This document discusses Masha Shunko's thesis on global supply chain planning and the impact of international taxation and transfer pricing. It outlines her objectives to study how tax considerations impact transfer pricing and operational decisions for global supply chains facing uncertainty. It presents her three proposed essays which analyze: 1) the role of transfer prices with random demand, 2) transfer pricing and offshoring with cost uncertainty, and 3) transfer pricing and sourcing strategies with cost and exchange rate uncertainty. The document provides context on transfer pricing concepts and literature relevant to her research.
1. Global Supply Chain Planning: Impact of International Taxation and Transfer Pricing Masha Shunko Committee members: Alan Scheller-Wolf Srinagesh Gavirneni Laurens Debo Lin Nan
15. Transfer pricing Legal background Flexibility of Transfer Pricing Rules (§1.482 IRC) Cost based methods Retail price methods Profit split method Negotiated method Alternate methods “Best method” 15
16. Transfer pricing Legal background Repatriation of profit Residence based taxation, deferral of taxation 16
17. Transfer pricing Legal background Repatriation of profit Residence based taxation, deferral of taxation Unrepatriated profits: 17
18. Transfer pricing Legal background Repatriation of profit Residence based taxation, deferral of taxation Unrepatriated profits: 18 * Wall Street Journal, April 22nd, 2009 “Titans Vow Overseas – Tax Fight”
19. Transfer pricing Legal background Repatriation of profit Residence based taxation, deferral of taxation Unrepatriated profits: General Electric** average tax rate reduction over 2008-2010 is 30.2 19 * Wall Street Journal, April 22nd, 2009 “Titans Vow Overseas – Tax Fight”
27. Literature review Accounting Transfer pricing models: Hirshleifer (1956), Horst (1972), Copithorne (1971), Hoffman (2001), Baldenius and Reichelstein (2006) Offshoring: Altshuler et al. (2001), Desai and Hines (2003), Clausing (2005) Operations Management Global sourcing: Kogut and Kulatilaka (1994), Kouvelis (1999) Global supply chain logistics: Vidal and Goetschalkcx (2001), Nieckels (1976), Cohen et al. (1989) Transfer pricing: Huh and Park (2008) 24
28. Thesis research objective Study the impact of tax considerations on the transfer pricing and operational decisions of global supply chains facing different sources of uncertainty 25
29. Thesis research objective Study the impact of tax considerations on the transfer pricing and operational decisions of global supply chains facing different sources of uncertainty 26
30. 27 Essay 1: Role of Transfer Prices in Global Supply Chains with Random Demands Masha Shunko Joint work with: Srinagesh Gavirneni, The Johnson School, Cornell University Published at: Journal of Industrial and Management Optimization, Volume 3, Number 1, February 2007, Pages 99 - 117
31. Essay 1: Research objective What is the impact of optimizing transfer prices on the global supply chain performance of a price-setting firm facing random demand? 28
32. Essay 1: Supply Chain Model 29 Headquarters Local selling division t Foreign producing division c, ¿ Decision variables Random variables Parameters
33. Essay 1: Supply Chain Model 30 Headquarters Local selling division t Foreign producing division c, ¿ P D(P, ²) Decision variables Random variables Parameters
34. Essay 1: Supply Chain Model 31 Headquarters Local selling division t Foreign producing division c, ¿ P D(P, ²) D(P)=a - b P + ² Decision variables Random variables Parameters
