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All-Media Analysis Seminar
Coverage on Malaysia Budget 2012
6 – 14 OCTOBER 2011
Introduction
This report presents the findings of media analysis of
coverage between 6 and 14 October 2011. This period
covers the date immediately before the announcement of
the Malaysian 2012 Budget (7 October), up until a week
after this announcement.
For the purpose of this analysis, coverage was sampled proportionally      The sample of online social media discussion has been chosen to be
from a list of media outlets that were selected on the basis of:           representative of overall social media posts. This is done by:
> Audience size, beginning with the outlets that reach the largest         (a) Selecting online posts for analysis from representative online
  audiences in the country; and                                            channels; and
> Volume of reporting.                                                     (b) Setting a sub-sample for each market based on proportional size.
This resulted in a sample of 756 media reports for analysis.               Thus, a spread of online posts across subjects, across the period has
Social media analysis was also conducted on a representative sample of     been analysed. The net sentiment shown throughout this report was
the total 3,526 social media posts that originated from Malaysia in this   determined from these sampled posts.
time. The social media posts that were monitored by Brandtology            A representative sample of blog posts were also analysed to determine
appeared on forums, blogs, news websites, review sites, Q&As,              the messages that they conveyed about the Budget, so that comparisons
microblogs, the public pages of social networking sites and video sites    could be drawn with those that were communicated in the analysed news
(comments only).                                                           media coverage.




                                                                                                                                                2
Executive summary – story focus
                                                These charts show the story focus of each report, article or online post that was analysed
                                                over the period.                                                                             CHART 1
> The Malaysian Budget 2012 was
  broadly labelled a “people’s Budget” in      NEWS MEDIA
  the news media. Nearly half of the               600                                                                                            60
  analysed coverage focused on the
                                                                54.9                                          55.2
  rakyat (citizens), with often detailed
                                                                                                                                      53.0




                                                                                                                                                             FAVOURABILITY
  discussion of the possible impacts on                                                51.8
                                                                339




                                              VOLUME
  citizens of the various policy
  announcements. This included the                 300                                                                                            50
  government’s cash handouts – often                                                   171
                                                                                                               140
  described in the media as “goodies” –                                                                                               106
  for various segments of society, such
  as lower income households, students
  and retirees. As a result of this sort of             0                                                                                         40
                                                             THE RAKYAT        OVERALL ECONOMY          PUBLIC SECTOR     PRIVATE SECTOR
  discussion, the overall analysed news
                                                                                 FAV     NEU           UNFAV      AVG FAV
  coverage was predominantly
  favourable.                                                                                                                                CHART 2

> As opposed to news media coverage,           SOCIAL MEDIA (SAMPLED POSTS)
  the sentiment of social media                        200                                                                                    100
  discussion of the Malaysian Budget
  2012 was negative, particularly in the                        145                    141




                                                                                                                                                     NET SENTIMENT
  context of the economy and the private
                                              VOLUME




  sector. This negative sentiment was
                                                       100      -13.8                                         84                              0
  largely due to criticisms of “excessive”
                                                                                      -37.6
  cash handouts from the government,                                                                         -13.1                   53
  with suggestions that this was aimed                                                                                             -37.7
  only at winning electoral votes rather
  than at boosting Malaysia’s economic                  0                                                                                     -100
  growth.                                                    THE RAKYAT            OVERALL                 PUBLIC           PRIVATE
                                                                                   ECONOMY                 SECTOR           SECTOR
                                                                               POS     NEU          NEG       NET SENTIMENT

                                                                                                                                                       3
Executive summary - leading topics
These charts show the number of mentions of each topic in the analysed news media coverage and social media conversation.
                                                                                                                                              CHART 3
                                    NEWS MEDIA
The most often mentioned               400                                                                                                        60
topics in the analysed                                                                                       56.0     56.5
                                                                     54.9              55.5
news coverage were                                 53.5     53.6




                                                                                                                                                          FAVOURABILITY
                                                                              52.9               53.4
                                                                                                                                         52.5
individual taxes and                                                                                                            50.8



                                  VOLUME
                                                    206
incentives, living costs,                                   175       165     160      160
                                       200                                                                                                        50
                                                                                                 142         128
public education and social                                                                                           117       111
                                                                                                                                         94
welfare. The media cited
comments from various tax
consultants who                             0                                                                                                     40
commented on the viability                       INDIVIDUAL CIVIL    LIVING BUDGET  PUBLIC      GROWTH      SOCIAL MINISTRY GLOBAL CORPORATE
                                                    TAX & SERVANTS   COST IMPLEMENT- EDU-                  WELFARE    ALLO- ECONOMY TAX &
and possible impact of new                        SUBSIDIES                  ATION  CATION                           CATION         SUBSIDIES
policies across the                                                            FAV   NEU        UNFAV        AVG FAV
different sectors. In
comparison, the most                                                                                                                            CHART 4
frequently – and negatively         SOCIAL MEDIA (SAMPLED POSTS)
– discussed topic in the                   200                                                                                                        100
analysed social media




                                                                                                                                                                  NET SENTIMENT
conversations was the
                                  VOLUME




Budget implementation.                                                -4.5                                                                 -4.9
                                           100              -14.8                                             -14.3                                   0
This suggests that the                               76                       -24.9                                    -25.0
                                                                       47               -45.2     -47.0                          -47.4
public has a relatively low                                  57
                                                    -36.5                      27        26           25       21       20
confidence that the                                                                                                               19       17
government will deliver the                  0                                                                                                        -100
measures that it has                               BUDGET   CIVIL INDIVIDUAL HOUSING GROWTHCORPORATE SOCIAL           LIVING    GLOBAL EMPLOYMENT
promised.                                        IMPLEMENT-
                                                          SERVANTS TAX &                      TAX &   WELFARE         COST     ECONOMY
                                                    ATION          SUBSIDIES                SUBSIDIES
                                                                             POS      NEU       NEG        NET SENTIMENT



                                                                                                                                                  4
Executive summary – further issues and conclusion
> Consistently across both news and social media, the public appeared to          contradictory to this message, such as “lack of reforms”, “no surprise”
  agree that the “losers” from the Budget announcement were the middle            and “neutral impact to [the stock] market”. A considerable number of
  classes, minorities such as the disabled and private sector stakeholders.       online posts criticised the Budget for neither providing permanent
  The online public criticised the high Budget allocation to civil servants for   changes to the structure of Malaysia’s taxation system, nor guidance to
  bonus payouts and salary increments while low-income groups from the            eliminate regulations and promote spending in order to build a strong
  private sector were neglected.                                                  domestic consumer market.
> Across both news and social media, the most common criticisms of the CONCLUSION
  2012 Budget were that it was short-sighted, not sustainable, and         > Given the wide concerns expressed about the economic sustainability of
  “unrealistic” in terms of the prospects for the Malaysian economy in the   the Budget proposals, the government could consider more proactively
  near future. Overall, opposition leaders and economists were among the     communicating specific details about the proposals to the public. This
  most vocal critics of the Budget’s contribution to the sustainable         could include providing more information about the development and
  development of the economy, while middle-class professionals mostly        implementation of the projects, and addressing queries from the public in
  discussed its lack of inclusiveness.                                       a timely manner. This will help to boost public confidence about the
> The news media coverage analysed frequently quoted Chua Hak Bin, an        government’s accountability in delivering the promises made in the
  economist from the Bank of America Merrill Lynch, who held a cautious      Budget, especially in the current global economic climate.
  view on the growth outlook and, thus, the implementation of the Budget. > Although the Prime Minister and government ministers have an
  His comments resonated with those of other economists and opposition       undeniably strong presence in news media, opposition leaders seem to
  party stakeholders.                                                        be utilising social media more effectively to communicate their
> Some online posts further suggested that the civil services have become         messages. Government representatives are still lacking a presence in
  highly politicised over the years due to higher distributions from the          forums and blogs, whereas opposition leaders and members of the
  Budget going to civil servants in order to get them to support the              middle-class were active in these areas. A greater government
  government.                                                                     engagement in the social media space is therefore encouraged.
> Speculation about whether the government would impose a Goods and > Future news and social media tracking should relate to the
  Services Tax (GST) appeared frequently before the Budget                 implementation process and results of high-profile projects, which are
  announcement. Although the GST was not introduced in Budget 2012,        commonly the focus of media and public interest. This would include
  the online public expressed concerns that the government might impose    financial aid offers for lower-income groups; ministry funding of projects
  the tax if they win the upcoming general election.                       such as the new women’s and children’s hospitals; upgrades of rural
> Although the Prime Minister actively promoted the Budget as              clinics; Kedai 1Malaysia; the Langkawi tourism project; and upgrades for
  “transformational”, this message did not appear frequently; instead, the the Royal Malaysian Police.
   analysed news and social media coverage reported comments that were


                                                                                                                                                            5
Media type
These charts show the breakdown of news media types and social media channels over the analysis period.

                                                            CHART 5                                                                   CHART 6
NEWS MEDIA                                                                 SOCIAL MEDIA
                                                                                                                SOCIAL
                        TELEVISION &                                                                          NETWORKING
                           RADIO                                                                    MICROBLOG    SITE
                            7.9%                                                                       1.4%      3.1%




                                           PRESS                                                                       BLOG
                                           47.1%                                                                       44.4%
                      ONLINE NEWS                                                                    FORUM
                         45.0%                                                                        51.1%




> During the report period, news media coverage of the Budget 2012     > Negative reporting appeared mostly in online news, blogs and other
  appeared much more prominently in both press and online outlets than   social media channels. Nonetheless, some criticisms of the 2012
  in broadcast media.                                                    Budget did also appear in news media coverage, and these criticisms
> Analysed online news media included more critical discussions of the   across the media types were somewhat aligned. This was especially
  Budget (especially in Harakah Daily and the Malaysian Insider), and    the case with regard to the sustainability of the proposed government
  this online coverage was less favourable overall than press and        spending and the inclusiveness of the Budget.
  broadcast coverage.



                                                                                                                                                 6
Trend analysis
This chart shows the volume and favourability of articles analysed over the report period.                                                                        CHART 7

NEWS MEDIA             The rakyat responded to various news                                                                     The media focus shifted to
                                                                         The media discussed the government’s “over-
                       articles, expressing their concerns about                                                                implementation of the Budget,
          200                                                            optimistic” target of 2012’s Budget deficit, and                                             60
                       and expectations of the Budget.                                                                          specifically the allocations to
                                                                         worrying debt levels in Malaysia.
                                                                                                                                government ministries.




                                                                                                                                                                            FAVOURABILITY
 VOLUME




          100                                                                                                                                                         50




            0                                                                                                                                                         40
                THU 6 OCT     FRI 7 OCT         SAT 8 OCT          SUN 9 OCT    MON 10 OCT   TUE 11 OCT               WED 12 OCT      THU 13 OCT         FRI 14 OCT
                             BUDGET DAY                                     VOL            AVG FAV

This chart shows the volume and net sentiment of online posts analysed over the report period.                                                                    CHART 8

 SOCIAL MEDIA (SAMPLED POSTS)
          200                                                                                                     Discussions continue about the                      60
                                                                                                                  government’s handouts, with suggestions
                                                                        Discussion of opposition party
                       Discussion related to speculation about                                                    that this was undertaken in order to win
                                                                        reviews of the government’s
                                                                                                                  public votes in the upcoming election.




