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Technologies Trends and
Entrepreneurial Opportunities
National University of Singapore
Fudan University
December 8, 2007
By Steve Mushero
Technology Trends
About Steve
 Technology Guy
 Moved from Silicon Valley to Shanghai
 20 Years of Technology Management
 Worked at Startups, Global Companies,
and the United Nations
 Wrote book on Globalization
 Now CTO - 首席技术官 at Tudou 土豆
网
Technology Trends
你觉得什么?
 1990-2000 Trends ?
 2000-2006 Trends ?
 2007 Trends ?
 2008+ Trends ?
 Opportunities ?
Technology Trends
What are the Trends ?
 Internet
 Software
 Energy
 Medicine / Biotech
 Nanotech
 Transportation
 Basic Services
Technology Trends
Internet
 Web 1.0 
 Web 2.0 
 Web 3.0 !
 Email
 Spam   
 Social Networking – Your life on-line
 Video
Technology Trends
Internet
 Web 2.0 - UGC
 MySpace, Facebook, LinkedIn
 Video
 Link, mash, create
 Open Applets (Facebook/OpenSocial API)
 Advertising / Monitization
 Wireless (eventually)
 Video, gaming
Technology Trends
Facebook Situation
From Dave McClure (500Hats):
 50M+ users
 Half of them login daily
 Growing ~100% every 6-9 months
 $300M in fresh capital
 Probably running break-even or slightly profitable
 Innovations in Platform, APIs, Apps, News Feed
 FB app developers going gonzo building new stuff
 Everyone else chasing those developments
Technology Trends
Software
 Virtualization of everything (VMWare)
 Enterprise
 Compliance
 Workforce hiring, management
 Nuts & bolts operations
 Security
 Games !
Technology Trends
Energy
 Solar
 Materials / Technology
 Installation (Physical operations)
 Hydrogen
 Coal
 Clean, clean, clean
 Wind
 Pollution (less of it)
Technology Trends
Medicine & Biotech
 Vaccines
 New treatments
 Nanotech
 Devices of all types
 Easier to get to market
 CROs (Contract Research)
Technology Trends
Nanotech
 Basic Materials
 Biotech
 Viruses
 Devices
 Treatments
 Electronics
 Safety !
Technology Trends
Transportation
 Electric
 Tesla Motors
 MagLev
 Hybrid cars
 Fuels
Technology Trends
Basic Services
 Health Care
 Restaurants
 Tea Houses !
 Travel
 Delivery / Distribution (think Fedex)
 Service
 Service

Service
Technology Trends
Where will your future be ?
 Next Generation Technology
 Next Generation Business Models
 Always a mix of:
 Money
 Technology
 Market
 Marketing
 Execution
Technology Trends
谢谢你们!
 有问题吗?
我是:
Steve Mushero
Steve@SteveMushero.com
www.SteveMushero.com

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