35. Essay 1: Supply Chain Model 32 Headquarters Local selling division t Foreign producing division c, ¿ Q at T P D(P, ²) D(P)=a - b P + ² Decision variables Random variables Parameters
36. Essay 1: Supply Chain Model 33 Headquarters Local selling division t, cO, cU Foreign producing division c, ¿ Q at T P D(P, ²) Decision variables Random variables Parameters
37. Essay 1: Supply Chain Model 34 Headquarters Local selling division t Foreign producing division c, ¿ Q at T P D(P, ²) Decision variables Random variables Parameters
38. Essay 1: Supply Chain Model 35 Headquarters Local selling division t Foreign producing division c, ¿ Q at T P D(P, ²) Decision variables Random variables Parameters
39. Essay 1: Timeline 36 Stage 1: HQ sets the transfer price T Stage 2:Selling division sets selling price P and ordering quantity Q Decision variables Random variables Parameters
40. Essay 1: Timeline 37 Stage 1: HQ sets the transfer price T Stage 2:Selling division sets selling price P and ordering quantity Q Decision variables Random variables Parameters
52. Essay 1: Conclusions Supply chains facing random demand achieve more benefit from optimizing transfer pricing The effects is highest for supply chains with: Low customer base High price elasticity High demand variability 49
53. 50 Essay 2: Transfer Pricing and Offshoring in Global Supply Chains with Cost Uncertainty Masha Shunko Joint work with: Laurens Debo, Booth School of Business, University of Chicago Srinagesh Gavirneni, The Johnson School, Cornell University Award: POMS Best Student Paper Award, May 2009
54. Essay 2: Research objectives What are the optimal pricing, sourcing, and transfer pricing strategies of global firms that face different tax rates and uncertain production costs at various business locations? How does organizational structure affect the sourcing and transfer pricing strategies of the global firm? 51
55. Essay 2: Global Supply Chain 52 Headquarters Local selling division t Foreign producing division c, ¿ P D(P)=a–bP Decision variables Random variables Parameters
56. Essay 2: Global Supply Chain 53 Headquarters Local selling division t Foreign producing division c, ¿ P D(P)=a–bP External supplier cE Decision variables Random variables Parameters
57. Essay 2: Global Supply Chain 54 Headquarters Local selling division t Foreign producing division c, ¿ Offshore: D(P) (1-¸) P D(P)=a–bP Outsource: D(P) ¸ External supplier cE Decision variables Random variables Parameters
58. Essay 2: Global Supply Chain 55 Headquarters Local selling division t Foreign producing division c, ¿ Offshore: D(P) (1-¸) P D(P)=a–bP Outsource: D(P) ¸ External supplier cE Decision variables Random variables Parameters
59. Essay 2: Global Supply Chain 56 Headquarters Information asymmetry Local selling division t Foreign producing division c, ¿ Offshore: D(P) (1-¸) P D(P)=a–bP Outsource: D(P) ¸ External supplier cE Decision variables Random variables Parameters
60. Essay 2: Global Supply Chain 57 Headquarters Information asymmetry Local selling division t Foreign producing division c, ¿ Offshore: D(P) (1-¸) P D(P)=a–bP Two point distribution: Outsource: D(P) ¸ External supplier cE Decision variables Random variables Parameters
69. Essay 2: Decentralized pricingPartial offshoring solution But there are legal bounds on T… Profit Offshoring T(¸)<® P(T(¸),¸) T(¸)=®P(T(¸),¸) Partial offshoring solution Parameters: ¹=0.4; »=1; b=0.4; t=0.35; ¿=0.2; c = 0.41; ®=1; CV=1; 66
70. Essay 2: What is the best organizational structure? Low tax differential, high coefficient of variation Fixed parameters: Foreign tax rate = 35% Local tax rate >= 30% CV=1 67 67
