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Cairo University
Faculty of Economics and Political Science
      Master Program Spring, 2009
Mohamed Ismael Elshiekh
Methodology [ The Concept of Human Capital ]


Definition Components Accumulation
 Formula

                         Early
         can be defined as
      Skillsskills, attitudes, aptitu
 knowledge,            Ability
   des, and other acquired traits
    contributing to production
Formula
The present value of an individual at any given age a is
 defined as the sum of his discounted expected future
Input-based                 Output-based
     earnings (equal to the value of productivity)

by summing up the                   by considering
represents the probability of an individual of age a to be
costs of alive at age t and r is capitalized earnings
         production              the discount rate
Accumulation of human capital

                       post school training provided
off-the-job training   by "for-profit" proprietary
                       institutions

                       post-school training provided
on-the-job training    by the current employer

                        the individual devotes his
 Formal schooling       whole time to learning
Human Capital Literature


   The micro          The macro
labor literature   growth literature
Framework of the Paper

 General Vs Specific Human Capital




                                  The life-cycle of
The Rate of Return to Education




                                     earnings
            Skills Function
The Education Production


        Ability
    Signaling Approach
General Vs Specific
 Human Capital
General Vs Specific Human Capital


    General                   Specific
  is defined to be not
                              increases the
  only useful with the
          Theoretical Framework
                            productivity of the
 current employer but
                            worker only in his
     also withEmpirical Studies
               other
                               current job
  potential employers


Perfect Markets          Imperfect Markets
General Human Capital : Perfect Markets

         Theory              Empirical studies
On the one hand,labor markets, where workers receive
  In competitive it is supported by the empirical analysis
 ofwages equal tohe finds that firm-sponsored training is
   Veum (1999), their marginal product, firms cannot
 recoup investments inrelated to starting wages, butthat
     indeed negatively general skills, which implies
         they refuse to pay for generalgrowth .
           positively related to wage training
     This "hold-up" problem arises due to incomplete
Furthermore, workers can finance such investments quite
 On the other hand, many analyses question the validity
contracts which means that one party (i.e. the employer)
 of easily by accepting a wage below their productivity
    this by showing that there are investments in general
 pays the costs of the investment in human capital, while
    human capital which are financed by the employer
                during the period of training
    another party (i.e. the worker) shares in the return
Sources of Labor Market Imperfection
2.the presence of asymmetric informationdue tobetween
3. The presence of asymmetric information the worker
4. wage compression may arise between the
1. The presence other potentialworker’s effort
and the currentof generaltransaction skills
the current firm and of and specific costs
interaction employer concerning the employers
 For example
 If general 2 possible types of are complements in the
 due to matching and search skills asymmetric information
  There are and specific frictions, imperfect information
        Hence, wages must satisfy the
 about potential output, partners, the absence of perfect
 production ofcontractual the presence of specific skills
     incentive compatibility constraints
     The first concerns the amount of training the worker has received. If
 insurance markets, limited mobility, congestion dueand large
 increases the productivity of general human capital
  potential employers cannot observe the correct productivity
                                                                to thus pay
 numbers, and the marginal product, the wage structure is compressed
    a wage below other similar factors .
    which leads to a compressed wage
        The second is about structure
 In practice, it is difficult the innate ability of thetheir existing jobs
                              for workers to quit worker (hidden
 On the other hand, the learns aboutfirm-specific skills by
   knowledge), i.e. the employer value of the ability of the worker
 and find new suitable employers. Similarly, it is costly for firms
            when general general training
                     providing
 increasestheir employees skills are acquired
 to replace
General Human Capital : Imperfect Markets


         Theory                 Empirical studies
  Concerning the empirical evidence, Loewenstein and
  If the wage structure is compressed, general skills are
  Spletzer (1998) find that general training raises future
turned into specific skills and firms manage to skim labor
  wages more for workers who change their job than for
    market rents depending on the amount of training
        workers who remain with the training firm.

