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Mexico Political
                              Update

                                  July 2012


                   Nuricumbo + Partners
Audit • Finance • Risk • Strategy • Business Development
Elections Results

                         Presidential Official Results

                                                                                                           Presidential Votes
                                                                                                                      12,786,647

                                                                                                                      19,226,784

                                                                                                                      15,896,999

                                                                                                                      1,150,662

                                                                                                           Total      45,061,092




Source: Newspaper “El Universal” with Official Data from the Electoral Federal Institute, July 8th ,2012
Outline




1   General Overview


2   Political Parties and Coalitions


3   Elections Results


4   Contact
General Overview


                       Political Organization

  Mexico          is    a      Representative   Democratic
  Republic conformed by 32 Autonomous States
  (31 States and one Federal District).


  • Both the Federation and the States adjust to
  the model for the division of powers and
  separation of functions, divided into Executive,
  Legislative, and Judicial Branch.




Source: Electoral Federal Institute, 2012
General Overview


                                              Political Organization

  • The Executive Branch is conformed by the President, elected by vote for a period of 6
  years. Under no circumstance the President may be re-elected.


  • The Legislative Branch is vested upon the Union Congress, formed by a Lower Chamber
  of 500 deputies and an Upper Chamber conformed by 128 senators.


  • The Judicial Branch is vested upon the Supreme Court of Justice of the Nation, made up
  by eleven ministers elected by the vote of two thirds of the Upper Chamber members.


  • Elections must be carried out through universal, free, secret and direct voting.


Source: Electoral Federal Institute, 2012
General Overview


    Countrywide Nominated Positions: 2,127
       • President                                            Agenda 2011 - 2012
                                                       Federal Pre-
       • 500 Federal Deputies                                          Dec 18th – Feb 15th
                                                        campaign
       • 128 Federal Senators                          Federal Inter
                                                                       Feb 16th – Mar 29th
       • 7 State Governors                              Campaign
                                                         Federal
       • 579 Local Deputies                                            Mar 30th – Jun 27th
                                                        Campaign
       • 876 Councils
                                                        Elections            July 1st
       • 16 Delegation Councils (Mexico City)
                                                                        President: Dec 1st
       • 20 Municipal Boards                              Entry
                                                                         Others: Sept 1st
    Election Date: July 1st, 2012


Source: Electoral Federal Institute, 2012
Political Parties and Coalitions

                           Election 2012: Parties and Coalitions’ Current Situation
                                                                                    Political Position: Center
                                                                                       • Deputies: 141 / 500
              National Action Party
                                                                                        • Senators: 50 / 128
                                                                               • Governors: 9 / 32 (3 PRD Coalition)
                                                                                  Political Position: Center Right
                                                                                       • Deputies: 261 / 500
              Compromise for Mexico
                                                                                        • Senators: 41 / 128
                                                                                        • Governors: 20 / 32
                                                                                       Political Position: Left
                      Progressive                                                       • Deputies: 90 / 500
                      Movement                                                          • Senators: 33 / 128
                                                                               • Governors: 6 / 32 (3 PAN Coalition)
                                                                                    Political Position: Center
                                                                                         • Deputies: 7 / 500
              New Alliance Party
                                                                                         • Senators: 0 / 128
                                                                                         • Governors: 0 / 32

Source: Senate of the Republic, 2012; Deputies Chamber, 2012; Newspaper “El Universal”, 2012.
Political Parties and Coalitions


                                                                              Political Map April 2012
                                                                                  Institutional
                                                                               Revolutionary Party

                                                                              National Action Party

                                                                              Democratic Revolution
                                                                                     Party

                                                                                      Others             -

                                                                                Governor Election        -




Source: www.eleccion2012mexico.com, 2012 and Newspaper “El Universal” 2012.
Political Parties and Coalitions

                                            Presidential Candidates
                     Josefina Vazquez Mota                                • Book: Our Opportunity: a
                     • Party: National Action Party                       Mexico for Everyone, 2011.
                     • Education: Economy / Institutional Studies         • Website: josefina.mx/
                     • Former Position: Minister of Education