71. Essay 2: Conclusions Tradeoff curve Tax benefits lead to More full offshoring for centralized supply chains Partial offshoring for decentralized supply chains Optimal supply chain structure depends on the expected cost advantage 68
72. 69 Essay 3: Transfer Pricing and Sourcing Strategies in Global Supply Chains Facing Cost and Exchange Rate Uncertainty Masha Shunko Joint work with: Laurens Debo, Booth School of Business, University of Chicago Srinagesh Gavirneni, The Johnson School, Cornell University
73. Essay 3: Research objectives How does the foreign tax advantage impact the global sourcing decision? 70
74. Essay 3: Research objectives How does the foreign tax advantage impact the global sourcing decision? What strategies can supply chains use to facilitate global sourcing decisions under cost and exchange rate uncertainty? 71
75. Essay 3: Research objectives How does the foreign tax advantage impact the global sourcing decision? What strategies can supply chains use to facilitate global sourcing decisions under cost and exchange rate uncertainty? Decentralization strategy Flexibility strategy 72
76. Essay 3: Global Supply Chain 73 Headquarters Local selling division p, t Foreign producing division c e, ¿ Decision variables Random variables Parameters
77. Essay 3: Global Supply Chain 74 Headquarters Local selling division p, t Foreign producing division c e, ¿ External supplier θ Decision variables Random variables Parameters
78. Essay 3: Global Supply Chain 75 Headquarters Local selling division p, t Foreign producing division c e, ¿ Offshore Outsource External supplier θ Decision variables Random variables Parameters
79. Essay 3: Global Supply Chain 76 Headquarters Local selling division p, t Foreign producing division c e, ¿ Offshore Two point distributions: Outsource External supplier θ Decision variables Random variables Parameters
80. Essay 3: Global Supply Chain 77 Headquarters Local selling division p, t Foreign producing division c e, ¿ Offshore Two point distributions: Outsource External supplier θ Decision variables Random variables Parameters
81. Essay 3: Global Supply Chain 78 Headquarters Local selling division p, t Foreign producing division c e, ¿ Offshore Transfer atT Outsource External supplier θ Decision variables Random variables Parameters
82. Essay 3: Global Supply Chain 79 Headquarters Local selling division p, t Foreign producing division c e, ¿ Offshore Transfer at T Outsource External supplier θ Decision variables Random variables Parameters
83. Essay 3: Global Supply Chain 80 Headquarters Local selling division p, t Foreign producing division c e, ¿ Offshore Transfer at T Outsource External supplier θ Decision variables Random variables Parameters
84. Essay 3: Global Supply Chain 81 Headquarters Local selling division p, t Foreign producing division c e, ¿ Offshore Transfer at T Outsource External supplier θ Decision variables Random variables Parameters
85. Essay 3: Decentralized Supply ChainTimeline 82 Stage 1: HQ sets the transfer price (TF) and offers it to the LD Stage 2: LD makes the sourcing decision θ e, θ LD HQ Decision variables Random variables Parameters
86. Essay 3: Decentralized Supply ChainModel 83 Stage 1: HQ sets the transfer price (TF) and offers it to the LD Stage 2: LD makes the sourcing decision θ e, θ LD HQ Stage 1: Decision variables Random variables Parameters
87. Essay 3: Decentralized Supply ChainModel 84 Stage 1: HQ sets the transfer price (TF) and offers it to the LD Stage 2: LD makes the sourcing decision θ e, θ LD HQ Stage 1: Stage 2: Decision variables Random variables Parameters
