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The current issue and full text archive of this journal is available at
                                       www.emeraldinsight.com/0888-045X.htm




                                 NOT SO FAST!                                                                                      Budget
                                                                                                                                allocation
        Budget allocation formulas:                                                                                              formulas
            magic or illusion?
                                                                                                                                             63
                                       Roger L. Cross
      Collection Development, Morris Library, Southern Illinois University,                                          Accepted February 2011
                           Carbondale, Illinois, USA


Abstract
Purpose – Budget allocation formulas claim objectivity, and hence fairness. But factors composing
the formula are limited to supply, demand, and cost. Attempts to correct for this imbalance of
empirical data like usage have led to the use of weighted values in the formulas. This paper seeks to
argue that assigning “weight” in a formula introduces value judgments and subjectivity, leaving only
the misplaced illusion of objectivity.
Design/methodology/approach – The paper surveys the published literature on the use of
monograph budget allocation formulas and provides analysis to highlight the underlying problems of
allocation formulas.
Findings – Over the past several decades numerous permutations of the monograph allocation
formula have been proposed and published. But there is no magic in formulas once value judgments
are introduced. Instead, one is only left with the appearance of objectivity.
Originality/value – This paper is a review of the philosophical and economic underpinnings in the
library literature on allocation formulas and subsequent budget distribution. It seeks to demonstrate
the subjective nature of these formulas, once they are separated from empirical data. The paper seeks
to demonstrate the dangerous illusion of objectivity that formulas can create when implemented.
Keywords Libraries, Budgets, Collections management
Paper type Viewpoint


Monographic allocation formulas have been a collection development tool for over 80
years. An obvious appeal of allocation formulas is the confidence their apparent
mathematic rigor inspires. A rational formula seems the very antithesis of whim and
caprice. It is hardly surprising, therefore, that so much print has been dedicated to
designing library budget allocation formulas over the past decades. Yet allocation
formulas present their own dangers and do not guarantee the equity or even the
practical economic results sought by their creators. Formulas that are not fixed to
specific economic goals will likely do more harm than good.
   Allocation formulas reflect an array of subjective values. Their output is not the
desired objective set of data, but rather the outcome of subjective values acting on
input. In a future column I will argue that adopting an allocation formula limited only
to monographs (books) generally reflects an economic model that would be rejected
when viewed abstractly as a an economic principle. In this column I will focus                                   The Bottom Line: Managing Library
exclusively on the irrationality inherent in formulaic allocation.                                                                         Finances
                                                                                                                                 Vol. 24 No. 1, 2011
   The outcome of any allocation formula depends upon the input. A formula will derive                                                    pp. 63-67
the solution it is designed to derive based solely on the factors used as input. The                             q Emerald Group Publishing Limited
                                                                                                                                         0888-045X
actual solution generated by the formula is not as interesting or as important as the                               DOI 10.1108/08880451111142114
BL     factors included in the formula and the weight given to each of these factors. The
24,1   solution may be infallible and absolute, but this very same solution reflects nothing
       more than the value judgments applied to the input data. This is not a new or even
       controversial statement, but it bears repeating since it so central to every discussion of
       allocation formulas. Werking (1988), in his article Allocating the Academic Library’s
       Book Budget, offers a succinct review of the allocation debate that began almost 100
64     years ago. He cites a 1938 article by the mathematician H. Stetson, who stated that, due
       to the subjectivity of the input in an allocation formula, “there is no magic in a formula.
       The results are entirely dependent of the makeup” (Werking, 1988).
           Let’s make this more specific. Suppose that my university library produces
       circulation records by LC call number well in excess of 2,000,000. Enrollment at my
       university averages around 20,000. In any straightforward, unweighted, formula the
       usage statistics will far outweigh enrollment – to the point where enrollment becomes
       an insignificant factor in a formula. The disparity between the two factors only grows
       broader, thus worse for enrollment, each passing year. For example, when circulation
       records total 4,000,000, but enrollment still averages around 20,000 the ratio of
       enrollment to check-outs has gone from 1/100 to 1/200. The more complete circulation
       and usage record-keeping becomes, the greater will be the data disparity between these
       two factors.
