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Universal Health Insurance




Dublin                         Oliver O’Connor
October 2012

                 ooc@sky.com
What does UHI mean?
Easy answer:
• Universal = Same benefits for EVERYONE, no faster access for ANYONE
• Universal = Compulsory source of funding
Where we are now:
• Universal public hospital care legally established
    – Secondary care, tertiary care
• Private hospitals and private beds in public hospitals available to insured
• GP/primary care:
    – No single legal framework
    – Means tested medical card for 36-38% population
    – For others: available GP and primary care: but out of pocket cost affordable?
• Long term care: one framework with graduated ‘co-pay’
• Compulsory taxation revenue base – progressive, effective



                                      ooc@sky.com
Programme for Government – UHI
• UHI will deliver “equal access to care for all”
• There will be no discrimination between patients on the
  grounds of income or insurance status. The two-tier system
  of unequal access to hospital care will end.
• A system of Universal Health Insurance (UHI) will be
  introduced by 2016, with the legislative and organisational
  groundwork for the system complete within this
  Government’s term of office.
• UHI will provide guaranteed access to care for all in public
  and private hospitals on the same basis as the privately-
  insured have now.
• Everyone will have a choice between competing insurers.
• …system will not be subject to European or national
  competition law.
                          ooc@sky.com
Programme for Government – UHI
• Insurance with a public or private insurer will be
  compulsory with insurance payments related to ability
  to pay.
• Exchequer funding for hospital care will go into a
  Hospital Insurance Fund which will subsidise or pay
  insurance premia for those who qualify for subsidy.
• The Hospital Insurance Fund will also control those
  health care costs for which central control is most
  effective.
• A White Paper on Financing UHI will be published early
  in the Government’s first term.


                       ooc@sky.com
Programme for Government –
              Primary Care
• Free GP care then free primary care
   – “Universal Primary Care will remove fees for GP care
     and will be introduced within this Government’s term
     of office” (March 2016)
   – “Universal Primary Care will be introduced in phases so
     that additional doctors, nurses and other primary care
     professionals can be recruited.”
   – “Access to care without fees will be extended to all in
     the final phase” [not specified when]

• [Costings to be specified and part funded from efficiency
  savings]

                           ooc@sky.com
Health Basics – providing and paying
• Simplified diagram

                       Services




  Individuals      Intermediaries   Providers


                       Resources




                   ooc@sky.com
Slightly less basic – current system

   General taxation   Govt Annual budget HSESalaries, grants
   Govt usage charges
                             Tax relief

                                             Fees, charges
   Insurance policy premia
                                 Insurers
   Direct out of pocket fees




                               ooc@sky.com
Current system - € flows approx
     €13.3bn                     €13.6bn            €13.6bn
 General taxation   Govt Annual budget HSESalaries, grants
      €300m
 Govt usage charges            €300m
                           Tax relief
      €1.7bn                                 €1.8bn
                                           Fees, charges
 Insurance policy premia
                               Insurers
      €1.7bn?
 Direct out of pocket fees, payments


     €17bn health economy = 10.6% GDP, 13% GNP

                             ooc@sky.com
Is this the new world?

General taxation   Govt                     Salaries, cap
                                            ital grants
                   Health Insurance Fund

 Compulsory premia                         Fees, charges
                         State VHI;
 Top-up premia           Private
                         Insurers
Direct out of pocket fees??


                          ooc@sky.com
Complex issues for all stakeholders
• For the Exchequer: Funding
• For Patients / the public: Benefits and Payment
• For Insurers: role and commercial freedom
• For Providers: payments, commercial freedoms
• For Doctors, staff: remuneration, management
• For Dept of Health: integrated
  care, performance, outcomes
• For State and citizen: health law and equity




                         ooc@sky.com
Exchequer
• Funding
   – What will it cost? Free GP care – free primary care – UHI
   – How much in direct taxation? How much in compulsory premium?
   – Capital funding
• Cap and control
   –   Need to ensure annual budget cap still robust
   –   Need assurance that system does not include cost escalation dynamic
   –   Finance to control insurance premium level and means test levels
   –   Failure regime for insurers/hospitals
• Collection
   – Through PAYE? Non-PAYE sector?
• Economic
   – Is premium effectively extra PRSI? Scope? Headroom for other taxes?
        No Govt decision will be made until these all addressed in advance
                                ooc@sky.com
Patients – the public
• What benefits do I get?
   – Every hospital, every procedure covered?
• Premium level and means test
   –   How much to I pay?
   –   Do I pay more than now, less or the same?
   –   How is the means test implemented?
   –   Enforcement – what if I don’t pay?
• Choice and control
   – Can I buy additional/top-up insurance?
   – Can I have choice of consultant/choice of hospital?