88. Essay 3: Decentralized Supply ChainModel 85 Stage 1: HQ sets the transfer price (TF) and offers it to the LD Stage 2: LD makes the sourcing decision θ e, θ LD HQ Incentive constraints Stage 1: Stage 2: Decision variables Random variables Parameters
89. Essay 3: Decentralized Supply ChainSolution Outsource (offshore) when cost is low (high) Transfer price: 86
90. Essay 3: Decentralized Supply ChainSolution Outsource (offshore) when cost is low (high) Transfer price: 87 HQ profit Expected outsourcing cost
91. Essay 3: Decentralized Supply ChainSolution Outsource (offshore) when cost is low (high) Transfer price: 88 Relaxing incentive constraints… HQ profit With incentive constraints… Expected outsourcing cost
92. Essay 3: Decentralized Supply ChainSolution Outsource (offshore) when cost is low (high) Transfer price: Look at the brown line… 89 Relaxing incentive constraints… HQ profit With incentive constraints… Expected outsourcing cost
93. Essay 3: Decentralized Supply ChainImpact on Profit HQ profit without tax advantage: 90 HQ profit Expected outsourcing cost Parameters: ¿= 0.2, t = 0.2 ® = 1, p = 1.5, Á = 0.5, ¾µ = 0.1, c = 1
94. Essay 3: Decentralized Supply ChainImpact on Profit HQ profit without tax advantage: 91 Outsourcing is always better HQ profit Expected outsourcing cost Parameters: ¿= 0.2, t = 0.2 ® = 1, p = 1.5, Á = 0.5, ¾µ = 0.1, c = 1
95. Essay 3: Decentralized Supply ChainImpact on Profit HQ profit without tax advantage: 92 Outsourcing is always better Offshoring is always better HQ profit Expected outsourcing cost Parameters: ¿= 0.2, t = 0.2 ® = 1, p = 1.5, Á = 0.5, ¾µ = 0.1, c = 1
96. Essay 3: Decentralized Supply ChainImpact on Profit HQ profit without tax advantage: 93 Sourcing strategy depends on the realization HQ profit Expected outsourcing cost Parameters: ¿= 0.2, t = 0.2 ® = 1, p = 1.5, Á = 0.5, ¾µ = 0.1, c = 1
97. Essay 3: Decentralized Supply ChainImpact on Profit HQ profit without tax advantage: HQ profit with tax advantage: 94 HQ profit HQ profit Expected outsourcing cost Expected outsourcing cost Parameters: ¿= 0.2, t = 0.2 ® = 1, p = 1.5, Á = 0.5, ¾µ = 0.1, c = 1 Parameters: ¿= 0,t = 0.2, ® = 1, p = 1.5, Á= 0:5, ¾µ= 0.1, c=1
98. Essay 3: Decentralized Supply ChainImpact on Profit HQ profit without tax advantage: HQ profit with tax advantage: 95 HQ profit HQ profit Expected outsourcing cost Expected outsourcing cost Parameters: ¿= 0.2, t = 0.2 ® = 1, p = 1.5, Á = 0.5, ¾µ = 0.1, c = 1 Parameters: ¿= 0,t = 0.2, ® = 1, p = 1.5, Á= 0:5, ¾µ= 0.1, c=1
99. Essay 3: Decentralized Supply ChainImpact on Profit HQ profit without tax advantage: HQ profit with tax advantage: 96 HQ profit HQ profit Expected outsourcing cost Expected outsourcing cost Parameters: ¿= 0.2, t = 0.2 ® = 1, p = 1.5, Á = 0.5, ¾µ = 0.1, c = 1 Parameters: ¿= 0,t = 0.2, ® = 1, p = 1.5, Á= 0:5, ¾µ= 0.1, c=1
100. Essay 3: Decentralized Supply ChainImpact on Profit HQ profit without tax advantage: HQ profit with tax advantage: 97 HQ profit HQ profit Expected outsourcing cost Expected outsourcing cost Parameters: ¿= 0.2, t = 0.2 ® = 1, p = 1.5, Á = 0.5, ¾µ = 0.1, c = 1 Parameters: ¿= 0,t = 0.2, ® = 1, p = 1.5, Á= 0:5, ¾µ= 0.1, c=1
101. Essay 3: Decentralized Supply ChainImpact on Profit HQ profit without tax advantage: HQ profit with tax advantage: 98 HQ profit HQ profit Expected outsourcing cost Expected outsourcing cost Parameters: ¿= 0.2, t = 0.2 ® = 1, p = 1.5, Á = 0.5, ¾µ = 0.1, c = 1 Parameters: ¿= 0,t = 0.2, ® = 1, p = 1.5, Á= 0:5, ¾µ= 0.1, c=1
