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Retirement &
 Investment Planning
                   g
 in Today’s Market
 Presented by: Matthew A. Morrow
            y

      Munroe Morrow Wealth Management
      346 Commercial Street
      Boston, MA 02109
      617-600-5488


Date: April 24, 2012
Will you have enough money?
Future!income!needs!and!sources
> Most!people!have!a!gap!between!income!and!expenses
> Social!Security!will!not!be!enough
> Will!you!have!a!pension?
> Do!you!have!other!sources!of!income?
> Pl t b id th
  Plan!to!bridge!the!gap!with!your!investments
                          ith      i    t   t




                                                       1
Will you have enough money?
Future!income!needs!and!sources

The!size!of!the!nest!egg!you’ll!need
Annual!amount!desired     Nest egg!needed*
$!40,000                   $!963,922
$!85,000                   $!2,048,334
$!100,000                  $!2,409,804




                                             2
Will you have enough money?
Percentage surviving by age




                      FPO




                  Percentage surviving by age: Death-registration
                      1900-1902,1949-51, 2004. National Vital
                  Statistics Reports, Vol. 56, No. 9, December 28,
                                                                     3
                                        2007
The High Cost of Waiting
                          Annual Rate of Return = 8%

           AGE                    Investor A             Investor B
              21                                   $0                 $2,000
              22                                   $0                 $2,000
              23                                   $0                 $2,000
              24                                   $0                 $2,000
              25                                   $0                 $2,000
              26                                   $0                 $2,000
              27                                   $0                 $2,000
              28                                   $0                 $2,000
              29                                   $0                 $2,000
              30                                   $0                 $2,000
              31                               $2,000                     $0
              32                               $2,000                     $0
              33                               $2,000                     $0
              34                               $2,000                     $0
              35                               $2,000                     $0
              36                               $2,000                     $0
              37                               $2,000                     $0
              38                               $2,000                     $0
              39                               $2,000                     $0
              40                               $2,000                     $0
              41                               $2,000                     $0
              42                               $2,000                     $0
              43                               $2,000                     $0
              44                               $2,000                     $0
              45                               $2,000                     $0
              46                               $2,000                     $0
              47                               $2,000                     $0
              48                               $2,000                     $0
              49                               $2,000                     $0
              50                               $2,000                     $0
              51                               $2,000                     $0
              52                               $2,000                     $0
              53                               $2,000                     $0
              54                               $2,000                     $0
              55                               $2,000                     $0
              56                               $2,000                     $0
              57                               $2,000                     $0
              58                               $2,000                     $0
              59                               $2,000                     $0
              60                               $2,000                     $0
                                        $226,566               $291,547
        Total Invested:                  $60,000                $20,000

What if you invested $2,000 per year for all 40 years?      $518,113.04
How should you invest
   along the way?




                        4
Investing!short!course
I    ti    h t

> Get!invested
> Diversify
> Stay invested
  Stay!invested
Types!of!risk!or!“volatility”
T      f i k “ l tilit ”

> Specific!risk
> Market!risk
> Industry risk
  Industry!risk
> Interest!rate!risk
Historical range of returns of S&P
                500: 1970-2009
                                               61


                                                                                        30                                 19                                18


         Positive!change

            No!change                                                                                                                                         7
                                                                                                                           "2
      Negative!change                                                                   "7



                                              " 43
                                          1!year                                5!years                                 10!years                            20!years

Source:!Standard!and!Poor’s!500!Index.!The!Standard!&!Poor’s!500!Market!Index!(S&P!500)!is!an!unmanaged!list!of!common!stocks frequently!used!as!a!measure!of!market!
performance.!The!index!reflects!reinvestment!of!all!distributions!and!changes!in!market!prices,!but!excludes!brokerage!commissions!or!other!fees.!The!highest!return!is!
represented!by!the!top!of!each!bar!and!the!lowest!annual!return!is!shown!at!the!bottom.!The!rolling!5",10" and!20"year!ranges!are!also!shown.!Over!time,!lower!performing!years!
will!be!offset!by!higher!performing!years!and!vice!versa.!Therefore!the!range!of!the!historical!returns!over!the!entire!period!is!narrower!than!the!range!of!returns!in!any!single!year.!
Returns!over!1!year!in!length!are!annualized.!It!is!not!possible!to!invest!directly!in!an!index.!!Past!performance!is!no!guarantee!of!future!results.!
Dollar"cost!averaging
D ll      t       i

> Put!market!fluctuations!to!work!for!you
> Can!be!an!effective!means!of!accumulating!shares
> Does not guarantee profit or protect against losses due to
  Does!not!guarantee!profit!or!protect!against!losses!due!to!
  declining!prices
Dollar"cost!averaging