Hence, the wage function increases withshows thattraining less
 As aFurthermore, Brunello (2002) the level ofworkers to
       consequence, firms prefer more skilled wage
        steeply than productivity (i.e. the wage structure is
compression andand invest inthegeneral training show a
 less skilled ones the amount of firm’s profit, equal to the
  compressed), which implies that
                                     general training until the
           positive gap and significant correlation
             positive level of training satisfies
               desired between productivity and wage
General Human Capital : Perfect Markets

            Theory                      Empirical studies

Lynch (1991) finds(1964), training in specific on-the-job training are less
 According to Becker that individuals with human capital is different from
 general training because workers do not benefit from higher productivity after
  likely to leave their current employer while individuals with off-
   changing their jobs. Both in perfect and imperfect labor markets, firms can
the-job investments in more likely andquit indeed negatively related to
  recoup training are specific skills to thus are willing to share some of the
        starting wages, costspositively related to wage growth
                           but of these investments


  Both in perfect and forspecific labor markets, leads can
  In almost the study of Switzerland shows thatfirms to
   An empirical same manner, Loewenstein and specific
    The accumulation imperfect human capital Spletzer
training investments in specificboth firmsand job mobility
 recoup reduces both because skills and thus workers
   (1999) find that specificsearch activity and are willing
    lower fluctuations job training and job mobility are
 while general training significantly increases job search
      to share fromnegatively correlated. investments
       benefit somekeepingcosts of these
                     of the their contractual partner
General Vs Specific Human Capital

Type of     Labor
                       Firms Workers    Total investment
  skill    markets
general     perfect     no     yes           efficient
general    imperfect   yes     yes     generally inefficient

specific    perfect    yes     yes     generally inefficient

specific   imperfect   yes     yes     generally inefficient
Framework of the Paper

 General Vs Specific Human Capital




                                  The life-cycle of
The Rate of Return to Education




                                     earnings
            Skills Function
The Education Production


        Ability
    Signaling Approach
The Rate of Return to Education
The Rate of Return to Education

Theoretical               Empirical
 Approach                  Studies




              Criticism
Theoretical Approach

Methods
The "full" or "elaborate" method
The elaborate method amounts to working with detailed age-
earnings profiles by level of education and finding

the discount rate that equates a stream of education benefits to a
       stream of educational costs at a given point in time.


The annual stream of benefits                 The stream of costs consists of
is typically measured by                      the foregone earnings of the
1. the earnings advantage of a graduate       individual while in school
     of the educational level to which the    (measured by the mean earnings
     rate of return is calculated, and        of graduates of the educational
2. the earnings of a control group of         level that serves as control
     graduates of a lower educational level   group)
The basic "earnings function" method

In this semi-log earnings function specification the coefficient on
involves the fitting of a semi-log ordinary least squares regression
years of schooling can be the natural as the average private
the dependent variable ; interpreted logarithm of earnings rate of
return to one additional years of schooling and potential years
Independent variables; year of education, regardless of the of
educational level to which this year of schooling refers to
labor market experience and its square




                    Linear         Non-Linear
The Extended "earnings function" method

by converting the continuous years of schooling variable into a
series of dummy variables referring to the completion of the main
schooling cycles, i.e. primary, secondary and higher education, or
referring to drop outs of these levels, or even to different types of
curriculum (say, vocational versus general) within a given level


After fitting such extended earnings function the private rate of
return to different levels of education can be derived by
comparing adjacent dummy variable coefficients
Theoretical Approach

Other Factors determining the return
The type of acquired skill

Finally, Rubb (2003) investigates the effects of overeducationa,
 According to Wasmer (2006), specific human capital yields
required education general human capital investmentsthe
 higher return than and undereducation by estimating if the
following log-linear wage equation for individual
                     job-finding rate is low

Furthermore, individuals who completed schooling with
some formal qualification have significantly larger returns
than individuals with the same amount of schooling but
without any formal qualification (Dearden (1998)).
The Rate of Return Depending on Gender

Studies find that investments in women’s education tend to
   yield higher rates of return than investments in men’s
     education. This gender difference in the returns to
                  education arises because


   the earnings of women are considerably lower than those
                           of men

    Another explanation for the gender wage gap may be the
    fertility decision of women which leads to labor market
    interruptions. This gives rise to gender differences in the
        turnover rate and thus in employment and wages
The Rate of Return Depending on Time



 the individual returns to education change over time due to
the increased interaction between demand for and supply of
              workers at each qualification level


 Individuals working in an industry with rapid technological
change have above-average returns to education, which can
  be attributed to the positive correlation of education and
     adaptability to new technologies in high-tech firms
The Rate of Return to Education

Theoretical               Empirical
 Approach                  Studies




              Criticism
Rate of Return to Education




                      Empirical Studies

                              Study             Estimate
 Becker (1964)                                 13%-28%
 Mincer (1974)                                  11.50%
 Ashenfelter and Krueger (1994)                12%-16%
 Psacharopoulos (1994)                          5%-15%
 Dearden (1998)                              5.50%-9.30%
 Ashenfelter, Harmon, and Oosterbeek (1999) 6.60%-9.30%
 Arias and McMahon (2001)                   11.70%-13.30%
 Wilson (2001)                                  5%-10%
Rate of Return to Education



