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Using Analytics for Fundraising
                           Michael Milton


                              July 22, 2010



  Presented for the Nonprofit Roundtable of
                       Greater Washington
A great nonprofit:
  Youth Haven
Let’s define
“analytics”
Analytics is...

studying key metrics, and

using them to make decisions
My favorite metric:

% of CEO time in front
      of prospects
Another favorite metric:

         Churned dollars

How much money did you receive from this year’s LYBUNTs last year?
Yet another cool metric:

  Client emergency
contact conversion rate
A more specific version of
     that last one:

   Conversion rate for
   parents of current
       students
A dubious metric:
           Fundraising efficiency
From charitynavigator.com




                            It's easy to calculate!
Analytics is harder for
     fundraisers
For-profits have a
structure and reason for
being that make it easier
    to select metrics
Shareholders




Shareholders
    want
 dividends...


                The corporation
Shareholders
                   controls



...so they bring
    on a board                        Board




    to ensure
  that they get
   dividends...
                              The corporation
...and the    controls
                           Shareholders




board hires
 a CEO to       controls
                                  Board




manage to
 company                          CEO



 to create
dividends...
                          The corporation
...and the    controls
                            Shareholders




 CEO hires
salespeople,     controls
                                   Board




 who create
                controls

the revenue                        CEO



that leads to
 dividends.                     Salespeople

                           The corporation
Shareholders
                controls

  The sales
 folks select                      Board


 the metrics     controls



that describe   controls
                                   CEO

   revenue
  creation.
                                Salespeople

                           The corporation
Now let's look
at nonprofits
Beneficiaries




                 At the top,
                   we have
                beneficiaries
                 rather than
                shareholders
The nonprofit
They don't
                actually control
                 the nonprofit
                        Beneficiaries




The nonprofit
Their payoffs are
                more vague than
                   dividends
                         Beneficiaries




                   (generally
The nonprofit
                   speaking)
The board
                    wants to help
   Board           the beneficiaries
                infuen
                      ces


                            Beneficiaries




The nonprofit
But there’s no guarantee
     that they will,
or that they’ll realize it
      if they don’t
The board’s ideas
about what helps
aren’t necessarily
the beneficiaries’,
 and neither are
necessarily right.
Nonprofits can pursue
 evidence-based management
Check out givewell.org
The board hires
                           the CEO to help
              Board        the beneficiaries
                           infuen
controls                         ces


                                       Beneficiaries


                   CEO




           The nonprofit
You want to help,
                                 too!
              Board
                           infuen
controls                         ces


                                       Beneficiaries
 controls

                   CEO




       Fundraisers

           The nonprofit
In theory, the
                           CEO is your boss
              Board
                           infuen
controls                         ces


                                       Beneficiaries
 controls

                   CEO




       Fundraisers

           The nonprofit
In practice,
                                              you’ve got lots of
              Board                              influences
                                              infuen
controls                   in f u e n c e s         ces

                                                             e   s
                                                      e   nc             Beneficiaries
 controls                                     in fu

                   CEO                                    ce         s
                                              in   f ue n
                                                                         Volunteers
                                               in f u e n c e s

       Fundraisers                            infuences                   Members

           The nonprofit
                                                                           Donors
Revenue is your goal,
  which by itself is
   unambiguous
But a lot of times
  it’s not clear how
the revenue that you
create translates into
    social benefits
And we haven’t even started
to list the revenue streams
        Membership   Email
                             Gov grants   Major
 Mail
                                                  Planned
                                                            Phone

                                                      Special events

                                                      Big grants

                                                   Small grants

                                                     Web

                                                  Capital/endowment
“Revenue” won’t be of much
      help tactically...

you need illuminating metrics
But it’s hard to pick the
right metrics in such a
 complex environment
       Of course, there are exceptions.
So a lot of development
directors play to this complexity
  rather than develop analytics
             Membership   Email
                                  Gov grants   Major
      Mail
                                                       Planned
                                                                 Phone

                                                           Special events

                                                           Big grants

                                                        Small grants

                                                          Web

                                                       Capital/endowment
What if managing the
 complexity is your job?

Maybe then analytics isn’t
    such a big deal
It is, because if you have
  the analytics you can
control the conversation
Control means
focus and results
Focus problem:

 A board member thinks
she knows what the donor
   constituency wants
Focus problem:

  A volunteer thinks his pet
project is the most important
      thing in the world
Focus problem:


The CEO is paying attention
    to the wrong things
Getting results right
is knowing when you’ve
       succeeded.
How do you
   “do analytics”?

You run tests and then
 inspect your metrics.
The importance of controlled,
  randomized experiments
The vascular surgeon who had no controls, from
Edward Tufte's Beautiful Evidence

Buy all his books at
www.edwardtufte.com
A useful test
demands you to
 pick the right
    metrics
Capital One… conducts more than
30,000 experiments a year, with
different interest rates, direct-mail
packaging, and other variables. Its
goal is to maximize the likelihood
both that potential customers will
sign up for credit cards and that
they will pay back Capital One.

   — "Competing on Analytics",
     Harvard Business Review,
     January 2006



                               The book
Something easy to test:

  Fundraising letters
Web analytics is
                    the cutting edge

You need to learn Google Analytics.
Google Analytics knows
        where people come from
        and whether they convert

...so it can show you how social
    network activity turns into
         fundraising dollars.
Monster.com tests button
Here are two of the 128 permutations they tested with Offermatica (now Omniture).




