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Lecture L09
THE INNOVATOR’S DILEMMA
Economist article: The last Kodak moment?
Kodak is at death’s door; Fujifilm, its old rival, is thriving. Why?
READING ASSIGNMENT
Founded in 1880 Noted for their 

pioneering technology
“You press the button,

we do the rest”
By 1975 they had 90%
of firm and 85% of 

camera sales in US
Eastman pioneered dry plate technology when 

others use wet plate
Introduced the Brownie camera in 1900
Used film rolls
Camera for $1, then sold films
The picture quality was inferior 

to begin with, but consumers 

loved the convenience
In 1935 Kodak introduced Kodachrome,

the first colour film
The picture quality was inferior 

to begin with, but consumers 

loved colours pictures
Initially Available as 35 mm slides
1. Where	
  did	
  Kodak	
  fail?	
  
2. What	
  did	
  Fuji	
  do	
  differently?
READING ASSIGNMENT
1. Where	
  did	
  Kodak	
  fail?	
  
2. What	
  did	
  Fuji	
  do	
  differently?
READING ASSIGNMENT
Kodak
Kodak knew that digital cameras would take over
In 1981, a team inside Kodak assessed the threat
The report said:
* The quality is not there
* Consumer’s desire for print cannot be replaced
* The device is too expensive
Source: Decisive
Kodak
Culture
“suffered from the mentality of perfect products,
rather than the high-tech mindset of
make it, launch it, fix it.”
One company town
No criticism, changing leadership
Failed to capitalise on pharmaceutical assets
Fuji
Plan: to squeeze as much money out of the film
business as possible, to prepare for the switch to
digital and to develop new business lines
Brutal reorganisation
Launched a line of cosmetics and sold it
Kodak’s Lack of Tripwire
The report said:

* The quality is not there

	 -> We will act when more than 10% of public is pleased with
digital images

* Consumer’s desire for print cannot be replaced

* The device is too expensive

	 -> We will act when more than 5% of public has some kind of
viewing system
Source: Decisive
Van Halen’s Brown M&M
They demanded M&M back stage but without the brown M&Ms
Source: Decisive
Technology is
one of the
major factors
in change
Firms that 

	succeed in one generation of innovation
almost inevitable become hamstrung by their
own success and thus doomed to 

	lose out in the next wave of innovation

			 	
Source:	
  (Christensen,	
  2000)	
  
The Innovators Dilemma
The Innovators Dilemma
Should we focus improving our products to
make them higher margin, with more
performance or look at this new technology that
is low performance with low margins?
Surviving Technological Change
What is it that kills successful

companies?
The Innovator’s Dilemma
Clayton Christensen
professor at Harvard Business School
Source:	
  Yang,	
  Harvard
Traditional Concept of 

Good Management
Focus on your best customers

Focus on your highest margin products
Reason for Failure?
If you become wildly successful 

because you do everything right, 

you're doomed
Disruptive Innovation
Resources, Processes and Values Theory
	
  
Resources (what a firm has),
processes (how a firm does it´s work), and
values (what a firm wants to do) 



collectively defines an organisation’s strengths
as well as weaknesses and blind spots
Source:	
  (Christensen,	
  2000)	
  
The RPV Theory
WHEN
PLATFORM
SHIFTS HAPPEN,
COMPANIES FIND
IT HARD TO MOVE
TO NEW
GENERATION OF
TECHNOLOGY
Image	
  Source	
  Page:	
  http://www.teach-­‐ict.com/wp/archives/264
Only ONE established firm
managed the transition from one
generation to the next
Why did they fail?
They listened to their customers
Case Study
Betware transformed
from custom software
development to
product development
– from technology to
service
“If I’d asked my
customers what they
wanted, they’d have
said a faster horse”
- Henry Ford
We tend to view technology
based on 

past usages 

but not the future potential
The hardest things when you are trying to affect change
Steve Jobs Insult Response, WWDC 1997
Source:	
  Yang,	
  Harvard
Traditional Concept of 

