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Arizona Latino Voters Overwhelmingly Oppose Immigration Law SB1070

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Latino Decisions

The survey found that Latino voters in Arizona strongly oppose the state's new immigration law (SB 1070). Nearly all felt the law would lead to racial profiling and targeting of legal citizens and immigrants. Immigration is now the top issue for Latino voters, who overwhelmingly support a national reform that includes a path to legalization. Both political parties face consequences, but the GOP risks more severe costs. Democratic support is constrained by perceived inaction on immigration reform. Passing reform before the November election is seen as key to mobilizing Latino voters, while inaction could reduce turnout and enthusiasm.

Noticias y política
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Political Implications of Immigration in 2010: Latino Voters in Arizona Commissioned by May 14, 2010
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 Contact
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 Survey Overview
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Arizona Latino Attitudes Survey Overview
[object Object],Arizona Latino Attitudes
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Latino views on 1070 Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Latinos in comparison Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Views by generation status Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Views by party identification Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Support for Arizona Boycott Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Fears about racial profiling Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Profiling views by generation Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Fears about racial profiling Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Fears about racial profiling Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Hurting relations with police Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Driving Latinos away? Contact: 909.489.2955
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Arizona Latino Attitudes Summary of Reaction to SB1070
[object Object],Arizona Latino Attitudes
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Most Important Issue Respondents could select 2 issues Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Support for Policy Reform Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Support for Policy Reform * Combines path to citizenship and immediate legalization categories Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Support for Policy Reform Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Support for Policy Reform % who said “very important” Contact: 909.489.2955
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Arizona Latino Attitudes Summary on National Policy
[object Object],[object Object],Arizona Latino Attitudes
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Political Implications Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Political Implications Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Political Implications With leaners recoded as partisans Which party do you do you feel closer to? Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Political Implications Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Political Implications Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Political Implications % who approve Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Political Implications % who strongly approve Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Partisan Fallout Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Partisan Fallout Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Partisan implications Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Partisan implications Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Partisan implications Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Partisan implications +4 ignoring -10 working 14 point swing in 3 weeks time Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Partisan implications +4 ignoring -7 working +3 blocking Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Partisan implications - 8 approval +2 approval 10 point swing in 3 weeks time Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Partisan implications -14 understandable +12 understandable Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Partisan implications -69 excited - 42 excited Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Partisan implications -14 excited - 2 excited Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Partisan implications Among Democrats only Contact: 909.489.2955
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Arizona Latino Attitudes Summary of Partisan Effects
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Arizona Latino Attitudes Summary of Partisan Effects
[object Object],Arizona Latino Attitudes
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Impact on voting in 2010 Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Impact on voting in 2010 Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Impact on Voting in 2010 Among those who follow political news very closely Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Impact on Voting in 2010 Among those who follow political news very closely Contact: 909.489.2955
Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Impact on Voting in 2010 Among those who follow political news very closely Contact: 909.489.2955
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Arizona Latino Attitudes Summary of Effects on 2010
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Arizona Latino Attitudes CONCLUDING THOUGHTS
Arizona Latino Attitudes Matt A. Barreto, Ph.D. [email_address] 909-489-2955 Gary M. Segura, Ph.D. [email_address] 206-280-5069 Questions…

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Arizona Latino Voters Overwhelmingly Oppose Immigration Law SB1070

  • 1. Political Implications of Immigration in 2010: Latino Voters in Arizona Commissioned by May 14, 2010
  • 2.
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  • 6. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Latino views on 1070 Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 7. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Latinos in comparison Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 8. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Views by generation status Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 9. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Views by party identification Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 10. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Support for Arizona Boycott Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 11. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Fears about racial profiling Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 12. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Profiling views by generation Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 13. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Fears about racial profiling Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 14. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Fears about racial profiling Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 15. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Hurting relations with police Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 16. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Driving Latinos away? Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Support for Policy Reform Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 21. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Support for Policy Reform * Combines path to citizenship and immediate legalization categories Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 22. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Support for Policy Reform Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 23. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Support for Policy Reform % who said “very important” Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Political Implications Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 27. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Political Implications Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 28. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Political Implications With leaners recoded as partisans Which party do you do you feel closer to? Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 29. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Political Implications Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 30. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Political Implications Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 31. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Political Implications % who approve Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 32. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Political Implications % who strongly approve Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 33. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Partisan Fallout Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 34. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Partisan Fallout Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 35. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Partisan implications Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 36. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Partisan implications Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 37. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Partisan implications Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 38. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Partisan implications +4 ignoring -10 working 14 point swing in 3 weeks time Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 39. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Partisan implications +4 ignoring -7 working +3 blocking Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 40. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Partisan implications - 8 approval +2 approval 10 point swing in 3 weeks time Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 41. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Partisan implications -14 understandable +12 understandable Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 42. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Partisan implications -69 excited - 42 excited Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 43. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Partisan implications -14 excited - 2 excited Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 44. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Partisan implications Among Democrats only Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47.
  • 48. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Impact on voting in 2010 Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 49. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Impact on voting in 2010 Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 50. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Impact on Voting in 2010 Among those who follow political news very closely Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 51. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Impact on Voting in 2010 Among those who follow political news very closely Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 52. Arizona Latino Attitudes © Latino Decisions & NCLR, May 6, 2010 n=402 +/- 4.9 Impact on Voting in 2010 Among those who follow political news very closely Contact: 909.489.2955
  • 53.
  • 54.
  • 55. Arizona Latino Attitudes Matt A. Barreto, Ph.D. [email_address] 909-489-2955 Gary M. Segura, Ph.D. [email_address] 206-280-5069 Questions…