102. Essay 3: Decentralized Supply ChainImpact on Profit HQ profit without tax advantage: HQ profit with tax advantage: 99 HQ profit HQ profit Expected outsourcing cost Expected outsourcing cost Parameters: ¿= 0.2, t = 0.2 ® = 1, p = 1.5, Á = 0.5, ¾µ = 0.1, c = 1 Parameters: ¿= 0,t = 0.2, ® = 1, p = 1.5, Á= 0:5, ¾µ= 0.1, c=1
103. Essay 3: Decentralized Supply ChainImpact on Profit HQ profit without tax advantage: HQ profit with tax advantage: 100 HQ profit HQ profit Expected outsourcing cost Expected outsourcing cost Parameters: ¿= 0.2, t = 0.2 ® = 1, p = 1.5, Á = 0.5, ¾µ = 0.1, c = 1 Parameters: ¿= 0,t = 0.2, ® = 1, p = 1.5, Á= 0:5, ¾µ= 0.1, c=1
104. Essay 3: Decentralized Supply ChainBut… can we do better? Outsource (offshore) when cost is low (high) Transfer price: 101 Relaxing incentive constraints… HQ profit With incentive constraints… Expected outsourcing cost
105. Essay 3: Decentralized Flex-GSCTimeline 102 Stage 1: HQ makes flexibility investment (x) and sets contract with LD (TO,TF) Stage 2: LD chooses a transfer price from the contract and makes sourcing decision for non-flexible proportion (1-x) Stage 3: HQ makes sourcing decision for the flexible proportion x θ e, θ LD HQ Decision variables Random variables Parameters
106. Essay 3: Decentralized Flex-GSCLocal profit 103 Headquarters Local selling division p, t Foreign producing division c e, ¿ Offshore Transfer at T Outsource External supplier θ Decision variables Random variables Parameters
107. Essay 3: Decentralized Flex-GSCForeign profit 104 Headquarters Local selling division p, t Foreign producing division c e, ¿ Offshore Transfer at T Outsource External supplier θ Decision variables Random variables Parameters
108. Essay 3: Decentralized Flex-GSCHQ after-tax profit 105 Headquarters Local selling division p, t Foreign producing division c e, ¿ Offshore Transfer at T Outsource External supplier θ Decision variables Random variables Parameters
109. Essay 3: Decentralized Flex-GSCOptimization model 106 Stage 1: HQ makes flexibility investment (x) and sets contract with LD (TO,TF) Stage 2: LD chooses a transfer price from the contract and makes sourcing decision for non-flexible proportion (1-x) Stage 3: HQ makes sourcing decision for the flexible proportion x θ e, θ LD HQ Stage 1:
110. Essay 3: Decentralized Flex-GSCOptimization model Stage 1: HQ makes flexibility investment (x) and sets contract with LD (TO,TF) Stage 2: LD chooses a transfer price from the contract and makes sourcing decision for non-flexible proportion (1-x) Stage 3: HQ makes sourcing decision for the flexible proportion x θ e, θ LD HQ Stage 1: Stage 2: 107
111. Essay 3: Decentralized Flex-GSCOptimization model Stage 1: HQ makes flexibility investment (x) and sets contract with LD (TO,TF) Stage 2: LD chooses a transfer price from the contract and makes sourcing decision for non-flexible proportion (1-x) Stage 3: HQ makes sourcing decision for the flexible proportion x θ e, θ LD HQ Stage 1: Stage 2: Stage 3: 108
112. Essay 3: Decentralized Flex-GSCSolution Outsource (offshore) when cost is low (high) Transfer price: 109
113. Essay 3: Decentralized Flex-GSCSolution Outsource (offshore) when cost is low (high) Transfer price: Relaxing incentive constraints… HQ profit With incentive constraints… Expected outsourcing cost 110
114. Essay 3: Decentralized Flex-GSCSolution Outsource (offshore) when cost is low (high) Transfer price: Relaxing incentive constraints… Adding flexibility HQ profit With incentive constraints… Expected outsourcing cost 111
115.