Good Management
Leads successful companies to ignore
disruptive innovations with deadly
consequences
“We listen to our best customers”
The Innovation Trap
“Our customer is asking for the
new product, but we don’t have it
and its to late the enter the market”
The Innovation Trap
“Our customer are starting to ask
for our new product.”
The Innovation Trap
It is very difficult for incumbent
companies to disrupt themselves,
so usually others will do it
“Markets that do not
exist cannot be
analysed”
- Clayton Christensen
Adjacent Possible
...a kind of shadow future, 

hovering on the edges of 

the present state of things, 

a map of all the ways in 

which the present can 

reinvent itself
Steven	
  Johnson
Next
Innovator’s Method

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L09 The Innovator's Dilemma

  • 2. Economist article: The last Kodak moment? Kodak is at death’s door; Fujifilm, its old rival, is thriving. Why? READING ASSIGNMENT
  • 3. Founded in 1880 Noted for their 
 pioneering technology “You press the button,
 we do the rest” By 1975 they had 90% of firm and 85% of 
 camera sales in US
  • 4. Eastman pioneered dry plate technology when 
 others use wet plate Introduced the Brownie camera in 1900 Used film rolls Camera for $1, then sold films The picture quality was inferior 
 to begin with, but consumers 
 loved the convenience
  • 5. In 1935 Kodak introduced Kodachrome, the first colour film The picture quality was inferior 
 to begin with, but consumers 
 loved colours pictures Initially Available as 35 mm slides
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. 1. Where  did  Kodak  fail?   2. What  did  Fuji  do  differently? READING ASSIGNMENT
  • 10.
  • 11. 1. Where  did  Kodak  fail?   2. What  did  Fuji  do  differently? READING ASSIGNMENT
  • 12. Kodak Kodak knew that digital cameras would take over In 1981, a team inside Kodak assessed the threat The report said: * The quality is not there * Consumer’s desire for print cannot be replaced * The device is too expensive Source: Decisive
  • 13. Kodak Culture “suffered from the mentality of perfect products, rather than the high-tech mindset of make it, launch it, fix it.” One company town No criticism, changing leadership Failed to capitalise on pharmaceutical assets
  • 14. Fuji Plan: to squeeze as much money out of the film business as possible, to prepare for the switch to digital and to develop new business lines Brutal reorganisation Launched a line of cosmetics and sold it
  • 15. Kodak’s Lack of Tripwire The report said: * The quality is not there -> We will act when more than 10% of public is pleased with digital images * Consumer’s desire for print cannot be replaced * The device is too expensive -> We will act when more than 5% of public has some kind of viewing system Source: Decisive
  • 16. Van Halen’s Brown M&M They demanded M&M back stage but without the brown M&Ms Source: Decisive
  • 17.
  • 18. Technology is one of the major factors in change
  • 19. Firms that 
 succeed in one generation of innovation almost inevitable become hamstrung by their own success and thus doomed to 
 lose out in the next wave of innovation Source:  (Christensen,  2000)   The Innovators Dilemma
  • 20. The Innovators Dilemma Should we focus improving our products to make them higher margin, with more performance or look at this new technology that is low performance with low margins?
  • 21. Surviving Technological Change What is it that kills successful
 companies?
  • 22. The Innovator’s Dilemma Clayton Christensen professor at Harvard Business School
  • 23.
  • 24. Source:  Yang,  Harvard Traditional Concept of 
 Good Management Focus on your best customers Focus on your highest margin products
  • 25.
  • 26. Reason for Failure? If you become wildly successful 
 because you do everything right, 
 you're doomed
  • 28. Resources, Processes and Values Theory   Resources (what a firm has), processes (how a firm does it´s work), and values (what a firm wants to do) 
 
 collectively defines an organisation’s strengths as well as weaknesses and blind spots Source:  (Christensen,  2000)   The RPV Theory
  • 29. WHEN PLATFORM SHIFTS HAPPEN, COMPANIES FIND IT HARD TO MOVE TO NEW GENERATION OF TECHNOLOGY
  • 30. Image  Source  Page:  http://www.teach-­‐ict.com/wp/archives/264 Only ONE established firm managed the transition from one generation to the next
  • 31. Why did they fail?
  • 32. They listened to their customers
  • 33. Case Study Betware transformed from custom software development to product development – from technology to service
  • 34. “If I’d asked my customers what they wanted, they’d have said a faster horse” - Henry Ford
  • 35. We tend to view technology based on 
 past usages 
 but not the future potential
  • 36. The hardest things when you are trying to affect change Steve Jobs Insult Response, WWDC 1997
  • 37.
  • 38. Source:  Yang,  Harvard Traditional Concept of 
 Good Management Leads successful companies to ignore disruptive innovations with deadly consequences
  • 39. “We listen to our best customers” The Innovation Trap
  • 40. “Our customer is asking for the new product, but we don’t have it and its to late the enter the market” The Innovation Trap
  • 41. “Our customer are starting to ask for our new product.” The Innovation Trap
  • 42. It is very difficult for incumbent companies to disrupt themselves, so usually others will do it
  • 43. “Markets that do not exist cannot be analysed” - Clayton Christensen
  • 44. Adjacent Possible ...a kind of shadow future, 
 hovering on the edges of 
 the present state of things, 
 a map of all the ways in 
 which the present can 
 reinvent itself Steven  Johnson