        Month                         You invest                                        Share price                                              Shares
                                                                                                                                             purchased
    January                                  $100                       !                         $10                            =                             10
    February                                 $100                       !                           $8                           =                         12.5
    March                                    $100                       !                           $5                           =                             20
    April                                    $100                       !                           $7                           =                         14.3
    May                                      $100                       !                           $9                           =                         11.1
    June                                     $100                       !                         $10                            =                             10
    Total                                    $600                                                                                =                         77.9
                                                                                                                                                           77 9
    Average!price!per!share:!(10+8+5+7+9+10)/6=!$8.17
    Average!cost!per!share:!(600/77.9)=!$7.70

Dollar"cost!averaging!not!guarantee!a!profit!or!protect!against!losses!in!a!declining!market.!Investors!should!consider!their!ability!to!continue!investing!
during!periods!of!low!markets.!This!illustration!is!hypothetical!and!is!not!a!forecast!or!guarantee!of!specific!investment!results.
How should you invest along the way?
Five!kinds!of!risk!to!manage
Inflation!risk
I fl ti    i k       The!possibility!that!your!investment’s!value!
                     Th         ibilit th t    i    t   t’ l
                     will!lag!inflation
Market!risk          The!chance!that!your!investment’s!price!will!fall
Default!risk         The!chance!that!a!bond!issuer!won’t!be!able!to!pay!
                     interest!due
Interest!rate!risk
Interest rate risk   The!likelihood!that!bond!prices!will!fall!when!interest!
                     The likelihood that bond prices will fall when interest
                     rates!rise

Currency!risk        The!possibility!that!your!investment!will!lose!value!due!
                     to!fluctuations!in!foreign!currencies



                                                                                10
How should you invest along the way?
Asset!allocation!and!diversification
   2001           2002           2003           2004           2005           2006           2007          2008
                                                                                                           2008*
SMALL CAP                      SMALL CAP                                                   LARGE CAP
                                             REAL ESTATE    INT’L STOCKS   REAL ESTATE                     BONDS
   VALUE       BONDS 10.25%     GROWTH
                                               33.16%                        35.97%
                                                                                            GROWTH
                                                               14.02%                                      5.24%
  14.02%                        48.54%                                                      11.81%
                                                                                                                        INT’L!Stocks!MSCI!EAFE!Index
                               SMALL CAP      SMALL CAP                                                  HIGH YIELD
REAL ESTATE    REAL ESTATE                                  REAL ESTATE    INT’L STOCKS   INT’L STOCKS
                                 VALUE          VALUE                                                      BONDS
  12.35%          3.58%
                                46.03%         22.25%
                                                              13.82%          26.86%         11.63%
                                                                                                          -26.16%
                                                                                                                        Diversified!Portfolio!Hypothetical!portfolio!
                                                                                                                        with!quarterly!rebalancing!and!an!equal!
                                                                                                                        with quarterly rebalancing and an equal
  BONDS
                HIGH YIELD      MID CAP
                                             INT’L STOCKS
                                                              MID CAP       SMALL CAP      SMALL CAP     DIVERSIFIED    weighting!in!each!of!the!indices!listed!against!
                  BONDS         STOCKS                        STOCKS          VALUE         GROWTH       PORTFOLIO
  8.44%
                  -1.41%        40.06%
                                                20.70%
                                                              12.65%         23.48%          7.05%         -28.58%
                                                                                                                        loss.

