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Lower
Susquehanna
    River
 Watershed
 Assessment
   Update
Lower Susquehanna
    Riverkeeper
  Stewards of the
Lower Susquehanna
   July 15, 2012
Assessment Initiation
 Funding from Congress to “restart” study – May „09
 Sediment Task Force Reconvened – Oct. ‟09
 Scoping Kick-off meeting – June „10
 Scoping completed – April „11.
 Executed Project Management Plan/Cost-Sharing
  Agreement – September „11
 Federal funding of $250K secured – September „11
 Team Kick-off meeting – November „11
Assessment Partners




Each agency will be providing funding and/or conducting
          specific tasks for the assessment.
Assessment Components
 River Basin Assessment (Sec 729 of WRDA ‘86)

 Cost: $1.4 million

 Legal Cost-sharing sponsor: MDE

 75 Federal/25 Non-Federal Cost Share

 3 Years
Assessment Components
 Identification of sediment management strategies (Dredging?
 Innovative Re-use? By-passing? Alter Reservoir Operations?
 Other?).

 Use of models to link incoming sediment and associated nutrient
  projections to in-reservoir processes at the hydroelectric dams.

 Use of models to forecast effects of sediment management strategies
  to living resources in Chesapeake Bay.

 Integration of the MD, PA, NY Watershed Implementation Plans
  (WIPs).

 Concept-level designs and costs.

 Will not lead directly to construction.
Lower Susquehanna River Watershed
              Assessment
                   Mission
To comprehensively forecast and evaluate
sediment and associated nutrient loads to the
system of hydroelectric dams located on the
Susquehanna River above the Chesapeake Bay
and consider structural and non-structural
strategies to manage these loads to protect water
quality and aquatic life in the Chesapeake Bay.
Lower Susquehanna River Watershed Assessment
                             Goals & Objectives

1. Evaluate strategies to manage sediment and associated nutrient delivery to the
   Chesapeake Bay.
     Strategies will incorporate input from Maryland, New York, and
       Pennsylvania TMDL WIPs.
     Strategies will incorporate evaluations of sediment storage capacity at the
       four hydroelectric dams on the Lower Susquehanna River.
     Strategies will evaluate types of sediment delivered and associated effects
       on the Chesapeake Bay.
2. Evaluate strategies to manage sediment and associated nutrients available for
   transport during high flow storm events to reduce impacts to the Chesapeake
   Bay.
3. Determine the effects to the Chesapeake Bay from the loss of sediment and
   nutrient storage from behind the hydroelectric dams on the Lower
   Susquehanna River.
Modeling Tools
1.    CBP Partnership-Watershed Model
      Sediment and nutrient loads from the watershed at key
         locations into the reservoirs.
2.    HEC-RAS 1D Model
      Hydrologic conditions and sediment transport into
         Conowingo Reservoir (from upper 2 reservoirs)
3.    2D Adaptive Hydraulics Model (ADH)
      Erosion/deposition within Conowingo Reservoir
      Sediment transport out of Conowingo reservoir
      Response of reservoir and flats to various scenarios.
4.    CBP Partnership - Chesapeake Bay Model
      Impact of sediments and nutrients on light attenuation,
         SAV, chlorophyll, and DO
Assessment Analysis Approach
                                2.)Sediment and               3.) Sediment
 1.) 2D/3D effects             nutrient loads from         loads divided into
 desktop analysis             Lower Susquehanna                 grain size
plus building initial            Watershed into               fractions and
   model mesh                       reservoirs               routed through
                                                             Lake Clark and
                                                                  Aldred
  2D ADH model                  CBP Partnership
                                Watershed Model               1D HEC-RAS
   ERDC-$45K                                                      model
                                      EPA
                                                               USGS-$80K



