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The Future of Fair Housing Regional Convening
Co-Sponsored by the Northwest Justice Project & the Kirwan Institute for the Study
of Race & Ethnicity
Supported by PRRAC and the Casey Foundation
Seattle, WA
October 30th 2009


Presented by:
Jason Reece, Senior Researcher (Reece.35@osu.edu)
The Kirwan Institute for the Study of Race & Ethnicity
The Ohio State University
   Background on this work

   What is Opportunity Mapping?
     Why use data or GIS/mapping for advocacy?
     How is it done? What is it used for?

   Early Results
     Preliminary results

   What’s next?
                                                  2
The King County Opportunity Mapping Initiative




                                                 3
   Multidisciplinary applied research
    institute
     Our mission is to expand opportunity
      for all, especially for our most
      marginalized communities
   Founded in 2003 by john powell
     Opportunity Communities Program
      (1/3 of staff)
      ▪ Opening pathways to opportunity for
        marginalized communities through
        investments in people, places and
        supporting linkages
      ▪ Opportunity mapping


                                              4
   “Opportunity” is a situation or condition that places individuals in a
    position to be more likely to succeed or excel.
   Opportunity structures are critical to opening pathways to success:
     High-quality education
     Healthy and safe environment
     Stable housing
     Sustainable employment
     Political empowerment
     Outlets for wealth-building
     Positive social networks
   Five decades of research
    indicate that your environment
    has a profound impact on your
    access to opportunity and
    likelihood of success
   High poverty areas with poor
    employment, underperforming
    schools, distressed housing and
    public health/safety risks
    depress life outcomes
     A system of disadvantage
     Many manifestations
       ▪ Urban, rural, suburban

   People of color are far more
    likely to live in opportunity
    deprived neighborhoods and
    communities

                                      6
   Emphasis on how systems work to produce inequity
     How do multiple issues interact to either depress or uplift
      certain populations or communities?
     What can we do to “strategically intervene” and improve
      outcomes for marginalized communities

   Extensive use of mapping in our work
     Inequity has a geographic footprint
     Leverage points sometimes geographic in scope
     Maps powerful for both research and communicating
      research/issues to the public and other stakeholders
                                                                    7
   The power of GIS
     Overlays of data/information
      ▪ Depth of analysis – because of its
        storage and overlay capabilities, GIS
        allows analysis which would be
        difficult or impossible without GIS
        technology
      ▪ Interaction of variables: GIS allows for
        extensive exploration of the
        interaction between various
        factors, primarily the focusing on
        correlation and relationships (spatial)


                                                   8
   Why is a map an
    excellent visual tool to
    inform someone about
    an issue/problem or
    solution?
     Maps are incredibly efficient,
      compacting volumes of data
      into single pictures that can
      be understood at a glance
       ▪ One map may contain tens of
         thousands of pieces of
         information than can be
         understood in seconds
     A good map can enable you to
      tell a story or solve a problem
       ▪ Research has shown that
         people can solve problems
         faster with map based
         information, than by looking
         at charts, tables or graphs

                                        9
Redlining Map of Philadelphia, PA
   Mapping is just
    another analytical &
    communications
    tool
     Can produce good or
      bad results
   How can we
    effectively use
    maps for advocacy?




                                                                10
   The King County Opportunity Mapping
    Initiative
     Leadership
      ▪ The Northwest Justice Project – initiated the work
     Kirwan assisting as partner to conduct mapping
      and analysis
     Supported with small grant funding provided by
      PRRAC and the Casey Foundation


                                                             11
   The use of mapping or neighborhood information
    for policy making/advocacy or to address
    poverty/equity issues is advanced
     King County – national leader in using data/mapping
     Other nearby activities – Portland’s equity atlas;
      Opportunity mapping efforts in Washington County, OR

   Much better data availability here than in other
    states/metropolitan areas


                                                             12
What is it? How do you do it? What is it used for?




                                                     13
   The Kirwan Institute has conducted
    “opportunity mapping” for states and
    metropolitan regions across the US
       Projects in at least a dozen states

   Why identify the “State of Opportunity”
       How are low-income groups situated in the State?
       How are racial and ethnic groups situated?
       What can be done to improve the opportunity
        landscape?
   How do you map opportunity?
     Data representing community conditions was
      gathered for neighborhood (census tracts) across the
      state or region
       ▪ Data for all indicators of community conditions was
         aggregated to the Census Tract level and analyzed to create
         a comprehensive opportunity index for the census tracts
         (neighborhoods) throughout the state or region
     The opportunity index is then mapped and census
      tracts are broken into quintiles based on their
      opportunity score
       ▪ Very Low, Low, Moderate, High, Very High
Example of an Opportunity Map:
          Detroit MI
 (Dark Areas = Most Opportunity
       Rich Communities)
 (Light Areas = Most Opportunity
         Deprived Areas)
     Analysis and Narrative:
African American men are isolated
from neighborhoods of opportunity
            in Detroit




