FQXi: Ultimate possibilities for technology and life
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1. The document discusses the future possibilities of technology and intelligence, including fully simulating the human brain by 2018 and reengineering life into technology through precise physical manipulation of matter and life. 2. It compares human and machine intelligence, noting machines' advantages in processing speed and memory but humans' advantages in general problem solving and adaptability. 3. The ultimate possibilities for life and technology depend on the ability to physically manipulate the universe at will, with examples given of purpose-driven engineered life forms and multiple persistent copies of beings.
![What can Technology Ultimately Make Possible, and What are the Ultimate Possibilities for Life? March 8, 2009 Melanie Swan Principal MS Futures Group Palo Alto, CA +1-650-681-9482 [email_address] http://www.melanieswan.com Slides: http://www.slideshare.net/LaBlogga/slideshows](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/fqxiswan-090308132248-phpapp02/85/FQXi-Ultimate-possibilities-for-technology-and-life-1-320.jpg)
![What is the future of intelligence? 1 Source: Top 500, June 2008, http://www.top500.org/lists/2008/06, http://www.top500.org/system/8968, http://www.crn.com/hardware/208403186 2 Source: http://paula.univ.gda.pl/~dokgrk/bre01.html Machine Human ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7)
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FQXi: Ultimate possibilities for technology and life
- 1. What can Technology Ultimately Make Possible, and What are the Ultimate Possibilities for Life? March 8, 2009 Melanie Swan Principal MS Futures Group Palo Alto, CA +1-650-681-9482 [email_address] http://www.melanieswan.com Slides: http://www.slideshare.net/LaBlogga/slideshows
- 3. Source: http://www.kurzweilai.net/pps/Unither Full human brain neural simulation estimate: 2018
- 4. Biotechnology speedups: 12 months (vs. 18) Source: http://www.synthesis.cc/graphics/carlson_cost_per_base_nov_08.jpg
- 6. Thank you March 8, 2009 Melanie Swan Principal MS Futures Group Palo Alto, CA +1-650-681-9482 [email_address] http://www.melanieswan.com Source: http://www.hetemeel.com/einsteinform.php Slides: http://www.slideshare.net/LaBlogga/slideshows
Editor's Notes
- From 1991 through 2008, peak performance of supercomputers has doubled about every year. IBM's Roadrunner in 2008 is more than 250,000 times more powerful than the top supercomputer in 1991 and more than 83 million times more powerful than the Cray-1 in 1983. Roadrunner is equivalent to 10% of my 10^16 flops estimate of a human brain. Various projects aim for a computer within the decade that will exceed the human brain's processing capabilities.