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ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) in2015: Impacts & Benefits to Thailand’s Academic and Technology-based Business Sectors นเรศ ดำรงชัย nares@sti.or.th ผู้อำนวยการศูนย์คาดการณ์เทคโนโลยีเอเปค สำนักงานคณะกรรมการนโยบายวิทยาศาสตร์ เทคโนโลยี และนวัตกรรมแห่งชาติ
รู้จักอาเซียน & AEC
How do you imagine the ASEAN Community to be like in 2015? ASEAN Community ASEAN  Political-Security Community (APSC) ASEAN  Economic Community (AEC) ASEAN  Socio-Cultural Community (ASCC) Narrowing the Development GAP (NDG)
ASEAN at a glance: Facts and Figures (2009) Country Land Area (km2) Population (‘000) GDP (USD million) FDI (USD million) Total Trade (USD million) GDP (per capita) Brunei Darussalam           5,765           406.2       14,146.7           176.8         9,568.2       34,827.0 Cambodia        181,035      14,957.8       10,368.2           530.2         8,886.7            693.2 Indonesia     1,860,360    231,369.5     546,527.0        4,876.8     213,339.2         2,362.1 Lao PDR        236,800        5,922.1         5,579.2           318.6         2,962.1            942.1 Malaysia        330,252      28,306.7     193,107.7        1,381.0     280,221.4         6,822.1 Myanmar        676,577      59,534.3       24,972.8           578.6       10,191.3            419.5 Philippines        300,000      92,226.6     161,357.6        1,948.0       83,868.6         1,749.6 Singapore               710        4,987.6     182,701.7      16,256.2     515,617.1       36,631.2 Thailand        513,120      66,903.0     264,322.8        5,956.9     286,266.8         3,950.8 Viet Nam        331,051      86,024.6       96,317.1        7,600.0       25,921.9         1,104.2 ASEAN     4,435,670    590,638.3   1,499,400.8      39,623.0   1,536,843.3         2,533.5 2% of world GDP 10% of world population
Key Components of the AEC:ASEAN as a single market and production base Free flow of goods Free flow of services Free flow of investment Freer flow of capital Free flow of skilled labour
Simplifying Trade ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) – Eliminating tariffs and non-tariff barriers Simplifying, harmonising  and standardising trade and customs, processes, procedures and related information flows Customs integration to smoothen customs clearance Mutual Recognition Arrangements (MRAs)
Services ,[object Object],Investment ,[object Object],[object Object]
Research and Technology Strengthen research capabilities of each member country in terms  of promoting skills, job placements, and developing labour market information networks.  Promote cooperation, joint approaches and technology transfer among ASEAN Member Countries and international, regional organisations and private sector.  Develop joint strategies  / positions on issues of related interest to ASEAN with international organisations such as WTO, FAO, OIE, IPCC
โครงการท่าเรือน้ำลึกที่ทวาย
เส้นทางของ GMS Southern Corridor
ใครจะได้ประโยชน์จากการรวมอาเซียนเป็น AEC
Countries Stage of Development Source: WEF, The Global Competitiveness Report 2010–2011
Dr. Nares Damrongchai @2010 Please do not circulate outside APEC ISTWG 14 factor-driven innovation-driven efficiency-driven Countries Stage of Development Source: WEF, The Global Competitiveness Report 2010–2011
ความเหลื่อมล้ำในอาเซียน Photo from Flickr.com All rights reserved by liber
ปัญหาการกระจายรายได้ของไทยนั้น... ...แย่กว่า มาเลเซีย ฟิลิปปินส์ และ อินโดนีเซีย
80 ___% ของครัวเรือนทั่วประเทศไม่มีน้ำประปาในบ้าน
How much can you use  knowledge for development? Singapore, Malaysia and Thailandrank highest regarding their overall innovation performance.