           Circulation statistics are arguably the only significant factor in a budget allocation
       formula, and circulation unquestionably bears the preponderance of empirical data. To
       place this in the strongest terms, circulation, tied as it is to call number, offers detailed
       data about which subjects and topic are in high demand, and which are not.
           Yet circulation records rarely serve as the sole or determining factor in monograph
       allocation formulas in library literature. Recognizing the preponderance of data for
       circulation and seeking a “fuller” formula, the literature is filled with formulas that
       assign different weight to the various factors in their computations. It is this need to
       weigh the elements of the allocation formulas that gives rise to the vast permutations
       witnessed in the literature. It is also while assigning different values that we best see
       how the subjectivity of input determines the output. With any formula the two primary
       questions are:
           (1) What factors are used?
           (2) How much weight should each factor bear?

       The latter question – how to weigh each variable of a formula – has occupied much of
       the past library literature on budget allocation formulas. The actual variables or
       factors used in allocation formulas are not as extensive as one would expect. Statistical
       analysis of published allocation formulas in library literature demonstrates that even
       though numerous factors are discussed, the majority of formulas rely on the same four
       items: circulation, enrollment, cost, and the number of faculty (Canepi, 2007). These
       items can be further reduced to the basic headings of supply, demand, and cost, with
       enrollment and faculty both folded into the category of demand. William Walters, in
       his article on fund allocation, argues further that supply and cost are static or
       single-element variables, while demand is a multi-varied factor. (Walters, 2008)
       Essentially, demand is the only factor requiring extensive analysis in the budget.
       Certainly, only demand represents the individual identity of any academic library.
       Every library can start its equation with two of the three factors fixed by outside
forces: namely, how many books have been published and how much do they cost?                   Budget
These factors can be treated as constants. The one unique factor in any allocation           allocation
formula will be the answer to the questions “What resources have been used at this
school or university, and what should I buy?”. Demand and its assigned weight among           formulas
the other factors represents the uniqueness of any allocation formula, since it alone
reflects the particular circumstances of any academic institution.
   Still, Walters’ assessment contains one important flaw. Anyone implementing a                    65
budget allocation formula should pause at the characterization of cost as static and
fixed, even setting aside the fluidity of book price inflation. Cost, as frequently
discussed in budget allocation literature, is unempirical and unspecific to any academic
library. The problem with static cost in a formula is that this number is generally
derived from reports generated by two or three book vendors, or from some other
generalizing source (Stebelman, 1996). Yet it is irrelevant for individual libraries to
adopt the average cost of books with any particular call number. Cost on some
theoretical, generalized, scale has little bearing on the particular cost of the books
purchased and subsequently used by any particular library. The idea behind the
allocation formula is to create a monograph budget for a particular environment.
Mixing specifics like demand with generalities such as theoretical cost risks badly
skewing the outcome.
   Suppose a university that has no medical school does have an extensive nursing
department offering a professional degree. Because there is no medical school, the
library does not use the National Library of Medicine Classification System. Rather, the
Library of Congress call number “R” is used for all books on medicine. “Nursing
proper” is assigned the LC call number “RT”, but professional medical care overlaps all
manner of diseases and treatments that are assigned different “R”-derived call
numbers. According to the annual report by Yankee Book Peddler (2010) entitled “LC
subjects: trade and other publishers”, academic books grouped in the call number “R”
cost an average of almost $99, while nursing “RT” titles cost $58 (Yankee Book
Peddler, 2010). Which number should be factored into the equation? Further, a vendor
such as Yankee Books reports only 299 books published with call number “RT”, while
the “R” classification includes approximately 4,700 books. Is it proper to adopt the
formula for the 299 books in “RT” or for all 4,700 in the classification “R”? Finally, book
vendors often give preference to hardbound over softbound books, even though many
libraries long ago reversed this preference to stretch funding. The point is that unless
cost is a number empirically derived from the cost of the books actually purchased and
used it has little established relevance to a library’s actual need and use. The library
may budget for expensive medical books while the populace is merely interested in
test-preparation guide books. Cost, as an element, therefore, is either a static
classification in a library’s allocation formula – with great potential to skew the results
towards high-priced books – or it is simply a subset of the overarching classification of
demand.