                  Empirical Results
Rate of Return to Education



              Problems of Empirical Results
Framework of the Paper

 General Vs Specific Human Capital




                                  The life-cycle of
The Rate of Return to Education




                                     earnings
            Skills Function
The Education Production


        Ability
    Signaling Approach
Signaling Approach

Human Capital                      Signaling
education as productivity-       education as indication
   enhancing activity               of innate ability


 HC models do not naturally generate a positive correlation
 between ability differences and education while in sorting
 models there is appositive correlation between the ability
       to learn and the length of schooling chosen
Framework of the Paper

 General Vs Specific Human Capital




                                  The life-cycle of
The Rate of Return to Education




                                     earnings
            Skills Function
The Education Production


        Ability
    Signaling Approach
The Education Production Function

According to Hanushek (1971), the severest problem in
    educational research is the complexity of the
  educational process. Hence, there is considerable
  confusion about how empirical studies should be
              conducted and interpreted



     Inputs in Educational Production
Input          Empirical evidence
 level of resources       ambiguous
      class size              weak
school competition            weak
   private schools        ambiguous
   teacher quality           strong
teacher incentives           strong
   early education           strong
  individual ability         strong
parental education           strong
    family income             weak
    neighborhood              weak
     peer groups             strong
     segregation          ambiguous
Framework of the Paper

 General Vs Specific Human Capital




                                  The life-cycle of
The Rate of Return to Education




                                     earnings
            Skills Function
The Education Production


        Ability
    Signaling Approach
The life-cycle of earnings
To summarize the results human capital literature deals
  An important stream of
 with the life-cycle of earnings. and increasing points out
  decreasing marginal returns Mincer (1958) marginal
   coststhe difference between normally distributed
    that lead to an optimal amount of human capital
       investment that negatively depends on age
   abilities and the positively skewed distribution of
incomes must be due to investments in human capital
                over the life-cycle
             Limitation
 Earnings maximizing                      Utility maximizing
Becker (1964) suggests that earningshuman capital theory to
 A serious problem of the empirical application of increase with age
  life-cycle models in earnings is that post-school investments are not
             differences                           models
     but at a declining rate because younger workers
directly observable. As a consequence, measurement problems arise because
 areceive theactivities might educationon-the-joblonger(Hanushek
   wide range of returns to be viewed as over a training period
          and the investment risk increases with age
                             and Quigley (1985)).
Implications of Pension Systems for Human
               Capital Formation

 the return to human capital investments is affected by
   the pension system if finite horizon economies are
                      considered

 because the PAYG pension system generates distortions
  in labor supply and thus provides incentives for early
retirement, aggregate human capital is lower than with a
        capital funded system of old-age provision.
 The reason is that the PAYG system discourages human
  capital formation both directly and indirectly via the
                      retirement age
Human Capital (Literature Review)

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Human Capital (Literature Review)

