This slide deck is from the Next Is Now webinar delivered by Dr. Rob Reynolds on April 25, 2012. In his presentation, Rob explores key Internet trends affecting education, and makes projections regarding the future of learning technology and learning content.
2. Welcome to another Next Is Now webinar
• @nextisnow
• nextisnow.com
• Next Is Now book series – The Future of Learning
Content
• Upcoming workshop series – Designing your digital
content and teaching strategy
3. Broad trends shaping the future
• Mobile
• Media Distribution
• Social Networking
• Cloud-based Services
• Globality
• Content Creation
4. The mobile Internet as the next technology wave
http://www.scribd.com/doc/69309864/KPCB-Internet-Trends-2011
5. Tablets are a big deal
• 55 million iPads sold to date
• 11.8 million iPad sold in Q1 2012
• 66 million iPads will be sold in 2012
• 124 million tablets will ship globally in 2012
• 375 million tablets will ship globally by 2016
(760 million in use overall)
• There will be 92 million tablet owners in the
US by 2014
• 19% of US adults now own tablet devices
6. The iPad is runaway train compared to its
predecessors
http://www.scribd.com/doc/69309864/KPCB-Internet-Trends-2011
7. Android smartphone adoption is something to talk
about
http://www.scribd.com/doc/69309864/KPCB-Internet-Trends-2011
8. The information we need is always available
http://www.scribd.com/doc/69309864/KPCB-Internet-Trends-2011
9. Mobile devices are changing media consumption
Tablets are now
the #2 device
for watching
full-length TV
programming
10. People want to connect more than ever
http://www.scribd.com/doc/69309864/KPCB-Internet-Trends-2011
11. Our notions about content creationare changing
Newspapers are are
experiencing their 6th straight
year of decline
http://www.scribd.com/doc/69309864/KPCB-Internet-Trends-2011
60 hours of video are
uploaded to YouTube each
hour
13. A recap of broad consumer technology trends…
• Mobile
• Media Distribution
• Social Networking
• Cloud-based Services
• Globality
• Content Creation
14. … and the natural evolution of technologies
Everyone's is a mechanic I can do basic I just look at my
maintenance dashboard
17. Important crosswinds to remember
• The predominance of new and multiple
screens
• The shift from B2B-->B2C
• The rise of informal learning
• The evolution of mobile platforms
• Our changing notions of degrees and
certification
• The emergence of new business models
18. 3-5 Year horizon for learning content
• Broader availability of commercial textbooks in
digital formats
• Increased availability and acceptance of OER
content
• Commoditization of OER content
• Self and institutional publishing
• Increased adoption of digital content
• A consolidation of formats and distributors (lighter
DRM)
• The appearance of initial subscription services
• A decrease in textbook prices
19. E-textbook channels and distribution today
B2C
Amazon
Apple
Coursesmart
Chegg User Features
Google
Inkling B2B
Kno Institutional Cafescribe
NOOKstudy Services ClassBook
Textbooks.com Courseload
Coursesmart
MBS Direct Digital
VitalSource
20. E-textbook channels in 5 years
B2C Textbooks Commercial Content Open Content
Services Services
Amazon Amazon ?
Apple (Barnes & Noble)
Google Follett
(Barnes & Noble) MBS
23. What to Expect in Educational Technology
• Content and Learning Analytics
• Personal Technology
• Flipped Classroom Technology
• Personalized Learning
24. Content and Learning Analytics
• Reading analytics
• 3600 learner analytics
• Social learning analytics