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Tomorrow’s Media, Understood Today
www.BorrellAssociates.com
Predictive Power
in Search Dollars
April 28, 2014
© 2014 Borrell
Search – The world that was, and shall be…
Pay-per-click advertising messages that include the purchase of keywords on sites such as
Google, Yahoo, Ask.com, MSN, etc. Directory search type advertising is also included here.
$3,000
$3,500
$4,000
$4,500
$5,000
$5,500
$6,000
$6,500
$7,000
$7,500
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Paid Search
A Silver Lining Exists
+66%
-32%
Source: Borrell Associates Inc., 2014
In millions
© 2014 Borrell
Borrell Associates – Tomorrow’s Media Understood Today
Research marketing & advertising revenues & spending
Consult on advertising strategy & tactics
Focus on local spending – both offline & online
Gather ad spending data from partners
Collect sales data from 4,400+ local websites
Conduct in-market surveys of business owners
Blend in secondary research
Release forecasts twice a year
along with in-depth reports on verticals
© 2014 Borrell
Incredible Growth in Digital Spending
$-
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
2008 2013
Audio
Video
Paid Search
Display -Targeted
email
Display - ROS
Variances of over $25 million were seen in:
• Medical Professionals
• Financial Services
• Real Estate Services
• Entertainment (general)
• Restaurants
And these all increased spend by over 75%
Some categories actually decreased search spend:
• Home Improvement
• Travel Services
In Search…..
Source: Borrell Associates Inc., 2014
In millions
© 2014 Borrell
Although Search Grew, It Was Not Without Challenges
2009 study found 3 major disrupters:
Long tail of SMB’s
60% churn rate among resellers
Everyone jumping in (with varying degrees of skill)
Study followed Yodle, ReachLocal, WebVisible, & Clickable
© 2014 Borrell
Today, Many Have Thrived, but…
Yodle went from 250 employees, 5,000 customers, & $24
million in revenue to 1,100 employees, 40,000 customers and
$160 million
ReachLocal went from $200 million to $514 million
WebVisible foreclosed in October 2011
Clickable was acquired by Syncapse in June 2012
What happened?
© 2014 Borrell
Evolve or…..
SEM SEO DS
© 2014 Borrell
Cable TV
Cinema
Direct Mail
Directories
Radio
Newspaper
Online 25%
Local TV
Stations
Other
Print
Out of Home
Telemarketing
2013
Digital Advertising is Only Part of the Pie – A Very Sizeable One
$-
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
2008 2013
Audio
Video
Paid Search
Display -Targeted
email
Display - ROS
Source: Borrell Associates Inc., 2014
© 2014 Borrell
Cable TV
Cinema
Direct Mail
Directories
Radio
Newspaper
Online 25%
Local TV
Stations
Other
Print
Out of Home
Telemarketing
2013
And Advertising is Only a Portion of What Companies Spend
Promotions Advertising
$207,958.30
$99,343.49
2013
Source: Borrell Associates Inc., 2014
© 2014 Borrell
Search May Fall 32% by 2018, but…
There’s a Silver Lining Out There….
© 2014 Borrell
Digital Services is 4.5 Times Larger Than Digital Ad + Promotions
Digital
Services
82%
Digital
Advertising
12%
Online
Promotions
6%
App Development
Blog Management
Digital Press Release Management
Email List Purchasing
Email Management
Listings Claiming
Online Ad Design
Online Agency/Exchange Fees
Online Consulting and Research
Online Contest/Game
Development
Online Video Production
Opt-in List Management
Reputation Management
Search Engine Optimization (SEO)
Site Visitor Analytics
Social Media Management
Web Design/Maintenance
Web Hosting
Source: Borrell Associates Inc., 2014
© 2014 Borrell
Where The Money is in Raleigh, NC
$71.9 $69.8
$30.4
$97.3
$157.6
$101.7
$23.7
$88.6
Other Print Direct Mail Cable TV Local TV Stations Newspaper Radio Reputation Mgmt SEO
$828 million Advertising Market $1.8 BILLION Digital Services Market
With a “B”
Source: Borrell Associates Inc., 2014
© 2014 Borrell
Breaking Down That SEO Number….
Over $7.7 million spent
by companies with under
250 employees
Over $3.5 million spent
by Banks
Over $1.6 million spent
by Restaurants
Over $19 million spent by
Hospitals & Health Care
Over $1.5 million spent
by companies with under
100 employees
Source: Borrell Associates Inc., 2014
© 2014 Borrell
$1 out of $10 spent on Digital
Services will be spent on SEO
Not everything grows….
• Blog development
• Email list purchases
• Email management
And some things go nuts….