   The more abstract the book budget allocation formula becomes – the less grounded
in an actual environment – the more skeptically it should be viewed. If a formula is to
rely upon an empirical foundation then circulation data must be paramount in any
book allocation formula since usage is the sole determining factor for assessing the
audience and need for any collection.
BL        Some argue that records of the past are no indication of future desires or needs. Such
24,1   opponents of “usage” fail to follow this logic through to its inevitable conclusion, which
       would be that it is impossible or irrational to create a budget. The very notion of a
       budget assumes a continuation of past regularities into the future and future contexts.
       The future may not exactly be like the past, but from a purely pragmatic perspective
       we act as if familiar patterns will persist and will bear enough a resemblance to the
66     past that present and future events will not all be unique surprises. In short, you cannot
       talk about a budget at all if you reject the pattern of the past. If, on the other hand, you
       accept historical patterns as basis for future predictions, you accept that past use is an
       indication of future need.
          Book budget allocation formulas can serve as a tool for fund allocation, but too often
       too much is demanded from them, and they are applied too broadly. The objectivity of
       formulas is mostly illusory, since they are only as objective as their input factors. The
       sheer volume of allocation formulas over the past 80 years demonstrates an inherent
       dissatisfaction with the results these formulas produce. This dissatisfaction is
       expressed in the library literature by the caveat in every article about “how we
       implemented a formula”. This caveat is the immediate recognition, once the formula
       has generated its results, that something is seriously amiss with the outcome.
       Somehow the formula produced results that not only were unexpected, but clearly
       wrong when measured by the expectations of experienced librarians.
          The experience described by the University of Windsor perfectly illustrates the
       conundrum faced by academic librarians examining a formula’s output. At Windsor,
       general trends:
          . . . were the same regardless of the model that was applied. Specifically, certain funds
          (notably Mathematics, Computer Science, and the five Engineering funds) would receive
          significant increases whereas others (English, History, Languages) would have been hit with
          very significant decreases (Kaay and Zimmerman, 2008).
       In this case the caveat meant adding steps to “mitigate the potential negative
       distributional impacts that would have resulted with a strict application of the
       formula” (Kaay and Zimmerman, 2008) It was not that the formula was wrong – it was
       just wrong for that particular situation. In the end the only test of any budget allocation
       is not its aptness to any given situation, but its aptness for this particular situation, this
       library, this community, this fiscal year. Budget allocation formulas can be useful, but
       their usefulness is far more restricted than generally appreciated. The magic of
       budget allocation formulas is the illusion of mathematical objectivity.

       References
       Canepi, K. (2007), “Fund allocation formula analysis: determining elements for best practices in
             libraries”, Library Collections, Acquisitions, & Technical Services, Vol. 31 No. 1, pp. 12-24.
       Kaay, A. and Zimmerman, P. (2008), “The development and application of a unique
             percentage-based allocations formula at the University of Windsor”, Library Collections,
             Acquisitions, & Technical Services, Vol. 32 No. 2.
       Stebelman, S. (1996), “Using Choice as a collection assessment tool”, Collection Building, Vol. 15
             No. 2, pp. 4-11.
       Walters, W.H. (2008), “A fund allocation formula based on demand, cost, and supply”,
             The Library Quarterly, Vol. 71 No. 3, pp. 303-14.
Werking, R. (1988), “Allocating the academic library’s book budget: historical perspectives and      Budget
     current reflections”, Journal of Academic Librarianship, Vol. 14 No. 3, pp. 140-4.
Yankee Book Peddler (2010), “LC subjects: all publishers (UP and Trade) 2009-2010”, available
                                                                                                  allocation
     at: www.ybp.com/title_reports.html (accessed January 5, 2011).                                formulas

Further reading
Crotts, J. (1999), “Subject usage and funding of library monographs”, College & Research                67
      Libraries, Vol. 60 No. 3, pp. 261-73.