116. Transfer price:Essay 3: Decentralized Flex-GSCBut… flexibility is not free Relaxing incentive constraints… Adding flexibility HQ profit With incentive constraints… Expected outsourcing cost 112
122. As cost of flexibility increases, profit decreases
123. How much flexibility do we need?Essay 3: Decentralized Flex-GSCBut… flexibility is not free Relaxing incentive constraints… Adding flexibility HQ profit With incentive constraints… Expected outsourcing cost 114
136. Essay 3: Conclusions Incorporate tax perspective into global SCM; Dual role of transfer price: incentive and tax; 127
137. Essay 3: Conclusions Incorporate tax perspective into global SCM; Dual role of transfer price: incentive and tax; Incentive role pushes the transfer price down; 128
138. Essay 3: Conclusions Incorporate tax perspective into global SCM; Dual role of transfer price: incentive and tax; Incentive role pushes the transfer price down; Higher outsourcing cost can be profitable for the firm. 129
139. Essay 3: Conclusions Incorporate tax perspective into global SCM; Dual role of transfer price: incentive and tax; Incentive role pushes the transfer price down; Higher outsourcing cost can be profitable for the firm. Flexibility loosens the incentive constraint on the transfer price and leads to higher tax benefits; 130
140. Essay 3: Conclusions Incorporate tax perspective into global SCM; Dual role of transfer price: incentive and tax; Incentive role pushes the transfer price down; Higher outsourcing cost can be profitable for the firm. Flexibility loosens the incentive constraint on the transfer price and leads to higher tax benefits; Flexibility is helpful when the cost variability is low. 131
141. Essay 3: Conclusions Incorporate tax perspective into global SCM; Dual role of transfer price: incentive and tax; Incentive role pushes the transfer price down; Higher outsourcing cost can be profitable for the firm. Flexibility loosens the incentive constraint on the transfer price and leads to higher tax benefits; Flexibility is helpful when the cost variability is low. Tax benefits make the centralized control optimal in more cases. 132
142. Proposal Incorporate flexibility in the form of postponement of the sourcing decision into Essay 3 Do pair-wise comparisons of decentralized structures Show the effect of exchange rate variability on the aforementioned comparisons 133
145. Why is it important for global SCM? What other factors are important for the global sourcing decision? Cost Exchange rate Demand Lead times Tariffs Availability Political stability Local content rules Import quotas and tariffs … 136
146. Decentralized Flex-GSCLocal profit 137 Headquarters Local selling division p, t Foreign producing division c e, ¿ Offshore Transfer at T Outsource External supplier θ Decision variables Random variables Parameters
147. Decentralized Flex-GSCForeign profit 138 Headquarters Local selling division p, t Foreign producing division c e, ¿ Offshore Transfer at T Outsource External supplier θ Decision variables Random variables Parameters
148. Decentralized Flex-GSCHQ after-tax profit 139 Headquarters Local selling division p, t Foreign producing division c e, ¿ Offshore Transfer at T Outsource External supplier θ Decision variables Random variables Parameters
149. Research overview Shunko M., L. Debo, S. Gavirneni “Transfer Pricing and Sourcing Strategies in Global Supply Chains”; Shunko M., L. Debo, S. Gavirneni “Transfer Pricing and Offshoring in Price-Setting Global Supply Chains with Cost Uncertainty”; Shunko M., S. Gavirneni “Role of Transfer Prices in Global Supply Chains with Random Demands”. Global Taxation, Transfer Pricing Supply Chain Management Accounting
150. Research overview Shunko M., G. Fenu, S. Kekre, A. Scheller-Wolf, V. Tardiff , S. Tayur, and T. Yunes· “Implementing a Bundling, Lane and Price Sheet Strategy for Caterpillar's Compact Construction Equipment Division” Cost of Complexity Supply Chain Management Accounting
151. Research overview Shunko M., S.H. Cho, P. Enders, and A. Scheller-Wolf, “Impact of Emergency Departments’ Delay Signaling on Patient and Hospitals Welfare”. Shunko M., A. Scheller-Wolf “Value of Information Sharing between Emergency Departments and Ambulance Crews”. ED Operations, Ambulance Diversion Health Care Management Supply Chain Management
152. 5-Year Research Agenda International Taxation and Transfer Pricing Intellectual Property, Royalty, Licensing Local Content Rules Healthcare Management Value of Information Sharing in Hospital Networks Inpatient Bed Assignment Strategies for ED Patients 143