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SENATE OF THE PHILIPPINES
COMMITTEE ON WAYS & MEANS
     Senate Bill 3299 under
     Committee Report 411

       October 10, 2012




                              O/S Recto
The measure we are about to
debate poses a deterrent that will
KEEP PEOPLE FROM BEING SICK
 and will GENERATE REVENUES
that will TREAT THEM when they
             get sick.


                                     O/S Recto
Taxation
  is what makes
appropriations
    possible.


                  O/S Recto
BIR 2013 Collections   P1.3T Billion
 BIR 2013 Excise Tax
         Collections    P75 Billion

                          ~P20.00
                P1.00 for every P20.00
                  from sin products
                                     O/S Recto
Taxes Collected (in Php) from Alcohol and Tobacco 100 Years Ago

                                                                                1912
                             Distilled Spirits                                 3,049,684

                             Wines and Imitation Wines                          173,391

                             Fermented Liquors                                  202,178

                                     ALCOHOL Sub- Total                        3,425,254

                             Smoking and Chewing Tobacco                        283,025

                             Cigars                                             255,700

                             Cigarettes                                        4,378,680

                                      TOBACCO Sub-Total                        4,917,406

                                           GRAND TOTAL                         8,908,788


Source: Report of the Philippine Commission to the Secretary of War, FY 1912               O/S Recto
Firemen and
P8.6 B               fire trucks
Excise Taxes Paid    (BJMP Budget)
      (2011)

                                     O/S Recto
P1.5 B              classrooms
Excise Taxes Paid
      (2011)

                             O/S Recto
P1.0 B
                      pension of
                    senior citizens
Excise Taxes Paid
      (2011)

                                      O/S Recto
A government in need of
money would always prefer
   a TAXABLE VICE, like
 drinking, to a tax-exempt
 virtue like staying sober.


                              O/S Recto
ALCOHOL INDUSTRY
                  Product Classifications
                 DISTILLED SPIRITS
Gin   Whisky     Brandy    Rum    Vodka   Tequila      Siok Tong



                          WINES
Sparkling wine    Champagne        Still wine     Fortified Wine



                 FERMENTED LIQUOR
  Beer      Lager         Ale    Porter         Basi     Tapuy

                                                           O/S Recto
2011 Volume of Removals
DISTILLED SPIRITS       FERMENTED LIQUOR

255 million liter s     1.56 billion liter s or
                        4.7 billion bottles




              17.4 liter s per per son

                                              O/S Recto
ALCOHOL INDUSTRY
          Gr oss Sales (2011)

                             TOTAL
                          P124 B

    Fermented Liquor                 Distilled Spirits
          P67 B                        P57 B
                            Wines
                           P 263 M
Source: BIR                                          O/S Recto
ALCOHOL INDUSTRY
          Tot al Taxes Paid (2011)

                             TOTAL
                            P42 B

    Fermented Liquor                    Distilled Spirits
          P30 B                              P12 B*
                              Wines
                            P 35 M**                                        O/S Recto
                                                      *includes BOC data; Source: DSAP
Source: BIR                            ** excise tax only (no data for other taxes paid)
TAX BURDEN ON FERMENTED LIQUOR (2011)

 Excise   19 B 28%
 VAT           6 B 9%
 Income &
 other taxes   5 B 8%
TOTAL     30 B45%
                                   O/S Recto
ALCOHOL INDUSTRY
          Tot al Taxes Paid (2011)

                             TOTAL
                            P42 B

    Fermented Liquor                    Distilled Spirits
          P30 B                              P12 B*
                              Wines
                            P 35 M**                                        O/S Recto
                                                      *includes BOC data; Source: DSAP
Source: BIR                            ** excise tax only (no data for other taxes paid)
TAX BURDEN ON DISTILLED SPIRITS (2011)

                 Excise        5.2 B   9%
                 VAT           5.2 B* 9%
                 Income &
                 other taxes   1.6 B   3%
                 TOTAL         12 B 21%
*with BOC data
Source: BIR                                 O/S Recto
Tax Burden of Selected Industries (2011)


                         Alcohol                   Power
                          34%*                      15%

                         Telecoms           Automobile
                           15%                       4%
*with BOC data
Source: BIR                                                 O/S Recto
CURRENT TAX RATES
Distilled Spirits

1 . F R O M LO C A L S O U RC E S
    ( s a p o f n i p a , c o c o n u t , c a s s av a , c a m o te o r b u r i
    p a l m o r f ro m t h e j u i c e , s y r u p o r s u g a r o f t h e          P 14.68
    cane)