Pierce, T.J. (1978), “An empirical approach to the allocation of the university library book
      budget”, Collection Management, Vol. 2 No. 1, pp. 39-58.

Corresponding author
Roger L. Cross can be contacted at: rcross@lib.siu.edu




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2.pleasing all
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9.greener library
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7.a more
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11.budget allocation

  • 1. The current issue and full text archive of this journal is available at www.emeraldinsight.com/0888-045X.htm NOT SO FAST! Budget allocation Budget allocation formulas: formulas magic or illusion? 63 Roger L. Cross Collection Development, Morris Library, Southern Illinois University, Accepted February 2011 Carbondale, Illinois, USA Abstract Purpose – Budget allocation formulas claim objectivity, and hence fairness. But factors composing the formula are limited to supply, demand, and cost. Attempts to correct for this imbalance of empirical data like usage have led to the use of weighted values in the formulas. This paper seeks to argue that assigning “weight” in a formula introduces value judgments and subjectivity, leaving only the misplaced illusion of objectivity. Design/methodology/approach – The paper surveys the published literature on the use of monograph budget allocation formulas and provides analysis to highlight the underlying problems of allocation formulas. Findings – Over the past several decades numerous permutations of the monograph allocation formula have been proposed and published. But there is no magic in formulas once value judgments are introduced. Instead, one is only left with the appearance of objectivity. Originality/value – This paper is a review of the philosophical and economic underpinnings in the library literature on allocation formulas and subsequent budget distribution. It seeks to demonstrate the subjective nature of these formulas, once they are separated from empirical data. The paper seeks to demonstrate the dangerous illusion of objectivity that formulas can create when implemented. Keywords Libraries, Budgets, Collections management Paper type Viewpoint Monographic allocation formulas have been a collection development tool for over 80 years. An obvious appeal of allocation formulas is the confidence their apparent mathematic rigor inspires. A rational formula seems the very antithesis of whim and caprice. It is hardly surprising, therefore, that so much print has been dedicated to designing library budget allocation formulas over the past decades. Yet allocation formulas present their own dangers and do not guarantee the equity or even the practical economic results sought by their creators. Formulas that are not fixed to specific economic goals will likely do more harm than good. Allocation formulas reflect an array of subjective values. Their output is not the desired objective set of data, but rather the outcome of subjective values acting on input. In a future column I will argue that adopting an allocation formula limited only to monographs (books) generally reflects an economic model that would be rejected when viewed abstractly as a an economic principle. In this column I will focus The Bottom Line: Managing Library exclusively on the irrationality inherent in formulaic allocation. Finances Vol. 24 No. 1, 2011 The outcome of any allocation formula depends upon the input. A formula will derive pp. 63-67 the solution it is designed to derive based solely on the factors used as input. The q Emerald Group Publishing Limited 0888-045X actual solution generated by the formula is not as interesting or as important as the DOI 10.1108/08880451111142114
  • 2. BL factors included in the formula and the weight given to each of these factors. The 24,1 solution may be infallible and absolute, but this very same solution reflects nothing more than the value judgments applied to the input data. This is not a new or even controversial statement, but it bears repeating since it so central to every discussion of allocation formulas. Werking (1988), in his article Allocating the Academic Library’s Book Budget, offers a succinct review of the allocation debate that began almost 100 64 years ago. He cites a 1938 article by the mathematician H. Stetson, who stated that, due to the subjectivity of the input in an allocation formula, “there is no magic in a formula. The results are entirely dependent of the makeup” (Werking, 1988). Let’s make this more specific. Suppose that my university library produces circulation records by LC call number well in excess of 2,000,000. Enrollment at my university averages around 20,000. In any straightforward, unweighted, formula the usage statistics will far outweigh enrollment – to the point where enrollment becomes an insignificant factor in a formula. The disparity between the two factors only grows broader, thus worse for enrollment, each passing year. For example, when circulation records total 4,000,000, but enrollment still averages around 20,000 the ratio of enrollment to check-outs has gone from 1/100 to 1/200. The more complete circulation and usage record-keeping becomes, the greater will be the data disparity between these two factors. Circulation statistics are arguably the only significant factor in a budget allocation formula, and circulation unquestionably bears the preponderance of empirical data. To place this in the strongest terms, circulation, tied as it is to call number, offers