                          6.) Change in total                         4.) Sediment load by
                        sediment load by grain                          grain size routed
    7.) Impacts of                                                    through Conowingo
  altered sediment            size passing
                           Conowingo and                              Reservoir, Dam, and
   and associated                                       5.) Run        the Susquehanna
  nutrient loads on       Susquehanna flats            selected               Flats
          Bay                                         modeling
  CBP Partnership                                     scenarios
                           2D ADH model
      Bay Model                                      ERDC/USGS           2D ADH model
                        ERDC-(Costs included             /EPA
        $235.1K              in Step 4)                                   ERDC-$270K
Lower
  Susquehanna
 River Watershed
   Assessment
Analysis Approach
Prospective Modeling Scenarios
1. Base Condition –
   WQ/sediment accumulation rate under existing conditions.
2. Watershed Management –
   WQ/sediment accumulation rate after implementation of TMDL’s.
3. What Happens when the Reservoir Fills –
   Impact on WQ/sediment accumulation rate to the Bay (assume TMDL’s are being met).
4. Effect of Scouring during Winter/Spring Runoff –
   WQ/sediment accumulation rate with scouring of the bottom of a full reservoir (utilize Jan
     ‘96 event).
5. Effect of Scouring from a Tropical Storm –
   Same as Scenario 4 except event will occur in summer (substitute the Jan ‘96 event).
6. Reservoir Bypass –
   Impacts on WQ/sediment accumulation rates with a system bypassing sediment from
      behind Conowingo to below the dam.
7. Reservoir Strategic Dredging –
  WQ/sediment accumulation rate impacts from dredging fines in potentially any reservoir.
8. Modify Dam Operations –
   Effects of altering the flow and/or the way the Conowingo is currently operated..
Assessment Timeline
    2D/3D         Field & Lab
    Study         Sampling/
                   Analysis
                                                     Project
     Build                                                      Agency
                                                      Team
  Models/Run      Reporting                                     Review
                                                     Review
   Scenarios




START                                                                    COMPLETE
STUDY                                                                     STUDY




                                                     USACE           USACE
        Review           Compare                     Agency          Higher
        Results         Alternatives                Technical       Authority
                                                     Review          Review


                                Agency/Public Involvement
Activities
Conowingo Reservoir: Is 2D
   Modeling Adequate or Are 3D Effects
         Potentially Significant?
► 2D ADH model Assumption: System is well mixed therefore
  2D model is appropriate for all conditions that deliver
  significant sediment.
► When are 3D Effects Important?
   • Low river discharge into reservoir
   • Flow velocity is low; turbulence and mixing at a minimum
   • High water residence time in reservoir
Desktop Analysis of 3D Effects
►   Purpose: Evaluate if 2D ADH model can adequately simulate long-term
               sedimentation processes in Conowingo Reservoir or will 3D
               effects significantly impact 2D simulations.
►   Approach: Evaluate sediment availability to reservoir when 3D
                  impacts may be significant
     1. Conduct a desktop analysis of sediment transport/hydrologic
        conditions. Utilize existing data:
        a) Residence time curve (Exelon hydrologic data)
        b) Flow (USGS historical data)
        c) Sediment rating curve (1D HEC-RAS model)
     2. Assume that flows greater than 30,000 cubic feet per second (cfs)
        have a very low retention time (5 days or less); therefore, there is
        sufficient mixing at these low flows (i.e., no 3D effects).
     3. Based on analysis, determine if a 2D model is appropriate to
        simulating sediment transport in Conowingo Reservoir.
Desktop Analysis of 3D Effects

                         Results
 Of ~4.28 million tons of annual sediment inflow, ~.22
  million occurs during flows of 30,000 cfs or less (5%).
 Reservoir is exposed to only 5% of total yearly load
  during low flow conditions
 This means 3D effects occur, but are negligible.
 A 2D model is appropriate for simulating sediment
  transport in Conowingo Reservoir.
2D ADH Model Development – ERDC lead


 One model for Conowingo Reservoir and
  one model for the flats
 Includes:
  ► 2008  bathymetric surveys
  ► Routines for power plant operations and flood
    gates
  ► SAV effects (impacts how sediment is
    transported in the flats) included
1D HEC-RAS Model Development – USGS Lead
 Marietta gage - Conowingo
  Reservoir
 LIDAR data
 Bathymetry (‟96 and „08)
 Flood insurance data from
  FEMA used to fill in where
  bathymetry data was not
  available
 4 sediment transport curves
  (ranking flow with sediment
  concentration values)
 Operational – Sept. 2012
Chesapeake Bay Environmental Model Package
                  ERDC Lead
                  Data Search
 CBEMP requires information on physical properties and
  composition of solids flowing over Conowingo Dam.
 Search of relevant data conducted
   ► Solids size distribution
   ► C, N, P species and concentrations
   ► Metals
 Findings:
   ► As flow over Conowingo increases, composition of
     transported materials resembles reservoir bed material
   ► Existing data is sufficient to characterize transported
     material for modeling.
SEDFlume Data and Analysis