                               16
   In the past five years our opportunity
    mapping has been utilized in communities
    across the nation to promote social justice
     Expanding opportunity for marginalized
      groups
     Recent examples:
       ▪ Public housing residents and fair housing in Baltimore,
         MD
       ▪ Legal services neighborhoods and racial isolation in
         MA
       ▪ Austin Opportunity Initiative
 Director powell’s involvement in
  both the liability and remedy
  phases of the litigation, on behalf
  of NAACP Legal Defense Fund
  and the Maryland ACLU

 Used the opportunity community
  model to identify solutions for a
  fair housing for the Baltimore
  region
  ▪ Potential impact on 7,000 public housing
    families in the Baltimore region
   Background on this project
     Originated from effort to
      incorporated structural analysis into
      legal services
   Partners
     Massachusetts Law Reform
      Institute, MA Legal Assistance Corp
      and other Legal Services Entities
     Impacts
      ▪   National Consumer Law Center, State opportunity
          assessment, Planning/Advocacy on Affordable Housing,
          Adopt a Zip Code
   Opportunity mapping used in
    Austin to assess affordable
    housing decisions and
    promote regional multi-
    disciplinary collaboration

   Next step is to explore
    “emerging opportunity areas”
    for future affordable housing
    investments




                                    20
EDUCATION                          HOUSING & NEIGHBORHOOD
   Student poverty rates          HEALTH
   Reading/Math test scores
                                      Home ownership rates
   Adult educational attainment
                                      Crime incidence
   Teacher qualifications
                                      Vacancy rates
   Graduation rate
                                      Home value appreciation
                                      Neighborhood poverty rates
ECONOMIC HEALTH                       Population change
                                      Proximity to parks/open space
   Proximity to employment
                                      Proximity to toxic waste release
   Commute times
                                       sites
   Job growth trends
   Business start trends
   Unemployment rate
   Public assistance rate
                                                                          21
Education     Economic      Housing &        Final
Opportunity   Opportunity   Neighborhood   Opportunity
   Score         Score          Score      Score (Map)




                                                     22
KING COUNTY OPPORTUNITY MAPPING                                                                                                               INDICATORS DATA MATRIX



EDUCATION                                            DESCRIPTION


Reading Proficiency Scores 07-08                     Test scores for neighborhood schools

Math Proficiency Scores 07-08                        Test scores for neighborhood schools

Graduation Rates 07-08                               Percentage of students graduating

Student Poverty or Economic Disadvantage 07-08       Percentage of economically disadvantaged students

Teacher Qualifications 07-08                         Percentage of Highly Qualified Teachers (HQT)

Adult Educational Attainment                         Highest level of education attained by adults



ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY AND MOBILITY


Proximity to employment                              Number of jobs within 5 miles of censustract centroids

Economic climate 1                                   Change in number of jobs within 5 miles of censustract centroids

Economic climate 2                                   Business creation within 5 miles

Percentage of Population on Public Assistance        Percentage of people on public assistance

Unemployment Rate                                    Percentage of workforce unemployed

Mean Commute Time                                    Average work commute of census tract workers



HOUSING AND NEIGHBORHOODS


Crime Rates (if available)                           Crime index for Part 1 offenses

Home Ownership Rate                                  Percentage of residence ownership by census tract

Residential Vacancy Rate                             Percentage of vacant houses by census tract

Property appreciation                                Percentage change in average home price from 2002-2007



Neighborhood Poverty Rate                            Percentage of people below poverty for whom the poverty level has been determined by censustracts

Population change                                    Population change since 2000



Proximity to Toxic Waste Sites and Superfund Sites   Census tracts are ranked based on their distance from these facilities and the amount of toxic waste released

Proximity to park and open spaces                    Percentage of area in sq.mile in each census tract
Preliminary Draft Results




                            24
   Opportunity mapping allows us to look at the
    intersection of community conditions and a
    number of other factors
     Demographics (Race/Ethnicity/Class)
     Policy Issues
      ▪ Affordable Housing
      ▪ Subprime Lending and Foreclosure
     This is only a start
      ▪ Other issues to examine/explore?