                                                                                                                                                                            NET SENTIMENT
                       Budget allocation, particularly in terms
                                                                        Budget allocations.
                       of a GST.
 VOLUME




          100                                                                                                                                                         0




            0                                                                                                                                                         -60
                THU 6 OCT     FRI 7 OCT         SAT 8 OCT          SUN 9 OCT     MON 10 OCT         TUE 11 OCT        WED 12 OCT      THU 13 OCT         FRI 14 OCT
                             BUDGET DAY
                                                                               VOL         NET SENTIMENT




                                                                                                                                                                            7
Language breakdown

                                                                                     CHART 9
A substantial proportion of the
analysed news media coverage        NEWS MEDIA                     TAMIL
was in English and came from                          CHINESE       4.2%
online news outlets, including                         11.5%
The Star Online, Yahoo!
Malaysia and Malaysian Insider.

Coverage by Malay-language
media was more favourable than                                             ENGLISH
media in other languages. Very                                              49.5%
few unfavourable reports
appeared in Malay-language
press, and these largely                            MALAY
consisted of articles about                         34.8%
complaints from minority interest
groups such the Malaysian Trade
Union Congress or lecturers from
private colleges. Most of the                                                        CHART 10
unfavourable Malay-language         SOCIAL MEDIA                CHINESE
coverage came from online news                                   6.4%
channel Harakah Daily.

The majority of social media
conversations were in English,
particularly the posts that
appeared on the leading                            MALAY
                                                   35.1%
channels.
                                                                           ENGLISH
                                                                            58.5%




                                                                                           8
Commentators/influencers
Below are the leading news commentators and the most influential people in social media in the period that contributed to the topic Malaysia Budget
that were most frequently reported or responded to.
                                                               TABLE 1                                                                     TABLE 2
                                                                    AVG                                                         INFLUENCE SENT-
NEWS COMMENTATORS                                           VOL            INFLUENCERS        CHANNELS                   VOL
                                                                    FAV                                                             SCORE IMENT

DATUK SERI NAJIB TUN RAZAK, MALAYSIA PRIME                                                    LOWYAT.NET
                                                              67    58.0   POLARIS                                         27              70          -8
MINISTER                                                                                      FORUM– KOPITIAM

DATUK DR. AWANG ADEK HUSSEIN, DEPUTY FINANCE                               EDITOR@
                                                              15    55.0                      HORNBILL
MINISTER                                                                   HORNBILL                                        27              43          -2
                                                                                              UNLEASHED
                                                                           UNLEASHED
TAN SRI MUHYIDDIN YASSIN, MALAYSIA DEPUTY PRIME
                                                              12    54.2   MALAYSIAN          MALAYSIAN MIRROR
MINISTER                                                                                                                   24              43         -25
                                                                           MIRROR             BLOG

DATUK SERI LIOW TIONG LAI, MINISTER OF HEALTH                 12    54.6                      LOWYAT.NET
                                                                           ROBERTNGO                                        3             100          0
                                                                                              FORUM– KOPITIAM
DATUK MUKHRIZ TUN MAHATHIR, DEPUTY MINISTER                                                   THE BURSA M’SIA
                                                              11    54.5
OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE & INDUSTRY                                          SALAHDIN           FORUM – PERSONAL              3              50          0
                                                                                              FINANCE
DATUK SERI ANWAR IBRAHIM, OPPOSITION LEADER                    9    44.4
                                                                                              LOWYAT.NET
                                                                           JOE_MAMAK                                        2             100         -13
                                                                                              FORUM– KOPITIAM
DATUK SERI DR. NG YEN YEN, MINISTER OF TOURISM                 8    55.0
                                                                                              MIRI COMMUNITY
                                                                           RYUNARUTO                                        2              90          0
                                                                                              FORUM – LOUNGE
CHUA HAK BIN, BANK OF AMERICA MERRILL LYNCH
                                                               8    46.9                      MIRI COMMUNITY
ECONOMIST                                                                  RELAXJACK                                        2              65         -13
                                                                                              FORUM – LOUNGE
TONY PUA, MEMBER OF PARLIAMENT FOR PETALING
                                                               8    45.6                      LOWYAT.NET
JAYA UTARA                                                                 FLAMING_LION                                     1              72          0
                                                                                              FORUM– KOPITIAM
DATUK SERI AHMAD HUSNI MOHAMAD HANADZLAH,
                                                               8    58.1   READZZAL           TWITTER – MALAYSIA            1              56          0
SECOND MINISTER OF FINANCE



                                                                                                                                                  9
CO NT E NT A NA LYS I S FRO M NE W S ME DI A


News media findings
Story focus
                                                                                                                                                            CHART 11
                                                        600                                                                                                       60
      This chart shows the story
      focus of each news media                                        54.9                                                55.2
      report. Story focus relates to                    450                                                                                       53.0            55




                                                                                                                                                                       FAVOURABILITY
      the main focus of the report,                                   339                        51.8




                                               VOLUME
      and each report can have only
      one story focus. The chart also                   300                                                                                                       50
      shows a breakdown of                                                                       171
      favourable, neutral and                                                                                              140
                                                        150                                                                                       106             45
      unfavourable reports, and the
      average favourability of the
      coverage that focused on each                       0                                                                                                       40
      main theme.                                                THE RAKYAT            OVERALL ECONOMY                PUBLIC SECTOR        PRIVATE SECTOR
                                                                                           FAV          NEU       UNFAV          AVG FAV
> Most of the rakyat-focused coverage related to the          and children as well as common folks requiring            that would lay a strong foundation for better
  rising cost of living, with discussion of incentives        legal aid.’” (The Star, 8 October 2011).                  remuneration. Coverage stated that these policies
  and assistance in the Budget for housing and                                                                          were targeted at increasing productivity in the
                                                       >      Most of the reporting that focused on the economy
  public education. This coverage often linked to the                                                                   public sector and enhancing government
                                                              discussed the government’s optimistic target of
  announcement by the Malaysian Prime Minister,                                                                         effectiveness in the long-term.
                                                              reducing the 2012 Budget deficit to 4.7% of gross
  Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak, that this year’s
                                                              domestic product (GDP), down from 5.4% in 2011. >         A low volume of coverage focused on the private
  Budget aimed to enable the government to provide
                                                              Some key economists and opposition leaders                sector, but these stories were slightly favourable
  for the wellbeing of the people and the prosperity
                                                              questioned the viability of the government’s fiscal       overall. Reports noted that the government’s move
  of the nation. Coverage included:
                                                              deficit target and economic growth projections,           to further liberalise 17 services sub-sectors over
   “The Star columnist, Yap Leng Kuen writes, ‘It was         given the gloomy outlook for the global economy.          the course of 2012, with the aim of accelerating
   quite a refreshing change, listening to the Budget                                                                   investment, had been welcomed by many industry
                                                       >      Public sector-focused reporting was the most
   2012 proposals that provide an encompassing                                                                          sources. Coverage stated that this liberalisation
                                                              favourable overall. Minister sources, who have
   view of the multi-faceted interests and problems of                                                                  would enhance the dynamism of industry, and
                                                              vested interests in their specific ministries, tended
   the rakyat. The Government has made attempts to                                                                      would widen opportunities for new and existing
                                                              to praise the Budget allocation that had been
   show that it cares about the quality of education                                                                    businesses to expand both within Malaysia and
                                                              proposed by the Prime Minister for their ministry.
   and medical care, the plight of teachers, doctors                                                                    outside.
                                                              Civil servants, in particular, were described as
   working in government hospitals, retirees, women
                                                              benefiting from a new annual increment structure

                                                                                                                                                                    11
Leading topics
                                                                                                                                             CHART 12
         400                                                                                                                                    60

                                                                                             56.0          56.5
                                                                  55.5
                                        54.9
         300      53.5        53.6                                              53.4                                                            55
                                                   52.9                                                                               52.5




                                                                                                                                                     FAVOURABILITY
                                                                                                                        50.8
VOLUME




                  206
         200                  175       165                                                                                                     50
                                                    160            160
                                                                                142
                                                                                             128
                                                                                                           117          111
                                                                                                                                      94
         100                                                                                                                                    45



           0                                                                                                                                    40
               INDIVIDUAL     CIVIL    LIVING     BUDGET          PUBLIC      GROWTH       SOCIAL      MINISTRY       GLOBAL     CORPORATE
                  TAX &     SERVANTS   COST     IMPLEMENT-      EDUCATION                 WELFARE     ALLOCATION     ECONOMY        TAX &
                SUBSIDIES                          ATION                                                                          SUBSIDIES
                                                          FAV      NEU        UNFAV      AVG FAV

  This chart shows the number of mentions of each topic in the analysed       government’s accountability in delivering its promises to the people.
  news media coverage. The chart shows the volume of favourable, neutral >    The least favourably discussed topic was the global economy. This
  and unfavourable mentions of each topic, as well as the average             was understandable, given the underlying negative tone of reporting
  favourability of the reports that mentioned each topic.                     about the global economic outlook. Discussion of the topic was
  > The leading topic, individual taxes and subsidies, was often mentioned    widespread, especially in terms of how the Budget proposals were
     in the context of various comments from tax consultants. Most of these   drafted to face the challenging economic conditions. For example:
     experts were reported to have commended the viability and the            “The grossly weakened global economy and the worldwide increase in
     necessity of the introduction of these taxes and subsidies, frequently   energy prices have driven the cost of almost every other consumer
     citing current economic conditions for the rakyat. Interestingly, the    item and service, including those of food, sharply higher … Najib, who
     coverage that mentioned taxes and subsidies also often discussed         is also finance minister, said the 2012 Budget would be about the
     other stakeholders, such the private sector and civil servants.          government delivering on its promise to ensure social justice while
  > Budget implementation was also frequently mentioned alongside other       keeping Malaysia on a strong economic course that will deliver long-
     relevant topics, either through constructive suggestions about how the   term prosperity for all” (The New Straits Times, 7 October 2011).
     government should implement its Budget proposals, or criticisms of the


                                                                                                                                                 12
Leading messages
                                                                                                                                                      CHART 13
                                                                                                                        VOLUME
                                                                                     0        50               100        150        200        250        300

    This chart shows the leading                      IS IN FAVOUR OF THE RAKYAT                                                                 240
    tracked messages by volume
                                             IS IN FAVOUR OF THE PUBLIC SECTOR                                  89
    that appeared in the analysed
                                          OFFERS CLEAR MEASURES TO ENHANCE
    Malaysia budget coverage.                THE WELL-BEING OF THE RAKYAT
                                                                                                          69
    Messages can be implied in                   STIMULATES ECONOMIC GROWTH                          56
    reporting or conveyed
    explicitly, and can be either                                     IS INCLUSIVE                 55
    favourable or unfavourable.                DOES NOT PROMOTE SUSTAINABLE
                                                                                             37
                                                       DEVELOPMENT
                                           IS IN FAVOUR OF THE PRIVATE SECTOR                34
                                                                                            FAV       UNFAV


> The overall favourability of the news media         groups to deal with rising living costs. For             government for the generous allocation to the
  towards the Budget was quite favourable, and        example, the message appeared in reports on              public sector in terms of ministry funding and
  the leading messages were overwhelmingly            the provision of RM500 to households that                salary increases for civil servants.
  favourable.                                         earn less than RM3,000 per month, and free
                                                      school fees for primary and secondary
> News media reported extensively that the
                                                      education.
  Budget is in favour of the rakyat, largely as a
  result of the theme of this year’s Budget being >   The Budget is in favour of the public sector
  “Welfare for the Rakyat, Well Being for the         was another favourable message that
  Nation”. This message mainly appeared in            appeared prominently in both news media.
  praise of the various measures that the             This message was expressed mainly by the
  government was taking to alleviate the burden       various ministries and civil servants (and
  of the people, especially to help lower income      representatives), as they thanked the