 15 sediment cores were collected in April
  2012 in Conowingo Reservoir and run
  through SEDflume
 Analysis will determine erodability of
  sediments.
 Equations for critical shear stress
Suspended Sediment Sampling

 USGS collected suspended sediments at Conowingo dam during
  several 2010 high flow events (March/October/December 2010) and
  during Tropical Storm Lee (September 2011).
   ► Supplemental to regular monitoring
   ► Suspended-sediment chemistry
   ► Grain-size analysis
 Data provides
   ► C, N, P particle size distribution; will help determine what grain
      size each is associated with.
   ► Measures of Particulate P with Fe and Mn to determine if P is
      organic or associated with Fe and Mn (i.e. inorganic).
 Data here: http://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis
Susquehanna Flats
Sediment Sampling

  MGS collected
   surficial grab
   samples in May
   2012
  Grain-size analysis
  Data will refine 2D
   ADH model
Conowingo Reservoir
 Sediment Sampling


 USGS
  collected grab
  surface sample
  sediment in
  June 2012
 96-99% sand in
  upper reservoir
Exelon Conowingo Bathymetry Surveys
 3,434 acre-ft (~5.07 million tons) of sediment accumulated from ‟08-‟11
 Average of 1.69 million tons of deposition annually.
 Remaining sediment storage capacity: ~21,800 acre-ft (assume 142,000
  acre-ft is steady-state volume.




      Historic Coverage                      2011 Coverage
Stakeholder Outreach
 Study Initiation Notice            Feb 2012
 Agency Coordination Letters        Feb 2012
 Facebook Page:
http://www.facebook.com/pages/Lower-Susquehanna-
   River-Watershed-Assessment/359608094092593
 LSRWA Website:
http://mddnr.chesapeakebay.net/LSRWA/index.cfm
 Stakeholder Involvement Plan
 Quarterly Email updates
 Provide updates at other Chesapeake Bay
    Meetings
Schedule of Upcoming Activities *

Complete Initial HEC-RAS Hydraulic Model Ongoing-Sept 2012
Sediment Characterization (SEDFlume)           Mar-Sept 2012
Literature Search                              July-Sept 2012
Hydrodynamics Model Runs                       April-Sept 2012
Modeling of Baseline Condition                  October 2012
Alternative Identification and Site Evaluation  Oct-Dec 2012
Modeling of Alternatives                        Jan-Mar 2013
Sediment Management Strategy Development        Summer 2013

* The schedule for activities after September 2012 is contingent upon receiving
    adequate Federal funding in FY13.

