SlideShare una empresa de Scribd logo
1 de 35
Sources of Finance
Maroof Hussain Sabri
Beenish Sarfraz
Contents
• Requirement for Finance & Time Horizon
• Long Term Finance
• Equity Finance
– Types of Share
– Share Issues
• Shareholders View Of Shares
– Shareholders’ Ratios
– Growth
– Equity Analysis
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
Requirement for Finance
• Long Term Finance (> 7 Years)
 To buy a whole business
 To finance purchase of a long term asset
 Land Buildings Machinery
 To finance core working capital
 Inventories,
• Medium Term Finance (1 to 7 Years)
 To finance medium term assets
 Computers, cars etc
 Core working capital which will eventually be financed from retained profits
• Short Term Finance (< 1 Year)
 To finance seasonal variations in working capital
 Special arrangements for types of working capital
 Financing debtors
 Supplier credit arrangements
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
Criteria For Choice of Finance
• Cost
After Tax Cost
• Duration
Long Term Assets  Long Term Funds
Working Capital
• Part Long Term
• Part Short term
• Term Structure of Interest Rates
• Gearing  Financial Risk
• Accessibility
Small Company v. Large plc
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
Long Term Finance
• Equity
• Long Term Loans
• Government Grants
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
Sources of Equity Finance
• Retained Profits
– No Transaction Costs
– Continual Source
– But
– Shareholders require return
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
Equity - Types of Share Capital
• Ordinary Shares
• Preference Shares
– Cumulative
– Non Cumulative
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
External Share Issues
• Unquoted Company
▫ Sources
 Private negotiation
 Enterprise Investment Scheme
 Investors
 Individuals, Merchant Banks, Venture Capital
• Quoted Company
▫ Finance with new issue
 LSE or AIM placing, Offer for Sale (by Tender)
 Investors
 Public, Pension Funds etc
▫ Finance with Rights Issue
 Existing Shareholders
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
Stock Exchange Listing
• Offer for sale by Prospectus
▫ Fixed Price
▫ Prospectus Contents
• Offer for sale by Tender
• No fixed price
▫ Potential shareholders bid
• Placing
▫ Small issues
▫ Bankers identify potential shareholders
• Intermediaries
▫ Brokers allocate to clients
• Introduction
▫ Where Public already holds 25% of Shares
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
Advisers for New Share Issues
• Issuing Houses
– 50 to 60 members of Issuing Houses Association
– Fees Charged
• Investment Banks
– Underwriting
– Marketing
– Pricing of Offers
• Fees are significant cost – Can be 5 – 10%,
with minimum
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
Rights Issues
• Offered to Existing Shareholders
• Usually at Significant discount to Market Price
to reflect
– Dilution of Value of One Share
– Incentive for shareholders to take up new shares
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
Ex Rights Price and Value of Rights
Rights Value Model
£0.00
Current Share Price £3.25
Rights Issue 1 for 4
Rights issue price £2.25
Value of shares after Rights issue £2.60
Value of Rights £0.35
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
Rights Issue - Shareholders’ Options
• Take Up Rights
• Sell Rights
• Take up Part of Rights
• Take No Action
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
Other Common Share actions
• Bonus Issues
– Capitalising Reserves
• Scrip Dividends
– Take dividends in shares
• Share Splits
– Mathematically no impact on Share price
– But increased liquidity of shares may attract
smaller investors
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
Choice of Source of Equity Finance
• Ability of Company to Raise external finance
– Small Company v Large Company
• Amount of Finance Required
– Limited possibility of Rights Issue for Private Company
• Costs and Complexity
• Pricing of New Issue
• Control of Company
• Tax
• Dividend Policy
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
Ratios For Investors
• Earnings per Share – Growth
– Net Profit after tax divided by no of shares in issue
– Required to be stated in accounts
• Dividend per Share – Growth
• Dividend Yield
– Dividends divided by current share price
• Dividend Cover
– Profit after tax divided by value of dividends
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
Shares As an Investment
• Dividend yield:
– Dividend per share /Market price per share
– Dividend yield shows the percentage of a share’s
market value returned as dividends to
shareholders each period.
– Dividend Yields are published in “Quality”
Newspapers and on www.bloomberg.co.uk
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
Shares As an Investment
Price/earnings ratio:Market price per share of
common stock/Earnings per share
◦ It is the ratio of market price per share to earnings per share.
If a company is profitable a high price earnings
ratio will say that the market has confidence in
a company
Health warning
◦ It may be a high ratio because of exceptional losses in the
current year
P/E Ratios and dividend cover are published in
the F.T. and Sunday Times. Also available from
www.Bloomberg.co.uk
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
Ratios For Investors
• Total Shareholder Return
– Returns come from Income & Share Price Growth
– Some Companies Publish TSR in accounts and compare it
to what they consider to be their peer group
– “Shares Magazine” has a list of the top 500
0
011
P
PPDiv
TSR
−+
=
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
Growth analysis
• Investors are interested in a company’s
growth potential so that they can predict and
value future cash flows.
• Creditors are interested in a company’s
growth potential so that they can assess the
company’s ability to pay future obligations of
interest and principal repayment.
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
Sustainable Growth• Sustainable growth is the growth rate the
company is expected to maintain in the
future.
• Sustainable growth, g, is estimated as:
– g = (Earnings retention rate) X (Return on equity)
– Example
• Profit after tax £1500
• Dividends £500
• Retention rate = 66.67%
• Return on Equity 15%
• Sustainable Growth = 10%
• Look for consistency in retentions rate and
Dividend Cover
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
Equity Analysis
How investment analysts look at
shares
EQUITY ANALYSIS
Intrinsic value of a share = Present value of the
expected future earnings or dividends of the company
Three variables in the valuation model are :
future cash flows
timing of cash flows
appropriate discount rate
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
EQUITY ANALYSIS
• Basic principle :
if intrinsic value exceeds market value : BUY
if market value exceeds intrinsic value : SELL
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
EQUITY ANALYSISConstant growth
 P= D1
 r-g
 P Share Price
 D1 expected dividends
 r minimum rate of return
 g constant growth rate of dividends

Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
Required Rate of Return
Determined by the risk of an investment and
available returns in the market
Determined by:
◦ The real risk-free rate of return, Usually the rate for short term
government finance (Treasury bills) currently 5.3%
◦ A risk premium to compensate for the uncertainty of returns
 Sources of uncertainty, and therefore risk premiums, vary by the type of
investment
◦ Historically in the UK the average risk premium for the stock
market has been 5%
◦ But all shares do not move in line with the market
◦ The relative risk for an individual firm in comparison to the
market is called Beta.
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
Significance of Beta
• Betas for companies shares are published on
www.Bloomberg.co.uk
– A company with a high beta (over 1.0) will rise more than
the market when the market is going up and will fall more
than the market when the market is going down
– A company with a beta of 1.0 will go up and down exactly
as the market does
– A company with a beta of less than 1.0 will go up less than
the market when the market is going up and will go down
less than the market when the market is going down
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
Rate of return using betas
• Return on equity should be Risk Free rate +
risk premium for share
• Required Return on equity = 5.3% + 5% X β
• Example
– β = 1.7
– Required return on equity 4% + 5% X 1.7 = 12.5%
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
EQUITY ANALYSIS
• Example :
• If a stock is expected to pay a dividend of
£0.30 next year, has a long term growth rate
of 12% and a 15% rate of return is required,
then it is worth,
• P = .30 = £10.00
______
• .15-.12
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
EQUITY ANALYSIS
Advantages :
Simple
Empirical studies show that models are able to
distinguish undervalued from overvalued stocks
Disadvantages :
Only applies to dividend paying stocks
Appropriate discount rate is difficult to ascertain
Estimates of g and r may be in error
Small changes in r and g produce large
differences in valuation
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
EQUITY ANALYSIS
• Price /Earnings
• Considerations :
– historical growth rate in earnings, relative to the
industry’s average
– forecast earnings
– instability of earnings (risk)
– financial leverage (risk)
– competitive position, management ability,
economic conditions.
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
EQUITY ANALYSIS
 Intrinsic value =Earnings per share (EPS) x equivalent P/E
ratio,
 EPS = Net profit / no. of shares
 The equivalent P/E ratio is often based on industry/sector
average P/E, modified by the analyst’s assessment of the
company’s leadership position and circumstances.
 A low P/E compared to the sector’s average suggests that if
the market were to value the company similarly to other
companies in the sector, the P/E would be much higher. This
implies that the intrinsic value of the stock should also be
higher.
 However, stocks with low P/E may not necessarily perform in
the long run because it could be that investors don’t have
much interest in the stock.
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
EQUITY ANALYSIS
• Market value added approach
– The book value of a stock
– =
– Shareholders’ funds
– Total number of outstanding ordinary shares
• Stocks with low Price to Book ratio relative
to the industry’s average have historically
outperformed stocks with high Price to
Book ratio in the UK.
• But a high market to book ratio also
signifies investor confidenceMaroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
EQUITY ANALYSIS
• Market value added approach
• Disadvantages :
– Based on historical accounting data and may not truly
reflect the current values of the company’s assets.
– Does not take into consideration the quality of the
company’s assets.
– Does not reflect any contingent liabilities/off balance
sheet items that may have been incurred.
– Most analysts now used P/adjusted book value to price in
expected events and their effect on the book value of the
company.
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
Thank you
Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz

Más contenido relacionado

La actualidad más candente

Sources of-finance
Sources of-financeSources of-finance
Sources of-financemohd zafeer
 
Sources Of Finance
Sources Of FinanceSources Of Finance
Sources Of Financelittle robie
 
A Simple Investment Guide for Beginners
A Simple Investment Guide for BeginnersA Simple Investment Guide for Beginners
A Simple Investment Guide for BeginnersTaskworld
 
Sources Of Finance
Sources Of FinanceSources Of Finance
Sources Of FinanceAlex Masters
 
SOURCES OF FINANCE.....
SOURCES OF FINANCE.....SOURCES OF FINANCE.....
SOURCES OF FINANCE.....Arup Bordoloi
 
Long Term Financing
Long Term FinancingLong Term Financing
Long Term Financingjim
 
Sources of finance
Sources of financeSources of finance
Sources of financeRohit pathak
 
short term financing
 short term financing short term financing
short term financingAditya Singh
 
Innovative sources of finance
Innovative sources of financeInnovative sources of finance
Innovative sources of financeManu Antony
 
Long term financing decisions 1
Long term financing decisions 1Long term financing decisions 1
Long term financing decisions 1himanshujaiswal
 
sources of long term finance
sources of long term financesources of long term finance
sources of long term financearjun sudarsan
 
sources of short term finance.
sources of short  term finance.sources of short  term finance.
sources of short term finance.Sunil Thakur
 
sources of short term fund and indirect source of fund
sources of short term fund and indirect source of fundsources of short term fund and indirect source of fund
sources of short term fund and indirect source of fundAJITH MK
 
Sources of Long term Finance
Sources of Long term FinanceSources of Long term Finance
Sources of Long term FinanceAnu Damodaran
 

La actualidad más candente (20)

Sources of finance
Sources of financeSources of finance
Sources of finance
 
Sources of-finance
Sources of-financeSources of-finance
Sources of-finance
 
Sources of finance
Sources of financeSources of finance
Sources of finance
 
Sources Of Finance
Sources Of FinanceSources Of Finance
Sources Of Finance
 
A Simple Investment Guide for Beginners
A Simple Investment Guide for BeginnersA Simple Investment Guide for Beginners
A Simple Investment Guide for Beginners
 
Sources Of Finance
Sources Of FinanceSources Of Finance
Sources Of Finance
 
Sources of finance
Sources of finance Sources of finance
Sources of finance
 
SOURCES OF FINANCE.....
SOURCES OF FINANCE.....SOURCES OF FINANCE.....
SOURCES OF FINANCE.....
 