 HIGH YIELD     SMALL CAP                      MID CAP      DIVERSIFIED     LARGE CAP                     SMALL CAP
   BONDS          VALUE       INT’L STOCKS                                                  BONDS
                                               STOCKS       PORTFOLIO         VALUE                         VALUE
   5.28%         -11.43%         39.17%                                                     6.97%
                                               20.22%          7.46%         22.25%                        -28.92%       *Data as of 12/31/08. Source: Morningstar
                                                                                                          LARGE CAP
                                                                                                                                               Direct.
                                                                                                                                               Direct
DIVERSIFIED     DIVERSIFIED                  DIVERSIFIED     LARGE CAP     DIVERSIFIED      MID CAP
PORTFOLIO       PORTFOLIO
                              REAL ESTATE
                                             PORTFOLIO         VALUE       PORTFOLIO        STOCKS          VALUE        Past performance does not guarantee future
                                36.18%                                                                     -36.85%
   -1.87%         -11.74%                      16.63%          7.05%         17.97%          5.60%                        results. Diversification and asset allocation
                                                                                                          LARGE CAP
                                                                                                                         do not guarantee overall portfolio profit and
 LARGE CAP      LARGE CAP     DIVERSIFIED     LARGE CAP      LARGE CAP       MID CAP      DIVERSIFIED
    VALUE         VALUE       PORTFOLIO         VALUE         GROWTH         STOCKS       PORTFOLIO        GROWTH        do not protect against loss. It is not possible
   -5.59%        -15.52%        33.58%         16.49%          5.26%         15.26%          2.19%         -38.44%         to invest directly in any of the unmanaged
                                                                                                                         indices shown. There is no assurance that a
  MID CAP                      LARGE CAP      SMALL CAP                     SMALL CAP      HIGH YIELD     SMALL CAP
  STOCKS
               INT’L STOCKS
                                 VALUE         GROWTH
                                                             SMALL CAP
                                                                             GROWTH          BONDS         GROWTH          secondary market will be available for real
                 -15.66%                                    VALUE 4.71%
  -5.62%                        30.03%         14.31%                        13.35%          1.87%         -38.54%            estate invest trust, which may hinder
                                                                                                                                 attempts to sell the investment.
 SMALL CAP       MID CAP       LARGE CAP      HIGH YIELD     SMALL CAP      HIGH YIELD     LARGE CAP
                                                                                                         REAL ESTATE
  GROWTH         STOCKS         GROWTH          BONDS         GROWTH          BONDS           VALUE
                                                                                                           -39.20%
   -9.23%        -16.19%        29.75%         11.13%          4.15%         11.85%          -0.17%                           Diversification helps you spread risk
                                                                                                                                throughout your portfolio, so that
 LARGE CAP      LARGE CAP      HIGH YIELD     LARGE CAP      HIGH YIELD     LARGE CAP      SMALL CAP       MID CAP
  GROWTH         GROWTH          BONDS         GROWTH          BONDS         GROWTH          VALUE         STOCKS         investments that do poorly may be balanced
  –20.42%        -27.88%        28.97%          6.30%          2.74%          9.07%         -9.78%         -41.46%             by others that do relatively better.
                SMALL CAP
INT’L STOCKS                    BONDS          BONDS          BONDS          BONDS        REAL ESTATE    INT’L STOCKS
                 GROWTH
  -21.21%                       4.10%          4.34%          2.43%          4.33%          -17.55%        -43.06%
                 -30.26%                                                                                                                                               11
A new way to think about taxes
Tax"diversify!your!portfolio




                   Neither Ameriprise Financial nor any of its
                     representatives or agents provide tax       12
                                    advice.
How should you invest along the
                way??
2012!limits!for!a!contributory!Roth!IRA!
2012 limits for a contributory Roth IRA
> $5,000!maximum!contribution!in!202*
> $1,000!“catch"up”!contribution!for!those!age!50+
  $ ,            p                          g

Advantages!of!Roth!IRAs:
•   Tax!Deferred!Savings.
    T D f      dS i
•   Tax"Free!withdrawals!of!earnings!after!age!59!½.
•   Contributions!can!be!withdrawn!penalty!and!tax"free!at!!any!time.
•   Earnings!up!to!$10,000!can!be!withdrawn!for!first!time!home!purchase!without!
         i         $ 0 000     b i hd        f fi      i   h        h     ih
    early!withdrawal!penalty.




                            *Maximum contribution limits may be                13
                                                                                    13
                             adjusted for inflation in future years.

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Retirement Planning & Investment Strategies in Today's Market