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LSRWA Update July 2012

  • 1. Lower Susquehanna River Watershed Assessment Update Lower Susquehanna Riverkeeper Stewards of the Lower Susquehanna July 15, 2012
  • 2. Assessment Initiation  Funding from Congress to “restart” study – May „09  Sediment Task Force Reconvened – Oct. ‟09  Scoping Kick-off meeting – June „10  Scoping completed – April „11.  Executed Project Management Plan/Cost-Sharing Agreement – September „11  Federal funding of $250K secured – September „11  Team Kick-off meeting – November „11
  • 3. Assessment Partners Each agency will be providing funding and/or conducting specific tasks for the assessment.
  • 4. Assessment Components  River Basin Assessment (Sec 729 of WRDA ‘86)  Cost: $1.4 million  Legal Cost-sharing sponsor: MDE  75 Federal/25 Non-Federal Cost Share  3 Years
  • 5. Assessment Components  Identification of sediment management strategies (Dredging? Innovative Re-use? By-passing? Alter Reservoir Operations? Other?).  Use of models to link incoming sediment and associated nutrient projections to in-reservoir processes at the hydroelectric dams.  Use of models to forecast effects of sediment management strategies to living resources in Chesapeake Bay.  Integration of the MD, PA, NY Watershed Implementation Plans (WIPs).  Concept-level designs and costs.  Will not lead directly to construction.
  • 6. Lower Susquehanna River Watershed Assessment Mission To comprehensively forecast and evaluate sediment and associated nutrient loads to the system of hydroelectric dams located on the Susquehanna River above the Chesapeake Bay and consider structural and non-structural strategies to manage these loads to protect water quality and aquatic life in the Chesapeake Bay.
  • 7. Lower Susquehanna River Watershed Assessment Goals & Objectives 1. Evaluate strategies to manage sediment and associated nutrient delivery to the Chesapeake Bay.  Strategies will incorporate input from Maryland, New York, and Pennsylvania TMDL WIPs.  Strategies will incorporate evaluations of sediment storage capacity at the four hydroelectric dams on the Lower Susquehanna River.  Strategies will evaluate types of sediment delivered and associated effects on the Chesapeake Bay. 2. Evaluate strategies to manage sediment and associated nutrients available for transport during high flow storm events to reduce impacts to the Chesapeake Bay. 3. Determine the effects to the Chesapeake Bay from the loss of sediment and nutrient storage from behind the hydroelectric dams on the Lower Susquehanna River.
  • 8. Modeling Tools 1. CBP Partnership-Watershed Model  Sediment and nutrient loads from the watershed at key locations into the reservoirs. 2. HEC-RAS 1D Model  Hydrologic conditions and sediment transport into Conowingo Reservoir (from upper 2 reservoirs) 3. 2D Adaptive Hydraulics Model (ADH)  Erosion/deposition within Conowingo Reservoir  Sediment transport out of Conowingo reservoir  Response of reservoir and flats to various scenarios. 4. CBP Partnership - Chesapeake Bay Model  Impact of sediments and nutrients on light attenuation, SAV, chlorophyll, and DO
  • 9. Assessment Analysis Approach 2.)Sediment and 3.) Sediment 1.) 2D/3D effects nutrient loads from loads divided into desktop analysis Lower Susquehanna grain size plus building initial Watershed into fractions and model mesh reservoirs routed through Lake Clark and Aldred 2D ADH model CBP Partnership Watershed Model 1D HEC-RAS ERDC-$45K model EPA USGS-$80K 6.) Change in total 4.) Sediment load by sediment load by grain grain size routed 7.) Impacts of through Conowingo altered sediment size passing Conowingo and Reservoir, Dam, and and associated 5.) Run the Susquehanna nutrient loads on Susquehanna flats selected Flats Bay modeling CBP Partnership scenarios 2D ADH model Bay Model ERDC/USGS 2D ADH model ERDC-(Costs included /EPA $235.1K in Step 4) ERDC-$270K
  • 10. Lower Susquehanna River Watershed Assessment Analysis Approach
  • 11. Prospective Modeling Scenarios 1. Base Condition – WQ/sediment accumulation rate under existing conditions. 2. Watershed Management – WQ/sediment accumulation rate after implementation of TMDL’s. 3. What Happens when the Reservoir Fills – Impact on WQ/sediment accumulation rate to the Bay (assume TMDL’s are being met). 4. Effect of Scouring during Winter/Spring Runoff – WQ/sediment accumulation rate with scouring of the bottom of a full reservoir (utilize Jan ‘96 event). 5. Effect of Scouring from a Tropical Storm – Same as Scenario 4 except event will occur in summer (substitute the Jan ‘96 event). 6. Reservoir Bypass – Impacts on WQ/sediment accumulation rates with a system bypassing sediment from behind Conowingo to below the dam. 7. Reservoir Strategic Dredging – WQ/sediment accumulation rate impacts from dredging fines in potentially any reservoir. 8. Modify Dam Operations – Effects of altering the flow and/or the way the Conowingo is currently operated..
  • 12. Assessment Timeline 2D/3D Field & Lab Study Sampling/ Analysis Project Build Agency Team Models/Run Reporting Review Review Scenarios START COMPLETE STUDY STUDY USACE USACE Review Compare Agency Higher Results Alternatives Technical Authority Review Review Agency/Public Involvement