2 . F RO M R AW M AT E R I A L S OT H E R T H A N                        THOSE
    E N U M E R AT E D A B OV E
    N e t r e t a i l p r i c e ( N R P ) [ exc l u d i n g t h e exc i s e a n d
    VAT ] p e r b o t t l e o f 7 5 0 m l v o l u m e c a p a c i t y i s :
                     Less than P250.00                                              P 158.73
                     P250.00 to P675.00                                             P 317. 4 4
                     More than P675.00                                              P 634.90



                                                                                                 O/S Recto
CURRENT TAX RATES
Wines

1. SPARKLING WINES/ CHAMPAGNES
  Net Retail Price, per bottle, regardless of proof:
      P500.00 or less                                     P 183.42
      More than P500.00                                   P 550.24

2. STILL WINES
  Less than 14% of alcohol by volume                       P 22.00
  14% to 25% of alcohol by volume                          P 44.02

3. FORTIFIED WINES                                     Same as distilled
  More than 25% of alcohol by volume                       spirits



                                                                           O/S Recto
CURRENT TAX RATES
Fermented Liquor

1. Beer, lager beer, ale, porter and other fermented
   liquors except domestic fermented liquor (e.g. tuba,
   basi, tupuy)

    Net Retail Price, per liter of volume capacity :
      Less than P14.50 (low)                              P 10.42
      P 14.50 to P 22.00 (medium)                         P 15.49
      More than P22.00 (high)                             P 20.57

2. Fermented liquor brewed and sold at micro
   breweries, pubs, restaurants                           P 20.57


                                                                    O/S Recto
2011 Major Corporations
          ALCOHOLINDUSTRY




Source: DSAP, August 2012        Source: BIR

                                               O/S Recto
ALCOHOL INDUSTRY
Distilled Spirits                   Fermented Liquor
        Emperador
         Distillers
                                          San Miguel
                                         Breweries Inc.
       Ginebra
    San Miguel, Inc.

          Tanduay
          Distillers
                                     Asia Brewery Inc.
        Destileria
     Limtuaco & Co.
Source: DSAP, August 2012           Source: BIR           O/S Recto
PERCENTAGE OF ALCOHOL EXPENDITURE
 Family Income and Expenditure Sur vey (1994 -2009)




  0.9        0.9



                       0.7       0.7       0.7        0.7


 1994       1997      2000      2003      2006        2009

                                                        O/S Recto
2009
17.3 million smokers
       2011
 92 billion sticks/
 4.6 billion packs
                        O/S Recto
                      *Source: DOF
92% sold in sari-sari stores




Per capita consumption: 13 sticks
       60% sold by tingi
                          Source: PMFTC (2012, 1st Half)
                                                  O/S Recto
TOBACCO INDUSTRY
          Gr oss Sales (2011)



        Manufactured Tobacco               TOTAL                  Cigars
              P827 M                                         P75.6 M
                                       P89.3 B
      Cigarettes Packed by Hand (in 30s)           Cigarettes Packed by Machine (in 20s)

               P1.4 B                                         P87 B
Source: BIR                                                                       O/S Recto
TOBACCO INDUSTRY
          Gr oss Sales (2011)



        Manufactured Tobacco               TOTAL                  Cigars
               0.9%                                             0.08%
                                       P89.3 B
      Cigarettes Packed by Hand (in 30s)           Cigarettes Packed by Machine (in 20s)

              1.6%                                            97.4%
Source: BIR                                                                       O/S Recto
TAX BURDEN ON TOBACCO

 Excise        25.8 B
 VAT            5.6 B
 Income &
 other taxes    4.2 B
TOTAL          35.6 B
                        O/S Recto
PERCENTAGE OF TOBACCO EXPENDITURE
 Family Income and Expenditure Sur vey (1994 -2009)




   1.4
             1.3

                       1.1       1.1

                                           0.9
                                                      0.8

  1994      1997      2000      2003      2006        2009

                                                         O/S Recto
TAX BURDEN ON TOBACCO

 Excise        29%
 VAT           6%
                        of every
 Income &
 other taxes   5%
TOTAL          40%
                                   O/S Recto
CURRENT TAX RATES
Tobacco Products & Cigar s

 Tobacco Products
          Tobacco not for chewing             P 1.19
          Tobacco for chewing                 P 0.94


 Cigars
 NRP per piece:
      P500.00 OR LESS                    10% OF THE NRP
      More than P500.00             P 50.00 + 15% of the NRP in
                                        excess of P 500.00


                                                                  O/S Recto
CURRENT TAX RATES
Cigarettes

 Cigarettes packed by hand (in 30s)      P 2.72

 Cigarettes packed by machine (in 20s)
 Net Retail Price
     Below P5.00 (Low)                   P 2.72
     P5.00 to P6.50 (Medium)             P 7.56
     More than P6.50 to P10.00 (High)    P 12.00
     More than P10.00 (Premium)          P 28.30