ASEAN Source: World Bank, 2010
Thailand ---
อนาคตอาเซียนและอนาคตไทย
SWOT Thailand
Thailand’s Advantage Office space ‘Bangkok contains the most office space of any ASEAN city, including Singapore, according to research by Colliers International throughout Asia Pacific. Tokyo contains by far the greatest amount of space in Asia as a whole with around 10 times the amount as Bangkok. http://www.thaivest.com/bangkok-has-the-most-office-space-of-asean-cities/’
Percentage of Biotechnology Companies in Thailand in 2009 Source: Chanvarasuth N. and Indaraprasirt R.: Thailand Biotech Business: Product of the National Policy, Journal of Commercial Biotechnology 2009 15, 66-72
เป้าหมาย ~ปี 2016 1 % 15:10,000 30:70 หมายเหตุ :ปี 2007	 R&D Exp = 18,225 MB  R&D Exp : Gov : Private =10,935:7,290 MB 	 R&D Personnel  = 42,624 (man-year) ที่มา: สำนักงานคณะกรรมการนโยบายวิทยาศาสตร์ เทคโนโลยี และนวัตกรรมแห่งชาติ (ธันวาคม 2553)
Krabi Initiative 2010 Defining direction of ASEAN’s STI up to and beyond 2015 Science Technology and Innovation (STI) for a Competitive, Sustainable and Inclusive  ASEAN focusing on bottom-of-the-pyramid, youth, and green society Photo from Flickr.com All rights reserved by faha_ska
Krabi Initiative 2010:Science Technology and Innovation (STI) for a Competitive , Sustainable and Inclusive  ASEAN ASEAN 2015 – Vision of ASEAN Leaders Rationale Roles of STI – A Balance between Competitiveness and Human Development (People-oriented STI) Reinventing ASEAN Scientific Community for a Meaningful Delivery of STI Agenda in ASEAN ASEAN Innovation for Global Market Green Technology Digital Economy, New Media & Social Network Food Security Thematic Tracks Science  and Innovation for Life Biodiversity for Health & Wealth Water Management Energy Security Public-Private Partnership Platform  STI  for Green Society Bottom-of-the -Pyramid (BOP) Focus  Youth-focused Innovation STI Enculturation  Paradigm Shifts Organisational restructure for a meaningful delivery of STI agenda in ASEAN Develop mechanisms to pursue partnerships and cooperation with other stakeholders in STI  Courses of Action Enhance ASEAN Plan of Action on S&T for 2012-2015 and leverage the recommendations of the Krabi  Retreat for development of future APAST beyond 2015 Implement monitoring and evaluation mechanism for the implementation of STI thematic tracks Source: National Science Technology and Innovation Policy Office - Thailand, December 2010
100 … 83 … 75 Almost 80% of enterprises from all sectors in Thailand do not understand the benefits of regional integration.  Survey by the University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce (UTCC) Centre for International Trade Studies released recently http://www.asianewsnet.net/home/news.php?id=15526&sec=15

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Asean impact on biotech sector nares

  • 1. ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) in2015: Impacts & Benefits to Thailand’s Academic and Technology-based Business Sectors นเรศ ดำรงชัย nares@sti.or.th ผู้อำนวยการศูนย์คาดการณ์เทคโนโลยีเอเปค สำนักงานคณะกรรมการนโยบายวิทยาศาสตร์ เทคโนโลยี และนวัตกรรมแห่งชาติ
  • 3. How do you imagine the ASEAN Community to be like in 2015? ASEAN Community ASEAN Political-Security Community (APSC) ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) ASEAN Socio-Cultural Community (ASCC) Narrowing the Development GAP (NDG)
  • 4. ASEAN at a glance: Facts and Figures (2009) Country Land Area (km2) Population (‘000) GDP (USD million) FDI (USD million) Total Trade (USD million) GDP (per capita) Brunei Darussalam 5,765 406.2 14,146.7 176.8 9,568.2 34,827.0 Cambodia 181,035 14,957.8 10,368.2 530.2 8,886.7 693.2 Indonesia 1,860,360 231,369.5 546,527.0 4,876.8 213,339.2 2,362.1 Lao PDR 236,800 5,922.1 5,579.2 318.6 2,962.1 942.1 Malaysia 330,252 28,306.7 193,107.7 1,381.0 280,221.4 6,822.1 Myanmar 676,577 59,534.3 24,972.8 578.6 10,191.3 419.5 Philippines 300,000 92,226.6 161,357.6 1,948.0 83,868.6 1,749.6 Singapore 710 4,987.6 182,701.7 16,256.2 515,617.1 36,631.2 Thailand 513,120 66,903.0 264,322.8 5,956.9 286,266.8 3,950.8 Viet Nam 331,051 86,024.6 96,317.1 7,600.0 25,921.9 1,104.2 ASEAN 4,435,670 590,638.3 1,499,400.8 39,623.0 1,536,843.3 2,533.5 2% of world GDP 10% of world population