 All need policy, law, administrative systems, communication, implementation


                               ooc@sky.com
Insurers
• Funding
   –   Freedom to set rates? Not really
   –   How will they get enough funding to pay the benefits?
   –   Claims control function?
   –   What reserves level needed? 40% or 9%?
• Commercial
   –   Compete on what … quality administration?
   –   Allowed offer additional benefits?
   –   Freedom to select providers?
   –   Scope for profit making
• Risk equalisation
   – System needs to be comprehensive but not stifling
   – Balance of customers and claims – 80% claims at VHI
       Major strategic issues for insurers who need clarity and advance notice

                                 ooc@sky.com
Providers - hospitals
• Payment mechanisms
   – ‘Money Follows the Patient’ to be in place first
   – Price/tariff system needed, requiring data
   – Complex and still far away
• Governance
   – Public hospitals to become independent trusts before UHI
   – Complex and still far away
• Competitive forces
   –   Do they compete for patients?
   –   What drives efficiency?
   –   What happens to underperforming hospitals?
   –   Hidden or open subsidies from State for good/bad reasons?
   –   Any scope for income-generation beyond State package?
   –   Profit making allowed/accommodated?
              Both public and private hospitals have major strategic issues
                                   ooc@sky.com
Doctors and staff
• GPs
   –   GPs to give up private fee earning and replace with capitation/salary/fee
   –   IR negotiation of new contract – still far off
   –   Will they take less money than currently earned? €300m?
   –   Replacing private fee payment with Exchequer fees is an increase in
       public spending
• Consultants
   –   How will they be paid? All salary? All fee?
   –   Will no longer earn salaries + substantial fee income (c.€1bn total cost)
   –   New contract needed - complex and still far away
   –   Employment, by whom? Independent contractors?
• Other clinical staff
   – Recruitment to State salaries of all new health professionals? Headroom?

           Major IR issues on both primary care and hospital care side
                                   ooc@sky.com
Dept of Health – policy
• Performance and outcomes
   – What health outcomes are specified for the new system?
   – How is the performance of health providers to these outcomes to be
     managed and delivered?
• Integrated Care
   – How exactly is integrated care to be organised and managed?
   – How are competing insurers to implement this?
• Regulation and governance
    – New agencies (Patient Safety, Integrated Care, Insurance Fund)
    – Future of HSE and all its non-hospital staff
    – New system of hospital regulation (clinical, governance and financial
      standards)
    – Close insurance regulation needed in this system
    – Competition regulation needed where any commercial activity takes place
Strong, but redesigned role still needed at centre for health policy determination
                                  ooc@sky.com
State and Citizen
• Legal basis for health provision
   – Potential fundamental change from Health Acts 1970-2005
   – How close to private contract based law?
   – Enforceability of personal right to healthcare any stronger?
• Equity
   – How will this be defined?
   – And implemented?
   – Scope for any patient-doctor-provider-insurer relationship outside of State-
     mandated system?
   – Are there losers as well as winners: does the public understand the
     consequences?



 General approval for fair healthcare, but public not yet engaged on actual realities

                                  ooc@sky.com
Implied Timing for Life of Government
• 2011:
   –   NTPF suspended and HSE board removed
   –   Universal Health Insurance Commission
   –   Special Delivery Unit up and running
   –   VHI EU Court decision
• 2012:
   – Legislation on new HSE board published, not yet enacted
   – Cost pressures - Significant savings – but little scope for new spending
   – White Paper on UHI – delayed to 2013
• 2013:
   –   Risk equalisation in place – new legislation but may be amended
   –   VHI derogation ended and capitalised in State ownership: pressure
   –   HSE new legal status in place
   –   Money Follows the Patient system designed start implementation
                               ooc@sky.com
Implied Timing
• 2014
   – Money Follows the Patient system across 52 hospitals
   – Hospital Care Purchase Agency takes over hospital role of HSE
   – New contracts for GPs and Consultants
• 2015
   – Free GP care for all
   – Integrated Care Agency set up
   – Public Hospitals are all not-for-profit trusts in networks or standalone
   – HIQA/Patient Safety Authority licensing of hospitals and regulation
   – Health Insurance Fund established
   – Full analysis of funding and Exchequer control completed and agreed
   – Benefits package under UHI specified
   – Costs and means test for individuals set out
   – Scheme of legislation for UHI published
                               ooc@sky.com
Implied Timing