                      Enrique Peña Nieto                                  • Book: Mexico, the Great
                     • Party: Institutional Revolutionary Party            Hope, 2011.
                     • Education: Law / MBA                               • Website:
                     • Former Position: Governor of State of Mexico        www.enriquepenanieto.com/

                      Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador                         • Book: The Mafia that took
                     • Party: Democratic Revolution Party                   over Mexico (2010).
                     • Education: Political Science                       • Website: http://www.amlo.si/
                     • Former Position: Governor of Federal District

                      Gabriel Quadri De la Torre                          • Book: Public Policies:
                     • Party: New Alliance                                 Sustainability and Environment
                     • Education: Civil Engineering / Master in Economy   • Website: www.nueva-
                     • Former Position: General Manager Ecosecurities      alianza.org.mx/
Source: Newspaper “El Universal” 2012.
Political Parties and Coalitions


                 Percentual Budget per Party
                                                                Monetary Budget per Party
                                                                                   $32,168,433.46

                                                                                   $52,538,959.12

                                                                                   $33,843,516.27

                                                                                    $8,716,067.32

                                                                 Total            $127,266,976.20
                                                          Note: USD
                                                          Exchange Rate: $13.20 pesos / USD




Source: Electoral Federal Institute, 2012
Elections Results

                         Presidential Official Results

                                                                                                           Presidential Votes
                                                                                                                      12,786,647

                                                                                                                      19,226,784

                                                                                                                      15,896,999

                                                                                                                      1,150,662

                                                                                                           Total      45,061,092




Source: Newspaper “El Universal” with Official Data from the Electoral Federal Institute, July 8th ,2012
Elections Results

                                            The Winning Speech




                                          During his first speech as a virtual winner of the
                                          Presidential Elections, Enrique Peña Nieto celebrated the
                                          professionalism, impartiality and strict compliance with
                                          the law of the Federal Electoral Institute (IFE). He
                                          stressed that on July 1st not a single person nor a Political
                                          Party have won, but the democracy itself, all citizens and
                                          Mexico.


Source: www.enriquepenanieto.com , 2012
Elections Results

               Votes Recount                          Election Illegitimacy

  Both the National Action Party
  and the Progressive Movement
                                         Lopez Obrador, from the Progressive Movement
  Coalition requested a recount
                                         Coalition, has not accepted the victory of
  even before the official count
                                         Enrique Peña Nieto from the PRI Party. His
  was completed.
                                         delegate at IFE pointed out that the PRI party
  The Electoral Federal Institute        made payments to buy voters: the evidence lies
  proceeded to recount 78,409            in more than 500 complaints before the
  electoral packages, equivalent to      Electoral   Crimes    Prosecution    Authority
  45,049,356 votes.                      (FEPADE).


Source: Newspaper “El Universal”, 2012
Elections Results

                                       An Additional Opponent: The Students

                                               #I am 132 Movement

                     The social movement Yo Soy #132 was created by students from many
    universities in Mexico as a response to the voiceless promises of all the candidates and
    the specifically against the campaign of Enrique Peña Nieto.

    The movement has had an active participation before the Elections and managed to
    organize a debate among the candidates. Peña Nieto did not attend this debate.

    The movement aims to “awake” the people towards an actual change, to reject a world
    where a few ones win and the majority loses, and to realize that the oppressive
    structures are trembling because the change is near. After the elections, the movement
    did reject the electoral official results.
Source: www.yosoy132media.org , 2012
Elections Results

                A Large Sector of Society consider Elections Results as an ”Imposition”




                                                       On July 7th a vast manifestation conformed by
                                                       students, unionized workers, civil and social
                                                       organizations and general population protested at
                                                       the Mexican Central Square (Zocalo) during the so-
                                                       called “Manifestation against Imposition”. In the
                                                       meantime, PRD’s President announced that his
                                                       Party will support Lopez Obrador as far as the law
                                                       allows it: possible mobilizations ahead.