  • 1. Retirement & Investment Planning g in Today’s Market Presented by: Matthew A. Morrow y Munroe Morrow Wealth Management 346 Commercial Street Boston, MA 02109 617-600-5488 Date: April 24, 2012
  • 2. Will you have enough money? Future!income!needs!and!sources > Most!people!have!a!gap!between!income!and!expenses > Social!Security!will!not!be!enough > Will!you!have!a!pension? > Do!you!have!other!sources!of!income? > Pl t b id th Plan!to!bridge!the!gap!with!your!investments ith i t t 1
  • 3. Will you have enough money? Future!income!needs!and!sources The!size!of!the!nest!egg!you’ll!need Annual!amount!desired Nest egg!needed* $!40,000 $!963,922 $!85,000 $!2,048,334 $!100,000 $!2,409,804 2
  • 4. Will you have enough money? Percentage surviving by age FPO Percentage surviving by age: Death-registration 1900-1902,1949-51, 2004. National Vital Statistics Reports, Vol. 56, No. 9, December 28, 3 2007
  • 5. The High Cost of Waiting Annual Rate of Return = 8% AGE Investor A Investor B 21 $0 $2,000 22 $0 $2,000 23 $0 $2,000 24 $0 $2,000 25 $0 $2,000 26 $0 $2,000 27 $0 $2,000 28 $0 $2,000 29 $0 $2,000 30 $0 $2,000 31 $2,000 $0 32 $2,000 $0 33 $2,000 $0 34 $2,000 $0 35 $2,000 $0 36 $2,000 $0 37 $2,000 $0 38 $2,000 $0 39 $2,000 $0 40 $2,000 $0 41 $2,000 $0 42 $2,000 $0 43 $2,000 $0 44 $2,000 $0 45 $2,000 $0 46 $2,000 $0 47 $2,000 $0 48 $2,000 $0 49 $2,000 $0 50 $2,000 $0 51 $2,000 $0 52 $2,000 $0 53 $2,000 $0 54 $2,000 $0 55 $2,000 $0 56 $2,000 $0 57 $2,000 $0 58 $2,000 $0 59 $2,000 $0 60 $2,000 $0 $226,566 $291,547 Total Invested: $60,000 $20,000 What if you invested $2,000 per year for all 40 years? $518,113.04
  • 6. How should you invest along the way? 4
  • 7. Investing!short!course I ti h t > Get!invested > Diversify > Stay invested Stay!invested
  • 8. Types!of!risk!or!“volatility” T f i k “ l tilit ” > Specific!risk > Market!risk > Industry risk Industry!risk > Interest!rate!risk
  • 9. Historical range of returns of S&P 500: 1970-2009 61 30 19 18 Positive!change No!change 7 "2 Negative!change "7 " 43 1!year 5!years 10!years 20!years Source:!Standard!and!Poor’s!500!Index.!The!Standard!&!Poor’s!500!Market!Index!(S&P!500)!is!an!unmanaged!list!of!common!stocks frequently!used!as!a!measure!of!market! performance.!The!index!reflects!reinvestment!of!all!distributions!and!changes!in!market!prices,!but!excludes!brokerage!commissions!or!other!fees.!The!highest!return!is! represented!by!the!top!of!each!bar!and!the!lowest!annual!return!is!shown!at!the!bottom.!The!rolling!5",10" and!20"year!ranges!are!also!shown.!Over!time,!lower!performing!years! will!be!offset!by!higher!performing!years!and!vice!versa.!Therefore!the!range!of!the!historical!returns!over!the!entire!period!is!narrower!than!the!range!of!returns!in!any!single!year.! Returns!over!1!year!in!length!are!annualized.!It!is!not!possible!to!invest!directly!in!an!index.!!Past!performance!is!no!guarantee!of!future!results.!
  • 10. Dollar"cost!averaging D ll t i > Put!market!fluctuations!to!work!for!you > Can!be!an!effective!means!of!accumulating!shares > Does not guarantee profit or protect against losses due to Does!not!guarantee!profit!or!protect!against!losses!due!to! declining!prices
  • 11. Dollar"cost!averaging Month You invest Share price Shares purchased January $100 ! $10 = 10 February $100 ! $8 = 12.5 March $100 ! $5 = 20 April $100 ! $7 = 14.3 May $100 ! $9 = 11.1 June $100 ! $10 = 10 Total $600 = 77.9 77 9 Average!price!per!share:!(10+8+5+7+9+10)/6=!$8.17 Average!cost!per!share:!(600/77.9)=!$7.70 Dollar"cost!averaging!not!guarantee!a!profit!or!protect!against!losses!in!a!declining!market.!Investors!should!consider!their!ability!to!continue!investing! during!periods!of!low!markets.!This!illustration!is!hypothetical!and!is!not!a!forecast!or!guarantee!of!specific!investment!results.
