NBNPHA 2014 Conference Saint John Keynote - Dr. Michael Haan New Brunswick’s demographic and housing challenges
1. Demographic
Challenges
Michael Haan, PhD
Canada Research Chair in Population and Social Policy
University of New Brunswick
mhaan@unb.ca
Demography, Poverty & Affordable Housing
in New Brunswick
2. Outline
1. Basic demographic trends
2. Migration is a primary driver of demographic and economic
change.
3. Trends in Intra-provincial migration
4. Implications for housing
8. Canada’s Demographic Haves
and Have Nots
• As of 2001: % of living population residing in province of
birth (Ontario):
• Newfoundland/Labrador: 70.1% (13.82%)
• Prince Edward Island: 69.9% (11.69%)
• Nova Scotia: 74.0% (12.32%)
• New Brunswick: 73.5% (9.76%)
• Quebec: 92.0% (5.19%)
• Ontario: 90.4%
• Manitoba: 72.6% (6.4%)
• Saskatchewan: 64.8% (4.23%)
• Alberta: 81.1% (2.95%)
• British Columbia: 87.9% (3.06%)
33. New Brunswick: Fast Facts
1. % Interprovincial employees: 2% of the workforce (~10% in
Campbellton-Miramichi).
2. Employment Insurance Recipients: 28% (~44% in
Campbellton-Miramichi).
1. 21% of taxfilers have no employment income whatsoever.
3. Low income: 14% (17% in Campbellton-Miramichi)
4. Pension Plan: 35% (30% in Edmunston-Woodstock).
34. Conclusion: Implications for the
housing and poverty
Get ready for:
1. Declines in child poverty.
2. A growth in poverty among seniors.
3. New forms of poverty
1. Immigrants
2. Lone parents (new types of lone parents)
3. Mismatched people.
4. Housing shortages alongside growing vacancies.