                                                   O/S Recto
CIGARETTES (PACKED BY MACHINE)
                                        Removals    Excise Taxes
              Tier/ Tax Rate
                                         (packs)   Collected (Php)

                                 Low
                                P2.72    3.0 B        8.1 B

                          Medium
                            P7.56       451 M         3.4 B

                                 High
                               P12.00   1.15 B       13.9 B

                         Premium
                           P28.30          -             -

                                Total   4.60 B       25.4 B

Source: DOF                                                          O/S Recto
CIGARETTES (PACKED BY MACHINE)
                                        Removals    Excise Taxes
              Tier/ Tax Rate
                                         (packs)   Collected (Php)

                                 Low
                                P2.72    3.0 B        8.1 B

                          Medium
                            P7.56       451 M         3.4 B

                                 High
                               P12.00   1.15 B       13.9 B

                         Premium
                           P28.30          -             -

                                Total   4.60 B       25.4 B

Source: DOF                                                          O/S Recto
2011
                          Cigarettes
               Philip Morris Fortune Tobacco
                      Corp. Inc. (PMFTC)          94.12%
              Japan Tobacco International (JTI)   2.59%
                        Mighty Corp.              2.12%
                    La Suerte Cigar and
                     Cigarette Factory            0.66%
                Associated Anglo-American
                      Tobacco Corp.               0.51%
                 British American Tobacco          ---
Source: BIR                                                O/S Recto
Companies are just
COLLECTING AGENTS
of the government.


                     O/S Recto
Under our system, it is the
    CONSUMERS, NOT THE
      MANUFACTURERS,
who eventually shoulder the
excise tax, on account of its
  nature as a PASS-ON TAX.

                            O/S Recto
The ones who will
   ultimately bear the
additional tax burden are
  ORDINARY FOLKS.


                            O/S Recto
It is not BIG TOBACCO
or the GIANT BREWERY
     who will pay but,
     SMALL PEOPLE.

                         O/S Recto
O/S Recto
Cigarette
   smoking, like a
cigarette butt, should
     be crushed.
   But in the real
 world, IMPOSSIBLE.


                         O/S Recto
If we ban cigarettes, this
  government will weaken
from lack of cigarette taxes.
   That would be the real
      FISCAL SHOCK.

                                O/S Recto
It seeks to get
MORE BUCKS out of
 FEWER PACKS.



                    O/S Recto
A HIGHER TAX RATE
    DOES NOT
automatically result in
HIGHER COLLECTIONS.


                          O/S Recto
The void will be filled by
     SMUGGLERS.



                             O/S Recto
COUNTRY CASE STUDIES ON ILLICIT TRADE

  o   CANADA – high excise levels (22%), increased
      consumption of illicit cigarettes, undermined
      regulatory & fiscal objectives.
  o   HUNGARY – sharp, above-inflation increase in
      excise rate led to increased revenues initially but
      eventually to a revenue decline.
  o   IRELAND – steep excise tax increase resulted in
      swift emergence of illicit trade, virtually flat
      cigarette duty revenues.

                                                       O/S Recto
COUNTRY CASE STUDIES ON ILLICIT TRADE

  o   MALAYSIA – staggering increase in excise tax (in
      2011, 172% of 2004 rates) led to illicit trade growing to
      almost 40% of the market.
  o   NEW YORK – excise duty hikes above underlying
      inflation level led to a sharp drop in legal
      volumes, decline in government revenues, decreased
      smoking incidence and illicit trade reaching almost
      40% of the market.
  o   ROMANIA       –    continuous        massive     excise
      increases, increased government revenue, constant
      smoking incidence, illicit trade is more than ⅓ of total
      consumption.
                                                           O/S Recto
COUNTRY CASE STUDIES ON ILLICIT TRADE
   o   SINGAPORE – 135% increase in 2005 over
       2000, declining government revenues despite tax
       increase, smoking incidence was virtually
       unchanged from 2001, illicit trade grew.
   o   SWEDEN – reduction in excise rates used to
       counter extreme levels of illicit trade (late 1990s);
       massive increase led to increased illicit trade (2007
       and 2008) and reduction in total cigarette
       consumption.
   o   UNITED KINGDOM – ‘duty escalator’ tobacco
       taxation    led    to       down-shifting   by
       consumers, increased illicit trade, government
       revenue loss but with no impact on smoking
                                                         O/S Recto
o   “The tax-induced increase in cigarettes will
    certainly lead to smuggling or illicit trade. It might
    even lead to some illegal cigarette manufacturing
    within the country.”
o   “The net incremental revenues should take into
    account the additional expenses on the part of
    the government to improve anti-smuggling
    efforts.”

