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Baromètre politique Tunisie

                        3C Etudes


5ème vague, mars 2013

      www.3cetudes.com – blog.3cetudes.com
   3C Etudes. To See or not to See... That is the Question!




     3C Etudes. Tunis. Tunisie. hg@3cetudes.com      +216 71 942 001
Computer Assisted Telephony Interviewing
                                                                            
                                                                            
                 1609

                                                                            
                                                                            
                                                                            
                                                                8           
                                                                            




  1%     2%     3%     4%     5%    10%      20%        30%    40%    50%
 99%    98%    97%    96%    95%    90%      80%        70%    60%    50%
0,5%   0,7%   0,8%   1,0%   1,1%   1,5%     2,0%       2,2%   2,4%   2,4%


                                      -            -
11                                                                4
     33(-5)   22 (-2)     19 (+2) 63 (+5)           44 (+3)
(-3)                                                              (=)




                                                              /


                        %52 = 63/33 =       /

                                        -       -
7
    32 (+2)   25 (+2)   14 (-1) 59 (-2)           45 (-1)       9 (=)
(=)




                                                            /



                        %54 = 59/32 =         /

                                          -        -
6
     33(-1) 27 (+2)     16 (=)   53 (+2)       37 (+2)   14 (-1)
(-3)




                                                          /


                      %64 = 53/34=         /

                                      -          -
12 28 (-4) 16 (-3)
27 (=)   64 (+3)         37 (+3)                                8(+1)
                                            (-1)




                                                              /


                   %228 = 28/64 =       /

                                    -       -
66%
                                                                          %   –
59%




                 43%
                                                                         %    –
                                                                         %    –
                                                                         %     –
25%




  02   03   04     05   06   07   08   09   10       11   12   01   02   03
  12   12   12     12   12   12   12   12   12       12   12   13   13   13
                                                 -         -
–                                –

                                               38.5%

                                                                  30.9
                                                            29.4
                                                           28.7
                                                             29.8
                          9.2
                                12.2
               6.5
              5.9
               6.4
                    7.1
  2.1
1.1
  1.8
  1.9
 1.7
        3.1
 1.5
      2.3
 1.4
1.0
1.2
 1.4
                                       -   -
–                                      –




100.0%

90.0%                                                    1.9%
                                                                 2.4%
                                                                 3.5%
80.0%                            5.6%                    18.8%
         8.9%                                                    3.6%
                                 2.7%                                    11.6%
                                             5.7%
                 8.3%
70.0%    4.3%                    8.4%
                         6.2%                8.3%                16.8%   2.4%
                 4.8%
         9.9%                                            13.9%
                 5.8%    8.9%                7.1%                        11.6%
60.0%

50.0%                    12.4%
                                 36.9%                                   12.5%

         33.3%   29.7%                       26.4%       28.3%
40.0%

30.0%                    29.5%                                   60.8%

                                                                         43.1%
20.0%
                 29.1%           30.2%       30.5%       28.5%
         26.1%
10.0%
                         15.3%

 0.0%

                                         -           -
–                      –




90.0%

80.0%   8.3%        2.3%
        3.5%
70.0%               13.4%
        8.3%
60.0%
                    11.2%
50.0%
        30.5%
40.0%               24.7%

30.0%

20.0%
        32.4%
                    27.7%
10.0%

0.0%

                -          -
–                  -

                                      43.0   49,2

                    10.1                     6,8

              8.7                            6,0

        3.4                                  5,0

       3.1                                   4,0

      2.5                                    1,0

  2.1
                           13,9              1,2
                           11,7
 1.3                                         2,1
                            4,2
 1.2                        3,6              1,6

0.9                                          0,9

0.8                                          1,0

0.8                                          0,3

0.8                                          0,9

0.8                                          0,9

                              -   -
–               -



            :




    -   -
90.0

80.0                                                            3.0
                                                         1.3    2.0
              1.3
              1.7           1.9                   1.5           5.1
              1.3    1.1    1.0                   2.4    9.5
70.0          2.6    2.2    4.4        0.7
                                       0.7        4.4
       3.9           4.3               2.2                      7.1
                            2.4        3.7               3.2
       2.1    9.1    2.7                          6.3
       2.1                                               3.8
60.0   2.1           5.9    10.7       10.4                     11.1
                                                  6.3
       6.7
              9.9                                        13.9
50.0                 10.2
                                                  9.7
                                                                5.1
                            11.7       11.2
       12.6
                                                         4.4
40.0

30.0
              48.3                                              47.5
                     45.2                         43.7
20.0   38.9                 41.3       41.0              41.1


10.0

 0.0


                                   -          -
80.0

                  0.8
       2.6        3.8
70.0   2.0        3.0
       3.1
       2.7        5.1
60.0
       8.9        8.3

50.0              8.1
       11.0

40.0


30.0

                  44.8
20.0   41.9



10.0


 0.0


              -          -
%43,0



  %




  %


                         %10,1
  %                      %8,7
  %
                         %3,4
                         %3,1
   %                     %2,5
0,1%           0
               13   13    13
       -   -
52,1     – %47,9          2013




