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<< CHAPTER 13                                                                  < CONTENTS >
District Spatial Plan - Thrissur                                           TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT        161




                                Chapter – 14
                      TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT

14.1 INTRODUCTION                                            are the proposed second order settlements.
        Once the goals and objectives of the District Spa-   Kodungallur Municipal Council, Guruvayur Municipal
tial Plan are set, the ways and means to achieve them        Council and Grama Panchayats of Alagappanagar,
have to be explored. Formulation of Tentative devel-         Pananchery, Venkitangu, Valappad and Wadakkanchery
opment concept of the district by synthesis of the find-     are proposed as third order settlements. In general
ings of the spatial analysis and sectoral analysis, in the   there is one first order settlement, 5 second order
orbit of the goals and objectives, over the district plat-   settlements and 7 third order settlements in the Dis-
form that will provide the required development frame        trict. The first order settlement is supposed to provide
work for integrated development of the district is there-    higher order facilities in Education, Health and in other
fore attempted in this chapter.                              sectors to the entire district population and is
                                                             conceptualised as the regional centre of the district.
       This chapter discusses the Tentative develop-
                                                             The second order settlements are supposed to provide
ment concept derived for District Spatial Plan Thrissur.
                                                             second order facilities of various development sectors
We have the spatial structure of the district evolved
                                                             to the surrounding area and are hence envisaged as the
from the hierarchy of settlements, connectivity and
                                                             sub regional centers. A district level road network with
activity pattern. The environmental aspects of the dis-
                                                             roads of three hierarchies viz major roads, sub major
trict are also studied. Even though sectoral analysis of
                                                             roads and minor roads is suggested, such that it con-
some of the sectors are yet to be completed, we have
                                                             nects all the higher order settlements each other. The
results of sectoral analysis of following sectors namely
                                                             details of formation of development concept of Thrissur
Agriculture, Industries and Tourism which have physi-
                                                             district is described hereunder:
cal manifestation on land. The resource pattern of the
district evolved through spatial analysis of these sec-      14.2 DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT FORMATION
tors is also available. The development concept is de-
                                                                    Analysis of various parameters pertaining to the
rived by incorporating these with the spatial structure
                                                             development of the district and findings emerged out
of the district and that of the macro region.
                                                             from them clearly show that the district has
       As per the settlement analysis, it is found that      underutilized or un-utilized potential in primary as well
the settlements in the District can be grouped in to four    as in secondary sector. The district shows a flourishing
hierarchies. The future hierarchy of settlement of the       tertiary sector without having proper backward and for-
district evolved shows that Thrissur Municipal Corpo-        ward linkages with primary and secondary sectors. More
ration is the highest order settlement in the District.      over the district is bestowed with natural resources,
Chalakkudy Municipal Council, Irinjalakkuda Municipal        tourism potential spots, cultural richness etc. At the
Council, Kunnamkulam Municipal Council are the ex-           same time there are areas/regions of environmental
isting and Chelakkara and Mattathur Grama Panchayats         concern. The resource base of the district as well as

                                                                  Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
162       TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT                                                          District Spatial Plan - Thrissur

the spatial structure including transportation network          erates as never before. The loss of forest cover and
play a crucial role in the development of the district. In      conversion to other land uses can adversely affect fresh
addition, the spatial structure of the macro region, cov-       water supplies, threatening the survival of millions of
ering Thrissur and surrounding districts will also have a       people and damaging the environment. So, protection
determinant role in evolving the development concept.           of environment sensitive areas is important for ensur-
No doubt, the development concept for Thrissur shall            ing sustainable development.
be formulated only through a synthesis of all such fac-
                                                                        Environmentally sensitive areas of Thrissur Dis-
tors namely,
                                                                trict include the eastern forests, kole lands of the cen-
      1.         Environmentally sensitive areas                tral region, the coastal areas and the inland water bod-
                                                                ies of the district. (figure 14.1).
      2.         Spatial structure of the district
      3.         Resources pattern of the district              14.2.2 Spatial Structure of Thrissur District
      4.         Spatial structure of the macro region                 Spatial structure of the district is derived mainly
                                                                from Hierarchy of settlements and nodes, the trans-
      Since the sectoral analysis is incomplete, the re-
                                                                portation network and activity pattern. As per the settle-
sources pattern of the district is not fully evolved and
                                                                ment analysis, it is found that the settlements in the
only the development concept evolved here is tenta-
                                                                District can be grouped in to four hierarchies. The study
tive which may need fine tuning on completion of
                                                                of the suggested hierarchy of settlement of the district
sectoral analysis of all sectors.
                                                                shows that Thrissur Municipal Corporation is the high-
14.2.1 Environmentally Sensitive Areas                          est order settlement in the District. Chalakkudy Mu-
                                                                nicipal Council, Irinjalakkuda Municipal Council,
     Deforestation and environmental exploitation
                                                                Kunnamkulam Municipal Council, Chelakkara and
when reaches the pinnacle of endurance, nature reit-




                                      Fig: 14.1 Environmentally sensitive areas of the District

Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
District Spatial Plan - Thrissur                                                 TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT      163




                                        Fig: 14.2 Spatial structure of the District

Mattathur Grama Panchayats are the proposed second              profile is derived taking in to account occupational struc-
order settlements. In general there is one first order          ture and hierarchy of settlements, the land use con-
settlement, 5 second order settlements and 7 third or-          centration pattern is studied based on the land use
der settlements in the District. The first order settle-        analysis). The spatial structure derived is shown in fig
ment is supposed to provide higher order facilities in          14.2.
Education, Health and in other sectors to the entire dis-
trict population. The second order settlements are sup-
                                                                14.2.3 Resource Pattern of the District
posed to provide second order facilities of various de-         a. Agriculture
velopment sectors to the surrounding area. The pro-                    Nearly 25% of the total area of the district is un-
posed road network of the district is derived based on          der agricultural land use. Most of the agricultural areas
the hierarchy of settlements and nodes such that the            are concentrated in the mid land and high and regions
road network should connect the higher order settle-            of the district. Also the general character of settlements
ments and nodes.                                                shows that most of them are rural in nature, indicating
                                                                that there is scope for developing the agriculture sec-
       Activity pattern within the district is derived
                                                                tor as one of the economic base of the District.
based on the land use concentration pattern, functional
character and future urban profile. In other words the                 Four distinctive agriculture development pat-
activity pattern cover all the aspects taken for the study      terns can be clearly delineated in the district viz. the
of the settlements (functional character is determined          coastal and low land regions where homestead cultiva-
based on population distribution and land use, urban            tion, predominantly of coconut, arecanut, nutmug, jack-

                                                                      Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
164      TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT                                                       District Spatial Plan - Thrissur




                                          Fig.14.3 Spatial distribution of major crops
fruit etc. can be promoted; mixed cultivation area in        necting Thrissur Municipal Corporation with urban ac-
the low –mid land area where paddy cultivation (kole         tivity areas of the district such as Kunnamkulam-
land & pokkali area) has to be sustained and nut mug,        Chavakadu-Guruvayur and Irinjalakuda-Kodungallur-
plantain, vegetable and fodder cultivation etc can be        Methala. The concentration of house hold industries
promoted; intense crop cultivation area in the mid land      and hand loom industries are found along the coastal
where rubber to be sustained and pineapple, pepper,          areas and in Thiruvillwamala Grama Panchayat as well.
plantain, vegetable and paddy cultivation to a certain       The district also has potential for clay based industries,
extent etc. can be promoted and finally resource base        diamond & gold based industries, agro based indus-
area where forest resources are to be conserved. Here,       tries, handloom industries, book making industries etc.
intense afforestation has to be promoted while exist-
                                                                    The spatial distribution of industries in Thrissur
ing plantations and rubber and pepper cultivation are
                                                             district is shown in fig 14.4.
to be sustained. The spatial distribution of major crops
in Thrissur district is shown in fig. 14.3                   c. Tourism
                                                                   Thrissur district has got potential to develop the
b. Industry
                                                             tourism spots in connection with eco tourism, adven-
      The analysis of industrial sector shows the con-
                                                             ture tourism, religious tourism and heritage tourism.
centration of industrial activity (large, medium, small
                                                             The tourism potential areas include Thrissur Municipal
scale) in the south-west, south-east and north-west
                                                             Corporation, Guruvayoor Municipal Council,
regions of the district spatially located along the major
                                                             Kodungalloor Municipal Council, Irinjalakuda Munici-
transportation corridors such as NH-47, NH-17, SH con-
                                                             pal Council, Grama Panchayats of Athirappaly,

Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
District Spatial Plan - Thrissur                                                 TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT     165




                                         Fig: 14.4 Spatial distribution of industries


Mattathoor, Puthur, Vallathol Nagar, Varandarappilly            observed. Primary activity is more concentrated at the
etc.                                                            boundary between Thrissur and Palakkad districts.

14.2.4 Spatial Structure of the Macro Region                    14.3 THE TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT
       Influence of neighbouring Districts especially                  The development Tentative concept for Thrissur
Ernakulam, plays significant role in the development            District is derived integrating all the above factors with
of Thrissur district. The Thrissur – Kochi corridor linking     the development goals and objectives set for the dis-
Thrissur to the Metro City of Kochi, the trade and com-         trict. Hence the development concept embraces as-
mercial capital of the State, is functioning as a corridor      pects of:
of vibrant development. The spatial structure of this
                                                                         Environmental Protection & Sustainable devel-
region is shown in figure 14.5. A contiguous belt of
                                                                opment. include
coastal LSGs exhibiting prominence of tertiary activi-
ties supported by fisheries, Small Scale Industries and                  Optimum utilization of resources through inte-
House Hold Industries are existing in Thrissur and              gration of Primary, Secondary and Tertiary Sectors
Ernakulum districts. A contiguous belt of urban activity               Ensuring the local economic development and
covering Grama Panchayats of Methala, Eriyad, and               generation of better opportunities
Edavilngu and the Kodungallur Muncipal Council in                       Certain level of self-sufficiency in production
Thrissur district and extending upto Kochi can also be          (primary and secondary) sectors

                                                                      Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
166     TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT                                                   District Spatial Plan - Thrissur

        Balanced development and equitable spatial        14.6. As per the tentative development concept thus
distribution of facilities                                derived, the district is divided in to eight development
     The process of integrating these, to evolve de-      zones and future hierarchy of each settlement and
velopment concept is schematically shown in Figure        node are set and a future transportation network con-




                                Fig.14.5 Spatial structure of the macro region
Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
District Spatial Plan - Thrissur                                                TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT      167




                                   Fig: 14.6 Tentative Development concept - IDDP Thrissur

necting the higher order settlements and nodes are                     4.         Accelerated growth zone - Industrial
planned. A development zone is delineated by group-
                                                                       5.         Accelerated growth zone - Institutional
ing the settlements possessing similar major economic
activity pattern as per the Spatial Analysis. In other                 6.         Accelerated growth zone - Marine
words, the thrust development sector of each Grama                     7.         Multifunctional zone I
Panchayat or Municipal Council is specified. Develop-
                                                                       8.         Multifunctional zone II
ment Concept of Thrissur District is depicted in Figure
14.7. The list of LSGs in each development zone is given        14.4.1 Environmental Concern Zone
in Annexe 16.
                                                                      In order to preserve the environmentally sensi-
14.4 DEVELOPMENT ZONES                                          tive areas of the district so as to ensure sustainable
                                                                development, areas where environmentally sensitive
      The eight development zones evolved for
                                                                land uses are concentrated are delineated as Environ-
Thrissur district are as follows
                                                                mental Concern Zone. This zone includes the natural
       1.           Environmental Concern Zone.                 forests, environmentally sensitive ‘kole’ lands, the
       2.           Intensive Agricultural Zone                 coastal zone and inland water bodies of the district. In
                                                                Thrissur district the environmental sensitive areas are
       3.           Economic Development Corridor (EDC)

                                                                      Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
168      TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT                                                       District Spatial Plan - Thrissur

more concentrated in the eastern region where forest        rice granaries located in the central Kerala. These areas
is more concentrated. Peechi-Vazhani Sanctuary (situ-       are valuable assets of the district. So the protection of
ated in Wadakkanchery, Pazhayannur, Pananchery and          these areas is important. Activities that affect the wa-
Puthur Grama Panchayats) and Chimmony Wildlife              ter resources and natural drainage basin of these areas
Sanctuary (situated in Mattathur and Varantharapilly        are not permitted in this zone.
Grama Panchayats) are situated here. Within this zone,
                                                                   The coastal zone of the district and inland water
in the areas where natural forest land use is concen-
                                                            bodies of the district are also included in this zone and
trated, no activity that causes deforestation of any kind
                                                            their conservation deserve due attention.
shall be permitted. Afforestation, plantation, cultiva-
tion of crops like Rubber, Pineapple and Pepper are         14.4.2 Intensive Agricultural Zone
found most suitable in the non forest areas of this zone.          The intensive agricultural area as per the spatial
Forest related activities including eco tourism; Aromatic   analysis of settlement studies and the area of concen-
& Medicinal plant cultivation, small scale HH industry      tration of agricultural activity as per the spatial analysis
based on natural resources of the region, outlets for       of the Agricultural sector are included in Intensive agri-
forest related products. watershed related activity &       cultural zone of the district where intensive agricul-
soil conservation etc may also be promoted. Agricul-        tural activity can be promoted. The list of Grama
ture and Allied activity non detrimental to forests can     Panchayats which fall in Agro Development Zone is
be promoted as supporting activity in this zone while       given in Annexe 16. This zone is suitable for the inten-
deforestation, wet land reclamation, industrialization,     sive cultivation of crops like Paddy, Coconut, Arecanut,
urbanisation etc will be restricted here.                   Nutmeg, Plantain, Banana etc. and also for agro based
        Other environmentally sensitive areas of the dis-   industries like food processing units, coir industry etc.
trict include ‘kole’ lands in mid land region which are     In this zone providing agricultural infrastructure like