                            -- Dr. Benjamin Diokno


                                                       O/S Recto
Are we willing to
OUTSOURCE even the
MANUFACTURE OF SIN to
   distant lands?


                        O/S Recto
Use taxes as a deterrent to the
   consumption of unhealthy products

  Create predictable, dependable, and
      reliable stream of revenues

         Eliminate the annexes

Herald the imposition of a unitary tax rate

    Index tax increases to inflation

Earmark portion of the proceeds to health
             care programs
                                              O/S Recto
O/S Recto
Newly-introduced products shall be
 initially classified using the suggested
 NRP as declared in the sworn
 statement submitted to the BIR.




                                      O/S Recto
We believe that the variety
 of products sold should
beget a variation of taxes.



                              O/S Recto
We adopted a
CONSERVATIVE FRAMEWORK
 that we believe hedges
   CLOSER TO REALITY.



                          O/S Recto
Reasonable
        Realistic and
Responsible rendering of our
power to tax the industry of
   alcohol and cigarettes.


                               O/S Recto
INCREMENTAL REVENUE (HB 5727 ORIGINAL)
        Original Revenue Estimates

              Year    Cigarettes   Distilled Spirits   Fermented     Total
                                                         Liquor

              2012    30.13 B         11.19 B           19.35 B    60.66 B

              2013    36.10 B         26.51 B           21.68 B    84.28 B

              2014    41.27 B         52.99 B           24.14 B    118.40 B

              2015    43.36 B         58.35 B           26.73 B    128.45 B

              2016    45.51 B         64.24 B           29.59 B    139.33 B

              Total   196.37 B        213.27 B         121.49 B    531.12 B



Source: DOF                                                                   O/S Recto
INCREMENTAL REVENUE (HB 5727 ORIGINAL)
        Revised Revenue Estimates (in Billion Php)


                                                 Distilled         Fermented
          Elasticity       Cigarettes                                                       Total
                                                  Spirits            Liquor


              -0.584         16.54                6.71                18.61                41.85

              -0.727          7.10                6.71                18.61                32.42

              -0.870         -1.91                6.71                18.61                23.41

        Assumptions:
        Average Industry Growth: 1.97% Cigarettes, 2.62% Fermented Liquor, 3.69% Distilled Spirits
        (1997-2011)

Source: DOF                                                                                          O/S Recto
O/S Recto
Cut-offs increased by 8%


                           O/S Recto
O/S Recto
Cut-offs increased by 8%


                           O/S Recto
INCREMENTAL REVENUE (SENATE COMM. REPORT)
       (in Billion Php)


                          Distilled   Fermented
              Year                                Cigarettes   Total
                           Spirits      Liquor

              2013        1.38




Source: DOF                                                            O/S Recto
O/S Recto
INCREMENTAL REVENUE (SENATE COMM. REPORT)
       (in Billion Php)


                          Distilled   Fermented
              Year                                Cigarettes   Total
                           Spirits      Liquor

              2013          1.38        3.81




Source: DOF                                                            O/S Recto
O/S Recto
O/S Recto
4 tiers   3 tiers   2 tiers



                              O/S Recto
O/S Recto
NET RETAIL PRICE CUTOFFS


        CIGARETTES
 LOW      MEDIUM      HIGH
< P15    P15-P18     > P18


                             O/S Recto
O/S Recto
INCREMENTAL REVENUE (SENATE COMM. REPORT)
       (in Billion Php)


                          Distilled   Fermented
              Year                                Cigarettes   Total
                           Spirits      Liquor

              2013          1.38        3.81        9.79




Source: DOF                                                            O/S Recto
INCREMENTAL REVENUE (SENATE COMM. REPORT)
       (in Billion Php)


                          Distilled   Fermented
              Year                                Cigarettes   Total
                           Spirits      Liquor

              2013          1.38        3.81        9.79       14.98




Source: DOF                                                            O/S Recto
HB 5727 (AMENDED)
                                            Range            Attachment

                     Cigarettes    -5.6 B           5.8 B
                     Alcohol                5.2 B
                      TOTAL        -0.4 B           11 B



                                                            Attachment

Year: 2013
Elasticity: -0.584                                                O/S Recto
Cut-offs increased by 8%


                           O/S Recto
Our proposal is not just to
earmark the incremental revenues
      but a portion of the
ENTIRE EXCISE TAX COLLECTIONS
   from alcohol and tobacco.