                                                                                                                                                           13
Stakeholder satisfaction
The three pie charts show the proportions of expressions of satisfaction against expressions of dissatisfaction for the three broad stakeholder groups
– public sector, private sector and rakyat.
                                                              CHART 14                                                                      CHART 15
                                                                             PRIVATE SECTOR
PUBLIC SECTOR
           PUBLIC
                                                                                      PRIVATE
          SECTOR IS
                                                                                     SECTOR IS
             NOT
                                                                                        NOT
          SATISFIED
                                                                                     SATISFIED
          WITH THE
                                                                                     WITH THE
           BUDGET
                                                                                      BUDGET                                          PRIVATE
            10.7%                                      PUBLIC                          28.2%                                         SECTOR IS
                                                      SECTOR IS                                                                      SATISFIED
                                                      SATISFIED                                                                      WITH THE
                                                      WITH THE                                                                        BUDGET
                                                       BUDGET                                                                          71.8%
                                                        89.3%




                                                              CHART 16
                                                                             > Only about a quarter of the analysed coverage contained an overt
RAKYAT
        RAKYAT IS                                                              expression of satisfaction or dissatisfaction with the 2012 Budget.
           NOT
                                                                             > Public sector expressions of satisfaction/dissatisfaction appeared
        SATISFIED
        WITH THE                                                               most often, with Budget 2012 coverage discussing the extensive
         BUDGET                                                                allocations for this sector, and commonly citing ministry
          22.1%
                                                                               spokespeople in relation to their relevant areas. The relatively high
                                                     RAKYAT IS                 proportion of expressions of satisfaction/dissatisfaction by the
                                                     SATISFIED
                                                     WITH THE                  rakyat was found mainly in letters-to-the-editor, or opinion or news
                                                      BUDGET                   articles that contained comments from members of the public.
                                                       77.9%
                                                                             > Notably, 40% of total analysed letters-to-the-editor and opinion
                                                                               articles were neutral in tone (50.0 rating on the CARMA favourability
                                                                               scale), as a result of expressions of both satisfaction and
                                                                               dissatisfaction in the same media report.

                                                                                                                                                     14
Leading media by language
                                                               TABLE 3

                                                             AVERAGE
LANGUAGE     MEDIA OUTLETS        AUDIENCE     VOLUME
                                                        FAVOURABILITY

             THE STAR ONLINE        674,424        89             53.8

             YAHOO! MALAYSIA         60,630        58             53.3
ENGLISH

             MALAYSIAN INSIDER
                                    456,895        47             48.4
             (ALTERNATIVE NEWS)


             UTUSAN MALAYSIA      41,413,162       71             54.1

             UTUSAN ONLINE          407,925        58             56.1
MALAY

             HARAKAH DAILY
                                    349,027        20             42.3
             (ALTERNATIVE NEWS)

             SIN CHEW JIT POH     36,987,648       47             54.5
CHINESE
             CHINA PRESS          18,870,540       38             52.6

             MALAYSIA NANBAN       2,760,000       18             53.6
TAMIL
             MAKKAI OSAI             52,000        13             54.6




                                                                   15
Leading commentators
                                                                                                                                     CHART 17

         160                                                                                                                               80


         120                                                                                                                               65




                                                                                                                                                FAVOURABILITY
                       58.0
                                           55.0               54.2                 54.6                  54.5
VOLUME




          80            67                                                                                                   44.4          50


          40                                                                                                                               35
                                            15                 12                   12                    11                  9

           0                                                                                                                               20
               DATUK SERI NAJIB TUN   DATUK DR. AWANG   TAN SRI MUHYIDDIN    DATUK SERI LIOW       DATUK MUKHRIZ TUN DATUK SERI ANWAR
                 RAZAK, MALAYSIA        ADEK HUSSEIN,    YASSIN, MALAYSIA   TIONG LAI, MINISTER     MAHATHIR, DEPUTY IBRAHIM, OPPOSITION
                 PRIME MINISTER        DEPUTY FINANCE     DEPUTY PRIME          OF HEALTH             MINISTER OF          LEADER
                                          MINISTER          MINISTER                              INTERNATIONAL TRADE
                                                                                                       & INDUSTRY
                                             FAV COMMENT      NEU COMMENT        UNFAV COMMENT         AVG FAV




     WHAT MEDIA SAYS                                                    WHAT MEDIA SAYS
     “[DEPUTY PRIME MINISTER AND] EDUCATION MINISTER                    “WHAT WE ARE SEEING FROM THE BUDGET IS ONLY ONE
     TAN SRI MUHYIDDIN YASSIN SAID THE BUDGET                           WHICH IS INDEBTING OUR CHILDREN, ENTRENCHING OUR
     REFLECTED A CARING GOVERNMENT, ADDING THAT IT                      STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS AND VERY WEAK EXPENDITURE
     WAS BASED ON SOUND IDEAS RECOMMENDED BY                            CONTROLS … OUR DEBT LEVELS WILL ONLY WORSEN IN THE
     ECONOMIC EXPERTS. ‘I THINK THIS HAS BEEN THE                       NEXT FEW YEARS AS WE EMBARK ON RECORD LEVELS OF
     BEST BUDGET SO FAR, AND IT ADDRESSES THE                           INFRASTRUCTURE SPENDING SUCH AS THE RM53 BILLION
     NEEDS OF ALL LAYERS OF SOCIETY, SUCH AS                            KLANG VALLEY MRT PROJECT WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BE
     FARMERS, FISHERMEN, CIVIL SERVANTS,                                FUNDED ENTIRELY ON DEBT’ [DAP MP TONY PUA] SAID IN A
     ENTREPRENEURS AND SO ON.’”                                         STATEMENT”
     The Star, 8 October 2011                                           The Malaysian Insider, 7 October 2011



                                                                                                                                            16
FO CUS E S O N P E RCE P T I O N, O P I NI O N A ND B E HAV I O UR O F T HE
    P UB L I C FRO M T HE S O CI A L ME DI A

Social media findings


“    @HORNBILL UNLEASHED.WORDPRESS.COM, 11 OCTOBER 2011

     “IN FACT, ‘ONE-OFF’ PAYMENTS ARE AKIN TO PLACEBOS THAT GIVE
     SHORT-TERM RELIEFS. RELIEFS THAT ARE PLAYS ON THE MIND
     RATHER THAN REALISTIC SOLUTIONS TO A MEDICAL AILMENT. AND
     THIS IS THE ESSENCE OF BUDGET 2012. IT IS A SHORT TERM
     PLACEBO, MEANT TO GRANT A ‘FEEL GOOD’ EFFECT AMONG A
     SELECT FEW OF THE POPULACE. JUST ENOUGH TO AFFECT THE 5%
     VOTE SWING BACK TO THE BARISAN NASIONAL IN ORDER TO RETAIN
     THE TWO-THIRDS MAJORITY IN PARLIAMENT. HOW ELSE CAN YOU
     EXPLAIN ITS IRRATIONALITY AND DISREGARD FOR FINANCIAL
     RESPONSIBILITY?”
Social media metrics
                                                                                                                                              TABLE 4

                                                 STORY FOCUS                          ENGAGEMENT           INFLUENCE        REACH     NET SENTIMENT
   This table shows numerical
   comparisons of monitored
                                                 OVERALL ECONOMY                               54.4%              57%       66.5%                -37.6
   subjects based on the following
   index: Engagement, Influence,                 PRIVATE SECTOR                                51.9%              56%       66.6%                -37.7
   Reach and Sentiment. For
   definition of the Social Media                PUBLIC SECTOR                                 49.4%              56%       60.8%                -13.1
   Metrics, please refer to the
   Appendix from page 27.                        THE RAKYAT                                    49.9%              54%       64.4%                -13.8




> Across the social media posts analysed,              employers, the revision of the My First Home       claiming that the current minimum wage salary
  discussions about the overall economy were           Scheme house price to RM400,000, as well as        is not enough to pay off the mortgage on a
  the most engaged (or triggered the highest           cash aids and book vouchers for students.          RM400,000 property in Malaysia.
  level of responses). This was partially a result
                                                   >   Revision of the upper limits of a property price
  of frequent criticisms of the government’s cash
                                                       under the My First Home Scheme was
  handouts, with suggestions that these
                                                       criticised by the rakyat. These conversations
  measures were implemented in order to win
                                                       commonly described the housing scheme as
  electoral votes rather than to impact on
                                                       “ineffective”, as the government had not
  Malaysia’s economic growth.
                                                       increased the minimum wage for private
> Private sector-related discussions also had          sector employees. The online public stated
  higher reach. These discussions frequently           that the government had shown a lack of
  related to the increase of the Employee              consideration by increasing the upper limit of
  Provident Fund (EPF) contribution by                 this property price, with some contributors



                                                                                                                                                   18
Top 10 channels
This chart shows the top 10 social media channels that discussed the topic of housing affordability over the report period.                CHART 18

                                                                                     LOWYAT.NET FORUM - KOPITIAM
                                   LOWYAT.NET
                                     FORUM -                                         FREE MALAYSIA TODAY
                                    KOPITIAM                                         MALAYSIAN MIRROR BLOG
                                      13.0% FREE
                                           MALAYSIA                                  LOWYAT.NET FORUM - FINANCE, BUSINESS & INVESTMENT
                                            TODAY
                  OTHERS                     10.5%                                   HORNBILL UNLEASHED
                   42.6%
                                                                                     CARI CHINESE FORUM - LOCAL POLITICS
                                                                                     CARIGOLD FORUM - ISU SEMASA
                                                                                     DETIKDAILY.NET FORUM - POLITIK SEMASA
                                                                                     LIM KIT SIANG BLOG
                                                                                     CARI FORUM - ISU SEMASA (CURRENT ISSUES)
                                                                                     OTHERS




TOP 10 CHANNELS

> Lowyat.NET Forum – Kopitiam was the leading social media channel, contributing more than 450 online posts on the Malaysian Budget. The
  online public in this forum frequently discussed the impact of the Budget proposals on Malaysian economic growth. In particular, the cash
  handouts and benefits for the public sector were commonly described as “election ploys” to win votes from civil servants and low-income groups.
> Discussions also related to impacts on the private sector, such as the effects of the increase of EPF contribution and the revision of house price
  under the My First Home scheme. This additionally included reviews by economists and local bankers of the “over-promised” Budget and the
  government’s “overly optimistic” speculation of 2012 GDP growth.
> The discussions from another two popular channels, the Cari Forum – Isu Semasa and DetikDaily.net Forum – Politik Semasa, included a large
  proportion of criticisms of the increased salaries and bonuses for civil servants. Contributors to these sites also frequently compared the Budget
  proposals from the opposition party to those from the government.