  • 1. Cairo University Faculty of Economics and Political Science Master Program Spring, 2009
  • 3. Methodology [ The Concept of Human Capital ] Definition Components Accumulation Formula Early can be defined as Skillsskills, attitudes, aptitu knowledge, Ability des, and other acquired traits contributing to production
  • 4. Formula The present value of an individual at any given age a is defined as the sum of his discounted expected future Input-based Output-based earnings (equal to the value of productivity) by summing up the by considering represents the probability of an individual of age a to be costs of alive at age t and r is capitalized earnings production the discount rate
  • 5. Accumulation of human capital post school training provided off-the-job training by "for-profit" proprietary institutions post-school training provided on-the-job training by the current employer the individual devotes his Formal schooling whole time to learning
  • 6. Human Capital Literature The micro The macro labor literature growth literature
  • 7. Framework of the Paper General Vs Specific Human Capital The life-cycle of The Rate of Return to Education earnings Skills Function The Education Production Ability Signaling Approach
  • 8. General Vs Specific Human Capital
  • 9. General Vs Specific Human Capital General Specific is defined to be not increases the only useful with the Theoretical Framework productivity of the current employer but worker only in his also withEmpirical Studies other current job potential employers Perfect Markets Imperfect Markets
  • 10. General Human Capital : Perfect Markets Theory Empirical studies On the one hand,labor markets, where workers receive In competitive it is supported by the empirical analysis ofwages equal tohe finds that firm-sponsored training is Veum (1999), their marginal product, firms cannot recoup investments inrelated to starting wages, butthat indeed negatively general skills, which implies they refuse to pay for generalgrowth . positively related to wage training This "hold-up" problem arises due to incomplete Furthermore, workers can finance such investments quite On the other hand, many analyses question the validity contracts which means that one party (i.e. the employer) of easily by accepting a wage below their productivity this by showing that there are investments in general pays the costs of the investment in human capital, while human capital which are financed by the employer during the period of training another party (i.e. the worker) shares in the return
  • 11. Sources of Labor Market Imperfection 2.the presence of asymmetric informationdue tobetween 3. The presence of asymmetric information the worker 4. wage compression may arise between the 1. The presence other potentialworker’s effort and the currentof generaltransaction skills the current firm and of and specific costs interaction employer concerning the employers For example If general 2 possible types of are complements in the due to matching and search skills asymmetric information There are and specific frictions, imperfect information Hence, wages must satisfy the about potential output, partners, the absence of perfect production ofcontractual the presence of specific skills incentive compatibility constraints The first concerns the amount of training the worker has received. If insurance markets, limited mobility, congestion dueand large increases the productivity of general human capital potential employers cannot observe the correct productivity to thus pay numbers, and the marginal product, the wage structure is compressed a wage below other similar factors . which leads to a compressed wage The second is about structure In practice, it is difficult the innate ability of thetheir existing jobs for workers to quit worker (hidden On the other hand, the learns aboutfirm-specific skills by knowledge), i.e. the employer value of the ability of the worker and find new suitable employers. Similarly, it is costly for firms when general general training providing increasestheir employees skills are acquired to replace
  • 12. General Human Capital : Imperfect Markets Theory Empirical studies Concerning the empirical evidence, Loewenstein and If the wage structure is compressed, general skills are Spletzer (1998) find that general training raises future turned into specific skills and firms manage to skim labor wages more for workers who change their job than for market rents depending on the amount of training workers who remain with the training firm. Hence, the wage function increases withshows thattraining less As aFurthermore, Brunello (2002) the level ofworkers to consequence, firms prefer more skilled wage steeply than productivity (i.e. the wage structure is compression andand invest inthegeneral training show a less skilled ones the amount of firm’s profit, equal to the compressed), which implies that general training until the positive gap and significant correlation positive level of training satisfies desired between productivity and wage
  • 13. General Human Capital : Perfect Markets Theory Empirical studies Lynch (1991) finds(1964), training in specific on-the-job training are less According to Becker that individuals with human capital is different from general training because workers do not benefit from higher productivity after likely to leave their current employer while individuals with off- changing their jobs. Both in perfect and imperfect labor markets, firms can the-job investments in more likely andquit indeed negatively related to recoup training are specific skills to thus are willing to share some of the starting wages, costspositively related to wage growth but of these investments Both in perfect and forspecific labor markets, leads can In almost the study of Switzerland shows thatfirms to An empirical same manner, Loewenstein and specific The accumulation imperfect human capital Spletzer training investments in specificboth firmsand job mobility recoup reduces both because skills and thus workers (1999) find that specificsearch activity and are willing lower fluctuations job training and job mobility are while general training significantly increases job search to share fromnegatively correlated. investments benefit somekeepingcosts of these of the their contractual partner
  • 14. General Vs Specific Human Capital Type of Labor Firms Workers Total investment skill markets general perfect no yes efficient general imperfect yes yes generally inefficient specific perfect yes yes generally inefficient specific imperfect yes yes generally inefficient
  • 15. Framework of the Paper General Vs Specific Human Capital The life-cycle of The Rate of Return to Education earnings Skills Function The Education Production Ability Signaling Approach
  • 16. The Rate of Return to Education
  • 17. The Rate of Return to Education Theoretical Empirical Approach Studies Criticism