                               O/S Recto
This measure:
+ P15 B incremental revenues on 2013
 = P65 B
                                       O/S Recto
O/S Recto
O/S Recto
RA 7171

             1B to provinces producing
             burley and native tobacco
             40% of total sin tax proceeds =
             50%
             P26 B to PhilHealth
             P33      public health sector
EARMARKING
             10% of total sin tax proceeds =
 P65 B       P6.5 B to DOH
               •3.25 B to 16 regional hospitals = 200 M
               •3.25 B to 618 district hospitals operated
               by LGUs = 5.25 M

             100 M for public information and
             education campaign program

             100 M for displaced workers
                                                      O/S Recto
Extinction of vices cannot
   be affected through
         taxation.



                             O/S Recto
This bill is not the
  magic pill that will
restore the fiscal health
  of the government
         either.


                            O/S Recto
Other industries must
do their share,
not through a round of
new taxes, but by
SHUTTING DOWN THE
LOOPHOLES
through which their
companies breathe.

                         O/S Recto
Two of the
  HARDEST THINGS
 a Senate can do is to
  VOTE FOR WAR and
VOTE FOR NEW TAXES.

                         O/S Recto
Lalo na sa isang batas
  na papataw ng buwis
      hindi sa mga
dambuhalang kumpanya
  pero sa ordinaryong
     mamamayan.

                          O/S Recto
O/S Recto

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2012 sin tax presentation oct10