                                          Fig 14.7 Tentative Development concept
Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
District Spatial Plan - Thrissur                                               TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT          169
wholesale markets, seed centers, warehousing facili-             south, along either sides of Irinjalakuda – Thrissur –
ties etc for supporting the agriculture activities shall be      Shornur corridor where the activity pattern is ‘second-
given priority. This zone is also suitable for promoting         ary’ is delineated as Accelerated growth zone -Indus-
animal husbandry related activities.                             trial. In this Zone special types of developmental ac-
                                                                 tivities, in line with the existing activities, which are
       Thus Agriculture, small scale industries to pro-
                                                                 found very much suitable for those particular places,
mote value addition of produces of agriculture and ani-
                                                                 are intended. This zone should enhance the small scale
mal husbandry may be promoted as major activity in
                                                                 and house hold industrial activities which support value
this zone. Animal husbandry, SSI & HH industries may
                                                                 addition of agriculture, fisheries and marine products.
be promoted as supporting activity in this zone where
                                                                 This zone can also accommodate supporting industries
as conversion of agriculture land and urbanisation will
                                                                 which enhance the industrial activity in the Economic
be restricted.
                                                                 Development Corridor.
14.4.3 Economic Development Corridor (EDC).
                                                                 14.4.5 Accelerated growth zone - Institutional
       The areas where tertiary activities and second-
                                                                        The region along SH-69, (the transportation cor-
ary activities (especially industrial activity to trigger eco-
                                                                 ridor that connects Thrissur Municipal Corporation and
nomic development) are more concentrated or can be
                                                                 Kunnamkulam Municipal Council) is zoned as Acceler-
concentrated due to locational advantages are zoned
                                                                 ated growth zone –Institutional. Activities of the Grama
as the Economic Development Corridor (EDC). Two de-
                                                                 Panchayats in the region will definitely have influence
velopment corridors, namely the Thrissur - Ernakulam
                                                                 of the urban centers of Thrissur Municipal Corporation
(NH-47) corridor and Thrissur – Irinjalakuda -
                                                                 and Kunnamkulam Municipal Council. Social infrastruc-
Kodungalloor – Paravoor - Ernakulam (SH-22 & NH-17)
                                                                 ture facilities including hospitals, health institutions
corridor are gaining importance in this regard. This zone
                                                                 and educational facilities are already in existence in
is also influenced by Ernakulam, the commercial and
                                                                 the region and there is scope for future institutional
industrial hub of the state. Industrial activities, espe-
                                                                 developments here. The zone is located near to the
cially large scale production industries, are being at-
                                                                 Intensive Agricultural zone, so agro based industries
tracted to this region. This Zone has profound implica-
                                                                 can be promoted, to a certain extent in this zone.
tion in terms of good transportation linkages with sea
port, airport, nearest urban centre etc. This zone has           14.4.6 Accelerated growth zone - Marine
got wide influence region in terms of employment gen-
                                                                        The zone where fisheries and tertiary activities
erated, raw resources utilised and products marketed.
                                                                 are more concentrated are designated as Accelerated
This zone has to play a key role to trigger the economic
                                                                 growth zone - Marine. This zone is located in the coastal
growth and generating employment opportunities. This
                                                                 region of Thrissur district. The LSGs along NH-17 are in-
zone is suitable for large/ medium scale industries, in-
                                                                 cluded in this zone. From the activity analysis, it is found
dustrial parks, Special Economic Zones (SEZ’s), IT & Info
                                                                 that nature of most of the LSGs fall under the category
Parks, Quality Education and Health care institutions
                                                                 of urban or secondary activities. Hence this zone can be
etc. Care shall be taken to restrict polluting industries.
                                                                 promoted for service sector activities and industrial
Agriculture and allied activity and agro based indus-
                                                                 sector which enhance the fisheries and allied activi-
tries may be allowed as supporting activities.
                                                                 ties. We can promote Fish markets, fish preservation
14.4.4 Accelerated growth zone - Industrial                      and production units, export and import of marine prod-
                                                                 ucts, ice plants, Aquaculture Farms, Ornamental fish
       The mid land areas of the district, extending north

                                                                      Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
170     TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT                                                         District Spatial Plan - Thrissur

trading units, fish seed farms Fish Farmers clubs, value      industries etc are existing. This zone has intense po-
added marine product outlet units, development of fish        tential in infrastructure facilities like super specialty
harbour & Boat building Yards, production and mainte-         hospitals, five star hotels, Health institutions, IT parks,
nance units of Machineries. This zone is also influenced      educational facilities etc. This zone is surrounded by
by Ernakulam, the commercial and industrial hub of the        intensive agriculture zone. So agro and allied indus-
state. The zone has immense potential with HH indus-          tries like processing units, value addition units etc in
trial activities in connection with allied activities and     this connection also has potential.
also tourism potential.
                                                                     Thus, Thrissur Municipal Corporation, the pro-
14.4.7 Multifunctional zone I                                 posed regional centre of Thrissur District, will develop
                                                              as a regional centre in the state next only to Cochin.
        This zone includes the jurisdictional area of
                                                              The development of the zone should be in such a way
Thrissur Municipal Corporation. In this zone all urban
                                                              that it should minimize the degradation of nature and
activities including higher order educational and health
                                                              other pollution related activities.
care facilities and a transportation network copping up
with the requirements etc are to be made available.           14.4.8 Multifunctional zone II
This zone will act as a service centre for the entire dis-
                                                                      This zone is the multifunctional zone of second
trict. Suitable projects and programmes are to be imple-
                                                              order activities which also serve various sectors effec-
mented to exploit the urban potential of this zone.
                                                              tively. In this zone, all types of 2nd order urban activi-
        Thrissur Municipal Corporation which is the only      ties, 2nd order educational and health care facilities
first order settlement is the heart of the district due to    and enabling transportation facilities etc. are to be pro-
its multifunctional character (seat of specialized and        vided. This zone will act as a service centre for the hinter
regional level facilities, status as administrative head      lands and this zone is very much suitable for industries
quarters, trade and commercial centre of the district         utilizing agricultural produces of hinter land. The
and Art & Cultural Centre) and also its spatial location      Guruvayur – Chavakkad - Kunnamkulam region as well
within the district. Thrissur Municipal Corporation is        as Kodungallur -Irnjalakkuda -Eriyad Methala region
located almost in the geographic centre of the District       come under this zone. All the LSGs in this zone are lo-
and reflects the character of activities of the whole dis-    cated along major coastal transportation corridors of
trict. Also Thrissur Municipal Corporation has good in-       NH-17/SH 69/ SH 22.
ter district and intra district connectivity both by road
and railway. This zone plays a crucial role both in ser-
                                                              14.5 HIERARCHY OF SETTLEMENTS
vice sector and other sectors and also plays a crucial               The proposed hierarchy of settlements required
role in creating good link between all sectors in an effi-    for a balanced distribution of facilities to all the Local
cient way.                                                    Governments in the district consists of Regional Cen-
                                                              tre, Sub regional centers and Service centers. The pro-
       Thrissur Municipal Corporation has rich in tour-
                                                              posed hierarchy of settlements is shown in Figure 14.8.
ism, heritage, cultural, religious and archaeological
wealth and acts as cultural centre of District as well as     14.6 TRANSPORTATION NETWORK
the state. Thrissur Municipal Corporation has also good
                                                                     Conceptual road network is prepared based on
role in industrial sector also. Gold and diamond indus-
                                                              the existing and proposed hierarchy of settlements.
try, textile industry, real estate, banking, brick and tile
                                                              The entire district depends upon the monocentric
industry, furniture making, automobile industry and HH
                                                              single first order settlement ie, Thrissur Municipal Cor-

Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
District Spatial Plan - Thrissur                                          TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT   171




                                   Fig 14.8 The proposed hierarchy of settlements




                                      Fig 14.9 The proposed Road network


                                                                Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
172      TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT                                                          District Spatial Plan - Thrissur

poration for higher order facilities. Considering the ser-      nut oil extraction, food processing units etc. Also we
vice area of the first order settlement, Thrissur Munici-       have rich potential in information technology and
pal Corporation shows the clear primacy. As far as the          knowledge based industry, textiles & garments, plastic
linkage between the first order settlement and second           & gem and jewelry etc.
order settlement is concerned, there is already exist a
                                                                        The function of the LSGs is determined by com-
radial pattern of roads which support the planning con-
                                                                bining the effect of activity pattern which is already
cept of road network for a settlement which is cen-
                                                                explained in chapter 10 and the zones which are de-
trally located. In corporating the spatial distribution of
                                                                rived from the development concept and real to ground
settlement in the District, the proposed districtl road
                                                                scenario. The activity pattern of the district shows that
network can be suggested and it is shown in fig 14.9.
                                                                there exist five major zones which are urban activity,
14.7 FUNCTION OF SETTLEMENT                                     agricultural activity non detrimental to forests, primary
                                                                activity, secondary activity and agricultural & allied ac-
       Thrissur district has rich potential in primary, sec-
                                                                tivity. Based on the development concept, Thrissur dis-
ondary and tertiary activities. Nearly 25% of the land
                                                                trict is divided into eight zones which are already de-
use in the district is agricultural, indicating that there is
                                                                scribed above. The various activities in each zone are
a scope for developing the agriculture sector as one of
                                                                also well explained. By considering both the activities
the economic base of the district. Thrissur district is
                                                                of development zones & the activity pattern of district,
also blessed with Kole lands which are rice granaries.
                                                                it is seen that there is not much difference in the func-
The major crops in the district are paddy, tapioca, rub-
                                                                tion of a LSGs.
ber, ginger, cashew, tea, coconut, arecanut etc. Major
industrial sectors are handloom, khadi handloom, pot-                 There are seven major classifications are done
tery tiles, wood based units, rubber based units, coco-         for determining the function of a LSGs. There are as




                                               Fig 14.10 Funtion of settlement
Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
District Spatial Plan - Thrissur                                             TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT         173
follows                                                       erate the declining trend of the growth rate of popula-
                                                              tion through the maximum optimal utilization of re-
   1. Tertiary activity which is similar to urban activity
                                                              sources available in the district and developing the pro-
      area
                                                              duction sector along with other sectors such as animal
   2. Primary activity
                                                              husbandry, industrial and tourism etc as one of major
   3. Primary activity – Agricultural
                                                              the economic bases of the district. At the same time
   4. Primary activity – Plantation
                                                              this will not interfere with the protection of natural
   5. Agricultural activity non detrimental to forests
                                                              resources and environmental sensitive areas. Mani-
   6. Agricultural activity + Animal Husbandry activity
                                                              festly, optimum utilization of the resources in the Dis-
      which is similar to agricultural & allied activity
                                                              trict will have reflection in the future occupational struc-
   7. Agricultural activity + Animal Husbandry activity
                                                              ture and future population of the District.
      + Small scale industrial activity which is similar to
      secondary activity area.                                       From the development concept, Thrissur district
      The major functions of each LSGs in the district is     is divided into eight development zones. They are as
shown in figure 14.10.                                        follows

14.8 PROJECTION OF POPULATION                                       1. Environmental Concern Zone.
                                                                    2. Intensive Agricultural Zone
       Population growth of an area depends on num-
bers of births, death, in migrants and out migrants over            3. Economic Development Corridor (EDC)
a time period taken for the population projection. If               4. Accelerated growth zone - Industrial
one can predict the exact future values of all these fac-           5. Accelerated growth zone - Institutional
tors, population projection of that area can be done                6. Accelerated growth zone - Marine
very accurately.
                                                                    7. Multifunctional zone I
        Thrissur district shows an increasing trend in the          8. Multifunctional zone II
population figures during the period 1981-2001. But at
                                                                    Each development zone has its own develop-
the same time the growth rate of population is decreas-
                                                              ment potential and this has to be taken into account in
ing during 1981-2001. The spatial development plan of
                                                              ascertaining the future occupational structure, popula-
Thrissur district envisage the planned sustainable de-
                                                              tion and its distribution within the district. Another fac-
velopment of Thrissur district with optimum utilization
                                                              tor to be considered in the projection of occupational
of resources, planned diversification of economic ac-
                                                              structure and population distribution is the projected
tivities to trigger the local economic growth, genera-
                                                              urban scenario of the District. The urban population
tion of better opportunities, balanced development,
                                                              content of Thrissur District will increase to 29.8% by
equitable spatial distribution of facilities and thus to
                                                              2021 from the value of 18.13% in 2001. It is projected
improve the quality of life. The development goal also
                                                              that 11 rural LSGs, will attain urban status by the end of
envisage to develop the district as an eco-friendly and
                                                              the plan period. The population in the district is to be
economically vibrant region in the state. Obliviously
                                                              so redistributed (to the possible extent) that it has more
the programs and projects developed and imple-
                                                              concentration in multifunctional zones, accelerated
mented based on this planning concept will attract more
                                                              growth zone and economic development corridor, less
population to the district in terms of creation of new
                                                              concentration in intensive agricultural zone and lest in
and better paid employment opportunities, access to
                                                              environmental concern zone.
facilities and so forth. Hence the main intention of the
spatial development plan of Thrissur district is regen-             The nature of the each development zone and
                                                                   Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
174     TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT                                                         District Spatial Plan - Thrissur