  • 19. The "full" or "elaborate" method The elaborate method amounts to working with detailed age- earnings profiles by level of education and finding the discount rate that equates a stream of education benefits to a stream of educational costs at a given point in time. The annual stream of benefits The stream of costs consists of is typically measured by the foregone earnings of the 1. the earnings advantage of a graduate individual while in school of the educational level to which the (measured by the mean earnings rate of return is calculated, and of graduates of the educational 2. the earnings of a control group of level that serves as control graduates of a lower educational level group)
  • 20. The basic "earnings function" method In this semi-log earnings function specification the coefficient on involves the fitting of a semi-log ordinary least squares regression years of schooling can be the natural as the average private the dependent variable ; interpreted logarithm of earnings rate of return to one additional years of schooling and potential years Independent variables; year of education, regardless of the of educational level to which this year of schooling refers to labor market experience and its square Linear Non-Linear
  • 21. The Extended "earnings function" method by converting the continuous years of schooling variable into a series of dummy variables referring to the completion of the main schooling cycles, i.e. primary, secondary and higher education, or referring to drop outs of these levels, or even to different types of curriculum (say, vocational versus general) within a given level After fitting such extended earnings function the private rate of return to different levels of education can be derived by comparing adjacent dummy variable coefficients
  • 22. Theoretical Approach Other Factors determining the return
  • 23. The type of acquired skill Finally, Rubb (2003) investigates the effects of overeducationa, According to Wasmer (2006), specific human capital yields required education general human capital investmentsthe higher return than and undereducation by estimating if the following log-linear wage equation for individual job-finding rate is low Furthermore, individuals who completed schooling with some formal qualification have significantly larger returns than individuals with the same amount of schooling but without any formal qualification (Dearden (1998)).
  • 24. The Rate of Return Depending on Gender Studies find that investments in women’s education tend to yield higher rates of return than investments in men’s education. This gender difference in the returns to education arises because the earnings of women are considerably lower than those of men Another explanation for the gender wage gap may be the fertility decision of women which leads to labor market interruptions. This gives rise to gender differences in the turnover rate and thus in employment and wages
  • 25. The Rate of Return Depending on Time the individual returns to education change over time due to the increased interaction between demand for and supply of workers at each qualification level Individuals working in an industry with rapid technological change have above-average returns to education, which can be attributed to the positive correlation of education and adaptability to new technologies in high-tech firms
  • 26. The Rate of Return to Education Theoretical Empirical Approach Studies Criticism
  • 27. Rate of Return to Education Empirical Studies Study Estimate Becker (1964) 13%-28% Mincer (1974) 11.50% Ashenfelter and Krueger (1994) 12%-16% Psacharopoulos (1994) 5%-15% Dearden (1998) 5.50%-9.30% Ashenfelter, Harmon, and Oosterbeek (1999) 6.60%-9.30% Arias and McMahon (2001) 11.70%-13.30% Wilson (2001) 5%-10%
  • 28. Rate of Return to Education Empirical Results
  • 29. Rate of Return to Education Problems of Empirical Results
  • 30. Framework of the Paper General Vs Specific Human Capital The life-cycle of The Rate of Return to Education earnings Skills Function The Education Production Ability Signaling Approach
  • 31. Signaling Approach Human Capital Signaling education as productivity- education as indication enhancing activity of innate ability HC models do not naturally generate a positive correlation between ability differences and education while in sorting models there is appositive correlation between the ability to learn and the length of schooling chosen
  • 32. Framework of the Paper General Vs Specific Human Capital The life-cycle of The Rate of Return to Education earnings Skills Function The Education Production Ability Signaling Approach
  • 33. The Education Production Function According to Hanushek (1971), the severest problem in educational research is the complexity of the educational process. Hence, there is considerable confusion about how empirical studies should be conducted and interpreted Inputs in Educational Production
  • 34. Input Empirical evidence level of resources ambiguous class size weak school competition weak private schools ambiguous teacher quality strong teacher incentives strong early education strong individual ability strong parental education strong family income weak neighborhood weak peer groups strong segregation ambiguous
  • 35. Framework of the Paper General Vs Specific Human Capital The life-cycle of The Rate of Return to Education earnings Skills Function The Education Production Ability Signaling Approach
  • 36. The life-cycle of earnings To summarize the results human capital literature deals An important stream of with the life-cycle of earnings. and increasing points out decreasing marginal returns Mincer (1958) marginal coststhe difference between normally distributed that lead to an optimal amount of human capital investment that negatively depends on age abilities and the positively skewed distribution of incomes must be due to investments in human capital over the life-cycle Limitation Earnings maximizing Utility maximizing Becker (1964) suggests that earningshuman capital theory to A serious problem of the empirical application of increase with age life-cycle models in earnings is that post-school investments are not differences models but at a declining rate because younger workers directly observable. As a consequence, measurement problems arise because areceive theactivities might educationon-the-joblonger(Hanushek wide range of returns to be viewed as over a training period and the investment risk increases with age and Quigley (1985)).
  • 37. Implications of Pension Systems for Human Capital Formation the return to human capital investments is affected by the pension system if finite horizon economies are considered because the PAYG pension system generates distortions in labor supply and thus provides incentives for early retirement, aggregate human capital is lower than with a capital funded system of old-age provision. The reason is that the PAYG system discourages human capital formation both directly and indirectly via the retirement age