  • 1. SENATE OF THE PHILIPPINES COMMITTEE ON WAYS & MEANS Senate Bill 3299 under Committee Report 411 October 10, 2012 O/S Recto
  • 2. The measure we are about to debate poses a deterrent that will KEEP PEOPLE FROM BEING SICK and will GENERATE REVENUES that will TREAT THEM when they get sick. O/S Recto
  • 3. Taxation is what makes appropriations possible. O/S Recto
  • 4. BIR 2013 Collections P1.3T Billion BIR 2013 Excise Tax Collections P75 Billion ~P20.00 P1.00 for every P20.00 from sin products O/S Recto
  • 5. Taxes Collected (in Php) from Alcohol and Tobacco 100 Years Ago 1912 Distilled Spirits 3,049,684 Wines and Imitation Wines 173,391 Fermented Liquors 202,178 ALCOHOL Sub- Total 3,425,254 Smoking and Chewing Tobacco 283,025 Cigars 255,700 Cigarettes 4,378,680 TOBACCO Sub-Total 4,917,406 GRAND TOTAL 8,908,788 Source: Report of the Philippine Commission to the Secretary of War, FY 1912 O/S Recto
  • 6. Firemen and P8.6 B fire trucks Excise Taxes Paid (BJMP Budget) (2011) O/S Recto
  • 7. P1.5 B classrooms Excise Taxes Paid (2011) O/S Recto
  • 8. P1.0 B pension of senior citizens Excise Taxes Paid (2011) O/S Recto
  • 9. A government in need of money would always prefer a TAXABLE VICE, like drinking, to a tax-exempt virtue like staying sober. O/S Recto
  • 10. ALCOHOL INDUSTRY Product Classifications DISTILLED SPIRITS Gin Whisky Brandy Rum Vodka Tequila Siok Tong WINES Sparkling wine Champagne Still wine Fortified Wine FERMENTED LIQUOR Beer Lager Ale Porter Basi Tapuy O/S Recto
  • 11. 2011 Volume of Removals DISTILLED SPIRITS FERMENTED LIQUOR 255 million liter s 1.56 billion liter s or 4.7 billion bottles 17.4 liter s per per son O/S Recto
  • 12. ALCOHOL INDUSTRY Gr oss Sales (2011) TOTAL P124 B Fermented Liquor Distilled Spirits P67 B P57 B Wines P 263 M Source: BIR O/S Recto
  • 13. ALCOHOL INDUSTRY Tot al Taxes Paid (2011) TOTAL P42 B Fermented Liquor Distilled Spirits P30 B P12 B* Wines P 35 M** O/S Recto *includes BOC data; Source: DSAP Source: BIR ** excise tax only (no data for other taxes paid)
  • 14. TAX BURDEN ON FERMENTED LIQUOR (2011) Excise 19 B 28% VAT 6 B 9% Income & other taxes 5 B 8% TOTAL 30 B45% O/S Recto
  • 15. ALCOHOL INDUSTRY Tot al Taxes Paid (2011) TOTAL P42 B Fermented Liquor Distilled Spirits P30 B P12 B* Wines P 35 M** O/S Recto *includes BOC data; Source: DSAP Source: BIR ** excise tax only (no data for other taxes paid)
  • 16. TAX BURDEN ON DISTILLED SPIRITS (2011) Excise 5.2 B 9% VAT 5.2 B* 9% Income & other taxes 1.6 B 3% TOTAL 12 B 21% *with BOC data Source: BIR O/S Recto
  • 17. Tax Burden of Selected Industries (2011) Alcohol Power 34%* 15% Telecoms Automobile 15% 4% *with BOC data Source: BIR O/S Recto
  • 18. CURRENT TAX RATES Distilled Spirits 1 . F R O M LO C A L S O U RC E S ( s a p o f n i p a , c o c o n u t , c a s s av a , c a m o te o r b u r i p a l m o r f ro m t h e j u i c e , s y r u p o r s u g a r o f t h e P 14.68 cane) 2 . F RO M R AW M AT E R I A L S OT H E R T H A N THOSE E N U M E R AT E D A B OV E N e t r e t a i l p r i c e ( N R P ) [ exc l u d i n g t h e exc i s e a n d VAT ] p e r b o t t l e o f 7 5 0 m l v o l u m e c a p a c i t y i s : Less than P250.00 P 158.73 P250.00 to P675.00 P 317. 4 4 More than P675.00 P 634.90 O/S Recto
  • 19. CURRENT TAX RATES Wines 1. SPARKLING WINES/ CHAMPAGNES Net Retail Price, per bottle, regardless of proof: P500.00 or less P 183.42 More than P500.00 P 550.24 2. STILL WINES Less than 14% of alcohol by volume P 22.00 14% to 25% of alcohol by volume P 44.02 3. FORTIFIED WINES Same as distilled More than 25% of alcohol by volume spirits O/S Recto
  • 20. CURRENT TAX RATES Fermented Liquor 1. Beer, lager beer, ale, porter and other fermented liquors except domestic fermented liquor (e.g. tuba, basi, tupuy) Net Retail Price, per liter of volume capacity : Less than P14.50 (low) P 10.42 P 14.50 to P 22.00 (medium) P 15.49 More than P22.00 (high) P 20.57 2. Fermented liquor brewed and sold at micro breweries, pubs, restaurants P 20.57 O/S Recto
  • 21. 2011 Major Corporations ALCOHOLINDUSTRY Source: DSAP, August 2012 Source: BIR O/S Recto
  • 22. ALCOHOL INDUSTRY Distilled Spirits Fermented Liquor Emperador Distillers San Miguel Breweries Inc. Ginebra San Miguel, Inc. Tanduay Distillers Asia Brewery Inc. Destileria Limtuaco & Co. Source: DSAP, August 2012 Source: BIR O/S Recto
  • 23. PERCENTAGE OF ALCOHOL EXPENDITURE Family Income and Expenditure Sur vey (1994 -2009) 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 O/S Recto
