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Financial Economics EC4024 2009




                          Dr Stephen Kinsella
                       stephen.kinsella@ul.ie
                    www.stephenkinsella.net
                  twitter.com/stephenkinsella
What’s this course
        about?
• Markets
• Macroeconomics
• Finance/Public Policy
• Meltdowns & the Future of the Financial
  System
You’ll learn
You’ll learn
1. How to read the financial pages
2. How to comment intelligently on current
   affairs
3. Understand & Critique Basic Models
4. Some econophysics & real market data
5. Trading Simulations & Experiments
6. Working with Real Data
Last Year’s Course
Introduction




                                           Prob. Theory
Markets & Finance     Risk & Uncertainty

          Portfolio Analysis

       CAPM     APT     EMH

        Options, Futures, BS

        Behavioural Finance
“Time changes everything
except something within us
which is always surprised by
change.”
-Thomas Hardy
10 000




 7000




 5000




 3000




         2000         2002     2004    2006     2008




                ^ISEQ, Irish Stock Exchange, 1999---?
10 000




 7000




 5000




 3000




         2000         2002     2004    2006     2008




                ^ISEQ, Irish Stock Exchange, 1999---?
This Year’s Course
Intro/Data




                                              Lab Time / Experiments
Structure of System   Physical Descriptions

             Crisis/Options

        CAPM     APT     EMH

          Behavioural Finance

               “Other”
Stuff I expect you to
    know from EC4004
Marginal Analysis
Description of Households & Firms
Theory of the Business Cycle
Game Theory

        stephenkinsella.net/teaching
Grading

PS1 10% (Due week 4)
PS2 10% (Due week 8)
PS2 10% (Due week 10)
Final Exam 70%
Materials

Course Page on stephenkinsella.net/
Regular Blog Posts, links to media
Textbook, Pilbeam, Finance & Financial
Markets, 50 Copies in Bookshop, 2 on 3hr
reserve in Library.
Mini Presentations
Email by 5pm TODAY if you
don’t want to be a volunteer
PRIZE FOR
ORIGINALITY:
 100 EUROS
Policies
Do reading before class
Do exercises in notes
Show up to lectures, check site daily.
Email whenever, but...
Don’t send me text messages!
Read Pilbeam, Cht 1
& Lecture Notes on
       Web
Ec4024 2009 Lecture 1 Introduction to the Course

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Ec4024 2009 Lecture 1 Introduction to the Course

  • 1. Financial Economics EC4024 2009 Dr Stephen Kinsella stephen.kinsella@ul.ie www.stephenkinsella.net twitter.com/stephenkinsella
  • 2. What’s this course about? • Markets • Macroeconomics • Finance/Public Policy • Meltdowns & the Future of the Financial System
  • 4. You’ll learn 1. How to read the financial pages 2. How to comment intelligently on current affairs 3. Understand & Critique Basic Models 4. Some econophysics & real market data 5. Trading Simulations & Experiments 6. Working with Real Data
  • 6. Introduction Prob. Theory Markets & Finance Risk & Uncertainty Portfolio Analysis CAPM APT EMH Options, Futures, BS Behavioural Finance
  • 7. “Time changes everything except something within us which is always surprised by change.” -Thomas Hardy
  • 8. 10 000 7000 5000 3000 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 ^ISEQ, Irish Stock Exchange, 1999---?
  • 9. 10 000 7000 5000 3000 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 ^ISEQ, Irish Stock Exchange, 1999---?
  • 11. Intro/Data Lab Time / Experiments Structure of System Physical Descriptions Crisis/Options CAPM APT EMH Behavioural Finance “Other”
  • 12. Stuff I expect you to know from EC4004 Marginal Analysis Description of Households & Firms Theory of the Business Cycle Game Theory stephenkinsella.net/teaching
  • 13. Grading PS1 10% (Due week 4) PS2 10% (Due week 8) PS2 10% (Due week 10) Final Exam 70%
  • 14. Materials Course Page on stephenkinsella.net/ Regular Blog Posts, links to media Textbook, Pilbeam, Finance & Financial Markets, 50 Copies in Bookshop, 2 on 3hr reserve in Library.
  • 16. Email by 5pm TODAY if you don’t want to be a volunteer
  • 18. Policies Do reading before class Do exercises in notes Show up to lectures, check site daily. Email whenever, but... Don’t send me text messages!
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21. Read Pilbeam, Cht 1 & Lecture Notes on Web