Long Term Financing
Long Term FinancingLong Term Financing
Long Term Financing
 
Sources of finance
Sources of financeSources of finance
Sources of finance
 
short term financing
 short term financing short term financing
short term financing
 
Innovative sources of finance
Innovative sources of financeInnovative sources of finance
Innovative sources of finance
 
Long term financing decisions 1
Long term financing decisions 1Long term financing decisions 1
Long term financing decisions 1
 
sources of long term finance
sources of long term financesources of long term finance
sources of long term finance
 
short term financing
short term financingshort term financing
short term financing
 
Sources of Finance
Sources of FinanceSources of Finance
Sources of Finance
 
Sources of finanace
Sources of finanaceSources of finanace
Sources of finanace
 
sources of short term finance.
sources of short  term finance.sources of short  term finance.
sources of short term finance.
 
sources of short term fund and indirect source of fund
sources of short term fund and indirect source of fundsources of short term fund and indirect source of fund
sources of short term fund and indirect source of fund
 
Sources of Long term Finance
Sources of Long term FinanceSources of Long term Finance
Sources of Long term Finance
 

Similar a Sources Of Finance

Financial management
Financial managementFinancial management
Financial managementByju Antony
 
Financial Management - Finance Decisions
Financial Management - Finance DecisionsFinancial Management - Finance Decisions
Financial Management - Finance Decisionsuma reur
 
Absa bank, Senate group conference - presentation by Johann Gunter
Absa bank, Senate group conference - presentation by Johann GunterAbsa bank, Senate group conference - presentation by Johann Gunter
Absa bank, Senate group conference - presentation by Johann GunterSenate Group Financial Advisors
 
3. Financial Instruments.pptx
3. Financial Instruments.pptx3. Financial Instruments.pptx
3. Financial Instruments.pptxSrikarRenikindhi
 
1 Introduction to Finance .pptx
1 Introduction to Finance .pptx1 Introduction to Finance .pptx
1 Introduction to Finance .pptxsamiullah440888
 
Sa investec opportunity_fund_brochure
Sa investec opportunity_fund_brochureSa investec opportunity_fund_brochure
Sa investec opportunity_fund_brochureCobus Minnaar
 
Basic Financial Management rev 1.pptx
Basic Financial Management rev 1.pptxBasic Financial Management rev 1.pptx
Basic Financial Management rev 1.pptxFreelance Consultant
 
financial management - long term (strategic) decision
financial management  - long term (strategic) decisionfinancial management  - long term (strategic) decision
financial management - long term (strategic) decisionZenn Vanrim Lopez
 
Corporate Finance Fundamentals - Course Presentation.pdf
Corporate Finance Fundamentals - Course Presentation.pdfCorporate Finance Fundamentals - Course Presentation.pdf
Corporate Finance Fundamentals - Course Presentation.pdfJustmeHash
 
Selecting financial strategies
Selecting financial strategiesSelecting financial strategies
Selecting financial strategiesgemdeane1
 
Contractual risks in pe invsts dr[1]. kishore - prmia
Contractual risks in pe invsts   dr[1]. kishore  - prmiaContractual risks in pe invsts   dr[1]. kishore  - prmia
Contractual risks in pe invsts dr[1]. kishore - prmiaPaul Keisch
 

Similar a Sources Of Finance (20)

Financial management
Financial managementFinancial management
Financial management
 
NCE - NISM Prep .pptx
NCE - NISM Prep .pptxNCE - NISM Prep .pptx
NCE - NISM Prep .pptx
 
417 Chapter 01
417 Chapter 01417 Chapter 01
417 Chapter 01
 
Introduction to corporate finance
Introduction to corporate financeIntroduction to corporate finance
Introduction to corporate finance
 
Introduction.pdf
Introduction.pdfIntroduction.pdf
Introduction.pdf
 
Financial Management - Finance Decisions
Financial Management - Finance DecisionsFinancial Management - Finance Decisions
Financial Management - Finance Decisions
 
Absa bank, Senate group conference - presentation by Johann Gunter
Absa bank, Senate group conference - presentation by Johann GunterAbsa bank, Senate group conference - presentation by Johann Gunter
Absa bank, Senate group conference - presentation by Johann Gunter
 
Capitalization and capital structure
Capitalization and capital structureCapitalization and capital structure
Capitalization and capital structure
 
Mutual fund
Mutual fundMutual fund
Mutual fund
 
3. Financial Instruments.pptx
3. Financial Instruments.pptx3. Financial Instruments.pptx
3. Financial Instruments.pptx
 
1 Introduction to Finance .pptx
1 Introduction to Finance .pptx1 Introduction to Finance .pptx
1 Introduction to Finance .pptx
 
Sa investec opportunity_fund_brochure
Sa investec opportunity_fund_brochureSa investec opportunity_fund_brochure
Sa investec opportunity_fund_brochure
 
