Alcuni scenari di studio per comprendere i possibili impatti ambientali, occupazionali e di sicurezza energetica derivanti dalla costruzione e dalla conseguente messa in esercizio di nuove centrali nucleari nel nostro paese, come previsto dal Governo attraverso la “Legge Sviluppo” del 2009.

1. Results of the studyNuclear power for the economy,environment and development“An opportunity to give Italy new energy”

2. Steering Committee xx FatihBirol Chief Economist, International Energy Agency Gianluca Comin Director of External Relations, Enel Bruno D’Onghia General Manager – Italy, EDF Sergio Garribba Member of the Board of Energy Policies, Ministry for Economic Development Maurizio Lupi Vice President, Italian Chamber of Deputies Carlo Rossella Journalist and Chairman, Medusa Film Nicola Rossi Professor of Political Economics, University of Rome Tor Vergata Umberto Veronesi Scientific Director, European Institute of Oncology

3. The world will demand more and more energy TWh Global electricity demand + 326% Source: World Energy Outlook 2009, Reference Scenario, IEA

4. “3+1” key objectives to be achieved Security of the supplies obtained Economic sustainability (stable low prices) Environmental sustainability + Reduction of dependency on fossilfuel sources (in the medium-long term)

5. Will this mean a nuclear renaissance? 438 operating nuclear reactorsin 2010 (52 in 1966) 61 under construction and 149 planned reactors LEGEND (MW) x ≤ 2000 2001 ≤ x ≥ 10000 10001 ≤ x ≥ 30000 30001 ≤ x ≥ 60000 60001 ≤ x ≥ 80000 x ≥ 80001 Source: The EuropeanHouse-Ambrosetti on international database

6. Nuclear power: lower CO2 emissions g/KWh Source: IAEA

7. Nuclearpower: lowergeneratingcosts Source: IEA, Projected Costs of Generating Electricity, 2010

8. Energy sustainability challenge for Italy Primary energy: 86%dependency on foreign countries (EU average: 53%) Annual electricity consumption: 14%imported (one of the world top 5 importer) Production of electricity: >65% from gas, oil and their by-products (EU average: 27%) Electricity price: +25-35% vs. EU average (and high volatility) Source: The European House-Ambrosetti on AEEG, Eurostat, European Commission and Terna data

9. Electricity demand trend in Italy 439 TWhin 2030* (+ 36% since 2010) TWh Source: The EuropeanHouse-Ambrosetti (*) Hypothetical scenarios and studies (not forecasts); they includes hypotheses on energy efficiency measures

10. 3 possible electricity generation study mixes for 2030* (110 TWh) (155 TWh) (100 TWh) (110 TWh) (297 TWh) (252 TWh) (197 TWh) Source: The EuropeanHouse-Ambrosetti (*) Non previsional study scenarios complying with EU “Climate and Energy Package” and with Italian Government “National Action Plan for Renewable Energy Sources”

11. Electricity generation 2020-2030 with nuclear power Bln € Lower Cost (Bln €) of Integration Scenario -51 vs. Reference -69 vs. Alternative Reduced CO2 emission (Mton) of Integration Sc. -381 vs. Reference -236 vs. Alternative 563 545 494 Source: The EuropeanHouse-Ambrosetti

12. Additional benefits of nuclear power in Italy (1) National Industry Development One nuclear unit*: 2/3 Bln € potential orders for Italian industry(3/4 Bln € with new competences) >10.000 jobs (highly specialized)** (9,000 construction; 1,200 operation; 150 decommissioning) + National nuclear program as a “launching pad” for the wider global market (value 400/500 Bln €) Source: The European House-Ambrosetti, Politecnico di Milano (*) III generation nuclear reactor operating in Europe (**) Direct, indirect, related

13. Additional benefits of nuclear power in Italy (2) Enhancement of country’s competitiveness Reduction and stabilization of electricity costs and prices Improvement and integration of the national energy supply chain, with positive impacts on energy users Improvement of country’s competences and human capital Overall impacts on the economic system: +4.5-11 Bln €/year for greater overall production +38-81 thousand man-years Source: The European House-Ambrosetti, CERTeTBocconi

14. Additional benefits of nuclear power in Italy (3) Enhancement of geopolitical positioning Reduction of political risk for current energy dependency Possibility of increasing participation in the construction of global governance in the near future Possibility of reinforcing international cooperation (especially on the southern side of the Mediterranean) Possibility of participating in multilateral working groups to control nuclear proliferation Source: The European House-Ambrosetti, V. E. Parsi

15. Concluding Remarks Nuclear energy is experiencing a globalgrowth, as it is a safe technology, with lower generation costs and CO2 emissions “Return to nuclear” can provide considerable benefits for Italy: energy sustainability and as a driver for development The nuclear program is an opportunity for Italy, but it has to be a shared choice of the country