                       54.5%


       45.5%




                   -     -
100%

90%

80%    35.7%           36.1%   37.9%
               43.8%
                                           53.4%       50.3%
70%
                                                               67.0%   65.2%
60%

50%

40%

30%    64.3%           63.9%   62.1%
               56.3%
                                           46.6%       49.7%
20%
                                                               33.0%   34.8%
10%

 0%


                                       -           -
100%

90%

80%
       43.3%
                   50.3%
70%

60%

50%

40%

30%
       56.7%
                   49.7%
20%

10%

 0%


               -       -

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130321 0131 rapport baromètre politique 3 c etudes vague 15 - mars 2013 hb hg

  • 1. Baromètre politique Tunisie  3C Etudes 5ème vague, mars 2013 www.3cetudes.com – blog.3cetudes.com 3C Etudes. To See or not to See... That is the Question! 3C Etudes. Tunis. Tunisie. hg@3cetudes.com +216 71 942 001
  • 2. Computer Assisted Telephony Interviewing   1609    8   1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 99% 98% 97% 96% 95% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 0,5% 0,7% 0,8% 1,0% 1,1% 1,5% 2,0% 2,2% 2,4% 2,4% - -
  • 3. 11 4 33(-5) 22 (-2) 19 (+2) 63 (+5) 44 (+3) (-3) (=) / %52 = 63/33 = / - -
  • 4. 7 32 (+2) 25 (+2) 14 (-1) 59 (-2) 45 (-1) 9 (=) (=) / %54 = 59/32 = / - -
  • 5. 6 33(-1) 27 (+2) 16 (=) 53 (+2) 37 (+2) 14 (-1) (-3) / %64 = 53/34= / - -
  • 6. 12 28 (-4) 16 (-3) 27 (=) 64 (+3) 37 (+3) 8(+1) (-1) / %228 = 28/64 = / - -
  • 7. 66% % – 59% 43% % – % – % – 25% 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 - -
  • 8. – 38.5% 30.9 29.4 28.7 29.8 9.2 12.2 6.5 5.9 6.4 7.1 2.1 1.1 1.8 1.9 1.7 3.1 1.5 2.3 1.4 1.0 1.2 1.4 - -
  • 9. – 100.0% 90.0% 1.9% 2.4% 3.5% 80.0% 5.6% 18.8% 8.9% 3.6% 2.7% 11.6% 5.7% 8.3% 70.0% 4.3% 8.4% 6.2% 8.3% 16.8% 2.4% 4.8% 9.9% 13.9% 5.8% 8.9% 7.1% 11.6% 60.0% 50.0% 12.4% 36.9% 12.5% 33.3% 29.7% 26.4% 28.3% 40.0% 30.0% 29.5% 60.8% 43.1% 20.0% 29.1% 30.2% 30.5% 28.5% 26.1% 10.0% 15.3% 0.0% - -
  • 10. – 90.0% 80.0% 8.3% 2.3% 3.5% 70.0% 13.4% 8.3% 60.0% 11.2% 50.0% 30.5% 40.0% 24.7% 30.0% 20.0% 32.4% 27.7% 10.0% 0.0% - -
  • 11. - 43.0 49,2 10.1 6,8 8.7 6,0 3.4 5,0 3.1 4,0 2.5 1,0 2.1 13,9 1,2 11,7 1.3 2,1 4,2 1.2 3,6 1,6 0.9 0,9 0.8 1,0 0.8 0,3 0.8 0,9 0.8 0,9 - -
  • 12. - : - -
  • 13. 90.0 80.0 3.0 1.3 2.0 1.3 1.7 1.9 1.5 5.1 1.3 1.1 1.0 2.4 9.5 70.0 2.6 2.2 4.4 0.7 0.7 4.4 3.9 4.3 2.2 7.1 2.4 3.7 3.2 2.1 9.1 2.7 6.3 2.1 3.8 60.0 2.1 5.9 10.7 10.4 11.1 6.3 6.7 9.9 13.9 50.0 10.2 9.7 5.1 11.7 11.2 12.6 4.4 40.0 30.0 48.3 47.5 45.2 43.7 20.0 38.9 41.3 41.0 41.1 10.0 0.0 - -
  • 14. 80.0 0.8 2.6 3.8 70.0 2.0 3.0 3.1 2.7 5.1 60.0 8.9 8.3 50.0 8.1 11.0 40.0 30.0 44.8 20.0 41.9 10.0 0.0 - -
  • 15. %43,0 % % %10,1 % %8,7 % %3,4 %3,1 % %2,5 0,1% 0 13 13 13 - -
  • 16. 52,1 – %47,9 2013 54.5% 45.5% - -
  • 17. 100% 90% 80% 35.7% 36.1% 37.9% 43.8% 53.4% 50.3% 70% 67.0% 65.2% 60% 50% 40% 30% 64.3% 63.9% 62.1% 56.3% 46.6% 49.7% 20% 33.0% 34.8% 10% 0% - -
  • 18. 100% 90% 80% 43.3% 50.3% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 56.7% 49.7% 20% 10% 0% - -