how they make impressions on the occupational struc-           zone. Hence a population growth rate slightly higher
ture and population growth rate is discussed hereun-           than the natural growth rate can be envisaged in this
der.                                                           zone.
       Environmental concern zone includes the natu-                  Economic development corridor has profound
ral forests, environmentally sensitive ‘kole’ lands, the       implication in terms of good transportation linkages
coastal zone and inland water bodies of the district. In       with sea port, airport, nearest urban centre etc. This
Thrissur district the environmental sensitive areas are        zone has got wide influence region in terms of employ-
more concentrated in the eastern region where forest           ment generated, raw resources utilized and products
is more concentrated. Any activity that causes defores-        marketed. For that reasons we can expect floating
tation shall not be permitted in this area. Agriculture        population for a period of time. Also it is located near
and allied activity non detrimental to forests can be          the intensive agricultural zone and accelerated growth
promoted as supporting activity in this zone while de-         zone and also it is well connected to multifunction
forestation, wet land reclamation, industrialization,          zones. More over this zone is mainly to provide infra-
urbanisation etc will be restricted here. Hence an en-         structure and other facilities so as to generate devel-
hanced growth in population and work force is not ex-          opment impulses to the scale and as such is not sup-
pected in this zone. Only natural growth in population         posed to create high density residential population. It
and slight increase in agricultural work force can be          is perceived that the major chunk of floating popula-
expected.                                                      tion in this zone may likely to settle in the hinterland as
                                                               well as nearby urban centers within and outside the
        Intensive agricultural zone is suitable for the in-
                                                               district. So we can expect a slight enhancement in the
tensive cultivation of crops like Paddy, Coconut,
                                                               population. Also an increase in service sector workers
Arecanut, Nutmeg, Plantain, Banana etc. and also for
                                                               and industrial workers.
agro based industries like food processing units, coir
industry etc. In this zone providing agricultural infra-              Accelerated growth zone (Industrial) should en-
structure like wholesale markets, seed centers, ware-          hance the small scale and house hold industrial activi-
housing facilities etc for supporting the agriculture ac-      ties which support value addition of agriculture, fish-
tivities shall be given priority. This zone is also suitable   eries and marine products. This zone can also accom-
for promoting animal husbandry related activities,             modate supporting industries which enhance the in-
servise sector activities which support primary sector         dustrial activity in the Economic Development Corri-
key activities envisaged in this zone and industrial ac-       dor. Secondary workers are more concentrated in that
tivities (mainly small scale) which enhance the value          area, so we can expect high enhanced growth rate of
addition of the production from this zone. This will bring     population.
more cultivators and agricultural laborers into this zone.
                                                                      Accelerated growth zone (Institutional) should
Consequently there will be increase in growth rate of
                                                               enhance the social infrastructure facilities including
population in this zone along with increase in agricul-
                                                               hospitals, health institutions and educational facilities.
tural workers. The increase in the workforce will mainly
                                                               The zone is located near to the Intensive Agricultural
be in primary sector- i.e. agriculture sector. However
                                                               zone, so agro based industries can be promoted, to a
the growth of the population in this zone is limited to
                                                               certain extent in this zone. Here also we can expect a
the extent that the attraction of further population to
                                                               slight enhanced growth. Also service sectoral workers
this zone is enhanced only after satisfying the demands
                                                               are more concentrated in that area.
of the present population and its natural growth in this
                                                                     Accelerated growth zone (Marine) zone is located
Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
District Spatial Plan - Thrissur                                                 TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT             175
in the coastal region of Thrissur district. This zone pro-        cupational structure in each development zone is sum-
motes service sector activities and industrial sector             marized in table 14.1.
which enhance the fisheries and allied activities. The
                                                                  14.8.1 Projection of decadal population growth
zone has immense potential with House Hold Indus-
                                                                  rate
trial activities in connection with fisheries, marine al-
lied activities and also tourism potential. So we can                     Decadal growth rate of population of Thrissur dis-
expect high enhanced growth in this zone. The main                trict is 8.66% as per 2001 census which is less than the
work participation rate contributed from House Hold               average growth rate of 9.42% of the State. Trend based
and Service sectors.                                              population projection is explained in chapter 3 by two
                                                                  methods namely decreasing rate method and appor-
      The multifunction zones where urban activities
                                                                  tionment method. The projected total population in
including higher order educational, health care facili-
                                                                  2011 and 2021 is taken as average of these two values
ties and transportation network copping up with the
                                                                  obtained in the above two methods.
requirements are available. This zone will act as a ser-

Table 14.1: Zone wise impact on population growth rate and occupation structure

    No                       Zone                  Impact on population growth        Impact on occupational structure

   1       Environmental concern zone             Only natural growth             Slight     increase   in   cultivators    &
                                                                                  agricultural labourers

   2       Intensive agricultural zone            Enhanced growth                 Increase in cultivators & agricultural
                                                                                  labourers

   3       Economic Development Corridor          moderate Enhanced growth        Increase in industrial & service sector
           (EDC)                                                                  workers

   4       Accelerated growth zone - Industrial   High enhanced growth            Increase     in   secondary    workers    &
                                                                                  industrial workers

   5       Accelerated growth zone -              Slight Enhanced growth          Increase in industrial & service sector
           Institutional
                                                                                  workers

   6       Accelerated growth zone - Marine       High enhanced growth            Increase in HH & service sector workers


   7       Multifunctional zone I                 High enhanced growth            Increase in tertiary workers


   8       Multifunctional zone II                High enhanced growth            Increase in tertiary workers


vice centre for the entire district. For that reason we        The population growth rate of 2011 and 2021 is
can expect a high enhanced growth in this region and given in the table 14.2. From the table, it is clear that the
the tertiary workers are more concentrated in that area. growth rate is 6.03% during 2001- 2011 and 4.21% during
                                                         2011- 2021. The average figure of 5% can be assumed as
       The effect of growth rate of population and oc-
                                                         the lower limit of the accelerated population growth

                                                                         Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
176     TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT                                                     District Spatial Plan - Thrissur

rate during the plan period, assuming that the induced      Kodungallur – Paravur – Ernakulam (SH-22 & NH -17)
development will push up the population growth rate         corridors. The areas of some localbodies are not com-
above the trend based projected value.                      pletely included in this zone. But the effect of influ-
                                                            ence due to this zone is fully covered by that LSGs. For
       The temporal variation of the population growth
                                                            getting more clarified picture about the influence of
rate of the district as well as that of state shows a de-
                                                            the development due to this zone, we take the entire
clining trend. So the future accelerated population
                                                            area and population of these LSGs in this zone. The same
growth rate of the district should be less than the cur-
                                                            is also done in the case of accelerated growth zones.

Table 14.2: Population growth rate – Projected (Trend Based)



               Year               Total population                     Population Growth rate

              1971                     2,128,877

              1981                     2,439,633                                    14.6

              1991                     2,737,311                                    12.2

              2001                     2,974,232                                    8.66

              2011                    3,153,564                                     6.03

              2021                    3,286,439                                     4.21

rent population growth rate of 8.66%. It can be assumed     The percentage of area of Economic Development Cor-
that the accelerated future population growth rate of       ridor (EDC) is only 13.05% and it shows 15.67% popula-
Thrissur will be between 5% and 8.66%. The actual value     tion where we expect slight enhanced growth. In the
of population growth rate depends on the extent of          similar manner we can expect slight enhanced growth
area and the population comes under various zones.          in Accelerated growth zone – Institutional where the
The zone wise population and area (2001) is shown in        area (5.48%) of zone is very less and the population
Table 14.3.                                                 (7.64%) corresponding to area is high. In Multifunction
                                                            zones where we expect high enhanced growth, nearly
       From the table, the agriculture zone shows both
                                                            20% population is distributed in only 7% area of the
the maximum percentage of population (28.56%) and
                                                            district which clearly indicates the multifunctional de-
area (44.71%) where we are expecting a slight enhanced
                                                            velopment potential of that zone in various sectors.
growth above the natural growth rate. In the economic
                                                            As a whole 96% population is distributed in 85% of area
development corridor we consider the Thrissur –
                                                            of the district where we expect enhanced growth.
Ernakulam (NH-47) and Thrissur – Irinjalkkuda –

Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
District Spatial Plan - Thrissur                                                           TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT              177
Table 14.3: Zone wise population and area (2001)

  No                  Zone                    Impact on population    Total Population   % of Population   Total Area   % of Area w.r.t
                                                     growth                2001           w.r.t district                   District


  1    Environmental concern zone           Only natural growth           105188              3.54
                                                                                                            430.28          14.16
  2    Intensive agriculturalzone           Enhanced growth               849296             28.56
                                                                                                            1358.78         44.71
  3    Economic Development Corridor Moderate              Enhanced       465897             15.67
       (EDC)                                growth                                                          396.64          13.05
  4    Accelerated    growth       zone   - High enhanced growth          296892

       Industrial                                                                             9.98          230.05           7.57
  5    Accelerated growth zone -            Slight Enhanced growth        227085
       Institutional
                                                                                              7.64          166.44           5.48
  6    Accelerated growth zone - Marine High enhanced                     473733

                                            growth
                                                                                             15.93          244.34           8.04
  7    Multifunctional zone I               High enhanced growth          317526
                                                                                             10.68          101.42           3.34
  8    Multifunctional zone II              High enhanced growth          238407


                                                                                              8.02          111.02           3.65

       It is clear that most of the population is distrib-                is to be known. This is calculated hereunder.
uted in the zones where enhanced growth is anticipated
                                                                                 The average annual birth rate and death rate in
as per the development concept. Thus the population
                                                                          2001 in Thrissur District are 18.51 and 7.34 respectively
growth rate for these zones will be near to the upper
                                                                          for 1000 population. [Source of Data: Vital Statistics
limit of the deduced population growth rate range of 5
                                                                          Bulletin 2001, Directorate of Economics and Statistics,
- 8.66. The actual value of population growth rate, in
                                                                          Thiruvananthapuram]. This implies that the natural
between 5% and 8.66%, depends mainly on the migra-
                                                                          growth rate for the period 1991-2001 will be 18.51 –
tion pattern of population due to the development sce-
                                                                          7.34 = 11.17 %.
nario visualized in the development concept assuming
birth rate and death follows the same pattern of the                            Projected population of 2001, taking into account
yester years.                                                             the natural growth component alone is (Population in
                                                                          1991 as per census is 2737311)
       Population 2021= Population 2001+ {Birth – Death
+ In migration – Out migration} during two decades.                            Population of 2001 =2737311+ 0.1117 x
i.e., Population 2021= Population 2001+ (Population                       2737311=3043069
2001 x future birth rate) - (Population in 2001 x future                        But as per 2001 census, Population of District in
Death Rate) + (Future in migrants) - (Future out mi-                      2001 is 2974232 which take into account the total num-
grants)                                                                   ber of births, deaths, in migration and out migration
       In order to ascertain the migration trend in fu-                   taken place in the district during 1991-2001 periods. The
ture, the existing scenario of migration (from 1991-2001)                 difference between the two population figures ac-

                                                                                  Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
178       TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT                                                        District Spatial Plan - Thrissur

counts for the net migration which has taken place dur-         14.8.2. DISTRIBUTION OF PROJECTED POPULATION
ing this period.                                                AMONG THE DEVELOPMENT ZONES.

       The difference is negative (i.e. 2974232-3043069=              The projected population is distributed in vari-
-68837), indicating that there is out migration during          ous zones by considering the following factors.
the period 1991-2001. Percentage wise, it is 2.5% of the        1.    Existing population growth rate
total population of 1991.
                                                                2.    The trend based projected population growth
       As per the Development Concept, 90% of the                     rate
population of the district lives in the zones of enhanced
                                                                3.    The type of development in each zone as per
growth rate. Hence, a reversal in the above trend is
                                                                      development concept
expected. Instead of the net migration being out mi-
gration at present, in migration is expected. There is all              Considering the growth rate scenario of the dis-
the probability that the net migration will become zero         trict, it shows a declining trend during 1981- 2001. The
by the end of the plan period. This means that, during          population growth rate is more concentrated in the mid
the plan period, there will be in migration of 68837 per-       – up land and coastal region in 1991 and in 2001 the
sons. It is 2.3% of the total population of district in 2001.   growth rate is more concentrated in mid land region
                                                                only. The decadal growth rate of various zones is shown
      The trend based growth rate of population in
                                                                in table 14.5. From the table it is clear that the growth

  Table 14.4: Projected growth rate (Induced) – 2021 of the district
    Year                    1991                   2001                    2011                  2021

    G.R                     12.2                   8.66                    7.5                   6.51


2011- 2021 decade will be 4.21% shown in table14.2.             rate of Multifunction zone I is 8.38% in 2001 and it shows
The assumption is that the existing trend in birth rate,        decreasing trend in future. But the percentage of de-
death rate and migration will continue. But the Devel-          crease is not too large. But considering the Multifunc-
opment Plan visualizes a change in pattern of migra-            tion zone II, the growth rate is decreased to 1.55% from
tion as discussed above. By taking this into account the        5.87% where we have to enhance the population growth
future population growth is calculated as follows.              rate to some extent as per development concept. This
                                                                may be due to the fact that the percentage of decrease
        Adding the net percentage of migrants to the
                                                                in growth rate is high in the previous decades. But some
trend based decadal growth rate of population in 2021,
                                                                of the LSGs cover the Multifunction zone II is raised to
expected population growth rate (accelerated growth)
                                                                urban criteria in future, so it will help to increase the
in 2021 comes to be 6.51% (4.21+2.3). (ie within the
                                                                growth rate in that region. Thus we can expect a high
range of 5 - 8.66 and towards the upper side of the
                                                                enhanced growth rate in that region. As a whole, the
range). The population growth rate during 2001-2011 is
                                                                LSGs cover the multifunction zones show a positive
interpolated as 7.5%. The projected population growth
                                                                trend in the growth rate which implies the future de-
rates (induced) are shown in Table 14.4 and Figure 14.11.
                                                                velopment in that zone.
                                                                      As per the development concept, various activi-

Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
District Spatial Plan - Thrissur                                                    TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT      179




                                      Fig 14.11 Projected growth rate (Induced) of the district

 Table 14.5: zone wise growth rate –Trend based
   No                    Zone                      Impact on            Decadal G.R 1991-         Trend based decadal G.R
                                             population growth                 2001                          2021


   1       Environmental           concern Only natural growth
           zone                                                                 9.02                       4.05
   2       Intensive agricultural zone      Enhanced growth
                                                                                9.73                       4.98
   3       Economic          Development Moderate
           Corridor (EDC)                   Enhanced growth
                                                                                8.60                       4.07
   4       Accelerated growth zone - High                enhanced
           Industrial                       growth                             10.58                       4.83
   5       Accelerated growth zone -        Slight       Enhanced
           Institutional
                                            growth                             12.39                       7.59
   6       Accelerated growth zone - High enhanced
           Marine                           growth                              5.52                       0.72
   7       Multifunctional zone I           High         enhanced
                                            growth                              8.38                       5.65
   8       Multifunctional zone II          High         enhanced
                                            growth                              5.87                       1.55