                                                                                                                                                  19
Leading messages in blogs
                                                                                                                                               CHART 19
                                                                                                             VOLUME
                                                                      0           5               10           15            20           25             30

                                       IS IN FAVOUR OF THE RAKYAT                                                                        24
                                                   IS NOT INCLUSIVE                                               15
                  DOES NOT PROMOTE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT                                             11
                               IS IN FAVOUR OF THE PUBLIC SECTOR                              8
OFFERS CLEAR MEASURES TO ENHANCE WELL-BEING OF THE RAKYAT                                     8
                                                       IS INCLUSIVE                       7
                         DOES NOT STIMULATE ECONOMIC GROWTH                               7
                                   STIMULATES ECONOMIC GROWTH                             7
                                           IS NOT TRANSFORMATIVE                      6
                                  IS NOT IN FAVOUR OF THE RAKYAT                      6
                         IS NOT IN FAVOUR OF THE PRIVATE SECTOR                       6
                                                                      FAV   UNFAV


> A total of 50 of blog posts were also analysed > Economists and opposition leaders claimed                means and not offering much clarity on the
  to determine the messages that they              that the Budget proposals will not lead to the           sources of funding for the Budget.
  conveyed about the Budget.                       sustainable development of the Malaysian
> The vocal critics of the Budget in the           economy, suggesting that the short-term
  blogosphere included leaders of the              approach of government spending in the
  opposition party such as Anwar Ibrahim, Lim      forms of subsidies and one-off payments to
  Kit Siang and Wan Azizah, as well as middle-     the people does not solve the problem of
  class citizens who were mainly professionals     rising living costs in the long term. Blogs also
  from the private sector. The most prevalent      included frequent attacks on the government
  criticisms from these groups related to the      for its “unrealistic” projection of GDP growth
  sustainability and inclusivity of the Budget.    and the Budget deficit target for 2012, with
                                                   criticisms that it was spending beyond its


                                                                                                                                                         20
Story line: 6 – 14 October 2011
 This chart shows the volume and sentiment of social media posts over the report period, with highlights of major stories in these conversations.

                                                                                               10 OCTOBER 2011                                        TOTAL MENTION: 417
7 OCTOBER 2011                                        TOTAL MENTION: 952
                                                                                               The volume of mentions increased on this day, after the opposition party reviewed the
The online discussions spiked when the Budget was announced. Discussions related
                                                                                               Budget allocation by the government. Engagement from representatives from the
to Budget allocation, in particularly speculation about the introduction of a GST, and
                                                                                               government and the opposition party was apparent in discussion across forums and
the implementation of the Budget. Much of the online public perceived the 2012
                                                                                               blogs on this day. Conversations suggested that the Budget distribution is inadequate to
Budget as a ploy by the government to gain electoral votes.
                                                                                               sustain Malaysia’s global economic growth, with widespread claims that the Budget
                                                                                               should cater to all levels of income groups.

 8 OCTOBER 2011                                   TOTAL MENTION: 691
                                                                                                      12 OCTOBER 2011                               TOTAL MENTION: 325
 Conversations continued to suggest that the Budget has failed to address a possible
                                                                                                      Discussions continued to relate to the government’s cash handouts, again with
 global recession. Budget 2012 was again described as perceived as tool for the
                                                                                                      claims that these handouts were allocated in order to win public votes in the
 government to win electoral votes. Middle-class citizens claimed they had received
                                                                                                      upcoming election without consideration of the impact of the Budget on
 the least benefits from the Budget, and that finance aids were targeted only at lower
                                                                                                      recession and low GDP growth.
 income groups.


                                                                                                                                                                        CHART 20
        1600                                                                                                                                                                 100



        1200                                                                                                                                                                 50




                                                                                                                                                                                   NET SENTIMENT
   VOLUME




            800                                                                                                                                                              0



            400                                                                                                                                                              -50



             0                                                                                                                                                               -100
                  6/10/2011      7/10/2011         8/10/2011         9/10/2011           10/10/2011      11/10/2011       12/10/2011        13/10/2011       14/10/2011
                                                                               VOL           NET SENTIMENT



                                                                                                                                                                                 21
Voice growth & channel growth

                                                                                                                              CHART 21
The voice growth chart shows the             VOICE GROWTH
number of unique voices that joined                  600
the digital conversation per day. This
provides an indication of how many
people were talking about the                        450
Malaysian Budget in the analysis




                                           VOLUME
period. The channel growth chart
                                                     300
shows the number of new channels
to which the conversation about the
Malaysian Budget spread over the                     150
period.

Both new voice and new channel                         0
                                                      04/10/11    06/10/11         08/10/11          10/10/11      12/10/11      14/10/11
growth peaked on 7 October, the
day that the Budget was announced.                                            NEW VOICES      CUMULATIVE GROWTH
The online conversations spiked with
speculations about Budget                                                                                                     CHART 22
allocation, particularly relating to the     CHANNEL GROWTH
introduction of a GST, and                          100
discussions of the implementation of
the Malaysia Budget 2012.
                                                     75
                                           VOLUME




                                                     50


                                                     25


                                                      0
                                                     04/10/11    06/10/11         08/10/11           10/10/11      12/10/11      14/10/11
                                                                             NEW CHANNELS      CUMULATIVE GROWTH

                                                                                                                                    22
Top influencers
Below are the most influential people in the period that contributed the posts on the Budget that were most frequently responded to.

                           13 OCTOBER 2011 01:11




USER
                     “
               CHANNEL
                           COMPARISONS with other countries indicate that we have too many civil servants for the population. Some 1.3 million civil
                           servants, together with retirees, accounted for nearly two-fifths of the Federal Government’s operating expenditure last year
                           of over RM150bil”. - http://forum.lowyat.net/topic/2068415
                                           INFLUENCE             TOTAL POSTS         SENTIMENT         URL
Polaris        Lowyat.NET Forum – Kopitiam 70                    27                  Negative          http://forum.lowyat.net/user/Polaris


                         11 OCTOBER 2011 18:20




USER
Malaysian Mirror
                     “   But beyond the lofty promises and glossy numbers, the so-called shadow budget, if ever it is implemented, could hurt rather
                         than benefit ordinary Malaysians.”- http://www.malaysianmirror.com/media-buzz-detail/6-nation/55159-putting-pakatans-
                         flawed-budget-under-scrutiny
                         CHANNEL
                         Blog
                                                INFLUENCE
                                                43
                                                                 TOTAL POSTS
                                                                 24
                                                                                     SENTIMENT
                                                                                     Negative
                                                                                                      URL
                                                                                                      http://www.malaysianmirror.com/index.html

                           11 OCTOBER 2011 3:38




USER
Free Malaysia Today
                     “     A government is more than a budget. It is not all money and mega projects and subsidies. The poor will remain poor no
                           matter what multi-billion ringgit transformation projects are rolled out.” -
                           http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/2011/10/11/battle-of-the-budgets/
                        CHANNEL
                        Blog
                                                INFLUENCE
                                                43
                                                                 TOTAL POSTS
                                                                 14
                                                                                      SENTIMENT
                                                                                      Negative
                                                                                                       URL
                                                                                                       http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/


                            8 OCTOBER 2011 00:00




USER
                     “      This Budget 2012 measures to put cash in the pockets of voters ahead of a general election expected soon.” -
                            http://hornbillunleashed.wordpress.com/2011/10/08/24226/.

                        CHANNEL                INFLUENCE        TOTAL POSTS          SENTIMENT          URL
Hornbill Unleashed      Blog                   43               27                   Negative           http://hornbillunleashed.wordpress.com


                                                                                                                                                   23
A P P E NDI X


Methodology and
glossary of terms
Media Monitors & Brandtology analysis
  This Media Analysis report uses both the                             ABOUT MEDIA MONITORS ANALYSIS
  CARMA® media content analysis                                        Media Monitors uses the CARMA® media
  methodology and Brandtology’s proprietary                            content analysis methodology. This
  Digital Conversation Management System                               methodology involves a systematic approach
  (DCMS) system to analyse news reporting and                          that turns media content into meaningful data
  social media conversations.                                          that can be analysed both quantitatively and
                                                                       qualitatively.
  This analysis measures both news media
  content and online conversations to derive
  actionable data from total media intelligence.                       ABOUT BRANDTOLOGY ANALYSIS

                                                                       Brandtology combines technology, processes
                                                                       and trained professionals to deliver accurate
                                                                       and relevant intelligence to clients.
                                                                       The proprietary opinion mining and sentiment
                                                                       analysis technologies aid organisations in
                                                                       listening to digital conversations across
                                                                       countries in multiple languages.




DISCLAIMER: While Media Monitors and Brandtology endeavour to provide accurate, reliable and complete information, Media Monitors and Brandtology make no representations in relation to the
accuracy, reliability or completeness of the information contained in this report. To the extent permitted by law, Media Monitors and Brandtology exclude all conditions, warranties and other obligations in
relation to the supply of this report and otherwise limits its liability to the amount paid by the recipient for the report. In no circumstances will Media Monitors and Brandtology be liable to the recipient or to
any third party for any consequential loss or damage, including loss of profit, in connection with the supply of this report.




                                                                                                                                                                                                          25
Average favourability, net sentiment explained
                                                                                                                    COLOUR
                                                                           RATING                    SCALE          USED

This Media Analysis report uses both the                                   Highly favourable          76 to 100
CARMA® media content analysis
methodology and Brandtology’s                                              Moderately favourable       56 to 75     Favourable
proprietary Digital Conversation
Management System (DCMS) system to                           Average       Slightly favourable         51 to 55




                                           News Media
compare and contrast news and social                      Favourability
media conversation.                                           Rating
                                                                           Neutral/balanced               50        Neutral
                                                          0 to 100 scale
The CARMA favourability rating and                         where 50 is
Brandtology’s sentiment score are                             neutral      Slightly unfavourable       45 to 49
comparable rating scales to assess
articles/conversations prominence and                                      Moderately unfavourable     30 to 44     Unfavourable
tonality.
                                                                           Highly unfavourable          0 to 30
The comparison of the two methodologies
is interpreted in a Likert 3-point scale                                   Very Positive             + 51 to +100
(Favourable/Neutral/                                                                                                Positive
Unfavourable versus Positive/Neutral/                      Sentiment       Positive                   +1 to +50
                                           Social Media




Negative) as shown in this table.                            Scale
                                                          -100 to +100
                                                                           Neutral                         0        Neutral
                                                              scale
                                                           where 0 is
                                                             neutral       Negative                    - 1 to -50
                                                                                                                    Negative
                                                                           Very Negative              -51 to -100




                                                                                                                                 26
News media analysis methodology
Best Practice Media Analysis

The Media Monitors’ best-practice media analysis uses a     An aggregate score is calculated based on these multiple     industry knowledge to identify key issues and attitudes
systematic approach to turn media content into              variables and presented on a 0–100 scale where 50 is         that appear in the media, answer clients’ key questions,
meaningful data. This approach analyses media content       neutral. This is an overall rating of the favourability of   and, where relevant, provide recommendations for further
both quantitatively and qualitatively.                      each media report towards the client organisation (and, if   action.
                                                            relevant, other organisations or competitors). This
Media Monitors uses the CARMA® media content                aggregate score is called the CARMA® Favourability           The consistency of analysis is ensured in three key ways:
analysis methodology, which is internationally recognised   Rating.
as one of the leading commercial systems available.         The average favourability is the aggregated rating of the    > Most of the variables analysed are objective criteria
CARMA® (Computer Aided Research and Media                   media coverage analysed. This can identify the potential       (such as media name, positioning, sources’ names);
Analysis) uses advanced technology to quantify media        impact of media reporting, and can be used to identify       > The somewhat more subjective topics and
content, and human intelligence to provide qualitative      trends and establish benchmarks for future data.               messages are identified by either exact phrasing or
insight and analysis.                                       The criteria for analysis (such as topics and specific key     acceptable alternatives, provided to researchers
                                                            messages) are set up uniquely for each individual client       before analysis begins; and
Media Monitors uses the CARMA® methodology to               by a team of media analysis experts. These experts bring     > Media Monitors uses multiple researchers on
qualitatively analyse media coverage by taking into         their industry knowledge to identify                           projects to minimise individual subjectivity.
account multiple variables. These include the:
                                                            Average Favourability Explained
> Placement of media reports (front page or lead item in
  broadcast media and websites);
> Positioning of organisation discussion (headline,
  prominent mentions, passing mentions);
> Image (photos, illustrations, charts, cartoons, or the
  image content of video);
> Topics discussed in the media and their relative
  importance to the client organisation;
> Messages, both favourable and unfavourable,
  communicated in media reports;
> Sources quoted (both organisation representatives
  and other individuals who make relevant comments in
  the media); and
> Tone of content (extreme language, adjectives and
  adverbs, metaphors or similes and other figures of
  speech).