• 2016
  – General election before March
  – UHI enacted and implemented




                           ooc@sky.com
Conclusions
• Moving to UHI is immensely complex: will not happen for
  2016
• Capacity to design and deliver policy, legal, technical changes
  questionable: over-stretch
• Even with technical legal and policy work done, headroom
  for new spending, new recruitment not available yet
• Equity of access issues may be addressed in advance of UHI
• For indicators, watch progress on necessary precursors:
   – GP and consultant contracts
   – Money Follows the Patient system
   – Independent trust status for hospitals


                              ooc@sky.com

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Uhi presentation oct 2012

  • 1. Universal Health Insurance Dublin Oliver O’Connor October 2012 ooc@sky.com
  • 2. What does UHI mean? Easy answer: • Universal = Same benefits for EVERYONE, no faster access for ANYONE • Universal = Compulsory source of funding Where we are now: • Universal public hospital care legally established – Secondary care, tertiary care • Private hospitals and private beds in public hospitals available to insured • GP/primary care: – No single legal framework – Means tested medical card for 36-38% population – For others: available GP and primary care: but out of pocket cost affordable? • Long term care: one framework with graduated ‘co-pay’ • Compulsory taxation revenue base – progressive, effective ooc@sky.com
  • 3. Programme for Government – UHI • UHI will deliver “equal access to care for all” • There will be no discrimination between patients on the grounds of income or insurance status. The two-tier system of unequal access to hospital care will end. • A system of Universal Health Insurance (UHI) will be introduced by 2016, with the legislative and organisational groundwork for the system complete within this Government’s term of office. • UHI will provide guaranteed access to care for all in public and private hospitals on the same basis as the privately- insured have now. • Everyone will have a choice between competing insurers. • …system will not be subject to European or national competition law. ooc@sky.com
  • 4. Programme for Government – UHI • Insurance with a public or private insurer will be compulsory with insurance payments related to ability to pay. • Exchequer funding for hospital care will go into a Hospital Insurance Fund which will subsidise or pay insurance premia for those who qualify for subsidy. • The Hospital Insurance Fund will also control those health care costs for which central control is most effective. • A White Paper on Financing UHI will be published early in the Government’s first term. ooc@sky.com
  • 5. Programme for Government – Primary Care • Free GP care then free primary care – “Universal Primary Care will remove fees for GP care and will be introduced within this Government’s term of office” (March 2016) – “Universal Primary Care will be introduced in phases so that additional doctors, nurses and other primary care professionals can be recruited.” – “Access to care without fees will be extended to all in the final phase” [not specified when] • [Costings to be specified and part funded from efficiency savings] ooc@sky.com
  • 6. Health Basics – providing and paying • Simplified diagram Services Individuals Intermediaries Providers Resources ooc@sky.com
  • 7. Slightly less basic – current system General taxation Govt Annual budget HSESalaries, grants Govt usage charges Tax relief Fees, charges Insurance policy premia Insurers Direct out of pocket fees ooc@sky.com
  • 8. Current system - € flows approx €13.3bn €13.6bn €13.6bn General taxation Govt Annual budget HSESalaries, grants €300m Govt usage charges €300m Tax relief €1.7bn €1.8bn Fees, charges Insurance policy premia Insurers €1.7bn? Direct out of pocket fees, payments €17bn health economy = 10.6% GDP, 13% GNP ooc@sky.com
  • 9. Is this the new world? General taxation Govt Salaries, cap ital grants Health Insurance Fund Compulsory premia Fees, charges State VHI; Top-up premia Private Insurers Direct out of pocket fees?? ooc@sky.com
  • 10. Complex issues for all stakeholders • For the Exchequer: Funding • For Patients / the public: Benefits and Payment • For Insurers: role and commercial freedom • For Providers: payments, commercial freedoms • For Doctors, staff: remuneration, management • For Dept of Health: integrated care, performance, outcomes • For State and citizen: health law and equity ooc@sky.com
  • 11. Exchequer • Funding – What will it cost? Free GP care – free primary care – UHI – How much in direct taxation? How much in compulsory premium? – Capital funding • Cap and control – Need to ensure annual budget cap still robust – Need assurance that system does not include cost escalation dynamic – Finance to control insurance premium level and means test levels – Failure regime for insurers/hospitals • Collection – Through PAYE? Non-PAYE sector? • Economic – Is premium effectively extra PRSI? Scope? Headroom for other taxes? No Govt decision will be made until these all addressed in advance ooc@sky.com