                                                                          Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
180      TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT                                                     District Spatial Plan - Thrissur

ties which contributing the development is limited to       slight decreasing trend. The high value of growth rate
some extent in Environmental concern zone due to prior      of population in 2001 clearly indicates the development
importance given to the protection of natural resources     of that area through service activities. The same pat-
and environment sensitive area. So we can expect only       tern is also seen in the case of accelerated growth zone
natural growth of population in the zone. The growth        – Industrial and Economic Development Corridor (EDC).
rate of environmental concern zone in 2001 is 9.02%         The growth rates of accelerated growth zone – Indus-
which is comes to the fourth place when considering         trial and Economic Development Corridor (EDC) are
the growth rate in various zones. The high value of         10.58% and 8.60% respectively in 2001. And it is reduced
growth rate is due to the positive growth rate shown by     to 4.83% and 4.07 respectively in 2021. As per develop-
the some Grama Panchayat which cover the zone where         ment concept also, we expect enhancement in the
plantation related primary activity are predominant.        growth rate of these zones to utilize the potential of
Considering the trend, it is reduced to 4.05% in 2021.      urban activities.
       The growth rate of intensive agricultural zone is           We have to calculate the induced growth rate of
9.73 in 1991-2001. But considering the trend of the popu-   2021 by considering the impact on population growth
lation growth rate of LSGs included in that zone, it show   rate derived based on development concept, growth
high decreasing trend. Based on that the projected          rate of 1991-2001 periods and trend based decadal
population growth rates become 4.98% in 2021. In view       growth rate 2021. Considering the environmental con-
of envisaged intensive agricultural activity and allied     cern zone, where the trend based growth rate in 2021 is
activities in this zone, we have to enhance the growth      4.05%. As per the development concept, various activi-
rate of that zone to some extent for the future devel-      ties which contributing the development is limited to
opment through agriculture sector. However a high           some extent in Environmental concern zone due to prior
growth rate of population is not expected in this zone.     importance given to the protection of natural resources
                                                            and environment sensitive area. Hence the trend based
       In similar manner the growth rate of accelerated
                                                            growth rate of 4.05% in 2021 will remain in that zone.
growth zone – Marine (5.52%) is also show the high
                                                            We are not providing any enhancement of population
decreasing trend. This is due to the fact that the popu-
                                                            in that area.
lation growth rate of coastal region during the period
1981-1991 comes in the range 15-20% which shows the                In the case of intensive agricultural zone, the
strength of the economic base once existed in there         growth rate in 2001 is 9.73% and in 2021 it is reduced to
and when comes in 1991-2001, growth rate of popula-         4.98%. But as per development concept, we provide
tion in coastal region is decreased in the range 5 – 10%.   enhanced growth in that zone. The induced growth rate
But as per development concept, this zone is promoted       of intensive agricultural zone in 2021 will be less than
for service sector and industrial sector activities which   9.73% and more than 4.98%. It is assumed that an aver-
enhance the fisheries and allied activities and utilizing   age growth rate of 6% which is slightly less than aver-
the potential of coastal line. Also we can promote eco      age of the above two values (9.73% and 4.98%) will at-
friendly tourism. Hence we have to enhance the popu-        tain within two decades.
lation growth rate in the zone to achieve the develop-
                                                                  In the case of economic development corridor
ment through a strong economic base.
                                                            (EDC), the growth rate in 2001 is 8.6% and in 2021 it is
       The growth rates of accelerated growth zone –        reduced to 4.07%. But as per development concept, we
Institutional show high growth rate (12.39%) in 2001.The    provide moderate enhanced growth in that zone. The
trend based growth rate in 2021 is 7.59% and it show        induced growth rate of EDC in 2021 will be less than

Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
District Spatial Plan - Thrissur                                                          TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT                  181
8.6% and more than 4.07%. It is assumed that an aver-                   reduced to 7.59%. But as per development concept, we
age growth rate of 7% which is slightly more than aver-                 provide slight enhanced growth in this zone. Consider-
age of the above two values (8.6% and 4.07%) will at-                   ing the fact of enhancement in growth rate, the induced
tain within two decades.                                                growth rate of Accelerated growth zone - Institutional
                                                                        in 2021 will be less than 12.39% and more than 7.59%. It
        In the case of Accelerated growth zone - Indus-
                                                                        is assumed that an average growth rate of 9.3% which is
trial, the growth rate in 2001 is 10.58% and in 2021 it is
                                                                        slightly less than average of the above two values
reduced to 4.83%. But as per development concept, we
                                                                        (9.73% and 4.98%) will attain within two decades.
provide high enhanced growth in this zone. The induced
growth rate of Accelerated growth zone - Industrial in                        In the case of Accelerated growth zone – Marine
2021 will in the range 4.83-10.58. Due to the high en-                  and Multifunctional zones, we are expecting high en-
hanced growth, it is assumed an average growth rate of                  hanced growth rate in 2021. Due to the high enhanced
10.58% which is the upper limit of the range will attain                growth, it is assumed an average growth rate of 5.52%,
within two decades.                                                     8.38% and 5.87% which is the upper limit of the range in
                                                                        each zone will attain within two decades in Acceler-
       In the case of Accelerated growth zone - Institu-
                                                                        ated growth zone – Marine, Multifunction zone I and
tional, the growth rate in 2001 is 12.39% and in 2021 it is
                                                                        Multifunction zone II respectively.
Table 14.6: Zone wise induced growth rate

      No                Zone              Impact on population     Decadal G.R    Trend based decadal    Range of Induced   Average Induced
                                                  growth           1991-2001       growth rate 2021        growth rate –    growth rate 2021–
                                                                                                            Projected          Projected

  1        Environmentalconcern zone     Only natural growth                                                                      4.05

                                                                      9.02               4.05                  4.05
  2        Intensive agricultural zone   Enhanced growth                                                                           6

                                                                      9.73               4.98           9.73 – 4.98
  3        Economic         Development Moderate        Enhanced                                                                   7

           Corridor (EDC)                growth
                                                                      8.60               4.07                8.6 – 4.07
  4        Accelerated growth zone - High enhanced growth                                                                        10.58

           Industrial
                                                                      10.58              4.83              10.58 – 4.83
  5        Accelerated growth zone -     Slight Enhanced growth                                                                    9.3
           Institutional

                                                                      12.39              7.59              12.39 – 7.59
  6        Accelerated growth zone - High enhanced                                                                                5.52

           Marine                        growth
                                                                      5.52               0.72               5.52 – 0.72
  7        Multifunctional zone I        High enhanced growth                                                                     8.38


                                                                      8.38               5.65                  8.38
  8        Multifunctionalzone II        High enhanced growth                                                                     5.87


                                                                      5.87               1.55                  5.87

                                                                                 Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
182       TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT                                                          District Spatial Plan - Thrissur

      The trend based population growth rate and av-             period 2001-11 & 2011-2021. And it is given in table 14.7.
erage induced population growth rate is calculated zone
                                                                      Zone wise population based on the projected in-
wise and it is given in Table 14.6.
                                                                 duced growth rate is shown in Table 14.8.
        The table 14.6 gives the average growth rate of
                                                                        The change in scenario of the population distri-
each zone which will attain within two decades. And it
                                                                 bution within district due to projected population is
is well explained that the induced growth rate of dis-
                                                                 depicted by the change in zone wise percentage of
trict in 2011 and 2021 is 7.5% and 6.51% respectively. By
                                                                 population. It is shown in Table 14.9. From the table it is
incorporating the above facts, the average growth rate
                                                                 clear that the percentage of population does not show
of each zone can be extrapolated to growth rate for the

Table 14.7: Zone wise population in 2021

      No                Zone             Impact on population      Average Induced    Induced growth       Induced growth
                                                  growth          growth rate 2021–    rate 2001-2011       rate 2011-2021
                                                                      Projected
  1        Environmentalconcern zone     Only natural growth             4.05
                                                                                                   5.50                    4.05
  2        Intensive agriculturalzone    Enhanced growth                  6
                                                                                                   6.50                    5.50
  3        Economic          Development Moderate     Enhanced            7

           Corridor(EDC)                 growth
                                                                                                   7.50                    6.50
  4        Accelerated growth zone - High enhanced growth               10.58

           Industrial
                                                                                                  11.08                  10.08
  5        Accelerated growth zone -     Slight       Enhanced           9.3
           Institutional
                                         growth
                                                                                                   9.80                    8.80
  6        Accelerated growth zone - High enhanced                       5.52

           Marine                        growth
                                                                                                   6.02                    5.02
  7        Multifunctional zone I        High enhanced growth            8.38


                                                                                                   8.88                    7.88
  8        Multifunctional zone II       High enhanced growth            5.87


                                                                                                   6.37                    5.37



Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
District Spatial Plan - Thrissur                                         TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT    183
much variation in the zones. It is slightly increasing in   zones. And it is decreasing in environmental concern
Multifunction zones, and some accelerated growth            zones and intensive agricultural zone.


Table 14.8: Zone wise population based on projected induced growth rate




        Table 14.9: Percentage of population in 2001& 2021




                                                                Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
184     TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT                                                    District Spatial Plan - Thrissur




       Consider the percentage of increase in popula-      increase is more than 15% in Accelerated growth zone
tion density for getting clearer picture about the pro-    – Industrial (22.28%), Multifunctional zone I (17.46%)
jected population which is given in each zone. The popu-   and Accelerated growth zone - Institutional (19.46%).
lation density of various zones is given in table 14.10.   The percentage of increase is more than 10% in the rest
Considering the percentage of increase in population       of the zones except Environmental concern zone
density, it is seen that the percentage of increase is     (9.77%). The Population density variation is shown in
maximum in Accelerated growth zone – Industrial            figure 14.12. This shows a population distribution sup-
(22.28%) and the percentage of increase is least in En-    ports with the development concept.
vironmental concern zone (9.77%). The percentage of
          Table 14.10: Population Density – Zone wise




Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
District Spatial Plan - Thrissur                                           TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT     185




                                       Fig 14.12 Zone wise Population Density


14.8.2.1 Distribution of projected population      From the figure it is clear that growth rate is more
among LSGs                                    concentrated in the central region and mid upland area
      The LSGs wise distribution of growth rate of          of the district. It covers the multifunction zone I and
population in 2021 based on the trend wise analysis is      accelerated growth zones. There are four LSGs
shown in figure14.13.                                       (Mattathur Grama Panchayat, Melur Grama Panchayat,
                                                            Kolazhi Grama Panchayat, Anthikkad Grama Panchayat)




                                   Figure 14.13 G.R of population 2021-trend based

                                                                 Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
186     TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT                                                      District Spatial Plan - Thrissur




                                    Figure 14.14 G.R of population 2021-Accelerated


showing growth rate more than 15. Nine LSGs showing          range more than 15 and all are located near the Multi-
growth rate in the range 10-15 and ten LSGs are in the       function zones. Eight LSGs showing growth rate in the
range 5-10. The rest of the LSGs (76 in no) showing          range 10-15 which are in the accelerated growth zones.
growth rate less than 5. In the intensive agriculture zone   In the trend wise analysis, only ten LSGs are having
and accelerated growth zone marine are having growth         growth rate in the range 5-10 and it is increased to 39
rate less than 5. The growth rate of Multifunction zone      LSGs while considering the induced projected growth
II also showing less growth rate in the trend based analy-   rate. The rest of 45 LSGs show a growth rate less than 5.
sis. Out of 99 LSGs in the district, 76 LSGs having growth
rate less than 5 which cover the agricultural zone and
                                                             14.9. PROJECTION OF WORK FORCE
accelerated growth zone (Marine) and some industrial                The analysis of the occupational structure of the
zone area.                                                   District (Chapter 4) shows a very alarming situation
                                                             about the economic base of the district. The produc-
        The LSGs wise distribution of growth rate of popu-
                                                             tion sectors including agriculture shows declining trend
lation in 2021 based on induced growth rate analysis is
                                                             in the district. Meanwhile service sector shows growth
shown in figure 14.14. From the figure it is clear that
                                                             both in urban and rural areas. The occupational struc-
growth rate is more concentrated in the central region,
                                                             ture also reveals that the secondary sector also takes a
mid upland area and some coastal regions of the dis-
                                                             determinant role in the district’s economy. More than
trict. In the trend wise analysis, only four LSGs are hav-
                                                             50% of the population depends on the service / sec-
ing growth rate more than 15. But when the growth
                                                             ondary sector for their lively hood. It is observed that
rate is accelerated there are seven LSGs come in the

Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
District Spatial Plan - Thrissur                                            TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT    187
rural areas of the district are slowly withdrawing from     LSGS and the tertiary workers are more concentrated in
primary sector and started depending more on the ser-       and around the urban areas.
vice sector. The boundary distinguishing the character             The existing trend of work participation rate and
of rural and urban areas is narrowing down. It is clear     existing occupational structure of the District are ana-
that primary workers are more concentrated in high land     lyzed in Chapter 4. The existing work participation and
region and some mid land LSGS. Secondary workers are        occupational structure is shown in Figure 14.15 and Fig-
concentrated in the mid land region and some coastal        ure 14.16 respectively.




                                     Fig 14.15: Work participation rate (Existing)




                                       Fig 14.16: Occupational Structure (Existing)


                                                                  Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
188    TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT                                                       District Spatial Plan - Thrissur

       The Work Participation Rate (WPR) of Thrissur       Malappuram district has the lowest work participation
District from 1981 to 2001 is shown in figure 14.15. WPR   rate (24%). The work participation rate of Thrissur Dis-
is increased by 8.40 % from 1981 to 2001. If the same      trict is equals to that of the state (ie 32%) in 2001). That
trend is continued, work participation rate at the end     means, out of the total population of 29.74 lakhs, 9.55
of the plan period (2021) will be about 33.26. (Figure     lakhs are workers.
14.17).
                                                                   As per the likely impact in the occupational struc-
    But the proposed developments (as per devel-           ture due to future developments (Table 14.11), increase
opment concept) will open up new avenues of employ-        in work force is expected in 7 out of the 8 development




                                       Fig 14.17 projected WPR – Trend based

ment and consequently there will be enhanced work          zones. This will surely increase the WPR significantly
participation rate. Just like in the case of population    well above the trend based projected WPR of 33.26%.
projection, the trend based projected WPR can be taken     It is accepted that a WPR of 40% indicates a well off
as the lower limit of the work participation rate at the   society as far as the job opportunities are concerned.
end of the plan period, on the assumption that the ac-     The present WPR of Thrissur District is only 32.12% and
celerated WPR will be higher than this.                    attaining a WPR of 40% by two decades is very difficult.
                                                           The WPR of the surrounding Districts shows (Figure
      The work participation rate of Kerala is 32% as
                                                           14.18) a maximum value of 34% (in Palakkad and
per 2001 census. As per census 2001, the work partici-
                                                           Ernakulam District). The WPR of the State as per 2001
pation rate of Idukki district is maximum (43%) and
Table 14.11 Projection of WPR –Thrissur District




Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
District Spatial Plan - Thrissur                                              TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT   189




                                    Fig 14.18: WPR of Districts surrounding to Thrissur

census is only 32.3%. Considering all these a WPR of          in the WPR.
36% is targeted (2.74% above the lower limit of 33.26%)
as the WPR for future population of Thrissur District.
                                                              14.9.1 Zone wise distribution of WPR
                                                                    Zone wise distribution of WPR based on 2001 cen-
      The projected WPR of the District is given in Table
                                                              sus data is shown in Table 14.12.
14.11 and Figure 14.19 by assuming a uniform increase




                                    Fig 14.19: Projection of WPR –Thrissur District


                                                                    Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
190    TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT                                                     District Spatial Plan - Thrissur