                                                                                                                                                                          27
Social media analysis methodology & glossary of terms
                                                          Social Media Metrics Explained                                  Glossary of Terms
Brandtology social media analysis is based on
                                                          Engagement      Quantifies the content creation and response Category           This refers to the highest level referencing a
keywords and channels that have been identified by a
                                                          Index           level of a particular subject. This takes into                  logical grouping. A category may contain one
Social Media Consultant (SMCs). SMCs work closely
                                                                          account the number of conversations started,                    or more subjects.
with clients to determine what needs to be monitored,
                                                                          as well as the number of relevant comments
how best to do this and how to ensure the deliverables                                                                   Channel          A source being monitored for posts.
and reports meet the clients’ objectives.                                 and responses to the subject.
                                                                                                                                          Examples are forums, reviews, blogs, etc.
Using these keywords and channels, relevant data –        Influence       Reflects the level of influence of a group of
such as author, content, date of content and influence    Index           online contributors discussing a certain        Influence       The influence score weights the importance of
of author – is extracted from forums, blogs, news,                        subject. Influencers are broken down into       Score           the author/commenter within his/her channel.
reviews, Q&As, microblogs, public pages on social                         bands of Very High, High, Moderate, Low and                     The score is within the range of 0 to 100.
networking sites and video sites (comments only) from                     Very Low Influence. Online contributors who
                                                                                                                          Keyword         A keyword is used as a search term in the
the internet.                                                             are active content posters or garner more
                                                                                                                                          matching process to tag posts to the
                                                                          responses to their content will command a
The extracted data is processed by multilingual natural                                                                                   associated subject.
                                                                          higher individual influence score. High
language processors to identify sentiments along a
                                                                          Influencers have a higher weightage in          Mentions        Number of mentions or posts online.
five-point scale (very negative, negative, neutral,
                                                                          determining the Influencer Index score. The
positive, and very positive).
                                                                          higher the total Influence Index score, the     Online Public   Online public refers to a person or persons
Processed data is stored in databases and accessible                      more influential the group of online                            discussing, writing, or posting on social media
via our Digital Conversation Management System                            contributors discussing the subject are                         platforms like blogs, forum sites, Q&A sites,
(DCMS). Analysis based on proprietary algorithms is                       considered to be.                                               review sites or microblogs.
performed on the data to derive statistics, trends,
indexes and charts.                                       Net Sentiment Measures the ratio of positive to negative       Sentiment        Very Negative, Negative, Neutral, Positive
                                                                        posts. A sentiment index value greater than 1 Scale               and Very Positive.
A priority rating is also calculated based on a                         indicates a higher proportion of positive posts.
combination of the site and author influence.                                                                            Voice            An author creating the post or a commenter
                                                          Reach         Measures the width and depth of the subject’s                     that made a comment.
Social Media Analysts (SMAs) access the data via our
                                                                        reach across individual channels and unique
in-house ticketing system to ensure the relevancy and
                                                                        voices, respectively.                            Voice Growth     The Voice Growth chart shows the number of
accuracy of the data, as well as to train the system to
process data more efficiently on behalf of the clients.                                                                                   unique voices per day that have grown during
                                                                                                                                          the time period. This provides an indication of
Once SMAs have checked the posts for relevancy and                                                                                        a “viral” growth type of view to show how
sentiment, Social Media Research Analysts (SMRAs)                                                                                         many more people are mentioning the
check for trends and gather insights that would be                                                                                        subject.
relevant to the client, and produce a report.



                                                                                                                                                                             28
CO P YRI G HT © 2 0 11 ME DI A MO NI TO RS G RO UP.
A L L RI G HT S RE S E RV E D.

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Malaysia Budget 2012 Media Analysis