• App Design +657%
• Online Video Production +446%
• Mobile Media Management +610%
Overall, DSS grows by 57%
ONLINE PUBLIC
RELATIONS
7%
ONLINE
CONSULTING AND
RESEARCH
8%
WEB PRESENCE
49%
ONLINE
MARKETING
SUPPORT
13%
ONLNE AD
PRODUCTION
23%
2018 Digital Services
By 2018, the amount spent on SEO will have grown 52%
© 2014 Borrell
By 2018, SEO will be the main component of OMS
ONLINE PUBLIC
RELATIONS
7%
ONLINE
CONSULTING AND
RESEARCH
8%
WEB PRESENCE
49%
ONLINE
MARKETING
SUPPORT
13%
ONLNE AD
PRODUCTION
23%
WEB PRESENCE
 Website Design/Maintenance
 Web Hosting
 Online Advertising Management
 Mobile Media Management
 Social Media Management
ONLINE PUBLIC RELATIONS
 E-mail Management
 Digital Press Release Distribution
 Reputation Management
 Opt-in List Management
ONLINE MARKETING SUPPORT
 SEO
 Blog Development
 Site Visitor Analysis
 E-mail List Purchase
 Listings Claiming (Pay Per Call, Call Tracking)
ONLNE AD PRODUCTION
 Online Agency/Exchange Fees
 Display Ad Design
 App Design
 Online Contest/Game Development
 Online Video Production
ONLINE CONSULTING AND RESEARCH
$708
Billion
2018 Digital Services
© 2014 Borrell
One Thing We Know About the Future is…it’s Unknown
• What could impact these projections?
• Aggressive Media Companies
• Selling SEO with 95% of the front-line sales people
• Other players – web.com, VistaPrint, Hubspot
• Large number of SMB’s buying; then upselling them
• Nature of “search” itself
• Boundaries of intuitive search
• Rules of the game
• Penguin, Panda, Hummingbird, ???
© 2014 Borrell
In Conclusion…
• Paid search rose, will peak in 2014, then fall off
• SEO will continue to grow – and grow strong
• Advertising is one piece of the pie….
• Promotions is another, bigger piece….
• But the majority of the pie going forward belongs to Digital Services
• More than 3 out of every 4 digital dollars spent by a company on these three
areas will go to Digital Services
Tomorrow’s Media, Understood Today
www.BorrellAssociates.com
Thank you!
This presentation will be
available at:
www.borrellassociates.com/2014sis

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Presentation -- Forecasting Search Marketing Investments

  • 1. Tomorrow’s Media, Understood Today www.BorrellAssociates.com Predictive Power in Search Dollars April 28, 2014
  • 2. © 2014 Borrell Search – The world that was, and shall be… Pay-per-click advertising messages that include the purchase of keywords on sites such as Google, Yahoo, Ask.com, MSN, etc. Directory search type advertising is also included here. $3,000 $3,500 $4,000 $4,500 $5,000 $5,500 $6,000 $6,500 $7,000 $7,500 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Paid Search A Silver Lining Exists +66% -32% Source: Borrell Associates Inc., 2014 In millions
  • 3. © 2014 Borrell Borrell Associates – Tomorrow’s Media Understood Today Research marketing & advertising revenues & spending Consult on advertising strategy & tactics Focus on local spending – both offline & online Gather ad spending data from partners Collect sales data from 4,400+ local websites Conduct in-market surveys of business owners Blend in secondary research Release forecasts twice a year along with in-depth reports on verticals
  • 4. © 2014 Borrell Incredible Growth in Digital Spending $- $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 2008 2013 Audio Video Paid Search Display -Targeted email Display - ROS Variances of over $25 million were seen in: • Medical Professionals • Financial Services • Real Estate Services • Entertainment (general) • Restaurants And these all increased spend by over 75% Some categories actually decreased search spend: • Home Improvement • Travel Services In Search….. Source: Borrell Associates Inc., 2014 In millions
  • 5. © 2014 Borrell Although Search Grew, It Was Not Without Challenges 2009 study found 3 major disrupters: Long tail of SMB’s 60% churn rate among resellers Everyone jumping in (with varying degrees of skill) Study followed Yodle, ReachLocal, WebVisible, & Clickable
  • 6. © 2014 Borrell Today, Many Have Thrived, but… Yodle went from 250 employees, 5,000 customers, & $24 million in revenue to 1,100 employees, 40,000 customers and $160 million ReachLocal went from $200 million to $514 million WebVisible foreclosed in October 2011 Clickable was acquired by Syncapse in June 2012 What happened?