Slides s1
Slides s1Slides s1
Slides s1
 
Basic Financial Management rev 1.pptx
Basic Financial Management rev 1.pptxBasic Financial Management rev 1.pptx
Basic Financial Management rev 1.pptx
 
financial management - long term (strategic) decision
financial management  - long term (strategic) decisionfinancial management  - long term (strategic) decision
financial management - long term (strategic) decision
 
Corporate Finance Fundamentals - Course Presentation.pdf
Corporate Finance Fundamentals - Course Presentation.pdfCorporate Finance Fundamentals - Course Presentation.pdf
Corporate Finance Fundamentals - Course Presentation.pdf
 
Introduction Finance
Introduction FinanceIntroduction Finance
Introduction Finance
 
417Chapter 04
417Chapter 04417Chapter 04
417Chapter 04
 
Selecting financial strategies
Selecting financial strategiesSelecting financial strategies
Selecting financial strategies
 
Contractual risks in pe invsts dr[1]. kishore - prmia
Contractual risks in pe invsts   dr[1]. kishore  - prmiaContractual risks in pe invsts   dr[1]. kishore  - prmia
Contractual risks in pe invsts dr[1]. kishore - prmia
 

Más de Maroof Hussain Sabri (19)

Business combinations & Consolidations
Business combinations & Consolidations Business combinations & Consolidations
Business combinations & Consolidations
 
Financial Derivatives
Financial  DerivativesFinancial  Derivatives
Financial Derivatives
 
London Interbank Offered Rate By Maroof Hussain
London  Interbank  Offered  Rate By  Maroof  HussainLondon  Interbank  Offered  Rate By  Maroof  Hussain
London Interbank Offered Rate By Maroof Hussain
 
1929 Wall Street Crash
1929  Wall Street Crash1929  Wall Street Crash
1929 Wall Street Crash
 
Investment Appraisals
Investment AppraisalsInvestment Appraisals
Investment Appraisals
 
Elasticity Concepts
Elasticity  ConceptsElasticity  Concepts
Elasticity Concepts
 
Financial Management Investment Appraisal
Financial  Management    Investment  AppraisalFinancial  Management    Investment  Appraisal
Financial Management Investment Appraisal
 
Term Structure Of Interest Rate
Term  Structure Of  Interest  RateTerm  Structure Of  Interest  Rate
Term Structure Of Interest Rate
 
Equity Financing
Equity  FinancingEquity  Financing
Equity Financing
 
14 Points Of Deming
14 Points Of Deming14 Points Of Deming
14 Points Of Deming
 
7 Habbits Of Highly Effective People
7 Habbits Of Highly Effective People7 Habbits Of Highly Effective People
7 Habbits Of Highly Effective People
 
Management Of Cash
Management Of  CashManagement Of  Cash
Management Of Cash
 
Financial Ratios
Financial  RatiosFinancial  Ratios
Financial Ratios
 
Comprehensive Ratio Analysis
Comprehensive  Ratio  AnalysisComprehensive  Ratio  Analysis
Comprehensive Ratio Analysis
 
Working Capital &amp; WOrking Capital Cycle
Working Capital &amp; WOrking Capital CycleWorking Capital &amp; WOrking Capital Cycle
Working Capital &amp; WOrking Capital Cycle
 
Stock Exchange
Stock  ExchangeStock  Exchange
Stock Exchange
 
E O Q
E O QE O Q
E O Q
 
Working Capital Management
Working  Capital  ManagementWorking  Capital  Management
Working Capital Management
 
Corporate Governance
Corporate GovernanceCorporate Governance
Corporate Governance
 