                                                   28
Race Analysis
Neighborhood Type         % African American   % Asian      % Latino    % Whites
Low and Very Low Opp.                74.26%        55.11%      59.35%       36.29%
Moderate Opportunity                 13.21%        15.17%      16.91%       21.10%
High and Very High Opp.              12.53%        29.72%      23.75%       42.61%


           80%
           60%
           40%
           20%
            0%
                    Low and Very      Moderate        High and Very
                     Low Opp.        Opportunity       High Opp.
                    % African American     % Asian
                    % Latino               % Whites                                  29
Subsidized Housing Analysis

Neighborhood Type             # Projects     # Units   % Projects   % Units

Low and Very Low Opp.                  286     11686      51.35%      63.67%

Moderate Opportunity                   137      2752      24.60%      14.99%

High and Very High Opp.                134      3917      24.06%      21.34%

Grand Total                            557     18355     100.00%     100.00%




                                                                               32
Foreclosure Analysis



Neighborhood Type         Estimated Foreclosures    Estimated foreclosure Rate

Low and Very Low Opp.                      65.28%                       2.15%

Moderate Opportunity                       19.20%                       1.10%

High and Very High Opp.                    15.51%                       0.46%

Grand Total                              100.00%                        1.23%




                                                                                 35
   What does our analysis find and suggest?
     People of color are disproportionately concentrated in
      opportunity deprived communities
      ▪ Which places them within a system of disadvantage that ultimately
        impacts life outcomes
      ▪ Creating both an individual and societal tragedy
     Does subsidized housing reinforces opportunity isolation?
     Will foreclosures widen the “opportunity divide”?
   What are the implications of this challenge and how
    can we formulate a response?
     Opportunity based model of social justice and community
      development
      ▪ Investments people, places and linkages
Opportunity
                 Based Fair
                  Housing




              Planning for
Opportunity                      Neighborhood
 Mapping      Opportunity        Revitalization
              Communities




                 Equitable
               Regional Policy
Next Steps




             43
   Immediate plans
     Revise maps
     Prepare final analysis
     Prepare report
     Distribute
   Long term ideas (potential possible ideas)
     Look at neighborhoods compared to nation
     Move away from static maps
      ▪ Be more dynamic – e.g. where are emerging areas of opportunity?
     Explore online platform?

                                                                          44
   We need your input & feedback
     Indicators & data
     The maps (any anomalies?)
     Overlay analysis?
      ▪ What else should we look at or analyze?
     How could this be useful for your work?
   My contact information
     E-mail at: Reece.35@osu.edu


                                                  45
   The Advancement Projects – Healthy City Mapping System
       www.healthycity.org
   Maryland StateStat (Recovery projects)
       http://mdimap.towson.edu/statestat//
   Solar Boston
       http://gis.cityofboston.gov/SolarBoston/




                                                             46
47

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King County Opportunity Mapping: Introduction and Preliminary Results

