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The Economic Way of Thinking

     INTRODUCTION TO ECONOMICS
1. Everything has a cost.

 TINSTAAFL “There is not such thing as a free
    lunch.”
   Every action costs someone time, effort, or lost
    opportunity to do something else.
   Opportunity Cost is the value of the next best
    choice you did not make.
   Not all costs are in dollars and cents.
   See video: Economics Made
    Memorable, Opportunity Costs, part 1
2. People choose for good reasons.

 People make decisions based on what they believe is
  most important to them
 While this may vary from person to person, it is
  usually the same for most people for any given
  choice
 Rational Choices involve weighing the benefits
  against the costs – “cost benefit analysis”
 See video: Economics Made
  Memorable, Opportunity Costs, part 2
3. Incentives matter.

 When people make their Rational Choices and
  weighing the benefits against the costs, they are
  comparing the incentives involved in making the
  decision
 When incentive change, people’s behavior changes in
  predictable ways
 Incentives can be positives, such as a reward or
  added benefit, or a punishment or additional cost
4. People create economic systems to influence
             choices and incentives.

 Economic Systems are a means of a society
  answering the three basic economic questions:
1. What to produce?
2. How to produce them?
3. For whom will they be produced?
4. People create economic systems to influence
                choices and incentives.

 Coordinating the needs of the people in a society
    takes the cooperation of many people involved
   There are rules, written and unwritten that guide
    people’s behavior by adding incentives to trade in
    certain ways
   See videos:
   Return to Mocha, part 1
   Return to Mocha, part 2
   Return to Mocha, part 3
5. People gain from voluntary trade.

 People will trade when they believe the trade will
  make them better off
 Like any Rational Choice, trade is another decision
  people will have to decide upon weighing benefits
  against the cost
 Economic Systems are about trade, and therefore
  about making Rational Choices
6. Economic thinking is marginal thinking.

 “Marginal” is the economists term for “one more”
 In economics, decisions are made “on the margin” –
  “How much benefit will I gain from one more
  ______ ?”
 Remember, as long as MB ≥ MC, we continue
  to make that choice
 See the example of Park Hopper passes to Disney
  World
6. Economic thinking is marginal thinking.

• Normally we think of the average, “How much will a
  trip cost per day?”
• In economics we think on the margin, “How much
  will one more day cost?”       • It is clear that the
              Total           Total Price /                Marginal
Days          Price               Day                       Price             cost of buying an
   1           $120                $120.00                      $120          additional day
   2            223                  111.50                      103          decreases rapidly:
   3            287                   95.67                       64      •   Day 1: $120
   4            298                   74.50                           9   •   Day 2: $103
   5            306                   61.20                           8
                                                                          •   Day 3: $64
   6             314                  52.33                           8
                                                                          •   Day 4: $9
   7            322                  46.00                            8
Current rates for Park Hopper tickets to Walt Disney World, Florida       •   Day 5-7: $8 each
7. The value of a good or service is affected by
                 people’s choices.

 Value is personal; it is determined by the preferences
  of the buyers and sellers
 Keeping in mind rule #2, people seek to maximize
  their benefit while incurring the least cost
 Therefore, the value of any given trade-off is based
  on any individual person’s evaluation of the cost-
  benefit analysis
 This includes the decision to buy AND the decision
  to sell
8. Economic actions create secondary effects.

 Every decision has side effects both direct and
  indirect (these are called Externalities or Spill-Overs)
 These secondary effects, where predictable, are part
  of the cost-benefit analysis
 When these secondary effects are not predicted the
  will result in additional cost or benefits that are not
  reflected in the initial decision
8. Economic actions create secondary effects.

 In an Market economy, whenever any information is
  unknown or unavailable in the decision making
  process, it is considered a “market failure.”
 A Market Failure occurs whenever any of the
  requirements for a competitive market (such as,
  adequate competition, knowledge of prices and
  opportunities) are lacking.
8. Economic actions create secondary effects.

 Examples of Secondary Effects
   1. Aspirin
     Aspirin is a very inexpensive pain reliever and fever
      reducer. When invented, it was considered a “miracle drug”
      for these reasons.
     Initially unknown, aspirin also thins the blood making it
      less likely to clot and has become an important treatment
      for people with heart conditions
     People who take aspirin are receiving this extra benefit at
      no extra cost – A Positive Externality or Spill Over Benefit
8. Economic actions create secondary effects.

 Examples of Secondary Effects
   2. Independence from Foreign Oil
     As the world becomes more industrialized, more nations
      demand fossil fuels causing prices to rise.
     A big push in the United States is find and utilize more
      sources of fossil fuels domestically, for example, by
      increasing drilling.
     While increasing the domestic supply of oil may lower
      prices of gasoline, a secondary effect would include
      pollution and environmental disasters such as oil spills out
      at sea – A Negative Externality or Spill-Over Cost
8. Economic actions create secondary effects.

 Because people behave in (mostly) predictable
  ways, the institutions such as government and
  businesses will make choices expecting secondary
  effects that will impact the decisions people and
  consumers will make.
 In this way, creating these secondary effects amounts
  to changing the incentive as per rule #3
9. The test of a theory is its ability to predict.