Sources Of Finance

  • 1. Sources of Finance Maroof Hussain Sabri Beenish Sarfraz
  • 2. Contents • Requirement for Finance & Time Horizon • Long Term Finance • Equity Finance – Types of Share – Share Issues • Shareholders View Of Shares – Shareholders’ Ratios – Growth – Equity Analysis Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 3. Requirement for Finance • Long Term Finance (> 7 Years)  To buy a whole business  To finance purchase of a long term asset  Land Buildings Machinery  To finance core working capital  Inventories, • Medium Term Finance (1 to 7 Years)  To finance medium term assets  Computers, cars etc  Core working capital which will eventually be financed from retained profits • Short Term Finance (< 1 Year)  To finance seasonal variations in working capital  Special arrangements for types of working capital  Financing debtors  Supplier credit arrangements Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 4. Criteria For Choice of Finance • Cost After Tax Cost • Duration Long Term Assets  Long Term Funds Working Capital • Part Long Term • Part Short term • Term Structure of Interest Rates • Gearing  Financial Risk • Accessibility Small Company v. Large plc Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 5. Long Term Finance • Equity • Long Term Loans • Government Grants Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 6. Sources of Equity Finance • Retained Profits – No Transaction Costs – Continual Source – But – Shareholders require return Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 7. Equity - Types of Share Capital • Ordinary Shares • Preference Shares – Cumulative – Non Cumulative Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 8. External Share Issues • Unquoted Company ▫ Sources  Private negotiation  Enterprise Investment Scheme  Investors  Individuals, Merchant Banks, Venture Capital • Quoted Company ▫ Finance with new issue  LSE or AIM placing, Offer for Sale (by Tender)  Investors  Public, Pension Funds etc ▫ Finance with Rights Issue  Existing Shareholders Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 9. Stock Exchange Listing • Offer for sale by Prospectus ▫ Fixed Price ▫ Prospectus Contents • Offer for sale by Tender • No fixed price ▫ Potential shareholders bid • Placing ▫ Small issues ▫ Bankers identify potential shareholders • Intermediaries ▫ Brokers allocate to clients • Introduction ▫ Where Public already holds 25% of Shares Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 10. Advisers for New Share Issues • Issuing Houses – 50 to 60 members of Issuing Houses Association – Fees Charged • Investment Banks – Underwriting – Marketing – Pricing of Offers • Fees are significant cost – Can be 5 – 10%, with minimum Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 11. Rights Issues • Offered to Existing Shareholders • Usually at Significant discount to Market Price to reflect – Dilution of Value of One Share – Incentive for shareholders to take up new shares Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 12. Ex Rights Price and Value of Rights Rights Value Model £0.00 Current Share Price £3.25 Rights Issue 1 for 4 Rights issue price £2.25 Value of shares after Rights issue £2.60 Value of Rights £0.35 Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 13. Rights Issue - Shareholders’ Options • Take Up Rights • Sell Rights • Take up Part of Rights • Take No Action Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 14. Other Common Share actions • Bonus Issues – Capitalising Reserves • Scrip Dividends – Take dividends in shares • Share Splits – Mathematically no impact on Share price – But increased liquidity of shares may attract smaller investors Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 15. Choice of Source of Equity Finance • Ability of Company to Raise external finance – Small Company v Large Company • Amount of Finance Required – Limited possibility of Rights Issue for Private Company • Costs and Complexity • Pricing of New Issue • Control of Company • Tax • Dividend Policy Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 16. Ratios For Investors • Earnings per Share – Growth – Net Profit after tax divided by no of shares in issue – Required to be stated in accounts • Dividend per Share – Growth • Dividend Yield – Dividends divided by current share price • Dividend Cover – Profit after tax divided by value of dividends Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 17. Shares As an Investment • Dividend yield: – Dividend per share /Market price per share – Dividend yield shows the percentage of a share’s market value returned as dividends to shareholders each period. – Dividend Yields are published in “Quality” Newspapers and on www.bloomberg.co.uk Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 18. Shares As an Investment Price/earnings ratio:Market price per share of common stock/Earnings per share ◦ It is the ratio of market price per share to earnings per share. If a company is profitable a high price earnings ratio will say that the market has confidence in a company Health warning ◦ It may be a high ratio because of exceptional losses in the current year P/E Ratios and dividend cover are published in the F.T. and Sunday Times. Also available from www.Bloomberg.co.uk Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 19. Ratios For Investors • Total Shareholder Return – Returns come from Income & Share Price Growth – Some Companies Publish TSR in accounts and compare it to what they consider to be their peer group – “Shares Magazine” has a list of the top 500 0 011 P PPDiv TSR −+ = Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 20. Growth analysis • Investors are interested in a company’s growth potential so that they can predict and value future cash flows. • Creditors are interested in a company’s growth potential so that they can assess the company’s ability to pay future obligations of interest and principal repayment. Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 21. Sustainable Growth• Sustainable growth is the growth rate the company is expected to maintain in the future. • Sustainable growth, g, is estimated as: – g = (Earnings retention rate) X (Return on equity) – Example • Profit after tax £1500 • Dividends £500 • Retention rate = 66.67% • Return on Equity 15% • Sustainable Growth = 10% • Look for consistency in retentions rate and Dividend Cover Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 22. Equity Analysis How investment analysts look at shares