      Table 14.12: Zone wise WPR - 2001




       The existing scenario of WPR shows that WPR is             Consider the Multifunction zone I and Acceler-
more in the environmental concern zone (33.72) and         ated growth zones, they have WPR less than even in-
least in the Accelerated growth zone-Marine (26.92).       tensive agricultural zone. From the analysis of occupa-
Intensive agricultural zone also shows WPR greater than    tional structure, it is very clear that WPR of the urban
multifunction zone and Accelerated growth zones.           area is equal to that of the rural area indicates a uni-
                                                           form picture about the number of job opportunities
       The environmental concern zone is rural in na-
                                                           created in urban and rural areas against the popular
ture and primary workers are more concentrated in that
                                                           belief that urban area creates more job opportunities.
region. But the primary activity non detrimental to na-
                                                           This trend has to be changed in such a way that urban
ture is only allowed in that region as per the develop-
                                                           area creates more job opportunities. Otherwise it will
ment concept. As per the present scenario, WPR is high-
                                                           affect the environmental and economical sustainability
est in that zone. But we cannot provide a high WPR
                                                           of a region. There will be migration of people from ur-
considering the development concept derived and in
                                                           ban to rural areas resulting in the possible destruction
view of environmental and economical sustainability
                                                           of the resources like agricultural area, water bodies and
of a region.
                                                           environmentally sensitive areas in the rural area for
       WPR of Economic Development Corridor (EDC) is       residential purpose and thus destroying the economic
slightly more than intensive agricultural zone. The ser-   base of the District.
vice activities are mainly concentrated in Economic
                                                                Table 14.13 shows the combined average WPR -
Development Corridor (EDC). So we can expect a high
                                                           zone wise of the District. In this Accelerated growth
WPR as per development concept in that zone.
Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
District Spatial Plan - Thrissur                                         TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT        191
zone – Industrial, Accelerated growth zone – Institu-            In the case of Intensive Agricultural Zone, the
tional, Accelerated growth zone – Marine, are taken as     WPR in 2001 is 33.28 and as per development concept
a single one. Similar manner Multifunction zones and       we provide increase in cultivators & agricultural
Economic Development Corridor (EDC) are considered         labourers. Hence the range of WPR in 2021 will be more
as single unit.                                            than 33.28 but less than 36 (District WPR). Also the value
                                                           of WPR in 2021 should be more than that of environ-
             Table 14.13 The combined average WPR - zone wise




      ‘Selective concentration of urban and rural eco-     mental concern zone. It is assumed that average of 33.28
nomic activities and diversification of the economic       & 36 is taken as WPR in 2021 (34.64%).
base through interventions in production sectors to
                                                                 The WPR of Economic Development Corridor
prevent the dilution of economic base of rural and ur-
                                                           (EDC) in 2001 is 33.34%. As per development concept
ban areas’ is one of the development objectives of the
                                                           we expect increase in industrial & service sector work-
Development Plan. Another objective is to protect the
                                                           ers. Considering the increase of workers, the WPR in
environmentally sensitive areas of the District. These
                                                           2021 will be lies in the range 33.34-36. But the zone is
two objectives will have a direct bearing in the deter-
                                                           influenced by Ernakulam which is the commercial and
mination of future economic base and in turn future
                                                           industrial hub of the state and good transportation link-
WPR and spatial distribution of work force.
                                                           ages. Hence the WPR in 2021 may be more than the
       Considering the environmental concern zone,         range due to the development through Thrissur-
the WPR of 2001 is 33.72. We will not provide a high       Ernakulam corridor (NH-47). It is assumed that WPR of
WPR as per development concept. The range of WPR in        EDC in 2021 will be 37 which is more than the range
2021 is fixed between 33.72 and 36 which is the pro-       (33.34-36).
jected WPR of District in 2021 as per development con-
                                                                   In the case of Accelerated growth zone – Indus-
cept. And also the value of WPR should be least in this
                                                           trial, the value of WPR in 2001 is 32.44 and as per devel-
zone considering other zones. Hence it is assumed a
                                                           opment concept we expect high increase in secondary
value of WPR which is less than the average of the range
                                                           workers & industrial workers. Hence the range of WPR
is taken (34%). The value of WPR should be least in this
                                                           in 2021 will be taken as between 32.44 & 36. This zone
zone considering other zones.
                                                           can also accommodate supporting industries which

                                                                Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
Dsp thrissur ch14
Dsp thrissur ch14
Dsp thrissur ch14
Dsp thrissur ch14
Dsp thrissur ch14
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Dsp thrissur ch14

