Eleni Katsouli

1. GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS
THAT WILL AFFECT GREECE FOR
THE NEXT DECADE

2. GLOBAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
As Martin Sorrell points out :
Lowest Economic Growth
• Western Europe
• Middle East – will remain “bumpy”
• UK
• China – must recover

3. GLOBAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
As Martin Sorrell points out :
• Russia – significant growth
• Germany, Poland
• Latin America (Brazil, Argentina)
• Africa (West and North) – strong position / no competition
• Turkey – “best of the east and west”
• US – “bullish”
BIGGEST ECONOMICAL FORCES

4. 5 CRITICAL GLOBAL ISSUES
According to Martin Sorrell’s speech (Davos 2013) :
1. US deficit - biggest population worldwide
2. Middle East – constant uncertainty
3. Eurozone Crisis
4. China – economic growth slows down
5. Britain and the EU – renegotiations

5. GEOPOLITICAL EVENTSARAB SPRING
• Illegal immigration– populist /nationalist movements
http://thesecretrealtruth.blogspot.com/2012/02/blog-post_7815.html
http://www.politicaldoubts.com/index.php/ethnika-amyntika/163-metanasteusi-araviki-anaoiksi.html
Conflict ISRAEL-TURKEY for natural gas
• Papandreou and Samaras are investing in relations with Israel
• Michael Loterm, special correspondent for the energy of Israeli Ministry of
Foreign Affairs said: “One pipeline to turkey would be low cost when you
compare it to other options”
http://www.newmoney.gr/article/8865/toyrkia-israil-sysfixi-sheseon-me-stoho-fysiko-aerio

6. GEOPOLITICAL EVENTSΑΟΖ CYPRUS – ISRAEL and Lefkosia’s
desicion for gas extraction
• Turkey opposes
• ISRAEL: «Cyprus is our friend but the gas pipeline will pass
through Turkey "!
http://www.pentapostagma.gr/2013/04/exedraisraelis-petrelaio-fusiko-aerio-kypros-tourkia.html#ixzz2QclfIA39
• “If the gas reserves belong to Greek Cypriots, then we can talk for two-
state solution”.
• “The partition is the solution” said the Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet
Davutoglu.
http://www.inews.gr/263/tourkia-an-i-kypros-thelei-dika-tis-ta-koitasmata-aeriou-tote-na-syzitisoume-kai-
dichotomisi.htm

7. GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS
Turks are threatening for continental self
delimitation between north cyprus and
Τurkey
• Kastelorizo
• Dixotomy aegean
• Impending confrontation with Greece
• “No one can remaın a spectator ıf people try to make
ınqurıes oıl ın an area where ıt ıs not clear what are the
spatıally waters of countrıes” claimed the Turk Minister of
EU Affairs Egemen Bagis.
http://www.tsantiri.gr/ethnika-themata/me-oriothetisi-ifalokripidas-me-ta-katechomena-
apili-i-agkira.html

8. GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS
Germanization of Europe
• Berlin promotes solutions that will focus on the funds already
available for the bailout, but governments and depositors of banks.
Find additional funds channeled through European instruments
accompanied by memoranda of austerity and regulations that lead
to the removal of national sovereignty.
• Berlin sets mounds in banking union and deposit guarantee scheme
in order to prevent the establishment of a true banking union in the
eurozone
http://elladasimera.blogspot.gr/2013/04/blog-post_2291.html
http://www.pame.gr/politiki/politikes/4-raix.html#.UWxrd8ocPCo

9. GEOPOLITICAL EVENTSItaly without government wants to exit
from EU
• For Greece the elections in Italy means that because of
general uncertainty, the Troika may not be exhaustive
of the rigor in supervision exercised in the country.
Should appear on the European scene that prescription
of fiscal consolidation in Greece begins somehow works.
http://www.protothema.gr/blogs/blogger/post/?aid=260118
http://exelixeis.gr/kosmos/epikairotita/i-italia-syntoma-tha-egkataleipsei-to-euro

10. 6 CONFLICTS BEFORE WW3
1. War against Iran
2. War in Middle East
3. China's attack
4. N. Korea against S. Korea
5. RUINS OF THE SOVIET UNION
6. Battle of the Tuareg
WORLD WAR 3 http://elladasimera.blogspot.gr/2013/04/7.html

11. THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME !!
Maria Loufardaki
Paraskevi Georgiou
Athina Karakosta
Linda Mata
Eirini Martaki
CRISIS MANAGEMENT LAB of PANTEION
UNIVERSITY OF ATHENS
Professor : Mania Ksenou
Coordinator : Betty Tsakarestou