  • 1. The Future of Fair Housing Regional Convening Co-Sponsored by the Northwest Justice Project & the Kirwan Institute for the Study of Race & Ethnicity Supported by PRRAC and the Casey Foundation Seattle, WA October 30th 2009 Presented by: Jason Reece, Senior Researcher (Reece.35@osu.edu) The Kirwan Institute for the Study of Race & Ethnicity The Ohio State University
  • 2. Background on this work  What is Opportunity Mapping?  Why use data or GIS/mapping for advocacy?  How is it done? What is it used for?  Early Results  Preliminary results  What’s next? 2
  • 3. The King County Opportunity Mapping Initiative 3
  • 4. Multidisciplinary applied research institute  Our mission is to expand opportunity for all, especially for our most marginalized communities  Founded in 2003 by john powell  Opportunity Communities Program (1/3 of staff) ▪ Opening pathways to opportunity for marginalized communities through investments in people, places and supporting linkages ▪ Opportunity mapping 4
  • 5. “Opportunity” is a situation or condition that places individuals in a position to be more likely to succeed or excel.  Opportunity structures are critical to opening pathways to success:  High-quality education  Healthy and safe environment  Stable housing  Sustainable employment  Political empowerment  Outlets for wealth-building  Positive social networks
  • 6. Five decades of research indicate that your environment has a profound impact on your access to opportunity and likelihood of success  High poverty areas with poor employment, underperforming schools, distressed housing and public health/safety risks depress life outcomes  A system of disadvantage  Many manifestations ▪ Urban, rural, suburban  People of color are far more likely to live in opportunity deprived neighborhoods and communities 6
  • 7. Emphasis on how systems work to produce inequity  How do multiple issues interact to either depress or uplift certain populations or communities?  What can we do to “strategically intervene” and improve outcomes for marginalized communities  Extensive use of mapping in our work  Inequity has a geographic footprint  Leverage points sometimes geographic in scope  Maps powerful for both research and communicating research/issues to the public and other stakeholders 7
  • 8. The power of GIS  Overlays of data/information ▪ Depth of analysis – because of its storage and overlay capabilities, GIS allows analysis which would be difficult or impossible without GIS technology ▪ Interaction of variables: GIS allows for extensive exploration of the interaction between various factors, primarily the focusing on correlation and relationships (spatial) 8
  • 9. Why is a map an excellent visual tool to inform someone about an issue/problem or solution?  Maps are incredibly efficient, compacting volumes of data into single pictures that can be understood at a glance ▪ One map may contain tens of thousands of pieces of information than can be understood in seconds  A good map can enable you to tell a story or solve a problem ▪ Research has shown that people can solve problems faster with map based information, than by looking at charts, tables or graphs 9
  • 10. Redlining Map of Philadelphia, PA  Mapping is just another analytical & communications tool  Can produce good or bad results  How can we effectively use maps for advocacy? 10
  • 11. The King County Opportunity Mapping Initiative  Leadership ▪ The Northwest Justice Project – initiated the work  Kirwan assisting as partner to conduct mapping and analysis  Supported with small grant funding provided by PRRAC and the Casey Foundation 11
  • 12. The use of mapping or neighborhood information for policy making/advocacy or to address poverty/equity issues is advanced  King County – national leader in using data/mapping  Other nearby activities – Portland’s equity atlas; Opportunity mapping efforts in Washington County, OR  Much better data availability here than in other states/metropolitan areas 12
  • 13. What is it? How do you do it? What is it used for? 13
  • 14. The Kirwan Institute has conducted “opportunity mapping” for states and metropolitan regions across the US  Projects in at least a dozen states  Why identify the “State of Opportunity”  How are low-income groups situated in the State?  How are racial and ethnic groups situated?  What can be done to improve the opportunity landscape?
  • 15. How do you map opportunity?  Data representing community conditions was gathered for neighborhood (census tracts) across the state or region ▪ Data for all indicators of community conditions was aggregated to the Census Tract level and analyzed to create a comprehensive opportunity index for the census tracts (neighborhoods) throughout the state or region  The opportunity index is then mapped and census tracts are broken into quintiles based on their opportunity score ▪ Very Low, Low, Moderate, High, Very High
  • 16. Example of an Opportunity Map: Detroit MI (Dark Areas = Most Opportunity Rich Communities) (Light Areas = Most Opportunity Deprived Areas) Analysis and Narrative: African American men are isolated from neighborhoods of opportunity in Detroit 16
  • 17. In the past five years our opportunity mapping has been utilized in communities across the nation to promote social justice  Expanding opportunity for marginalized groups  Recent examples: ▪ Public housing residents and fair housing in Baltimore, MD ▪ Legal services neighborhoods and racial isolation in MA ▪ Austin Opportunity Initiative
  • 18.  Director powell’s involvement in both the liability and remedy phases of the litigation, on behalf of NAACP Legal Defense Fund and the Maryland ACLU  Used the opportunity community model to identify solutions for a fair housing for the Baltimore region ▪ Potential impact on 7,000 public housing families in the Baltimore region