  • 1. << CHAPTER 13 < CONTENTS > District Spatial Plan - Thrissur TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT 161 Chapter – 14 TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT 14.1 INTRODUCTION are the proposed second order settlements. Once the goals and objectives of the District Spa- Kodungallur Municipal Council, Guruvayur Municipal tial Plan are set, the ways and means to achieve them Council and Grama Panchayats of Alagappanagar, have to be explored. Formulation of Tentative devel- Pananchery, Venkitangu, Valappad and Wadakkanchery opment concept of the district by synthesis of the find- are proposed as third order settlements. In general ings of the spatial analysis and sectoral analysis, in the there is one first order settlement, 5 second order orbit of the goals and objectives, over the district plat- settlements and 7 third order settlements in the Dis- form that will provide the required development frame trict. The first order settlement is supposed to provide work for integrated development of the district is there- higher order facilities in Education, Health and in other fore attempted in this chapter. sectors to the entire district population and is conceptualised as the regional centre of the district. This chapter discusses the Tentative develop- The second order settlements are supposed to provide ment concept derived for District Spatial Plan Thrissur. second order facilities of various development sectors We have the spatial structure of the district evolved to the surrounding area and are hence envisaged as the from the hierarchy of settlements, connectivity and sub regional centers. A district level road network with activity pattern. The environmental aspects of the dis- roads of three hierarchies viz major roads, sub major trict are also studied. Even though sectoral analysis of roads and minor roads is suggested, such that it con- some of the sectors are yet to be completed, we have nects all the higher order settlements each other. The results of sectoral analysis of following sectors namely details of formation of development concept of Thrissur Agriculture, Industries and Tourism which have physi- district is described hereunder: cal manifestation on land. The resource pattern of the district evolved through spatial analysis of these sec- 14.2 DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT FORMATION tors is also available. The development concept is de- Analysis of various parameters pertaining to the rived by incorporating these with the spatial structure development of the district and findings emerged out of the district and that of the macro region. from them clearly show that the district has As per the settlement analysis, it is found that underutilized or un-utilized potential in primary as well the settlements in the District can be grouped in to four as in secondary sector. The district shows a flourishing hierarchies. The future hierarchy of settlement of the tertiary sector without having proper backward and for- district evolved shows that Thrissur Municipal Corpo- ward linkages with primary and secondary sectors. More ration is the highest order settlement in the District. over the district is bestowed with natural resources, Chalakkudy Municipal Council, Irinjalakkuda Municipal tourism potential spots, cultural richness etc. At the Council, Kunnamkulam Municipal Council are the ex- same time there are areas/regions of environmental isting and Chelakkara and Mattathur Grama Panchayats concern. The resource base of the district as well as Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 2. 162 TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT District Spatial Plan - Thrissur the spatial structure including transportation network erates as never before. The loss of forest cover and play a crucial role in the development of the district. In conversion to other land uses can adversely affect fresh addition, the spatial structure of the macro region, cov- water supplies, threatening the survival of millions of ering Thrissur and surrounding districts will also have a people and damaging the environment. So, protection determinant role in evolving the development concept. of environment sensitive areas is important for ensur- No doubt, the development concept for Thrissur shall ing sustainable development. be formulated only through a synthesis of all such fac- Environmentally sensitive areas of Thrissur Dis- tors namely, trict include the eastern forests, kole lands of the cen- 1. Environmentally sensitive areas tral region, the coastal areas and the inland water bod- ies of the district. (figure 14.1). 2. Spatial structure of the district 3. Resources pattern of the district 14.2.2 Spatial Structure of Thrissur District 4. Spatial structure of the macro region Spatial structure of the district is derived mainly from Hierarchy of settlements and nodes, the trans- Since the sectoral analysis is incomplete, the re- portation network and activity pattern. As per the settle- sources pattern of the district is not fully evolved and ment analysis, it is found that the settlements in the only the development concept evolved here is tenta- District can be grouped in to four hierarchies. The study tive which may need fine tuning on completion of of the suggested hierarchy of settlement of the district sectoral analysis of all sectors. shows that Thrissur Municipal Corporation is the high- 14.2.1 Environmentally Sensitive Areas est order settlement in the District. Chalakkudy Mu- nicipal Council, Irinjalakkuda Municipal Council, Deforestation and environmental exploitation Kunnamkulam Municipal Council, Chelakkara and when reaches the pinnacle of endurance, nature reit- Fig: 14.1 Environmentally sensitive areas of the District Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 3. District Spatial Plan - Thrissur TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT 163 Fig: 14.2 Spatial structure of the District Mattathur Grama Panchayats are the proposed second profile is derived taking in to account occupational struc- order settlements. In general there is one first order ture and hierarchy of settlements, the land use con- settlement, 5 second order settlements and 7 third or- centration pattern is studied based on the land use der settlements in the District. The first order settle- analysis). The spatial structure derived is shown in fig ment is supposed to provide higher order facilities in 14.2. Education, Health and in other sectors to the entire dis- trict population. The second order settlements are sup- 14.2.3 Resource Pattern of the District posed to provide second order facilities of various de- a. Agriculture velopment sectors to the surrounding area. The pro- Nearly 25% of the total area of the district is un- posed road network of the district is derived based on der agricultural land use. Most of the agricultural areas the hierarchy of settlements and nodes such that the are concentrated in the mid land and high and regions road network should connect the higher order settle- of the district. Also the general character of settlements ments and nodes. shows that most of them are rural in nature, indicating that there is scope for developing the agriculture sec- Activity pattern within the district is derived tor as one of the economic base of the District. based on the land use concentration pattern, functional character and future urban profile. In other words the Four distinctive agriculture development pat- activity pattern cover all the aspects taken for the study terns can be clearly delineated in the district viz. the of the settlements (functional character is determined coastal and low land regions where homestead cultiva- based on population distribution and land use, urban tion, predominantly of coconut, arecanut, nutmug, jack- Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 4. 164 TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT District Spatial Plan - Thrissur Fig.14.3 Spatial distribution of major crops fruit etc. can be promoted; mixed cultivation area in necting Thrissur Municipal Corporation with urban ac- the low –mid land area where paddy cultivation (kole tivity areas of the district such as Kunnamkulam- land & pokkali area) has to be sustained and nut mug, Chavakadu-Guruvayur and Irinjalakuda-Kodungallur- plantain, vegetable and fodder cultivation etc can be Methala. The concentration of house hold industries promoted; intense crop cultivation area in the mid land and hand loom industries are found along the coastal where rubber to be sustained and pineapple, pepper, areas and in Thiruvillwamala Grama Panchayat as well. plantain, vegetable and paddy cultivation to a certain The district also has potential for clay based industries, extent etc. can be promoted and finally resource base diamond & gold based industries, agro based indus- area where forest resources are to be conserved. Here, tries, handloom industries, book making industries etc. intense afforestation has to be promoted while exist- The spatial distribution of industries in Thrissur ing plantations and rubber and pepper cultivation are district is shown in fig 14.4. to be sustained. The spatial distribution of major crops in Thrissur district is shown in fig. 14.3 c. Tourism Thrissur district has got potential to develop the b. Industry tourism spots in connection with eco tourism, adven- The analysis of industrial sector shows the con- ture tourism, religious tourism and heritage tourism. centration of industrial activity (large, medium, small The tourism potential areas include Thrissur Municipal scale) in the south-west, south-east and north-west Corporation, Guruvayoor Municipal Council, regions of the district spatially located along the major Kodungalloor Municipal Council, Irinjalakuda Munici- transportation corridors such as NH-47, NH-17, SH con- pal Council, Grama Panchayats of Athirappaly, Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 5. District Spatial Plan - Thrissur TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT 165 Fig: 14.4 Spatial distribution of industries Mattathoor, Puthur, Vallathol Nagar, Varandarappilly observed. Primary activity is more concentrated at the etc. boundary between Thrissur and Palakkad districts. 14.2.4 Spatial Structure of the Macro Region 14.3 THE TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT Influence of neighbouring Districts especially The development Tentative concept for Thrissur Ernakulam, plays significant role in the development District is derived integrating all the above factors with of Thrissur district. The Thrissur – Kochi corridor linking the development goals and objectives set for the dis- Thrissur to the Metro City of Kochi, the trade and com- trict. Hence the development concept embraces as- mercial capital of the State, is functioning as a corridor pects of: of vibrant development. The spatial structure of this Environmental Protection & Sustainable devel- region is shown in figure 14.5. A contiguous belt of opment. include coastal LSGs exhibiting prominence of tertiary activi- ties supported by fisheries, Small Scale Industries and Optimum utilization of resources through inte- House Hold Industries are existing in Thrissur and gration of Primary, Secondary and Tertiary Sectors Ernakulum districts. A contiguous belt of urban activity Ensuring the local economic development and covering Grama Panchayats of Methala, Eriyad, and generation of better opportunities Edavilngu and the Kodungallur Muncipal Council in Certain level of self-sufficiency in production Thrissur district and extending upto Kochi can also be (primary and secondary) sectors Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 6. 166 TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT District Spatial Plan - Thrissur Balanced development and equitable spatial 14.6. As per the tentative development concept thus distribution of facilities derived, the district is divided in to eight development The process of integrating these, to evolve de- zones and future hierarchy of each settlement and velopment concept is schematically shown in Figure node are set and a future transportation network con- Fig.14.5 Spatial structure of the macro region Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 7. District Spatial Plan - Thrissur TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT 167 Fig: 14.6 Tentative Development concept - IDDP Thrissur necting the higher order settlements and nodes are 4. Accelerated growth zone - Industrial planned. A development zone is delineated by group- 5. Accelerated growth zone - Institutional ing the settlements possessing similar major economic activity pattern as per the Spatial Analysis. In other 6. Accelerated growth zone - Marine words, the thrust development sector of each Grama 7. Multifunctional zone I Panchayat or Municipal Council is specified. Develop- 8. Multifunctional zone II ment Concept of Thrissur District is depicted in Figure 14.7. The list of LSGs in each development zone is given 14.4.1 Environmental Concern Zone in Annexe 16. In order to preserve the environmentally sensi- 14.4 DEVELOPMENT ZONES tive areas of the district so as to ensure sustainable development, areas where environmentally sensitive The eight development zones evolved for land uses are concentrated are delineated as Environ- Thrissur district are as follows mental Concern Zone. This zone includes the natural 1. Environmental Concern Zone. forests, environmentally sensitive ‘kole’ lands, the 2. Intensive Agricultural Zone coastal zone and inland water bodies of the district. In Thrissur district the environmental sensitive areas are 3. Economic Development Corridor (EDC) Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 8. 168 TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT District Spatial Plan - Thrissur more concentrated in the eastern region where forest rice granaries located in the central Kerala. These areas is more concentrated. Peechi-Vazhani Sanctuary (situ- are valuable assets of the district. So the protection of ated in Wadakkanchery, Pazhayannur, Pananchery and these areas is important. Activities that affect the wa- Puthur Grama Panchayats) and Chimmony Wildlife ter resources and natural drainage basin of these areas Sanctuary (situated in Mattathur and Varantharapilly are not permitted in this zone. Grama Panchayats) are situated here. Within this zone, The coastal zone of the district and inland water in the areas where natural forest land use is concen- bodies of the district are also included in this zone and trated, no activity that causes deforestation of any kind their conservation deserve due attention. shall be permitted. Afforestation, plantation, cultiva- tion of crops like Rubber, Pineapple and Pepper are 14.4.2 Intensive Agricultural Zone found most suitable in the non forest areas of this zone. The intensive agricultural area as per the spatial Forest related activities including eco tourism; Aromatic analysis of settlement studies and the area of concen- & Medicinal plant cultivation, small scale HH industry tration of agricultural activity as per the spatial analysis based on natural resources of the region, outlets for of the Agricultural sector are included in Intensive agri- forest related products. watershed related activity & cultural zone of the district where intensive agricul- soil conservation etc may also be promoted. Agricul- tural activity can be promoted. The list of Grama ture and Allied activity non detrimental to forests can Panchayats which fall in Agro Development Zone is be promoted as supporting activity in this zone while given in Annexe 16. This zone is suitable for the inten- deforestation, wet land reclamation, industrialization, sive cultivation of crops like Paddy, Coconut, Arecanut, urbanisation etc will be restricted here. Nutmeg, Plantain, Banana etc. and also for agro based Other environmentally sensitive areas of the dis- industries like food processing units, coir industry etc. trict include ‘kole’ lands in mid land region which are In this zone providing agricultural infrastructure like Fig 14.7 Tentative Development concept Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 9. District Spatial Plan - Thrissur TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT 169 wholesale markets, seed centers, warehousing facili- south, along either sides of Irinjalakuda – Thrissur – ties etc for supporting the agriculture activities shall be Shornur corridor where the activity pattern is ‘second- given priority. This zone is also suitable for promoting ary’ is delineated as Accelerated growth zone -Indus- animal husbandry related activities. trial. In this Zone special types of developmental ac- tivities, in line with the existing activities, which are Thus Agriculture, small scale industries to pro- found very much suitable for those particular places, mote value addition of produces of agriculture and ani- are intended. This zone should enhance the small scale mal husbandry may be promoted as major activity in and house hold industrial activities which support value this zone. Animal husbandry, SSI & HH industries may addition of agriculture, fisheries and marine products. be promoted as supporting activity in this zone where This zone can also accommodate supporting industries as conversion of agriculture land and urbanisation will which enhance the industrial activity in the Economic be restricted. Development Corridor. 14.4.3 Economic Development Corridor (EDC). 14.4.5 Accelerated growth zone - Institutional The areas where tertiary activities and second- The region along SH-69, (the transportation cor- ary activities (especially industrial activity to trigger eco- ridor that connects Thrissur Municipal Corporation and nomic development) are more concentrated or can be Kunnamkulam Municipal Council) is zoned as Acceler- concentrated due to locational advantages are zoned ated growth zone –Institutional. Activities of the Grama as the Economic Development Corridor (EDC). Two de- Panchayats in the region will definitely have influence velopment corridors, namely the Thrissur - Ernakulam of the urban centers of Thrissur Municipal Corporation (NH-47) corridor and Thrissur – Irinjalakuda - and Kunnamkulam Municipal Council. Social infrastruc- Kodungalloor – Paravoor - Ernakulam (SH-22 & NH-17) ture facilities including hospitals, health institutions corridor are gaining importance in this regard. This zone and educational facilities are already in existence in is also influenced by Ernakulam, the commercial and the region and there is scope for future institutional industrial hub of the state. Industrial activities, espe- developments here. The zone is located near to the cially large scale production industries, are being at- Intensive Agricultural zone, so agro based industries tracted to this region. This Zone has profound implica- can be promoted, to a certain extent in this zone. tion in terms of good transportation linkages with sea port, airport, nearest urban centre etc. This zone has 14.4.6 Accelerated growth zone - Marine got wide influence region in terms of employment gen- The zone where fisheries and tertiary activities erated, raw resources utilised and products marketed. are more concentrated are designated as Accelerated This zone has to play a key role to trigger the economic growth zone - Marine. This zone is located in the coastal growth and generating employment opportunities. This region of Thrissur district. The LSGs along NH-17 are in- zone is suitable for large/ medium scale industries, in- cluded in this zone. From the activity analysis, it is found dustrial parks, Special Economic Zones (SEZ’s), IT & Info that nature of most of the LSGs fall under the category Parks, Quality Education and Health care institutions of urban or secondary activities. Hence this zone can be etc. Care shall be taken to restrict polluting industries. promoted for service sector activities and industrial Agriculture and allied activity and agro based indus- sector which enhance the fisheries and allied activi- tries may be allowed as supporting activities. ties. We can promote Fish markets, fish preservation 14.4.4 Accelerated growth zone - Industrial and production units, export and import of marine prod- ucts, ice plants, Aquaculture Farms, Ornamental fish The mid land areas of the district, extending north Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 10. 170 TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT District Spatial Plan - Thrissur trading units, fish seed farms Fish Farmers clubs, value industries etc are existing. This zone has intense po- added marine product outlet units, development of fish tential in infrastructure facilities like super specialty harbour & Boat building Yards, production and mainte- hospitals, five star hotels, Health institutions, IT parks, nance units of Machineries. This zone is also influenced educational facilities etc. This zone is surrounded by by Ernakulam, the commercial and industrial hub of the intensive agriculture zone. So agro and allied indus- state. The zone has immense potential with HH indus- tries like processing units, value addition units etc in trial activities in connection with allied activities and this connection also has potential. also tourism potential. Thus, Thrissur Municipal Corporation, the pro- 14.4.7 Multifunctional zone I posed regional centre of Thrissur District, will develop as a regional centre in the state next only to Cochin. This zone includes the jurisdictional area of The development of the zone should be in such a way Thrissur Municipal Corporation. In this zone all urban that it should minimize the degradation of nature and activities including higher order educational and health other pollution related activities. care facilities and a transportation network copping up with the requirements etc are to be made available. 