  • 7. © 2014 Borrell Evolve or….. SEM SEO DS
  • 8. © 2014 Borrell Cable TV Cinema Direct Mail Directories Radio Newspaper Online 25% Local TV Stations Other Print Out of Home Telemarketing 2013 Digital Advertising is Only Part of the Pie – A Very Sizeable One $- $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 2008 2013 Audio Video Paid Search Display -Targeted email Display - ROS Source: Borrell Associates Inc., 2014
  • 9. © 2014 Borrell Cable TV Cinema Direct Mail Directories Radio Newspaper Online 25% Local TV Stations Other Print Out of Home Telemarketing 2013 And Advertising is Only a Portion of What Companies Spend Promotions Advertising $207,958.30 $99,343.49 2013 Source: Borrell Associates Inc., 2014
  • 10. © 2014 Borrell Search May Fall 32% by 2018, but… There’s a Silver Lining Out There….
  • 11. © 2014 Borrell Digital Services is 4.5 Times Larger Than Digital Ad + Promotions Digital Services 82% Digital Advertising 12% Online Promotions 6% App Development Blog Management Digital Press Release Management Email List Purchasing Email Management Listings Claiming Online Ad Design Online Agency/Exchange Fees Online Consulting and Research Online Contest/Game Development Online Video Production Opt-in List Management Reputation Management Search Engine Optimization (SEO) Site Visitor Analytics Social Media Management Web Design/Maintenance Web Hosting Source: Borrell Associates Inc., 2014
  • 12. © 2014 Borrell Where The Money is in Raleigh, NC $71.9 $69.8 $30.4 $97.3 $157.6 $101.7 $23.7 $88.6 Other Print Direct Mail Cable TV Local TV Stations Newspaper Radio Reputation Mgmt SEO $828 million Advertising Market $1.8 BILLION Digital Services Market With a “B” Source: Borrell Associates Inc., 2014
  • 13. © 2014 Borrell Breaking Down That SEO Number…. Over $7.7 million spent by companies with under 250 employees Over $3.5 million spent by Banks Over $1.6 million spent by Restaurants Over $19 million spent by Hospitals & Health Care Over $1.5 million spent by companies with under 100 employees Source: Borrell Associates Inc., 2014
  • 14. © 2014 Borrell $1 out of $10 spent on Digital Services will be spent on SEO Not everything grows…. • Blog development • Email list purchases • Email management And some things go nuts…. • App Design +657% • Online Video Production +446% • Mobile Media Management +610% Overall, DSS grows by 57% ONLINE PUBLIC RELATIONS 7% ONLINE CONSULTING AND RESEARCH 8% WEB PRESENCE 49% ONLINE MARKETING SUPPORT 13% ONLNE AD PRODUCTION 23% 2018 Digital Services By 2018, the amount spent on SEO will have grown 52%
  • 15. © 2014 Borrell By 2018, SEO will be the main component of OMS ONLINE PUBLIC RELATIONS 7% ONLINE CONSULTING AND RESEARCH 8% WEB PRESENCE 49% ONLINE MARKETING SUPPORT 13% ONLNE AD PRODUCTION 23% WEB PRESENCE  Website Design/Maintenance  Web Hosting  Online Advertising Management  Mobile Media Management  Social Media Management ONLINE PUBLIC RELATIONS  E-mail Management  Digital Press Release Distribution  Reputation Management  Opt-in List Management ONLINE MARKETING SUPPORT  SEO  Blog Development  Site Visitor Analysis  E-mail List Purchase  Listings Claiming (Pay Per Call, Call Tracking) ONLNE AD PRODUCTION  Online Agency/Exchange Fees  Display Ad Design  App Design  Online Contest/Game Development  Online Video Production ONLINE CONSULTING AND RESEARCH $708 Billion 2018 Digital Services
  • 16. © 2014 Borrell One Thing We Know About the Future is…it’s Unknown • What could impact these projections? • Aggressive Media Companies • Selling SEO with 95% of the front-line sales people • Other players – web.com, VistaPrint, Hubspot • Large number of SMB’s buying; then upselling them • Nature of “search” itself • Boundaries of intuitive search • Rules of the game • Penguin, Panda, Hummingbird, ???
  • 17. © 2014 Borrell In Conclusion… • Paid search rose, will peak in 2014, then fall off • SEO will continue to grow – and grow strong • Advertising is one piece of the pie…. • Promotions is another, bigger piece…. • But the majority of the pie going forward belongs to Digital Services • More than 3 out of every 4 digital dollars spent by a company on these three areas will go to Digital Services
  • 18. Tomorrow’s Media, Understood Today www.BorrellAssociates.com Thank you! This presentation will be available at: www.borrellassociates.com/2014sis