  • 24. 2009 17.3 million smokers 2011 92 billion sticks/ 4.6 billion packs O/S Recto *Source: DOF
  • 25. 92% sold in sari-sari stores Per capita consumption: 13 sticks 60% sold by tingi Source: PMFTC (2012, 1st Half) O/S Recto
  • 26. TOBACCO INDUSTRY Gr oss Sales (2011) Manufactured Tobacco TOTAL Cigars P827 M P75.6 M P89.3 B Cigarettes Packed by Hand (in 30s) Cigarettes Packed by Machine (in 20s) P1.4 B P87 B Source: BIR O/S Recto
  • 27. TOBACCO INDUSTRY Gr oss Sales (2011) Manufactured Tobacco TOTAL Cigars 0.9% 0.08% P89.3 B Cigarettes Packed by Hand (in 30s) Cigarettes Packed by Machine (in 20s) 1.6% 97.4% Source: BIR O/S Recto
  • 28. TAX BURDEN ON TOBACCO Excise 25.8 B VAT 5.6 B Income & other taxes 4.2 B TOTAL 35.6 B O/S Recto
  • 29. PERCENTAGE OF TOBACCO EXPENDITURE Family Income and Expenditure Sur vey (1994 -2009) 1.4 1.3 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.8 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 O/S Recto
  • 30. TAX BURDEN ON TOBACCO Excise 29% VAT 6% of every Income & other taxes 5% TOTAL 40% O/S Recto
  • 31. CURRENT TAX RATES Tobacco Products & Cigar s Tobacco Products Tobacco not for chewing P 1.19 Tobacco for chewing P 0.94 Cigars NRP per piece: P500.00 OR LESS 10% OF THE NRP More than P500.00 P 50.00 + 15% of the NRP in excess of P 500.00 O/S Recto
  • 32. CURRENT TAX RATES Cigarettes Cigarettes packed by hand (in 30s) P 2.72 Cigarettes packed by machine (in 20s) Net Retail Price Below P5.00 (Low) P 2.72 P5.00 to P6.50 (Medium) P 7.56 More than P6.50 to P10.00 (High) P 12.00 More than P10.00 (Premium) P 28.30 O/S Recto
  • 33. CIGARETTES (PACKED BY MACHINE) Removals Excise Taxes Tier/ Tax Rate (packs) Collected (Php) Low P2.72 3.0 B 8.1 B Medium P7.56 451 M 3.4 B High P12.00 1.15 B 13.9 B Premium P28.30 - - Total 4.60 B 25.4 B Source: DOF O/S Recto
  • 34. CIGARETTES (PACKED BY MACHINE) Removals Excise Taxes Tier/ Tax Rate (packs) Collected (Php) Low P2.72 3.0 B 8.1 B Medium P7.56 451 M 3.4 B High P12.00 1.15 B 13.9 B Premium P28.30 - - Total 4.60 B 25.4 B Source: DOF O/S Recto
  • 35. 2011 Cigarettes Philip Morris Fortune Tobacco Corp. Inc. (PMFTC) 94.12% Japan Tobacco International (JTI) 2.59% Mighty Corp. 2.12% La Suerte Cigar and Cigarette Factory 0.66% Associated Anglo-American Tobacco Corp. 0.51% British American Tobacco --- Source: BIR O/S Recto
  • 36. Companies are just COLLECTING AGENTS of the government. O/S Recto
  • 37. Under our system, it is the CONSUMERS, NOT THE MANUFACTURERS, who eventually shoulder the excise tax, on account of its nature as a PASS-ON TAX. O/S Recto
  • 38. The ones who will ultimately bear the additional tax burden are ORDINARY FOLKS. O/S Recto
  • 39. It is not BIG TOBACCO or the GIANT BREWERY who will pay but, SMALL PEOPLE. O/S Recto
  • 41. Cigarette smoking, like a cigarette butt, should be crushed. But in the real world, IMPOSSIBLE. O/S Recto
  • 42. If we ban cigarettes, this government will weaken from lack of cigarette taxes. That would be the real FISCAL SHOCK. O/S Recto
  • 43. It seeks to get MORE BUCKS out of FEWER PACKS. O/S Recto
  • 44. A HIGHER TAX RATE DOES NOT automatically result in HIGHER COLLECTIONS. O/S Recto
  • 45. The void will be filled by SMUGGLERS. O/S Recto
  • 46. COUNTRY CASE STUDIES ON ILLICIT TRADE o CANADA – high excise levels (22%), increased consumption of illicit cigarettes, undermined regulatory & fiscal objectives. o HUNGARY – sharp, above-inflation increase in excise rate led to increased revenues initially but eventually to a revenue decline. o IRELAND – steep excise tax increase resulted in swift emergence of illicit trade, virtually flat cigarette duty revenues. O/S Recto
  • 47. COUNTRY CASE STUDIES ON ILLICIT TRADE o MALAYSIA – staggering increase in excise tax (in 2011, 172% of 2004 rates) led to illicit trade growing to almost 40% of the market. o NEW YORK – excise duty hikes above underlying inflation level led to a sharp drop in legal volumes, decline in government revenues, decreased smoking incidence and illicit trade reaching almost 40% of the market. o ROMANIA – continuous massive excise increases, increased government revenue, constant smoking incidence, illicit trade is more than ⅓ of total consumption. O/S Recto
  • 48. COUNTRY CASE STUDIES ON ILLICIT TRADE o SINGAPORE – 135% increase in 2005 over 2000, declining government revenues despite tax increase, smoking incidence was virtually unchanged from 2001, illicit trade grew. o SWEDEN – reduction in excise rates used to counter extreme levels of illicit trade (late 1990s); massive increase led to increased illicit trade (2007 and 2008) and reduction in total cigarette consumption. o UNITED KINGDOM – ‘duty escalator’ tobacco taxation led to down-shifting by consumers, increased illicit trade, government revenue loss but with no impact on smoking O/S Recto