14.4.8 Multifunctional zone II This zone will act as a service centre for the entire dis- This zone is the multifunctional zone of second trict. Suitable projects and programmes are to be imple- order activities which also serve various sectors effec- mented to exploit the urban potential of this zone. tively. In this zone, all types of 2nd order urban activi- Thrissur Municipal Corporation which is the only ties, 2nd order educational and health care facilities first order settlement is the heart of the district due to and enabling transportation facilities etc. are to be pro- its multifunctional character (seat of specialized and vided. This zone will act as a service centre for the hinter regional level facilities, status as administrative head lands and this zone is very much suitable for industries quarters, trade and commercial centre of the district utilizing agricultural produces of hinter land. The and Art & Cultural Centre) and also its spatial location Guruvayur – Chavakkad - Kunnamkulam region as well within the district. Thrissur Municipal Corporation is as Kodungallur -Irnjalakkuda -Eriyad Methala region located almost in the geographic centre of the District come under this zone. All the LSGs in this zone are lo- and reflects the character of activities of the whole dis- cated along major coastal transportation corridors of trict. Also Thrissur Municipal Corporation has good in- NH-17/SH 69/ SH 22. ter district and intra district connectivity both by road and railway. This zone plays a crucial role both in ser- 14.5 HIERARCHY OF SETTLEMENTS vice sector and other sectors and also plays a crucial The proposed hierarchy of settlements required role in creating good link between all sectors in an effi- for a balanced distribution of facilities to all the Local cient way. Governments in the district consists of Regional Cen- tre, Sub regional centers and Service centers. The pro- Thrissur Municipal Corporation has rich in tour- posed hierarchy of settlements is shown in Figure 14.8. ism, heritage, cultural, religious and archaeological wealth and acts as cultural centre of District as well as 14.6 TRANSPORTATION NETWORK the state. Thrissur Municipal Corporation has also good Conceptual road network is prepared based on role in industrial sector also. Gold and diamond indus- the existing and proposed hierarchy of settlements. try, textile industry, real estate, banking, brick and tile The entire district depends upon the monocentric industry, furniture making, automobile industry and HH single first order settlement ie, Thrissur Municipal Cor- Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 11. District Spatial Plan - Thrissur TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT 171 Fig 14.8 The proposed hierarchy of settlements Fig 14.9 The proposed Road network Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 12. 172 TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT District Spatial Plan - Thrissur poration for higher order facilities. Considering the ser- nut oil extraction, food processing units etc. Also we vice area of the first order settlement, Thrissur Munici- have rich potential in information technology and pal Corporation shows the clear primacy. As far as the knowledge based industry, textiles & garments, plastic linkage between the first order settlement and second & gem and jewelry etc. order settlement is concerned, there is already exist a The function of the LSGs is determined by com- radial pattern of roads which support the planning con- bining the effect of activity pattern which is already cept of road network for a settlement which is cen- explained in chapter 10 and the zones which are de- trally located. In corporating the spatial distribution of rived from the development concept and real to ground settlement in the District, the proposed districtl road scenario. The activity pattern of the district shows that network can be suggested and it is shown in fig 14.9. there exist five major zones which are urban activity, 14.7 FUNCTION OF SETTLEMENT agricultural activity non detrimental to forests, primary activity, secondary activity and agricultural & allied ac- Thrissur district has rich potential in primary, sec- tivity. Based on the development concept, Thrissur dis- ondary and tertiary activities. Nearly 25% of the land trict is divided into eight zones which are already de- use in the district is agricultural, indicating that there is scribed above. The various activities in each zone are a scope for developing the agriculture sector as one of also well explained. By considering both the activities the economic base of the district. Thrissur district is of development zones & the activity pattern of district, also blessed with Kole lands which are rice granaries. it is seen that there is not much difference in the func- The major crops in the district are paddy, tapioca, rub- tion of a LSGs. ber, ginger, cashew, tea, coconut, arecanut etc. Major industrial sectors are handloom, khadi handloom, pot- There are seven major classifications are done tery tiles, wood based units, rubber based units, coco- for determining the function of a LSGs. There are as Fig 14.10 Funtion of settlement Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 13. District Spatial Plan - Thrissur TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT 173 follows erate the declining trend of the growth rate of popula- tion through the maximum optimal utilization of re- 1. Tertiary activity which is similar to urban activity sources available in the district and developing the pro- area duction sector along with other sectors such as animal 2. Primary activity husbandry, industrial and tourism etc as one of major 3. Primary activity – Agricultural the economic bases of the district. At the same time 4. Primary activity – Plantation this will not interfere with the protection of natural 5. Agricultural activity non detrimental to forests resources and environmental sensitive areas. Mani- 6. Agricultural activity + Animal Husbandry activity festly, optimum utilization of the resources in the Dis- which is similar to agricultural & allied activity trict will have reflection in the future occupational struc- 7. Agricultural activity + Animal Husbandry activity ture and future population of the District. + Small scale industrial activity which is similar to secondary activity area. From the development concept, Thrissur district The major functions of each LSGs in the district is is divided into eight development zones. They are as shown in figure 14.10. follows 14.8 PROJECTION OF POPULATION 1. Environmental Concern Zone. 2. Intensive Agricultural Zone Population growth of an area depends on num- bers of births, death, in migrants and out migrants over 3. Economic Development Corridor (EDC) a time period taken for the population projection. If 4. Accelerated growth zone - Industrial one can predict the exact future values of all these fac- 5. Accelerated growth zone - Institutional tors, population projection of that area can be done 6. Accelerated growth zone - Marine very accurately. 7. Multifunctional zone I Thrissur district shows an increasing trend in the 8. Multifunctional zone II population figures during the period 1981-2001. But at Each development zone has its own develop- the same time the growth rate of population is decreas- ment potential and this has to be taken into account in ing during 1981-2001. The spatial development plan of ascertaining the future occupational structure, popula- Thrissur district envisage the planned sustainable de- tion and its distribution within the district. Another fac- velopment of Thrissur district with optimum utilization tor to be considered in the projection of occupational of resources, planned diversification of economic ac- structure and population distribution is the projected tivities to trigger the local economic growth, genera- urban scenario of the District. The urban population tion of better opportunities, balanced development, content of Thrissur District will increase to 29.8% by equitable spatial distribution of facilities and thus to 2021 from the value of 18.13% in 2001. It is projected improve the quality of life. The development goal also that 11 rural LSGs, will attain urban status by the end of envisage to develop the district as an eco-friendly and the plan period. The population in the district is to be economically vibrant region in the state. Obliviously so redistributed (to the possible extent) that it has more the programs and projects developed and imple- concentration in multifunctional zones, accelerated mented based on this planning concept will attract more growth zone and economic development corridor, less population to the district in terms of creation of new concentration in intensive agricultural zone and lest in and better paid employment opportunities, access to environmental concern zone. facilities and so forth. Hence the main intention of the spatial development plan of Thrissur district is regen- The nature of the each development zone and Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 14. 174 TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT District Spatial Plan - Thrissur how they make impressions on the occupational struc- zone. Hence a population growth rate slightly higher ture and population growth rate is discussed hereun- than the natural growth rate can be envisaged in this der. zone. Environmental concern zone includes the natu- Economic development corridor has profound ral forests, environmentally sensitive ‘kole’ lands, the implication in terms of good transportation linkages coastal zone and inland water bodies of the district. In with sea port, airport, nearest urban centre etc. This Thrissur district the environmental sensitive areas are zone has got wide influence region in terms of employ- more concentrated in the eastern region where forest ment generated, raw resources utilized and products is more concentrated. Any activity that causes defores- marketed. For that reasons we can expect floating tation shall not be permitted in this area. Agriculture population for a period of time. Also it is located near and allied activity non detrimental to forests can be the intensive agricultural zone and accelerated growth promoted as supporting activity in this zone while de- zone and also it is well connected to multifunction forestation, wet land reclamation, industrialization, zones. More over this zone is mainly to provide infra- urbanisation etc will be restricted here. Hence an en- structure and other facilities so as to generate devel- hanced growth in population and work force is not ex- opment impulses to the scale and as such is not sup- pected in this zone. Only natural growth in population posed to create high density residential population. It and slight increase in agricultural work force can be is perceived that the major chunk of floating popula- expected. tion in this zone may likely to settle in the hinterland as well as nearby urban centers within and outside the Intensive agricultural zone is suitable for the in- district. So we can expect a slight enhancement in the tensive cultivation of crops like Paddy, Coconut, population. Also an increase in service sector workers Arecanut, Nutmeg, Plantain, Banana etc. and also for and industrial workers. agro based industries like food processing units, coir industry etc. In this zone providing agricultural infra- Accelerated growth zone (Industrial) should en- structure like wholesale markets, seed centers, ware- hance the small scale and house hold industrial activi- housing facilities etc for supporting the agriculture ac- ties which support value addition of agriculture, fish- tivities shall be given priority. This zone is also suitable eries and marine products. This zone can also accom- for promoting animal husbandry related activities, modate supporting industries which enhance the in- servise sector activities which support primary sector dustrial activity in the Economic Development Corri- key activities envisaged in this zone and industrial ac- dor. Secondary workers are more concentrated in that tivities (mainly small scale) which enhance the value area, so we can expect high enhanced growth rate of addition of the production from this zone. This will bring population. more cultivators and agricultural laborers into this zone. Accelerated growth zone (Institutional) should Consequently there will be increase in growth rate of enhance the social infrastructure facilities including population in this zone along with increase in agricul- hospitals, health institutions and educational facilities. tural workers. The increase in the workforce will mainly The zone is located near to the Intensive Agricultural be in primary sector- i.e. agriculture sector. However zone, so agro based industries can be promoted, to a the growth of the population in this zone is limited to certain extent in this zone. Here also we can expect a the extent that the attraction of further population to slight enhanced growth. Also service sectoral workers this zone is enhanced only after satisfying the demands are more concentrated in that area. of the present population and its natural growth in this Accelerated growth zone (Marine) zone is located Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 15. District Spatial Plan - Thrissur TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT 175 in the coastal region of Thrissur district. This zone pro- cupational structure in each development zone is sum- motes service sector activities and industrial sector marized in table 14.1. which enhance the fisheries and allied activities. The 14.8.1 Projection of decadal population growth zone has immense potential with House Hold Indus- rate trial activities in connection with fisheries, marine al- lied activities and also tourism potential. So we can Decadal growth rate of population of Thrissur dis- expect high enhanced growth in this zone. The main trict is 8.66% as per 2001 census which is less than the work participation rate contributed from House Hold average growth rate of 9.42% of the State. Trend based and Service sectors. population projection is explained in chapter 3 by two methods namely decreasing rate method and appor- The multifunction zones where urban activities tionment method. The projected total population in including higher order educational, health care facili- 2011 and 2021 is taken as average of these two values ties and transportation network copping up with the obtained in the above two methods. requirements are available. This zone will act as a ser- Table 14.1: Zone wise impact on population growth rate and occupation structure No Zone Impact on population growth Impact on occupational structure 1 Environmental concern zone Only natural growth Slight increase in cultivators & agricultural labourers 2 Intensive agricultural zone Enhanced growth Increase in cultivators & agricultural labourers 3 Economic Development Corridor moderate Enhanced growth Increase in industrial & service sector (EDC) workers 4 Accelerated growth zone - Industrial High enhanced growth Increase in secondary workers & industrial workers 5 Accelerated growth zone - Slight Enhanced growth Increase in industrial & service sector Institutional workers 6 Accelerated growth zone - Marine High enhanced growth Increase in HH & service sector workers 7 Multifunctional zone I High enhanced growth Increase in tertiary workers 8 Multifunctional zone II High enhanced growth Increase in tertiary workers vice centre for the entire district. For that reason we The population growth rate of 2011 and 2021 is can expect a high enhanced growth in this region and given in the table 14.2. From the table, it is clear that the the tertiary workers are more concentrated in that area. growth rate is 6.03% during 2001- 2011 and 4.21% during 2011- 2021. The average figure of 5% can be assumed as The effect of growth rate of population and oc- the lower limit of the accelerated population growth Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 16. 176 TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT District Spatial Plan - Thrissur rate during the plan period, assuming that the induced Kodungallur – Paravur – Ernakulam (SH-22 & NH -17) development will push up the population growth rate corridors. The areas of some localbodies are not com- above the trend based projected value. pletely included in this zone. But the effect of influ- ence due to this zone is fully covered by that LSGs. For The temporal variation of the population growth getting more clarified picture about the influence of rate of the district as well as that of state shows a de- the development due to this zone, we take the entire clining trend. So the future accelerated population area and population of these LSGs in this zone. The same growth rate of the district should be less than the cur- is also done in the case of accelerated growth zones. Table 14.2: Population growth rate – Projected (Trend Based) Year Total population Population Growth rate 1971 2,128,877 1981 2,439,633 14.6 1991 2,737,311 12.2 2001 2,974,232 8.66 2011 3,153,564 6.03 2021 3,286,439 4.21 rent population growth rate of 8.66%. It can be assumed The percentage of area of Economic Development Cor- that the accelerated future population growth rate of ridor (EDC) is only 13.05% and it shows 15.67% popula- Thrissur will be between 5% and 8.66%. The actual value tion where we expect slight enhanced growth. In the of population growth rate depends on the extent of similar manner we can expect slight enhanced growth area and the population comes under various zones. in Accelerated growth zone – Institutional where the The zone wise population and area (2001) is shown in area (5.48%) of zone is very less and the population Table 14.3. (7.64%) corresponding to area is high. In Multifunction zones where we expect high enhanced growth, nearly From the table, the agriculture zone shows both 20% population is distributed in only 7% area of the the maximum percentage of population (28.56%) and district which clearly indicates the multifunctional de- area (44.71%) where we are expecting a slight enhanced velopment potential of that zone in various sectors. growth above the natural growth rate. In the economic As a whole 96% population is distributed in 85% of area development corridor we consider the Thrissur – of the district where we expect enhanced growth. Ernakulam (NH-47) and Thrissur – Irinjalkkuda – Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 17. District Spatial Plan - Thrissur TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT 177 Table 14.3: Zone wise population and area (2001) No Zone Impact on population Total Population % of Population Total Area % of Area w.r.t growth 2001 w.r.t district District 1 Environmental concern zone Only natural growth 105188 3.54 430.28 14.16 2 Intensive agriculturalzone Enhanced growth 849296 28.56 1358.78 44.71 3 Economic Development Corridor Moderate Enhanced 465897 15.67 (EDC) growth 396.64 13.05 4 Accelerated growth zone - High enhanced growth 296892 Industrial 9.98 230.05 7.57 5 Accelerated growth zone - Slight Enhanced growth 227085 Institutional 7.64 166.44 5.48 6 Accelerated growth zone - Marine High enhanced 473733 growth 15.93 244.34 8.04 7 Multifunctional zone I High enhanced growth 317526 10.68 101.42 3.34 8 Multifunctional zone II High enhanced growth 238407 8.02 111.02 3.65 It is clear that most of the population is distrib- is to be known. This is calculated hereunder. uted in the zones where enhanced growth is anticipated The average annual birth rate and death rate in as per the development concept. Thus the population 2001 in Thrissur District are 18.51 and 7.34 respectively growth rate for these zones will be near to the upper for 1000 population. [Source of Data: Vital Statistics limit of the deduced population growth rate range of 5 Bulletin 2001, Directorate of Economics and Statistics, - 8.66. The actual value of population growth rate, in Thiruvananthapuram]. This implies that the natural between 5% and 8.66%, depends mainly on the migra- growth rate for the period 1991-2001 will be 18.51 – tion pattern of population due to the development sce- 7.34 = 11.17 %. nario visualized in the development concept assuming birth rate and death follows the same pattern of the Projected population of 2001, taking into account yester years. the natural growth component alone is (Population in 1991 as per census is 2737311) Population 2021= Population 2001+ {Birth – Death + In migration – Out migration} during two decades. Population of 2001 =2737311+ 0.1117 x i.e., Population 2021= Population 2001+ (Population 2737311=3043069 2001 x future birth rate) - (Population in 2001 x future But as per 2001 census, Population of District in Death Rate) + (Future in migrants) - (Future out mi- 2001 is 2974232 which take into account the total num- grants) ber of births, deaths, in migration and out migration In order to ascertain the migration trend in fu- taken place in the district during 1991-2001 periods. The ture, the existing scenario of migration (from 1991-2001) difference between the two population figures ac- Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 18. 178 TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT District Spatial Plan - Thrissur counts for the net migration which has taken place dur- 14.8.2. DISTRIBUTION OF PROJECTED POPULATION ing this period. AMONG THE DEVELOPMENT ZONES. The difference is negative (i.e. 2974232-3043069= The projected population is distributed in vari- -68837), indicating that there is out migration during ous zones by considering the following factors. the period 1991-2001. Percentage wise, it is 2.5% of the 1. Existing population growth rate total population of 1991. 2. The trend based projected population growth As per the Development Concept, 90% of the rate population of the district lives in the zones of enhanced 3. The type of development in each zone as per growth rate. Hence, a reversal in the above trend is development concept expected. Instead of the net migration being out mi- gration at present, in migration is expected. There is all Considering the growth rate scenario of the dis- the probability that the net migration will become zero trict, it shows a declining trend during 1981- 2001. The by the end of the plan period. This means that, during population growth rate is more concentrated in the mid the plan period, there will be in migration of 68837 per- – up land and coastal region in 1991 and in 2001 the sons. It is 2.3% of the total population of district in 2001. growth rate is more concentrated in mid land region only. The decadal growth rate of various zones is shown The trend based growth rate of population in in table 14.5. From the table it is clear that the growth Table 14.4: Projected growth rate (Induced) – 2021 of the district Year 1991 2001 2011 2021 G.R 12.2 8.66 7.5 6.51 2011- 2021 decade will be 4.21% shown in table14.2. rate of Multifunction zone I is 8.38% in 2001 and it shows The assumption is that the existing trend in birth rate, decreasing trend in future. But the percentage of de- death rate and migration will continue. But the Devel- crease is not too large. But considering the Multifunc- opment Plan visualizes a change in pattern of migra- tion zone II, the growth rate is decreased to 1.55% from tion as discussed above. By taking this into account the 5.87% where we have to enhance the population growth future population growth is calculated as follows. rate to some extent as per development concept. This may be due to the fact that the percentage of decrease Adding the net percentage of migrants to the in growth rate is high in the previous decades. But some trend based decadal growth rate of population in 2021, of the LSGs cover the Multifunction zone II is raised to expected population growth rate (accelerated growth) urban criteria in future, so it will help to increase the in 2021 comes to be 6.51% (4.21+2.3). (ie within the growth rate in that region. Thus we can expect a high range of 5 - 8.66 and towards the upper side of the enhanced growth rate in that region. As a whole, the range). The population growth rate during 2001-2011 is LSGs cover the multifunction zones show a positive interpolated as 7.5%. The projected population growth trend in the growth rate which implies the future de- rates (induced) are shown in Table 14.4 and Figure 14.11. velopment in that zone. As per the development concept, various activi- Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 19. District Spatial Plan - Thrissur TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT 179 Fig 14.11 Projected growth rate (Induced) of the district Table 14.5: zone wise growth rate –Trend based No Zone Impact on Decadal G.R 1991- Trend based decadal G.R population growth 2001 2021 1 Environmental concern Only natural growth zone 9.02 4.05 2 Intensive agricultural zone Enhanced growth 9.73 4.98 3 Economic Development Moderate Corridor (EDC) Enhanced growth 8.60 4.07 4 Accelerated growth zone - High enhanced Industrial growth 10.58 4.83 5 Accelerated growth zone - Slight Enhanced Institutional growth 12.39 7.59 6 Accelerated growth zone - High enhanced Marine growth 5.52 0.72 7 Multifunctional zone I High enhanced growth 8.38 5.65 8 Multifunctional zone II High enhanced growth 5.87 1.55 Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 20. 