detailed data about which subjects and topic are in high demand, and which are not. Yet circulation records rarely serve as the sole or determining factor in monograph allocation formulas in library literature. Recognizing the preponderance of data for circulation and seeking a “fuller” formula, the literature is filled with formulas that assign different weight to the various factors in their computations. It is this need to weigh the elements of the allocation formulas that gives rise to the vast permutations witnessed in the literature. It is also while assigning different values that we best see how the subjectivity of input determines the output. With any formula the two primary questions are: (1) What factors are used? (2) How much weight should each factor bear? The latter question – how to weigh each variable of a formula – has occupied much of the past library literature on budget allocation formulas. The actual variables or factors used in allocation formulas are not as extensive as one would expect. Statistical analysis of published allocation formulas in library literature demonstrates that even though numerous factors are discussed, the majority of formulas rely on the same four items: circulation, enrollment, cost, and the number of faculty (Canepi, 2007). These items can be further reduced to the basic headings of supply, demand, and cost, with enrollment and faculty both folded into the category of demand. William Walters, in his article on fund allocation, argues further that supply and cost are static or single-element variables, while demand is a multi-varied factor. (Walters, 2008) Essentially, demand is the only factor requiring extensive analysis in the budget. Certainly, only demand represents the individual identity of any academic library. Every library can start its equation with two of the three factors fixed by outside
  • 3. forces: namely, how many books have been published and how much do they cost? Budget These factors can be treated as constants. The one unique factor in any allocation allocation formula will be the answer to the questions “What resources have been used at this school or university, and what should I buy?”. Demand and its assigned weight among formulas the other factors represents the uniqueness of any allocation formula, since it alone reflects the particular circumstances of any academic institution. Still, Walters’ assessment contains one important flaw. Anyone implementing a 65 budget allocation formula should pause at the characterization of cost as static and fixed, even setting aside the fluidity of book price inflation. Cost, as frequently discussed in budget allocation literature, is unempirical and unspecific to any academic library. The problem with static cost in a formula is that this number is generally derived from reports generated by two or three book vendors, or from some other generalizing source (Stebelman, 1996). Yet it is irrelevant for individual libraries to adopt the average cost of books with any particular call number. Cost on some theoretical, generalized, scale has little bearing on the particular cost of the books purchased and subsequently used by any particular library. The idea behind the allocation formula is to create a monograph budget for a particular environment. Mixing specifics like demand with generalities such as theoretical cost risks badly skewing the outcome. Suppose a university that has no medical school does have an extensive nursing department offering a professional degree. Because there is no medical school, the library does not use the National Library of Medicine Classification System. Rather, the Library of Congress call number “R” is used for all books on medicine. “Nursing proper” is assigned the LC call number “RT”, but professional medical care overlaps all manner of diseases and treatments that are assigned different “R”-derived call numbers. According to the annual report by Yankee Book Peddler (2010) entitled “LC subjects: trade and other publishers”, academic books grouped in the call number “R” cost an average of almost $99, while nursing “RT” titles cost $58 (Yankee Book Peddler, 2010). Which number should be factored into the equation? Further, a vendor such as Yankee Books reports only 299 books published with call number “RT”, while the “R” classification includes approximately 4,700 books. Is it proper to adopt the formula for the 299 books in “RT” or for all 4,700 in the classification “R”? Finally, book vendors often give preference to hardbound over softbound books, even though many libraries long ago reversed this preference to stretch funding. The point is that unless cost is a number empirically derived from the cost of the books actually purchased and used it has little established relevance to a library’s actual need and use. The library may budget for expensive medical books while the populace is merely interested in test-preparation guide books. Cost, as an element, therefore, is either a static classification in a library’s allocation formula – with great potential to skew the results towards high-priced books – or it is simply a subset of the overarching classification of demand. The more abstract the book budget allocation formula becomes – the less grounded in an actual environment – the more skeptically it should be viewed. If a formula is to rely upon an empirical foundation then circulation data must be paramount in any book allocation formula since usage is the sole determining factor for assessing the audience and need for any collection.