  • 14. Conowingo Reservoir: Is 2D Modeling Adequate or Are 3D Effects Potentially Significant? ► 2D ADH model Assumption: System is well mixed therefore 2D model is appropriate for all conditions that deliver significant sediment. ► When are 3D Effects Important? • Low river discharge into reservoir • Flow velocity is low; turbulence and mixing at a minimum • High water residence time in reservoir
  • 15. Desktop Analysis of 3D Effects ► Purpose: Evaluate if 2D ADH model can adequately simulate long-term sedimentation processes in Conowingo Reservoir or will 3D effects significantly impact 2D simulations. ► Approach: Evaluate sediment availability to reservoir when 3D impacts may be significant 1. Conduct a desktop analysis of sediment transport/hydrologic conditions. Utilize existing data: a) Residence time curve (Exelon hydrologic data) b) Flow (USGS historical data) c) Sediment rating curve (1D HEC-RAS model) 2. Assume that flows greater than 30,000 cubic feet per second (cfs) have a very low retention time (5 days or less); therefore, there is sufficient mixing at these low flows (i.e., no 3D effects). 3. Based on analysis, determine if a 2D model is appropriate to simulating sediment transport in Conowingo Reservoir.
  • 16. Desktop Analysis of 3D Effects Results  Of ~4.28 million tons of annual sediment inflow, ~.22 million occurs during flows of 30,000 cfs or less (5%).  Reservoir is exposed to only 5% of total yearly load during low flow conditions  This means 3D effects occur, but are negligible.  A 2D model is appropriate for simulating sediment transport in Conowingo Reservoir.
  • 17. 2D ADH Model Development – ERDC lead  One model for Conowingo Reservoir and one model for the flats  Includes: ► 2008 bathymetric surveys ► Routines for power plant operations and flood gates ► SAV effects (impacts how sediment is transported in the flats) included
  • 18. 1D HEC-RAS Model Development – USGS Lead  Marietta gage - Conowingo Reservoir  LIDAR data  Bathymetry (‟96 and „08)  Flood insurance data from FEMA used to fill in where bathymetry data was not available  4 sediment transport curves (ranking flow with sediment concentration values)  Operational – Sept. 2012
  • 19. Chesapeake Bay Environmental Model Package ERDC Lead Data Search  CBEMP requires information on physical properties and composition of solids flowing over Conowingo Dam.  Search of relevant data conducted ► Solids size distribution ► C, N, P species and concentrations ► Metals  Findings: ► As flow over Conowingo increases, composition of transported materials resembles reservoir bed material ► Existing data is sufficient to characterize transported material for modeling.
  • 20. SEDFlume Data and Analysis  15 sediment cores were collected in April 2012 in Conowingo Reservoir and run through SEDflume  Analysis will determine erodability of sediments.  Equations for critical shear stress
  • 21. Suspended Sediment Sampling  USGS collected suspended sediments at Conowingo dam during several 2010 high flow events (March/October/December 2010) and during Tropical Storm Lee (September 2011). ► Supplemental to regular monitoring ► Suspended-sediment chemistry ► Grain-size analysis  Data provides ► C, N, P particle size distribution; will help determine what grain size each is associated with. ► Measures of Particulate P with Fe and Mn to determine if P is organic or associated with Fe and Mn (i.e. inorganic).  Data here: http://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis
  • 22. Susquehanna Flats Sediment Sampling  MGS collected surficial grab samples in May 2012  Grain-size analysis  Data will refine 2D ADH model
  • 23. Conowingo Reservoir Sediment Sampling  USGS collected grab surface sample sediment in June 2012  96-99% sand in upper reservoir
  • 24. Exelon Conowingo Bathymetry Surveys  3,434 acre-ft (~5.07 million tons) of sediment accumulated from ‟08-‟11  Average of 1.69 million tons of deposition annually.  Remaining sediment storage capacity: ~21,800 acre-ft (assume 142,000 acre-ft is steady-state volume. Historic Coverage 2011 Coverage
  • 25. Stakeholder Outreach  Study Initiation Notice Feb 2012  Agency Coordination Letters Feb 2012  Facebook Page: http://www.facebook.com/pages/Lower-Susquehanna- River-Watershed-Assessment/359608094092593  LSRWA Website: http://mddnr.chesapeakebay.net/LSRWA/index.cfm  Stakeholder Involvement Plan  Quarterly Email updates  Provide updates at other Chesapeake Bay Meetings
  • 26. Schedule of Upcoming Activities * Complete Initial HEC-RAS Hydraulic Model Ongoing-Sept 2012 Sediment Characterization (SEDFlume) Mar-Sept 2012 Literature Search July-Sept 2012 Hydrodynamics Model Runs April-Sept 2012 Modeling of Baseline Condition October 2012 Alternative Identification and Site Evaluation Oct-Dec 2012 Modeling of Alternatives Jan-Mar 2013 Sediment Management Strategy Development Summer 2013 * The schedule for activities after September 2012 is contingent upon receiving adequate Federal funding in FY13.