180 TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT District Spatial Plan - Thrissur ties which contributing the development is limited to slight decreasing trend. The high value of growth rate some extent in Environmental concern zone due to prior of population in 2001 clearly indicates the development importance given to the protection of natural resources of that area through service activities. The same pat- and environment sensitive area. So we can expect only tern is also seen in the case of accelerated growth zone natural growth of population in the zone. The growth – Industrial and Economic Development Corridor (EDC). rate of environmental concern zone in 2001 is 9.02% The growth rates of accelerated growth zone – Indus- which is comes to the fourth place when considering trial and Economic Development Corridor (EDC) are the growth rate in various zones. The high value of 10.58% and 8.60% respectively in 2001. And it is reduced growth rate is due to the positive growth rate shown by to 4.83% and 4.07 respectively in 2021. As per develop- the some Grama Panchayat which cover the zone where ment concept also, we expect enhancement in the plantation related primary activity are predominant. growth rate of these zones to utilize the potential of Considering the trend, it is reduced to 4.05% in 2021. urban activities. The growth rate of intensive agricultural zone is We have to calculate the induced growth rate of 9.73 in 1991-2001. But considering the trend of the popu- 2021 by considering the impact on population growth lation growth rate of LSGs included in that zone, it show rate derived based on development concept, growth high decreasing trend. Based on that the projected rate of 1991-2001 periods and trend based decadal population growth rates become 4.98% in 2021. In view growth rate 2021. Considering the environmental con- of envisaged intensive agricultural activity and allied cern zone, where the trend based growth rate in 2021 is activities in this zone, we have to enhance the growth 4.05%. As per the development concept, various activi- rate of that zone to some extent for the future devel- ties which contributing the development is limited to opment through agriculture sector. However a high some extent in Environmental concern zone due to prior growth rate of population is not expected in this zone. importance given to the protection of natural resources and environment sensitive area. Hence the trend based In similar manner the growth rate of accelerated growth rate of 4.05% in 2021 will remain in that zone. growth zone – Marine (5.52%) is also show the high We are not providing any enhancement of population decreasing trend. This is due to the fact that the popu- in that area. lation growth rate of coastal region during the period 1981-1991 comes in the range 15-20% which shows the In the case of intensive agricultural zone, the strength of the economic base once existed in there growth rate in 2001 is 9.73% and in 2021 it is reduced to and when comes in 1991-2001, growth rate of popula- 4.98%. But as per development concept, we provide tion in coastal region is decreased in the range 5 – 10%. enhanced growth in that zone. The induced growth rate But as per development concept, this zone is promoted of intensive agricultural zone in 2021 will be less than for service sector and industrial sector activities which 9.73% and more than 4.98%. It is assumed that an aver- enhance the fisheries and allied activities and utilizing age growth rate of 6% which is slightly less than aver- the potential of coastal line. Also we can promote eco age of the above two values (9.73% and 4.98%) will at- friendly tourism. Hence we have to enhance the popu- tain within two decades. lation growth rate in the zone to achieve the develop- In the case of economic development corridor ment through a strong economic base. (EDC), the growth rate in 2001 is 8.6% and in 2021 it is The growth rates of accelerated growth zone – reduced to 4.07%. But as per development concept, we Institutional show high growth rate (12.39%) in 2001.The provide moderate enhanced growth in that zone. The trend based growth rate in 2021 is 7.59% and it show induced growth rate of EDC in 2021 will be less than Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 21. District Spatial Plan - Thrissur TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT 181 8.6% and more than 4.07%. It is assumed that an aver- reduced to 7.59%. But as per development concept, we age growth rate of 7% which is slightly more than aver- provide slight enhanced growth in this zone. Consider- age of the above two values (8.6% and 4.07%) will at- ing the fact of enhancement in growth rate, the induced tain within two decades. growth rate of Accelerated growth zone - Institutional in 2021 will be less than 12.39% and more than 7.59%. It In the case of Accelerated growth zone - Indus- is assumed that an average growth rate of 9.3% which is trial, the growth rate in 2001 is 10.58% and in 2021 it is slightly less than average of the above two values reduced to 4.83%. But as per development concept, we (9.73% and 4.98%) will attain within two decades. provide high enhanced growth in this zone. The induced growth rate of Accelerated growth zone - Industrial in In the case of Accelerated growth zone – Marine 2021 will in the range 4.83-10.58. Due to the high en- and Multifunctional zones, we are expecting high en- hanced growth, it is assumed an average growth rate of hanced growth rate in 2021. Due to the high enhanced 10.58% which is the upper limit of the range will attain growth, it is assumed an average growth rate of 5.52%, within two decades. 8.38% and 5.87% which is the upper limit of the range in each zone will attain within two decades in Acceler- In the case of Accelerated growth zone - Institu- ated growth zone – Marine, Multifunction zone I and tional, the growth rate in 2001 is 12.39% and in 2021 it is Multifunction zone II respectively. Table 14.6: Zone wise induced growth rate No Zone Impact on population Decadal G.R Trend based decadal Range of Induced Average Induced growth 1991-2001 growth rate 2021 growth rate – growth rate 2021– Projected Projected 1 Environmentalconcern zone Only natural growth 4.05 9.02 4.05 4.05 2 Intensive agricultural zone Enhanced growth 6 9.73 4.98 9.73 – 4.98 3 Economic Development Moderate Enhanced 7 Corridor (EDC) growth 8.60 4.07 8.6 – 4.07 4 Accelerated growth zone - High enhanced growth 10.58 Industrial 10.58 4.83 10.58 – 4.83 5 Accelerated growth zone - Slight Enhanced growth 9.3 Institutional 12.39 7.59 12.39 – 7.59 6 Accelerated growth zone - High enhanced 5.52 Marine growth 5.52 0.72 5.52 – 0.72 7 Multifunctional zone I High enhanced growth 8.38 8.38 5.65 8.38 8 Multifunctionalzone II High enhanced growth 5.87 5.87 1.55 5.87 Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 22. 182 TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT District Spatial Plan - Thrissur The trend based population growth rate and av- period 2001-11 & 2011-2021. And it is given in table 14.7. erage induced population growth rate is calculated zone Zone wise population based on the projected in- wise and it is given in Table 14.6. duced growth rate is shown in Table 14.8. The table 14.6 gives the average growth rate of The change in scenario of the population distri- each zone which will attain within two decades. And it bution within district due to projected population is is well explained that the induced growth rate of dis- depicted by the change in zone wise percentage of trict in 2011 and 2021 is 7.5% and 6.51% respectively. By population. It is shown in Table 14.9. From the table it is incorporating the above facts, the average growth rate clear that the percentage of population does not show of each zone can be extrapolated to growth rate for the Table 14.7: Zone wise population in 2021 No Zone Impact on population Average Induced Induced growth Induced growth growth growth rate 2021– rate 2001-2011 rate 2011-2021 Projected 1 Environmentalconcern zone Only natural growth 4.05 5.50 4.05 2 Intensive agriculturalzone Enhanced growth 6 6.50 5.50 3 Economic Development Moderate Enhanced 7 Corridor(EDC) growth 7.50 6.50 4 Accelerated growth zone - High enhanced growth 10.58 Industrial 11.08 10.08 5 Accelerated growth zone - Slight Enhanced 9.3 Institutional growth 9.80 8.80 6 Accelerated growth zone - High enhanced 5.52 Marine growth 6.02 5.02 7 Multifunctional zone I High enhanced growth 8.38 8.88 7.88 8 Multifunctional zone II High enhanced growth 5.87 6.37 5.37 Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 23. District Spatial Plan - Thrissur TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT 183 much variation in the zones. It is slightly increasing in zones. And it is decreasing in environmental concern Multifunction zones, and some accelerated growth zones and intensive agricultural zone. Table 14.8: Zone wise population based on projected induced growth rate Table 14.9: Percentage of population in 2001& 2021 Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 24. 184 TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT District Spatial Plan - Thrissur Consider the percentage of increase in popula- increase is more than 15% in Accelerated growth zone tion density for getting clearer picture about the pro- – Industrial (22.28%), Multifunctional zone I (17.46%) jected population which is given in each zone. The popu- and Accelerated growth zone - Institutional (19.46%). lation density of various zones is given in table 14.10. The percentage of increase is more than 10% in the rest Considering the percentage of increase in population of the zones except Environmental concern zone density, it is seen that the percentage of increase is (9.77%). The Population density variation is shown in maximum in Accelerated growth zone – Industrial figure 14.12. This shows a population distribution sup- (22.28%) and the percentage of increase is least in En- ports with the development concept. vironmental concern zone (9.77%). The percentage of Table 14.10: Population Density – Zone wise Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 25. District Spatial Plan - Thrissur TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT 185 Fig 14.12 Zone wise Population Density 14.8.2.1 Distribution of projected population From the figure it is clear that growth rate is more among LSGs concentrated in the central region and mid upland area The LSGs wise distribution of growth rate of of the district. It covers the multifunction zone I and population in 2021 based on the trend wise analysis is accelerated growth zones. There are four LSGs shown in figure14.13. (Mattathur Grama Panchayat, Melur Grama Panchayat, Kolazhi Grama Panchayat, Anthikkad Grama Panchayat) Figure 14.13 G.R of population 2021-trend based Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 26. 186 TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT District Spatial Plan - Thrissur Figure 14.14 G.R of population 2021-Accelerated showing growth rate more than 15. Nine LSGs showing range more than 15 and all are located near the Multi- growth rate in the range 10-15 and ten LSGs are in the function zones. Eight LSGs showing growth rate in the range 5-10. The rest of the LSGs (76 in no) showing range 10-15 which are in the accelerated growth zones. growth rate less than 5. In the intensive agriculture zone In the trend wise analysis, only ten LSGs are having and accelerated growth zone marine are having growth growth rate in the range 5-10 and it is increased to 39 rate less than 5. The growth rate of Multifunction zone LSGs while considering the induced projected growth II also showing less growth rate in the trend based analy- rate. The rest of 45 LSGs show a growth rate less than 5. sis. Out of 99 LSGs in the district, 76 LSGs having growth rate less than 5 which cover the agricultural zone and 14.9. PROJECTION OF WORK FORCE accelerated growth zone (Marine) and some industrial The analysis of the occupational structure of the zone area. District (Chapter 4) shows a very alarming situation about the economic base of the district. The produc- The LSGs wise distribution of growth rate of popu- tion sectors including agriculture shows declining trend lation in 2021 based on induced growth rate analysis is in the district. Meanwhile service sector shows growth shown in figure 14.14. From the figure it is clear that both in urban and rural areas. The occupational struc- growth rate is more concentrated in the central region, ture also reveals that the secondary sector also takes a mid upland area and some coastal regions of the dis- determinant role in the district’s economy. More than trict. In the trend wise analysis, only four LSGs are hav- 50% of the population depends on the service / sec- ing growth rate more than 15. But when the growth ondary sector for their lively hood. It is observed that rate is accelerated there are seven LSGs come in the Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 27. District Spatial Plan - Thrissur TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT 187 rural areas of the district are slowly withdrawing from LSGS and the tertiary workers are more concentrated in primary sector and started depending more on the ser- and around the urban areas. vice sector. The boundary distinguishing the character The existing trend of work participation rate and of rural and urban areas is narrowing down. It is clear existing occupational structure of the District are ana- that primary workers are more concentrated in high land lyzed in Chapter 4. The existing work participation and region and some mid land LSGS. Secondary workers are occupational structure is shown in Figure 14.15 and Fig- concentrated in the mid land region and some coastal ure 14.16 respectively. Fig 14.15: Work participation rate (Existing) Fig 14.16: Occupational Structure (Existing) Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 28. 188 TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT District Spatial Plan - Thrissur The Work Participation Rate (WPR) of Thrissur Malappuram district has the lowest work participation District from 1981 to 2001 is shown in figure 14.15. WPR rate (24%). The work participation rate of Thrissur Dis- is increased by 8.40 % from 1981 to 2001. If the same trict is equals to that of the state (ie 32%) in 2001). That trend is continued, work participation rate at the end means, out of the total population of 29.74 lakhs, 9.55 of the plan period (2021) will be about 33.26. (Figure lakhs are workers. 14.17). As per the likely impact in the occupational struc- But the proposed developments (as per devel- ture due to future developments (Table 14.11), increase opment concept) will open up new avenues of employ- in work force is expected in 7 out of the 8 development Fig 14.17 projected WPR – Trend based ment and consequently there will be enhanced work zones. This will surely increase the WPR significantly participation rate. Just like in the case of population well above the trend based projected WPR of 33.26%. projection, the trend based projected WPR can be taken It is accepted that a WPR of 40% indicates a well off as the lower limit of the work participation rate at the society as far as the job opportunities are concerned. end of the plan period, on the assumption that the ac- The present WPR of Thrissur District is only 32.12% and celerated WPR will be higher than this. attaining a WPR of 40% by two decades is very difficult. The WPR of the surrounding Districts shows (Figure The work participation rate of Kerala is 32% as 14.18) a maximum value of 34% (in Palakkad and per 2001 census. As per census 2001, the work partici- Ernakulam District). The WPR of the State as per 2001 pation rate of Idukki district is maximum (43%) and Table 14.11 Projection of WPR –Thrissur District Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 29. District Spatial Plan - Thrissur TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT 189 Fig 14.18: WPR of Districts surrounding to Thrissur census is only 32.3%. Considering all these a WPR of in the WPR. 36% is targeted (2.74% above the lower limit of 33.26%) as the WPR for future population of Thrissur District. 14.9.1 Zone wise distribution of WPR Zone wise distribution of WPR based on 2001 cen- The projected WPR of the District is given in Table sus data is shown in Table 14.12. 14.11 and Figure 14.19 by assuming a uniform increase Fig 14.19: Projection of WPR –Thrissur District Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 30. 190 TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT District Spatial Plan - Thrissur Table 14.12: Zone wise WPR - 2001 The existing scenario of WPR shows that WPR is Consider the Multifunction zone I and Acceler- more in the environmental concern zone (33.72) and ated growth zones, they have WPR less than even in- least in the Accelerated growth zone-Marine (26.92). tensive agricultural zone. From the analysis of occupa- Intensive agricultural zone also shows WPR greater than tional structure, it is very clear that WPR of the urban multifunction zone and Accelerated growth zones. area is equal to that of the rural area indicates a uni- form picture about the number of job opportunities The environmental concern zone is rural in na- created in urban and rural areas against the popular ture and primary workers are more concentrated in that belief that urban area creates more job opportunities. region. But the primary activity non detrimental to na- This trend has to be changed in such a way that urban ture is only allowed in that region as per the develop- area creates more job opportunities. Otherwise it will ment concept. As per the present scenario, WPR is high- affect the environmental and economical sustainability est in that zone. But we cannot provide a high WPR of a region. There will be migration of people from ur- considering the development concept derived and in ban to rural areas resulting in the possible destruction view of environmental and economical sustainability of the resources like agricultural area, water bodies and of a region. environmentally sensitive areas in the rural area for WPR of Economic Development Corridor (EDC) is residential purpose and thus destroying the economic slightly more than intensive agricultural zone. The ser- base of the District. vice activities are mainly concentrated in Economic Table 14.13 shows the combined average WPR - Development Corridor (EDC). So we can expect a high zone wise of the District. In this Accelerated growth WPR as per development concept in that zone. Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala
  • 31. District Spatial Plan - Thrissur TENTATIVE DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT 191 zone – Industrial, Accelerated growth zone – Institu- In the case of Intensive Agricultural Zone, the tional, Accelerated growth zone – Marine, are taken as WPR in 2001 is 33.28 and as per development concept a single one. Similar manner Multifunction zones and we provide increase in cultivators & agricultural Economic Development Corridor (EDC) are considered labourers. Hence the range of WPR in 2021 will be more as single unit. than 33.28 but less than 36 (District WPR). Also the value of WPR in 2021 should be more than that of environ- Table 14.13 The combined average WPR - zone wise ‘Selective concentration of urban and rural eco- mental concern zone. It is assumed that average of 33.28 nomic activities and diversification of the economic & 36 is taken as WPR in 2021 (34.64%). base through interventions in production sectors to The WPR of Economic Development Corridor prevent the dilution of economic base of rural and ur- (EDC) in 2001 is 33.34%. As per development concept ban areas’ is one of the development objectives of the we expect increase in industrial & service sector work- Development Plan. Another objective is to protect the ers. Considering the increase of workers, the WPR in environmentally sensitive areas of the District. These 2021 will be lies in the range 33.34-36. But the zone is two objectives will have a direct bearing in the deter- influenced by Ernakulam which is the commercial and mination of future economic base and in turn future industrial hub of the state and good transportation link- WPR and spatial distribution of work force. ages. Hence the WPR in 2021 may be more than the Considering the environmental concern zone, range due to the development through Thrissur- the WPR of 2001 is 33.72. We will not provide a high Ernakulam corridor (NH-47). It is assumed that WPR of WPR as per development concept. The range of WPR in EDC in 2021 will be 37 which is more than the range 2021 is fixed between 33.72 and 36 which is the pro- (33.34-36). jected WPR of District in 2021 as per development con- In the case of Accelerated growth zone – Indus- cept. And also the value of WPR should be least in this trial, the value of WPR in 2001 is 32.44 and as per devel- zone considering other zones. Hence it is assumed a opment concept we expect high increase in secondary value of WPR which is less than the average of the range workers & industrial workers. Hence the range of WPR is taken (34%). The value of WPR should be least in this in 2021 will be taken as between 32.44 & 36. This zone zone considering other zones. can also accommodate supporting industries which Department of Town & Country Planning, Kerala