  • 1. All-Media Analysis Seminar Coverage on Malaysia Budget 2012 6 – 14 OCTOBER 2011
  • 2. Introduction This report presents the findings of media analysis of coverage between 6 and 14 October 2011. This period covers the date immediately before the announcement of the Malaysian 2012 Budget (7 October), up until a week after this announcement. For the purpose of this analysis, coverage was sampled proportionally The sample of online social media discussion has been chosen to be from a list of media outlets that were selected on the basis of: representative of overall social media posts. This is done by: > Audience size, beginning with the outlets that reach the largest (a) Selecting online posts for analysis from representative online audiences in the country; and channels; and > Volume of reporting. (b) Setting a sub-sample for each market based on proportional size. This resulted in a sample of 756 media reports for analysis. Thus, a spread of online posts across subjects, across the period has Social media analysis was also conducted on a representative sample of been analysed. The net sentiment shown throughout this report was the total 3,526 social media posts that originated from Malaysia in this determined from these sampled posts. time. The social media posts that were monitored by Brandtology A representative sample of blog posts were also analysed to determine appeared on forums, blogs, news websites, review sites, Q&As, the messages that they conveyed about the Budget, so that comparisons microblogs, the public pages of social networking sites and video sites could be drawn with those that were communicated in the analysed news (comments only). media coverage. 2
  • 3. Executive summary – story focus These charts show the story focus of each report, article or online post that was analysed over the period. CHART 1 > The Malaysian Budget 2012 was broadly labelled a “people’s Budget” in NEWS MEDIA the news media. Nearly half of the 600 60 analysed coverage focused on the 54.9 55.2 rakyat (citizens), with often detailed 53.0 FAVOURABILITY discussion of the possible impacts on 51.8 339 VOLUME citizens of the various policy announcements. This included the 300 50 government’s cash handouts – often 171 140 described in the media as “goodies” – 106 for various segments of society, such as lower income households, students and retirees. As a result of this sort of 0 40 THE RAKYAT OVERALL ECONOMY PUBLIC SECTOR PRIVATE SECTOR discussion, the overall analysed news FAV NEU UNFAV AVG FAV coverage was predominantly favourable. CHART 2 > As opposed to news media coverage, SOCIAL MEDIA (SAMPLED POSTS) the sentiment of social media 200 100 discussion of the Malaysian Budget 2012 was negative, particularly in the 145 141 NET SENTIMENT context of the economy and the private VOLUME sector. This negative sentiment was 100 -13.8 84 0 largely due to criticisms of “excessive” -37.6 cash handouts from the government, -13.1 53 with suggestions that this was aimed -37.7 only at winning electoral votes rather than at boosting Malaysia’s economic 0 -100 growth. THE RAKYAT OVERALL PUBLIC PRIVATE ECONOMY SECTOR SECTOR POS NEU NEG NET SENTIMENT 3
  • 4. Executive summary - leading topics These charts show the number of mentions of each topic in the analysed news media coverage and social media conversation. CHART 3 NEWS MEDIA The most often mentioned 400 60 topics in the analysed 56.0 56.5 54.9 55.5 news coverage were 53.5 53.6 FAVOURABILITY 52.9 53.4 52.5 individual taxes and 50.8 VOLUME 206 incentives, living costs, 175 165 160 160 200 50 142 128 public education and social 117 111 94 welfare. The media cited comments from various tax consultants who 0 40 commented on the viability INDIVIDUAL CIVIL LIVING BUDGET PUBLIC GROWTH SOCIAL MINISTRY GLOBAL CORPORATE TAX & SERVANTS COST IMPLEMENT- EDU- WELFARE ALLO- ECONOMY TAX & and possible impact of new SUBSIDIES ATION CATION CATION SUBSIDIES policies across the FAV NEU UNFAV AVG FAV different sectors. In comparison, the most CHART 4 frequently – and negatively SOCIAL MEDIA (SAMPLED POSTS) – discussed topic in the 200 100 analysed social media NET SENTIMENT conversations was the VOLUME Budget implementation. -4.5 -4.9 100 -14.8 -14.3 0 This suggests that the 76 -24.9 -25.0 47 -45.2 -47.0 -47.4 public has a relatively low 57 -36.5 27 26 25 21 20 confidence that the 19 17 government will deliver the 0 -100 measures that it has BUDGET CIVIL INDIVIDUAL HOUSING GROWTHCORPORATE SOCIAL LIVING GLOBAL EMPLOYMENT promised. IMPLEMENT- SERVANTS TAX & TAX & WELFARE COST ECONOMY ATION SUBSIDIES SUBSIDIES POS NEU NEG NET SENTIMENT 4
  • 5. Executive summary – further issues and conclusion > Consistently across both news and social media, the public appeared to contradictory to this message, such as “lack of reforms”, “no surprise” agree that the “losers” from the Budget announcement were the middle and “neutral impact to [the stock] market”. A considerable number of classes, minorities such as the disabled and private sector stakeholders. online posts criticised the Budget for neither providing permanent The online public criticised the high Budget allocation to civil servants for changes to the structure of Malaysia’s taxation system, nor guidance to bonus payouts and salary increments while low-income groups from the eliminate regulations and promote spending in order to build a strong private sector were neglected. domestic consumer market. > Across both news and social media, the most common criticisms of the CONCLUSION 2012 Budget were that it was short-sighted, not sustainable, and > Given the wide concerns expressed about the economic sustainability of “unrealistic” in terms of the prospects for the Malaysian economy in the the Budget proposals, the government could consider more proactively near future. Overall, opposition leaders and economists were among the communicating specific details about the proposals to the public. This most vocal critics of the Budget’s contribution to the sustainable could include providing more information about the development and development of the economy, while middle-class professionals mostly implementation of the projects, and addressing queries from the public in discussed its lack of inclusiveness. a timely manner. This will help to boost public confidence about the > The news media coverage analysed frequently quoted Chua Hak Bin, an government’s accountability in delivering the promises made in the economist from the Bank of America Merrill Lynch, who held a cautious Budget, especially in the current global economic climate. view on the growth outlook and, thus, the implementation of the Budget. > Although the Prime Minister and government ministers have an His comments resonated with those of other economists and opposition undeniably strong presence in news media, opposition leaders seem to party stakeholders. be utilising social media more effectively to communicate their > Some online posts further suggested that the civil services have become messages. Government representatives are still lacking a presence in highly politicised over the years due to higher distributions from the forums and blogs, whereas opposition leaders and members of the Budget going to civil servants in order to get them to support the middle-class were active in these areas. A greater government government. engagement in the social media space is therefore encouraged. > Speculation about whether the government would impose a Goods and > Future news and social media tracking should relate to the Services Tax (GST) appeared frequently before the Budget implementation process and results of high-profile projects, which are announcement. Although the GST was not introduced in Budget 2012, commonly the focus of media and public interest. This would include the online public expressed concerns that the government might impose financial aid offers for lower-income groups; ministry funding of projects the tax if they win the upcoming general election. such as the new women’s and children’s hospitals; upgrades of rural > Although the Prime Minister actively promoted the Budget as clinics; Kedai 1Malaysia; the Langkawi tourism project; and upgrades for “transformational”, this message did not appear frequently; instead, the the Royal Malaysian Police. analysed news and social media coverage reported comments that were 5
  • 6. Media type These charts show the breakdown of news media types and social media channels over the analysis period. CHART 5 CHART 6 NEWS MEDIA SOCIAL MEDIA SOCIAL TELEVISION & NETWORKING RADIO MICROBLOG SITE 7.9% 1.4% 3.1% PRESS BLOG 47.1% 44.4% ONLINE NEWS FORUM 45.0% 51.1% > During the report period, news media coverage of the Budget 2012 > Negative reporting appeared mostly in online news, blogs and other appeared much more prominently in both press and online outlets than social media channels. Nonetheless, some criticisms of the 2012 in broadcast media. Budget did also appear in news media coverage, and these criticisms > Analysed online news media included more critical discussions of the across the media types were somewhat aligned. This was especially Budget (especially in Harakah Daily and the Malaysian Insider), and the case with regard to the sustainability of the proposed government this online coverage was less favourable overall than press and spending and the inclusiveness of the Budget. broadcast coverage. 6
  • 7. Trend analysis This chart shows the volume and favourability of articles analysed over the report period. CHART 7 NEWS MEDIA The rakyat responded to various news The media focus shifted to The media discussed the government’s “over- articles, expressing their concerns about implementation of the Budget, 200 optimistic” target of 2012’s Budget deficit, and 60 and expectations of the Budget. specifically the allocations to worrying debt levels in Malaysia. government ministries. FAVOURABILITY VOLUME 100 50 0 40 THU 6 OCT FRI 7 OCT SAT 8 OCT SUN 9 OCT MON 10 OCT TUE 11 OCT WED 12 OCT THU 13 OCT FRI 14 OCT BUDGET DAY VOL AVG FAV This chart shows the volume and net sentiment of online posts analysed over the report period. CHART 8 SOCIAL MEDIA (SAMPLED POSTS) 200 Discussions continue about the 60 government’s handouts, with suggestions Discussion of opposition party Discussion related to speculation about that this was undertaken in order to win reviews of the government’s public votes in the upcoming election. NET SENTIMENT Budget allocation, particularly in terms Budget allocations. of a GST. VOLUME 100 0 0 -60 THU 6 OCT FRI 7 OCT SAT 8 OCT SUN 9 OCT MON 10 OCT TUE 11 OCT WED 12 OCT THU 13 OCT FRI 14 OCT BUDGET DAY VOL NET SENTIMENT 7
  • 8. Language breakdown CHART 9 A substantial proportion of the analysed news media coverage NEWS MEDIA TAMIL was in English and came from CHINESE 4.2% online news outlets, including 11.5% The Star Online, Yahoo! Malaysia and Malaysian Insider. Coverage by Malay-language media was more favourable than ENGLISH media in other languages. Very 49.5% few unfavourable reports appeared in Malay-language press, and these largely MALAY consisted of articles about 34.8% complaints from minority interest groups such the Malaysian Trade Union Congress or lecturers from private colleges. Most of the CHART 10 unfavourable Malay-language SOCIAL MEDIA CHINESE coverage came from online news 6.4% channel Harakah Daily. The majority of social media conversations were in English, particularly the posts that appeared on the leading MALAY 35.1% channels. ENGLISH 58.5% 8
  • 9. Commentators/influencers Below are the leading news commentators and the most influential people in social media in the period that contributed to the topic Malaysia Budget that were most frequently reported or responded to. TABLE 1 TABLE 2 AVG INFLUENCE SENT- NEWS COMMENTATORS VOL INFLUENCERS CHANNELS VOL FAV SCORE IMENT DATUK SERI NAJIB TUN RAZAK, MALAYSIA PRIME LOWYAT.NET 67 58.0 POLARIS 27 70 -8 MINISTER FORUM– KOPITIAM DATUK DR. AWANG ADEK HUSSEIN, DEPUTY FINANCE EDITOR@ 15 55.0 HORNBILL MINISTER HORNBILL 27 43 -2 UNLEASHED UNLEASHED TAN SRI MUHYIDDIN YASSIN, MALAYSIA DEPUTY PRIME 12 54.2 MALAYSIAN MALAYSIAN MIRROR MINISTER 24 43 -25 MIRROR BLOG DATUK SERI LIOW TIONG LAI, MINISTER OF HEALTH 12 54.6 LOWYAT.NET ROBERTNGO 3 100 0 FORUM– KOPITIAM DATUK MUKHRIZ TUN MAHATHIR, DEPUTY MINISTER THE BURSA M’SIA 11 54.5 OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE & INDUSTRY SALAHDIN FORUM – PERSONAL 3 50 0 FINANCE DATUK SERI ANWAR IBRAHIM, OPPOSITION LEADER 9 44.4 LOWYAT.NET JOE_MAMAK 2 100 -13 FORUM– KOPITIAM DATUK SERI DR. NG YEN YEN, MINISTER OF TOURISM 8 55.0 MIRI COMMUNITY RYUNARUTO 2 90 0 FORUM – LOUNGE CHUA HAK BIN, BANK OF AMERICA MERRILL LYNCH 8 46.9 MIRI COMMUNITY ECONOMIST RELAXJACK 2 65 -13 FORUM – LOUNGE TONY PUA, MEMBER OF PARLIAMENT FOR PETALING 8 45.6 LOWYAT.NET JAYA UTARA FLAMING_LION 1 72 0 FORUM– KOPITIAM DATUK SERI AHMAD HUSNI MOHAMAD HANADZLAH, 8 58.1 READZZAL TWITTER – MALAYSIA 1 56 0 SECOND MINISTER OF FINANCE 9
  • 10. CO NT E NT A NA LYS I S FRO M NE W S ME DI A News media findings