  • 12. Patients – the public • What benefits do I get? – Every hospital, every procedure covered? • Premium level and means test – How much to I pay? – Do I pay more than now, less or the same? – How is the means test implemented? – Enforcement – what if I don’t pay? • Choice and control – Can I buy additional/top-up insurance? – Can I have choice of consultant/choice of hospital? All need policy, law, administrative systems, communication, implementation ooc@sky.com
  • 13. Insurers • Funding – Freedom to set rates? Not really – How will they get enough funding to pay the benefits? – Claims control function? – What reserves level needed? 40% or 9%? • Commercial – Compete on what … quality administration? – Allowed offer additional benefits? – Freedom to select providers? – Scope for profit making • Risk equalisation – System needs to be comprehensive but not stifling – Balance of customers and claims – 80% claims at VHI Major strategic issues for insurers who need clarity and advance notice ooc@sky.com
  • 14. Providers - hospitals • Payment mechanisms – ‘Money Follows the Patient’ to be in place first – Price/tariff system needed, requiring data – Complex and still far away • Governance – Public hospitals to become independent trusts before UHI – Complex and still far away • Competitive forces – Do they compete for patients? – What drives efficiency? – What happens to underperforming hospitals? – Hidden or open subsidies from State for good/bad reasons? – Any scope for income-generation beyond State package? – Profit making allowed/accommodated? Both public and private hospitals have major strategic issues ooc@sky.com
  • 15. Doctors and staff • GPs – GPs to give up private fee earning and replace with capitation/salary/fee – IR negotiation of new contract – still far off – Will they take less money than currently earned? €300m? – Replacing private fee payment with Exchequer fees is an increase in public spending • Consultants – How will they be paid? All salary? All fee? – Will no longer earn salaries + substantial fee income (c.€1bn total cost) – New contract needed - complex and still far away – Employment, by whom? Independent contractors? • Other clinical staff – Recruitment to State salaries of all new health professionals? Headroom? Major IR issues on both primary care and hospital care side ooc@sky.com
  • 16. Dept of Health – policy • Performance and outcomes – What health outcomes are specified for the new system? – How is the performance of health providers to these outcomes to be managed and delivered? • Integrated Care – How exactly is integrated care to be organised and managed? – How are competing insurers to implement this? • Regulation and governance – New agencies (Patient Safety, Integrated Care, Insurance Fund) – Future of HSE and all its non-hospital staff – New system of hospital regulation (clinical, governance and financial standards) – Close insurance regulation needed in this system – Competition regulation needed where any commercial activity takes place Strong, but redesigned role still needed at centre for health policy determination ooc@sky.com
  • 17. State and Citizen • Legal basis for health provision – Potential fundamental change from Health Acts 1970-2005 – How close to private contract based law? – Enforceability of personal right to healthcare any stronger? • Equity – How will this be defined? – And implemented? – Scope for any patient-doctor-provider-insurer relationship outside of State- mandated system? – Are there losers as well as winners: does the public understand the consequences? General approval for fair healthcare, but public not yet engaged on actual realities ooc@sky.com
  • 18. Implied Timing for Life of Government • 2011: – NTPF suspended and HSE board removed – Universal Health Insurance Commission – Special Delivery Unit up and running – VHI EU Court decision • 2012: – Legislation on new HSE board published, not yet enacted – Cost pressures - Significant savings – but little scope for new spending – White Paper on UHI – delayed to 2013 • 2013: – Risk equalisation in place – new legislation but may be amended – VHI derogation ended and capitalised in State ownership: pressure – HSE new legal status in place – Money Follows the Patient system designed start implementation ooc@sky.com
  • 19. Implied Timing • 2014 – Money Follows the Patient system across 52 hospitals – Hospital Care Purchase Agency takes over hospital role of HSE – New contracts for GPs and Consultants • 2015 – Free GP care for all – Integrated Care Agency set up – Public Hospitals are all not-for-profit trusts in networks or standalone – HIQA/Patient Safety Authority licensing of hospitals and regulation – Health Insurance Fund established – Full analysis of funding and Exchequer control completed and agreed – Benefits package under UHI specified – Costs and means test for individuals set out – Scheme of legislation for UHI published ooc@sky.com
  • 20. Implied Timing • 2016 – General election before March – UHI enacted and implemented ooc@sky.com
  • 21. Conclusions • Moving to UHI is immensely complex: will not happen for 2016 • Capacity to design and deliver policy, legal, technical changes questionable: over-stretch • Even with technical legal and policy work done, headroom for new spending, new recruitment not available yet • Equity of access issues may be addressed in advance of UHI • For indicators, watch progress on necessary precursors: – GP and consultant contracts – Money Follows the Patient system – Independent trust status for hospitals ooc@sky.com