Source: Newspaper “El Universal”, 2012 and Opera Mundi, 2012.
Elections Results

                                          Reconcilation Speech


                                                   Despite all protests and upcoming inquiries,
                                                   Enrique Peña Nieto defends its victory in the
                                                   past Elections and dismisses the fraud
                                                   accusations imposed to his Party, many of
                                                   them related to the distribution of coupons
                                                   as a way of buying voters.

                                                   He calls other parties for unity and
                                                   cooperation on behalf of Mexico’s new
                                                   political phase.


Source: Newspaper “El Universal”, 2012.
Contact




Address: Plateros 16 – 504, San Jose Insurgentes 03900, Mexico City
Tel. Office: + 52 (55) 5339 5839
Mobile: + 52 (155) 5453 6309
E-mail: armando@nuricumbo.com Web: www.nuricumbo.com
Skype: nuricua

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Mexico Political Update - July 2012

  • 1. Mexico Political Update July 2012 Nuricumbo + Partners Audit • Finance • Risk • Strategy • Business Development
  • 2. Elections Results Presidential Official Results Presidential Votes 12,786,647 19,226,784 15,896,999 1,150,662 Total 45,061,092 Source: Newspaper “El Universal” with Official Data from the Electoral Federal Institute, July 8th ,2012
  • 3. Outline 1 General Overview 2 Political Parties and Coalitions 3 Elections Results 4 Contact
  • 4. General Overview Political Organization Mexico is a Representative Democratic Republic conformed by 32 Autonomous States (31 States and one Federal District). • Both the Federation and the States adjust to the model for the division of powers and separation of functions, divided into Executive, Legislative, and Judicial Branch. Source: Electoral Federal Institute, 2012
  • 5. General Overview Political Organization • The Executive Branch is conformed by the President, elected by vote for a period of 6 years. Under no circumstance the President may be re-elected. • The Legislative Branch is vested upon the Union Congress, formed by a Lower Chamber of 500 deputies and an Upper Chamber conformed by 128 senators. • The Judicial Branch is vested upon the Supreme Court of Justice of the Nation, made up by eleven ministers elected by the vote of two thirds of the Upper Chamber members. • Elections must be carried out through universal, free, secret and direct voting. Source: Electoral Federal Institute, 2012
  • 6. General Overview Countrywide Nominated Positions: 2,127 • President Agenda 2011 - 2012 Federal Pre- • 500 Federal Deputies Dec 18th – Feb 15th campaign • 128 Federal Senators Federal Inter Feb 16th – Mar 29th • 7 State Governors Campaign Federal • 579 Local Deputies Mar 30th – Jun 27th Campaign • 876 Councils Elections July 1st • 16 Delegation Councils (Mexico City) President: Dec 1st • 20 Municipal Boards Entry Others: Sept 1st Election Date: July 1st, 2012 Source: Electoral Federal Institute, 2012
  • 7. Political Parties and Coalitions Election 2012: Parties and Coalitions’ Current Situation Political Position: Center • Deputies: 141 / 500 National Action Party • Senators: 50 / 128 • Governors: 9 / 32 (3 PRD Coalition) Political Position: Center Right • Deputies: 261 / 500 Compromise for Mexico • Senators: 41 / 128 • Governors: 20 / 32 Political Position: Left Progressive • Deputies: 90 / 500 Movement • Senators: 33 / 128 • Governors: 6 / 32 (3 PAN Coalition) Political Position: Center • Deputies: 7 / 500 New Alliance Party • Senators: 0 / 128 • Governors: 0 / 32 Source: Senate of the Republic, 2012; Deputies Chamber, 2012; Newspaper “El Universal”, 2012.
  • 8. Political Parties and Coalitions Political Map April 2012 Institutional Revolutionary Party National Action Party Democratic Revolution Party Others - Governor Election - Source: www.eleccion2012mexico.com, 2012 and Newspaper “El Universal” 2012.