  • 11. Story focus CHART 11 600 60 This chart shows the story focus of each news media 54.9 55.2 report. Story focus relates to 450 53.0 55 FAVOURABILITY the main focus of the report, 339 51.8 VOLUME and each report can have only one story focus. The chart also 300 50 shows a breakdown of 171 favourable, neutral and 140 150 106 45 unfavourable reports, and the average favourability of the coverage that focused on each 0 40 main theme. THE RAKYAT OVERALL ECONOMY PUBLIC SECTOR PRIVATE SECTOR FAV NEU UNFAV AVG FAV > Most of the rakyat-focused coverage related to the and children as well as common folks requiring that would lay a strong foundation for better rising cost of living, with discussion of incentives legal aid.’” (The Star, 8 October 2011). remuneration. Coverage stated that these policies and assistance in the Budget for housing and were targeted at increasing productivity in the > Most of the reporting that focused on the economy public education. This coverage often linked to the public sector and enhancing government discussed the government’s optimistic target of announcement by the Malaysian Prime Minister, effectiveness in the long-term. reducing the 2012 Budget deficit to 4.7% of gross Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak, that this year’s domestic product (GDP), down from 5.4% in 2011. > A low volume of coverage focused on the private Budget aimed to enable the government to provide Some key economists and opposition leaders sector, but these stories were slightly favourable for the wellbeing of the people and the prosperity questioned the viability of the government’s fiscal overall. Reports noted that the government’s move of the nation. Coverage included: deficit target and economic growth projections, to further liberalise 17 services sub-sectors over “The Star columnist, Yap Leng Kuen writes, ‘It was given the gloomy outlook for the global economy. the course of 2012, with the aim of accelerating quite a refreshing change, listening to the Budget investment, had been welcomed by many industry > Public sector-focused reporting was the most 2012 proposals that provide an encompassing sources. Coverage stated that this liberalisation favourable overall. Minister sources, who have view of the multi-faceted interests and problems of would enhance the dynamism of industry, and vested interests in their specific ministries, tended the rakyat. The Government has made attempts to would widen opportunities for new and existing to praise the Budget allocation that had been show that it cares about the quality of education businesses to expand both within Malaysia and proposed by the Prime Minister for their ministry. and medical care, the plight of teachers, doctors outside. Civil servants, in particular, were described as working in government hospitals, retirees, women benefiting from a new annual increment structure 11
  • 12. Leading topics CHART 12 400 60 56.0 56.5 55.5 54.9 300 53.5 53.6 53.4 55 52.9 52.5 FAVOURABILITY 50.8 VOLUME 206 200 175 165 50 160 160 142 128 117 111 94 100 45 0 40 INDIVIDUAL CIVIL LIVING BUDGET PUBLIC GROWTH SOCIAL MINISTRY GLOBAL CORPORATE TAX & SERVANTS COST IMPLEMENT- EDUCATION WELFARE ALLOCATION ECONOMY TAX & SUBSIDIES ATION SUBSIDIES FAV NEU UNFAV AVG FAV This chart shows the number of mentions of each topic in the analysed government’s accountability in delivering its promises to the people. news media coverage. The chart shows the volume of favourable, neutral > The least favourably discussed topic was the global economy. This and unfavourable mentions of each topic, as well as the average was understandable, given the underlying negative tone of reporting favourability of the reports that mentioned each topic. about the global economic outlook. Discussion of the topic was > The leading topic, individual taxes and subsidies, was often mentioned widespread, especially in terms of how the Budget proposals were in the context of various comments from tax consultants. Most of these drafted to face the challenging economic conditions. For example: experts were reported to have commended the viability and the “The grossly weakened global economy and the worldwide increase in necessity of the introduction of these taxes and subsidies, frequently energy prices have driven the cost of almost every other consumer citing current economic conditions for the rakyat. Interestingly, the item and service, including those of food, sharply higher … Najib, who coverage that mentioned taxes and subsidies also often discussed is also finance minister, said the 2012 Budget would be about the other stakeholders, such the private sector and civil servants. government delivering on its promise to ensure social justice while > Budget implementation was also frequently mentioned alongside other keeping Malaysia on a strong economic course that will deliver long- relevant topics, either through constructive suggestions about how the term prosperity for all” (The New Straits Times, 7 October 2011). government should implement its Budget proposals, or criticisms of the 12
  • 13. Leading messages CHART 13 VOLUME 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 This chart shows the leading IS IN FAVOUR OF THE RAKYAT 240 tracked messages by volume IS IN FAVOUR OF THE PUBLIC SECTOR 89 that appeared in the analysed OFFERS CLEAR MEASURES TO ENHANCE Malaysia budget coverage. THE WELL-BEING OF THE RAKYAT 69 Messages can be implied in STIMULATES ECONOMIC GROWTH 56 reporting or conveyed explicitly, and can be either IS INCLUSIVE 55 favourable or unfavourable. DOES NOT PROMOTE SUSTAINABLE 37 DEVELOPMENT IS IN FAVOUR OF THE PRIVATE SECTOR 34 FAV UNFAV > The overall favourability of the news media groups to deal with rising living costs. For government for the generous allocation to the towards the Budget was quite favourable, and example, the message appeared in reports on public sector in terms of ministry funding and the leading messages were overwhelmingly the provision of RM500 to households that salary increases for civil servants. favourable. earn less than RM3,000 per month, and free school fees for primary and secondary > News media reported extensively that the education. Budget is in favour of the rakyat, largely as a result of the theme of this year’s Budget being > The Budget is in favour of the public sector “Welfare for the Rakyat, Well Being for the was another favourable message that Nation”. This message mainly appeared in appeared prominently in both news media. praise of the various measures that the This message was expressed mainly by the government was taking to alleviate the burden various ministries and civil servants (and of the people, especially to help lower income representatives), as they thanked the 13
  • 14. Stakeholder satisfaction The three pie charts show the proportions of expressions of satisfaction against expressions of dissatisfaction for the three broad stakeholder groups – public sector, private sector and rakyat. CHART 14 CHART 15 PRIVATE SECTOR PUBLIC SECTOR PUBLIC PRIVATE SECTOR IS SECTOR IS NOT NOT SATISFIED SATISFIED WITH THE WITH THE BUDGET BUDGET PRIVATE 10.7% PUBLIC 28.2% SECTOR IS SECTOR IS SATISFIED SATISFIED WITH THE WITH THE BUDGET BUDGET 71.8% 89.3% CHART 16 > Only about a quarter of the analysed coverage contained an overt RAKYAT RAKYAT IS expression of satisfaction or dissatisfaction with the 2012 Budget. NOT > Public sector expressions of satisfaction/dissatisfaction appeared SATISFIED WITH THE most often, with Budget 2012 coverage discussing the extensive BUDGET allocations for this sector, and commonly citing ministry 22.1% spokespeople in relation to their relevant areas. The relatively high RAKYAT IS proportion of expressions of satisfaction/dissatisfaction by the SATISFIED WITH THE rakyat was found mainly in letters-to-the-editor, or opinion or news BUDGET articles that contained comments from members of the public. 77.9% > Notably, 40% of total analysed letters-to-the-editor and opinion articles were neutral in tone (50.0 rating on the CARMA favourability scale), as a result of expressions of both satisfaction and dissatisfaction in the same media report. 14
  • 15. Leading media by language TABLE 3 AVERAGE LANGUAGE MEDIA OUTLETS AUDIENCE VOLUME FAVOURABILITY THE STAR ONLINE 674,424 89 53.8 YAHOO! MALAYSIA 60,630 58 53.3 ENGLISH MALAYSIAN INSIDER 456,895 47 48.4 (ALTERNATIVE NEWS) UTUSAN MALAYSIA 41,413,162 71 54.1 UTUSAN ONLINE 407,925 58 56.1 MALAY HARAKAH DAILY 349,027 20 42.3 (ALTERNATIVE NEWS) SIN CHEW JIT POH 36,987,648 47 54.5 CHINESE CHINA PRESS 18,870,540 38 52.6 MALAYSIA NANBAN 2,760,000 18 53.6 TAMIL MAKKAI OSAI 52,000 13 54.6 15
  • 16. Leading commentators CHART 17 160 80 120 65 FAVOURABILITY 58.0 55.0 54.2 54.6 54.5 VOLUME 80 67 44.4 50 40 35 15 12 12 11 9 0 20 DATUK SERI NAJIB TUN DATUK DR. AWANG TAN SRI MUHYIDDIN DATUK SERI LIOW DATUK MUKHRIZ TUN DATUK SERI ANWAR RAZAK, MALAYSIA ADEK HUSSEIN, YASSIN, MALAYSIA TIONG LAI, MINISTER MAHATHIR, DEPUTY IBRAHIM, OPPOSITION PRIME MINISTER DEPUTY FINANCE DEPUTY PRIME OF HEALTH MINISTER OF LEADER MINISTER MINISTER INTERNATIONAL TRADE & INDUSTRY FAV COMMENT NEU COMMENT UNFAV COMMENT AVG FAV WHAT MEDIA SAYS WHAT MEDIA SAYS “[DEPUTY PRIME MINISTER AND] EDUCATION MINISTER “WHAT WE ARE SEEING FROM THE BUDGET IS ONLY ONE TAN SRI MUHYIDDIN YASSIN SAID THE BUDGET WHICH IS INDEBTING OUR CHILDREN, ENTRENCHING OUR REFLECTED A CARING GOVERNMENT, ADDING THAT IT STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS AND VERY WEAK EXPENDITURE WAS BASED ON SOUND IDEAS RECOMMENDED BY CONTROLS … OUR DEBT LEVELS WILL ONLY WORSEN IN THE ECONOMIC EXPERTS. ‘I THINK THIS HAS BEEN THE NEXT FEW YEARS AS WE EMBARK ON RECORD LEVELS OF BEST BUDGET SO FAR, AND IT ADDRESSES THE INFRASTRUCTURE SPENDING SUCH AS THE RM53 BILLION NEEDS OF ALL LAYERS OF SOCIETY, SUCH AS KLANG VALLEY MRT PROJECT WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BE FARMERS, FISHERMEN, CIVIL SERVANTS, FUNDED ENTIRELY ON DEBT’ [DAP MP TONY PUA] SAID IN A ENTREPRENEURS AND SO ON.’” STATEMENT” The Star, 8 October 2011 The Malaysian Insider, 7 October 2011 16
  • 17. FO CUS E S O N P E RCE P T I O N, O P I NI O N A ND B E HAV I O UR O F T HE P UB L I C FRO M T HE S O CI A L ME DI A Social media findings “ @HORNBILL UNLEASHED.WORDPRESS.COM, 11 OCTOBER 2011 “IN FACT, ‘ONE-OFF’ PAYMENTS ARE AKIN TO PLACEBOS THAT GIVE SHORT-TERM RELIEFS. RELIEFS THAT ARE PLAYS ON THE MIND RATHER THAN REALISTIC SOLUTIONS TO A MEDICAL AILMENT. AND THIS IS THE ESSENCE OF BUDGET 2012. IT IS A SHORT TERM PLACEBO, MEANT TO GRANT A ‘FEEL GOOD’ EFFECT AMONG A SELECT FEW OF THE POPULACE. JUST ENOUGH TO AFFECT THE 5% VOTE SWING BACK TO THE BARISAN NASIONAL IN ORDER TO RETAIN THE TWO-THIRDS MAJORITY IN PARLIAMENT. HOW ELSE CAN YOU EXPLAIN ITS IRRATIONALITY AND DISREGARD FOR FINANCIAL RESPONSIBILITY?”
  • 18. Social media metrics TABLE 4 STORY FOCUS ENGAGEMENT INFLUENCE REACH NET SENTIMENT This table shows numerical comparisons of monitored OVERALL ECONOMY 54.4% 57% 66.5% -37.6 subjects based on the following index: Engagement, Influence, PRIVATE SECTOR 51.9% 56% 66.6% -37.7 Reach and Sentiment. For definition of the Social Media PUBLIC SECTOR 49.4% 56% 60.8% -13.1 Metrics, please refer to the Appendix from page 27. THE RAKYAT 49.9% 54% 64.4% -13.8 > Across the social media posts analysed, employers, the revision of the My First Home claiming that the current minimum wage salary discussions about the overall economy were Scheme house price to RM400,000, as well as is not enough to pay off the mortgage on a the most engaged (or triggered the highest cash aids and book vouchers for students. RM400,000 property in Malaysia. level of responses). This was partially a result > Revision of the upper limits of a property price of frequent criticisms of the government’s cash under the My First Home Scheme was handouts, with suggestions that these criticised by the rakyat. These conversations measures were implemented in order to win commonly described the housing scheme as electoral votes rather than to impact on “ineffective”, as the government had not Malaysia’s economic growth. increased the minimum wage for private > Private sector-related discussions also had sector employees. The online public stated higher reach. These discussions frequently that the government had shown a lack of related to the increase of the Employee consideration by increasing the upper limit of Provident Fund (EPF) contribution by this property price, with some contributors 18
  • 19. Top 10 channels This chart shows the top 10 social media channels that discussed the topic of housing affordability over the report period. CHART 18 LOWYAT.NET FORUM - KOPITIAM LOWYAT.NET FORUM - FREE MALAYSIA TODAY KOPITIAM MALAYSIAN MIRROR BLOG 13.0% FREE MALAYSIA LOWYAT.NET FORUM - FINANCE, BUSINESS & INVESTMENT TODAY OTHERS 10.5% HORNBILL UNLEASHED 42.6% CARI CHINESE FORUM - LOCAL POLITICS CARIGOLD FORUM - ISU SEMASA DETIKDAILY.NET FORUM - POLITIK SEMASA LIM KIT SIANG BLOG CARI FORUM - ISU SEMASA (CURRENT ISSUES) OTHERS TOP 10 CHANNELS > Lowyat.NET Forum – Kopitiam was the leading social media channel, contributing more than 450 online posts on the Malaysian Budget. The online public in this forum frequently discussed the impact of the Budget proposals on Malaysian economic growth. In particular, the cash handouts and benefits for the public sector were commonly described as “election ploys” to win votes from civil servants and low-income groups. > Discussions also related to impacts on the private sector, such as the effects of the increase of EPF contribution and the revision of house price under the My First Home scheme. This additionally included reviews by economists and local bankers of the “over-promised” Budget and the government’s “overly optimistic” speculation of 2012 GDP growth. > The discussions from another two popular channels, the Cari Forum – Isu Semasa and DetikDaily.net Forum – Politik Semasa, included a large proportion of criticisms of the increased salaries and bonuses for civil servants. Contributors to these sites also frequently compared the Budget proposals from the opposition party to those from the government. 19
  • 20. Leading messages in blogs CHART 19 VOLUME 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 IS IN FAVOUR OF THE RAKYAT 24 IS NOT INCLUSIVE 15 DOES NOT PROMOTE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT 11 IS IN FAVOUR OF THE PUBLIC SECTOR 8 OFFERS CLEAR MEASURES TO ENHANCE WELL-BEING OF THE RAKYAT 8 IS INCLUSIVE 7 DOES NOT STIMULATE ECONOMIC GROWTH 7 STIMULATES ECONOMIC GROWTH 7 IS NOT TRANSFORMATIVE 6 IS NOT IN FAVOUR OF THE RAKYAT 6 IS NOT IN FAVOUR OF THE PRIVATE SECTOR 6 FAV UNFAV > A total of 50 of blog posts were also analysed > Economists and opposition leaders claimed means and not offering much clarity on the to determine the messages that they that the Budget proposals will not lead to the sources of funding for the Budget. conveyed about the Budget. sustainable development of the Malaysian > The vocal critics of the Budget in the economy, suggesting that the short-term blogosphere included leaders of the approach of government spending in the opposition party such as Anwar Ibrahim, Lim forms of subsidies and one-off payments to Kit Siang and Wan Azizah, as well as middle- the people does not solve the problem of class citizens who were mainly professionals rising living costs in the long term. Blogs also from the private sector. The most prevalent included frequent attacks on the government criticisms from these groups related to the for its “unrealistic” projection of GDP growth sustainability and inclusivity of the Budget. and the Budget deficit target for 2012, with criticisms that it was spending beyond its 20