  • 5. Key Components of the AEC:ASEAN as a single market and production base Free flow of goods Free flow of services Free flow of investment Freer flow of capital Free flow of skilled labour
  • 6. Simplifying Trade ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) – Eliminating tariffs and non-tariff barriers Simplifying, harmonising and standardising trade and customs, processes, procedures and related information flows Customs integration to smoothen customs clearance Mutual Recognition Arrangements (MRAs)
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  • 8. Research and Technology Strengthen research capabilities of each member country in terms of promoting skills, job placements, and developing labour market information networks. Promote cooperation, joint approaches and technology transfer among ASEAN Member Countries and international, regional organisations and private sector. Develop joint strategies / positions on issues of related interest to ASEAN with international organisations such as WTO, FAO, OIE, IPCC
  • 12. Countries Stage of Development Source: WEF, The Global Competitiveness Report 2010–2011
  • 13. Dr. Nares Damrongchai @2010 Please do not circulate outside APEC ISTWG 14 factor-driven innovation-driven efficiency-driven Countries Stage of Development Source: WEF, The Global Competitiveness Report 2010–2011
  • 17. How much can you use knowledge for development? Singapore, Malaysia and Thailandrank highest regarding their overall innovation performance.
  • 18. ASEAN Source: World Bank, 2010
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  • 24. Thailand’s Advantage Office space ‘Bangkok contains the most office space of any ASEAN city, including Singapore, according to research by Colliers International throughout Asia Pacific. Tokyo contains by far the greatest amount of space in Asia as a whole with around 10 times the amount as Bangkok. http://www.thaivest.com/bangkok-has-the-most-office-space-of-asean-cities/’
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  • 26. Percentage of Biotechnology Companies in Thailand in 2009 Source: Chanvarasuth N. and Indaraprasirt R.: Thailand Biotech Business: Product of the National Policy, Journal of Commercial Biotechnology 2009 15, 66-72
  • 27. เป้าหมาย ~ปี 2016 1 % 15:10,000 30:70 หมายเหตุ :ปี 2007  R&D Exp = 18,225 MB  R&D Exp : Gov : Private =10,935:7,290 MB  R&D Personnel = 42,624 (man-year) ที่มา: สำนักงานคณะกรรมการนโยบายวิทยาศาสตร์ เทคโนโลยี และนวัตกรรมแห่งชาติ (ธันวาคม 2553)
  • 28. Krabi Initiative 2010 Defining direction of ASEAN’s STI up to and beyond 2015 Science Technology and Innovation (STI) for a Competitive, Sustainable and Inclusive ASEAN focusing on bottom-of-the-pyramid, youth, and green society Photo from Flickr.com All rights reserved by faha_ska
  • 29. Krabi Initiative 2010:Science Technology and Innovation (STI) for a Competitive , Sustainable and Inclusive ASEAN ASEAN 2015 – Vision of ASEAN Leaders Rationale Roles of STI – A Balance between Competitiveness and Human Development (People-oriented STI) Reinventing ASEAN Scientific Community for a Meaningful Delivery of STI Agenda in ASEAN ASEAN Innovation for Global Market Green Technology Digital Economy, New Media & Social Network Food Security Thematic Tracks Science and Innovation for Life Biodiversity for Health & Wealth Water Management Energy Security Public-Private Partnership Platform STI for Green Society Bottom-of-the -Pyramid (BOP) Focus Youth-focused Innovation STI Enculturation Paradigm Shifts Organisational restructure for a meaningful delivery of STI agenda in ASEAN Develop mechanisms to pursue partnerships and cooperation with other stakeholders in STI Courses of Action Enhance ASEAN Plan of Action on S&T for 2012-2015 and leverage the recommendations of the Krabi Retreat for development of future APAST beyond 2015 Implement monitoring and evaluation mechanism for the implementation of STI thematic tracks Source: National Science Technology and Innovation Policy Office - Thailand, December 2010
  • 30. 100 … 83 … 75 Almost 80% of enterprises from all sectors in Thailand do not understand the benefits of regional integration. Survey by the University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce (UTCC) Centre for International Trade Studies released recently http://www.asianewsnet.net/home/news.php?id=15526&sec=15
  • 31. There is less than 4 years!