       Customers spent 8.31% more on average when presented with these options.
The fundraising data
  infrastructure
            Collection
         Social networks
          Web analytics
           Operations
         Direct Marketing
         Personal contact

           Consolidation
              Munging
            Integration

              Analysis
     Selecting the right metrics
         Running good tests
        Making it actionable

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Using Analytics to Drive Nonprofit Fundraising Success

  • 1. Using Analytics for Fundraising Michael Milton July 22, 2010 Presented for the Nonprofit Roundtable of Greater Washington
  • 2. A great nonprofit: Youth Haven
  • 4. Analytics is... studying key metrics, and using them to make decisions
  • 5. My favorite metric: % of CEO time in front of prospects
  • 6. Another favorite metric: Churned dollars How much money did you receive from this year’s LYBUNTs last year?
  • 7. Yet another cool metric: Client emergency contact conversion rate
  • 8. A more specific version of that last one: Conversion rate for parents of current students
  • 9. A dubious metric: Fundraising efficiency From charitynavigator.com It's easy to calculate!
  • 10. Analytics is harder for fundraisers
  • 11. For-profits have a structure and reason for being that make it easier to select metrics
  • 12. Shareholders Shareholders want dividends... The corporation
  • 13. Shareholders controls ...so they bring on a board Board to ensure that they get dividends... The corporation
  • 14. ...and the controls Shareholders board hires a CEO to controls Board manage to company CEO to create dividends... The corporation
  • 15. ...and the controls Shareholders CEO hires salespeople, controls Board who create controls the revenue CEO that leads to dividends. Salespeople The corporation
  • 16. Shareholders controls The sales folks select Board the metrics controls that describe controls CEO revenue creation. Salespeople The corporation
  • 17. Now let's look at nonprofits
  • 18. Beneficiaries At the top, we have beneficiaries rather than shareholders The nonprofit
  • 19. They don't actually control the nonprofit Beneficiaries The nonprofit
  • 20. Their payoffs are more vague than dividends Beneficiaries (generally The nonprofit speaking)
  • 21. The board wants to help Board the beneficiaries infuen ces Beneficiaries The nonprofit
  • 22. But there’s no guarantee that they will, or that they’ll realize it if they don’t
  • 23. The board’s ideas about what helps aren’t necessarily the beneficiaries’, and neither are necessarily right.
  • 24. Nonprofits can pursue evidence-based management Check out givewell.org
  • 25. The board hires the CEO to help Board the beneficiaries infuen controls ces Beneficiaries CEO The nonprofit
  • 26. You want to help, too! Board infuen controls ces Beneficiaries controls CEO Fundraisers The nonprofit
  • 27. In theory, the CEO is your boss Board infuen controls ces Beneficiaries controls CEO Fundraisers The nonprofit
  • 28. In practice, you’ve got lots of Board influences infuen controls in f u e n c e s ces e s e nc Beneficiaries controls in fu CEO ce s in f ue n Volunteers in f u e n c e s Fundraisers infuences Members The nonprofit Donors
  • 29. Revenue is your goal, which by itself is unambiguous
  • 30. But a lot of times it’s not clear how the revenue that you create translates into social benefits
  • 31. And we haven’t even started to list the revenue streams Membership Email Gov grants Major Mail Planned Phone Special events Big grants Small grants Web Capital/endowment
  • 32. “Revenue” won’t be of much help tactically... you need illuminating metrics
  • 33. But it’s hard to pick the right metrics in such a complex environment Of course, there are exceptions.
  • 34. So a lot of development directors play to this complexity rather than develop analytics Membership Email Gov grants Major Mail Planned Phone Special events Big grants Small grants Web Capital/endowment
  • 35. What if managing the complexity is your job? Maybe then analytics isn’t such a big deal
  • 36. It is, because if you have the analytics you can control the conversation
  • 38. Focus problem: A board member thinks she knows what the donor constituency wants
  • 39. Focus problem: A volunteer thinks his pet project is the most important thing in the world
  • 40. Focus problem: The CEO is paying attention to the wrong things
  • 41. Getting results right is knowing when you’ve succeeded.
  • 42. How do you “do analytics”? You run tests and then inspect your metrics.
  • 43. The importance of controlled, randomized experiments The vascular surgeon who had no controls, from Edward Tufte's Beautiful Evidence Buy all his books at www.edwardtufte.com
  • 44. A useful test demands you to pick the right metrics
  • 45. Capital One… conducts more than 30,000 experiments a year, with different interest rates, direct-mail packaging, and other variables. Its goal is to maximize the likelihood both that potential customers will sign up for credit cards and that they will pay back Capital One. — "Competing on Analytics", Harvard Business Review, January 2006 The book
  • 46. Something easy to test: Fundraising letters
  • 47. Web analytics is the cutting edge You need to learn Google Analytics.
  • 48. Google Analytics knows where people come from and whether they convert ...so it can show you how social network activity turns into fundraising dollars.
  • 49. Monster.com tests button Here are two of the 128 permutations they tested with Offermatica (now Omniture). Customers spent 8.31% more on average when presented with these options.
  • 50. The fundraising data infrastructure Collection Social networks Web analytics Operations Direct Marketing Personal contact Consolidation Munging Integration Analysis Selecting the right metrics Running good tests Making it actionable