  • 19. Background on this project  Originated from effort to incorporated structural analysis into legal services  Partners  Massachusetts Law Reform Institute, MA Legal Assistance Corp and other Legal Services Entities  Impacts ▪ National Consumer Law Center, State opportunity assessment, Planning/Advocacy on Affordable Housing, Adopt a Zip Code
  • 20. Opportunity mapping used in Austin to assess affordable housing decisions and promote regional multi- disciplinary collaboration  Next step is to explore “emerging opportunity areas” for future affordable housing investments 20
  • 21. EDUCATION HOUSING & NEIGHBORHOOD  Student poverty rates HEALTH  Reading/Math test scores  Home ownership rates  Adult educational attainment  Crime incidence  Teacher qualifications  Vacancy rates  Graduation rate  Home value appreciation  Neighborhood poverty rates ECONOMIC HEALTH  Population change  Proximity to parks/open space  Proximity to employment  Proximity to toxic waste release  Commute times sites  Job growth trends  Business start trends  Unemployment rate  Public assistance rate 21
  • 22. Education Economic Housing & Final Opportunity Opportunity Neighborhood Opportunity Score Score Score Score (Map) 22
  • 23. KING COUNTY OPPORTUNITY MAPPING INDICATORS DATA MATRIX EDUCATION DESCRIPTION Reading Proficiency Scores 07-08 Test scores for neighborhood schools Math Proficiency Scores 07-08 Test scores for neighborhood schools Graduation Rates 07-08 Percentage of students graduating Student Poverty or Economic Disadvantage 07-08 Percentage of economically disadvantaged students Teacher Qualifications 07-08 Percentage of Highly Qualified Teachers (HQT) Adult Educational Attainment Highest level of education attained by adults ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY AND MOBILITY Proximity to employment Number of jobs within 5 miles of censustract centroids Economic climate 1 Change in number of jobs within 5 miles of censustract centroids Economic climate 2 Business creation within 5 miles Percentage of Population on Public Assistance Percentage of people on public assistance Unemployment Rate Percentage of workforce unemployed Mean Commute Time Average work commute of census tract workers HOUSING AND NEIGHBORHOODS Crime Rates (if available) Crime index for Part 1 offenses Home Ownership Rate Percentage of residence ownership by census tract Residential Vacancy Rate Percentage of vacant houses by census tract Property appreciation Percentage change in average home price from 2002-2007 Neighborhood Poverty Rate Percentage of people below poverty for whom the poverty level has been determined by censustracts Population change Population change since 2000 Proximity to Toxic Waste Sites and Superfund Sites Census tracts are ranked based on their distance from these facilities and the amount of toxic waste released Proximity to park and open spaces Percentage of area in sq.mile in each census tract
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  • 28. Opportunity mapping allows us to look at the intersection of community conditions and a number of other factors  Demographics (Race/Ethnicity/Class)  Policy Issues ▪ Affordable Housing ▪ Subprime Lending and Foreclosure  This is only a start ▪ Other issues to examine/explore? 28
  • 29. Race Analysis Neighborhood Type % African American % Asian % Latino % Whites Low and Very Low Opp. 74.26% 55.11% 59.35% 36.29% Moderate Opportunity 13.21% 15.17% 16.91% 21.10% High and Very High Opp. 12.53% 29.72% 23.75% 42.61% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Low and Very Moderate High and Very Low Opp. Opportunity High Opp. % African American % Asian % Latino % Whites 29
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  • 32. Subsidized Housing Analysis Neighborhood Type # Projects # Units % Projects % Units Low and Very Low Opp. 286 11686 51.35% 63.67% Moderate Opportunity 137 2752 24.60% 14.99% High and Very High Opp. 134 3917 24.06% 21.34% Grand Total 557 18355 100.00% 100.00% 32
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  • 35. Foreclosure Analysis Neighborhood Type Estimated Foreclosures Estimated foreclosure Rate Low and Very Low Opp. 65.28% 2.15% Moderate Opportunity 19.20% 1.10% High and Very High Opp. 15.51% 0.46% Grand Total 100.00% 1.23% 35
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  • 41. What does our analysis find and suggest?  People of color are disproportionately concentrated in opportunity deprived communities ▪ Which places them within a system of disadvantage that ultimately impacts life outcomes ▪ Creating both an individual and societal tragedy  Does subsidized housing reinforces opportunity isolation?  Will foreclosures widen the “opportunity divide”?  What are the implications of this challenge and how can we formulate a response?  Opportunity based model of social justice and community development ▪ Investments people, places and linkages
  • 42. Opportunity Based Fair Housing Planning for Opportunity Neighborhood Mapping Opportunity Revitalization Communities Equitable Regional Policy
  • 44. Immediate plans  Revise maps  Prepare final analysis  Prepare report  Distribute  Long term ideas (potential possible ideas)  Look at neighborhoods compared to nation  Move away from static maps ▪ Be more dynamic – e.g. where are emerging areas of opportunity?  Explore online platform? 44
  • 45. We need your input & feedback  Indicators & data  The maps (any anomalies?)  Overlay analysis? ▪ What else should we look at or analyze?  How could this be useful for your work?  My contact information  E-mail at: Reece.35@osu.edu 45
  • 46. The Advancement Projects – Healthy City Mapping System  www.healthycity.org  Maryland StateStat (Recovery projects)  http://mdimap.towson.edu/statestat//  Solar Boston  http://gis.cityofboston.gov/SolarBoston/ 46
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