  • 12. How should you invest along the way? Five!kinds!of!risk!to!manage Inflation!risk I fl ti i k The!possibility!that!your!investment’s!value! Th ibilit th t i t t’ l will!lag!inflation Market!risk The!chance!that!your!investment’s!price!will!fall Default!risk The!chance!that!a!bond!issuer!won’t!be!able!to!pay! interest!due Interest!rate!risk Interest rate risk The!likelihood!that!bond!prices!will!fall!when!interest! The likelihood that bond prices will fall when interest rates!rise Currency!risk The!possibility!that!your!investment!will!lose!value!due! to!fluctuations!in!foreign!currencies 10
  • 13. How should you invest along the way? Asset!allocation!and!diversification 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2008* SMALL CAP SMALL CAP LARGE CAP REAL ESTATE INT’L STOCKS REAL ESTATE BONDS VALUE BONDS 10.25% GROWTH 33.16% 35.97% GROWTH 14.02% 5.24% 14.02% 48.54% 11.81% INT’L!Stocks!MSCI!EAFE!Index SMALL CAP SMALL CAP HIGH YIELD REAL ESTATE REAL ESTATE REAL ESTATE INT’L STOCKS INT’L STOCKS VALUE VALUE BONDS 12.35% 3.58% 46.03% 22.25% 13.82% 26.86% 11.63% -26.16% Diversified!Portfolio!Hypothetical!portfolio! with!quarterly!rebalancing!and!an!equal! with quarterly rebalancing and an equal BONDS HIGH YIELD MID CAP INT’L STOCKS MID CAP SMALL CAP SMALL CAP DIVERSIFIED weighting!in!each!of!the!indices!listed!against! BONDS STOCKS STOCKS VALUE GROWTH PORTFOLIO 8.44% -1.41% 40.06% 20.70% 12.65% 23.48% 7.05% -28.58% loss. HIGH YIELD SMALL CAP MID CAP DIVERSIFIED LARGE CAP SMALL CAP BONDS VALUE INT’L STOCKS BONDS STOCKS PORTFOLIO VALUE VALUE 5.28% -11.43% 39.17% 6.97% 20.22% 7.46% 22.25% -28.92% *Data as of 12/31/08. Source: Morningstar LARGE CAP Direct. Direct DIVERSIFIED DIVERSIFIED DIVERSIFIED LARGE CAP DIVERSIFIED MID CAP PORTFOLIO PORTFOLIO REAL ESTATE PORTFOLIO VALUE PORTFOLIO STOCKS VALUE Past performance does not guarantee future 36.18% -36.85% -1.87% -11.74% 16.63% 7.05% 17.97% 5.60% results. Diversification and asset allocation LARGE CAP do not guarantee overall portfolio profit and LARGE CAP LARGE CAP DIVERSIFIED LARGE CAP LARGE CAP MID CAP DIVERSIFIED VALUE VALUE PORTFOLIO VALUE GROWTH STOCKS PORTFOLIO GROWTH do not protect against loss. It is not possible -5.59% -15.52% 33.58% 16.49% 5.26% 15.26% 2.19% -38.44% to invest directly in any of the unmanaged indices shown. There is no assurance that a MID CAP LARGE CAP SMALL CAP SMALL CAP HIGH YIELD SMALL CAP STOCKS INT’L STOCKS VALUE GROWTH SMALL CAP GROWTH BONDS GROWTH secondary market will be available for real -15.66% VALUE 4.71% -5.62% 30.03% 14.31% 13.35% 1.87% -38.54% estate invest trust, which may hinder attempts to sell the investment. SMALL CAP MID CAP LARGE CAP HIGH YIELD SMALL CAP HIGH YIELD LARGE CAP REAL ESTATE GROWTH STOCKS GROWTH BONDS GROWTH BONDS VALUE -39.20% -9.23% -16.19% 29.75% 11.13% 4.15% 11.85% -0.17% Diversification helps you spread risk throughout your portfolio, so that LARGE CAP LARGE CAP HIGH YIELD LARGE CAP HIGH YIELD LARGE CAP SMALL CAP MID CAP GROWTH GROWTH BONDS GROWTH BONDS GROWTH VALUE STOCKS investments that do poorly may be balanced –20.42% -27.88% 28.97% 6.30% 2.74% 9.07% -9.78% -41.46% by others that do relatively better. SMALL CAP INT’L STOCKS BONDS BONDS BONDS BONDS REAL ESTATE INT’L STOCKS GROWTH -21.21% 4.10% 4.34% 2.43% 4.33% -17.55% -43.06% -30.26% 11
  • 14. A new way to think about taxes Tax"diversify!your!portfolio Neither Ameriprise Financial nor any of its representatives or agents provide tax 12 advice.
  • 15. How should you invest along the way?? 2012!limits!for!a!contributory!Roth!IRA! 2012 limits for a contributory Roth IRA > $5,000!maximum!contribution!in!202* > $1,000!“catch"up”!contribution!for!those!age!50+ $ , p g Advantages!of!Roth!IRAs: • Tax!Deferred!Savings. T D f dS i • Tax"Free!withdrawals!of!earnings!after!age!59!½. • Contributions!can!be!withdrawn!penalty!and!tax"free!at!!any!time. • Earnings!up!to!$10,000!can!be!withdrawn!for!first!time!home!purchase!without! i $ 0 000 b i hd f fi i h h ih early!withdrawal!penalty. *Maximum contribution limits may be 13 13 adjusted for inflation in future years.