  • 23. EQUITY ANALYSIS Intrinsic value of a share = Present value of the expected future earnings or dividends of the company Three variables in the valuation model are : future cash flows timing of cash flows appropriate discount rate Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 24. EQUITY ANALYSIS • Basic principle : if intrinsic value exceeds market value : BUY if market value exceeds intrinsic value : SELL Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 25. EQUITY ANALYSISConstant growth  P= D1  r-g  P Share Price  D1 expected dividends  r minimum rate of return  g constant growth rate of dividends  Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 26. Required Rate of Return Determined by the risk of an investment and available returns in the market Determined by: ◦ The real risk-free rate of return, Usually the rate for short term government finance (Treasury bills) currently 5.3% ◦ A risk premium to compensate for the uncertainty of returns  Sources of uncertainty, and therefore risk premiums, vary by the type of investment ◦ Historically in the UK the average risk premium for the stock market has been 5% ◦ But all shares do not move in line with the market ◦ The relative risk for an individual firm in comparison to the market is called Beta. Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 27. Significance of Beta • Betas for companies shares are published on www.Bloomberg.co.uk – A company with a high beta (over 1.0) will rise more than the market when the market is going up and will fall more than the market when the market is going down – A company with a beta of 1.0 will go up and down exactly as the market does – A company with a beta of less than 1.0 will go up less than the market when the market is going up and will go down less than the market when the market is going down Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 28. Rate of return using betas • Return on equity should be Risk Free rate + risk premium for share • Required Return on equity = 5.3% + 5% X β • Example – β = 1.7 – Required return on equity 4% + 5% X 1.7 = 12.5% Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 29. EQUITY ANALYSIS • Example : • If a stock is expected to pay a dividend of £0.30 next year, has a long term growth rate of 12% and a 15% rate of return is required, then it is worth, • P = .30 = £10.00 ______ • .15-.12 Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 30. EQUITY ANALYSIS Advantages : Simple Empirical studies show that models are able to distinguish undervalued from overvalued stocks Disadvantages : Only applies to dividend paying stocks Appropriate discount rate is difficult to ascertain Estimates of g and r may be in error Small changes in r and g produce large differences in valuation Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 31. EQUITY ANALYSIS • Price /Earnings • Considerations : – historical growth rate in earnings, relative to the industry’s average – forecast earnings – instability of earnings (risk) – financial leverage (risk) – competitive position, management ability, economic conditions. Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 32. EQUITY ANALYSIS  Intrinsic value =Earnings per share (EPS) x equivalent P/E ratio,  EPS = Net profit / no. of shares  The equivalent P/E ratio is often based on industry/sector average P/E, modified by the analyst’s assessment of the company’s leadership position and circumstances.  A low P/E compared to the sector’s average suggests that if the market were to value the company similarly to other companies in the sector, the P/E would be much higher. This implies that the intrinsic value of the stock should also be higher.  However, stocks with low P/E may not necessarily perform in the long run because it could be that investors don’t have much interest in the stock. Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 33. EQUITY ANALYSIS • Market value added approach – The book value of a stock – = – Shareholders’ funds – Total number of outstanding ordinary shares • Stocks with low Price to Book ratio relative to the industry’s average have historically outperformed stocks with high Price to Book ratio in the UK. • But a high market to book ratio also signifies investor confidenceMaroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 34. EQUITY ANALYSIS • Market value added approach • Disadvantages : – Based on historical accounting data and may not truly reflect the current values of the company’s assets. – Does not take into consideration the quality of the company’s assets. – Does not reflect any contingent liabilities/off balance sheet items that may have been incurred. – Most analysts now used P/adjusted book value to price in expected events and their effect on the book value of the company. Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz
  • 35. Thank you Maroof Hussain, Beenish Sarfraz