Notas del editor

  1. Federal funding received in May 2009 to restart and scope studyIssue of the long-term buildup of sediment behind the dams in the lower Susquehanna and the implications of these sediments and associated nutrients to the Chesapeake Bay
  2. Sediment Task Force organized in 1999 by SRBC.Reconvened in Oct 09 – with 43 attendees representing federal and state agencies, private companies, NGOs, Universities with expertise (20 groups)Federal Sponsor- USACE Non-Federal Sponsor(s)- Maryland (MDE, DNR, MGS) contributing partners (SRBC, TNC, USGS)
  3. River basin assessment (Sec 729 of WRDA 1986): What can we do to reduce problem? Where should work be done? Variety of recommendations implemented by different entities.
  4. CBP- WSM model-Same model used for TMDL’s; POC is EPA; however UMD may run scenarios. Partnership includes, Several Federal and state agencies and NGO’s and private partners.HEC-RAS-USGS will route sediment through upper 2 reservoirs providing boundary conditions for 2D ADH model. Chesapeake Bay Modelcomputes water quality and living resources in the bay system;
  5. 1D modeling tasks for 75k: Build HECRAS models for Lake Clark and Lake Aldred; validate models to selected events; provide sediment loads to 2D model for 2D modeling simulations2D modeling tasks for 335k: Determine erodibility of Conowingo sediments with the Sedflume (120K); build 2D model of Conowingo Reservoir and lower channel to Susquehanna Flats; perform simulations (215k)
  6. the fate of these sediments may be significantly influenced by these 3D effects
  7. the fate of these sediments may be significantly influenced by these 3D effects
  8. Routines- Flows less than 86,000 cfs are routed through the power plant, while the flood gates open at higher flows. When flows reach as high as 400,000 cfs, the power plant no longer functions for flow passage i.e. sediment is scoured.
  9. Sediment Transport Curves are in Marietta, Conestoga River, Pequea Creek, and Conowingo.
  10. Metals affect nutrient digenesis in bed sediments.
  11. .
  12. USGS data provides particulate C, N, P at extremely high flows. These are not available in the regular monitoring data base. These particle concentrations will aid in specification of loads to Chesapeake Bay during high-flow scenarios. USGS data provides both C, N, P and particle size distribution. This will help us determine what particle classes the C, N, P are associated with (e.g. clay or silt or ??). USGS data provide simultaneous measures of particulate P with Fe and Mn. This will help us determine the nature of the particulate P. Is it organic or associated with Fe and Mn? We can then map particulate P into the appropriate water quality model variable (particulate organic or particulate inorganic phosphorus).
  13. Survey results support USGS hypothesis that upper and middle portions of Conowingo have reached dynamic equilibrium, where long-term sediment inflow approximately equals long-term sedimetnoutlfow. Zone of dynamic equilibrium has expanded farther downstream than in previous surveys (~3.7 miles upstream of Conowingo Dam).2008-2011 cross section comparisons indicated that there was local scour in portions of the reservoir's lower cross-sections. Amount of deposition, exceeded the amount of scour. Unclear where re-suspended sediment was transported too.Deposition prior to TS Lee is unknown, the flood’s sediment profile impacts cannot be directly assessed. Conowingo pond volume of water was calculated to have decreased between 2,940 acre-feet and 3,434 acre-ft from 2008-2011 or between 980 acre-ft per year and 1145 per year. This corresponds to a total sediment deposition of 4.34 million tons to 5.07 million tons, or a rate of 1.45 million tons per year to 1.69 million tones per year, matching historic depostion rates.
  14. USACE had sent out standard study coordination letters to various Federal and state environmental resource agencies .As a result of this coordination, we have added several new agency team members, some of whom attended or listened into the quarterly team meeting. USACE sent out a Study Initiation Notice via email to large email distribution list that started with the original Sediment Task Force (includes academia, general public, federal, non-government organizations, and state and county reps. DNR hosts public website