER used the Internet. © 2009, Shyam Kamadolli, Fidelity India Capital Partners
  • 2. Online users at Indian IPs are active India sourced Unique Visitors (Apr 2009) Highly generalized usage classification (source: Shyam Kamadolli, Fidelity India Capital Partners) 35 Google/Yahoo (~30M) 30 Unique visitors (Millions) 25 Social Media (~12M) 20 Domestic transactional sites: travel, jobs (~5M) 15 10 Long tail of general entertainment, gaming, etc. (~2M) 5 0 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 Site Rank by unique visitors (source: Vizisense) Note: Anecdotal evidence from webmasters indicates there are approximately 40M internet users in India (more later) Unique visitor estimates do not include significant numbers at Internet Cafés and similar NAT-ed networks © 2009, Shyam Kamadolli, Fidelity India Capital Partners
  • 3. Estimating online users: online and mobile Mobile: Low PC penetration + nearly 400 mobile subs implies a lot of Internet activity is mobile 42M GPRS users in Metro regions 4.2M active mobile internet users 2% of non-metro and non-rural subs are active GPRS users 7M active mobile internet users My conservative estimate: 8M active PC based: 6.6M broadband plus a fraction of 70M dialup Based on Vizisense data and anecdotal evidence, atleast 40M unique visitors frequent the top 10 sites atleast twice a month and spending atleast 5 minutes per visit My conservative estimate: 35M active Total addressable users: 43M © 2009, Shyam Kamadolli, Fidelity India Capital Partners