  • 4. BL Some argue that records of the past are no indication of future desires or needs. Such 24,1 opponents of “usage” fail to follow this logic through to its inevitable conclusion, which would be that it is impossible or irrational to create a budget. The very notion of a budget assumes a continuation of past regularities into the future and future contexts. The future may not exactly be like the past, but from a purely pragmatic perspective we act as if familiar patterns will persist and will bear enough a resemblance to the 66 past that present and future events will not all be unique surprises. In short, you cannot talk about a budget at all if you reject the pattern of the past. If, on the other hand, you accept historical patterns as basis for future predictions, you accept that past use is an indication of future need. Book budget allocation formulas can serve as a tool for fund allocation, but too often too much is demanded from them, and they are applied too broadly. The objectivity of formulas is mostly illusory, since they are only as objective as their input factors. The sheer volume of allocation formulas over the past 80 years demonstrates an inherent dissatisfaction with the results these formulas produce. This dissatisfaction is expressed in the library literature by the caveat in every article about “how we implemented a formula”. This caveat is the immediate recognition, once the formula has generated its results, that something is seriously amiss with the outcome. Somehow the formula produced results that not only were unexpected, but clearly wrong when measured by the expectations of experienced librarians. The experience described by the University of Windsor perfectly illustrates the conundrum faced by academic librarians examining a formula’s output. At Windsor, general trends: . . . were the same regardless of the model that was applied. Specifically, certain funds (notably Mathematics, Computer Science, and the five Engineering funds) would receive significant increases whereas others (English, History, Languages) would have been hit with very significant decreases (Kaay and Zimmerman, 2008). In this case the caveat meant adding steps to “mitigate the potential negative distributional impacts that would have resulted with a strict application of the formula” (Kaay and Zimmerman, 2008) It was not that the formula was wrong – it was just wrong for that particular situation. In the end the only test of any budget allocation is not its aptness to any given situation, but its aptness for this particular situation, this library, this community, this fiscal year. Budget allocation formulas can be useful, but their usefulness is far more restricted than generally appreciated. The magic of budget allocation formulas is the illusion of mathematical objectivity. References Canepi, K. (2007), “Fund allocation formula analysis: determining elements for best practices in libraries”, Library Collections, Acquisitions, & Technical Services, Vol. 31 No. 1, pp. 12-24. Kaay, A. and Zimmerman, P. (2008), “The development and application of a unique percentage-based allocations formula at the University of Windsor”, Library Collections, Acquisitions, & Technical Services, Vol. 32 No. 2. Stebelman, S. (1996), “Using Choice as a collection assessment tool”, Collection Building, Vol. 15 No. 2, pp. 4-11. Walters, W.H. (2008), “A fund allocation formula based on demand, cost, and supply”, The Library Quarterly, Vol. 71 No. 3, pp. 303-14.
  • 5. Werking, R. (1988), “Allocating the academic library’s book budget: historical perspectives and Budget current reflections”, Journal of Academic Librarianship, Vol. 14 No. 3, pp. 140-4. Yankee Book Peddler (2010), “LC subjects: all publishers (UP and Trade) 2009-2010”, available allocation at: www.ybp.com/title_reports.html (accessed January 5, 2011). formulas Further reading Crotts, J. (1999), “Subject usage and funding of library monographs”, College & Research 67 Libraries, Vol. 60 No. 3, pp. 261-73. Pierce, T.J. (1978), “An empirical approach to the allocation of the university library book budget”, Collection Management, Vol. 2 No. 1, pp. 39-58. Corresponding author Roger L. Cross can be contacted at: rcross@lib.siu.edu To purchase reprints of this article please e-mail: reprints@emeraldinsight.com Or visit our web site for further details: www.emeraldinsight.com/reprints