  • 9. Political Parties and Coalitions Presidential Candidates Josefina Vazquez Mota • Book: Our Opportunity: a • Party: National Action Party Mexico for Everyone, 2011. • Education: Economy / Institutional Studies • Website: josefina.mx/ • Former Position: Minister of Education Enrique Peña Nieto • Book: Mexico, the Great • Party: Institutional Revolutionary Party Hope, 2011. • Education: Law / MBA • Website: • Former Position: Governor of State of Mexico www.enriquepenanieto.com/ Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador • Book: The Mafia that took • Party: Democratic Revolution Party over Mexico (2010). • Education: Political Science • Website: http://www.amlo.si/ • Former Position: Governor of Federal District Gabriel Quadri De la Torre • Book: Public Policies: • Party: New Alliance Sustainability and Environment • Education: Civil Engineering / Master in Economy • Website: www.nueva- • Former Position: General Manager Ecosecurities alianza.org.mx/ Source: Newspaper “El Universal” 2012.
  • 10. Political Parties and Coalitions Percentual Budget per Party Monetary Budget per Party $32,168,433.46 $52,538,959.12 $33,843,516.27 $8,716,067.32 Total $127,266,976.20 Note: USD Exchange Rate: $13.20 pesos / USD Source: Electoral Federal Institute, 2012
  • 11. Elections Results Presidential Official Results Presidential Votes 12,786,647 19,226,784 15,896,999 1,150,662 Total 45,061,092 Source: Newspaper “El Universal” with Official Data from the Electoral Federal Institute, July 8th ,2012
  • 12. Elections Results The Winning Speech During his first speech as a virtual winner of the Presidential Elections, Enrique Peña Nieto celebrated the professionalism, impartiality and strict compliance with the law of the Federal Electoral Institute (IFE). He stressed that on July 1st not a single person nor a Political Party have won, but the democracy itself, all citizens and Mexico. Source: www.enriquepenanieto.com , 2012
  • 13. Elections Results Votes Recount Election Illegitimacy Both the National Action Party and the Progressive Movement Lopez Obrador, from the Progressive Movement Coalition requested a recount Coalition, has not accepted the victory of even before the official count Enrique Peña Nieto from the PRI Party. His was completed. delegate at IFE pointed out that the PRI party The Electoral Federal Institute made payments to buy voters: the evidence lies proceeded to recount 78,409 in more than 500 complaints before the electoral packages, equivalent to Electoral Crimes Prosecution Authority 45,049,356 votes. (FEPADE). Source: Newspaper “El Universal”, 2012
  • 14. Elections Results An Additional Opponent: The Students #I am 132 Movement The social movement Yo Soy #132 was created by students from many universities in Mexico as a response to the voiceless promises of all the candidates and the specifically against the campaign of Enrique Peña Nieto. The movement has had an active participation before the Elections and managed to organize a debate among the candidates. Peña Nieto did not attend this debate. The movement aims to “awake” the people towards an actual change, to reject a world where a few ones win and the majority loses, and to realize that the oppressive structures are trembling because the change is near. After the elections, the movement did reject the electoral official results. Source: www.yosoy132media.org , 2012
  • 15. Elections Results A Large Sector of Society consider Elections Results as an ”Imposition” On July 7th a vast manifestation conformed by students, unionized workers, civil and social organizations and general population protested at the Mexican Central Square (Zocalo) during the so- called “Manifestation against Imposition”. In the meantime, PRD’s President announced that his Party will support Lopez Obrador as far as the law allows it: possible mobilizations ahead. Source: Newspaper “El Universal”, 2012 and Opera Mundi, 2012.
  • 16. Elections Results Reconcilation Speech Despite all protests and upcoming inquiries, Enrique Peña Nieto defends its victory in the past Elections and dismisses the fraud accusations imposed to his Party, many of them related to the distribution of coupons as a way of buying voters. He calls other parties for unity and cooperation on behalf of Mexico’s new political phase. Source: Newspaper “El Universal”, 2012.
  • 17. Contact Address: Plateros 16 – 504, San Jose Insurgentes 03900, Mexico City Tel. Office: + 52 (55) 5339 5839 Mobile: + 52 (155) 5453 6309 E-mail: armando@nuricumbo.com Web: www.nuricumbo.com Skype: nuricua