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MegaWatts on Main Street A Carbon Finance Speaker Series at Yale Presenting Karen Ehrhardt-Martinez in “ People Centered Initiatives: Estimating the Potential for Behavior-Related Energy Savings and why they are Necessary” Brought to you by the Center for Business and the Environment at Yale through the generous support of the Emily Hall Tremaine Foundation
People-Centered Initiatives:  Estimating Potential Behavior-Related Energy Saving Karen Ehrhardt-Martinez, Ph.D. Megawatts on Main Street Webinar, February 18, 2010
Opening Thoughts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Creating an Energy Revolution ,[object Object],[object Object]
Traditional Approaches to Efficiency With a little behavioral change Imagine a U.S. economy in 2030 that is 70% larger than today The “official future” Add more productive technology And with a little imagination. . .
Saving Energy in a Hurry ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Estimating the Behavioral Resource ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
U.S. Residential Energy End Uses (2008) End Use Category Energy Consumed (Quads) Percent of Total Space Heating 6.2 16.1% Air Conditioning 2.4 6.1% Lighting 2.3 6.0% Hot Water 2.5 6.3% Refrigeration 1.4 3.8% Consumer Appliances 3.3 8.6% Other Uses Not Specified 4.0 10.4% Personal Transportation 16.5 42.8% Total End Use Energy 38.5 100.0%
Categories of Household Behaviors that Impact Residential End Use
Range of Participation Rates and Savings by End Use Category Major End Uses Range of Potential Savings Range of Policy-driven Participation Expected Savings Space Heating 18-36% 3-40% 27% Air Conditioning 19-47% 2-75% 33% Lighting 10-53% 20-80% 32% Hot Water 6-26% 3-75% 16% Refrigeration 17-55% 5-75% 36% Consumer Appliances 6-20% 40-80% 13% Other Uses 12-24% 30-50% 18% Personal Transport 14-33% 30-80% 24% Total End Use Impacts 18-28% n/a 23%
Potential Near-Term Household and Personal Transportation Energy Savings Category of Actions Potential National Energy Savings (Quads) Conservation, Lifestyle, Awareness, Low-Cost Actions 4.9 (57% of total savings) Investment Decisions 3.7 (43% of total savings) Total Energy Savings ~8.6 +/- 1.5 (22% of HH energy)
How Much is 9 Quads of Energy Savings? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Conclusion? Even these conservative estimates indicate that a people-centered approach could result in significant energy savings – but they would require a meaningful shift in policy.
What are Behavior-Savvy Strategies? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Targeting  –  People and Actions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Informing  –  Energy Consumption,   Technologies, and Programs ,[object Object],The Energy Detective Power Cost Monitor Savings: 5-15%
Motivating  –  Norms, Networks, Goals,   and Commitments ,[object Object],Savings: 2.5-3.0%
Empowering  –  Removing barriers and  providing better choices ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
BECC Low-Carbon Lunch Meat production is responsible for 18% of GHG emissions – around 40% more than the entire transport sector (Pew Commission 2008) Omnivores contribute 7 times the GHG emissions than vegans ACEEE Conference Standard BECC 2007 BECC 2009 Meat-Based Lunch 90-95% 83% 20% Veg. Lunch 5-10% 17% 80% Large Indirect  Savings
Closing Thoughts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
For Further Information Contact: ,[object Object],[object Object]

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People Centered Initiatives Feb 18, 2010

  • 1. MegaWatts on Main Street A Carbon Finance Speaker Series at Yale Presenting Karen Ehrhardt-Martinez in “ People Centered Initiatives: Estimating the Potential for Behavior-Related Energy Savings and why they are Necessary” Brought to you by the Center for Business and the Environment at Yale through the generous support of the Emily Hall Tremaine Foundation
  • 2. People-Centered Initiatives: Estimating Potential Behavior-Related Energy Saving Karen Ehrhardt-Martinez, Ph.D. Megawatts on Main Street Webinar, February 18, 2010
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. Traditional Approaches to Efficiency With a little behavioral change Imagine a U.S. economy in 2030 that is 70% larger than today The “official future” Add more productive technology And with a little imagination. . .
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8. U.S. Residential Energy End Uses (2008) End Use Category Energy Consumed (Quads) Percent of Total Space Heating 6.2 16.1% Air Conditioning 2.4 6.1% Lighting 2.3 6.0% Hot Water 2.5 6.3% Refrigeration 1.4 3.8% Consumer Appliances 3.3 8.6% Other Uses Not Specified 4.0 10.4% Personal Transportation 16.5 42.8% Total End Use Energy 38.5 100.0%
  • 9. Categories of Household Behaviors that Impact Residential End Use
  • 10. Range of Participation Rates and Savings by End Use Category Major End Uses Range of Potential Savings Range of Policy-driven Participation Expected Savings Space Heating 18-36% 3-40% 27% Air Conditioning 19-47% 2-75% 33% Lighting 10-53% 20-80% 32% Hot Water 6-26% 3-75% 16% Refrigeration 17-55% 5-75% 36% Consumer Appliances 6-20% 40-80% 13% Other Uses 12-24% 30-50% 18% Personal Transport 14-33% 30-80% 24% Total End Use Impacts 18-28% n/a 23%
  • 11. Potential Near-Term Household and Personal Transportation Energy Savings Category of Actions Potential National Energy Savings (Quads) Conservation, Lifestyle, Awareness, Low-Cost Actions 4.9 (57% of total savings) Investment Decisions 3.7 (43% of total savings) Total Energy Savings ~8.6 +/- 1.5 (22% of HH energy)
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18. BECC Low-Carbon Lunch Meat production is responsible for 18% of GHG emissions – around 40% more than the entire transport sector (Pew Commission 2008) Omnivores contribute 7 times the GHG emissions than vegans ACEEE Conference Standard BECC 2007 BECC 2009 Meat-Based Lunch 90-95% 83% 20% Veg. Lunch 5-10% 17% 80% Large Indirect Savings
  • 19.
  • 20.