  • 49. o “The tax-induced increase in cigarettes will certainly lead to smuggling or illicit trade. It might even lead to some illegal cigarette manufacturing within the country.” o “The net incremental revenues should take into account the additional expenses on the part of the government to improve anti-smuggling efforts.” -- Dr. Benjamin Diokno O/S Recto
  • 50. Are we willing to OUTSOURCE even the MANUFACTURE OF SIN to distant lands? O/S Recto
  • 51. Use taxes as a deterrent to the consumption of unhealthy products Create predictable, dependable, and reliable stream of revenues Eliminate the annexes Herald the imposition of a unitary tax rate Index tax increases to inflation Earmark portion of the proceeds to health care programs O/S Recto
  • 53. Newly-introduced products shall be initially classified using the suggested NRP as declared in the sworn statement submitted to the BIR. O/S Recto
  • 54. We believe that the variety of products sold should beget a variation of taxes. O/S Recto
  • 55. We adopted a CONSERVATIVE FRAMEWORK that we believe hedges CLOSER TO REALITY. O/S Recto
  • 56. Reasonable Realistic and Responsible rendering of our power to tax the industry of alcohol and cigarettes. O/S Recto
  • 57. INCREMENTAL REVENUE (HB 5727 ORIGINAL) Original Revenue Estimates Year Cigarettes Distilled Spirits Fermented Total Liquor 2012 30.13 B 11.19 B 19.35 B 60.66 B 2013 36.10 B 26.51 B 21.68 B 84.28 B 2014 41.27 B 52.99 B 24.14 B 118.40 B 2015 43.36 B 58.35 B 26.73 B 128.45 B 2016 45.51 B 64.24 B 29.59 B 139.33 B Total 196.37 B 213.27 B 121.49 B 531.12 B Source: DOF O/S Recto
  • 58. INCREMENTAL REVENUE (HB 5727 ORIGINAL) Revised Revenue Estimates (in Billion Php) Distilled Fermented Elasticity Cigarettes Total Spirits Liquor -0.584 16.54 6.71 18.61 41.85 -0.727 7.10 6.71 18.61 32.42 -0.870 -1.91 6.71 18.61 23.41 Assumptions: Average Industry Growth: 1.97% Cigarettes, 2.62% Fermented Liquor, 3.69% Distilled Spirits (1997-2011) Source: DOF O/S Recto
  • 60. Cut-offs increased by 8% O/S Recto
  • 62. Cut-offs increased by 8% O/S Recto
  • 63. INCREMENTAL REVENUE (SENATE COMM. REPORT) (in Billion Php) Distilled Fermented Year Cigarettes Total Spirits Liquor 2013 1.38 Source: DOF O/S Recto
  • 65. INCREMENTAL REVENUE (SENATE COMM. REPORT) (in Billion Php) Distilled Fermented Year Cigarettes Total Spirits Liquor 2013 1.38 3.81 Source: DOF O/S Recto
  • 68. 4 tiers 3 tiers 2 tiers O/S Recto
  • 70. NET RETAIL PRICE CUTOFFS CIGARETTES LOW MEDIUM HIGH < P15 P15-P18 > P18 O/S Recto
  • 72. INCREMENTAL REVENUE (SENATE COMM. REPORT) (in Billion Php) Distilled Fermented Year Cigarettes Total Spirits Liquor 2013 1.38 3.81 9.79 Source: DOF O/S Recto
  • 73. INCREMENTAL REVENUE (SENATE COMM. REPORT) (in Billion Php) Distilled Fermented Year Cigarettes Total Spirits Liquor 2013 1.38 3.81 9.79 14.98 Source: DOF O/S Recto
  • 74. HB 5727 (AMENDED) Range Attachment Cigarettes -5.6 B 5.8 B Alcohol 5.2 B TOTAL -0.4 B 11 B Attachment Year: 2013 Elasticity: -0.584 O/S Recto
  • 75. Cut-offs increased by 8% O/S Recto
  • 76. Our proposal is not just to earmark the incremental revenues but a portion of the ENTIRE EXCISE TAX COLLECTIONS from alcohol and tobacco. O/S Recto
  • 77. This measure: + P15 B incremental revenues on 2013 = P65 B O/S Recto
  • 80. RA 7171 1B to provinces producing burley and native tobacco 40% of total sin tax proceeds = 50% P26 B to PhilHealth P33 public health sector EARMARKING 10% of total sin tax proceeds = P65 B P6.5 B to DOH •3.25 B to 16 regional hospitals = 200 M •3.25 B to 618 district hospitals operated by LGUs = 5.25 M 100 M for public information and education campaign program 100 M for displaced workers O/S Recto
  • 81. Extinction of vices cannot be affected through taxation. O/S Recto
  • 82. This bill is not the magic pill that will restore the fiscal health of the government either. O/S Recto
  • 83. Other industries must do their share, not through a round of new taxes, but by SHUTTING DOWN THE LOOPHOLES through which their companies breathe. O/S Recto
  • 84. Two of the HARDEST THINGS a Senate can do is to VOTE FOR WAR and VOTE FOR NEW TAXES. O/S Recto
  • 85. Lalo na sa isang batas na papataw ng buwis hindi sa mga dambuhalang kumpanya pero sa ordinaryong mamamayan. O/S Recto