 Theories differ from laws in that theories have not
  been tested on every single possibility
 In economics, most of what is dealt with is theory
  since only MOST people behave in predictable ways
 Theories and models are the basis for economic
  prediction and is what makes economics useful as a
  study

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The Economic Way of Thinking (AP)

  • 1. The Economic Way of Thinking INTRODUCTION TO ECONOMICS
  • 2. 1. Everything has a cost.  TINSTAAFL “There is not such thing as a free lunch.”  Every action costs someone time, effort, or lost opportunity to do something else.  Opportunity Cost is the value of the next best choice you did not make.  Not all costs are in dollars and cents.  See video: Economics Made Memorable, Opportunity Costs, part 1
  • 3. 2. People choose for good reasons.  People make decisions based on what they believe is most important to them  While this may vary from person to person, it is usually the same for most people for any given choice  Rational Choices involve weighing the benefits against the costs – “cost benefit analysis”  See video: Economics Made Memorable, Opportunity Costs, part 2
  • 4. 3. Incentives matter.  When people make their Rational Choices and weighing the benefits against the costs, they are comparing the incentives involved in making the decision  When incentive change, people’s behavior changes in predictable ways  Incentives can be positives, such as a reward or added benefit, or a punishment or additional cost
  • 5. 4. People create economic systems to influence choices and incentives.  Economic Systems are a means of a society answering the three basic economic questions: 1. What to produce? 2. How to produce them? 3. For whom will they be produced?
  • 6. 4. People create economic systems to influence choices and incentives.  Coordinating the needs of the people in a society takes the cooperation of many people involved  There are rules, written and unwritten that guide people’s behavior by adding incentives to trade in certain ways  See videos:  Return to Mocha, part 1  Return to Mocha, part 2  Return to Mocha, part 3
  • 7. 5. People gain from voluntary trade.  People will trade when they believe the trade will make them better off  Like any Rational Choice, trade is another decision people will have to decide upon weighing benefits against the cost  Economic Systems are about trade, and therefore about making Rational Choices
  • 8. 6. Economic thinking is marginal thinking.  “Marginal” is the economists term for “one more”  In economics, decisions are made “on the margin” – “How much benefit will I gain from one more ______ ?”  Remember, as long as MB ≥ MC, we continue to make that choice  See the example of Park Hopper passes to Disney World
  • 9. 6. Economic thinking is marginal thinking. • Normally we think of the average, “How much will a trip cost per day?” • In economics we think on the margin, “How much will one more day cost?” • It is clear that the Total Total Price / Marginal Days Price Day Price cost of buying an 1 $120 $120.00 $120 additional day 2 223 111.50 103 decreases rapidly: 3 287 95.67 64 • Day 1: $120 4 298 74.50 9 • Day 2: $103 5 306 61.20 8 • Day 3: $64 6 314 52.33 8 • Day 4: $9 7 322 46.00 8 Current rates for Park Hopper tickets to Walt Disney World, Florida • Day 5-7: $8 each
  • 10. 7. The value of a good or service is affected by people’s choices.  Value is personal; it is determined by the preferences of the buyers and sellers  Keeping in mind rule #2, people seek to maximize their benefit while incurring the least cost  Therefore, the value of any given trade-off is based on any individual person’s evaluation of the cost- benefit analysis  This includes the decision to buy AND the decision to sell
  • 11. 8. Economic actions create secondary effects.  Every decision has side effects both direct and indirect (these are called Externalities or Spill-Overs)  These secondary effects, where predictable, are part of the cost-benefit analysis  When these secondary effects are not predicted the will result in additional cost or benefits that are not reflected in the initial decision
  • 12. 8. Economic actions create secondary effects.  In an Market economy, whenever any information is unknown or unavailable in the decision making process, it is considered a “market failure.”  A Market Failure occurs whenever any of the requirements for a competitive market (such as, adequate competition, knowledge of prices and opportunities) are lacking.
  • 13. 8. Economic actions create secondary effects.  Examples of Secondary Effects 1. Aspirin  Aspirin is a very inexpensive pain reliever and fever reducer. When invented, it was considered a “miracle drug” for these reasons.  Initially unknown, aspirin also thins the blood making it less likely to clot and has become an important treatment for people with heart conditions  People who take aspirin are receiving this extra benefit at no extra cost – A Positive Externality or Spill Over Benefit
  • 14. 8. Economic actions create secondary effects.  Examples of Secondary Effects 2. Independence from Foreign Oil  As the world becomes more industrialized, more nations demand fossil fuels causing prices to rise.  A big push in the United States is find and utilize more sources of fossil fuels domestically, for example, by increasing drilling.  While increasing the domestic supply of oil may lower prices of gasoline, a secondary effect would include pollution and environmental disasters such as oil spills out at sea – A Negative Externality or Spill-Over Cost
  • 15. 8. Economic actions create secondary effects.  Because people behave in (mostly) predictable ways, the institutions such as government and businesses will make choices expecting secondary effects that will impact the decisions people and consumers will make.  In this way, creating these secondary effects amounts to changing the incentive as per rule #3
  • 16. 9. The test of a theory is its ability to predict.  Theories differ from laws in that theories have not been tested on every single possibility  In economics, most of what is dealt with is theory since only MOST people behave in predictable ways  Theories and models are the basis for economic prediction and is what makes economics useful as a study