  • 21. Story line: 6 – 14 October 2011 This chart shows the volume and sentiment of social media posts over the report period, with highlights of major stories in these conversations. 10 OCTOBER 2011 TOTAL MENTION: 417 7 OCTOBER 2011 TOTAL MENTION: 952 The volume of mentions increased on this day, after the opposition party reviewed the The online discussions spiked when the Budget was announced. Discussions related Budget allocation by the government. Engagement from representatives from the to Budget allocation, in particularly speculation about the introduction of a GST, and government and the opposition party was apparent in discussion across forums and the implementation of the Budget. Much of the online public perceived the 2012 blogs on this day. Conversations suggested that the Budget distribution is inadequate to Budget as a ploy by the government to gain electoral votes. sustain Malaysia’s global economic growth, with widespread claims that the Budget should cater to all levels of income groups. 8 OCTOBER 2011 TOTAL MENTION: 691 12 OCTOBER 2011 TOTAL MENTION: 325 Conversations continued to suggest that the Budget has failed to address a possible Discussions continued to relate to the government’s cash handouts, again with global recession. Budget 2012 was again described as perceived as tool for the claims that these handouts were allocated in order to win public votes in the government to win electoral votes. Middle-class citizens claimed they had received upcoming election without consideration of the impact of the Budget on the least benefits from the Budget, and that finance aids were targeted only at lower recession and low GDP growth. income groups. CHART 20 1600 100 1200 50 NET SENTIMENT VOLUME 800 0 400 -50 0 -100 6/10/2011 7/10/2011 8/10/2011 9/10/2011 10/10/2011 11/10/2011 12/10/2011 13/10/2011 14/10/2011 VOL NET SENTIMENT 21
  • 22. Voice growth & channel growth CHART 21 The voice growth chart shows the VOICE GROWTH number of unique voices that joined 600 the digital conversation per day. This provides an indication of how many people were talking about the 450 Malaysian Budget in the analysis VOLUME period. The channel growth chart 300 shows the number of new channels to which the conversation about the Malaysian Budget spread over the 150 period. Both new voice and new channel 0 04/10/11 06/10/11 08/10/11 10/10/11 12/10/11 14/10/11 growth peaked on 7 October, the day that the Budget was announced. NEW VOICES CUMULATIVE GROWTH The online conversations spiked with speculations about Budget CHART 22 allocation, particularly relating to the CHANNEL GROWTH introduction of a GST, and 100 discussions of the implementation of the Malaysia Budget 2012. 75 VOLUME 50 25 0 04/10/11 06/10/11 08/10/11 10/10/11 12/10/11 14/10/11 NEW CHANNELS CUMULATIVE GROWTH 22
  • 23. Top influencers Below are the most influential people in the period that contributed the posts on the Budget that were most frequently responded to. 13 OCTOBER 2011 01:11 USER “ CHANNEL COMPARISONS with other countries indicate that we have too many civil servants for the population. Some 1.3 million civil servants, together with retirees, accounted for nearly two-fifths of the Federal Government’s operating expenditure last year of over RM150bil”. - http://forum.lowyat.net/topic/2068415 INFLUENCE TOTAL POSTS SENTIMENT URL Polaris Lowyat.NET Forum – Kopitiam 70 27 Negative http://forum.lowyat.net/user/Polaris 11 OCTOBER 2011 18:20 USER Malaysian Mirror “ But beyond the lofty promises and glossy numbers, the so-called shadow budget, if ever it is implemented, could hurt rather than benefit ordinary Malaysians.”- http://www.malaysianmirror.com/media-buzz-detail/6-nation/55159-putting-pakatans- flawed-budget-under-scrutiny CHANNEL Blog INFLUENCE 43 TOTAL POSTS 24 SENTIMENT Negative URL http://www.malaysianmirror.com/index.html 11 OCTOBER 2011 3:38 USER Free Malaysia Today “ A government is more than a budget. It is not all money and mega projects and subsidies. The poor will remain poor no matter what multi-billion ringgit transformation projects are rolled out.” - http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/2011/10/11/battle-of-the-budgets/ CHANNEL Blog INFLUENCE 43 TOTAL POSTS 14 SENTIMENT Negative URL http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/ 8 OCTOBER 2011 00:00 USER “ This Budget 2012 measures to put cash in the pockets of voters ahead of a general election expected soon.” - http://hornbillunleashed.wordpress.com/2011/10/08/24226/. CHANNEL INFLUENCE TOTAL POSTS SENTIMENT URL Hornbill Unleashed Blog 43 27 Negative http://hornbillunleashed.wordpress.com 23
  • 24. A P P E NDI X Methodology and glossary of terms
  • 25. Media Monitors & Brandtology analysis This Media Analysis report uses both the ABOUT MEDIA MONITORS ANALYSIS CARMA® media content analysis Media Monitors uses the CARMA® media methodology and Brandtology’s proprietary content analysis methodology. This Digital Conversation Management System methodology involves a systematic approach (DCMS) system to analyse news reporting and that turns media content into meaningful data social media conversations. that can be analysed both quantitatively and qualitatively. This analysis measures both news media content and online conversations to derive actionable data from total media intelligence. ABOUT BRANDTOLOGY ANALYSIS Brandtology combines technology, processes and trained professionals to deliver accurate and relevant intelligence to clients. The proprietary opinion mining and sentiment analysis technologies aid organisations in listening to digital conversations across countries in multiple languages. DISCLAIMER: While Media Monitors and Brandtology endeavour to provide accurate, reliable and complete information, Media Monitors and Brandtology make no representations in relation to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the information contained in this report. To the extent permitted by law, Media Monitors and Brandtology exclude all conditions, warranties and other obligations in relation to the supply of this report and otherwise limits its liability to the amount paid by the recipient for the report. In no circumstances will Media Monitors and Brandtology be liable to the recipient or to any third party for any consequential loss or damage, including loss of profit, in connection with the supply of this report. 25
  • 26. Average favourability, net sentiment explained COLOUR RATING SCALE USED This Media Analysis report uses both the Highly favourable 76 to 100 CARMA® media content analysis methodology and Brandtology’s Moderately favourable 56 to 75 Favourable proprietary Digital Conversation Management System (DCMS) system to Average Slightly favourable 51 to 55 News Media compare and contrast news and social Favourability media conversation. Rating Neutral/balanced 50 Neutral 0 to 100 scale The CARMA favourability rating and where 50 is Brandtology’s sentiment score are neutral Slightly unfavourable 45 to 49 comparable rating scales to assess articles/conversations prominence and Moderately unfavourable 30 to 44 Unfavourable tonality. Highly unfavourable 0 to 30 The comparison of the two methodologies is interpreted in a Likert 3-point scale Very Positive + 51 to +100 (Favourable/Neutral/ Positive Unfavourable versus Positive/Neutral/ Sentiment Positive +1 to +50 Social Media Negative) as shown in this table. Scale -100 to +100 Neutral 0 Neutral scale where 0 is neutral Negative - 1 to -50 Negative Very Negative -51 to -100 26
  • 27. News media analysis methodology Best Practice Media Analysis The Media Monitors’ best-practice media analysis uses a An aggregate score is calculated based on these multiple industry knowledge to identify key issues and attitudes systematic approach to turn media content into variables and presented on a 0–100 scale where 50 is that appear in the media, answer clients’ key questions, meaningful data. This approach analyses media content neutral. This is an overall rating of the favourability of and, where relevant, provide recommendations for further both quantitatively and qualitatively. each media report towards the client organisation (and, if action. relevant, other organisations or competitors). This Media Monitors uses the CARMA® media content aggregate score is called the CARMA® Favourability The consistency of analysis is ensured in three key ways: analysis methodology, which is internationally recognised Rating. as one of the leading commercial systems available. The average favourability is the aggregated rating of the > Most of the variables analysed are objective criteria CARMA® (Computer Aided Research and Media media coverage analysed. This can identify the potential (such as media name, positioning, sources’ names); Analysis) uses advanced technology to quantify media impact of media reporting, and can be used to identify > The somewhat more subjective topics and content, and human intelligence to provide qualitative trends and establish benchmarks for future data. messages are identified by either exact phrasing or insight and analysis. The criteria for analysis (such as topics and specific key acceptable alternatives, provided to researchers messages) are set up uniquely for each individual client before analysis begins; and Media Monitors uses the CARMA® methodology to by a team of media analysis experts. These experts bring > Media Monitors uses multiple researchers on qualitatively analyse media coverage by taking into their industry knowledge to identify projects to minimise individual subjectivity. account multiple variables. These include the: Average Favourability Explained > Placement of media reports (front page or lead item in broadcast media and websites); > Positioning of organisation discussion (headline, prominent mentions, passing mentions); > Image (photos, illustrations, charts, cartoons, or the image content of video); > Topics discussed in the media and their relative importance to the client organisation; > Messages, both favourable and unfavourable, communicated in media reports; > Sources quoted (both organisation representatives and other individuals who make relevant comments in the media); and > Tone of content (extreme language, adjectives and adverbs, metaphors or similes and other figures of speech). 27
  • 28. Social media analysis methodology & glossary of terms Social Media Metrics Explained Glossary of Terms Brandtology social media analysis is based on Engagement Quantifies the content creation and response Category This refers to the highest level referencing a keywords and channels that have been identified by a Index level of a particular subject. This takes into logical grouping. A category may contain one Social Media Consultant (SMCs). SMCs work closely account the number of conversations started, or more subjects. with clients to determine what needs to be monitored, as well as the number of relevant comments how best to do this and how to ensure the deliverables Channel A source being monitored for posts. and reports meet the clients’ objectives. and responses to the subject. Examples are forums, reviews, blogs, etc. Using these keywords and channels, relevant data – Influence Reflects the level of influence of a group of such as author, content, date of content and influence Index online contributors discussing a certain Influence The influence score weights the importance of of author – is extracted from forums, blogs, news, subject. Influencers are broken down into Score the author/commenter within his/her channel. reviews, Q&As, microblogs, public pages on social bands of Very High, High, Moderate, Low and The score is within the range of 0 to 100. networking sites and video sites (comments only) from Very Low Influence. Online contributors who Keyword A keyword is used as a search term in the the internet. are active content posters or garner more matching process to tag posts to the responses to their content will command a The extracted data is processed by multilingual natural associated subject. higher individual influence score. High language processors to identify sentiments along a Influencers have a higher weightage in Mentions Number of mentions or posts online. five-point scale (very negative, negative, neutral, determining the Influencer Index score. The positive, and very positive). higher the total Influence Index score, the Online Public Online public refers to a person or persons Processed data is stored in databases and accessible more influential the group of online discussing, writing, or posting on social media via our Digital Conversation Management System contributors discussing the subject are platforms like blogs, forum sites, Q&A sites, (DCMS). Analysis based on proprietary algorithms is considered to be. review sites or microblogs. performed on the data to derive statistics, trends, indexes and charts. Net Sentiment Measures the ratio of positive to negative Sentiment Very Negative, Negative, Neutral, Positive posts. A sentiment index value greater than 1 Scale and Very Positive. A priority rating is also calculated based on a indicates a higher proportion of positive posts. combination of the site and author influence. Voice An author creating the post or a commenter Reach Measures the width and depth of the subject’s that made a comment. Social Media Analysts (SMAs) access the data via our reach across individual channels and unique in-house ticketing system to ensure the relevancy and voices, respectively. Voice Growth The Voice Growth chart shows the number of accuracy of the data, as well as to train the system to process data more efficiently on behalf of the clients. unique voices per day that have grown during the time period. This provides an indication of Once SMAs have checked the posts for relevancy and a “viral” growth type of view to show how sentiment, Social Media Research Analysts (SMRAs) many more people are mentioning the check for trends and gather insights that would be subject. relevant to the client, and produce a report. 28
  • 29. CO P YRI G HT © 2 0 11 ME DI A MO NI TO RS G RO UP. A L L RI G HT S RE S E RV E D.